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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 3282
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 1261

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Tren Replaces Test

Tren Replaces Test (TRT)


MMA MHandicapper - Tren Replaces Test

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 25 (58%) Right 18 (58%) Right 7 (58%) Right 0 (nan%)
Wrong 18 (42%) Wrong 13 (42%) Wrong 5 (42%) Wrong 0 (nan%)
Avg Odds 1.79 Avg Odds 1.86 Avg Odds 1.62 Avg Odds nan
Units Bet 319.1 Units Bet 223.5 Units Bet 95.6 Units Bet 0.0
Avg Bet 7.42 Avg Bet 7.21 Avg Bet 7.96 Avg Bet nan
Units Profit 7.35 Units Profit -3.39 Units Profit 10.74 Units Profit 0.00
ROI % 2% ROI % -2% ROI % 11% ROI % nan%
View Handicapper's Profile

Tren Replaces Test: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
8th May '21 UFC FN 22.5 -2.5 -11% -2.5 / 22.5 (-11%)
1st May '21 UFC FN 27 9.3 35% 11.0 / 20 (55%) -1.7 / 7 (-24%)
17th Apr '21 UFC FN 27.5 -3.6 -13% -8.5 / 16.5 (-52%) 4.9 / 11 (45%)
10th Apr '21 UFC FN 35.5 22.4 63% 14.2 / 24.5 (58%) 8.1 / 11 (74%)
21st Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 188 20 17.9 90% 13.7 / 9 (153%) 4.2 / 11 (38%)
13th Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 187 24 -3.9 -16% -13.0 / 13 (-100%) 9.1 / 11 (83%)
6th Mar '21 UFC 259 44 -1.2 -3% -9.8 / 22 (-44%) 8.6 / 22 (39%)
28th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 186 13 2.6 20% 3.6 / 12 (30%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 28 -28.0 -100% -17.0 / 17 (-100%) -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
14th Feb '21 UFC 258 6 2.9 49% 2.9 / 6 (49%)
6th Feb '21 UFC FN 17 15.5 91% 15.5 / 17 (91%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 2 6.2 310% 6.2 / 2 (310%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 9 -9.0 -100% -9.0 / 9 (-100%)
19th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 17 27 -4.8 -18% 0.2 / 22 (1%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
13th Dec '20 UFC 256 16.55 -16.6 -100% -11.0 / 11 (-100%) -5.6 / 5.55 (-100%)


Winning Events: 7 (47%)
Losing Events: 8 (53%)

Average Staked Per Event: 21.27 units
Most Staked On One Event: 44.00 units
Best Event: 22.36 units
Worst Event: -28.00 units
Average Event: 0.49 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 40.27
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -30.33

Tren Replaces Test: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 275.5 28.7 10% 7.4 / 190.5 (4%) 21.3 / 85 (25%) 7 / 6 (54%) 2.21
2020 43.55 -21.3 -49% -10.8 / 33 (-33%) -10.6 / 10.55 (-100%) / 2 (0%) -10.67

Tren Replaces Test: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Tren Replaces Test: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 319.05 7.3 2% -3.4 / 223.5 (-2%) 10.7 / 95.55 (11%)

Tren Replaces Test: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 11 (34%) 7 64 % 96.50 -20.38 -1.85 -21%
Slight Favorites 8 (25%) 6 75 % 71.50 16.66 2.08 23%
Slight Underdogs 7 (22%) 3 43 % 45.00 -6.61 -0.94 -15%
Big Underdogs 6 (19%) 3 50 % 10.50 6.93 1.16 66%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 4 (13%) 2 50 % 29.00 -7.15 -1.79 -25%
Co-Main Event 2 (6%) 2 100 % 22.00 5.83 2.91 26%
Position 3-5 14 (44%) 9 64 % 99.00 22.32 1.59 23%
6+ (Undercard) 12 (38%) 6 50 % 73.50 -24.39 -2.03 -33%

Tren Replaces Test: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 6 (19%) 3 50 % 44.00 -7.49 -1.25 -17%
Light Heavy 2 (6%) 1 50 % 22.00 -6.38 -3.19 -29%
Middleweight 8 (25%) 4 50 % 59.50 -2.48 -0.31 -4%
Welterweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 4.50 4.10 4.10 91%
Lightweight 2 (6%) 1 50 % 3.00 5.20 2.60 173%
Featherweight 5 (16%) 2 40 % 26.00 -20.45 -4.09 -79%
Bantamweight 4 (13%) 3 75 % 35.50 5.26 1.32 15%
Flyweight 3 (9%) 3 100 % 18.00 17.64 5.88 98%
               
