MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6362
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2352

MMA Handicapper Stats: Robin’s Safety Parlays

Robin’s Safety Parlays (Riada)

MMA MHandicapper - Robin’s Safety Parlays

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	44 (56%)	Right	6 (40%)	Right	19 (54%)	Right	19 (68%)
Wrong	34 (44%)	Wrong	9 (60%)	Wrong	16 (46%)	Wrong	9 (32%)
Avg Odds	2.18	Avg Odds	1.75	Avg Odds	2.74	Avg Odds	1.94
Units Bet	195.3	Units Bet	37.2	Units Bet	51.8	Units Bet	106.3
Avg Bet	2.50	Avg Bet	2.48	Avg Bet	1.48	Avg Bet	3.80
Units Profit	28.95	Units Profit	-7.34	Units Profit	19.77	Units Profit	16.52
ROI %	15%	ROI %	-20%	ROI %	38%	ROI %	16%

Robin’s Safety Parlays: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
1st Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov	10	-10.0	-100%			-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
24th Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria	10	-10.0	-100%			-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
17th Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier	10	8.5	85%			8.5 / 10 (85%)
10th Jun '23	UFC 289	11.5	6.0	52%		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	7.0 / 10.5 (67%)
5th Jun '21	UFC FN	19	6.4	34%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	8.5 / 10 (85%)	1.9 / 5 (38%)
15th May '21	UFC 262	9	1.0	11%	1.0 / 9 (11%)
1st May '21	UFC FN	13.5	10.5	78%	2.0 / 1.5 (130%)	2.9 / 4 (72%)	5.7 / 8 (71%)
24th Apr '21	UFC 261	7.55	1.1	14%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-0.2 / 0.24 (-100%)	3.3 / 5.31 (63%)
17th Apr '21	UFC FN	7.32	-3.0	-41%	2.0 / 2.32 (86%)		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
28th Mar '21	UFC 260	6.96	-0.0	-0%	2.5 / 4.42 (57%)	-2.5 / 2.54 (-100%)
20th Mar '21	UFC Fight Night 188	6.9	4.8	69%		4.8 / 6.9 (69%)
13th Mar '21	UFC Fight Night 187	8.5	-1.1	-13%		1.0 / 2.5 (40%)	-2.1 / 6 (-35%)
6th Mar '21	UFC 259	5	0.2	4%		0.7 / 1 (75%)	-0.6 / 4 (-14%)
28th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 186	6.5	-0.9	-14%	-2.0 / 4.5 (-44%)		1.0 / 2 (52%)
20th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 185	2.15	-2.2	-100%			-2.2 / 2.15 (-100%)
13th Feb '21	UFC 258	2.26	1.4	63%			1.4 / 2.26 (63%)
6th Feb '21	UFC FN	6.35	3.8	60%		2.0 / 3.35 (59%)	1.8 / 3 (60%)
24th Jan '21	UFC 257	10.6	6.9	65%		0.9 / 2.5 (36%)	6.0 / 8.1 (74%)
20th Jan '21	UFC on ESPN 20	12	0.1	1%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)		5.1 / 7 (73%)
16th Jan '21	UFC FN	9	-0.5	-6%		-2.9 / 6 (-48%)	2.3 / 3 (77%)
19th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 17	4.5	-1.0	-22%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	1.5 / 2 (75%)
13th Dec '20	UFC 256	3	0.8	25%			0.8 / 3 (25%)
6th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 16	8.25	3.0	36%	1.2 / 1.5 (77%)	1.8 / 6.75 (27%)
29th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 15	7	3.3	47%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	4.3 / 6 (72%)

Winning Events: 15 (63%)
Losing Events: 9 (38%)

Average Staked Per Event: 8.20 units
Most Staked On One Event: 19.00 units
Best Event: 10.53 units
Worst Event: -10.00 units
Average Event: 1.21 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 33.56
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -20.00

Robin’s Safety Parlays: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	41.5	-5.5	-13%		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-4.5 / 40.5 (-11%)	2 / 2 (50%)	-1.37
2021	132.59	28.4	21%	-5.5 / 32.74 (-17%)	15.2 / 39.03 (39%)	18.7 / 60.82 (31%)	10 / 6 (63%)	1.78
2020	22.75	6.0	26%	-1.8 / 4.5 (-41%)	5.6 / 13.25 (42%)	2.2 / 5 (45%)	3 / 1 (75%)	1.50

Robin’s Safety Parlays: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Robin’s Safety Parlays: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	196.84	29.0	15%	-7.3 / 37.24 (-20%)	19.8 / 53.28 (37%)	16.5 / 106.32 (16%)

Robin’s Safety Parlays: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	2 (13%)	0	0 %	3.50	-3.50	-1.75	-100%
Slight Favorites	11 (73%)	5	45 %	30.24	-3.79	-0.34	-13%
Slight Underdogs	2 (13%)	1	50 %	3.50	-0.05	-0.02	-1%
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	1 (7%)	1	100 %	1.50	1.16	1.16	77%
Co-Main Event	3 (20%)	2	67 %	13.32	1.02	0.34	8%
Position 3-5	3 (20%)	0	0 %	5.50	-5.50	-1.83	-100%
6+ (Undercard)	8 (53%)	3	38 %	16.92	-4.01	-0.50	-24%

