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MMA Handicapper Stats: Chicken Nuggetz

Chicken Nuggetz (ChickenNuggetz)

MMA MHandicapper - Chicken Nuggetz

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 98 (58%) Right 95 (65%) Right 2 (29%) Right 1 (7%)
Wrong 70 (42%) Wrong 51 (35%) Wrong 5 (71%) Wrong 14 (93%)
Avg Odds 1.65 Avg Odds 1.55 Avg Odds 1.87 Avg Odds 3.92
Units Bet 913.5 Units Bet 811.0 Units Bet 23.0 Units Bet 79.5
Avg Bet 5.44 Avg Bet 5.55 Avg Bet 3.29 Avg Bet 5.30
Units Profit -65.24 Units Profit 7.24 Units Profit -16.78 Units Profit -55.70
ROI % -7% ROI % 1% ROI % -73% ROI % -70%
View Handicapper's Profile

Chicken Nuggetz: Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
24th Apr '21 UFC 261 85.5 -6.3 -7% 6.2 / 73 (8%) -12.5 / 12.5 (-100%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 46 1.9 4% 1.9 / 46 (4%)
20th Jan '21 UFC on ESPN 20 51.75 -2.6 -5% -2.6 / 51.75 (-5%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 53.75 -30.9 -57% -27.1 / 50 (-54%) -3.8 / 3.75 (-100%)
21st Nov '20 UFC 255 57.5 -12.1 -21% -12.1 / 57.5 (-21%)
21st Nov '20 LFA 95 35 15.4 44% 15.4 / 35 (44%)
19th Nov '20 Bellator 253 85.5 11.4 13% 11.4 / 85.5 (13%)
18th Nov '20 DWCS 36 60 -16.9 -28% -6.9 / 50 (-14%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
8th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 13 45 -12.8 -28% -12.8 / 45 (-28%)
24th Oct '20 UFC 254 91.5 36.4 40% 36.4 / 91.5 (40%)
10th Oct '20 UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 99.75 -35.7 -36% -0.7 / 58.5 (-1%) 0.2 / 6 (4%) -35.3 / 35.25 (-100%)
10th Oct '20 Bellator 248 16.5 3.5 21% 3.5 / 16.5 (21%)
10th Oct '20 KSW 55 5.25 -2.6 -49% -2.6 / 5.25 (-49%)
4th Oct '20 UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 44.5 31.3 70% 12.5 / 39.5 (32%) 18.8 / 5 (376%)
3rd Oct '20 Bellator Europe 9 7 0.9 12% 0.9 / 7 (12%)
26th Sep '20 UFC 253 51 -42.3 -83% -25.3 / 34 (-74%) -12.0 / 12 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
19th Sep '20 UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 46.5 -2.8 -6% 8.2 / 35.5 (23%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
18th Sep '20 Invicta 42 8 1.7 21% 1.7 / 8 (21%)
16th Sep '20 DWCS 33 6.5 -2.5 -39% -2.5 / 6.5 (-39%)
13th Sep '20 Bellator 246 3 0.7 24% 0.7 / 3 (24%)
12th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 184 14 -0.9 -6% 1.1 / 12 (10%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)


Winning Events: 9 (43%)
Losing Events: 12 (57%)

Average Staked Per Event: 43.50 units
Most Staked On One Event: 99.75 units
Best Event: 36.40 units
Worst Event: -42.33 units
Average Event: -3.11 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 36.40
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -45.57

Chicken Nuggetz: Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2021 237 -37.9 -16% -21.7 / 220.75 (-10%) 0.0 / 0 (nan%) -16.3 / 16.25 (-100%) 1 / 3 (25%) -9.48
2020 676.5 -27.3 -4% 28.9 / 590.25 (5%) -16.8 / 23 (-73%) -39.4 / 63.25 (-62%) 8 / 9 (47%) -1.61

Chicken Nuggetz: Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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Chicken Nuggetz: Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 686.75 -76.8 -11% -14.3 / 594.25 (-2%) -16.8 / 23 (-73%) -45.7 / 69.5 (-66%)
Bellator 112 16.5 15% 16.5 / 112 (15%)
Other 114.75 -5.0 -4% 5.0 / 104.75 (5%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)

