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Total MMA Handicappers: 3262
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 1264

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Von Flue Choke

Von Flue Choke (MMAjapon)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Von Flue Choke

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 59 (40%) Right 16 (50%) Right 25 (35%) Right 18 (42%)
Wrong 87 (60%) Wrong 16 (50%) Wrong 46 (65%) Wrong 25 (58%)
Avg Odds 2.64 Avg Odds 1.98 Avg Odds 3.90 Avg Odds 2.06
Units Bet 179.9 Units Bet 62.5 Units Bet 52.1 Units Bet 65.3
Avg Bet 1.23 Avg Bet 1.95 Avg Bet 0.73 Avg Bet 1.52
Units Profit 10.53 Units Profit 5.75 Units Profit 17.73 Units Profit -12.95
ROI % 6% ROI % 9% ROI % 34% ROI % -20%
View Handicapper's Profile

Von Flue Choke: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
1st May '21 UFC FN 6.8 1.2 18% 1.1 / 2 (53%) -0.8 / 0.8 (-100%) 1.0 / 4 (25%)
24th Apr '21 UFC 261 4 5.1 129% 1.1 / 2 (57%) 3.0 / 1 (300%) 1.0 / 1 (100%)
17th Apr '21 UFC FN 3 2.9 97% 1.5 / 1 (150%) 1.4 / 2 (70%)
10th Apr '21 UFC FN 6.1 -6.1 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -4.6 / 4.6 (-100%)
28th Mar '21 UFC 260 2.7 -0.6 -22% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -0.1 / 2.2 (-5%)
21st Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 188 7.7 0.0 1% 1.5 / 1.5 (100%) 0.5 / 4.2 (13%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
13th Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 187 7.5 2.3 31% 3.9 / 4 (98%) -1.6 / 3.5 (-45%)
6th Mar '21 UFC 259 8.5 -1.2 -14% 0.0 / 2 (0%) -0.3 / 3.5 (-8%) -0.9 / 3 (-30%)
28th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 186 4 -0.9 -21% 1.1 / 2 (57%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 18.3 -5.9 -32% -0.6 / 10.5 (-5%) 0.7 / 1.8 (39%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
14th Feb '21 UFC 258 3 3.0 102% 3.0 / 3 (102%)
6th Feb '21 UFC FN 7.5 5.0 67% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 3.0 / 2.5 (120%) 2.5 / 4.5 (56%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 8.25 1.3 16% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 4.8 / 1.75 (271%) -1.9 / 5 (-39%)
20th Jan '21 UFC on ESPN 20 7.5 -0.2 -3% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) 3.3 / 4 (82%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 6 4.4 73% 0.9 / 1 (91%) 1.6 / 2 (79%) 1.9 / 3 (63%)
19th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 17 7 1.4 20% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 3.4 / 5 (68%)
13th Dec '20 UFC 256 2.5 -2.5 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
6th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 16 7.5 2.1 29% 4.1 / 5.5 (75%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
29th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 15 12 -2.1 -17% -1.3 / 6 (-21%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 1.2 / 4 (30%)
21st Nov '20 UFC 255 21 -2.8 -13% 4.0 / 10 (40%) -1.8 / 6 (-30%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
21st Nov '20 Rizin 25 8 -1.4 -17% 1.7 / 5 (33%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
21st Nov '20 LFA 95 3 0.7 22% 0.7 / 3 (22%)
19th Nov '20 Bellator 253 6 0.1 2% 0.1 / 6 (2%)
18th Nov '20 DWCS 36 11 6.4 58% 1.6 / 9 (18%) 4.8 / 2 (240%)
4th Oct '20 UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)


Winning Events: 14 (56%)
Losing Events: 11 (44%)

Average Staked Per Event: 7.23 units
Most Staked On One Event: 21.00 units
Best Event: 6.40 units
Worst Event: -6.10 units
Average Event: 0.42 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 9.41
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -7.91

Von Flue Choke: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 100.85 10.6 10% 2.2 / 24 (9%) 14.4 / 32.05 (45%) -6.0 / 44.8 (-13%) 9 / 6 (60%) 0.71
2020 80 -0.0 -0% 3.6 / 38.5 (9%) 3.3 / 21 (16%) -6.9 / 20.5 (-34%) 5 / 5 (50%) -0.00

