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MMA Handicapper Stats: Wellsey

Wellsey (wellsmma)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Wellsey

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 24 (34%) Right 11 (61%) Right 13 (25%) Right 0 (0%)
Wrong 47 (66%) Wrong 7 (39%) Wrong 39 (75%) Wrong 1 (100%)
Avg Odds 3.26 Avg Odds 2.20 Avg Odds 3.82 Avg Odds 168.86
Units Bet 52.1 Units Bet 20.9 Units Bet 31.1 Units Bet 0.1
Avg Bet 0.73 Avg Bet 1.16 Avg Bet 0.60 Avg Bet 0.05
Units Profit 5.79 Units Profit 5.67 Units Profit 0.16 Units Profit -0.05
ROI % 11% ROI % 27% ROI % 1% ROI % -100%
View Handicapper's Profile

Wellsey : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
21st Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 188 1 0.4 44% 0.4 / 1 (44%)
6th Mar '21 UFC 259 2 1.0 50% 1.0 / 2 (50%)
28th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 186 1.25 -1.3 -100% -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 6.67 -0.8 -12% 0.4 / 4.77 (9%) -1.2 / 1.9 (-63%)
20th Feb '21 LFA 100 1.05 -1.1 -100% -1.1 / 1.05 (-100%)
14th Feb '21 UFC 258 3.92 -1.3 -33% -1.3 / 3.92 (-33%)
6th Feb '21 UFC FN 4.15 0.7 16% 1.8 / 1.2 (148%) -1.1 / 2.95 (-37%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 6.53 0.1 2% 1.3 / 4.08 (31%) -1.1 / 2.45 (-47%)
20th Jan '21 UFC on ESPN 20 4.38 0.1 2% -1.6 / 1.63 (-100%) 1.7 / 2.75 (62%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 3.15 0.0 1% 1.3 / 1 (130%) -1.3 / 2.15 (-59%)
19th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 17 17.95 7.9 44% 2.6 / 5.2 (50%) 5.3 / 12.7 (42%) -0.1 / 0.05 (-100%)


Winning Events: 7 (64%)
Losing Events: 4 (36%)

Average Staked Per Event: 4.73 units
Most Staked On One Event: 17.95 units
Best Event: 7.85 units
Worst Event: -1.30 units
Average Event: 0.53 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 8.73
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -4.39

Wellsey : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 34.1 -2.1 -6% 3.1 / 15.73 (20%) -5.1 / 18.37 (-28%) 6 / 4 (60%) -0.21
2020 17.95 7.9 44% 2.6 / 5.2 (50%) 5.3 / 12.7 (42%) -0.1 / 0.05 (-100%) 1 / 0 (100%) 7.85

Wellsey : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Wellsey : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 51 6.8 13% 6.7 / 19.88 (34%) 0.2 / 31.07 (1%) -0.1 / 0.05 (-100%)
Other 1.05 -1.1 -100% -1.1 / 1.05 (-100%)

Wellsey : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 1 (6%) 1 100 % 2.00 1.00 1.00 50%
Slight Favorites 6 (33%) 2 33 % 9.71 -3.74 -0.62 -39%
Slight Underdogs 6 (33%) 5 83 % 7.57 6.62 1.10 87%
Big Underdogs 5 (28%) 3 60 % 1.65 1.80 0.36 109%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 1 (6%) 0 0 % 1.05 -1.05 -1.05 -100%
Co-Main Event 5 (28%) 2 40 % 5.96 -2.48 -0.50 -42%
Position 3-5 4 (22%) 4 100 % 5.00 5.64 1.41 113%
6+ (Undercard) 8 (44%) 5 63 % 8.92 3.57 0.45 40%

Wellsey : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 2 (11%) 1 50 % 1.90 1.10 0.55 58%
Middleweight 2 (11%) 2 100 % 3.00 2.76 1.38 92%
Welterweight 2 (11%) 1 50 % 3.63 -0.63 -0.32 -17%
Lightweight 2 (11%) 0 % 1.58 -1.58 -0.79 -100%
Featherweight 3 (17%) 2 67 % 4.27 0.54 0.18 13%
Bantamweight 2 (11%) 1 50 % 2.70 -0.19 -0.10 -7%
Flyweight 1 (6%) 0 % 1.05 -1.05 -1.05 -100%
               