Robin’s Safety Parlays: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	1 (7%)	1	100 %	2.32	2.00	2.00	86%
Light Heavy	1 (7%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-2.00	-100%
Middleweight	2 (13%)	1	50 %	3.50	-0.84	-0.42	-24%
Welterweight	2 (13%)		0 %	7.00	-7.00	-3.50	-100%
Lightweight	3 (20%)	1	33 %	10.50	-0.48	-0.16	-5%
Featherweight	3 (20%)	2	67 %	7.92	2.47	0.82	31%
Bantamweight	3 (20%)	1	33 %	4.00	-1.48	-0.49	-37%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	44 (92%)	33	75 %
Slight Favorites	4 (8%)	2	50 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	48	35	73 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	25 (41%)	19	76 %
50-65%	10 (16%)	9	90 %
35-50%	10 (16%)	5	50 %
<35% chance	16 (26%)	2	13 %
	61	35	57 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	8 (13%)	8	100 %	1.33	1.72	1.22	2.8 (35%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	5 (8%)	4	80 %	1.70	2.38	1.33	1.4 (28%)
Goes to Decision	2 (3%)	2	100 %	1.41	1.50	1.33	0.8 (41%)
Does not go to Decision	9 (15%)	4	44 %	1.26	1.62	1.14	-3.0 (-33%)
Fight Starts Round X	6 (10%)	5	83 %	1.45	19.00	1.14	0.2 (3%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	1 (2%)	1	100 %	2.20	2.20	2.20	1.2 (120%)
X Wins by KO	9 (15%)	2	22 %	2.82	8.50	1.50	-3.4 (-38%)
X Wins by Sub	1 (2%)	0	0 %	7.70	7.70	7.70	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	7 (11%)	5	71 %	2.67	5.50	1.70	8.8 (125%)
X Wins Inside Distance	5 (8%)	2	40 %	2.08	3.10	1.72	-0.4 (-9%)
X Wins in Round X	4 (7%)	0	0 %	9.24	34.00	4.33	-4.0 (-100%)
Others	4 (7%)	2	50 %	3.39	11.00	1.75	0.5 (12%)
	61	35	57 %	1.90			3.9 (6%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Robin’s Safety Parlays's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
29th Nov	UFC Vegas 15	7	3.3	47%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,033.10
6th Dec	UFC Vegas 16	8.25	3.0	36%		$10.33	$1,033.10	$1,063.63
13th Dec	UFC 256	3	0.8	25%		$10.64	$1,063.63	$1,071.61
19th Dec	UFC Vegas 17	4.5	-1.0	-22%		$10.72	$1,071.61	$1,060.82
16th Jan	UFC FN	9	-0.5	-6%		$10.61	$1,060.82	$1,055.02
20th Jan	UFC on ESPN 20	12	0.1	1%		$10.55	$1,055.02	$1,055.99
24th Jan	UFC 257	10.6	6.9	65%		$10.56	$1,055.99	$1,129.08
6th Feb	UFC FN	6.35	3.8	60%		$11.29	$1,129.08	$1,171.77
13th Feb	UFC 258	2.26	1.4	63%		$11.72	$1,171.77	$1,188.32
20th Feb	UFC Fight Night 185	2.15	-2.2	-100%		$11.88	$1,188.32	$1,162.77
28th Feb	UFC Fight Night 186	6.5	-0.9	-14%		$11.63	$1,162.77	$1,151.89
6th Mar	UFC 259	5	0.2	4%		$11.52	$1,151.89	$1,154.03
13th Mar	UFC Fight Night 187	8.5	-1.1	-13%		$11.54	$1,154.03	$1,140.99
20th Mar	UFC Fight Night 188	6.9	4.8	69%		$11.41	$1,140.99	$1,195.51
28th Mar	UFC 260	6.96	-0.0	-0%		$11.96	$1,195.51	$1,195.26
17th Apr	UFC FN	7.32	-3.0	-41%		$11.95	$1,195.26	$1,159.34
24th Apr	UFC 261	7.55	1.1	14%		$11.59	$1,159.34	$1,171.99
1st May	UFC FN	13.5	10.5	78%		$11.72	$1,171.99	$1,295.35
15th May	UFC 262	9	1.0	11%		$12.95	$1,295.35	$1,308.56
5th Jun	UFC FN	19	6.4	34%		$13.09	$1,308.56	$1,392.18
10th Jun	UFC 289	11.5	6.0	52%		$13.92	$1,392.18	$1,475.71
17th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier	10	8.5	85%		$14.76	$1,475.71	$1,601.69
24th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria	10	-10.0	-100%		$16.02	$1,601.69	$1,441.52
1st Jul	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov	10	-10.0	-100%		$14.42	$1,441.52	$1,297.37

ROI % from starting bank balance: 29.74% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Robin’s Safety Parlays: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	May '21	Beneil Dariush	Tony Ferguson	1.67	6	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	May '21	T.J. Brown	Kai Kamaka	2.30	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Apr '21	Andrei Arlovski	Chase Sherman	1.86	2.32	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Mar '21	Omar Morales	Shane Young	1.57	4.42	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Feb '21	Ronnie Lawrence	Vince Cachero	1.68	1.5	TKO, R3 (2:38)
6.	Dec '20	Marvin Vettori	Jack Hermansson	1.77	1.5	U Decision (5 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jun '21	Miguel Baeza	Santiago Ponzinibbio	1.77	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Jun '21	Youssef Zalal	Sean Woodson	2.50	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	May '21	Mike Grundy	Lando Vannata	1.97	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Apr '21	Jim Crute	Anthony Smith	1.50	2	TKO, R1 (5:0)	No
5.	Feb '21	Alexander Hernandez	Thiago Moises	1.53	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Feb '21	Jimmie Rivera	Pedro Munhoz	1.69	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Jan '21	Mounir Lazzez	Warlley Alves	1.62	5	TKO, R1 (2:35)	No
8.	Dec '20	Antonio Arroyo	Deron Winn	1.67	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Nov '20	Luke Sanders	Nathan Maness	1.72	1	Sub, R2 (2:29)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Robin’s Safety Parlays: Progress Chart

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