MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6362
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2348

MMA Handicapper Stats: Value Hunter

Value Hunter (Value Hunter)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	28 (30%)	Right	8 (28%)	Right	15 (29%)	Right	5 (45%)
Wrong	64 (70%)	Wrong	21 (72%)	Wrong	37 (71%)	Wrong	6 (55%)
Avg Odds	2.99	Avg Odds	2.12	Avg Odds	4.53	Avg Odds	1.97
Units Bet	83.9	Units Bet	41.3	Units Bet	24.7	Units Bet	17.9
Avg Bet	0.91	Avg Bet	1.42	Avg Bet	0.48	Avg Bet	1.63
Units Profit	-11.85	Units Profit	-14.81	Units Profit	4.06	Units Profit	-1.10
ROI %	-14%	ROI %	-36%	ROI %	16%	ROI %	-6%

Value Hunter: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
26th Feb '22	UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev	1	-1.0	-100%		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
18th Dec '21	UFC FN	1	1.0	101%			1.0 / 1 (101%)
7th Aug '21	UFC 265	4	2.7	67%		-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	3.2 / 3.5 (91%)
31st Jul '21	UFC FN	0.3	-0.3	-100%		-0.3 / 0.3 (-100%)
24th Jul '21	UFC FN	2	2.5	125%	2.5 / 2 (125%)
17th Jul '21	UFC FN	4.6	5.9	128%		5.9 / 4.6 (128%)
10th Jul '21	UFC 264	9.6	-1.4	-15%	-3.3 / 5.6 (-60%)	2.0 / 4 (49%)
26th Jun '21	UFC FN	7	-2.7	-38%	-2.7 / 7 (-38%)
19th Jun '21	UFC FN	12.43	-8.1	-65%	-5.7 / 5.73 (-100%)	-2.4 / 6.7 (-36%)
17th Jun '21	PFL 2021: Week 5	6.42	-6.4	-100%			-6.4 / 6.42 (-100%)
12th Jun '21	UFC 263	5.8	0.1	2%	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	-0.3 / 0.3 (-100%)	2.9 / 3 (97%)
5th Jun '21	UFC FN	7.1	-2.3	-33%	-2.5 / 2.45 (-100%)	1.1 / 3.65 (30%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
22nd May '21	UFC FN	2.45	1.5	63%		1.5 / 2.45 (63%)
15th May '21	UFC 262	2.89	-2.0	-71%	-2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)	0.2 / 0.64 (33%)
8th May '21	UFC FN	1	1.2	120%			1.2 / 1 (120%)
1st May '21	UFC FN	2.6	1.4	55%	1.5 / 2.5 (61%)	-0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)
24th Apr '21	UFC 261	2	-2.0	-100%			-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
17th Apr '21	UFC FN	2	-2.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Apr '21	Bellator 257	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Apr '21	UFC FN	2.25	-0.0	-0%	-0.0 / 2.25 (-0%)
28th Mar '21	UFC 260	5	1.4	28%	2.4 / 4 (60%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
20th Mar '21	UFC Fight Night 188	1	1.7	170%	1.7 / 1 (170%)
13th Mar '21	UFC Fight Night 187	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)

Winning Events: 10 (43%)
Losing Events: 13 (57%)

Average Staked Per Event: 3.71 units
Most Staked On One Event: 12.43 units
Best Event: 5.87 units
Worst Event: -8.14 units
Average Event: -0.52 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 8.37
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -18.61

Value Hunter: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2022	1	-1.0	-100%				/ 1 (0%)	-1.00
2021	84.44	-10.8	-13%	-14.8 / 41.28 (-36%)		-1.1 / 17.92 (-6%)	10 / 12 (45%)	-0.49

Value Hunter: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Value Hunter: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	78.02	-4.4	-6%	-13.8 / 40.28 (-34%)	4.1 / 26.24 (15%)	5.3 / 11.5 (46%)
Bellator	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
PFL	6.42	-6.4	-100%			-6.4 / 6.42 (-100%)

