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MMA Handicapper Stats: Roberto

Roberto (rvargas7)
Mixed Martial Arts Management - Roberto

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 58 (55%) Right 11 (55%) Right 18 (45%) Right 29 (63%)
Wrong 48 (45%) Wrong 9 (45%) Wrong 22 (55%) Wrong 17 (37%)
Avg Odds 1.91 Avg Odds 1.81 Avg Odds 2.08 Avg Odds 1.83
Units Bet 249.0 Units Bet 40.6 Units Bet 68.8 Units Bet 139.6
Avg Bet 2.35 Avg Bet 2.03 Avg Bet 1.72 Avg Bet 3.04
Units Profit 14.95 Units Profit 1.85 Units Profit -4.27 Units Profit 17.37
ROI % 6% ROI % 5% ROI % -6% ROI % 12%
View Handicapper's Profile

Roberto: Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
17th Nov '23 Bellator 301 3.5 -3.5 -100% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
7th Oct '23 UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green 5 2.5 49% 2.5 / 5 (49%)
16th Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 5 2.0 40% 2.0 / 5 (40%)
25th Nov '22 PFL 2022 #10 3 1.5 51% 1.5 / 3 (51%)
10th Sep '22 UFC 279 3 3.2 106% 3.2 / 3 (106%)
9th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 3 1.2 40% 1.2 / 3 (40%)
2nd Jul '22 UFC 276 1.6 2.0 125% 2.0 / 1.6 (125%)
25th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
24th Jun '22 Bellator 282 1.6 1.0 65% 1.0 / 1.6 (65%)
24th Jun '22 PFL 2022 #5 7 -7.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
17th Jun '22 PFL 2022 #4 3 2.8 93% 2.8 / 3 (93%)
11th Jun '22 UFC 275 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
4th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 4 2.5 63% 2.5 / 4 (63%)
13th May '22 Bellator 281 8 3.2 40% 3.2 / 8 (40%)
7th May '22 UFC 274 1 3.0 300% 3.0 / 1 (300%)
13th Nov '21 UFC FN 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
6th Nov '21 UFC 268 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
3rd Nov '21 DWCS 2021: Week 10 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
30th Oct '21 UFC 267 7 3.7 53% 3.7 / 7 (53%)
27th Oct '21 PFL 2021 #10: Championships 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
23rd Oct '21 UFC FN 2 1.1 55% 1.1 / 2 (55%)
23rd Oct '21 Bellator 269 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
16th Oct '21 UFC FN 2 1.2 62% 1.2 / 2 (62%)
9th Oct '21 UFC FN 0.7 1.1 160% 1.1 / 0.7 (160%)
2nd Oct '21 UFC FN 2.6 2.0 77% 2.0 / 2.6 (77%)
25th Sep '21 UFC 266 3 2.0 66% 2.0 / 3 (66%)
4th Sep '21 UFC FN 4 2.7 67% 2.7 / 4 (67%)
28th Aug '21 UFC FN 6.35 -6.4 -100% -3.3 / 3.25 (-100%) -3.1 / 3.1 (-100%)
21st Aug '21 UFC FN 2 1.1 57% 1.1 / 2 (57%)
7th Aug '21 UFC 265 7.6 1.7 23% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 2.7 / 6.6 (41%)
31st Jul '21 Bellator 263 0.5 0.5 100% 0.5 / 0.5 (100%)
31st Jul '21 UFC FN 2.7 -2.7 -100% -2.7 / 2.7 (-100%)
24th Jul '21 UFC FN 5.5 -2.4 -44% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 1.6 / 1.5 (107%)
17th Jul '21 UFC FN 4.3 2.1 49% 0.1 / 1.8 (7%) 2.0 / 2.5 (80%)
16th Jul '21 LFA 111 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
10th Jul '21 UFC 264 6.5 3.6 56% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 4.1 / 6 (69%)
26th Jun '21 UFC FN 7.5 4.5 61% 4.5 / 7.5 (61%)
25th Jun '21 PFL 2021: Week 6 1.5 1.0 67% 1.0 / 1.5 (67%)
17th Jun '21 PFL 2021: Week 5 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
12th Jun '21 UFC 263 3.8 0.8 20% -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%) 2.0 / 2.55 (79%)
11th Jun '21 Bellator 260 1 1.2 120% 1.2 / 1 (120%)
10th Jun '21 PFL 2021: Week 4 2 2.0 100% 2.0 / 2 (100%)
5th Jun '21 UFC FN 2 0.7 36% 0.7 / 2 (36%)
22nd May '21 UFC FN 7.65 3.8 50% 3.8 / 7.65 (50%)
15th May '21 UFC 262 5.11 1.7 33% 1.7 / 5.11 (33%)
8th May '21 UFC FN 3.5 1.6 46% 1.6 / 3.5 (46%)
1st May '21 UFC FN 6 2.5 42% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 3.5 / 5 (70%)
24th Apr '21 UFC 261 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
17th Apr '21 UFC FN 3.5 3.0 86% 3.0 / 3.5 (86%)
10th Apr '21 UFC FN 4.3 -4.3 -100% -2.3 / 2.3 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
9th Apr '21 Bellator 256 4 0.7 17% 0.7 / 4 (17%)
2nd Apr '21 Bellator 255 6 1.5 25% 1.5 / 6 (25%)
28th Mar '21 UFC 260 3 4.1 137% 1.5 / 1 (150%) 2.6 / 2 (130%)
20th Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 188 6 2.5 42% 1.5 / 1 (150%) 1.0 / 5 (20%)
13th Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 187 4.5 -4.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
6th Mar '21 UFC 259 6.9 -0.5 -7% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 0.5 / 5.9 (9%)
28th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 186 5.3 3.5 66% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 4.5 / 4.3 (104%)
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 5.2 -5.2 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.7 / 1.7 (-100%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
13th Feb '21 UFC 258 9.2 3.0 33% -1.0 / 4 (-25%) 4.0 / 5.2 (77%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 11.86 -8.4 -71% 1.0 / 1.33 (75%) -1.6 / 2.71 (-57%) -7.8 / 7.82 (-100%)
20th Jan '21 UFC on ESPN 20 4.26 -2.5 -58% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 0.5 / 1.26 (43%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 4.5 1.1 25% 2.6 / 3 (87%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)