Women's Fights 4 (22%) 4 100 % 2.80 4.73 1.18 169%
Bantamweight 2 (11%) 2 100 % 1.30 1.98 0.99 152%
Flyweight 1 (6%) 1 100 % 1.00 1.38 1.38 138%
Strawweight 1 (6%) 1 100 % 0.50 1.37 1.37 275%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 2 (100%) 2 100 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
2 2 100 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 1 (2%) 1 100 %
50-65% 5 (9%) 1 20 %
35-50% 10 (19%) 3 30 %
<35% chance 37 (70%) 6 16 %
53 11 21 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (6%) 2 67 % 1.63 1.80Pick was correct 1.50Pick was correct 0.3 (10%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 7 (13%) 2 29 % 1.91 2.20Pick was incorrect 1.61Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-43%)
Does not go to Decision 1 (2%) 1 100 % 2.62 2.62Pick was correct 2.62Pick was correct 1.6 (162%)
X Wins by KO 12 (23%) 2 17 % 4.54 13.00Pick was incorrect 2.20Pick was incorrect 4.5 (38%)
X Wins by Sub 7 (13%) 0 0 % 7.81 12.00Pick was incorrect 5.50Pick was incorrect -7.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 9 (17%) 4 44 % 3.58 8.50Pick was correct 2.00Pick was incorrect 10.7 (119%)
X Wins Inside Distance 1 (2%) 0 0 % 2.50 2.50Pick was incorrect 2.50Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins in Round X 5 (9%) 0 0 % 13.32 26.00Pick was incorrect 6.00Pick was incorrect -5.0 (-100%)
Others 8 (15%) 0 0 % 10.82 21.00Pick was incorrect 7.00Pick was incorrect -8.0 (-100%)
53 11 21 % 3.94     -6.8 (-13%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Wellsey 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
19th Dec UFC Vegas 17 17.95 7.9 44% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,078.54
16th Jan UFC FN 3.15 0.0 1% $10.79 $1,078.54 $1,078.81
20th Jan UFC on ESPN 20 4.38 0.1 2% $10.79 $1,078.81 $1,079.57
24th Jan UFC 257 6.53 0.1 2% $10.80 $1,079.57 $1,080.70
6th Feb UFC FN 4.15 0.7 16% $10.81 $1,080.70 $1,088.05
14th Feb UFC 258 3.92 -1.3 -33% $10.88 $1,088.05 $1,073.91
20th Feb LFA 100 1.05 -1.1 -100% $10.74 $1,073.91 $1,062.63
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 6.67 -0.8 -12% $10.63 $1,062.63 $1,054.26
28th Feb UFC Fight Night 186 1.25 -1.3 -100% $10.54 $1,054.26 $1,041.08
6th Mar UFC 259 2 1.0 50% $10.41 $1,041.08 $1,051.49
21st Mar UFC Fight Night 188 1 0.4 44% $10.51 $1,051.49 $1,056.12


ROI % from starting bank balance: 5.61% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Wellsey : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '21 Sean Brady Jake Matthews 1.50 2 Sub, R3 (3:28) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '21 Yana Kunitskaya Ketlen Vieira 3.25 0.3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '21 Jared Gordon Danny Chavez 2.25 1.87 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '21 Seung Woo Choi Youssef Zalal 3.00 0.2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '21 Lara Fritzen Procopio Molly McCann 2.38 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '21 Marina Alcalde Rodriguez Amanda Ribas 3.75 0.5 TKO, R2 (0:54) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '21 Makhmud Muradov Andrew Sanchez 1.73 2 TKO, R3 (2:59) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '21 Punahele Soriano Dusko Todorovic 2.30 1 TKO, R1 (4:48) MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '20 Marcin Tybura Greg Hardy 2.00 1.5 TKO, R2 (4:31) MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '20 Pannie Kianzad Sijara Eubanks 2.30 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '20 Jose Aldo Marlon Vera 1.67 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Feb '21 Andrei Arlovski Tom Aspinall 3.25 0.4 Sub, R2 (1:9) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '21 Danny Chavez Jared Gordon 1.91 2.2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '21 Nate Smith Victor Altamirano 1.80 1.05 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jan '21 Matt Frevola Arman Tsarukyan 6.00 0.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '21 Daniel Hooker Michael Chandler 1.75 1.33 TKO, R1 (2:30) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '21 Mounir Lazzez Warlley Alves 1.62 1.63 TKO, R1 (2:35) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '20 Marlon Vera Jose Aldo 2.20 1.2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Wellsey : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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