MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6362
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2348

MMA Handicapper Stats: MMA PREDICTION STAR

MMA PREDICTION STAR (Arista12)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	57 (51%)	Right	24 (62%)	Right	5 (56%)	Right	28 (44%)
Wrong	55 (49%)	Wrong	15 (38%)	Wrong	4 (44%)	Wrong	36 (56%)
Avg Odds	1.84	Avg Odds	1.56	Avg Odds	1.77	Avg Odds	2.08
Units Bet	243.5	Units Bet	49.0	Units Bet	16.5	Units Bet	178.0
Avg Bet	2.17	Avg Bet	1.26	Avg Bet	1.83	Avg Bet	2.78
Units Profit	-22.23	Units Profit	-4.93	Units Profit	-4.99	Units Profit	-12.32
ROI %	-9%	ROI %	-10%	ROI %	-30%	ROI %	-7%

MMA PREDICTION STAR: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
26th Jun '21	UFC FN	17	5.8	34%	0.8 / 1 (80%)		5.0 / 16 (31%)
15th May '21	UFC 262	2	2.0	98%			2.0 / 2 (98%)
24th Apr '21	UFC 261	30.5	-24.7	-81%	-1.6 / 3 (-52%)	0.4 / 0.5 (90%)	-23.6 / 27 (-88%)
17th Apr '21	UFC FN	18	5.0	28%	0.8 / 2 (40%)	-0.2 / 2 (-10%)	4.4 / 14 (31%)
10th Apr '21	UFC FN	2	-0.4	-21%	-0.4 / 2 (-21%)
28th Mar '21	UFC 260	2.5	-0.1	-5%	-0.1 / 2.5 (-5%)
20th Mar '21	UFC Fight Night 188	4	1.1	28%			1.1 / 4 (28%)
6th Mar '21	UFC 259	14	-1.9	-14%	0.7 / 5 (13%)		-2.6 / 9 (-29%)
20th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 185	19	-8.6	-45%	-0.6 / 2 (-30%)	-0.7 / 8 (-9%)	-7.2 / 9 (-80%)
13th Feb '21	UFC 258	23.5	-12.6	-54%	-1.2 / 4 (-30%)		-11.4 / 19.5 (-59%)
6th Feb '21	UFC FN	34	-1.9	-6%	0.7 / 3 (24%)		-2.6 / 31 (-8%)
24th Jan '21	UFC 257	22	9.5	43%	-0.0 / 5 (-0%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	10.5 / 16 (66%)
20th Jan '21	UFC on ESPN 20	36.5	1.0	3%	-4.7 / 12.5 (-38%)	0.5 / 1 (50%)	5.2 / 23 (23%)
16th Jan '21	UFC FN	18.5	3.7	20%	0.7 / 7 (11%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	6.9 / 7.5 (92%)

Winning Events: 7 (50%)
Losing Events: 7 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 17.39 units
Most Staked On One Event: 36.50 units
Best Event: 9.54 units
Worst Event: -24.73 units
Average Event: -1.59 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 14.21
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -25.03

MMA PREDICTION STAR: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	243.5	-22.2	-9%	-4.9 / 49 (-10%)		-12.3 / 178 (-7%)	7 / 7 (50%)	-1.59

MMA PREDICTION STAR: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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MMA PREDICTION STAR: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	243.5	-22.2	-9%	-4.9 / 49 (-10%)	-5.0 / 16.5 (-30%)	-12.3 / 178 (-7%)

MMA PREDICTION STAR: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	22 (56%)	13	59 %	30.50	-8.31	-0.38	-27%
Slight Favorites	9 (23%)	7	78 %	10.50	2.93	0.33	28%
Slight Underdogs	7 (18%)	4	57 %	7.00	1.45	0.21	21%
Big Underdogs	1 (3%)	0	0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	6 (15%)	2	33 %	8.50	-4.34	-0.72	-51%
Co-Main Event	2 (5%)	0	0 %	5.00	-5.00	-2.50	-100%
Position 3-5	11 (28%)	7	64 %	12.50	-0.38	-0.03	-3%
6+ (Undercard)	20 (51%)	15	75 %	23.00	4.80	0.24	21%

MMA PREDICTION STAR: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	3 (8%)	2	67 %	3.50	0.26	0.09	7%
Light Heavy	4 (10%)	1	25 %	5.00	-3.20	-0.80	-64%
Middleweight	6 (15%)	3	50 %	8.00	-2.04	-0.34	-26%
Welterweight	6 (15%)	3	50 %	10.00	-5.03	-0.84	-50%
Lightweight	4 (10%)	2	50 %	4.00	-0.70	-0.17	-17%
Featherweight	6 (15%)	3	50 %	6.00	-2.04	-0.34	-34%
Bantamweight	3 (8%)	3	100 %	3.00	2.60	0.87	87%
Flyweight	2 (5%)	2	100 %	4.00	1.38	0.69	34%

