MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 3282
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 1261

MMA Handicapper Stats: hugdeeznuts

hugdeeznuts (hugdeeznuts)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	173 (55%)	Right	129 (57%)	Right	22 (44%)	Right	22 (56%)
Wrong	142 (45%)	Wrong	97 (43%)	Wrong	28 (56%)	Wrong	17 (44%)
Avg Odds	1.84	Avg Odds	1.82	Avg Odds	1.99	Avg Odds	1.75
Units Bet	543.3	Units Bet	388.6	Units Bet	75.2	Units Bet	79.4
Avg Bet	1.72	Avg Bet	1.72	Avg Bet	1.50	Avg Bet	2.04
Units Profit	3.95	Units Profit	20.57	Units Profit	-11.40	Units Profit	-5.22
ROI %	1%	ROI %	5%	ROI %	-15%	ROI %	-7%

hugdeeznuts : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
8th May '21	UFC FN	16.45	-1.9	-12%	-1.9 / 16.45 (-12%)
1st May '21	UFC FN	13.77	-0.9	-6%	0.2 / 9.89 (2%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-0.0 / 2.88 (-1%)
24th Apr '21	UFC 261	20.4	-6.2	-30%	-3.1 / 17.29 (-18%)	-0.9 / 0.88 (-100%)	-2.2 / 2.23 (-100%)
17th Apr '21	UFC FN	15.21	0.5	4%	1.8 / 10.43 (17%)	0.4 / 3.09 (14%)	-1.7 / 1.69 (-100%)
10th Apr '21	UFC FN	21.28	-0.2	-1%	0.0 / 14.95 (0%)	-1.9 / 4.58 (-40%)	1.6 / 1.75 (94%)
9th Apr '21	Bellator 256	2.1	1.0	48%			1.0 / 2.1 (48%)
28th Mar '21	UFC 260	15.83	5.2	33%	2.6 / 11.5 (23%)	0.8 / 2.4 (34%)	1.7 / 1.93 (89%)
21st Mar '21	UFC Fight Night 188	16.11	2.0	12%	3.5 / 11.95 (29%)	0.5 / 2.16 (21%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
13th Mar '21	UFC Fight Night 187	17.83	-6.0	-34%	-8.4 / 8.35 (-100%)	2.8 / 5.08 (55%)	-0.5 / 4.4 (-11%)
6th Mar '21	UFC 259	21.43	3.7	17%	7.9 / 13.78 (58%)	-1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)	-3.0 / 6.45 (-47%)
28th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 186	15.78	-0.7	-5%	0.1 / 11.61 (1%)	-0.8 / 4.17 (-19%)
20th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 185	22.19	-1.2	-5%	1.1 / 19.96 (5%)	-2.2 / 2.23 (-100%)
14th Feb '21	UFC 258	17.45	-0.5	-3%	0.4 / 14.02 (3%)	-0.9 / 3.43 (-26%)
6th Feb '21	UFC FN	22.24	-0.5	-2%	-1.9 / 11.69 (-17%)	0.4 / 3.54 (11%)	1.1 / 7.01 (15%)
24th Jan '21	UFC 257	15.51	-4.4	-28%	2.1 / 9.01 (23%)	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
20th Jan '21	UFC on ESPN 20	16.32	-0.0	-0%	-2.9 / 12.44 (-23%)		2.9 / 3.88 (74%)
16th Jan '21	UFC FN	15.16	3.2	21%	5.1 / 10.56 (48%)	0.3 / 2.5 (11%)	-2.1 / 2.1 (-100%)
19th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 17	18.67	1.2	6%	1.0 / 15.44 (6%)	-1.2 / 1.23 (-100%)	1.4 / 2 (71%)
13th Dec '20	UFC 256	16.02	3.5	22%	2.6 / 10.73 (25%)	-0.6 / 3.05 (-19%)	1.4 / 2.24 (65%)
11th Dec '20	Bellator 254	5.94	1.5	26%	0.8 / 3.44 (24%)	0.7 / 2.5 (29%)
6th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 16	15.6	1.5	10%	2.4 / 14.72 (16%)	-0.9 / 0.88 (-100%)
29th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 15	13.72	0.1	1%	2.3 / 11.61 (19%)		-2.1 / 2.11 (-100%)
21st Nov '20	UFC 255	18.53	-2.2	-12%	0.5 / 9.36 (5%)	2.3 / 4.19 (55%)	-5.0 / 4.98 (-100%)
19th Nov '20	Bellator 253	4.32	0.1	3%	-1.6 / 1.57 (-100%)		1.7 / 2.75 (62%)
14th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 14	12.61	-1.1	-8%	-2.1 / 12.11 (-18%)	1.1 / 0.5 (215%)
12th Nov '20	Bellator 252	4.69	2.6	55%	1.1 / 2 (54%)		1.5 / 2.69 (55%)
8th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 13	13.19	1.3	10%	1.5 / 6.7 (22%)	1.1 / 1.65 (67%)	-1.2 / 4.84 (-26%)
5th Nov '20	Bellator 251	2.71	1.1	39%	-0.4 / 0.4 (-100%)		1.5 / 2.31 (63%)
31st Oct '20	UFC Vegas 12	11.89	-0.0	-0%	0.3 / 5.25 (5%)	0.3 / 2.45 (12%)	-0.6 / 4.19 (-14%)
29th Oct '20	Bellator 250	3.7	2.1	57%	1.7 / 3 (58%)		0.4 / 0.7 (55%)
24th Oct '20	UFC 254	17.68	-1.7	-9%	-1.8 / 11.28 (-16%)	-0.5 / 3.9 (-13%)	0.6 / 2.5 (25%)
17th Oct '20	UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie	16.65	-2.9	-17%	-5.6 / 13.4 (-42%)	1.2 / 2 (59%)	1.5 / 1.25 (119%)
10th Oct '20	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	18.7	5.3	28%	5.8 / 15.72 (37%)		-0.5 / 2.98 (-16%)
4th Oct '20	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	13.73	-2.4	-17%	-1.3 / 7 (-18%)	-1.8 / 4.48 (-39%)	0.6 / 2.25 (28%)
26th Sep '20	UFC 253	16.11	-1.9	-12%	4.5 / 9.69 (46%)	-5.2 / 5.19 (-100%)	-1.2 / 1.23 (-100%)
19th Sep '20	UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley	25.34	4.1	16%	3.6 / 21.34 (17%)	0.5 / 4 (13%)
13th Sep '20	Bellator 246	5	-0.3	-6%	-0.3 / 5 (-6%)
12th Sep '20	UFC Fight Night 184	5.25	-1.2	-23%	-0.9 / 5 (-19%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)

