MMA Handicapper Stats: Pad |
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Pad : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
10th Apr '21 |
UFC FN |
7.8 |
-5.7 |
-73% |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
-3.8 / 3.8 (-100%) |
1.1 / 1 (109%) |
28th Mar '21 |
UFC 260 |
11.25 |
-10.0 |
-88% |
-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) |
-6.0 / 7.25 (-82%) |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
20th Mar '21 |
UFC Fight Night 188 |
7.55 |
6.4 |
85% |
6.1 / 3 (202%) |
0.8 / 4.05 (21%) |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
13th Mar '21 |
UFC Fight Night 187 |
9.75 |
-3.2 |
-33% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
0.0 / 6.5 (1%) |
-2.3 / 2.25 (-100%) |
6th Mar '21 |
UFC 259 |
17.25 |
-2.7 |
-16% |
-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) |
-2.9 / 9.75 (-30%) |
2.8 / 5 (55%) |
28th Feb '21 |
UFC Fight Night 186 |
15 |
2.0 |
14% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
2.7 / 9.45 (29%) |
1.3 / 3.55 (38%) |
20th Feb '21 |
UFC Fight Night 185 |
12.5 |
-10.7 |
-86% |
-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) |
-7.2 / 9 (-81%) |
|
13th Feb '21 |
UFC 258 |
12.5 |
-12.5 |
-100% |
-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) |
-6.0 / 6 (-100%) |
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
6th Feb '21 |
UFC FN |
13 |
-5.9 |
-45% |
1.5 / 1 (150%) |
-6.0 / 8 (-75%) |
-1.4 / 4 (-35%) |
24th Jan '21 |
UFC 257 |
19.1 |
-11.6 |
-61% |
0.5 / 3 (15%) |
-6.0 / 10 (-60%) |
-6.1 / 6.1 (-100%) |
20th Jan '21 |
UFC on ESPN 20 |
15.93 |
-8.4 |
-52% |
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
-1.9 / 6.68 (-28%) |
-2.5 / 5.25 (-47%) |
16th Jan '21 |
UFC FN |
9.76 |
-9.8 |
-100% |
|
-5.4 / 5.38 (-100%) |
-4.4 / 4.38 (-100%) |
19th Dec '20 |
UFC Vegas 17 |
12.1 |
-5.4 |
-44% |
|
0.6 / 6.1 (10%) |
-6.0 / 6 (-100%) |
13th Dec '20 |
UFC 256 |
14 |
-14.0 |
-100% |
|
-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) |
-9.5 / 9.5 (-100%) |
6th Dec '20 |
UFC Vegas 16 |
16.8 |
12.3 |
73% |
|
9.0 / 8.3 (109%) |
3.3 / 8.5 (39%) |
29th Nov '20 |
UFC Vegas 15 |
4.5 |
13.3 |
296% |
|
6.1 / 2.5 (244%) |
7.2 / 2 (360%) |
21st Nov '20 |
UFC 255 |
15.85 |
12.6 |
79% |
|
6.4 / 5.86 (109%) |
6.2 / 9.99 (62%) |
Winning Events: 5 (29%) Losing Events: 12 (71%)
Average Staked Per Event: 12.63 units Most Staked On One Event: 19.10 units Best Event: 13.30 units Worst Event: -14.00 units Average Event: -3.13 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 38.22 Max Losing Streak: Events: 8, Units: -78.29 |
Pad : Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2021 |
151.39 |
-72.0 |
-48% |
-14.0 / 29 (-48%) |
-41.6 / 85.86 (-48%) |
-16.4 / 36.53 (-45%) |
2 / 10 (17%) |
-6.00 |
2020 |
63.25 |
18.8 |
30% |
|
17.6 / 27.26 (65%) |
1.2 / 35.99 (3%) |
3 / 2 (60%) |
3.77 |
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Pad : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Pad : Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
214.64 |
-53.2 |
-25% |
-14.0 / 29 (-48%) |
-24.0 / 113.12 (-21%) |
-15.2 / 72.52 (-21%) |
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Pad : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
0.00 |
0.00 |
nan |
nan% |
Slight Favorites |
3 (13%) |
1 |
33 % |
5.50 |
-2.05 |
-0.68 |
-37% |
Slight Underdogs |
14 (61%) |
3 |
21 % |
18.00 |
-10.18 |
-0.73 |
-57% |
Big Underdogs |
6 (26%) |
1 |
17 % |
5.50 |
-1.75 |
-0.29 |
-32% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
2 (9%) |
1 |
50 % |
2.50 |
0.12 |
0.06 |
5% |
Co-Main Event |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
0.00 |
0.00 |
nan |
nan% |
Position 3-5 |
9 (39%) |
2 |
22 % |
12.00 |
-4.80 |
-0.53 |
-40% |
6+ (Undercard) |
12 (52%) |
2 |
17 % |
14.50 |
-9.30 |
-0.78 |
-64% |
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Pad : Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
1 (4%) |
|
0 % |
1.50 |
-1.50 |
-1.50 |
-100% |
Light Heavy |
2 (9%) |
|
0 % |
2.00 |
-2.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
Middleweight |
6 (26%) |
2 |
33 % |
9.00 |
-2.93 |
-0.49 |
-33% |
Welterweight |
1 (4%) |
|
0 % |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
Lightweight |
3 (13%) |
|
0 % |
4.00 |
-4.00 |
-1.33 |
-100% |
Featherweight |
2 (9%) |
|
0 % |
2.50 |
-2.50 |
-1.25 |
-100% |
Bantamweight |
3 (13%) |
|
0 % |
3.00 |
-3.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
Flyweight |
2 (9%) |
1 |
50 % |
2.50 |
0.20 |
0.10 |
8% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
3 (13%) |
2 |
67 % |
3.50 |
2.75 |
