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MMA Handicapper Stats: hugdeeznuts

hugdeeznuts (hugdeeznuts)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - hugdeeznuts

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 173 (55%) Right 129 (57%) Right 22 (44%) Right 22 (56%)
Wrong 142 (45%) Wrong 97 (43%) Wrong 28 (56%) Wrong 17 (44%)
Avg Odds 1.84 Avg Odds 1.82 Avg Odds 1.99 Avg Odds 1.75
Units Bet 543.3 Units Bet 388.6 Units Bet 75.2 Units Bet 79.4
Avg Bet 1.72 Avg Bet 1.72 Avg Bet 1.50 Avg Bet 2.04
Units Profit 3.95 Units Profit 20.57 Units Profit -11.40 Units Profit -5.22
ROI % 1% ROI % 5% ROI % -15% ROI % -7%
View Handicapper's Profile

hugdeeznuts : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
8th May '21 UFC FN 16.45 -1.9 -12% -1.9 / 16.45 (-12%)
1st May '21 UFC FN 13.77 -0.9 -6% 0.2 / 9.89 (2%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -0.0 / 2.88 (-1%)
24th Apr '21 UFC 261 20.4 -6.2 -30% -3.1 / 17.29 (-18%) -0.9 / 0.88 (-100%) -2.2 / 2.23 (-100%)
17th Apr '21 UFC FN 15.21 0.5 4% 1.8 / 10.43 (17%) 0.4 / 3.09 (14%) -1.7 / 1.69 (-100%)
10th Apr '21 UFC FN 21.28 -0.2 -1% 0.0 / 14.95 (0%) -1.9 / 4.58 (-40%) 1.6 / 1.75 (94%)
9th Apr '21 Bellator 256 2.1 1.0 48% 1.0 / 2.1 (48%)
28th Mar '21 UFC 260 15.83 5.2 33% 2.6 / 11.5 (23%) 0.8 / 2.4 (34%) 1.7 / 1.93 (89%)
21st Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 188 16.11 2.0 12% 3.5 / 11.95 (29%) 0.5 / 2.16 (21%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
13th Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 187 17.83 -6.0 -34% -8.4 / 8.35 (-100%) 2.8 / 5.08 (55%) -0.5 / 4.4 (-11%)
6th Mar '21 UFC 259 21.43 3.7 17% 7.9 / 13.78 (58%) -1.2 / 1.2 (-100%) -3.0 / 6.45 (-47%)
28th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 186 15.78 -0.7 -5% 0.1 / 11.61 (1%) -0.8 / 4.17 (-19%)
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 22.19 -1.2 -5% 1.1 / 19.96 (5%) -2.2 / 2.23 (-100%)
14th Feb '21 UFC 258 17.45 -0.5 -3% 0.4 / 14.02 (3%) -0.9 / 3.43 (-26%)
6th Feb '21 UFC FN 22.24 -0.5 -2% -1.9 / 11.69 (-17%) 0.4 / 3.54 (11%) 1.1 / 7.01 (15%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 15.51 -4.4 -28% 2.1 / 9.01 (23%) -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
20th Jan '21 UFC on ESPN 20 16.32 -0.0 -0% -2.9 / 12.44 (-23%) 2.9 / 3.88 (74%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 15.16 3.2 21% 5.1 / 10.56 (48%) 0.3 / 2.5 (11%) -2.1 / 2.1 (-100%)
19th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 17 18.67 1.2 6% 1.0 / 15.44 (6%) -1.2 / 1.23 (-100%) 1.4 / 2 (71%)
13th Dec '20 UFC 256 16.02 3.5 22% 2.6 / 10.73 (25%) -0.6 / 3.05 (-19%) 1.4 / 2.24 (65%)
11th Dec '20 Bellator 254 5.94 1.5 26% 0.8 / 3.44 (24%) 0.7 / 2.5 (29%)
6th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 16 15.6 1.5 10% 2.4 / 14.72 (16%) -0.9 / 0.88 (-100%)
29th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 15 13.72 0.1 1% 2.3 / 11.61 (19%) -2.1 / 2.11 (-100%)
21st Nov '20 UFC 255 18.53 -2.2 -12% 0.5 / 9.36 (5%) 2.3 / 4.19 (55%) -5.0 / 4.98 (-100%)
19th Nov '20 Bellator 253 4.32 0.1 3% -1.6 / 1.57 (-100%) 1.7 / 2.75 (62%)
14th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 14 12.61 -1.1 -8% -2.1 / 12.11 (-18%) 1.1 / 0.5 (215%)
12th Nov '20 Bellator 252 4.69 2.6 55% 1.1 / 2 (54%) 1.5 / 2.69 (55%)
8th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 13 13.19 1.3 10% 1.5 / 6.7 (22%) 1.1 / 1.65 (67%) -1.2 / 4.84 (-26%)
5th Nov '20 Bellator 251 2.71 1.1 39% -0.4 / 0.4 (-100%) 1.5 / 2.31 (63%)
31st Oct '20 UFC Vegas 12 11.89 -0.0 -0% 0.3 / 5.25 (5%) 0.3 / 2.45 (12%) -0.6 / 4.19 (-14%)
29th Oct '20 Bellator 250 3.7 2.1 57% 1.7 / 3 (58%) 0.4 / 0.7 (55%)
24th Oct '20 UFC 254 17.68 -1.7 -9% -1.8 / 11.28 (-16%) -0.5 / 3.9 (-13%) 0.6 / 2.5 (25%)
17th Oct '20 UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 16.65 -2.9 -17% -5.6 / 13.4 (-42%) 1.2 / 2 (59%) 1.5 / 1.25 (119%)
10th Oct '20 UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 18.7 5.3 28% 5.8 / 15.72 (37%) -0.5 / 2.98 (-16%)
4th Oct '20 UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 13.73 -2.4 -17% -1.3 / 7 (-18%) -1.8 / 4.48 (-39%) 0.6 / 2.25 (28%)
26th Sep '20 UFC 253 16.11 -1.9 -12% 4.5 / 9.69 (46%) -5.2 / 5.19 (-100%) -1.2 / 1.23 (-100%)
19th Sep '20 UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 25.34 4.1 16% 3.6 / 21.34 (17%) 0.5 / 4 (13%)
13th Sep '20 Bellator 246 5 -0.3 -6% -0.3 / 5 (-6%)
12th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 184 5.25 -1.2 -23% -0.9 / 5 (-19%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)


