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Total MMA Handicappers: 6365
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2352

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: UFC Lock

UFC Lock (Ufc_lock)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - UFC Lock

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 42 (22%) Right 15 (44%) Right 27 (17%) Right 0 (0%)
Wrong 150 (78%) Wrong 19 (56%) Wrong 129 (83%) Wrong 2 (100%)
Avg Odds 4.36 Avg Odds 2.27 Avg Odds 5.47 Avg Odds 3.44
Units Bet 215.8 Units Bet 67.0 Units Bet 144.8 Units Bet 4.0
Avg Bet 1.12 Avg Bet 1.97 Avg Bet 0.93 Avg Bet 2.00
Units Profit -5.04 Units Profit -1.88 Units Profit 0.84 Units Profit -4.00
ROI % -2% ROI % -3% ROI % 1% ROI % -100%
View Handicapper's Profile

UFC Lock: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
8th May '21 UFC FN 25.5 7.0 27% 5.7 / 6 (95%) 4.3 / 16.5 (26%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
1st May '21 UFC FN 31.25 -7.0 -22% 0.5 / 14 (4%) -7.5 / 17.25 (-43%)
24th Apr '21 UFC 261 32.25 -13.1 -41% -4.1 / 8 (-51%) -9.0 / 24.25 (-37%)
17th Apr '21 UFC FN 29.5 11.3 38% 2.7 / 12 (23%) 8.6 / 17.5 (49%)
10th Apr '21 UFC FN 29.5 2.0 7% 3.6 / 8 (45%) -1.7 / 21.5 (-8%)
28th Mar '21 UFC 260 30.5 -25.7 -84% -12.0 / 12 (-100%) -12.7 / 17.5 (-73%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
20th Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 188 37.25 20.5 55% 1.6 / 7 (23%) 18.9 / 30.25 (62%)


Winning Events: 4 (57%)
Losing Events: 3 (43%)

Average Staked Per Event: 30.82 units
Most Staked On One Event: 37.25 units
Best Event: 20.49 units
Worst Event: -25.74 units
Average Event: -0.72 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 20.49
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -25.74

UFC Lock: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 215.75 -5.0 -2% -1.9 / 67 (-3%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 4 / 3 (57%) -0.72

UFC Lock: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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UFC Lock: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 215.75 -5.0 -2% -1.9 / 67 (-3%) 0.8 / 144.75 (1%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)

UFC Lock: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 2 (6%) 2 100 % 4.00 1.52 0.76 38%
Slight Favorites 7 (21%) 4 57 % 14.00 0.88 0.13 6%
Slight Underdogs 18 (53%) 7 39 % 36.00 -4.38 -0.24 -12%
Big Underdogs 7 (21%) 2 29 % 13.00 0.10 0.01 1%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 3 (9%) 0 0 % 6.00 -6.00 -2.00 -100%
Co-Main Event 5 (15%) 2 40 % 10.00 -1.66 -0.33 -17%
Position 3-5 9 (26%) 4 44 % 18.00 -3.48 -0.39 -19%
6+ (Undercard) 17 (50%) 9 53 % 33.00 9.26 0.54 28%

UFC Lock: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 3 (9%) 1 33 % 6.00 -2.16 -0.72 -36%
Light Heavy 2 (6%) 0 % 4.00 -4.00 -2.00 -100%
Middleweight 8 (24%) 3 38 % 16.00 -5.10 -0.64 -32%
Welterweight 5 (15%) 2 40 % 10.00 -1.00 -0.20 -10%
Lightweight 1 (3%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
Featherweight 6 (18%) 4 67 % 12.00 6.94 1.16 58%
Bantamweight 3 (9%) 2 67 % 5.00 2.20 0.73 44%
Flyweight 2 (6%) 2 100 % 4.00 4.44 2.22 111%
               