Chicken Nuggetz: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 80 (55%) 57 71 % 551.50 -20.85 -0.26 -4%
Slight Favorites 44 (30%) 28 64 % 185.00 19.89 0.45 11%
Slight Underdogs 18 (12%) 8 44 % 50.00 -14.43 -0.80 -29%
Big Underdogs 4 (3%) 2 50 % 24.50 22.62 5.66 92%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 20 (14%) 12 60 % 125.00 9.72 0.49 8%
Co-Main Event 17 (12%) 9 53 % 83.50 -11.40 -0.67 -14%
Position 3-5 47 (32%) 30 64 % 271.00 5.90 0.13 2%
6+ (Undercard) 62 (42%) 44 71 % 331.50 3.01 0.05 1%

Chicken Nuggetz: Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 10 (7%) 6 60 % 41.00 -2.45 -0.25 -6%
Light Heavy 12 (8%) 4 33 % 66.25 -28.26 -2.36 -43%
Middleweight 19 (13%) 9 47 % 100.50 -20.40 -1.07 -20%
Welterweight 24 (16%) 17 71 % 138.50 5.48 0.23 4%
Lightweight 10 (7%) 7 70 % 64.00 3.38 0.34 5%
Featherweight 20 (14%) 13 65 % 130.50 4.49 0.22 3%
Bantamweight 14 (10%) 14 100 % 103.00 40.59 2.90 39%
Flyweight 7 (5%) 5 71 % 46.25 -6.45 -0.92 -14%
               
Women's Fights 30 (21%) 20 67 % 121.00 10.86 0.36 9%
Featherweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 0.50 0.33 0.33 67%
Bantamweight 6 (4%) 2 33 % 18.50 1.04 0.17 6%
Flyweight 11 (8%) 9 82 % 60.00 3.94 0.36 7%
Strawweight 12 (8%) 8 67 % 42.00 5.55 0.46 13%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 39 (89%) 27 69 %
Slight Favorites 3 (7%) 1 33 %
Slight Underdogs 2 (5%) 1 50 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
44 29 66 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 2 (12%) 0 0 %
50-65% 6 (35%) 1 17 %
35-50% 7 (41%) 1 14 %
<35% chance 2 (12%) 0 0 %
17 2 12 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 7 (41%) 0 0 % 1.73 2.05Pick was incorrect 1.43Pick was incorrect -7.0 (-100%)
Goes to Decision 1 (6%) 1 100 % 1.74 1.74Pick was correct 1.74Pick was correct 0.7 (74%)
X Wins by KO 2 (12%) 1 50 % 2.16 2.35Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was correct 0.0 (0%)
X Wins by Decision 1 (6%) 0 0 % 1.80 1.80Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Others 6 (35%) 0 0 % 2.32 3.35Pick was incorrect 1.69Pick was incorrect -6.0 (-100%)
17 2 12 % 1.96     -13.3 (-78%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Chicken Nuggetz's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
12th Sep UFC Fight Night 184 14 -0.9 -6% $10.00 $1,000.00 $991.43
13th Sep Bellator 246 3 0.7 24% $9.91 $991.43 $998.66
16th Sep DWCS 33 6.5 -2.5 -39% $9.99 $998.66 $973.29
18th Sep Invicta 42 8 1.7 21% $9.73 $973.29 $989.89
19th Sep UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 46.5 -2.8 -6% $9.90 $989.89 $962.07
26th Sep UFC 253 51 -42.3 -83% $9.62 $962.07 $554.87
3rd Oct Bellator Europe 9 7 0.9 12% $5.55 $554.87 $559.60
4th Oct UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 44.5 31.3 70% $5.60 $559.60 $734.78
10th Oct Bellator 248 16.5 3.5 21% $7.35 $734.78 $760.56
10th Oct KSW 55 5.25 -2.6 -49% $7.61 $760.56 $740.91
10th Oct UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 99.75 -35.7 -36% $7.41 $740.91 $476.48
24th Oct UFC 254 91.5 36.4 40% $4.76 $476.48 $649.93
8th Nov UFC Vegas 13 45 -12.8 -28% $6.50 $649.93 $566.98
18th Nov DWCS 36 60 -16.9 -28% $5.67 $566.98 $470.97
19th Nov Bellator 253 85.5 11.4 13% $4.71 $470.97 $524.79
21st Nov LFA 95 35 15.4 44% $5.25 $524.79 $605.36
21st Nov UFC 255 57.5 -12.1 -21% $6.05 $605.36 $532.20
16th Jan UFC FN 53.75 -30.9 -57% $5.32 $532.20 $367.78
20th Jan UFC on ESPN 20 51.75 -2.6 -5% $3.68 $367.78 $358.27
24th Jan UFC 257 46 1.9 4% $3.58 $358.27 $364.92
24th Apr UFC 261 85.5 -6.3 -7% $3.65 $364.92 $341.90


