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MMA Handicapper Stats: hugdeeznuts

hugdeeznuts (hugdeeznuts)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - hugdeeznuts

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 119 (54%) Right 88 (56%) Right 15 (43%) Right 16 (62%)
Wrong 100 (46%) Wrong 70 (44%) Wrong 20 (57%) Wrong 10 (38%)
Avg Odds 1.87 Avg Odds 1.87 Avg Odds 1.96 Avg Odds 1.73
Units Bet 372.8 Units Bet 266.3 Units Bet 52.5 Units Bet 54.0
Avg Bet 1.70 Avg Bet 1.69 Avg Bet 1.50 Avg Bet 2.08
Units Profit 9.42 Units Profit 19.75 Units Profit -10.18 Units Profit -0.14
ROI % 3% ROI % 7% ROI % -19% ROI % -0%
View Handicapper's Profile

hugdeeznuts : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 22.19 -1.2 -5% 1.1 / 19.96 (5%) -2.2 / 2.23 (-100%)
14th Feb '21 UFC 258 17.45 -0.5 -3% 0.4 / 14.02 (3%) -0.9 / 3.43 (-26%)
6th Feb '21 UFC FN 22.24 -0.5 -2% -1.9 / 11.69 (-17%) 0.4 / 3.54 (11%) 1.1 / 7.01 (15%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 15.51 -4.4 -28% 2.1 / 9.01 (23%) -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
20th Jan '21 UFC on ESPN 20 16.32 -0.0 -0% -2.9 / 12.44 (-23%) 2.9 / 3.88 (74%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 15.16 3.2 21% 5.1 / 10.56 (48%) 0.3 / 2.5 (11%) -2.1 / 2.1 (-100%)
19th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 17 18.67 1.2 6% 1.0 / 15.44 (6%) -1.2 / 1.23 (-100%) 1.4 / 2 (71%)
13th Dec '20 UFC 256 16.02 3.5 22% 2.6 / 10.73 (25%) -0.6 / 3.05 (-19%) 1.4 / 2.24 (65%)
11th Dec '20 Bellator 254 5.94 1.5 26% 0.8 / 3.44 (24%) 0.7 / 2.5 (29%)
6th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 16 15.6 1.5 10% 2.4 / 14.72 (16%) -0.9 / 0.88 (-100%)
29th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 15 13.72 0.1 1% 2.3 / 11.61 (19%) -2.1 / 2.11 (-100%)
21st Nov '20 UFC 255 18.53 -2.2 -12% 0.5 / 9.36 (5%) 2.3 / 4.19 (55%) -5.0 / 4.98 (-100%)
19th Nov '20 Bellator 253 4.32 0.1 3% -1.6 / 1.57 (-100%) 1.7 / 2.75 (62%)
14th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 14 12.61 -1.1 -8% -2.1 / 12.11 (-18%) 1.1 / 0.5 (215%)
12th Nov '20 Bellator 252 4.69 2.6 55% 1.1 / 2 (54%) 1.5 / 2.69 (55%)
8th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 13 13.19 1.3 10% 1.5 / 6.7 (22%) 1.1 / 1.65 (67%) -1.2 / 4.84 (-26%)
5th Nov '20 Bellator 251 2.71 1.1 39% -0.4 / 0.4 (-100%) 1.5 / 2.31 (63%)
31st Oct '20 UFC Vegas 12 11.89 -0.0 -0% 0.3 / 5.25 (5%) 0.3 / 2.45 (12%) -0.6 / 4.19 (-14%)
29th Oct '20 Bellator 250 3.7 2.1 57% 1.7 / 3 (58%) 0.4 / 0.7 (55%)
24th Oct '20 UFC 254 17.68 -1.7 -9% -1.8 / 11.28 (-16%) -0.5 / 3.9 (-13%) 0.6 / 2.5 (25%)
17th Oct '20 UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 16.65 -2.9 -17% -5.6 / 13.4 (-42%) 1.2 / 2 (59%) 1.5 / 1.25 (119%)
10th Oct '20 UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 18.7 5.3 28% 5.8 / 15.72 (37%) -0.5 / 2.98 (-16%)
4th Oct '20 UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 13.73 -2.4 -17% -1.3 / 7 (-18%) -1.8 / 4.48 (-39%) 0.6 / 2.25 (28%)
26th Sep '20 UFC 253 16.11 -1.9 -12% 4.5 / 9.69 (46%) -5.2 / 5.19 (-100%) -1.2 / 1.23 (-100%)
19th Sep '20 UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 25.34 4.1 16% 3.6 / 21.34 (17%) 0.5 / 4 (13%)
13th Sep '20 Bellator 246 5 -0.3 -6% -0.3 / 5 (-6%)
12th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 184 5.25 -1.2 -23% -0.9 / 5 (-19%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)


Winning Events: 13 (48%)
Losing Events: 14 (52%)

