MMA Handicapper Stats: Von Flue Choke |
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Von Flue Choke: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
28th Feb '21 |
UFC Fight Night 186 |
4 |
-0.9 |
-21% |
1.1 / 2 (57%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
|
20th Feb '21 |
UFC Fight Night 185 |
18.3 |
-5.9 |
-32% |
-0.6 / 10.5 (-5%) |
0.7 / 1.8 (39%) |
-6.0 / 6 (-100%) |
14th Feb '21 |
UFC 258 |
3 |
3.0 |
102% |
|
3.0 / 3 (102%) |
|
6th Feb '21 |
UFC FN |
7.5 |
5.0 |
67% |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
3.0 / 2.5 (120%) |
2.5 / 4.5 (56%) |
24th Jan '21 |
UFC 257 |
8.25 |
1.3 |
16% |
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
4.8 / 1.75 (271%) |
-1.9 / 5 (-39%) |
20th Jan '21 |
UFC on ESPN 20 |
7.5 |
-0.2 |
-3% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) |
3.3 / 4 (82%) |
16th Jan '21 |
UFC FN |
6 |
4.4 |
73% |
0.9 / 1 (91%) |
1.6 / 2 (79%) |
1.9 / 3 (63%) |
19th Dec '20 |
UFC Vegas 17 |
7 |
1.4 |
20% |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
3.4 / 5 (68%) |
13th Dec '20 |
UFC 256 |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
6th Dec '20 |
UFC Vegas 16 |
7.5 |
2.1 |
29% |
|
4.1 / 5.5 (75%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
29th Nov '20 |
UFC Vegas 15 |
12 |
-2.1 |
-17% |
-1.3 / 6 (-21%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
1.2 / 4 (30%) |
21st Nov '20 |
UFC 255 |
21 |
-2.8 |
-13% |
4.0 / 10 (40%) |
-1.8 / 6 (-30%) |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
21st Nov '20 |
Rizin 25 |
8 |
-1.4 |
-17% |
1.7 / 5 (33%) |
|
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
21st Nov '20 |
LFA 95 |
3 |
0.7 |
22% |
|
0.7 / 3 (22%) |
|
19th Nov '20 |
Bellator 253 |
6 |
0.1 |
2% |
0.1 / 6 (2%) |
|
|
18th Nov '20 |
DWCS 36 |
11 |
6.4 |
58% |
1.6 / 9 (18%) |
4.8 / 2 (240%) |
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4th Oct '20 |
UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
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Winning Events: 9 (53%) Losing Events: 8 (47%)
Average Staked Per Event: 7.91 units Most Staked On One Event: 21.00 units Best Event: 6.40 units Worst Event: -5.86 units Average Event: 0.40 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 9.41 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -6.72 |
Von Flue Choke: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2021 |
54.55 |
6.8 |
12% |
-1.5 / 16.5 (-9%) |
8.6 / 15.55 (55%) |
-0.3 / 22.5 (-1%) |
4 / 3 (57%) |
0.97 |
2020 |
80 |
-0.0 |
-0% |
3.6 / 38.5 (9%) |
3.3 / 21 (16%) |
-6.9 / 20.5 (-34%) |
5 / 5 (50%) |
-0.00 |
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Von Flue Choke: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Von Flue Choke: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
106.55 |
1.0 |
1% |
-1.3 / 35 (-4%) |
6.4 / 31.55 (20%) |
-4.2 / 40 (-10%) |
Bellator |
6 |
0.1 |
2% |
0.1 / 6 (2%) |
|
|
Other |
22 |
5.7 |
26% |
3.2 / 14 (23%) |
5.5 / 5 (109%) |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
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Von Flue Choke: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
6 (22%) |
5 |
83 % |
23.50 |
3.74 |
0.62 |
16% |
Slight Favorites |
6 (22%) |
5 |
83 % |
16.00 |
5.21 |
0.87 |
33% |
Slight Underdogs |
7 (26%) |
1 |
14 % |
9.00 |
-4.60 |
-0.66 |
-51% |
Big Underdogs |
8 (30%) |
1 |
13 % |
6.50 |
-2.30 |
-0.29 |
