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MMA Handicapper Stats: Jolly Swegman |
|
Jolly Swegman: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 22 (50%) Losing Events: 22 (50%)
Average Staked Per Event: 12.54 units Most Staked On One Event: 48.90 units Best Event: 13.98 units Worst Event: -13.99 units Average Event: 0.46 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 16.86 Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -22.12 |
Jolly Swegman: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2023 |
289.3 |
-4.8 |
-2% |
-6.1 / 177.65 (-3%) |
0.9 / 76.65 (1%) |
0.4 / 35 (1%) |
10 / 12 (45%) |
-0.22 |
2022 |
57.6 |
7.3 |
13% |
8.0 / 40.5 (20%) |
-2.3 / 10.5 (-22%) |
1.7 / 6.6 (26%) |
3 / 2 (60%) |
1.47 |
2021 |
55.5 |
11.6 |
21% |
13.7 / 47.5 (29%) |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
2.9 / 3 (98%) |
4 / 2 (67%) |
1.93 |
2020 |
149.3 |
6.0 |
4% |
11.1 / 88.55 (12%) |
-2.7 / 35.75 (-8%) |
-2.3 / 25 (-9%) |
5 / 6 (45%) |
0.55 |
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Jolly Swegman: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Jolly Swegman: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
551.7 |
20.2 |
4% |
26.6 / 354.2 (8%) |
-9.2 / 127.9 (-7%) |
2.7 / 69.6 (4%) |
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Jolly Swegman: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
53 (36%) |
38 |
72 % |
186.75 |
3.68 |
0.07 |
2% |
Slight Favorites |
49 (34%) |
30 |
61 % |
113.00 |
8.34 |
0.17 |
7% |
Slight Underdogs |
30 (21%) |
13 |
43 % |
48.05 |
9.15 |
0.31 |
19% |
Big Underdogs |
14 (10%) |
7 |
50 % |
6.40 |
5.45 |
0.39 |
85% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
19 (13%) |
11 |
58 % |
68.75 |
-14.68 |
-0.77 |
-21% |
Co-Main Event |
14 (10%) |
10 |
71 % |
65.25 |
9.74 |
0.70 |
15% |
Position 3-5 |
31 (21%) |
18 |
58 % |
45.50 |
6.17 |
0.20 |
14% |
6+ (Undercard) |
82 (56%) |
49 |
60 % |
174.70 |
25.40 |
0.31 |
15% |
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Jolly Swegman: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
12 (8%) |
8 |
67 % |
28.25 |
4.80 |
0.40 |
17% |
Light Heavy |
14 (10%) |
8 |
57 % |
36.75 |
-2.19 |
-0.16 |
-6% |
Middleweight |
21 (14%) |
10 |
48 % |
54.00 |
3.22 |
0.15 |
6% |
Welterweight |
19 (13%) |
12 |
63 % |
43.65 |
10.79 |
0.57 |
25% |
Lightweight |
19 (13%) |
15 |
79 % |
57.75 |
12.74 |
0.67 |
22% |
Featherweight |
17 (12%) |
10 |
59 % |
37.50 |
-5.28 |
-0.31 |
-14% |
Bantamweight |
17 (12%) |
10 |
59 % |
33.75 |
-9.24 |
-0.54 |
-27% |
Flyweight |
7 (5%) |
5 |
71 % |
28.25 |
9.81 |
1.40 |
35% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
20 (14%) |
10 |
50 % |
34.30 |
1.97 |
0.10 |
6% |
Featherweight |
1 (1%) |
|
0 % |
0.15 |
-0.15 |
-0.15 |
-100% |
Bantamweight |
3 (2%) |
2 |
67 % |
7.00 |
-1.44 |
-0.48 |
-21% |
Flyweight |
10 (7%) |
5 |
50 % |
20.40 |
1.03 |
0.10 |
5% |
Strawweight |
6 (4%) |
3 |
50 % |
6.75 |
2.52 |
0.42 |
37% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
66 (79%) |
51 |
77 % |
Slight Favorites |
17 (20%) |
11 |
65 % |
Slight Underdogs |
1 (1%) |
0 |
0 % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
84 |
62 |
74 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
40 (36%) |
24 |
60 % |
50-65% |
35 (31%) |
18 |
51 % |
35-50% |
30 (27%) |
16 |
53 % |
<35% chance |
7 (6%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
112 |
58 |
52 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Jolly Swegman's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
19th Sep |
UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley |
6.5 |
0.8 |
12% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,008.03 |
26th Sep |
UFC 253 |
48.9 |
-1.2 |
-2% |
|
$10.08 |
$1,008.03 |
$996.34 |
4th Oct |
UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana |
10.25 |
3.8 |
37% |
|
$9.96 |
$996.34 |
$1,033.95 |
10th Oct |
UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen |
7.65 |
-6.5 |
-85% |
|
$10.34 |
$1,033.95 |
$967.10 |
17th Oct |
UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie |
13.5 |
-4.0 |
-30% |
|
$9.67 |
$967.10 |
$928.03 |
24th Oct |
UFC 254 |
15 |
14.0 |
93% |
|
$9.28 |
$928.03 |
$1,057.77 |
31st Oct |
UFC Vegas 12 |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.58 |
$1,057.77 |
$1,031.33 |
8th Nov |
UFC Vegas 13 |
12.75 |
-1.0 |
-8% |
|
$10.31 |
$1,031.33 |
$1,020.83 |
21st Nov |
UFC 255 |
19 |
3.3 |
17% |
|
$10.21 |
$1,020.83 |
$1,054.37 |
29th Nov |
UFC Vegas 15 |
4 |
-1.4 |
-36% |
|
$10.54 |
$1,054.37 |
$1,039.18 |
13th Dec |
UFC 256 |
9.25 |
0.8 |
9% |
|
$10.39 |
$1,039.18 |
$1,047.60 |
15th May |
UFC 262 |
9 |
-4.1 |
-46% |
|
$10.48 |
$1,047.60 |
$1,004.23 |
21st Aug |
UFC FN |
10 |
3.0 |
30% |
|
$10.04 |
$1,004.23 |
$1,034.76 |
28th Aug |
UFC FN |
14 |
8.8 |
63% |
|
$10.35 |
$1,034.76 |
$1,125.30 |
4th Sep |
UFC FN |
5.5 |
1.5 |
27% |
|
$11.25 |
$1,125.30 |
$1,142.18 |
25th Sep |
UFC 266 |
13 |
3.6 |
27% |
|
$11.42 |
$1,142.18 |
$1,182.94 |
23rd Oct |
UFC FN |
4 |
-1.1 |
-28% |
|
$11.83 |
$1,182.94 |
$1,169.81 |
15th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo |
3.75 |
2.4 |
65% |
$2 |
$11.70 |
$1,169.81 |
$1,196.27 |
22nd Oct |
UFC 280 |
7 |
0.2 |
4% |
$2 |
$11.96 |
$1,196.27 |
$1,197.26 |
12th Nov |
UFC 281 |
12.6 |
-7.2 |
-57% |
$2 |
$11.97 |
$1,197.26 |
$1,109.45 |
10th Dec |
UFC 282 |
29 |
13.2 |
45% |
$2 |
$11.09 |
$1,109.45 |
$1,253.78 |
17th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland |
5.25 |
-1.4 |
-26% |
$2 |
$12.54 |
$1,253.78 |
$1,234.73 |
21st Jan |
UFC 283 |
5.75 |
-2.6 |
-45% |
$2 |
$12.35 |
$1,234.73 |
$1,200.51 |
11th Feb |
UFC 284 |
21.65 |
8.1 |
37% |
$2 |
$12.01 |
$1,200.51 |
$1,295.41 |
18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
2.5 |
-0.1 |
-3% |
|
$12.95 |
$1,295.41 |
$1,294.31 |
25th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen |
2.5 |
0.8 |
33% |
$2 |
$12.94 |
$1,294.31 |
$1,302.92 |
4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
20.5 |
6.2 |
30% |
$2 |
$13.03 |
$1,302.92 |
$1,381.52 |
11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
10 |
-1.9 |
-19% |
$2 |
$13.82 |
$1,381.52 |
$1,353.55 |
18th Mar |
UFC 286 |
18.1 |
-1.9 |
-10% |
$2 |
$13.54 |
$1,353.55 |
$1,325.83 |
8th Apr |
UFC 287 |
4.25 |
2.3 |
54% |
$2 |
$13.26 |
$1,325.83 |
$1,353.99 |
15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
4.5 |
-2.0 |
-44% |
$2 |
$13.54 |
$1,353.99 |
$1,324.98 |
22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes |
2.5 |
-1.7 |
-69% |
$2 |
$13.25 |
$1,324.98 |
$1,300.28 |
29th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón |
9.25 |
-3.1 |
-34% |
$2 |
$13.00 |
$1,300.28 |
$1,257.97 |
6th May |
UFC 288 |
15 |
-11.8 |
-79% |
$2 |
$12.58 |
$1,257.97 |
$1,107.02 |
13th May |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida |
17 |
-3.5 |
-20% |
|
$11.07 |
$1,107.02 |
$1,068.61 |
17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
10 |
0.5 |
5% |
|
$10.69 |
$1,068.61 |
$1,073.95 |
8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
6 |
-2.8 |
-46% |
|
$10.74 |
$1,073.95 |
