MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6363
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2350

MMA Handicapper Stats: Wellsey

Wellsey (wellsmma)

MMA MHandicapper - Wellsey

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	63 (39%)	Right	26 (60%)	Right	34 (31%)	Right	3 (43%)
Wrong	97 (61%)	Wrong	17 (40%)	Wrong	76 (69%)	Wrong	4 (57%)
Avg Odds	2.85	Avg Odds	2.16	Avg Odds	3.33	Avg Odds	2.18
Units Bet	129.4	Units Bet	50.9	Units Bet	70.1	Units Bet	8.4
Avg Bet	0.81	Avg Bet	1.18	Avg Bet	0.64	Avg Bet	1.20
Units Profit	10.67	Units Profit	10.80	Units Profit	-0.21	Units Profit	0.08
ROI %	8%	ROI %	21%	ROI %	-0%	ROI %	1%

Wellsey : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
22nd Apr '23	UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes	5.77	-5.8	-100%	-1.4 / 1.37 (-100%)	-4.4 / 4.4 (-100%)
20th Aug '22	UFC 278	4	-1.2	-30%	1.7 / 0.5 (333%)	-2.9 / 3.5 (-82%)
20th Aug '22	PFL 2022 #9	1	0.5	50%		0.5 / 1 (50%)
16th Apr '22	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II	0.75	0.9	125%		0.9 / 0.75 (125%)
26th Mar '22	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus	0.5	-0.5	-100%		-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
19th Mar '22	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall	3.85	-2.2	-56%	-0.8 / 0.8 (-100%)	-1.4 / 3.05 (-44%)
12th Mar '22	Bellator 276	2.25	-2.3	-100%	-2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)
12th Mar '22	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev	6.2	0.6	10%	-0.4 / 5 (-8%)	1.0 / 1.2 (83%)
5th Mar '22	UFC 272	5.1	3.3	65%	1.0 / 1.75 (57%)	2.3 / 3.35 (69%)
26th Feb '22	UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev	2.25	1.5	67%	0.5 / 1 (50%)		1.0 / 1.25 (81%)
25th Feb '22	Bellator 275	1.13	0.5	44%	0.5 / 1.13 (44%)
19th Feb '22	Bellator 274	2	1.0	50%			1.0 / 2 (50%)
19th Feb '22	UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill	4.64	-4.6	-100%		-3.6 / 3.56 (-100%)	-1.1 / 1.08 (-100%)
12th Feb '22	UFC 271	9.16	6.6	72%	2.5 / 4.51 (56%)	5.1 / 3.65 (140%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
5th Feb '22	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland	3.8	-1.5	-41%	1.5 / 0.75 (200%)	-3.1 / 3.05 (-100%)
29th Jan '22	Bellator 273	3.05	2.0	65%	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)	2.2 / 2.8 (80%)
28th Jan '22	EFC 44	0.5	0.8	163%	0.8 / 0.5 (163%)
22nd Jan '22	UFC 270	4.25	2.2	52%		2.2 / 4.25 (52%)
15th Jan '22	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze	3	4.7	156%	4.7 / 3 (156%)
24th Sep '21	LFA 115	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
18th Sep '21	UFC FN	1.5	-1.5	-100%			-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
8th Sep '21	DWCS 2021: Week 2	2.65	-1.0	-37%	-1.0 / 2.65 (-37%)
1st Sep '21	DWCS 2021: Week 1	3	2.0	67%		2.0 / 3 (67%)
28th Aug '21	UFC FN	2	-2.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
27th Aug '21	PFL 2021 #9: Playoffs	1.5	1.0	67%	1.0 / 1.5 (67%)
27th Aug '21	LFA 114	1.5	1.7	114%			1.7 / 1.5 (114%)
20th Mar '21	UFC Fight Night 188	1	0.4	44%		0.4 / 1 (44%)
6th Mar '21	UFC 259	2	1.0	50%	1.0 / 2 (50%)
28th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 186	1.25	-1.3	-100%		-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
20th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 185	6.67	-0.8	-12%	0.4 / 4.77 (9%)	-1.2 / 1.9 (-63%)
20th Feb '21	LFA 100	1.05	-1.1	-100%	-1.1 / 1.05 (-100%)
13th Feb '21	UFC 258	3.92	-1.3	-33%		-1.3 / 3.92 (-33%)
6th Feb '21	UFC FN	4.15	0.7	16%	1.8 / 1.2 (148%)	-1.1 / 2.95 (-37%)
24th Jan '21	UFC 257	6.53	0.1	2%	1.3 / 4.08 (31%)	-1.1 / 2.45 (-47%)
20th Jan '21	UFC on ESPN 20	4.38	0.1	2%	-1.6 / 1.63 (-100%)	1.7 / 2.75 (62%)
16th Jan '21	UFC FN	3.15	0.0	1%	1.3 / 1 (130%)	-1.3 / 2.15 (-59%)
19th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 17	17.95	7.9	44%	2.6 / 5.2 (50%)	5.3 / 12.7 (42%)	-0.1 / 0.05 (-100%)