Winning Events: 18 (47%)
Losing Events: 20 (53%)

Average Staked Per Event: 14.35 units
Most Staked On One Event: 25.34 units
Best Event: 5.29 units
Worst Event: -6.22 units
Average Event: 0.10 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 11.13
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -8.97

hugdeeznuts : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	285.06	-6.9	-2%	6.5 / 203.88 (3%)	-8.2 / 40.76 (-20%)	-5.2 / 40.42 (-13%)	6 / 11 (35%)	-0.40
2020	260.05	10.8	4%	14.0 / 184.76 (8%)	-3.3 / 36.27 (-9%)	0.0 / 39.02 (0%)	12 / 9 (57%)	0.51

hugdeeznuts : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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hugdeeznuts : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	516.65	-4.2	-1%	19.2 / 373.23 (5%)	-12.1 / 74.53 (-16%)	-11.2 / 68.89 (-16%)
Bellator	28.46	8.1	29%	1.4 / 15.41 (9%)	0.7 / 2.5 (29%)	6.0 / 10.55 (57%)

hugdeeznuts : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	52 (23%)	41	79 %	127.72	22.52	0.43	18%
Slight Favorites	104 (46%)	59	57 %	184.01	-3.66	-0.04	-2%
Slight Underdogs	57 (25%)	24	42 %	66.23	-1.66	-0.03	-3%
Big Underdogs	15 (7%)	6	40 %	10.68	3.37	0.22	32%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	23 (10%)	11	48 %	42.61	-1.11	-0.05	-3%
Co-Main Event	25 (11%)	11	44 %	42.79	-6.53	-0.26	-15%
Position 3-5	67 (29%)	39	58 %	123.56	8.18	0.12	7%
6+ (Undercard)	113 (50%)	69	61 %	179.68	20.04	0.18	11%

hugdeeznuts : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	17 (7%)	13	76 %	27.96	12.49	0.73	45%
Light Heavy	13 (6%)	5	38 %	17.63	-3.06	-0.24	-17%
Middleweight	30 (13%)	21	70 %	61.41	14.68	0.49	24%
Welterweight	35 (15%)	18	51 %	55.21	-2.04	-0.06	-4%
Lightweight	22 (10%)	8	36 %	37.66	-14.90	-0.68	-40%
Featherweight	29 (13%)	17	59 %	50.70	1.49	0.05	3%
Bantamweight	29 (13%)	16	55 %	48.15	2.42	0.08	5%
Flyweight	12 (5%)	7	58 %	20.31	2.90	0.24	14%