Winning Events: 41 (66%)
Losing Events: 21 (34%)

Average Staked Per Event: 4.02 units
Most Staked On One Event: 11.86 units
Best Event: 4.54 units
Worst Event: -8.37 units
Average Event: 0.24 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 8, Units: 14.31
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -10.83

Roberto: Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2023 13.5 1.0 7% 4.5 / 10 (45%) 2 / 1 (67%) 0.33
2022 39.2 9.4 24% 5.4 / 12.6 (43%) -1.0 / 13 (-8%) 9 / 3 (75%) 0.79
2021 196.33 4.5 2% -3.6 / 27.99 (-13%) 13.9 / 116.62 (12%) 30 / 17 (64%) 0.10

Roberto: Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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Roberto: Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 193.93 24.0 12% -2.1 / 27.49 (-8%) -1.0 / 53.82 (-2%) 27.1 / 112.62 (24%)
Bellator 26.6 2.6 10% 3.9 / 13.1 (30%) -2.8 / 7.5 (-38%) 1.5 / 6 (25%)
PFL 24.5 -7.7 -31% -0.5 / 7.5 (-6%) -7.2 / 17 (-42%)
Other 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)

Roberto: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 3 (15%) 2 67 % 14.00 1.40 0.47 10%
Slight Favorites 11 (55%) 5 45 % 21.39 -1.87 -0.17 -9%
Slight Underdogs 6 (30%) 4 67 % 5.20 2.32 0.39 45%
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 6 (30%) 4 67 % 13.50 3.40 0.57 25%
Co-Main Event 3 (15%) 1 33 % 8.50 -1.70 -0.57 -20%
Position 3-5 7 (35%) 5 71 % 12.23 3.37 0.48 28%
6+ (Undercard) 4 (20%) 1 25 % 6.36 -3.22 -0.80 -51%

Roberto: Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 1 (5%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
Light Heavy 2 (10%) 0 % 2.50 -2.50 -1.25 -100%
Middleweight 5 (25%) 2 40 % 6.44 -1.61 -0.32 -25%
Welterweight 4 (20%) 3 75 % 14.60 3.40 0.85 23%
Lightweight 2 (10%) 1 50 % 5.25 1.55 0.77 30%
Featherweight 1 (5%) 1 100 % 0.50 0.50 0.50 100%
Bantamweight 3 (15%) 3 100 % 6.60 3.38 1.13 51%
               