Average Staked Per Event: 13.66 units
Most Staked On One Event: 25.34 units
Best Event: 5.29 units
Worst Event: -4.42 units
Average Event: 0.28 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 11.13
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -6.59

hugdeeznuts : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 108.87 -3.3 -3% 3.7 / 77.68 (5%) -6.9 / 16.2 (-43%) -0.2 / 14.99 (-1%) 1 / 5 (17%) -0.56
2020 260.05 10.8 4% 14.0 / 184.76 (8%) -3.3 / 36.27 (-9%) 0.0 / 39.02 (0%) 12 / 9 (57%) 0.51

hugdeeznuts : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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hugdeeznuts : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 342.56 0.4 0% 16.4 / 247.03 (7%) -10.9 / 49.97 (-22%) -5.2 / 45.56 (-11%)
Bellator 26.36 7.1 27% 1.4 / 15.41 (9%) 0.7 / 2.5 (29%) 5.0 / 8.45 (59%)

hugdeeznuts : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 27 (17%) 23 85 % 75.15 18.81 0.70 25%
Slight Favorites 75 (47%) 43 57 % 133.97 -0.39 -0.01 -0%
Slight Underdogs 43 (27%) 17 40 % 47.52 -3.04 -0.07 -6%
Big Underdogs 14 (9%) 6 43 % 9.68 4.37 0.31 45%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 18 (11%) 8 44 % 32.55 -1.56 -0.09 -5%
Co-Main Event 17 (11%) 8 47 % 26.99 -1.17 -0.07 -4%
Position 3-5 46 (29%) 27 59 % 85.20 8.72 0.19 10%
6+ (Undercard) 78 (49%) 46 59 % 121.58 13.76 0.18 11%

hugdeeznuts : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 12 (8%) 9 75 % 19.57 8.37 0.70 43%
Light Heavy 9 (6%) 3 33 % 10.86 -1.77 -0.20 -16%
Middleweight 20 (13%) 15 75 % 45.01 14.01 0.70 31%
Welterweight 24 (15%) 11 46 % 34.56 -2.93 -0.12 -8%
Lightweight 12 (8%) 3 25 % 20.46 -12.33 -1.03 -60%
Featherweight 21 (13%) 14 67 % 35.61 8.03 0.38 23%
Bantamweight 21 (13%) 11 52 % 33.68 1.14 0.05 3%
Flyweight 7 (4%) 3 43 % 12.44 -0.35 -0.05 -3%
               
Women's Fights 33 (21%) 20 61 % 54.13 5.58 0.17 10%
Bantamweight 10 (6%) 4 40 % 14.44 -1.69 -0.17 -12%
Flyweight 14 (9%) 11 79 % 25.08 8.73 0.62 35%
Strawweight 9 (6%) 5 56 % 14.61 -1.47 -0.16 -10%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 63 (100%) 48 76 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
63 48 76 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 2 (6%) 0 0 %
50-65% 15 (47%) 8 53 %
35-50% 10 (31%) 4 40 %
<35% chance 5 (16%) 1 20 %
32 13 41 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (6%) 0 0 % 1.68 1.74Pick was incorrect 1.63Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Fight Starts Round X 2 (6%) 1 50 % 1.95 2.35Pick was correct 1.67Pick was incorrect 0.4 (18%)
X Wins by KO 7 (22%) 4 57 % 1.91 4.00Pick was incorrect 1.50Pick was incorrect 0.7 (10%)
X Wins by Sub 2 (6%) 0 0 % 2.21 3.80Pick was incorrect 1.56Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 7 (22%) 2 29 % 2.49 5.00Pick was incorrect 1.50Pick was incorrect -2.2 (-31%)
X Wins Inside Distance 12 (38%) 6 50 % 1.83 2.38Pick was incorrect 1.54Pick was correct -1.8 (-15%)
32 13 41 % 1.98     -6.9 (-22%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail hugdeeznuts 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
12th Sep UFC Fight Night 184 5.25 -1.2 -23% $10.00 $1,000.00 $988.03
13th Sep Bellator 246 5 -0.3 -6% $9.88 $988.03 $985.20
19th Sep UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 25.34 4.1 16% $9.85 $985.20 $1,025.29
26th Sep UFC 253 16.11 -1.9 -12% $10.25 $1,025.29 $1,005.59
4th Oct UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 13.73 -2.4 -17% $10.06 $1,005.59 $981.52
10th Oct UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 18.7 5.3 28% $9.82 $981.52 $1,033.44
17th Oct UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 16.65 -2.9 -17% $10.33 $1,033.44 $1,003.50
24th Oct UFC 254 17.68 -1.7 -9% $10.03 $1,003.50 $986.80
29th Oct Bellator 250 3.7 2.1 57% $9.87 $986.80 $1,007.64
31st Oct UFC Vegas 12 11.89 -0.0 -0% $10.08 $1,007.64 $1,007.53
5th Nov Bellator 251 2.71 1.1 39% $10.08 $1,007.53 $1,018.16
8th Nov UFC Vegas 13 13.19 1.3 10% $10.18 $1,018.16 $1,031.62
12th Nov Bellator 252 4.69 2.6 55% $10.32 $1,031.62 $1,058.02
14th Nov UFC Vegas 14 12.61 -1.1 -8% $10.58 $1,058.02 $1,046.91
19th Nov Bellator 253 4.32 0.1 3% $10.47 $1,046.91 $1,048.20
21st Nov UFC 255 18.53 -2.2 -12% $10.48 $1,048.20 $1,025.35
29th Nov UFC Vegas 15 13.72 0.1 1% $10.25 $1,025.35 $1,026.85
6th Dec UFC Vegas 16 15.6 1.5 10% $10.27 $1,026.85 $1,042.15
11th Dec Bellator 254 5.94 1.5 26% $10.42 $1,042.15 $1,058.26
13th Dec UFC 256 16.02 3.5 22% $10.58 $1,058.26 $1,095.39
19th Dec UFC Vegas 17 18.67 1.2 6% $10.95 $1,095.39 $1,108.40
16th Jan UFC FN 15.16 3.2 21% $11.08 $1,108.40 $1,144.41
20th Jan UFC on ESPN 20 16.32 -0.0 -0% $11.44 $1,144.41 $1,144.06
24th Jan UFC 257 15.51 -4.4 -28% $11.44 $1,144.06 $1,093.49
6th Feb UFC FN 22.24 -0.5 -2% $10.93 $1,093.49 $1,088.38
14th Feb UFC 258 17.45 -0.5 -3% $10.88 $1,088.38 $1,082.83
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 22.19 -1.2 -5% $10.83 $1,082.83 $1,070.28