Value Hunter: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	2 (6%)	2	100 %	6.00	2.55	1.27	42%
Slight Favorites	7 (21%)	2	29 %	9.98	-3.71	-0.53	-37%
Slight Underdogs	21 (64%)	4	19 %	23.35	-11.70	-0.56	-50%
Big Underdogs	3 (9%)	0	0 %	1.95	-1.95	-0.65	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	7 (21%)	1	14 %	7.00	-4.30	-0.61	-61%
Co-Main Event	5 (15%)	3	60 %	8.50	1.97	0.39	23%
Position 3-5	8 (24%)	1	13 %	9.35	-7.15	-0.89	-76%
6+ (Undercard)	13 (39%)	3	23 %	16.43	-5.33	-0.41	-32%

Value Hunter: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	7 (21%)		0 %	6.60	-6.60	-0.94	-100%
Light Heavy	1 (3%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%
Middleweight	5 (15%)	2	40 %	7.00	0.20	0.04	3%
Welterweight	6 (18%)	3	50 %	9.70	1.10	0.18	11%
Lightweight	4 (12%)	1	25 %	4.00	-1.80	-0.45	-45%
Featherweight	6 (18%)	1	17 %	7.73	-3.71	-0.62	-48%
Bantamweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	1.25	1.00	1.00	80%

Women's Fights	3 (9%)		0 %	4.00	-4.00	-1.33	-100%
Flyweight	1 (3%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%
Strawweight	2 (6%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-1.50	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	20 (83%)	11	55 %
Slight Favorites	4 (17%)	3	75 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	24	14	58 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	2 (4%)	1	50 %
50-65%	1 (2%)	1	100 %
35-50%	14 (26%)	7	50 %
<35% chance	37 (69%)	6	16 %
	54	15	28 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (4%)	1	50 %	1.51	1.53	1.50	-0.5 (-25%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	4 (7%)	2	50 %	2.64	3.00	2.50	1.5 (38%)
X Wins by KO	3 (6%)	0	0 %	3.30	5.50	2.38	-3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	8 (15%)	1	13 %	5.68	13.00	2.01	5.0 (63%)
X Wins by Decision	7 (13%)	3	43 %	3.12	5.00	2.50	4.0 (57%)
X Wins Inside Distance	8 (15%)	4	50 %	2.89	5.75	2.40	3.0 (37%)
X Wins in Round X	19 (35%)	1	5 %	15.49	34.00	8.00	-2.0 (-11%)
Others	3 (6%)	3	100 %	2.30	3.10	1.67	4.4 (146%)
	54	15	28 %	4.25			12.3 (23%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Value Hunter's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
13th Mar	UFC Fight Night 187	2	-2.0	-100%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$980.00
20th Mar	UFC Fight Night 188	1	1.7	170%		$9.80	$980.00	$996.66
28th Mar	UFC 260	5	1.4	28%		$9.97	$996.66	$1,010.61
10th Apr	UFC FN	2.25	-0.0	-0%		$10.11	$1,010.61	$1,010.61
16th Apr	Bellator 257	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.11	$1,010.61	$1,000.51
17th Apr	UFC FN	2	-2.0	-100%		$10.01	$1,000.51	$980.50
24th Apr	UFC 261	2	-2.0	-100%		$9.80	$980.50	$960.89
1st May	UFC FN	2.6	1.4	55%		$9.61	$960.89	$974.58
8th May	UFC FN	1	1.2	120%		$9.75	$974.58	$986.25
15th May	UFC 262	2.89	-2.0	-71%		$9.86	$986.25	$966.13
22nd May	UFC FN	2.45	1.5	63%		$9.66	$966.13	$981.01
5th Jun	UFC FN	7.1	-2.3	-33%		$9.81	$981.01	$957.96
12th Jun	UFC 263	5.8	0.1	2%		$9.58	$957.96	$959.13
17th Jun	PFL 2021: Week 5	6.42	-6.4	-100%		$9.59	$959.13	$897.55
19th Jun	UFC FN	12.43	-8.1	-65%		$8.98	$897.55	$824.49
26th Jun	UFC FN	7	-2.7	-38%		$8.24	$824.49	$802.64
10th Jul	UFC 264	9.6	-1.4	-15%		$8.03	$802.64	$791.41
17th Jul	UFC FN	4.6	5.9	128%		$7.91	$791.41	$837.86
24th Jul	UFC FN	2	2.5	125%		$8.38	$837.86	$858.81
31st Jul	UFC FN	0.3	-0.3	-100%		$8.59	$858.81	$856.23
7th Aug	UFC 265	4	2.7	67%		$8.56	$856.23	$879.25
18th Dec	UFC FN	1	1.0	101%		$8.79	$879.25	$888.13
26th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev	1	-1.0	-100%		$8.88	$888.13	$879.25

