MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6362
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2348

MMA Handicapper Stats: The Late Night Tip

The Late Night Tip (TheLateNightTip)

MMA MHandicapper - The Late Night Tip

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	52 (49%)	Right	40 (60%)	Right	6 (27%)	Right	6 (35%)
Wrong	54 (51%)	Wrong	27 (40%)	Wrong	16 (73%)	Wrong	11 (65%)
Avg Odds	2.01	Avg Odds	1.73	Avg Odds	2.95	Avg Odds	2.55
Units Bet	254.9	Units Bet	174.5	Units Bet	35.1	Units Bet	45.3
Avg Bet	2.40	Avg Bet	2.60	Avg Bet	1.59	Avg Bet	2.67
Units Profit	-28.80	Units Profit	-13.99	Units Profit	-4.78	Units Profit	-10.02
ROI %	-11%	ROI %	-8%	ROI %	-14%	ROI %	-22%

The Late Night Tip: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
7th May '21	Bellator 258	10	-10.0	-100%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
28th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 186	7.5	-7.5	-100%			-7.5 / 7.5 (-100%)
24th Jan '21	UFC 257	5	-5.0	-100%			-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
20th Jan '21	UFC on ESPN 20	21.82	-6.4	-29%	-5.4 / 16 (-34%)		-1.0 / 5.82 (-17%)
16th Jan '21	UFC FN	13.5	-1.3	-9%	-2.0 / 7.25 (-27%)	-0.8 / 5 (-17%)	1.5 / 1.25 (122%)
16th Jan '21	LFA 97	4.5	3.8	85%	2.0 / 2 (99%)		1.9 / 2.5 (74%)
19th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 17	29.85	-26.5	-89%	-18.9 / 22.25 (-85%)	-5.1 / 5.1 (-100%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
13th Dec '20	UFC 256	30.15	-8.4	-28%	-4.3 / 14.15 (-30%)	-0.4 / 12.25 (-3%)	-3.8 / 3.75 (-100%)
12th Dec '20	Cage Warriors 119	18.25	-0.4	-2%	-0.4 / 18.25 (-2%)
11th Dec '20	Cage Warriors 118	11.5	4.7	40%	4.7 / 11.5 (40%)
11th Dec '20	Bellator 254	10.75	6.8	63%	3.2 / 9 (36%)		3.6 / 1.75 (206%)
10th Dec '20	Cage Warriors 117	0.75	2.6	348%	2.6 / 0.75 (348%)
6th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 16	25.25	8.2	33%	11.0 / 16.85 (65%)	1.2 / 4.4 (28%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
29th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 15	14.75	6.9	47%	5.2 / 7.75 (68%)	1.6 / 7 (23%)
21st Nov '20	UFC 255	31.5	1.3	4%	-6.7 / 21.5 (-31%)		8.0 / 10 (80%)
19th Nov '20	Bellator 253	5	2.3	47%	2.3 / 5 (47%)
18th Nov '20	DWCS 36	5.5	-1.6	-29%	-1.6 / 5.5 (-29%)
14th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 14	9.33	1.6	17%	4.2 / 6.75 (62%)	-1.3 / 1.33 (-100%)	-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)

Winning Events: 9 (50%)
Losing Events: 9 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 14.16 units
Most Staked On One Event: 31.50 units
Best Event: 8.22 units
Worst Event: -26.49 units
Average Event: -1.60 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 32.83
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -35.25

The Late Night Tip: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	62.32	-26.4	-42%	-15.4 / 35.25 (-44%)	-0.8 / 5 (-17%)	-10.1 / 22.07 (-46%)	1 / 5 (17%)	-4.39
2020	192.58	-2.4	-1%	1.4 / 139.25 (1%)	-3.9 / 30.08 (-13%)	0.1 / 23.25 (0%)	8 / 4 (67%)	-0.20

The Late Night Tip: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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The Late Night Tip: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	188.65	-37.1	-20%	-16.8 / 112.5 (-15%)	-4.8 / 35.08 (-14%)	-15.5 / 41.07 (-38%)
Bellator	25.75	-0.8	-3%	-4.5 / 24 (-19%)		3.6 / 1.75 (206%)
Other	40.5	9.1	23%	7.3 / 38 (19%)		1.9 / 2.5 (74%)

