MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6362
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MMA Handicapper Stats: That Guy Who Makes Sharp Plays

That Guy Who Makes Sharp Plays (KnifePointPlays)

MMA MHandicapper - That Guy Who Makes Sharp Plays

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	22 (61%)	Right	13 (59%)	Right	4 (50%)	Right	5 (83%)
Wrong	14 (39%)	Wrong	9 (41%)	Wrong	4 (50%)	Wrong	1 (17%)
Avg Odds	1.88	Avg Odds	1.72	Avg Odds	2.52	Avg Odds	1.92
Units Bet	148.0	Units Bet	90.0	Units Bet	28.0	Units Bet	30.0
Avg Bet	4.11	Avg Bet	4.09	Avg Bet	3.50	Avg Bet	5.00
Units Profit	13.95	Units Profit	0.61	Units Profit	-0.65	Units Profit	13.98
ROI %	9%	ROI %	1%	ROI %	-2%	ROI %	47%

That Guy Who Makes Sharp Plays: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
6th Feb '21	UFC FN	14	-2.2	-16%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	5.8 / 6 (96%)
24th Jan '21	UFC 257	16	-4.3	-27%	-3.2 / 7 (-46%)		-1.1 / 9 (-12%)
16th Jan '21	UFC FN	18	11.6	65%	2.5 / 13 (19%)	9.1 / 5 (182%)
19th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 17	16	6.2	39%	6.2 / 16 (39%)
13th Dec '20	UFC 256	14	10.0	72%	8.3 / 8 (104%)		1.7 / 6 (29%)
10th Dec '20	Cage Warriors 117	2	1.1	56%	1.1 / 2 (56%)
29th Oct '20	Bellator 250	10	-2.0	-20%	-2.0 / 10 (-20%)
17th Oct '20	UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie	15	-7.5	-50%	-2.5 / 10 (-25%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
10th Oct '20	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	23	-0.8	-4%	-2.0 / 9 (-22%)	-4.6 / 10 (-46%)	5.8 / 4 (145%)
10th Oct '20	Bellator 248	5	2.1	42%	2.1 / 5 (42%)
4th Oct '20	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	15	-0.3	-2%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	2.9 / 5 (57%)	1.8 / 5 (36%)

Winning Events: 5 (45%)
Losing Events: 6 (55%)

Average Staked Per Event: 13.45 units
Most Staked On One Event: 23.00 units
Best Event: 11.63 units
Worst Event: -7.50 units
Average Event: 1.27 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 29.00
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -10.27

That Guy Who Makes Sharp Plays: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	48	5.1	11%	-5.7 / 25 (-23%)	6.1 / 8 (76%)	4.7 / 15 (31%)	1 / 2 (33%)	1.70
2020	100	8.9	9%	6.3 / 65 (10%)	-6.8 / 20 (-34%)	9.3 / 15 (62%)	4 / 4 (50%)	1.11

That Guy Who Makes Sharp Plays: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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That Guy Who Makes Sharp Plays: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	131	12.7	10%	-0.7 / 73 (-1%)	-0.7 / 28 (-2%)	14.0 / 30 (47%)
Bellator	15	0.1	1%	0.1 / 15 (1%)
Other	2	1.1	56%	1.1 / 2 (56%)

That Guy Who Makes Sharp Plays: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	6 (27%)	5	83 %	30.00	6.00	1.00	20%
Slight Favorites	10 (45%)	6	60 %	39.00	-1.89	-0.19	-5%
Slight Underdogs	6 (27%)	2	33 %	21.00	-3.50	-0.58	-17%
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	5 (23%)	4	80 %	22.00	7.50	1.50	34%
Co-Main Event	5 (23%)	4	80 %	21.00	5.61	1.12	27%
Position 3-5	4 (18%)	1	25 %	11.00	-7.20	-1.80	-65%
6+ (Undercard)	8 (36%)	4	50 %	36.00	-5.30	-0.66	-15%