Women's Fights 1 (3%) 1 100 % 11.00 1.21 1.21 11%
Featherweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 11.00 1.21 1.21 11%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
0 0 nan %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 5 (42%) 4 80 %
50-65% 5 (42%) 3 60 %
35-50% 2 (17%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
12 7 58 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (25%) 2 67 % 1.65 1.77Pick was correct 1.52Pick was correct 0.3 (10%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (17%) 1 50 % 2.20 2.75Pick was incorrect 1.83Pick was correct -0.2 (-9%)
Goes to Decision 2 (17%) 2 100 % 1.58 1.74Pick was correct 1.45Pick was correct 1.2 (59%)
Does not go to Decision 5 (42%) 2 40 % 1.47 2.00Pick was incorrect 1.26Pick was correct -2.4 (-47%)
12 7 58 % 1.62     -1.0 (-9%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Tren Replaces Test's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
13th Dec UFC 256 16.55 -16.6 -100% $5 $10.00 $1,000.00 $829.50
19th Dec UFC Vegas 17 27 -4.8 -18% $5 $8.30 $829.50 $784.85
16th Jan UFC FN 9 -9.0 -100% $5 $7.85 $784.85 $709.21
24th Jan UFC 257 2 6.2 310% $5 $7.09 $709.21 $748.19
6th Feb UFC FN 17 15.5 91% $5 $7.48 $748.19 $858.93
14th Feb UFC 258 6 2.9 49% $5 $8.59 $858.93 $879.18
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 28 -28.0 -100% $5 $8.79 $879.18 $628.01
28th Feb UFC Fight Night 186 13 2.6 20% $5 $6.28 $628.01 $639.46
6th Mar UFC 259 44 -1.2 -3% $5 $6.39 $639.46 $626.73
13th Mar UFC Fight Night 187 24 -3.9 -16% $5 $6.27 $626.73 $597.47
21st Mar UFC Fight Night 188 20 17.9 90% $5 $5.97 $597.47 $699.48
10th Apr UFC FN 35.5 22.4 63% $5 $6.99 $699.48 $850.88
17th Apr UFC FN 27.5 -3.6 -13% $5 $8.51 $850.88 $815.46
1st May UFC FN 27 9.3 35% $5 $8.15 $815.46 $886.54
8th May UFC FN 22.5 -2.5 -11% $5 $8.87 $886.54 $859.42


ROI % from starting bank balance: -14.06% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Tren Replaces Test: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. May '21 Marcos Rogerio de Lima Maurice Greene 1.63 7 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. May '21 Paid Pick Carlston Harris Christian Aguilera 1.91 4.5 Sub, R1 (2:52) MMA Bookmaker
3. May '21 Sean Strickland Krzysztof Jotko 1.50 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. May '21 Paid Pick Merab Dvalishvili Cody Stamann 1.50 8 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. May '21 Paid Pick T.J. Brown Kai Kamaka 2.52 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '21 Tony Gravely Anthony Birchak 1.45 5.5 TKO, R2 (1:31) MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '21 Julian Marquez Sam Alvey 1.63 11 Sub, R2 (2:7) MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '21 Paid Pick Jack Shore Hunter Azure 1.89 11 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '21 Paid Pick Bruno Silva J.P. Buys 3.10 2 TKO, R2 (2:56) MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '21 Paid Pick Tai Tuivasa Harry Hunsucker 1.44 2 TKO, R1 (0:49) MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '21 Paid Pick Derek Brunson Kevin Holland 2.73 5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '21 Magomed Ankalaev Nikita Krylov 1.42 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '21 Amanda Nunes Megan Anderson 1.11 11 Sub, R1 (2:3) MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '21 Paid Pick Kelvin Gastelum Ian Heinisch 1.49 6 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '21 Paid Pick Seung Woo Choi Youssef Zalal 3.03 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '21 Paid Pick Alexandre Pantoja Manel Kape 1.84 9 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '21 Paid Pick Alexandre Pantoja Manel Kape 1.84 7 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jan '21 Paid Pick Dustin Poirier Conor McGregor 4.10 2 TKO, R2 (2:32) MMA Bookmaker
19. Dec '20 Paid Pick Marcin Tybura Greg Hardy 2.02 11 TKO, R2 (4:31) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. May '21 Paid Pick Ludovit Klein Mike Trizano 1.67 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '21 Paid Pick Juan Espino Alexander Romanov 2.35 11 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '21 Paid Pick Sasha Palatnikov Impa Kasanganay 3.50 2.5 Sub, R2 (0:26) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '21 Paid Pick Gavin Tucker Dan Ige 2.42 2 TKO, R1 (0:22) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '21 Paid Pick Jonathan Martinez Davey Grant 1.53 11 TKO, R2 (3:3) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '21 Paid Pick Kevin Croom Alex Caceres 3.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '21 Curtis Blaydes Derrick Lewis 1.40 11 TKO, R2 (1:26) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '21 Paid Pick Andrei Arlovski Tom Aspinall 4.10 2 Sub, R2 (1:9) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '21 Paid Pick Israel Adesanya Jan Blachowicz 1.40 11 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '21 Paid Pick Nassourdine Imavov Phil Hawes 2.01 4 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jan '21 Paid Pick Joaquin Buckley Alessio Di Chirico 1.40 9 TKO, R1 (2:12) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '20 Paid Pick Antonio Arroyo Deron Winn 1.72 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '20 Paid Pick Billy Quarantillo Gavin Tucker 2.00 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Tren Replaces Test: Progress Chart

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