MMA Handicapper Stats: Nate Silver69 |
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Nate Silver69: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 7 (58%)
Losing Events: 5 (42%)
Average Staked Per Event: 5.71 units
Most Staked On One Event: 13.00 units
Best Event: 9.19 units
Worst Event: -8.00 units
Average Event: -0.08 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 9.19
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -8.00 |
Nate Silver69: Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2023 |
18 |
1.2 |
7% |
1.2 / 18 (7%) |
0.0 / 0 (nan%) |
|
1 / 1 (50%) |
0.59 |
| 2021 |
28 |
-6.6 |
-23% |
-6.6 / 28 (-23%) |
0.0 / 0 (nan%) |
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1 / 3 (25%) |
-1.64 |
| 2020 |
22.5 |
4.4 |
19% |
-0.0 / 18.5 (-0%) |
4.4 / 4 (110%) |
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5 / 1 (83%) |
0.73 |
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Nate Silver69: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Nate Silver69: Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
68.5 |
-1.0 |
-1% |
-5.4 / 64.5 (-8%) |
4.4 / 4 (110%) |
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Nate Silver69: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
7 (27%) |
3 |
43 % |
20.00 |
-5.37 |
-0.77 |
-27% |
| Slight Favorites |
10 (38%) |
7 |
70 % |
27.00 |
6.26 |
0.63 |
23% |
| Slight Underdogs |
7 (27%) |
3 |
43 % |
9.50 |
1.70 |
0.24 |
18% |
| Big Underdogs |
2 (8%) |
0 |
0 % |
8.00 |
-8.00 |
-4.00 |
-100% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
10 (38%) |
6 |
60 % |
30.00 |
-3.82 |
-0.38 |
-13% |
| Co-Main Event |
3 (12%) |
2 |
67 % |
10.00 |
3.84 |
1.28 |
38% |
| Position 3-5 |
9 (35%) |
4 |
44 % |
20.50 |
-3.49 |
-0.39 |
-17% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
4 (15%) |
1 |
25 % |
4.00 |
-1.95 |
-0.49 |
-49% |
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Nate Silver69: Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
3 (12%) |
2 |
67 % |
6.50 |
4.14 |
1.38 |
64% |
| Light Heavy |
3 (12%) |
1 |
33 % |
9.00 |
0.10 |
0.03 |
1% |
| Middleweight |
4 (15%) |
3 |
75 % |
10.00 |
4.00 |
1.00 |
40% |
| Welterweight |
2 (8%) |
1 |
50 % |
5.00 |
-0.87 |
-0.43 |
-17% |
| Lightweight |
5 (19%) |
1 |
20 % |
17.00 |
-10.81 |
-2.16 |
-64% |
| Featherweight |
3 (12%) |
2 |
67 % |
8.00 |
0.58 |
0.19 |
7% |
| Bantamweight |
4 (15%) |
2 |
50 % |
7.00 |
-3.26 |
-0.82 |
-47% |
| Flyweight |
1 (4%) |
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0 % |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
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| Women's Fights |
1 (4%) |
1 |
100 % |
1.00 |
1.70 |
1.70 |
170% |
| Strawweight |
1 (4%) |
1 |
100 % |
1.00 |
1.70 |
1.70 |
170% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Slight Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Slight Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
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0 |
0 |
nan % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
| 50-65% |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
| 35-50% |
1 (100%) |
1 |
100 % |
| <35% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
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1 |
1 |
100 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
| Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
| Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) |
1 (100%) |
1 |
100 % |
2.10 |
2.10 |
2.10 |
1.1 (110%) |
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1 |
1 |
100 % |
2.10 |
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1.1 (110%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Nate Silver69's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 5th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 183 |
2 |
1.3 |
63% |
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$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,012.50 |
| 26th Sep |
UFC 253 |
4 |
3.1 |
77% |
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$10.13 |
$1,012.50 |
$1,043.57 |
| 10th Oct |
UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen |
1 |
0.7 |
69% |
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$10.44 |
$1,043.57 |
$1,050.76 |
| 17th Oct |
UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
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$10.51 |
$1,050.76 |
$1,019.24 |
| 24th Oct |
UFC 254 |
5.5 |
0.9 |
17% |
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$10.19 |
$1,019.24 |
$1,028.92 |
| 13th Dec |
UFC 256 |
7 |
1.4 |
20% |
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$10.29 |
$1,028.92 |
$1,043.33 |
| 16th Jan |
UFC FN |
5 |
-0.2 |
-5% |
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$10.43 |
$1,043.33 |
$1,040.87 |
| 24th Jan |
UFC 257 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
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$10.41 |
$1,040.87 |
$999.24 |
| 13th Feb |
UFC 258 |
6 |
2.4 |
41% |
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$9.99 |
$999.24 |
$1,023.58 |
| 6th Mar |
UFC 259 |
13 |
-4.8 |
-37% |
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$10.24 |
$1,023.58 |
$974.87 |
| 11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
10 |
9.2 |
92% |
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$9.75 |
$974.87 |
$1,064.44 |
| 2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
8 |
-8.0 |
-100% |
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$10.64 |
$1,064.44 |
$979.28 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -2.07% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Nate Silver69: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Nate Silver69: Progress Chart |
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