Von Flue Choke: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Von Flue Choke: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 152.85 4.7 3% 2.4 / 42.5 (6%) 12.3 / 48.05 (26%) -9.9 / 62.3 (-16%)
Bellator 6 0.1 2% 0.1 / 6 (2%)
Other 22 5.7 26% 3.2 / 14 (23%) 5.5 / 5 (109%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)

Von Flue Choke: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 7 (22%) 6 86 % 25.50 4.80 0.69 19%
Slight Favorites 8 (25%) 6 75 % 19.00 5.35 0.67 28%
Slight Underdogs 9 (28%) 3 33 % 11.50 -2.10 -0.23 -18%
Big Underdogs 8 (25%) 1 13 % 6.50 -2.30 -0.29 -35%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 3 (9%) 1 33 % 7.00 -0.60 -0.20 -9%
Co-Main Event 4 (13%) 2 50 % 4.50 2.76 0.69 61%
Position 3-5 7 (22%) 4 57 % 21.00 0.74 0.11 4%
6+ (Undercard) 18 (56%) 9 50 % 30.00 2.85 0.16 10%

Von Flue Choke: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 3 (9%) 2 67 % 4.50 3.20 1.07 71%
Light Heavy 1 (3%) 1 100 % 3.00 1.59 1.59 53%
Middleweight 5 (16%) 2 40 % 6.50 -0.36 -0.07 -6%
Welterweight 3 (9%) 2 67 % 6.00 3.41 1.14 57%
Lightweight 3 (9%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -0.67 -100%
Featherweight 5 (16%) 2 40 % 14.00 -4.84 -0.97 -35%
Bantamweight 2 (6%) 1 50 % 2.50 0.64 0.32 26%
Flyweight 4 (13%) 2 50 % 12.00 1.05 0.26 9%
               
Women's Fights 6 (19%) 4 67 % 12.00 3.06 0.51 26%
Bantamweight 2 (6%) 2 100 % 4.00 2.62 1.31 66%
Flyweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 4.00 2.44 2.44 61%
Strawweight 3 (9%) 1 33 % 4.00 -2.00 -0.67 -50%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 35 (88%) 21 60 %
Slight Favorites 5 (13%) 3 60 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
40 24 60 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 44 (34%) 31 70 %
50-65% 13 (10%) 7 54 %
35-50% 16 (13%) 8 50 %
<35% chance 55 (43%) 16 29 %
128 62 48 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 26 (20%) 19 73 % 1.39 2.00Pick was correct 1.14Pick was correct 1.1 (4%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 9 (7%) 7 78 % 1.71 3.40Pick was correct 1.40Pick was correct 4.3 (48%)
Goes to Decision 13 (10%) 8 62 % 1.56 3.50Pick was incorrect 1.28Pick was correct -1.2 (-9%)
Does not go to Decision 12 (9%) 7 58 % 1.41 2.37Pick was correct 1.17Pick was correct -1.2 (-10%)
X Wins by KO 13 (10%) 6 46 % 3.82 13.00Pick was correct 2.10Pick was correct 20.4 (157%)
X Wins by Sub 16 (13%) 4 25 % 4.82 19.00Pick was incorrect 2.10Pick was correct 1.9 (12%)
X Wins by Decision 15 (12%) 3 20 % 3.71 6.50Pick was correct 2.05Pick was incorrect -0.6 (-4%)
X Wins Inside Distance 9 (7%) 3 33 % 3.17 8.00Pick was incorrect 1.61Pick was incorrect 2.5 (28%)
X Wins in Round X 10 (8%) 2 20 % 5.21 29.00Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was incorrect 6.0 (60%)
Others 5 (4%) 3 60 % 1.85 11.00Pick was incorrect 1.25Pick was correct -1.1 (-22%)
128 62 48 % 2.17     32.2 (25%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Von Flue Choke's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
4th Oct UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 2 -2.0 -100% $5 $10.00 $1,000.00 $975.00
18th Nov DWCS 36 11 6.4 58% $9.75 $975.00 $1,037.40
19th Nov Bellator 253 6 0.1 2% $10.37 $1,037.40 $1,038.44
21st Nov LFA 95 3 0.7 22% $10.38 $1,038.44 $1,045.29
21st Nov Rizin 25 8 -1.4 -17% $10.45 $1,045.29 $1,031.18
21st Nov UFC 255 21 -2.8 -13% $10.31 $1,031.18 $1,002.31
29th Nov UFC Vegas 15 12 -2.1 -17% $10.02 $1,002.31 $981.50
6th Dec UFC Vegas 16 7.5 2.1 29% $9.81 $981.50 $1,002.50
13th Dec UFC 256 2.5 -2.5 -100% $10.03 $1,002.50 $977.44
19th Dec UFC Vegas 17 7 1.4 20% $9.77 $977.44 $990.89
16th Jan UFC FN 6 4.4 73% $9.91 $990.89 $1,034.11
20th Jan UFC on ESPN 20 7.5 -0.2 -3% $10.34 $1,034.11 $1,031.65
24th Jan UFC 257 8.25 1.3 16% $10.32 $1,031.65 $1,045.29
6th Feb UFC FN 7.5 5.0 67% $10.45 $1,045.29 $1,097.92
14th Feb UFC 258 3 3.0 102% $10.98 $1,097.92 $1,131.41
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 18.3 -5.9 -32% $11.31 $1,131.41 $1,065.11
28th Feb UFC Fight Night 186 4 -0.9 -21% $10.65 $1,065.11 $1,055.95
6th Mar UFC 259 8.5 -1.2 -14% $10.56 $1,055.95 $1,043.44
13th Mar UFC Fight Night 187 7.5 2.3 31% $10.43 $1,043.44 $1,067.64
21st Mar UFC Fight Night 188 7.7 0.0 1% $10.68 $1,067.64 $1,068.07
28th Mar UFC 260 2.7 -0.6 -22% $10.68 $1,068.07 $1,061.66
10th Apr UFC FN 6.1 -6.1 -100% $10.62 $1,061.66 $996.90
17th Apr UFC FN 3 2.9 97% $9.97 $996.90 $1,025.86
24th Apr UFC 261 4 5.1 129% $10.26 $1,025.86 $1,078.63
1st May UFC FN 6.8 1.2 18% $10.79 $1,078.63 $1,092.09