Women's Fights 4 (12%) 1 25 % 8.00 -1.20 -0.30 -15%
Flyweight 2 (6%) 0 % 4.00 -4.00 -2.00 -100%
Strawweight 2 (6%) 1 50 % 4.00 2.80 1.40 70%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 2 (40%) 1 50 %
Slight Favorites 2 (40%) 1 50 %
Slight Underdogs 1 (20%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
5 2 40 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
50-65% 7 (4%) 4 57 %
35-50% 8 (5%) 3 38 %
<35% chance 141 (90%) 20 14 %
156 27 17 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (2%) 0 0 % 2.11 2.57Pick was incorrect 1.74Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
Goes to Decision 4 (3%) 3 75 % 2.52 3.25Pick was correct 1.93Pick was correct 3.5 (88%)
Does not go to Decision 1 (1%) 1 100 % 1.56 1.56Pick was correct 1.56Pick was correct 0.6 (56%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 5 (3%) 1 20 % 3.25 5.30Pick was correct 1.88Pick was incorrect 0.3 (6%)
X Wins by KO 2 (1%) 0 0 % 5.45 6.00Pick was incorrect 5.00Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 13 (8%) 2 15 % 7.09 13.00Pick was incorrect 3.40Pick was correct -3.1 (-24%)
X Wins by Decision 15 (10%) 4 27 % 3.90 6.75Pick was incorrect 1.83Pick was incorrect 0.9 (6%)
X Wins Inside Distance 22 (14%) 6 27 % 4.04 7.50Pick was incorrect 2.60Pick was correct 0.5 (2%)
X Wins in Round X 79 (51%) 9 11 % 8.75 34.00Pick was incorrect 1.72Pick was correct -3.0 (-4%)
Others 12 (8%) 1 8 % 4.30 17.00Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was correct -10.2 (-85%)
156 27 17 % 5.47     -15.5 (-10%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail UFC Lock's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
20th Mar UFC Fight Night 188 37.25 20.5 55% $49 $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,155.86
28th Mar UFC 260 30.5 -25.7 -84% $49 $11.56 $1,155.86 $809.34
10th Apr UFC FN 29.5 2.0 7% $49 $8.09 $809.34 $776.28
17th Apr UFC FN 29.5 11.3 38% $49 $7.76 $776.28 $815.15
24th Apr UFC 261 32.25 -13.1 -41% $49 $8.15 $815.15 $659.37
1st May UFC FN 31.25 -7.0 -22% $49 $6.59 $659.37 $564.34
8th May UFC FN 25.5 7.0 27% $49 $5.64 $564.34 $554.85


ROI % from starting bank balance: -44.52% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

UFC Lock: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. May '21 Paid Pick Mike Trizano Ludovit Klein 3.15 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. May '21 Paid Pick Neil Magny Geoff Neal 2.70 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. May '21 Paid Pick Sean Strickland Krzysztof Jotko 1.36 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. May '21 Paid Pick Felipe Colares Luke Sanders 2.20 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. May '21 Paid Pick T.J. Brown Kai Kamaka 2.30 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. May '21 Paid Pick Merab Dvalishvili Cody Stamann 1.40 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '21 Paid Pick Jeff Molina Qileng Aori 1.95 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '21 Paid Pick Gerald Meerschaert Bartosz Fabinski 2.05 2 Sub, R1 (2:0) MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '21 Paid Pick Jessica Penne Lupita Godinez 3.40 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '21 Paid Pick Andrei Arlovski Chase Sherman 1.92 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '21 Paid Pick Luis Saldana Jordan Griffin 1.77 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '21 Paid Pick Daniel Rodriguez Mike Perry 1.80 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Apr '21 Paid Pick Arnold Allen Sodiq Yusuff 2.25 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '21 Paid Pick Bruno Silva J.P. Buys 2.27 2 TKO, R2 (2:56) MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '21 Paid Pick Trevin Giles Roman Dolidze 2.04 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. May '21 Paid Pick Kyle Daukaus Phil Hawes 1.84 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. May '21 Paid Pick Randa Markos Luana Pinheiro 2.45 2 No MMA Bookmaker
3. May '21 Paid Pick Cub Swanson Giga Chikadze 2.57 2 TKO, R1 (1:3) Yes MMA Bookmaker
4. May '21 Paid Pick Dominick Reyes Jiri Prochazka 2.10 2 TKO, R2 (4:29) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '21 Paid Pick Tristan Connelly Pat Sabatini 3.15 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '21 Paid Pick Alex Oliveira Randy Brown 2.35 2 Sub, R1 (2:50) Yes MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '21 Paid Pick Chris Weidman Urijah Hall 1.77 2 TKO, R1 (0:17) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '21 Paid Pick Juan Espino Alexander Romanov 2.27 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '21 Paid Pick Justine Kish Tracy Cortez 3.75 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '21 Paid Pick Kelvin Gastelum Robert Whittaker 3.30 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '21 Paid Pick Sam Alvey Julian Marquez 2.62 2 Sub, R2 (2:7) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '21 Paid Pick Abu Azaitar Marc-Andre Barriault 2.12 2 TKO, R3 (4:56) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '21 Paid Pick Modestas Bukauskas Michal Oleksiejczuk 2.55 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '21 Paid Pick Khama Worthy Jamie Mullarkey 1.80 2 TKO, R1 (0:46) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '21 Paid Pick Gillian Robertson Miranda Maverick 2.45 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '21 Paid Pick Tyron Woodley Vicente Luque 3.10 2 Sub, R1 (3:56) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '21 Paid Pick Stipe Miocic Francis Ngannou 2.26 2 TKO, R2 (0:52) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '21 Paid Pick Kenan Song Max Griffin 2.85 2 TKO, R1 (2:20) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '21 Paid Pick Jesse Strader Montel Jackson 6.30 1 TKO, R1 (1:58) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

UFC Lock: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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