Women's Fights 2 (10%) 1 50 % 2.70 -0.88 -0.44 -33%
Flyweight 2 (10%) 1 50 % 2.70 -0.88 -0.44 -33%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 72 (97%) 55 76 %
Slight Favorites 2 (3%) 2 100 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
74 57 77 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 42 (55%) 35 83 %
50-65% 12 (16%) 9 75 %
35-50% 17 (22%) 5 29 %
<35% chance 6 (8%) 1 17 %
77 50 65 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 16 (21%) 14 88 % 1.42 1.73Pick was incorrect 1.24Pick was correct 3.6 (22%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (4%) 2 67 % 1.37 1.67Pick was correct 1.20Pick was correct -0.1 (-4%)
Goes to Decision 11 (14%) 8 73 % 1.45 2.25Pick was correct 1.28Pick was correct 1.2 (11%)
Does not go to Decision 1 (1%) 0 0 % 1.40 1.40Pick was incorrect 1.40Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Fight Starts Round X 4 (5%) 4 100 % 1.27 1.31Pick was correct 1.20Pick was incorrect 1.1 (27%)
X Wins by KO 1 (1%) 0 0 % 2.70 2.70Pick was incorrect 2.70Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Does NOT Win by KO 1 (1%) 1 100 % 1.09 1.09Pick was correct 1.09Pick was correct 0.1 (9%)
X Wins by Sub 3 (4%) 0 0 % 2.13 2.20Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
X Does NOT Win by Sub 2 (3%) 2 100 % 1.09 1.10Pick was correct 1.09Pick was correct 0.2 (10%)
X Wins by Decision 17 (22%) 6 35 % 2.49 6.00Pick was incorrect 1.67Pick was correct -2.9 (-17%)
X Wins Inside Distance 3 (4%) 3 100 % 1.65 2.40Pick was correct 1.31Pick was correct 2.3 (76%)
X Does NOT Win Inside Distance 7 (9%) 7 100 % 1.14 1.27Pick was correct 1.09Pick was correct 1.0 (14%)
X Wins in Round X 1 (1%) 0 0 % 2.00 2.00Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Others 7 (9%) 3 43 % 1.64 2.20Pick was incorrect 1.41Pick was correct -1.4 (-20%)
77 50 65 % 1.57     -1.1 (-1%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Roberto's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
16th Jan UFC FN 4.5 1.1 25% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,011.20
20th Jan UFC on ESPN 20 4.26 -2.5 -58% $10.11 $1,011.20 $986.32
24th Jan UFC 257 11.86 -8.4 -71% $9.86 $986.32 $903.74
13th Feb UFC 258 9.2 3.0 33% $5 $9.04 $903.74 $926.05
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 5.2 -5.2 -100% $9.26 $926.05 $877.90
28th Feb UFC Fight Night 186 5.3 3.5 66% $8.78 $877.90 $908.51
6th Mar UFC 259 6.9 -0.5 -7% $9.09 $908.51 $904.20
13th Mar UFC Fight Night 187 4.5 -4.5 -100% $9.04 $904.20 $863.51
20th Mar UFC Fight Night 188 6 2.5 42% $8.64 $863.51 $885.10
28th Mar UFC 260 3 4.1 137% $8.85 $885.10 $921.47
2nd Apr Bellator 255 6 1.5 25% $9.21 $921.47 $935.29
9th Apr Bellator 256 4 0.7 17% $9.35 $935.29 $941.65
10th Apr UFC FN 4.3 -4.3 -100% $9.42 $941.65 $901.16
17th Apr UFC FN 3.5 3.0 86% $9.01 $901.16 $928.35
24th Apr UFC 261 3 -3.0 -100% $9.28 $928.35 $900.50
1st May UFC FN 6 2.5 42% $9.01 $900.50 $923.01
8th May UFC FN 3.5 1.6 46% $9.23 $923.01 $937.88
15th May UFC 262 5.11 1.7 33% $9.38 $937.88 $953.73
22nd May UFC FN 7.65 3.8 50% $9.54 $953.73 $990.14
5th Jun UFC FN 2 0.7 36% $9.90 $990.14 $997.27
10th Jun PFL 2021: Week 4 2 2.0 100% $9.97 $997.27 $1,017.20
11th Jun Bellator 260 1 1.2 120% $10.17 $1,017.20 $1,029.41
12th Jun UFC 263 3.8 0.8 20% $10.29 $1,029.41 $1,037.38
17th Jun PFL 2021: Week 5 5 -5.0 -100% $10.37 $1,037.38 $985.51
25th Jun PFL 2021: Week 6 1.5 1.0 67% $9.86 $985.51 $995.42
26th Jun UFC FN 7.5 4.5 61% $9.95 $995.42 $1,040.63
10th Jul UFC 264 6.5 3.6 56% $10.41 $1,040.63 $1,078.45
16th Jul LFA 111 2.5 -2.5 -100% $10.78 $1,078.45 $1,051.49
17th Jul UFC FN 4.3 2.1 49% $10.51 $1,051.49 $1,073.68
24th Jul UFC FN 5.5 -2.4 -44% $10.74 $1,073.68 $1,047.92
31st Jul UFC FN 2.7 -2.7 -100% $10.48 $1,047.92 $1,019.62
31st Jul Bellator 263 0.5 0.5 100% $10.20 $1,019.62 $1,024.72
7th Aug UFC 265 7.6 1.7 23% $10.25 $1,024.72 $1,042.36
21st Aug UFC FN 2 1.1 57% $10.42 $1,042.36 $1,054.24
28th Aug UFC FN 6.35 -6.4 -100% $10.54 $1,054.24 $987.30
4th Sep UFC FN 4 2.7 67% $9.87 $987.30 $1,013.91
25th Sep UFC 266 3 2.0 66% $10.14 $1,013.91 $1,033.99
2nd Oct UFC FN 2.6 2.0 77% $10.34 $1,033.99 $1,054.69
9th Oct UFC FN 0.7 1.1 160% $10.55 $1,054.69 $1,066.50
16th Oct UFC FN 2 1.2 62% $10.67 $1,066.50 $1,079.73
23rd Oct Bellator 269 2 -2.0 -100% $10.80 $1,079.73 $1,058.13
23rd Oct UFC FN 2 1.1 55% $10.58 $1,058.13 $1,069.79
27th Oct PFL 2021 #10: Championships 3 -3.0 -100% $10.70 $1,069.79 $1,037.70
30th Oct UFC 267 7 3.7 53% $10.38 $1,037.70 $1,076.49
3rd Nov DWCS 2021: Week 10 1.5 -1.5 -100% $10.76 $1,076.49 $1,060.34
6th Nov UFC 268 1 -1.0 -100% $10.60 $1,060.34 $1,049.74
13th Nov UFC FN 3 -3.0 -100% $10.50 $1,049.74 $1,018.25
7th May UFC 274 1 3.0 300% $10.18 $1,018.25 $1,048.79
13th May Bellator 281 8 3.2 40% $10.49 $1,048.79 $1,082.35
4th Jun UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 4 2.5 63% $10.82 $1,082.35 $1,109.43
11th Jun UFC 275 3 -3.0 -100% $11.09 $1,109.43 $1,076.15
17th Jun PFL 2022 #4 3 2.8 93% $10.76 $1,076.15 $1,106.15
24th Jun Bellator 282 1.6 1.0 65% $11.06 $1,106.15 $1,117.71
24th Jun PFL 2022 #5 7 -7.0 -100% $11.18 $1,117.71 $1,039.47
25th Jun UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot 1 -1.0 -100% $10.39 $1,039.47 $1,029.08
2nd Jul UFC 276 1.6 2.0 125% $10.29 $1,029.08 $1,049.66
9th Jul UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 3 1.2 40% $10.50 $1,049.66 $1,062.25
10th Sep UFC 279 3 3.2 106% $10.62 $1,062.25 $1,095.93
25th Nov PFL 2022 #10 3 1.5 51% $10.96 $1,095.93 $1,112.86
16th Sep UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 5 2.0 40% $11.13 $1,112.86 $1,135.32
7th Oct UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green 5 2.5 49% $11.35 $1,135.32 $1,163.23
17th Nov Bellator 301 3.5 -3.5 -100% $11.63 $1,163.23 $1,122.52