-35% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
3 (11%) |
1 |
33 % |
7.00 |
-0.60 |
-0.20 |
-9% |
Co-Main Event |
3 (11%) |
1 |
33 % |
2.50 |
1.70 |
0.57 |
68% |
Position 3-5 |
7 (26%) |
4 |
57 % |
21.00 |
0.74 |
0.11 |
4% |
6+ (Undercard) |
14 (52%) |
6 |
43 % |
24.50 |
0.21 |
0.02 |
1% |
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Von Flue Choke: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
3 (11%) |
2 |
67 % |
4.50 |
3.20 |
1.07 |
71% |
Light Heavy |
1 (4%) |
1 |
100 % |
3.00 |
1.59 |
1.59 |
53% |
Middleweight |
3 (11%) |
|
0 % |
3.00 |
-3.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
Welterweight |
3 (11%) |
2 |
67 % |
6.00 |
3.41 |
1.14 |
57% |
Lightweight |
3 (11%) |
|
0 % |
2.00 |
-2.00 |
-0.67 |
-100% |
Featherweight |
4 (15%) |
1 |
25 % |
12.00 |
-5.90 |
-1.47 |
-49% |
Bantamweight |
2 (7%) |
1 |
50 % |
2.50 |
0.64 |
0.32 |
26% |
Flyweight |
3 (11%) |
2 |
67 % |
11.00 |
2.05 |
0.68 |
19% |
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
5 (19%) |
3 |
60 % |
11.00 |
2.06 |
0.41 |
19% |
Bantamweight |
2 (7%) |
2 |
100 % |
4.00 |
2.62 |
1.31 |
66% |
Flyweight |
1 (4%) |
1 |
100 % |
4.00 |
2.44 |
2.44 |
61% |
Strawweight |
2 (7%) |
|
0 % |
3.00 |
-3.00 |
-1.50 |
-100% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
20 (87%) |
14 |
70 % |
Slight Favorites |
3 (13%) |
1 |
33 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
23 |
15 |
65 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
27 (33%) |
21 |
78 % |
50-65% |
12 (15%) |
7 |
58 % |
35-50% |
11 (13%) |
4 |
36 % |
<35% chance |
32 (39%) |
10 |
31 % |
|
82 |
42 |
51 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Von Flue Choke's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
4th Oct |
UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$975.00 |
18th Nov |
DWCS 36 |
11 |
6.4 |
58% |
|
$9.75 |
$975.00 |
$1,037.40 |
19th Nov |
Bellator 253 |
6 |
0.1 |
2% |
|
$10.37 |
$1,037.40 |
$1,038.44 |
21st Nov |
LFA 95 |
3 |
0.7 |
22% |
|
$10.38 |
$1,038.44 |
$1,045.29 |
21st Nov |
Rizin 25 |
8 |
-1.4 |
-17% |
|
$10.45 |
$1,045.29 |
$1,031.18 |
21st Nov |
UFC 255 |
21 |
-2.8 |
-13% |
|
$10.31 |
$1,031.18 |
$1,002.31 |
29th Nov |
UFC Vegas 15 |
12 |
-2.1 |
-17% |
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$10.02 |
$1,002.31 |
$981.50 |
6th Dec |
UFC Vegas 16 |
7.5 |
2.1 |
29% |
|
$9.81 |
$981.50 |
$1,002.50 |
13th Dec |
UFC 256 |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.03 |
$1,002.50 |
$977.44 |
19th Dec |
UFC Vegas 17 |
7 |
1.4 |
20% |
|
$9.77 |
$977.44 |
$990.89 |
16th Jan |
UFC FN |
6 |
4.4 |
73% |
|
$9.91 |
$990.89 |
$1,034.11 |
20th Jan |
UFC on ESPN 20 |
7.5 |
-0.2 |
-3% |
|
$10.34 |
$1,034.11 |
$1,031.65 |
24th Jan |
UFC 257 |
8.25 |
1.3 |
16% |
|
$10.32 |
$1,031.65 |
$1,045.29 |
6th Feb |
UFC FN |
7.5 |
5.0 |
67% |
|
$10.45 |
$1,045.29 |
$1,097.92 |
14th Feb |
UFC 258 |
3 |
3.0 |
102% |
|
$10.98 |
$1,097.92 |
$1,131.41 |
20th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 185 |
18.3 |
-5.9 |
-32% |
|
$11.31 |
$1,131.41 |
$1,065.11 |
28th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 186 |
4 |
-0.9 |
-21% |
|
$10.65 |
$1,065.11 |
$1,055.95 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 5.59% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Von Flue Choke: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Von Flue Choke: Progress Chart |
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