Winning Events: 22 (59%)
Losing Events: 15 (41%)

Average Staked Per Event: 3.50 units
Most Staked On One Event: 17.95 units
Best Event: 7.85 units
Worst Event: -5.77 units
Average Event: 0.29 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 9.71
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -6.98

Wellsey : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	5.77	-5.8	-100%	-1.4 / 1.37 (-100%)	-4.4 / 4.4 (-100%)		/ 1 (0%)	-5.77
2022	57.43	12.4	22%	9.5 / 21.44 (44%)	3.0 / 30.66 (10%)	-0.1 / 5.33 (-1%)	12 / 6 (67%)	0.69
2021	48.25	-3.8	-8%	0.1 / 22.88 (0%)	-4.1 / 22.37 (-18%)	0.2 / 3 (7%)	9 / 8 (53%)	-0.22
2020	17.95	7.9	44%	2.6 / 5.2 (50%)	5.3 / 12.7 (42%)	-0.1 / 0.05 (-100%)	1 / 0 (100%)	7.85

Wellsey : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Wellsey : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	107.77	7.4	7%	15.0 / 39.56 (38%)	-5.0 / 63.33 (-8%)	-2.6 / 4.88 (-54%)
Bellator	8.43	1.2	15%	-2.0 / 3.63 (-55%)	2.2 / 2.8 (80%)	1.0 / 2 (50%)
PFL	2.5	1.5	60%	1.0 / 1.5 (67%)	0.5 / 1 (50%)
Other	10.7	0.5	5%	-3.2 / 6.2 (-52%)	2.0 / 3 (67%)	1.7 / 1.5 (114%)

Wellsey : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	5 (11%)	4	80 %	8.38	0.75	0.15	9%
Slight Favorites	12 (27%)	7	58 %	18.34	-0.60	-0.05	-3%
Slight Underdogs	14 (31%)	8	57 %	16.37	5.91	0.42	36%
Big Underdogs	14 (31%)	7	50 %	7.80	4.74	0.34	61%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	8 (18%)	2	25 %	8.92	-3.42	-0.43	-38%
Co-Main Event	8 (18%)	4	50 %	9.01	-1.46	-0.18	-16%
Position 3-5	11 (24%)	7	64 %	12.03	4.43	0.40	37%
6+ (Undercard)	18 (40%)	13	72 %	20.93	11.26	0.63	54%

Wellsey : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	4 (9%)	2	50 %	3.77	1.39	0.35	37%
Light Heavy	2 (4%)	2	100 %	2.88	1.50	0.75	52%
Middleweight	7 (16%)	6	86 %	10.63	6.27	0.90	59%
Welterweight	4 (9%)	1	25 %	4.38	-1.38	-0.35	-32%
Lightweight	4 (9%)	2	50 %	4.33	-0.08	-0.02	-2%
Featherweight	11 (24%)	5	45 %	12.57	-0.16	-0.01	-1%
Bantamweight	8 (18%)	4	50 %	8.48	-0.42	-0.05	-5%
Flyweight	1 (2%)		0 %	1.05	-1.05	-1.05	-100%

