MMA Handicapper Stats: Reaper Project |
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|
Reaper Project: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
| 13th Apr '24 |
UFC 300 |
53 |
25.9 |
49% |
25.9 / 53 (49%) |
|
|
| 7th Oct '23 |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
38 |
-13.2 |
-35% |
-13.2 / 38 (-35%) |
|
|
| 23rd Sep '23 |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
43 |
13.5 |
31% |
13.5 / 43 (31%) |
|
|
| 18th Dec '21 |
UFC FN |
100 |
-61.8 |
-62% |
|
-61.8 / 100 (-62%) |
|
| 11th Dec '21 |
UFC 269 |
97 |
22.9 |
24% |
|
22.9 / 97 (24%) |
|
| 4th Dec '21 |
UFC FN |
98 |
-60.6 |
-62% |
-13.0 / 20 (-65%) |
-47.6 / 78 (-61%) |
|
| 20th Nov '21 |
UFC FN |
88 |
41.9 |
48% |
|
41.9 / 88 (48%) |
|
| 13th Nov '21 |
UFC FN |
99 |
-48.5 |
-49% |
|
-48.5 / 99 (-49%) |
|
| 6th Nov '21 |
UFC 268 |
142 |
58.2 |
41% |
19.0 / 55 (35%) |
39.2 / 87 (45%) |
|
| 30th Oct '21 |
UFC 267 |
99 |
15.3 |
15% |
|
15.3 / 99 (15%) |
|
| 23rd Oct '21 |
UFC FN |
121 |
-4.9 |
-4% |
-21.3 / 35 (-61%) |
16.5 / 86 (19%) |
|
| 16th Oct '21 |
UFC FN |
88 |
-30.4 |
-35% |
-8.4 / 66 (-13%) |
-22.0 / 22 (-100%) |
|
| 9th Oct '21 |
UFC FN |
165 |
38.7 |
23% |
30.7 / 77 (40%) |
8.0 / 88 (9%) |
|
| 2nd Oct '21 |
UFC FN |
55 |
-16.9 |
-31% |
-16.9 / 55 (-31%) |
|
|
| 25th Sep '21 |
UFC 266 |
55 |
-1.4 |
-3% |
-1.4 / 55 (-3%) |
|
|
| 18th Sep '21 |
UFC FN |
55 |
-15.1 |
-27% |
-15.1 / 55 (-27%) |
|
|
| 4th Sep '21 |
UFC FN |
33 |
-12.4 |
-38% |
-12.4 / 33 (-38%) |
|
|
| 28th Aug '21 |
UFC FN |
22 |
24.9 |
113% |
24.9 / 22 (113%) |
|
|
| 21st Aug '21 |
UFC FN |
55 |
-7.1 |
-13% |
-7.1 / 55 (-13%) |
|
|
| 7th Aug '21 |
UFC 265 |
77 |
-10.7 |
-14% |
-10.7 / 77 (-14%) |
|
|
| 31st Jul '21 |
UFC FN |
11 |
5.5 |
50% |
5.5 / 11 (50%) |
|
|
| 24th Jul '21 |
UFC FN |
44 |
-13.8 |
-31% |
-13.8 / 44 (-31%) |
|
|
| 17th Jul '21 |
UFC FN |
55 |
13.4 |
24% |
13.4 / 55 (24%) |
|
|
| 10th Jul '21 |
UFC 264 |
99 |
-16.3 |
-16% |
-16.3 / 99 (-16%) |
|
|
| 26th Jun '21 |
UFC FN |
88 |
-15.4 |
-17% |
-15.4 / 88 (-17%) |
|
|
| 19th Jun '21 |
UFC FN |
88 |
0.4 |
0% |
0.4 / 88 (0%) |
|
|
| 12th Jun '21 |
UFC 263 |
110 |
-56.3 |
-51% |
-56.3 / 110 (-51%) |
|
|
| 5th Jun '21 |
UFC FN |
66 |
-31.0 |
-47% |
-31.0 / 66 (-47%) |
|
|
| 22nd May '21 |
UFC FN |
66 |
25.3 |
38% |
25.3 / 66 (38%) |
|
|
| 15th May '21 |
UFC 262 |
88 |
16.4 |
19% |
16.4 / 88 (19%) |
|
|
| 8th May '21 |
UFC FN |
88 |
39.7 |
45% |
39.7 / 88 (45%) |
|
|
| 1st May '21 |
UFC FN |
55 |
22.0 |
40% |
22.0 / 55 (40%) |
|
|
| 8th Nov '20 |
UFC Vegas 13 |
16 |
-4.3 |
-27% |
-4.3 / 16 (-27%) |
|
|
Winning Events: 15 (45%)
Losing Events: 18 (55%)
Average Staked Per Event: 74.45 units
Most Staked On One Event: 165.00 units
Best Event: 58.20 units
Worst Event: -61.77 units
Average Event: -1.70 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 103.40
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -87.34 |
Reaper Project: Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2024 |
53 |
25.9 |
49% |
25.9 / 53 (49%) |
|
|
1 / (100%) |
25.95 |
| 2023 |
81 |
0.3 |
0% |
0.3 / 81 (0%) |
|
|
1 / 1 (50%) |
0.17 |
| 2021 |
2307 |
-78.1 |
-3% |
-41.9 / 1463 (-3%) |
|
|
13 / 16 (45%) |
-2.69 |
| 2020 |
16 |
-4.3 |
-27% |
-4.3 / 16 (-27%) |
|
|
/ 1 (0%) |
-4.34 |
|
Reaper Project: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
