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MMA Handicapper Stats: MysticMilli

MysticMilli (mysticmilli)


MMA MHandicapper - MysticMilli

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 31 (38%) Right 12 (32%) Right 9 (30%) Right 10 (67%)
Wrong 51 (62%) Wrong 25 (68%) Wrong 21 (70%) Wrong 5 (33%)
Avg Odds 2.62 Avg Odds 2.43 Avg Odds 3.30 Avg Odds 2.15
Units Bet 84.6 Units Bet 40.4 Units Bet 21.0 Units Bet 23.2
Avg Bet 1.03 Avg Bet 1.09 Avg Bet 0.70 Avg Bet 1.54
Units Profit 1.05 Units Profit -4.78 Units Profit -2.94 Units Profit 8.77
ROI % 1% ROI % -12% ROI % -14% ROI % 38%
View Handicapper's Profile

MysticMilli : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 2.16 -0.0 -0% 1.0 / 1.16 (86%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
20th Jan '21 UFC on ESPN 20 5.69 -0.4 -8% -1.2 / 1.2 (-100%) -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%) 2.0 / 3.24 (62%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 3.12 -0.7 -24% -2.1 / 2.12 (-100%) 1.4 / 1 (137%)
19th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 17 6.07 1.5 24% 0.8 / 3.77 (21%) 0.7 / 2.3 (30%)
13th Dec '20 UFC 256 12.01 -0.5 -4% -1.6 / 4 (-39%) -0.6 / 0.6 (-100%) 1.7 / 7.41 (23%)
6th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 16 4.56 -0.0 -1% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 0.5 / 1.56 (32%) 1.5 / 1 (147%)
29th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 15 2.1 -0.0 -0% -0.0 / 2.1 (-0%)
21st Nov '20 UFC 255 3.8 0.3 7% 0.9 / 2 (43%) -0.6 / 1.8 (-33%)
14th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 14 6.32 2.6 41% 1.8 / 4.02 (46%) 0.7 / 2.3 (32%)
11th Nov '20 DWCS 35 2 -2.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
8th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 13 3.78 -1.4 -38% -0.3 / 2.6 (-10%) -1.2 / 1.18 (-100%)
31st Oct '20 UFC Vegas 12 6.36 4.0 63% 0.3 / 2 (13%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) 4.0 / 4.11 (98%)
24th Oct '20 UFC 254 7.67 1.2 16% -1.9 / 4 (-48%) 1.6 / 2.67 (58%) 1.6 / 1 (156%)
17th Oct '20 UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 6.26 0.7 11% 2.0 / 4.93 (41%) -1.3 / 1.33 (-100%)
10th Oct '20 UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 6.01 -4.0 -66% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -1.8 / 1.8 (-100%) -0.2 / 2.21 (-8%)
4th Oct '20 UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 6.69 -0.1 -1% 0.3 / 4.14 (6%) -0.3 / 2.55 (-14%)


Winning Events: 6 (38%)
Losing Events: 10 (63%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.29 units
Most Staked On One Event: 12.01 units
Best Event: 4.02 units
Worst Event: -3.99 units
Average Event: 0.07 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 5.91
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -4.08

MysticMilli : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 10.97 -1.2 -11% -2.3 / 4.48 (-52%) -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%) 2.4 / 5.24 (45%) / 3 (0%) -0.40
2020 73.63 2.2 3% -2.5 / 35.96 (-7%) -1.7 / 19.76 (-9%) 6.4 / 17.91 (36%) 6 / 7 (46%) 0.17

MysticMilli : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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MysticMilli : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 82.6 3.0 4% -3.8 / 39.44 (-10%) -2.9 / 21.01 (-14%) 9.8 / 22.15 (44%)
Other 2 -2.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)