$1,044.31 |
15th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva |
19.9 |
5.0 |
25% |
|
$10.44 |
$1,044.31 |
$1,096.52 |
26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
22.65 |
4.4 |
20% |
|
$10.97 |
$1,096.52 |
$1,145.21 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
17.75 |
-14.0 |
-79% |
|
$11.45 |
$1,145.21 |
$985.02 |
4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
28 |
3.9 |
14% |
|
$9.85 |
$985.02 |
$1,023.44 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
10.5 |
-3.6 |
-34% |
|
$10.23 |
$1,023.44 |
$986.54 |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
39 |
12.2 |
31% |
$2 |
$9.87 |
$986.54 |
$1,104.90 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
2 |
0.8 |
39% |
|
$11.05 |
$1,104.90 |
$1,113.51 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 11.35% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Jolly Swegman: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Nov '23 |
Charles Johnson |
Rafael Estevam |
2.26 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
Yes |
|
|
2. |
Nov '23 |
Jiri Prochazka |
Alex Pereira |
2.04 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (4:8) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Sep '23 |
Jack Jenkins |
Jose Mariscal |
1.45 |
4 |
TKO, R2 (3:19) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Sep '23 |
Israel Adesanya |
Sean Strickland |
1.14 |
11 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Jul '23 |
Chelsea Chandler |
Norma Dumont |
2.17 |
0.15 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Jul '23 |
Jim Crute |
Alonzo Menifield |
1.72 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (1:55) |
No |
|
|
7. |
May '23 |
Gabriel Green |
Bryan Battle |
1.74 |
4 |
TKO, R1 (0:14) |
No |
|
|
8. |
May '23 |
Drew Dober |
Matt Frevola |
1.43 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (4:8) |
No |
|
|
9. |
May '23 |
Jessica Andrade |
Yan Xiaonan |
1.53 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (2:20) |
No |
|
|
10. |
May '23 |
Henry Cejudo |
Aljamain Sterling |
1.90 |
10 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Apr '23 |
Stephanie Egger |
Irina Alekseeva |
1.30 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (2:11) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Apr '23 |
Ricky Simon |
Yadong Song |
1.72 |
1 |
TKO, R5 (1:10) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Apr '23 |
Billy Quarantillo |
Edson Barboza |
1.57 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (2:37) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Apr '23 |
Chris Gutierrez |
Pedro Munhoz |
1.50 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Mar '23 |
Rafael Fiziev |
Justin Gaethje |
1.41 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Mar '23 |
Bryan Barberena |
Gunnar Nelson |
4.05 |
0.35 |
Sub, R1 (4:51) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Mar '23 |
Casey O'Neill |
Jennifer Maia |
1.55 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Mar '23 |
Ryan Spann |
Nikita Krylov |
2.40 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (3:38) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Mar '23 |
Viviane Araujo |
Amanda Ribas |
2.10 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Jan '23 |
Terrance McKinney |
Ismael Bonfim |
1.77 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (2:17) |
No |
|
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Jolly Swegman: Progress Chart |
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