|
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
Reaper Project: Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
2457 |
-56.1 |
-2% |
-19.9 / 1613 (-1%) |
-36.2 / 844 (-4%) |
|
|
Reaper Project: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
31 (18%) |
20 |
65 % |
231.00 |
9.00 |
0.29 |
4% |
| Slight Favorites |
59 (35%) |
37 |
63 % |
584.00 |
43.75 |
0.74 |
7% |
| Slight Underdogs |
65 (38%) |
28 |
43 % |
662.00 |
-5.54 |
-0.09 |
-1% |
| Big Underdogs |
14 (8%) |
2 |
14 % |
136.00 |
-67.14 |
-4.80 |
-49% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
24 (14%) |
13 |
54 % |
233.00 |
10.15 |
0.42 |
4% |
| Co-Main Event |
17 (10%) |
12 |
71 % |
170.00 |
66.90 |
3.94 |
39% |
| Position 3-5 |
42 (25%) |
25 |
60 % |
394.00 |
35.27 |
0.84 |
9% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
86 (51%) |
37 |
43 % |
816.00 |
-132.24 |
-1.54 |
-16% |
|
Reaper Project: Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
14 (8%) |
8 |
57 % |
129.00 |
-9.87 |
-0.70 |
-8% |
| Light Heavy |
11 (7%) |
5 |
45 % |
102.00 |
-21.62 |
-1.97 |
-21% |
| Middleweight |
26 (15%) |
11 |
42 % |
250.00 |
-75.66 |
-2.91 |
-30% |
| Welterweight |
21 (12%) |
10 |
48 % |
203.00 |
-19.49 |
-0.93 |
-10% |
| Lightweight |
24 (14%) |
11 |
46 % |
227.00 |
-34.12 |
-1.42 |
-15% |
| Featherweight |
25 (15%) |
17 |
68 % |
247.00 |
106.66 |
4.27 |
43% |
| Bantamweight |
16 (9%) |
7 |
44 % |
138.00 |
-20.24 |
-1.26 |
-15% |
| Flyweight |
5 (3%) |
2 |
40 % |
55.00 |
-9.46 |
-1.89 |
-17% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Women's Fights |
27 (16%) |
16 |
59 % |
262.00 |
63.86 |
2.37 |
24% |
| Featherweight |
2 (1%) |
2 |
100 % |
22.00 |
30.58 |
15.29 |
139% |
| Bantamweight |
4 (2%) |
3 |
75 % |
36.00 |
7.85 |
1.96 |
22% |
| Flyweight |
10 (6%) |
6 |
60 % |
110.00 |
39.05 |
3.90 |
35% |
| Strawweight |
11 (7%) |
5 |
45 % |
94.00 |
-13.62 |
-1.24 |
-14% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Slight Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Slight Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
23 (27%) |
14 |
61 % |
| 50-65% |
37 (43%) |
18 |
49 % |
| 35-50% |
24 (28%) |
14 |
58 % |
| <35% chance |
2 (2%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
86 |
46 |
53 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
| Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
| Goes to Decision |
19 (22%) |
14 |
74 % |
1.79 |
2.90 |
1.36 |
6.3 (33%) |
| Does not go to Decision |
13 (15%) |
8 |
62 % |
1.65 |
2.80 |
1.28 |
2.0 (15%) |
| Others |
54 (63%) |
24 |
44 % |
1.73 |
3.05 |
1.16 |
-12.1 (-22%) |
|
86 |
46 |
53 % |
1.73 |
|
|
-3.8 (-4%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Reaper Project's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 8th Nov |
UFC Vegas 13 |
16 |
-4.3 |
-27% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$956.60 |
| 1st May |
UFC FN |
55 |
22.0 |
40% |
|
$9.57 |
$956.60 |
$1,167.05 |
| 8th May |
UFC FN |
88 |
39.7 |
45% |
|
$11.67 |
$1,167.05 |
$1,630.49 |
| 15th May |
UFC 262 |
88 |
16.4 |
19% |
|
$16.30 |
$1,630.49 |
$1,897.74 |
| 22nd May |
UFC FN |
66 |
25.3 |
38% |
|
$18.98 |
$1,897.74 |
$2,377.86 |
| 5th Jun |
UFC FN |
66 |
-31.0 |
-47% |
|
$23.78 |
$2,377.86 |
$1,640.25 |
| 12th Jun |
UFC 263 |
110 |
-56.3 |
-51% |
|
$16.40 |
$1,640.25 |
$716.46 |
| 19th Jun |
UFC FN |
88 |