Women's Fights	4 (9%)	4	100 %	2.80	4.73	1.18	169%
Bantamweight	2 (4%)	2	100 %	1.30	1.98	0.99	152%
Flyweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.00	1.38	1.38	138%
Strawweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	0.50	1.37	1.37	275%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	11 (92%)	9	82 %
Slight Favorites	1 (8%)	1	100 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	12	10	83 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	6 (5%)	4	67 %
50-65%	15 (13%)	5	33 %
35-50%	27 (24%)	14	52 %
<35% chance	65 (58%)	10	15 %
	113	33	29 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	8 (7%)	5	63 %	1.81	2.25	1.50	1.5 (19%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	9 (8%)	4	44 %	1.89	2.20	1.61	-1.3 (-15%)
Does not go to Decision	2 (2%)	2	100 %	1.76	2.62	1.33	1.9 (97%)
X Wins by KO	15 (13%)	2	13 %	4.91	15.00	2.20	1.5 (10%)
X Wins by Sub	16 (14%)	2	13 %	5.45	12.00	1.91	-3.0 (-19%)
X Wins by Decision	15 (13%)	9	60 %	3.11	8.50	2.00	17.6 (117%)
X Wins Inside Distance	9 (8%)	3	33 %	2.63	5.00	1.73	-2.2 (-25%)
X Wins in Round X	10 (9%)	0	0 %	9.73	26.00	2.20	-10.0 (-100%)
Others	29 (26%)	6	21 %	3.31	34.00	1.44	-17.2 (-59%)
	113	33	29 %	3.29			-11.3 (-10%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Wellsey 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
19th Dec	UFC Vegas 17	17.95	7.9	44%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,078.54
16th Jan	UFC FN	3.15	0.0	1%		$10.79	$1,078.54	$1,078.81
20th Jan	UFC on ESPN 20	4.38	0.1	2%		$10.79	$1,078.81	$1,079.57
24th Jan	UFC 257	6.53	0.1	2%		$10.80	$1,079.57	$1,080.70
6th Feb	UFC FN	4.15	0.7	16%		$10.81	$1,080.70	$1,088.05
13th Feb	UFC 258	3.92	-1.3	-33%		$10.88	$1,088.05	$1,073.91
20th Feb	LFA 100	1.05	-1.1	-100%		$10.74	$1,073.91	$1,062.63
20th Feb	UFC Fight Night 185	6.67	-0.8	-12%		$10.63	$1,062.63	$1,054.26
28th Feb	UFC Fight Night 186	1.25	-1.3	-100%		$10.54	$1,054.26	$1,041.08
6th Mar	UFC 259	2	1.0	50%		$10.41	$1,041.08	$1,051.49
20th Mar	UFC Fight Night 188	1	0.4	44%		$10.51	$1,051.49	$1,056.12
27th Aug	LFA 114	1.5	1.7	114%	$4	$10.56	$1,056.12	$1,070.10
27th Aug	PFL 2021 #9: Playoffs	1.5	1.0	67%	$4	$10.70	$1,070.10	$1,076.81
28th Aug	UFC FN	2	-2.0	-100%		$10.77	$1,076.81	$1,055.27
1st Sep	DWCS 2021: Week 1	3	2.0	67%		$10.55	$1,055.27	$1,076.48
8th Sep	DWCS 2021: Week 2	2.65	-1.0	-37%		$10.76	$1,076.48	$1,066.04
18th Sep	UFC FN	1.5	-1.5	-100%		$10.66	$1,066.04	$1,050.05
24th Sep	LFA 115	2	-2.0	-100%		$10.50	$1,050.05	$1,029.05
15th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze	3	4.7	156%		$10.29	$1,029.05	$1,077.21
22nd Jan	UFC 270	4.25	2.2	52%		$10.77	$1,077.21	$1,101.23
28th Jan	EFC 44	0.5	0.8	163%		$11.01	$1,101.23	$1,110.20
29th Jan	Bellator 273	3.05	2.0	65%		$11.10	$1,110.20	$1,132.30
5th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland	3.8	-1.5	-41%		$11.32	$1,132.30	$1,114.75
12th Feb	UFC 271	9.16	6.6	72%	$4	$11.15	$1,114.75	$1,184.62
19th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill	4.64	-4.6	-100%		$11.85	$1,184.62	$1,129.66
19th Feb	Bellator 274	2	1.0	50%		$11.30	$1,129.66	$1,140.95
25th Feb	Bellator 275	1.13	0.5	44%		$11.41	$1,140.95	$1,146.62
26th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev	2.25	1.5	67%		$11.47	$1,146.62	$1,163.91
5th Mar	UFC 272	5.1	3.3	65%		$11.64	$1,163.91	$1,202.61
12th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev	6.2	0.6	10%		$12.03	$1,202.61	$1,209.83
12th Mar	Bellator 276	2.25	-2.3	-100%		$12.10	$1,209.83	$1,182.61
19th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall	3.85	-2.2	-56%		$11.83	$1,182.61	$1,157.18
26th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$11.57	$1,157.18	$1,151.39
16th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II	0.75	0.9	125%		$11.51	$1,151.39	$1,162.19
20th Aug	PFL 2022 #9	1	0.5	50%		$11.62	$1,162.19	$1,168.00
20th Aug	UFC 278	4	-1.2	-30%		$11.68	$1,168.00	$1,153.87
22nd Apr	UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes	5.77	-5.8	-100%		$11.54	$1,153.87	$1,087.29