ROI % from starting bank balance: 9.21% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Von Flue Choke: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. May '21 Giga Chikadze Cub Swanson 1.53 2 TKO, R1 (1:3) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '21 Brendan Allen Karl Roberson 1.57 2 Sub, R1 (4:55) MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '21 Trevin Giles Roman Dolidze 2.00 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '21 Ronnie Lawrence Vince Cachero 1.57 2 TKO, R3 (2:38) MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '21 Sergey Spivak Jared Vanderaa 1.40 2.5 TKO, R2 (4:32) MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '21 Casey O'Neill Shana Dobson 1.61 4 TKO, R2 (3:41) MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '21 Amanda Lemos Livia Renata Souza 2.00 1 TKO, R1 (3:39) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '21 Joselyne Edwards Yanan Wu 1.91 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '20 Gina Mazany Rachael Ostovich 1.57 3 TKO, R3 (4:10) MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '20 Paul Craig Mauricio Rua 1.53 3 TKO, R2 (3:36) MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '20 Tatsuki Saomoto Daichi Kitakata 1.33 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '20 Alan Jouban Jared Gooden 1.67 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '20 Tim Means Mike Perry 2.20 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '20 Jeremy Kennedy Matt Bessette 1.22 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '20 J.P. Buys Jacob Silva 1.28 5 Sub, R1 (4:54) MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '20 Nick Maximov Oscar Ivan Cota 4.20 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '21 Jordan Espinosa Tim Elliott 1.91 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '21 Nassourdine Imavov Phil Hawes 2.00 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '21 Danny Chavez Jared Gordon 1.67 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '21 Frankie Edgar Cory Sandhagen 4.20 0.5 TKO, R1 (0:28) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '21 Antonio Carlos Junior Brad Tavares 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '21 Matt Frevola Arman Tsarukyan 5.50 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '21 Mason Jones Mike Davis 2.37 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '20 Carlton Minus Christos Giagos 3.50 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '20 Spike Carlyle Bill Algeo 1.53 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '20 Alex Perez Deiveson Figueiredo 3.30 1 Sub, R1 (1:57) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '20 Jordan Wright Joaquin Buckley 3.10 1 TKO, R2 (0:18) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '20 Darrion Caldwell A.J. McKee 3.50 1 Sub, R1 (1:11) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '20 Oscar Ivan Cota Nick Maximov 4.20 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '20 Pauline Macias Gloria de Paula 2.50 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '20 Paid Pick Jinh Yu Frey Loma Lookboonmee 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '20 Paid Pick Jessin Ayari Luigi Vendramini 2.00 1 TKO, R1 (1:12) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Von Flue Choke: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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