ROI % from starting bank balance: -12.08% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Value Hunter: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jul '21	Nassourdine Imavov	Ian Heinisch	2.25	2	TKO, R2 (3:9)
2.	Jun '21	Shavkat Rakhmonov	Michel Prazeres	1.45	3	Sub, R2 (2:10)
3.	Jul '21	Gilbert Burns	Stephen Thompson	2.25	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	May '21	Giga Chikadze	Cub Swanson	1.61	2.5	TKO, R1 (1:3)
5.	Apr '21	Jack Shore	Hunter Azure	1.80	1.25	Split Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Mar '21	Jamie Mullarkey	Khama Worthy	2.20	1	TKO, R1 (0:46)
7.	Mar '21	Derek Brunson	Kevin Holland	2.70	1	U Decision (5 rounds)
8.	Mar '21	Vicente Luque	Tyron Woodley	1.40	3	Sub, R1 (3:56)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jul '21	Greg Hardy	Tai Tuivasa	2.25	1.1	TKO, R1 (1:7)	No
2.	Jul '21	Conor McGregor	Dustin Poirier	2.00	1	TKO, R1 (5:0)	No
3.	Jul '21	Niko Price	Michel Pereira	2.40	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Jul '21	Trevin Giles	Dricus Du Plessis	1.85	1.5	TKO, R2 (1:41)	No
5.	Jun '21	Alexander Volkov	Ciryl Gane	2.62	0.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
6.	Jun '21	Alexander Volkov	Ciryl Gane	2.62	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
7.	Jun '21	Alexander Volkov	Ciryl Gane	2.50	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
8.	Jun '21	Wellington Turman	Bruno Silva	2.05	1.5	TKO, R1 (4:45)	No
9.	Jun '21	Joaquim Silva	Rick Glenn	1.80	0.81	TKO, R1 (0:37)	No
10.	Jun '21	Julian Erosa	Seung Woo Choi	2.25	1.5	TKO, R1 (1:37)	No
11.	Jun '21	Matt Semelsberger	Kalinn Williams	2.35	1.25	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Jun '21	Joaquim Silva	Rick Glenn	1.80	0.67	TKO, R1 (0:37)	No
13.	Jun '21	Alexander Volkov	Ciryl Gane	2.30	1.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
14.	Jun '21	Marvin Vettori	Israel Adesanya	3.25	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
15.	Jun '21	Youssef Zalal	Sean Woodson	2.62	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Jun '21	Francisco Trinaldo	Muslim Salikhov	3.25	0.45	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Jun '21	Jake Collier	Carlos Felipe	3.40	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Jun '21	Walt Harris	Marcin Tybura	2.30	1	TKO, R1 (4:6)	No
19.	Jun '21	Luigi Vendramini	Fares Ziam	2.00	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	May '21	Shane Burgos	Edson Barboza	1.80	1.25	TKO, R3 (1:16)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Value Hunter: Progress Chart

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