Winning Events: 18 (47%)
Losing Events: 20 (53%)

Average Staked Per Event: 14.35 units
Most Staked On One Event: 25.34 units
Best Event: 5.29 units
Worst Event: -6.22 units
Average Event: 0.10 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 11.13
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -8.97

hugdeeznuts : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 285.06 -6.9 -2% 6.5 / 203.88 (3%) -8.2 / 40.76 (-20%) -5.2 / 40.42 (-13%) 6 / 11 (35%) -0.40
2020 260.05 10.8 4% 14.0 / 184.76 (8%) -3.3 / 36.27 (-9%) 0.0 / 39.02 (0%) 12 / 9 (57%) 0.51

hugdeeznuts : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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hugdeeznuts : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 516.65 -4.2 -1% 19.2 / 373.23 (5%) -12.1 / 74.53 (-16%) -11.2 / 68.89 (-16%)
Bellator 28.46 8.1 29% 1.4 / 15.41 (9%) 0.7 / 2.5 (29%) 6.0 / 10.55 (57%)

hugdeeznuts : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 52 (23%) 41 79 % 127.72 22.52 0.43 18%
Slight Favorites 104 (46%) 59 57 % 184.01 -3.66 -0.04 -2%
Slight Underdogs 57 (25%) 24 42 % 66.23 -1.66 -0.03 -3%
Big Underdogs 15 (7%) 6 40 % 10.68 3.37 0.22 32%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 23 (10%) 11 48 % 42.61 -1.11 -0.05 -3%
Co-Main Event 25 (11%) 11 44 % 42.79 -6.53 -0.26 -15%
Position 3-5 67 (29%) 39 58 % 123.56 8.18 0.12 7%
6+ (Undercard) 113 (50%) 69 61 % 179.68 20.04 0.18 11%

hugdeeznuts : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 17 (7%) 13 76 % 27.96 12.49 0.73 45%
Light Heavy 13 (6%) 5 38 % 17.63 -3.06 -0.24 -17%
Middleweight 30 (13%) 21 70 % 61.41 14.68 0.49 24%
Welterweight 35 (15%) 18 51 % 55.21 -2.04 -0.06 -4%
Lightweight 22 (10%) 8 36 % 37.66 -14.90 -0.68 -40%
Featherweight 29 (13%) 17 59 % 50.70 1.49 0.05 3%
Bantamweight 29 (13%) 16 55 % 48.15 2.42 0.08 5%
Flyweight 12 (5%) 7 58 % 20.31 2.90 0.24 14%
               