ROI % from starting bank balance: 8.73% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Wellsey : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Aug '22	Marcin Tybura	Alexander Romanov	4.33	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Mar '22	Damon Jackson	Kamuela Kirk	2.10	1	Sub, R2 (4:42)
3.	Mar '22	Alex Pereira	Bruno Silva	1.67	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Mar '22	Rafael dos Anjos	Renato Moicano	1.57	1.75	U Decision (5 rounds)
5.	Feb '22	Brett Johns	Khurshed Kakhorov	1.44	1.13	TKO, R3 (3:0)
6.	Feb '22	Arman Tsarukyan	Joel Alvarez	1.50	1	TKO, R2 (1:57)
7.	Feb '22	Maxim Grishin	William Knight	1.57	0.88	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Feb '22	Jared Cannonier	Derek Brunson	1.62	1.63	TKO, R2 (4:29)
9.	Feb '22	Carlos Ulberg	Fabio Cherant	1.50	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Feb '22	John Castaneda	Miles Johns	3.00	0.75	Sub, R3 (1:38)
11.	Jan '22	Rashad Evans	Gabriel Checco	2.63	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Jan '22	Jamie Pickett	Joseph Holmes	2.34	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Jan '22	Calvin Kattar	Giga Chikadze	3.00	1	U Decision (5 rounds)
14.	Sep '21	Chad Anheliger	Muin Gafurov	4.20	0.4	Split Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Aug '21	Movlid Khaybulaev	Brendan Loughnane	1.67	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Mar '21	Sean Brady	Jake Matthews	1.50	2	Sub, R3 (3:28)
17.	Feb '21	Yana Santos	Ketlen Vieira	3.25	0.3	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Feb '21	Jared Gordon	Danny Chavez	2.25	1.87	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Feb '21	Seung Woo Choi	Youssef Zalal	3.00	0.2	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Feb '21	Lara Fritzen Procopio	Molly McCann	2.38	1	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '23	Curtis Blaydes	Sergey Pavlovich	1.73	1.37	TKO, R1 (3:8)	No
2.	Mar '22	Daniel Hooker	Arnold Allen	2.00	0.8	TKO, R1 (2:33)	No
3.	Mar '22	Mads Burnell	Adam Borics	1.44	2.25	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
4.	Mar '22	Alex Caceres	Sodiq Yusuff	3.40	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Mar '22	Karl Roberson	Khalil Rountree	2.10	2	TKO, R2 (0:25)	No
6.	Jan '22	Ben Lugo	Lucas Brennan	8.00	0.25	Sub, R1 (2:27)	No
7.	Sep '21	Braden Pagaoa	Miguel Sanson	3.10	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Sep '21	Logan Urban	Josh Quinlan	3.60	0.35	TKO, R1 (0:47)	No
9.	Sep '21	Jose Alday	Saimon Oliveira	2.63	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Sep '21	Logan Urban	Josh Quinlan	3.60	0.4	TKO, R1 (0:47)	No
11.	Sep '21	Jose Alday	Saimon Oliveira	2.63	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Aug '21	Edson Barboza	Giga Chikadze	2.00	1	TKO, R3 (1:44)	No
13.	Feb '21	Andrei Arlovski	Tom Aspinall	3.25	0.4	Sub, R2 (1:9)	No
14.	Feb '21	Danny Chavez	Jared Gordon	1.91	2.2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Feb '21	Nate Smith	Victor Altamirano	1.80	1.05	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
16.	Jan '21	Matt Frevola	Arman Tsarukyan	6.00	0.25	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Jan '21	Daniel Hooker	Michael Chandler	1.75	1.33	TKO, R1 (2:30)	No
18.	Jan '21	Mounir Lazzez	Warlley Alves	1.62	1.63	TKO, R1 (2:35)	No
19.	Dec '20	Marlon Vera	Jose Aldo	2.20	1.2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Wellsey : Progress Chart

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