ROI % from starting bank balance: 12.25% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Roberto: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jul '22 Said Nurmagomedov Douglas Silva de Andrade 1.40 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jun '22 Magomed Magomedov Enrique Barzola 1.65 1.6 Sub, R4 (1:27) MMA Bookmaker
3. May '22 Logan Storley Michael Page 1.40 8 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Oct '21 Mariya Agapova Sabina Mazo 2.60 0.7 Sub, R3 (0:53) MMA Bookmaker
5. Oct '21 Niko Price Alex Oliveira 1.77 2.6 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '21 Brian Kelleher Domingo Pilarte 1.57 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '21 A.J. McKee Patricio Freire 2.00 0.5 Sub, R1 (1:57) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jun '21 Yaroslav Amosov Douglas Lima 2.20 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. May '21 Beneil Dariush Tony Ferguson 1.70 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '21 Derek Brunson Kevin Holland 2.50 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jan '21 Makhmud Muradov Andrew Sanchez 1.75 1.33 TKO, R3 (2:59) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Oct '21 Timothy Johnson Fedor Emelianenko 1.76 2 TKO, R1 (1:40) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '21 Punahele Soriano Brendan Allen 1.95 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '21 Miranda Maverick Maycee Barber 1.77 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jun '21 Drew Dober Brad Riddell 1.80 1.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. May '21 Ronaldo Souza Andre Muniz 1.90 1.11 Sub, R1 (3:59) No MMA Bookmaker
6. May '21 Dominick Reyes Jiri Prochazka 2.10 1 TKO, R2 (4:29) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '21 Misha Cirkunov Ryan Spann 1.80 1.5 TKO, R1 (1:11) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '21 Nassourdine Imavov Phil Hawes 2.01 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '21 Mounir Lazzez Warlley Alves 1.53 3 TKO, R1 (2:35) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Roberto: Progress Chart
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