0.92 |
79% |
Flyweight |
1 (4%) |
1 |
100 % |
1.00 |
1.50 |
1.50 |
150% |
Strawweight |
2 (9%) |
1 |
50 % |
2.50 |
1.25 |
0.62 |
50% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
20 (43%) |
14 |
70 % |
Slight Favorites |
11 (24%) |
4 |
36 % |
Slight Underdogs |
12 (26%) |
2 |
17 % |
Big Underdogs |
3 (7%) |
1 |
33 % |
|
46 |
21 |
46 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
14 (6%) |
8 |
57 % |
50-65% |
57 (24%) |
28 |
49 % |
35-50% |
55 (23%) |
20 |
36 % |
<35% chance |
113 (47%) |
21 |
19 % |
|
239 |
77 |
32 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Pad 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
21st Nov |
UFC 255 |
15.85 |
12.6 |
79% |
$2 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,123.95 |
29th Nov |
UFC Vegas 15 |
4.5 |
13.3 |
296% |
$2 |
$11.24 |
$1,123.95 |
$1,271.44 |
6th Dec |
UFC Vegas 16 |
16.8 |
12.3 |
73% |
$2 |
$12.71 |
$1,271.44 |
$1,426.08 |
13th Dec |
UFC 256 |
14 |
-14.0 |
-100% |
$2 |
$14.26 |
$1,426.08 |
$1,224.43 |
19th Dec |
UFC Vegas 17 |
12.1 |
-5.4 |
-44% |
$2 |
$12.24 |
$1,224.43 |
$1,156.73 |
16th Jan |
UFC FN |
9.76 |
-9.8 |
-100% |
|
$11.57 |
$1,156.73 |
$1,043.83 |
20th Jan |
UFC on ESPN 20 |
15.93 |
-8.4 |
-52% |
|
$10.44 |
$1,043.83 |
$956.60 |
24th Jan |
UFC 257 |
19.1 |
-11.6 |
-61% |
|
$9.57 |
$956.60 |
$845.19 |
6th Feb |
UFC FN |
13 |
-5.9 |
-45% |
|
$8.45 |
$845.19 |
$795.25 |
13th Feb |
UFC 258 |
12.5 |
-12.5 |
-100% |
|
$7.95 |
$795.25 |
$695.84 |
20th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 185 |
12.5 |
-10.7 |
-86% |
|
$6.96 |
$695.84 |
$621.04 |
28th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 186 |
15 |
2.0 |
14% |
|
$6.21 |
$621.04 |
$633.74 |
6th Mar |
UFC 259 |
17.25 |
-2.7 |
-16% |
|
$6.34 |
$633.74 |
$616.70 |
13th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 187 |
9.75 |
-3.2 |
-33% |
|
$6.17 |
$616.70 |
$596.96 |
20th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 188 |
7.55 |
6.4 |
85% |
|
$5.97 |
$596.96 |
$635.29 |
28th Mar |
UFC 260 |
11.25 |
-10.0 |
-88% |
|
$6.35 |
$635.29 |
$572.07 |
10th Apr |
UFC FN |
7.8 |
-5.7 |
-73% |
|
$5.72 |
$572.07 |
$539.38 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -46.06% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Pad : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Apr '21 |
Sasha Palatnikov |
Impa Kasanganay |
3.25 |
0.5 |
Sub, R2 (0:26) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Apr '21 |
William Knight |
Da Un Jung |
2.10 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Apr '21 |
Nina Nunes |
Mackenzie Dern |
1.80 |
1.5 |
Sub, R1 (4:48) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Mar '21 |
Thomas Almeida |
Sean O'Malley |
3.50 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (3:52) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Mar '21 |
Fabio Cherant |
Alonzo Menifield |
3.40 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (1:11) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Mar '21 |
Stipe Miocic |
Francis Ngannou |
2.38 |
1.5 |
TKO, R2 (0:52) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Mar '21 |
Jason Witt |
Matt Semelsberger |
2.00 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (0:16) |
Yes |
|
|
8. |
Mar '21 |
Petr Yan |
Aljamain Sterling |
2.00 |
1 |
|
Yes |
|
|
9. |
Mar '21 |
Joseph Benavidez |
Askar Askarov |
2.10 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Feb '21 |
Vince Cachero |
Ronnie Lawrence |
2.37 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (2:38) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Feb '21 |
Kevin Croom |
Alex Caceres |
2.80 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Feb '21 |
Nassourdine Imavov |
Phil Hawes |
2.00 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Feb '21 |
Nate Landwehr |
Julian Erosa |
2.00 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (0:56) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Feb '21 |
Brian Kelleher |
Ricky Simon |
3.25 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Feb '21 |
Maki Pitolo |
Julian Marquez |
2.50 |
1.5 |
Sub, R3 (4:17) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Jan '21 |
Matt Frevola |
Arman Tsarukyan |
6.00 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Jan '21 |
Tom Breese |
Omari Akhmedov |
1.73 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (1:41) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Jan '21 |
Mason Jones |
Mike Davis |
2.50 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Pad : Progress Chart |
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