MMA Handicapper Stats: Nate Silver69 |
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Nate Silver69: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 6 (67%) Losing Events: 3 (33%)
Average Staked Per Event: 4.17 units Most Staked On One Event: 7.00 units Best Event: 3.07 units Worst Event: -4.00 units Average Event: 0.28 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 5.01 Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -4.24 |
Nate Silver69: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2021 |
15 |
-1.8 |
-12% |
-1.8 / 15 (-12%) |
0.0 / 0 (nan%) |
|
1 / 2 (33%) |
-0.60 |
2020 |
22.5 |
4.4 |
19% |
-0.0 / 18.5 (-0%) |
4.4 / 4 (110%) |
|
5 / 1 (83%) |
0.73 |
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Nate Silver69: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Nate Silver69: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
37.5 |
2.6 |
7% |
-1.8 / 33.5 (-5%) |
4.4 / 4 (110%) |
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Nate Silver69: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
5 (31%) |
2 |
40 % |
12.00 |
-3.56 |
-0.71 |
-30% |
Slight Favorites |
6 (38%) |
5 |
83 % |
13.00 |
3.77 |
0.63 |
29% |
Slight Underdogs |
4 (25%) |
1 |
25 % |
6.50 |
-0.05 |
-0.01 |
-1% |
Big Underdogs |
1 (6%) |
0 |
0 % |
2.00 |
-2.00 |
-2.00 |
-100% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
7 (44%) |
5 |
71 % |
16.00 |
1.09 |
0.16 |
7% |
Co-Main Event |
2 (13%) |
1 |
50 % |
6.00 |
0.45 |
0.22 |
7% |
Position 3-5 |
5 (31%) |
2 |
40 % |
9.50 |
-1.38 |
-0.28 |
-14% |
6+ (Undercard) |
2 (13%) |
0 |
0 % |
2.00 |
-2.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
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Nate Silver69: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
2 (13%) |
1 |
50 % |
2.50 |
0.75 |
0.38 |
30% |
Light Heavy |
1 (6%) |
|
0 % |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
Middleweight |
4 (25%) |
3 |
75 % |
10.00 |
4.00 |
1.00 |
40% |
Welterweight |
2 (13%) |
1 |
50 % |
5.00 |
-0.87 |
-0.43 |
-17% |
Lightweight |
3 (19%) |
|
0 % |
6.00 |
-6.00 |
-2.00 |
-100% |
Featherweight |
3 (19%) |
2 |
67 % |
8.00 |
0.58 |
0.19 |
7% |
Bantamweight |
1 (6%) |
1 |
100 % |
1.00 |
0.69 |
0.69 |
69% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
50-65% |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
35-50% |
1 (100%) |
1 |
100 % |
<35% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
1 |
1 |
100 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) |
1 (100%) |
1 |
100 % |
2.10 |
2.10 |
2.10 |
1.1 (110%) |
|
1 |
1 |
100 % |
2.10 |
|
|
1.1 (110%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Nate Silver69's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
5th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 183 |
2 |
1.3 |
63% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,012.50 |
26th Sep |
UFC 253 |
4 |
3.1 |
77% |
|
$10.13 |
$1,012.50 |
$1,043.57 |
10th Oct |
UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen |
1 |
0.7 |
69% |
|
$10.44 |
$1,043.57 |
$1,050.76 |
17th Oct |
UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.51 |
$1,050.76 |
$1,019.24 |
24th Oct |
UFC 254 |
5.5 |
0.9 |
17% |
|
$10.19 |
$1,019.24 |
$1,028.92 |
13th Dec |
UFC 256 |
7 |
1.4 |
20% |
|
$10.29 |
$1,028.92 |
$1,043.33 |
16th Jan |
UFC FN |
5 |
-0.2 |
-5% |
|
$10.43 |
$1,043.33 |
$1,040.87 |
24th Jan |
UFC 257 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.41 |
$1,040.87 |
$999.24 |
14th Feb |
UFC 258 |
6 |
2.4 |
41% |
|
$9.99 |
$999.24 |
$1,023.58 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 2.36% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Nate Silver69: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Nate Silver69: Progress Chart |
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