That Guy Who Makes Sharp Plays: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Middleweight	3 (14%)	1	33 %	13.00	-4.95	-1.65	-38%
Welterweight	5 (23%)	3	60 %	21.00	3.30	0.66	16%
Lightweight	4 (18%)	2	50 %	18.00	-1.70	-0.42	-9%
Featherweight	5 (23%)	3	60 %	24.00	-1.47	-0.29	-6%
Bantamweight	2 (9%)	2	100 %	5.00	3.13	1.57	63%

Women's Fights	3 (14%)	2	67 %	9.00	2.30	0.77	26%
Flyweight	3 (14%)	2	67 %	9.00	2.30	0.77	26%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	11 (92%)	7	64 %
Slight Favorites	1 (8%)	1	100 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	12	8	67 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
50-65%	3 (33%)	3	100 %
35-50%	2 (22%)	1	50 %
<35% chance	4 (44%)	1	25 %
	9	5	56 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Goes to Decision	2 (22%)	2	100 %	1.68	1.80	1.57	1.4 (68%)
X Wins by Decision	7 (78%)	3	43 %	2.71	3.80	1.67	0.6 (8%)
	9	5	56 %	2.38			1.9 (22%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail That Guy Who Makes Sharp Plays's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
4th Oct	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	15	-0.3	-2%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$996.50
10th Oct	Bellator 248	5	2.1	42%		$9.97	$996.50	$1,017.43
10th Oct	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	23	-0.8	-4%		$10.17	$1,017.43	$1,009.13
17th Oct	UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie	15	-7.5	-50%		$10.09	$1,009.13	$933.44
29th Oct	Bellator 250	10	-2.0	-20%		$9.33	$933.44	$915.24
10th Dec	Cage Warriors 117	2	1.1	56%		$9.15	$915.24	$925.49
13th Dec	UFC 256	14	10.0	72%		$9.25	$925.49	$1,018.41
19th Dec	UFC Vegas 17	16	6.2	39%		$10.18	$1,018.41	$1,081.65
16th Jan	UFC FN	18	11.6	65%		$10.82	$1,081.65	$1,207.49
24th Jan	UFC 257	16	-4.3	-27%	$5	$12.07	$1,207.49	$1,150.35
6th Feb	UFC FN	14	-2.2	-16%		$11.50	$1,150.35	$1,124.76

ROI % from starting bank balance: 12.48% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

That Guy Who Makes Sharp Plays: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jan '21	Joanne Wood	Jessica Eye	1.90	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Jan '21	Austin Lingo	Jacob Kilburn	1.44	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Jan '21	Max Holloway	Calvin Kattar	1.67	5	U Decision (5 rounds)
4.	Dec '20	Jose Aldo	Marlon Vera	1.67	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Dec '20	Anthony Pettis	Alex Morono	1.44	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Dec '20	Stephen Thompson	Geoff Neal	2.00	5	U Decision (5 rounds)
7.	Dec '20	Charles Oliveira	Tony Ferguson	2.50	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Dec '20	Rafael Fiziev	Renato Moicano	1.76	5	TKO, R1 (4:5)
9.	Dec '20	Jake Hadley	Luke Shanks	1.56	2	U Decision (5 rounds)
10.	Oct '20	Gegard Mousasi	Douglas Lima	1.61	5	U Decision (5 rounds)
11.	Oct '20	Gillian Robertson	Poliana Botelho	1.50	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Oct '20	Michael Page	Ross Houston	1.42	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Oct '20	Edson Barboza	Makwan Amirkhani	1.40	5	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Feb '21	Carlos Diego Ferreira	Beneil Dariush	2.00	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Jan '21	Daniel Hooker	Michael Chandler	1.80	5	TKO, R1 (2:30)	No
3.	Jan '21	Dusko Todorovic	Punahele Soriano	1.70	3	TKO, R1 (4:48)	No
4.	Dec '20	Gillian Robertson	Taila Santos	2.00	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Dec '20	Kalinn Williams	Michel Pereira	2.10	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Oct '20	Taylor Johnson	Johnny Eblen	1.90	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Oct '20	Chan Sung Jung	Brian Ortega	1.53	5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
8.	Oct '20	Youssef Zalal	Ilia Topuria	1.70	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Oct '20	Jordan Williams	Nassourdine Imavov	2.10	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

That Guy Who Makes Sharp Plays: Progress Chart

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