Women's Fights	41 (18%)	25	61 %	69.61	6.57	0.16	9%
Bantamweight	11 (5%)	5	45 %	16.44	-0.65	-0.06	-4%
Flyweight	16 (7%)	12	75 %	28.97	8.65	0.54	30%
Strawweight	14 (6%)	8	57 %	24.20	-1.42	-0.10	-6%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	90 (98%)	68	76 %
Slight Favorites	2 (2%)	2	100 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	92	70	76 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	2 (4%)	0	0 %
50-65%	20 (43%)	10	50 %
35-50%	17 (37%)	6	35 %
<35% chance	7 (15%)	2	29 %
	46	18	39 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (7%)	1	33 %	1.85	2.30	1.63	-0.7 (-23%)
Fight Starts Round X	2 (4%)	1	50 %	1.95	2.35	1.67	0.4 (18%)
X Wins by KO	11 (24%)	4	36 %	1.94	4.00	1.50	-3.3 (-30%)
X Wins by Sub	3 (7%)	1	33 %	2.10	3.80	1.56	-1.1 (-36%)
X Wins by Decision	12 (26%)	5	42 %	2.43	5.00	1.50	1.1 (9%)
X Wins Inside Distance	15 (33%)	6	40 %	1.88	2.50	1.54	-4.8 (-32%)
	46	18	39 %	2.03			-8.4 (-18%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail hugdeeznuts 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
12th Sep	UFC Fight Night 184	5.25	-1.2	-23%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$988.03
13th Sep	Bellator 246	5	-0.3	-6%		$9.88	$988.03	$985.20
19th Sep	UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley	25.34	4.1	16%		$9.85	$985.20	$1,025.29
26th Sep	UFC 253	16.11	-1.9	-12%		$10.25	$1,025.29	$1,005.59
4th Oct	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	13.73	-2.4	-17%		$10.06	$1,005.59	$981.52
10th Oct	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	18.7	5.3	28%		$9.82	$981.52	$1,033.44
17th Oct	UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie	16.65	-2.9	-17%		$10.33	$1,033.44	$1,003.50
24th Oct	UFC 254	17.68	-1.7	-9%		$10.03	$1,003.50	$986.80
29th Oct	Bellator 250	3.7	2.1	57%		$9.87	$986.80	$1,007.64
31st Oct	UFC Vegas 12	11.89	-0.0	-0%		$10.08	$1,007.64	$1,007.53
5th Nov	Bellator 251	2.71	1.1	39%		$10.08	$1,007.53	$1,018.16
8th Nov	UFC Vegas 13	13.19	1.3	10%		$10.18	$1,018.16	$1,031.62
12th Nov	Bellator 252	4.69	2.6	55%		$10.32	$1,031.62	$1,058.02
14th Nov	UFC Vegas 14	12.61	-1.1	-8%		$10.58	$1,058.02	$1,046.91
19th Nov	Bellator 253	4.32	0.1	3%		$10.47	$1,046.91	$1,048.20
21st Nov	UFC 255	18.53	-2.2	-12%		$10.48	$1,048.20	$1,025.35
29th Nov	UFC Vegas 15	13.72	0.1	1%		$10.25	$1,025.35	$1,026.85
6th Dec	UFC Vegas 16	15.6	1.5	10%		$10.27	$1,026.85	$1,042.15
11th Dec	Bellator 254	5.94	1.5	26%		$10.42	$1,042.15	$1,058.26
13th Dec	UFC 256	16.02	3.5	22%		$10.58	$1,058.26	$1,095.39
19th Dec	UFC Vegas 17	18.67	1.2	6%		$10.95	$1,095.39	$1,108.40
16th Jan	UFC FN	15.16	3.2	21%		$11.08	$1,108.40	$1,144.41
20th Jan	UFC on ESPN 20	16.32	-0.0	-0%		$11.44	$1,144.41	$1,144.06
24th Jan	UFC 257	15.51	-4.4	-28%		$11.44	$1,144.06	$1,093.49
6th Feb	UFC FN	22.24	-0.5	-2%		$10.93	$1,093.49	$1,088.38
14th Feb	UFC 258	17.45	-0.5	-3%		$10.88	$1,088.38	$1,082.83
20th Feb	UFC Fight Night 185	22.19	-1.2	-5%		$10.83	$1,082.83	$1,070.28
28th Feb	UFC Fight Night 186	15.78	-0.7	-5%		$10.70	$1,070.28	$1,062.36
6th Mar	UFC 259	21.43	3.7	17%		$10.62	$1,062.36	$1,101.56
13th Mar	UFC Fight Night 187	17.83	-6.0	-34%		$11.02	$1,101.56	$1,035.14
21st Mar	UFC Fight Night 188	16.11	2.0	12%		$10.35	$1,035.14	$1,055.44
28th Mar	UFC 260	15.83	5.2	33%		$10.55	$1,055.44	$1,110.20
9th Apr	Bellator 256	2.1	1.0	48%		$11.10	$1,110.20	$1,121.48
10th Apr	UFC FN	21.28	-0.2	-1%		$11.21	$1,121.48	$1,119.54
17th Apr	UFC FN	15.21	0.5	4%		$11.20	$1,119.54	$1,125.57
24th Apr	UFC 261	20.4	-6.2	-30%		$11.26	$1,125.57	$1,055.57
1st May	UFC FN	13.77	-0.9	-6%		$10.56	$1,055.57	$1,046.57
8th May	UFC FN	16.45	-1.9	-12%		$10.47	$1,046.57	$1,026.69