ROI % from starting bank balance: 7.03% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

hugdeeznuts : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Feb '21 Ronnie Lawrence Vince Cachero 1.63 1.88 TKO, R3 (2:38) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '21 Alexis Davis Sabina Mazo 2.78 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '21 Sergey Spivak Jared Vanderaa 1.40 2.23 TKO, R2 (4:32) MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '21 John Castaneda Eddie Wineland 1.83 1.7 TKO, R1 (4:44) MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '21 Darrick Minner Charles Rosa 2.55 1.08 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '21 Chris Daukaus Aleksei Oleinik 1.53 2 TKO, R1 (1:55) MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '21 Derrick Lewis Curtis Blaydes 4.10 0.75 TKO, R2 (1:26) MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '21 Tom Aspinall Andrei Arlovski 1.40 4.23 Sub, R2 (1:9) MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '21 Julian Marquez Maki Pitolo 2.40 1.2 Sub, R3 (4:17) MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '21 Alexa Grasso Maycee Barber 1.85 1.69 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '21 Kelvin Gastelum Ian Heinisch 1.45 1.88 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '21 Ricky Simon Brian Kelleher 1.41 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '21 Seung Woo Choi Youssef Zalal 3.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '21 Ode Osbourne Jerome Rivera 1.49 1.88 TKO, R1 (0:26) MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '21 Alexandre Pantoja Manel Kape 1.72 2.23 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jan '21 Brad Tavares Antonio Carlos Junior 1.86 1.44 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jan '21 Joanne Calderwood Jessica Eye 1.80 1.59 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jan '21 Makhmud Muradov Andrew Sanchez 1.63 1.67 TKO, R3 (2:59) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jan '21 Julianna Pena Sara McMann 2.13 1.33 Sub, R3 (3:39) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jan '21 Mike Davis Mason Jones 1.62 1.65 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Feb '21 Maxim Grishin Dustin Jacoby 2.54 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '21 Nate Landwehr Julian Erosa 1.83 1.5 TKO, R1 (0:56) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '21 Drako Rodriguez Aiemann Zahabi 1.54 1.76 TKO, R1 (3:5) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '21 Nassourdine Imavov Phil Hawes 2.00 1.88 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '21 Shana Dobson Casey O'Neill 2.30 1.23 TKO, R2 (3:41) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '21 Danny Chavez Jared Gordon 1.69 1.6 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '21 Phil Rowe Gabriel Green 2.09 1.1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '21 Andre Ewell Chris Gutierrez 2.18 1.23 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '21 Gilbert Burns Kamaru Usman 3.35 1.23 TKO, R3 (0:34) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '21 Mallory Martin Polyana Viana 1.63 1.69 Sub, R1 (3:18) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '21 Joselyne Edwards Karol Rosa 2.55 1.23 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '21 Michael Johnson Clay Guida 1.50 1.7 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '21 Molly McCann Lara Fritzen Procopio 1.61 1.65 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '21 Carlos Diego Ferreira Beneil Dariush 1.85 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jan '21 Zhalgas Zhumagulov Amir Albazi 1.95 1.23 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jan '21 Daniel Hooker Michael Chandler 1.76 1.75 TKO, R1 (2:30) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jan '21 Jerome Rivera Francisco Figueiredo 2.30 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jan '21 Vinicius Moreira Ike Villanueva 2.16 1 TKO, R2 (0:39) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jan '21 Tyson Nam Matt Schnell 1.77 1.6 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jan '21 Neil Magny Michael Chiesa 1.69 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

hugdeeznuts : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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