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MMA Handicapper Stats: Nate Silver69

Nate Silver69 (NateSilver69)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Nate Silver69

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 9 (53%) Right 8 (50%) Right 1 (100%) Right 0 (nan%)
Wrong 8 (47%) Wrong 8 (50%) Wrong 0 (0%) Wrong 0 (nan%)
Avg Odds 1.74 Avg Odds 1.72 Avg Odds 2.10 Avg Odds nan
Units Bet 37.5 Units Bet 33.5 Units Bet 4.0 Units Bet 0.0
Avg Bet 2.21 Avg Bet 2.09 Avg Bet 4.00 Avg Bet nan
Units Profit 2.56 Units Profit -1.84 Units Profit 4.40 Units Profit 0.00
ROI % 7% ROI % -5% ROI % 110% ROI % nan%
View Handicapper's Profile

Nate Silver69: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
14th Feb '21 UFC 258 6 2.4 41% 2.4 / 6 (41%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 5 -0.2 -5% -0.2 / 5 (-5%)
13th Dec '20 UFC 256 7 1.4 20% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 4.4 / 4 (110%)
24th Oct '20 UFC 254 5.5 0.9 17% 0.9 / 5.5 (17%)
17th Oct '20 UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
10th Oct '20 UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 1 0.7 69% 0.7 / 1 (69%)
26th Sep '20 UFC 253 4 3.1 77% 3.1 / 4 (77%)
5th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 183 2 1.3 63% 1.3 / 2 (63%)


Winning Events: 6 (67%)
Losing Events: 3 (33%)

Average Staked Per Event: 4.17 units
Most Staked On One Event: 7.00 units
Best Event: 3.07 units
Worst Event: -4.00 units
Average Event: 0.28 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 5.01
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -4.24

Nate Silver69: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 15 -1.8 -12% -1.8 / 15 (-12%) 0.0 / 0 (nan%) 1 / 2 (33%) -0.60
2020 22.5 4.4 19% -0.0 / 18.5 (-0%) 4.4 / 4 (110%) 5 / 1 (83%) 0.73

Nate Silver69: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Nate Silver69: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 37.5 2.6 7% -1.8 / 33.5 (-5%) 4.4 / 4 (110%)

Nate Silver69: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 5 (31%) 2 40 % 12.00 -3.56 -0.71 -30%
Slight Favorites 6 (38%) 5 83 % 13.00 3.77 0.63 29%
Slight Underdogs 4 (25%) 1 25 % 6.50 -0.05 -0.01 -1%
Big Underdogs 1 (6%) 0 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 7 (44%) 5 71 % 16.00 1.09 0.16 7%
Co-Main Event 2 (13%) 1 50 % 6.00 0.45 0.22 7%
Position 3-5 5 (31%) 2 40 % 9.50 -1.38 -0.28 -14%
6+ (Undercard) 2 (13%) 0 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -1.00 -100%

Nate Silver69: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 2 (13%) 1 50 % 2.50 0.75 0.38 30%
Light Heavy 1 (6%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Middleweight 4 (25%) 3 75 % 10.00 4.00 1.00 40%
Welterweight 2 (13%) 1 50 % 5.00 -0.87 -0.43 -17%
Lightweight 3 (19%) 0 % 6.00 -6.00 -2.00 -100%
Featherweight 3 (19%) 2 67 % 8.00 0.58 0.19 7%
Bantamweight 1 (6%) 1 100 % 1.00 0.69 0.69 69%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
0 0 nan %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 nan %
35-50% 1 (100%) 1 100 %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
1 1 100 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (100%) 1 100 % 2.10 2.10Pick was correct 2.10Pick was correct 1.1 (110%)
1 1 100 % 2.10     1.1 (110%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Nate Silver69's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
5th Sep UFC Fight Night 183 2 1.3 63% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,012.50
26th Sep UFC 253 4 3.1 77% $10.13 $1,012.50 $1,043.57
10th Oct UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 1 0.7 69% $10.44 $1,043.57 $1,050.76
17th Oct UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 3 -3.0 -100% $10.51 $1,050.76 $1,019.24
24th Oct UFC 254 5.5 0.9 17% $10.19 $1,019.24 $1,028.92
13th Dec UFC 256 7 1.4 20% $10.29 $1,028.92 $1,043.33
16th Jan UFC FN 5 -0.2 -5% $10.43 $1,043.33 $1,040.87
24th Jan UFC 257 4 -4.0 -100% $10.41 $1,040.87 $999.24
14th Feb UFC 258 6 2.4 41% $9.99 $999.24 $1,023.58


ROI % from starting bank balance: 2.36% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Nate Silver69: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Feb '21 Kelvin Gastelum Ian Heinisch 1.43 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '21 Kamaru Usman Gilbert Burns 1.38 3 TKO, R3 (0:34) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jan '21 Max Holloway Calvin Kattar 1.59 3 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Oct '20 Cory Sandhagen Marlon Moraes 1.69 1 TKO, R2 (1:3) MMA Bookmaker
5. Oct '20 Robert Whittaker Jared Cannonier 2.15 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Sep '20 Hakeem Dawodu Zubaira Tukhugov 1.91 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Sep '20 Israel Adesanya Paulo Costa 1.63 2 TKO, R2 (3:59) MMA Bookmaker
8. Sep '20 Alistair Overeem Augusto Sakai 1.63 2 TKO, R5 (0:26) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jan '21 Khalil Rountree Marcin Prachnio 1.29 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jan '21 Daniel Hooker Michael Chandler 1.69 3 TKO, R1 (2:30) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jan '21 Santiago Ponzinibbio Li Jingliang 1.36 2 TKO, R1 (4:25) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '20 Ronaldo Souza Kevin Holland 2.05 2 TKO, R1 (1:45) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '20 Renato Moicano Rafael Fiziev 2.30 1 TKO, R1 (4:5) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Oct '20 Walt Harris Alexander Volkov 2.45 0.5 TKO, R2 (1:15) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Oct '20 Justin Gaethje Khabib Nurmagomedov 3.25 2 Sub, R2 (1:34) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '20 Chan Sung Jung Brian Ortega 1.48 3 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Nate Silver69: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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