ROI % from starting bank balance: 2.67% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

hugdeeznuts : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	May '21	Marcos Rogerio de Lima	Maurice Greene	2.15	1.23	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	May '21	Carlston Harris	Christian Aguilera	1.61	1.55	Sub, R1 (2:52)
3.	May '21	Phil Hawes	Kyle Daukaus	2.10	1.32	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	May '21	Jun Yong Park	Tafon Nchukwi	2.19	1.41	Split Decision (3 rounds)
5.	May '21	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	Michelle Waterson	1.53	2.33	U Decision (5 rounds)
6.	May '21	Giga Chikadze	Cub Swanson	1.59	1.85	TKO, R1 (1:3)
7.	May '21	Sean Strickland	Krzysztof Jotko	1.41	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	May '21	Merab Dvalishvili	Cody Stamann	1.43	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Apr '21	Danaa Batgerel	Kevin Natividad	1.50	1.95	TKO, R1 (0:50)
10.	Apr '21	Dwight Grant	Stefan Sekulic	1.49	1.75	Split Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Apr '21	Ariane Carnelossi	Na Liang	1.48	1.88	TKO, R2 (1:28)
12.	Apr '21	Randy Brown	Alex Oliveira	1.69	1.78	Sub, R1 (2:50)
13.	Apr '21	Pat Sabatini	Tristan Connelly	1.43	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Apr '21	Alexander Romanov	Juan Espino	1.71	1.7	Split Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Apr '21	Luis Pena	Alex Munoz	1.69	1.6	Split Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Apr '21	Austin Hubbard	Dakota Bush	1.54	1.82	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Apr '21	Tracy Cortez	Justine Kish	1.42	2.69	Split Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Apr '21	Joe Solecki	Jim Miller	1.43	2.3	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Apr '21	Daniel Rodriguez	Mike Perry	1.65	1.79	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Apr '21	Da Un Jung	William Knight	1.83	1.38	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	May '21	Donald Cerrone	Alex Morono	1.53	2.23	TKO, R1 (4:40)	No
2.	May '21	Ludovit Klein	Mike Trizano	1.39	3.23	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	May '21	Geoff Neal	Neil Magny	1.54	1.95	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	May '21	Carlos Diego Ferreira	Gregor Gillespie	2.55	1.2	TKO, R2 (4:51)	No
5.	May '21	Kai Kamaka	T.J. Brown	1.69	1.47	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	May '21	Luke Sanders	Felipe Colares	1.72	1.57	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Apr '21	Karl Roberson	Brendan Allen	2.35	1.23	Sub, R1 (4:55)	No
8.	Apr '21	Jim Crute	Anthony Smith	1.50	2	TKO, R1 (5:0)	No
9.	Apr '21	Chris Weidman	Urijah Hall	1.91	1.7	TKO, R1 (0:17)	No
10.	Apr '21	Weili Zhang	Rose Namajunas	1.50	2	TKO, R1 (1:18)	No
11.	Apr '21	Jorge Masvidal	Kamaru Usman	4.20	1	TKO, R2 (1:2)	No
12.	Apr '21	Bartosz Fabinski	Gerald Meerschaert	1.91	1.39	Sub, R1 (2:0)	No
13.	Apr '21	Chase Sherman	Andrei Arlovski	2.50	1.23	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Apr '21	Ignacio Bahamondes	John Makdessi	1.50	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Apr '21	Jordan Griffin	Luis Saldana	2.15	1.23	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Apr '21	Ignacio Bahamondes	John Makdessi	1.51	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Apr '21	Sodiq Yusuff	Arnold Allen	1.81	1.71	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Mar '21	Khama Worthy	Jamie Mullarkey	1.74	1.5	TKO, R1 (0:46)	No
19.	Mar '21	Gillian Robertson	Miranda Maverick	2.40	1.2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Mar '21	Kevin Holland	Derek Brunson	1.59	2.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

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