The Late Night Tip: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	24 (34%)	17	71 %	82.00	-6.78	-0.28	-8%
Slight Favorites	24 (34%)	16	67 %	61.25	3.59	0.15	6%
Slight Underdogs	15 (21%)	5	33 %	24.75	-14.80	-0.99	-60%
Big Underdogs	7 (10%)	3	43 %	6.50	4.00	0.57	62%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	11 (16%)	7	64 %	39.00	-6.09	-0.55	-16%
Co-Main Event	9 (13%)	4	44 %	27.75	-6.68	-0.74	-24%
Position 3-5	19 (27%)	9	47 %	47.50	-8.52	-0.45	-18%
6+ (Undercard)	31 (44%)	21	68 %	60.25	7.29	0.24	12%

The Late Night Tip: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	4 (6%)	3	75 %	8.25	0.58	0.14	7%
Light Heavy	2 (3%)	2	100 %	7.25	4.38	2.19	60%
Middleweight	8 (11%)	5	63 %	15.25	1.53	0.19	10%
Welterweight	13 (19%)	3	23 %	38.25	-18.99	-1.46	-50%
Lightweight	7 (10%)	5	71 %	11.50	3.59	0.51	31%
Featherweight	10 (14%)	5	50 %	25.50	-5.92	-0.59	-23%
Bantamweight	12 (17%)	8	67 %	36.25	-6.20	-0.52	-17%
Flyweight	4 (6%)	3	75 %	12.50	1.51	0.38	12%

Women's Fights	10 (14%)	7	70 %	19.75	5.52	0.55	28%
Flyweight	6 (9%)	5	83 %	15.00	6.34	1.06	42%
Strawweight	4 (6%)	2	50 %	4.75	-0.82	-0.21	-17%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	15 (58%)	12	80 %
Slight Favorites	7 (27%)	4	57 %
Slight Underdogs	3 (12%)	0	0 %
Big Underdogs	1 (4%)	0	0 %
	26	16	62 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	12 (35%)	9	75 %
50-65%	6 (18%)	2	33 %
35-50%	2 (6%)	2	100 %
<35% chance	14 (41%)	0	0 %
	34	13	38 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	6 (18%)	4	67 %	1.49	1.61	1.40	-0.1 (-1%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (9%)	2	67 %	1.76	2.70	1.48	1.2 (41%)
Does not go to Decision	2 (6%)	0	0 %	1.62	1.71	1.54	-2.0 (-100%)
Fight Starts Round X	6 (18%)	5	83 %	1.41	1.53	1.36	1.1 (18%)
X Wins by KO	1 (3%)	1	100 %	2.80	2.80	2.80	1.8 (180%)
X Wins by Sub	2 (6%)	0	0 %	4.12	5.00	3.50	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	3 (9%)	1	33 %	2.16	7.00	1.56	-1.3 (-44%)
X Wins in Round X	4 (12%)	0	0 %	6.96	34.00	3.75	-4.0 (-100%)
Others	7 (21%)	0	0 %	9.07	29.00	5.50	-7.0 (-100%)
	34	13	38 %	2.30			-12.3 (-36%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail The Late Night Tip's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
14th Nov	UFC Vegas 14	9.33	1.6	17%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,015.98
18th Nov	DWCS 36	5.5	-1.6	-29%		$10.16	$1,015.98	$999.68
19th Nov	Bellator 253	5	2.3	47%		$10.00	$999.68	$1,023.15
21st Nov	UFC 255	31.5	1.3	4%		$10.23	$1,023.15	$1,036.61
29th Nov	UFC Vegas 15	14.75	6.9	47%		$10.37	$1,036.61	$1,107.83
6th Dec	UFC Vegas 16	25.25	8.2	33%	$5	$11.08	$1,107.83	$1,193.91
10th Dec	Cage Warriors 117	0.75	2.6	348%	$5	$11.94	$1,193.91	$1,220.07
11th Dec	Bellator 254	10.75	6.8	63%	$5	$12.20	$1,220.07	$1,298.17
11th Dec	Cage Warriors 118	11.5	4.7	40%	$5	$12.98	$1,298.17	$1,353.55
12th Dec	Cage Warriors 119	18.25	-0.4	-2%	$5	$13.54	$1,353.55	$1,343.80
13th Dec	UFC 256	30.15	-8.4	-28%	$5	$13.44	$1,343.80	$1,225.80
19th Dec	UFC Vegas 17	29.85	-26.5	-89%	$5	$12.26	$1,225.80	$896.09
16th Jan	LFA 97	4.5	3.8	85%		$8.96	$896.09	$930.42
16th Jan	UFC FN	13.5	-1.3	-9%		$9.30	$930.42	$918.56
20th Jan	UFC on ESPN 20	21.82	-6.4	-29%		$9.19	$918.56	$859.53
24th Jan	UFC 257	5	-5.0	-100%	$5	$8.60	$859.53	$811.56
28th Feb	UFC Fight Night 186	7.5	-7.5	-100%		$8.12	$811.56	$750.69
7th May	Bellator 258	10	-10.0	-100%		$7.51	$750.69	$675.62