Women's Fights	5 (13%)	5	100 %	5.50	3.85	0.77	70%
Bantamweight	2 (5%)	2	100 %	2.00	2.00	1.00	100%
Flyweight	2 (5%)	2	100 %	2.50	1.40	0.70	56%
Strawweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	1.00	0.45	0.45	45%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	58 (82%)	37	64 %
Slight Favorites	11 (15%)	7	64 %
Slight Underdogs	2 (3%)	2	100 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	71	46	65 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	96 (96%)	75	78 %
50-65%	3 (3%)	2	67 %
35-50%	1 (1%)	0	0 %
<35% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	100	77	77 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	87 (87%)	69	79 %	1.27	1.80	1.16	-0.1 (-0%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	4 (4%)	2	50 %	1.30	1.50	1.18	-1.2 (-31%)
Goes to Decision	6 (6%)	5	83 %	1.41	1.66	1.30	0.9 (15%)
Does not go to Decision	3 (3%)	1	33 %	1.53	2.10	1.30	-1.7 (-57%)
	100	77	77 %	1.28			-2.1 (-2%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail MMA PREDICTION STAR's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
16th Jan	UFC FN	18.5	3.7	20%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,036.79
20th Jan	UFC on ESPN 20	36.5	1.0	3%		$10.37	$1,036.79	$1,047.07
24th Jan	UFC 257	22	9.5	43%		$10.47	$1,047.07	$1,147.01
6th Feb	UFC FN	34	-1.9	-6%		$11.47	$1,147.01	$1,125.21
13th Feb	UFC 258	23.5	-12.6	-54%		$11.25	$1,125.21	$983.26
20th Feb	UFC Fight Night 185	19	-8.6	-45%		$9.83	$983.26	$898.99
6th Mar	UFC 259	14	-1.9	-14%		$8.99	$898.99	$881.56
20th Mar	UFC Fight Night 188	4	1.1	28%		$8.82	$881.56	$891.33
28th Mar	UFC 260	2.5	-0.1	-5%		$8.91	$891.33	$890.17
10th Apr	UFC FN	2	-0.4	-21%		$8.90	$890.17	$886.35
17th Apr	UFC FN	18	5.0	28%		$8.86	$886.35	$930.66
24th Apr	UFC 261	30.5	-24.7	-81%		$9.31	$930.66	$700.56
15th May	UFC 262	2	2.0	98%		$7.01	$700.56	$714.22
26th Jun	UFC FN	17	5.8	34%		$7.14	$714.22	$755.68

ROI % from starting bank balance: -24.43% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

MMA PREDICTION STAR: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jun '21	Kennedy Nzechukwu	Danilo Marques	1.80	1	TKO, R3 (0:20)
2.	Apr '21	Ariane Carnelossi	Na Liang	1.45	1	TKO, R2 (1:28)
3.	Apr '21	Robert Whittaker	Kelvin Gastelum	1.40	2	U Decision (5 rounds)
4.	Apr '21	Daniel Rodriguez	Mike Perry	1.57	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Mar '21	Miranda Maverick	Gillian Robertson	1.58	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Mar '21	Kyler Phillips	Yadong Song	2.25	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Mar '21	Dominick Cruz	Casey Kenney	2.10	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Mar '21	Islam Makhachev	Drew Dober	1.30	1	Sub, R3 (1:37)
9.	Feb '21	Tom Aspinall	Andrei Arlovski	1.40	1	Sub, R2 (1:9)
10.	Feb '21	Kelvin Gastelum	Ian Heinisch	1.44	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Feb '21	Kamaru Usman	Gilbert Burns	1.36	1	TKO, R3 (0:34)
12.	Feb '21	Beneil Dariush	Carlos Diego Ferreira	2.00	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Feb '21	Alexandre Pantoja	Manel Kape	1.72	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Jan '21	Julianna Pena	Sara McMann	2.10	1	Sub, R3 (3:39)
15.	Jan '21	Movsar Evloev	Nik Lentz	1.18	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Jan '21	Makhmud Muradov	Andrew Sanchez	1.72	1	TKO, R3 (2:59)
17.	Jan '21	Manon Fiorot	Victoria Leonardo	1.53	1	TKO, R2 (4:8)
18.	Jan '21	Su Mudaerji	Zarrukh Adashev	1.22	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Jan '21	Ricky Simon	Gaetano Pirrello	1.25	1	Sub, R2 (4:0)
20.	Jan '21	Lerone Murphy	Douglas Silva de Andrade	1.33	1	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '21	Jim Crute	Anthony Smith	1.53	1	TKO, R1 (5:0)	No
2.	Apr '21	Stefan Sekulic	Dwight Grant	2.87	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Mar '21	Stipe Miocic	Francis Ngannou	2.00	1	TKO, R2 (0:52)	No
4.	Apr '21	Sodiq Yusuff	Arnold Allen	1.66	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Mar '21	Israel Adesanya	Jan Blachowicz	1.40	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
6.	Feb '21	Charles Rosa	Darrick Minner	1.53	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Feb '21	Maki Pitolo	Julian Marquez	2.40	1	Sub, R3 (4:17)	No
8.	Feb '21	Rodolfo Vieira	Anthony Hernandez	1.25	1	Sub, R2 (1:53)	No
9.	Feb '21	Youssef Zalal	Seung Woo Choi	1.40	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Jan '21	Conor McGregor	Dustin Poirier	1.30	1	TKO, R2 (2:32)	No
11.	Jan '21	Khalil Rountree	Marcin Prachnio	1.30	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Jan '21	Mason Jones	Mike Davis	2.37	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Jan '21	Neil Magny	Michael Chiesa	1.72	1.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
14.	Jan '21	Mounir Lazzez	Warlley Alves	1.44	4	TKO, R1 (2:35)	No
15.	Jan '21	Joaquin Buckley	Alessio Di Chirico	1.35	2	TKO, R1 (2:12)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

MMA PREDICTION STAR: Progress Chart

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