Women's Fights 41 (18%) 25 61 % 69.61 6.57 0.16 9%
Bantamweight 11 (5%) 5 45 % 16.44 -0.65 -0.06 -4%
Flyweight 16 (7%) 12 75 % 28.97 8.65 0.54 30%
Strawweight 14 (6%) 8 57 % 24.20 -1.42 -0.10 -6%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 90 (98%) 68 76 %
Slight Favorites 2 (2%) 2 100 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
92 70 76 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 2 (4%) 0 0 %
50-65% 20 (43%) 10 50 %
35-50% 17 (37%) 6 35 %
<35% chance 7 (15%) 2 29 %
46 18 39 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (7%) 1 33 % 1.85 2.30Pick was correct 1.63Pick was incorrect -0.7 (-23%)
Fight Starts Round X 2 (4%) 1 50 % 1.95 2.35Pick was correct 1.67Pick was incorrect 0.4 (18%)
X Wins by KO 11 (24%) 4 36 % 1.94 4.00Pick was incorrect 1.50Pick was incorrect -3.3 (-30%)
X Wins by Sub 3 (7%) 1 33 % 2.10 3.80Pick was incorrect 1.56Pick was incorrect -1.1 (-36%)
X Wins by Decision 12 (26%) 5 42 % 2.43 5.00Pick was incorrect 1.50Pick was incorrect 1.1 (9%)
X Wins Inside Distance 15 (33%) 6 40 % 1.88 2.50Pick was incorrect 1.54Pick was correct -4.8 (-32%)
46 18 39 % 2.03     -8.4 (-18%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail hugdeeznuts 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
12th Sep UFC Fight Night 184 5.25 -1.2 -23% $10.00 $1,000.00 $988.03
13th Sep Bellator 246 5 -0.3 -6% $9.88 $988.03 $985.20
19th Sep UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 25.34 4.1 16% $9.85 $985.20 $1,025.29
26th Sep UFC 253 16.11 -1.9 -12% $10.25 $1,025.29 $1,005.59
4th Oct UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 13.73 -2.4 -17% $10.06 $1,005.59 $981.52
10th Oct UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 18.7 5.3 28% $9.82 $981.52 $1,033.44
17th Oct UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 16.65 -2.9 -17% $10.33 $1,033.44 $1,003.50
24th Oct UFC 254 17.68 -1.7 -9% $10.03 $1,003.50 $986.80
29th Oct Bellator 250 3.7 2.1 57% $9.87 $986.80 $1,007.64
31st Oct UFC Vegas 12 11.89 -0.0 -0% $10.08 $1,007.64 $1,007.53
5th Nov Bellator 251 2.71 1.1 39% $10.08 $1,007.53 $1,018.16
8th Nov UFC Vegas 13 13.19 1.3 10% $10.18 $1,018.16 $1,031.62
12th Nov Bellator 252 4.69 2.6 55% $10.32 $1,031.62 $1,058.02
14th Nov UFC Vegas 14 12.61 -1.1 -8% $10.58 $1,058.02 $1,046.91
19th Nov Bellator 253 4.32 0.1 3% $10.47 $1,046.91 $1,048.20
21st Nov UFC 255 18.53 -2.2 -12% $10.48 $1,048.20 $1,025.35
29th Nov UFC Vegas 15 13.72 0.1 1% $10.25 $1,025.35 $1,026.85
6th Dec UFC Vegas 16 15.6 1.5 10% $10.27 $1,026.85 $1,042.15
11th Dec Bellator 254 5.94 1.5 26% $10.42 $1,042.15 $1,058.26
13th Dec UFC 256 16.02 3.5 22% $10.58 $1,058.26 $1,095.39
19th Dec UFC Vegas 17 18.67 1.2 6% $10.95 $1,095.39 $1,108.40
16th Jan UFC FN 15.16 3.2 21% $11.08 $1,108.40 $1,144.41
20th Jan UFC on ESPN 20 16.32 -0.0 -0% $11.44 $1,144.41 $1,144.06
24th Jan UFC 257 15.51 -4.4 -28% $11.44 $1,144.06 $1,093.49
6th Feb UFC FN 22.24 -0.5 -2% $10.93 $1,093.49 $1,088.38
14th Feb UFC 258 17.45 -0.5 -3% $10.88 $1,088.38 $1,082.83
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 22.19 -1.2 -5% $10.83 $1,082.83 $1,070.28
28th Feb UFC Fight Night 186 15.78 -0.7 -5% $10.70 $1,070.28 $1,062.36
6th Mar UFC 259 21.43 3.7 17% $10.62 $1,062.36 $1,101.56
13th Mar UFC Fight Night 187 17.83 -6.0 -34% $11.02 $1,101.56 $1,035.14
21st Mar UFC Fight Night 188 16.11 2.0 12% $10.35 $1,035.14 $1,055.44
28th Mar UFC 260 15.83 5.2 33% $10.55 $1,055.44 $1,110.20
9th Apr Bellator 256 2.1 1.0 48% $11.10 $1,110.20 $1,121.48
10th Apr UFC FN 21.28 -0.2 -1% $11.21 $1,121.48 $1,119.54
17th Apr UFC FN 15.21 0.5 4% $11.20 $1,119.54 $1,125.57
24th Apr UFC 261 20.4 -6.2 -30% $11.26 $1,125.57 $1,055.57
1st May UFC FN 13.77 -0.9 -6% $10.56 $1,055.57 $1,046.57
8th May UFC FN 16.45 -1.9 -12% $10.47 $1,046.57 $1,026.69