ROI % from starting bank balance: -65.81% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Chicken Nuggetz: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '21 Ariane Carnelossi Na Liang 1.48 4 TKO, R2 (1:28) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '21 Jeff Molina Qileng Aori 1.91 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '21 Danaa Batgerel Kevin Natividad 1.67 10 TKO, R1 (0:50) MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '21 Brendan Allen Karl Roberson 1.77 7.5 Sub, R1 (4:55) MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '21 Randy Brown Alex Oliveira 1.74 1.5 Sub, R1 (2:50) MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '21 Valentina Shevchenko Jessica Andrade 1.26 11 TKO, R2 (3:19) MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '21 Rose Namajunas Weili Zhang 2.75 3 TKO, R1 (1:18) MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '21 Kamaru Usman Jorge Masvidal 1.26 11 TKO, R2 (1:2) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '21 Dustin Poirier Conor McGregor 3.40 10 TKO, R2 (2:32) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jan '21 Movsar Evloev Nik Lentz 1.26 11 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jan '21 Umar Nurmagomedov Sergey Morozov 1.22 11 Sub, R2 (3:39) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jan '21 Ricky Simon Gaetano Pirrello 1.34 11 Sub, R2 (4:0) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jan '21 Lerone Murphy Douglas Silva de Andrade 1.38 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jan '21 Matt Schnell Tyson Nam 2.10 2.75 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jan '21 Austin Lingo Jacob Kilburn 1.45 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jan '21 Ramazan Emeev David Zawada 1.42 11 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '20 Sullivan Cauley Jason Markland 1.43 11 TKO, R1 (0:28) MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '20 Nicolas Dalby Daniel Rodriguez 3.75 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '20 Kyle Daukaus Dustin Stoltzfus 1.67 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '20 Alan Jouban Jared Gooden 1.91 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Apr '21 Zhu Rong Rodrigo Vargas 1.45 10 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '21 Tristan Connelly Pat Sabatini 1.44 7.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '21 Jim Crute Anthony Smith 1.56 4 TKO, R1 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '21 Chris Weidman Urijah Hall 1.91 1 TKO, R1 (0:17) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '21 Andrew Sanchez Makhmud Muradov 2.15 3 TKO, R3 (2:59) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '21 Khalil Rountree Marcin Prachnio 1.32 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '21 Amanda Ribas Marina Alcalde Rodriguez 1.33 11 TKO, R2 (0:54) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '21 Mounir Lazzez Warlley Alves 1.56 5 TKO, R1 (2:35) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '21 Neil Magny Michael Chiesa 1.74 11 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jan '21 Sarah Moras Vanessa Melo 1.42 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jan '21 Dusko Todorovic Punahele Soriano 1.67 3 TKO, R1 (4:48) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jan '21 Joaquin Buckley Alessio Di Chirico 1.40 5 TKO, R1 (2:12) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jan '21 Santiago Ponzinibbio Li Jingliang 1.38 11 TKO, R1 (4:25) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jan '21 Calvin Kattar Max Holloway 2.45 11 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '20 Louis Cosce Sasha Palatnikov 1.29 11 TKO, R3 (2:47) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '20 Jordan Wright Joaquin Buckley 3.65 10 TKO, R2 (0:18) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '20 Brandon Royval Brandon Moreno 2.75 10 TKO, R1 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '20 Benson Henderson Jason Jackson 2.70 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '20 Kevin Ferguson Jr Kaheem Murray 1.34 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '20 Chelsea Hackett Victoria Leonardo 1.44 10 TKO, R2 (4:41) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Chicken Nuggetz: Progress Chart
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