0.4 |
0% |
|
$7.16 |
$716.46 |
$719.14 |
| 26th Jun |
UFC FN |
88 |
-15.4 |
-17% |
|
$7.19 |
$719.14 |
$608.71 |
| 10th Jul |
UFC 264 |
99 |
-16.3 |
-16% |
|
$6.09 |
$608.71 |
$509.61 |
| 17th Jul |
UFC FN |
55 |
13.4 |
24% |
|
$5.10 |
$509.61 |
$578.00 |
| 24th Jul |
UFC FN |
44 |
-13.8 |
-31% |
|
$5.78 |
$578.00 |
$498.52 |
| 31st Jul |
UFC FN |
11 |
5.5 |
50% |
|
$4.99 |
$498.52 |
$525.94 |
| 7th Aug |
UFC 265 |
77 |
-10.7 |
-14% |
|
$5.26 |
$525.94 |
$469.54 |
| 21st Aug |
UFC FN |
55 |
-7.1 |
-13% |
|
$4.70 |
$469.54 |
$435.97 |
| 28th Aug |
UFC FN |
22 |
24.9 |
113% |
|
$4.36 |
$435.97 |
$544.35 |
| 4th Sep |
UFC FN |
33 |
-12.4 |
-38% |
|
$5.44 |
$544.35 |
$476.69 |
| 18th Sep |
UFC FN |
55 |
-15.1 |
-27% |
|
$4.77 |
$476.69 |
$404.85 |
| 25th Sep |
UFC 266 |
55 |
-1.4 |
-3% |
|
$4.05 |
$404.85 |
$399.06 |
| 2nd Oct |
UFC FN |
55 |
-16.9 |
-31% |
|
$3.99 |
$399.06 |
$331.46 |
| 9th Oct |
UFC FN |
165 |
38.7 |
23% |
|
$3.31 |
$331.46 |
$459.80 |
| 16th Oct |
UFC FN |
88 |
-30.4 |
-35% |
|
$4.60 |
$459.80 |
$320.20 |
| 23rd Oct |
UFC FN |
121 |
-4.9 |
-4% |
|
$3.20 |
$320.20 |
$304.64 |
| 30th Oct |
UFC 267 |
99 |
15.3 |
15% |
|
$3.05 |
$304.64 |
$351.22 |
| 6th Nov |
UFC 268 |
142 |
58.2 |
41% |
|
$3.51 |
$351.22 |
$555.63 |
| 13th Nov |
UFC FN |
99 |
-48.5 |
-49% |
|
$5.56 |
$555.63 |
$286.10 |
| 20th Nov |
UFC FN |
88 |
41.9 |
48% |
|
$2.86 |
$286.10 |
$406.00 |
| 4th Dec |
UFC FN |
98 |
-60.6 |
-62% |
|
$4.06 |
$406.00 |
$159.84 |
| 11th Dec |
UFC 269 |
97 |
22.9 |
24% |
|
$1.60 |
$159.84 |
$196.38 |
| 18th Dec |
UFC FN |
100 |
-61.8 |
-62% |
|
$1.96 |
$196.38 |
$75.08 |
| 23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
43 |
13.5 |
31% |
|
$0.75 |
$75.08 |
$85.24 |
| 7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
38 |
-13.2 |
-35% |
|
$0.85 |
$85.24 |
$73.99 |
| 13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
53 |
25.9 |
49% |
|
$0.74 |
$73.99 |
$93.19 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -90.68% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Reaper Project: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
| 1. |
Apr '24 |
Aljamain Sterling |
Calvin Kattar |
1.57 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 2. |
Apr '24 |
Renato Moicano |
Jalin Turner |
2.85 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (4:11) |
|
|
| 3. |
Apr '24 |
Diego Lopes |
Sodiq Yusuff |
1.70 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (1:29) |
|
|
| 4. |
Apr '24 |
Jiri Prochazka |
Aleksandar Rakic |
2.00 |
10 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
|
|
| 5. |
Apr '24 |
Alex Pereira |
Jamahal Hill |
1.77 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (3:14) |
|
|
| 6. |
Oct '23 |
Drew Dober |
Rick Glenn |
1.23 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (2:36) |
|
|
| 7. |
Oct '23 |
Joe Pyfer |
Abdul Razak Alhassan |
1.25 |
10 |
Sub, R2 (2:5) |
|
|
| 8. |
Sep '23 |
Mohammed Usman |
Jake Collier |
1.67 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 9. |
Sep '23 |
Miles Johns |
Dan Argueta |
2.47 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 10. |
Sep '23 |
Marina Alcalde Rodriguez |
Michelle Waterson |
1.31 |
10 |
TKO, R2 (2:42) |
|
|
| 11. |
Sep '23 |
Bryan Battle |
A.J. Fletcher |
1.49 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (4:32) |
|
|
| 12. |