MysticMilli : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%
Slight Favorites 12 (31%) 7 58 % 14.85 2.95 0.25 20%
Slight Underdogs 15 (38%) 4 27 % 15.00 -5.87 -0.39 -39%
Big Underdogs 12 (31%) 3 25 % 10.59 -1.86 -0.16 -18%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 4 (10%) 1 25 % 4.10 -2.00 -0.50 -49%
Co-Main Event 6 (15%) 3 50 % 7.93 2.02 0.34 25%
Position 3-5 12 (31%) 6 50 % 11.99 2.68 0.22 22%
6+ (Undercard) 17 (44%) 4 24 % 16.42 -7.48 -0.44 -46%

MysticMilli : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 2 (5%) 1 50 % 2.00 0.10 0.05 5%
Light Heavy 3 (8%) 1 33 % 3.10 -1.00 -0.33 -32%
Middleweight 6 (15%) 1 17 % 6.05 -3.89 -0.65 -64%
Welterweight 6 (15%) 3 50 % 6.35 1.11 0.19 17%
Lightweight 3 (8%) 0 % 3.00 -3.00 -1.00 -100%
Featherweight 5 (13%) 1 20 % 5.00 -2.57 -0.51 -51%
Bantamweight 4 (10%) 1 25 % 2.59 -0.24 -0.06 -9%
               
Women's Fights 10 (26%) 6 60 % 12.35 4.71 0.47 38%
Bantamweight 2 (5%) 2 100 % 2.40 2.00 1.00 83%
Flyweight 5 (13%) 3 60 % 6.93 2.87 0.57 41%
Strawweight 3 (8%) 1 33 % 3.02 -0.16 -0.05 -5%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 20 (74%) 16 80 %
Slight Favorites 7 (26%) 5 71 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
27 21 78 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 2 (6%) 2 100 %
50-65% 13 (36%) 7 54 %
35-50% 4 (11%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 17 (47%) 3 18 %
36 12 33 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (3%) 1 100 % 1.89 1.89Pick was correct 1.89Pick was correct 0.9 (89%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (3%) 0 0 % 1.93 1.93Pick was incorrect 1.93Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision 6 (17%) 4 67 % 1.63 2.10Pick was incorrect 1.35Pick was correct 0.2 (4%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (3%) 0 0 % 1.77 1.77Pick was incorrect 1.77Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 8 (22%) 2 25 % 3.52 11.00Pick was incorrect 1.74Pick was correct 0.5 (7%)
X Wins by Sub 7 (19%) 1 14 % 8.25 17.70Pick was incorrect 5.50Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-14%)
X Wins by Decision 1 (3%) 1 100 % 3.00 3.00Pick was correct 3.00Pick was correct 2.0 (200%)
X Wins Inside Distance 8 (22%) 3 38 % 2.01 4.00Pick was incorrect 1.63Pick was incorrect -2.7 (-34%)
X Wins in Round X 3 (8%) 0 0 % 15.23 18.75Pick was incorrect 13.00Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
36 12 33 % 2.79     -5.0 (-14%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail MysticMilli 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
4th Oct UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 6.69 -0.1 -1% $10.00 $1,000.00 $999.10
10th Oct UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 6.01 -4.0 -66% $9.99 $999.10 $959.27
17th Oct UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 6.26 0.7 11% $9.59 $959.27 $965.77
24th Oct UFC 254 7.67 1.2 16% $9.66 $965.77 $977.42
31st Oct UFC Vegas 12 6.36 4.0 63% $9.77 $977.42 $1,016.76
8th Nov UFC Vegas 13 3.78 -1.4 -38% $10.17 $1,016.76 $1,002.22
11th Nov DWCS 35 2 -2.0 -100% $10.02 $1,002.22 $982.17
14th Nov UFC Vegas 14 6.32 2.6 41% $9.82 $982.17 $1,007.61
21st Nov UFC 255 3.8 0.3 7% $10.08 $1,007.61 $1,010.23
29th Nov UFC Vegas 15 2.1 -0.0 -0% $10.10 $1,010.23 $1,010.23
6th Dec UFC Vegas 16 4.56 -0.0 -1% $10.10 $1,010.23 $1,009.86
13th Dec UFC 256 12.01 -0.5 -4% $10.10 $1,009.86 $1,005.29
19th Dec UFC Vegas 17 6.07 1.5 24% $10.05 $1,005.29 $1,020.17
16th Jan UFC FN 3.12 -0.7 -24% $10.20 $1,020.17 $1,012.54
20th Jan UFC on ESPN 20 5.69 -0.4 -8% $10.13 $1,012.54 $1,007.99
24th Jan UFC 257 2.16 -0.0 -0% $10.08 $1,007.99 $1,007.99