ROI % from starting bank balance: 2.67% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

hugdeeznuts : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. May '21 Marcos Rogerio de Lima Maurice Greene 2.15 1.23 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. May '21 Carlston Harris Christian Aguilera 1.61 1.55 Sub, R1 (2:52) MMA Bookmaker
3. May '21 Phil Hawes Kyle Daukaus 2.10 1.32 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. May '21 Jun Yong Park Tafon Nchukwi 2.19 1.41 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. May '21 Marina Alcalde Rodriguez Michelle Waterson 1.53 2.33 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. May '21 Giga Chikadze Cub Swanson 1.59 1.85 TKO, R1 (1:3) MMA Bookmaker
7. May '21 Sean Strickland Krzysztof Jotko 1.41 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. May '21 Merab Dvalishvili Cody Stamann 1.43 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '21 Danaa Batgerel Kevin Natividad 1.50 1.95 TKO, R1 (0:50) MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '21 Dwight Grant Stefan Sekulic 1.49 1.75 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '21 Ariane Carnelossi Na Liang 1.48 1.88 TKO, R2 (1:28) MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '21 Randy Brown Alex Oliveira 1.69 1.78 Sub, R1 (2:50) MMA Bookmaker
13. Apr '21 Pat Sabatini Tristan Connelly 1.43 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '21 Alexander Romanov Juan Espino 1.71 1.7 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Apr '21 Luis Pena Alex Munoz 1.69 1.6 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Apr '21 Austin Hubbard Dakota Bush 1.54 1.82 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Apr '21 Tracy Cortez Justine Kish 1.42 2.69 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Apr '21 Joe Solecki Jim Miller 1.43 2.3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Apr '21 Daniel Rodriguez Mike Perry 1.65 1.79 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Apr '21 Da Un Jung William Knight 1.83 1.38 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. May '21 Donald Cerrone Alex Morono 1.53 2.23 TKO, R1 (4:40) No MMA Bookmaker
2. May '21 Ludovit Klein Mike Trizano 1.39 3.23 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. May '21 Geoff Neal Neil Magny 1.54 1.95 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. May '21 Carlos Diego Ferreira Gregor Gillespie 2.55 1.2 TKO, R2 (4:51) No MMA Bookmaker
5. May '21 Kai Kamaka T.J. Brown 1.69 1.47 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. May '21 Luke Sanders Felipe Colares 1.72 1.57 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '21 Karl Roberson Brendan Allen 2.35 1.23 Sub, R1 (4:55) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '21 Jim Crute Anthony Smith 1.50 2 TKO, R1 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '21 Chris Weidman Urijah Hall 1.91 1.7 TKO, R1 (0:17) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '21 Weili Zhang Rose Namajunas 1.50 2 TKO, R1 (1:18) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '21 Jorge Masvidal Kamaru Usman 4.20 1 TKO, R2 (1:2) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '21 Bartosz Fabinski Gerald Meerschaert 1.91 1.39 Sub, R1 (2:0) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Apr '21 Chase Sherman Andrei Arlovski 2.50 1.23 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '21 Ignacio Bahamondes John Makdessi 1.50 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Apr '21 Jordan Griffin Luis Saldana 2.15 1.23 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Apr '21 Ignacio Bahamondes John Makdessi 1.51 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Apr '21 Sodiq Yusuff Arnold Allen 1.81 1.71 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '21 Khama Worthy Jamie Mullarkey 1.74 1.5 TKO, R1 (0:46) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '21 Gillian Robertson Miranda Maverick 2.40 1.2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '21 Kevin Holland Derek Brunson 1.59 2.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

hugdeeznuts : Progress Chart

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