Sep '23 |
Bryce Mitchell |
Dan Ige |
1.49 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 13. |
Sep '23 |
Mateusz Gamrot |
Rafael Fiziev |
2.33 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (2:3) |
|
|
| 14. |
Dec '21 |
Alex Morono |
Mickey Gall |
1.40 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 15. |
Nov '21 |
Marlon Vera |
Frankie Edgar |
1.58 |
11 |
TKO, R3 (3:50) |
|
|
| 16. |
Nov '21 |
Shane Burgos |
Billy Quarantillo |
1.50 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 17. |
Nov '21 |
Chris Barnett |
Gian Villante |
2.08 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (2:23) |
|
|
| 18. |
Nov '21 |
Bobby Green |
Al Iaquinta |
1.57 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (2:25) |
|
|
| 19. |
Oct '21 |
Nick Negumereanu |
Ike Villanueva |
1.43 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (1:18) |
|
|
| 20. |
Oct '21 |
Jessica-Rose Clark |
Joselyne Edwards |
1.60 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
| 1. |
Apr '24 |
Justin Gaethje |
Max Holloway |
1.65 |
10 |
TKO, R5 (4:59) |
No |
|
|
| 2. |
Oct '23 |
Kanako Murata |
Vanessa Demopoulos |
1.33 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 3. |
Oct '23 |
Johnny Munoz |
Qileng Aori |
1.89 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 4. |
Oct '23 |
Grant Dawson |
Bobby Green |
1.21 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (0:33) |
No |
|
|
| 5. |
Sep '23 |
Jacob Malkoun |
Cody Brundage |
1.20 |
1 |
|
No |
|
|
| 6. |
Sep '23 |
Andre Fialho |
Tim Means |
1.57 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (1:15) |
No |
|
|
| 7. |
Sep '23 |
Ricardo Ramos |
Charles Jourdain |
2.15 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (3:12) |
No |
|
|
| 8. |
Dec '21 |
Leonardo Santos |
Clay Guida |
1.43 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (1:21) |
No |
|
|
| 9. |
Dec '21 |
Brad Riddell |
Rafael Fiziev |
2.08 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (2:20) |
No |
|
|
| 10. |
Dec '21 |
Rob Font |
Jose Aldo |
1.65 |
5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 11. |
Nov '21 |
Edmen Shahbazyan |
Nassourdine Imavov |
2.01 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (4:42) |
No |
|
|
| 12. |
Oct '21 |
Livia Renata Souza |
Randa Markos |
1.81 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 13. |
Oct '21 |
Khama Worthy |
Jai Herbert |
2.56 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (2:47) |
No |
|
|
| 14. |
Oct '21 |
Laureano Staropoli |
Jamie Pickett |
1.45 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 15. |
Oct '21 |
Jun Yong Park |
Gregory Rodrigues |
2.05 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (3:13) |
No |
|
|
| 16. |
Oct '21 |
Dwight Grant |
Francisco Trinaldo |
2.17 |
3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 17. |
Oct '21 |
Seung Woo Choi |
Alex Caceres |
1.36 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (3:31) |
No |
|
|
| 18. |
Oct '21 |
Ramazan Emeev |
Danny Roberts |
1.34 |
11 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 19. |
Oct '21 |
Ludovit Klein |
Nate Landwehr |
1.28 |
11 |
Sub, R3 (2:22) |
No |
|
|
| 20. |
Oct '21 |
Carlos Felipe |
Andrei Arlovski |
1.95 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Reaper Project: Progress Chart |
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