ROI % from starting bank balance: 0.80% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

MysticMilli : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jan '21 Brad Tavares Antonio Carlos Junior 1.86 1.16 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '20 Rob Font Marlon Moraes 2.35 1 TKO, R1 (3:47) MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '20 Michel Pereira Kalinn Williams 1.83 1.2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '20 Cub Swanson Daniel Pineda 2.43 1 TKO, R2 (1:52) MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '20 Anthony Smith Devin Clark 1.91 1.1 Sub, R1 (2:34) MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '20 Kalinn Williams Abdul Razak Alhassan 3.01 1 TKO, R1 (0:30) MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '20 Katlyn Chookagian Cynthia Calvillo 2.86 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '20 Cory McKenna Kay Hansen 2.86 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '20 Jason Witt Cole Williams 2.25 1 Sub, R2 (2:9) MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '20 Tai Tuivasa Stefan Struve 2.10 1 TKO, R1 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '20 Jessica Andrade Katlyn Chookagian 1.76 2.63 TKO, R1 (4:55) MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '20 Jessica Andrade Katlyn Chookagian 1.77 1.3 TKO, R1 (4:55) MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '20 Germaine de Randamie Julianna Pena 1.83 0.4 Sub, R3 (3:25) MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '20 Germaine de Randamie Julianna Pena 1.83 2 Sub, R3 (3:25) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jan '21 Justin Tafa Carlos Felipe 2.74 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jan '21 Dusko Todorovic Punahele Soriano 1.89 1.12 TKO, R1 (4:48) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '20 Jamie Pickett Tafon Nchukwi 3.99 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '20 Antonio Arroyo Deron Winn 1.62 0.57 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '21 Tom Breese Omari Akhmedov 1.83 1.2 Sub, R2 (1:41) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '20 Virna Jandiroba Mackenzie Dern 2.58 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '20 Justin Jaynes Gabriel Benitez 2.86 1 TKO, R1 (4:6) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '20 Ovince St Preux Jamahal Hill 2.53 1 TKO, R2 (3:37) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '20 Billy Quarantillo Gavin Tucker 2.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '20 Peter Barrett Chase Hooper 3.46 1 Sub, R3 (3:2) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '20 Takashi Sato Miguel Baeza 2.69 1 Sub, R2 (4:28) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '20 Ariane Lipski Antonina Shevchenko 2.33 1 TKO, R2 (4:33) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '20 Shaheen Santana Natan Levy 2.18 1 Sub, R3 (0:55) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '20 Paul Felder Rafael dos Anjos 2.58 1 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '20 Miranda Granger Ashley Yoder 1.98 1.02 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '20 Kevin Natividad Miles Johns 2.64 1 TKO, R3 (2:51) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Oct '20 Alex Oliveira Shavkat Rakhmonov 2.03 1 Sub, R1 (4:40) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Oct '20 Justin Gaethje Khabib Nurmagomedov 3.84 1 Sub, R2 (1:34) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '20 Liana Jojua Miranda Maverick 4.50 1 TKO, R1 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Oct '20 Modestas Bukauskas Jim Crute 3.94 1 TKO, R1 (2:1) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

MysticMilli : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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