ROI % from starting bank balance: -32.44% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

The Late Night Tip: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jan '21	Manon Fiorot	Victoria Leonardo	1.54	2.5	TKO, R2 (4:8)
2.	Jan '21	Viviane Araujo	Roxanne Modafferi	1.34	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Jan '21	Carlos Felipe	Justin Tafa	1.54	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Jan '21	Austin Lingo	Jacob Kilburn	1.48	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Jan '21	Claire Guthrie	Nadine Mandiau	1.99	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Dec '20	Jimmy Flick	Cody Durden	1.68	2	Sub, R1 (3:18)
7.	Dec '20	Charles Oliveira	Tony Ferguson	2.47	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Dec '20	Chase Hooper	Peter Barrett	1.36	1.4	Sub, R3 (3:2)
9.	Dec '20	Christian Duncan	Lucasz Marcinkoweski	1.38	1.75	TKO, R1 (1:0)
10.	Dec '20	Ian Garry	Lawrence Tracey	1.20	7.5	TKO, R1 (4:2)
11.	Dec '20	Will Currie	Dario Bellandi	1.31	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Dec '20	Morgan Charriere	Perry Goodwin	1.29	3.5	TKO, R3 (1:55)
13.	Dec '20	Madars Fleminas	Mick Stanton	1.69	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Dec '20	Nathias Frederick	Jamie Richardson	1.26	2.25	TKO, R3 (0:18)
15.	Dec '20	Decky McAleenan	Adam Ventre	2.10	0.25	Sub, R2 (1:13)
16.	Dec '20	Liam Gittins	Josh Reed	1.56	2	Sub, R2 (1:8)
17.	Dec '20	Nathan Fletcher	Leigh Mitchell	1.32	3.5	Sub, R2 (4:18)
18.	Dec '20	Rafael Fiziev	Renato Moicano	1.74	3.5	TKO, R1 (4:5)
19.	Dec '20	Michele Martignoni	Weslley Maia	4.48	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Dec '20	Shamil Nikaev	Kemran Lachinov	1.41	4	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	May '21	Juan Archulata	Sergio Pettis	1.50	10	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
2.	Jan '21	Jerome Rivera	Francisco Figueiredo	2.32	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Jan '21	Tyson Nam	Matt Schnell	1.80	2.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Jan '21	Mounir Lazzez	Warlley Alves	1.43	5	TKO, R1 (2:35)	No
5.	Jan '21	Dusko Todorovic	Punahele Soriano	1.63	1.5	TKO, R1 (4:48)	No
6.	Jan '21	Joaquin Buckley	Alessio Di Chirico	1.36	1.5	TKO, R1 (2:12)	No
7.	Jan '21	Calvin Kattar	Max Holloway	2.50	0.75	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
8.	Dec '20	Greg Hardy	Marcin Tybura	1.89	3.5	TKO, R2 (4:31)	No
9.	Dec '20	Alex Morono	Anthony Pettis	2.96	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Dec '20	Kalinn Williams	Michel Pereira	2.00	3.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Dec '20	Geoff Neal	Stephen Thompson	1.93	2.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
12.	Dec '20	Marlon Vera	Jose Aldo	2.30	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Dec '20	Billy Quarantillo	Gavin Tucker	1.59	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Dec '20	Jack Grant	Agy Sardari	1.49	1	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
15.	Dec '20	Kieran Lister	Joe McColgan	1.71	3	TKO, R1 (4:47)	No
16.	Dec '20	Aaron Khalid	Leonardo Damiani	2.00	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Dec '20	Sam Hughes	Tecia Torres	6.00	0.5	TKO, R1 (5:0)	No
18.	Dec '20	Daniel Pineda	Cub Swanson	1.71	3	TKO, R2 (1:52)	No
19.	Dec '20	Geoff Neal	Stephen Thompson	2.20	2.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
20.	Dec '20	Marlon Vera	Jose Aldo	2.53	3.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

The Late Night Tip: Progress Chart

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