MMA Handicapper Stats: UFC Lock |
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UFC Lock: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
8th May '21 |
UFC FN |
25.5 |
7.0 |
27% |
5.7 / 6 (95%) |
4.3 / 16.5 (26%) |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
1st May '21 |
UFC FN |
31.25 |
-7.0 |
-22% |
0.5 / 14 (4%) |
-7.5 / 17.25 (-43%) |
|
24th Apr '21 |
UFC 261 |
32.25 |
-13.1 |
-41% |
-4.1 / 8 (-51%) |
-9.0 / 24.25 (-37%) |
|
17th Apr '21 |
UFC FN |
29.5 |
11.3 |
38% |
2.7 / 12 (23%) |
8.6 / 17.5 (49%) |
|
10th Apr '21 |
UFC FN |
29.5 |
2.0 |
7% |
3.6 / 8 (45%) |
-1.7 / 21.5 (-8%) |
|
28th Mar '21 |
UFC 260 |
30.5 |
-25.7 |
-84% |
-12.0 / 12 (-100%) |
-12.7 / 17.5 (-73%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
20th Mar '21 |
UFC Fight Night 188 |
37.25 |
20.5 |
55% |
1.6 / 7 (23%) |
18.9 / 30.25 (62%) |
|
Winning Events: 4 (57%) Losing Events: 3 (43%)
Average Staked Per Event: 30.82 units Most Staked On One Event: 37.25 units Best Event: 20.49 units Worst Event: -25.74 units Average Event: -0.72 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 20.49 Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -25.74 |
UFC Lock: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2021 |
215.75 |
-5.0 |
-2% |
-1.9 / 67 (-3%) |
|
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
4 / 3 (57%) |
-0.72 |
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UFC Lock: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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UFC Lock: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
215.75 |
-5.0 |
-2% |
-1.9 / 67 (-3%) |
0.8 / 144.75 (1%) |
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
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UFC Lock: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
2 (6%) |
2 |
100 % |
4.00 |
1.52 |
0.76 |
38% |
Slight Favorites |
7 (21%) |
4 |
57 % |
14.00 |
0.88 |
0.13 |
6% |
Slight Underdogs |
18 (53%) |
7 |
39 % |
36.00 |
-4.38 |
-0.24 |
-12% |
Big Underdogs |
7 (21%) |
2 |
29 % |
13.00 |
0.10 |
0.01 |
1% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
3 (9%) |
0 |
0 % |
6.00 |
-6.00 |
-2.00 |
-100% |
Co-Main Event |
5 (15%) |
2 |
40 % |
10.00 |
-1.66 |
-0.33 |
-17% |
Position 3-5 |
9 (26%) |
4 |
44 % |
18.00 |
-3.48 |
-0.39 |
-19% |
6+ (Undercard) |
17 (50%) |
9 |
53 % |
33.00 |
9.26 |
0.54 |
28% |
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UFC Lock: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
3 (9%) |
1 |
33 % |
6.00 |
-2.16 |
-0.72 |
-36% |
Light Heavy |
2 (6%) |
|
0 % |
4.00 |
-4.00 |
-2.00 |
-100% |
Middleweight |
8 (24%) |
3 |
38 % |
16.00 |
-5.10 |
-0.64 |
-32% |
Welterweight |
5 (15%) |
2 |
40 % |
10.00 |
-1.00 |
-0.20 |
-10% |
Lightweight |
1 (3%) |
|
0 % |
2.00 |
-2.00 |
-2.00 |
-100% |
Featherweight |
6 (18%) |
4 |
67 % |
12.00 |
6.94 |
1.16 |
58% |
Bantamweight |
3 (9%) |
2 |
67 % |
5.00 |
2.20 |
0.73 |
44% |
Flyweight |
2 (6%) |
2 |
100 % |
4.00 |
4.44 |
2.22 |
111% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
4 (12%) |
1 |
25 % |
8.00 |
-1.20 |
-0.30 |
-15% |
Flyweight |
2 (6%) |
|
0 % |
4.00 |
-4.00 |
-2.00 |
-100% |
Strawweight |
2 (6%) |
1 |
50 % |
4.00 |
2.80 |
1.40 |
70% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
2 (40%) |
1 |
50 % |
Slight Favorites |
2 (40%) |
1 |
50 % |
Slight Underdogs |
1 (20%) |
0 |
0 % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
5 |
2 |
40 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
50-65% |
7 (4%) |
4 |
57 % |
35-50% |
8 (5%) |
3 |
38 % |
<35% chance |
141 (90%) |
20 |
14 % |
|
156 |
27 |
17 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail UFC Lock's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
20th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 188 |
37.25 |
20.5 |
55% |
$49 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,155.86 |
28th Mar |
UFC 260 |
30.5 |
-25.7 |
-84% |
$49 |
$11.56 |
$1,155.86 |
$809.34 |
10th Apr |
UFC FN |
29.5 |
2.0 |
7% |
$49 |
$8.09 |
$809.34 |
$776.28 |
17th Apr |
UFC FN |
29.5 |
11.3 |
38% |
$49 |
$7.76 |
$776.28 |
$815.15 |
24th Apr |
UFC 261 |
32.25 |
-13.1 |
-41% |
$49 |
$8.15 |
$815.15 |
$659.37 |
1st May |
UFC FN |
31.25 |
-7.0 |
-22% |
$49 |
$6.59 |
$659.37 |
$564.34 |
8th May |
UFC FN |
25.5 |
7.0 |
27% |
$49 |
$5.64 |
$564.34 |
$554.85 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -44.52% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
UFC Lock: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
May '21 |
Kyle Daukaus |
Phil Hawes |
1.84 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
2. |
May '21 |
Randa Markos |
Luana Pinheiro |
2.45 |
2 |
|
No |
|
|
3. |
May '21 |
Cub Swanson |
Giga Chikadze |
2.57 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (1:3) |
Yes |
|
|
4. |
May '21 |
Dominick Reyes |
Jiri Prochazka |
2.10 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (4:29) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Apr '21 |
Tristan Connelly |
Pat Sabatini |
3.15 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Apr '21 |
Alex Oliveira |
Randy Brown |
2.35 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (2:50) |
Yes |
|
|
7. |
Apr '21 |
Chris Weidman |
Urijah Hall |
1.77 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (0:17) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Apr '21 |
Juan Espino |
Alexander Romanov |
2.27 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Apr '21 |
Justine Kish |
Tracy Cortez |
3.75 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Apr '21 |
Kelvin Gastelum |
Robert Whittaker |
3.30 |
2 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Apr '21 |
Sam Alvey |
Julian Marquez |
2.62 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (2:7) |
No |
|
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12. |
Mar '21 |
Abu Azaitar |
Marc-Andre Barriault |
2.12 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (4:56) |
No |
|
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13. |
Mar '21 |
Modestas Bukauskas |
Michal Oleksiejczuk |
2.55 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Mar '21 |
Khama Worthy |
Jamie Mullarkey |
1.80 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (0:46) |
No |
|
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15. |
Mar '21 |
Gillian Robertson |
Miranda Maverick |
2.45 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
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16. |
Mar '21 |
Tyron Woodley |
Vicente Luque |
3.10 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (3:56) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Mar '21 |
Stipe Miocic |
Francis Ngannou |
2.26 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (0:52) |
No |
|
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18. |
Mar '21 |
Kenan Song |
Max Griffin |
2.85 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (2:20) |
No |
|
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19. |
Mar '21 |
Jesse Strader |
Montel Jackson |
6.30 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (1:58) |
No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
UFC Lock: Progress Chart |
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