MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 3213
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 1230

MMA Handicapper Stats: Red Mist

Red Mist (SidekickKO)

MMA MHandicapper - Red Mist

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	138 (51%)	Right	122 (56%)	Right	8 (44%)	Right	8 (24%)
Wrong	130 (49%)	Wrong	95 (44%)	Wrong	10 (56%)	Wrong	25 (76%)
Avg Odds	1.94	Avg Odds	1.74	Avg Odds	2.94	Avg Odds	4.33
Units Bet	1,791.8	Units Bet	1,521.8	Units Bet	69.0	Units Bet	201.0
Avg Bet	6.69	Avg Bet	7.01	Avg Bet	3.83	Avg Bet	6.09
Units Profit	-202.56	Units Profit	-91.12	Units Profit	22.62	Units Profit	-134.05
ROI %	-11%	ROI %	-6%	ROI %	33%	ROI %	-67%

Red Mist: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
28th Mar '21	UFC 260	11	7.2	66%	7.2 / 11 (66%)
13th Mar '21	UFC Fight Night 187	132.1	-34.1	-26%	-23.1 / 121.1 (-19%)		-11.0 / 11 (-100%)
6th Mar '21	UFC 259	96.3	-13.8	-14%	-13.8 / 96.3 (-14%)
28th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 186	39.5	-39.1	-99%	-28.1 / 28.5 (-98%)		-11.0 / 11 (-100%)
26th Feb '21	ACA 118	0.5	-0.0	-4%	-0.0 / 0.5 (-4%)
20th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 185	99.4	-67.1	-68%	-56.1 / 88.4 (-64%)		-11.0 / 11 (-100%)
20th Feb '21	LFA 100	22.3	28.0	125%	28.0 / 22.3 (125%)
6th Feb '21	UFC FN	54.8	-36.4	-66%	-26.4 / 44.8 (-59%)		-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
30th Jan '21	KSW 58	11.2	-11.0	-98%	-11.0 / 11.2 (-98%)
29th Jan '21	LFA 98	22.2	23.7	107%	23.7 / 22.2 (107%)
24th Jan '21	UFC 257	96.6	46.2	48%	47.4 / 55.6 (85%)	14.8 / 25 (59%)	-16.0 / 16 (-100%)
20th Jan '21	UFC on ESPN 20	89	-52.3	-59%	-29.3 / 66 (-44%)		-23.0 / 23 (-100%)
16th Jan '21	UFC FN	68.7	-6.2	-9%	14.8 / 47.7 (31%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	-16.0 / 16 (-100%)
16th Jan '21	LFA 97	11.8	8.4	71%	8.4 / 11.8 (71%)
29th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 15	59	41.7	71%	56.7 / 44 (129%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
31st Oct '20	UFC Vegas 12	55	0.4	1%	0.4 / 55 (1%)
30th Oct '20	LFA 94	33	7.9	24%	18.9 / 22 (86%)		-11.0 / 11 (-100%)
24th Oct '20	UFC 254	92	-34.9	-38%	-23.1 / 74 (-31%)	-0.8 / 7 (-11%)	-11.0 / 11 (-100%)
17th Oct '20	UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie	44	3.9	9%	-3.5 / 33 (-10%)		7.3 / 11 (67%)
10th Oct '20	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	224	-46.5	-21%	-49.0 / 195 (-25%)	7.0 / 8 (88%)	-4.5 / 21 (-21%)
10th Oct '20	Bellator 248	33	11.2	34%	11.2 / 33 (34%)
4th Oct '20	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	79	-51.7	-65%	-44.7 / 72 (-62%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
2nd Oct '20	LFA 92	11	6.9	63%	6.9 / 11 (63%)
26th Sep '20	UFC 253	11	-11.0	-100%			-11.0 / 11 (-100%)
19th Sep '20	UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley	85	25.2	30%	-0.4 / 67 (-1%)	16.9 / 11 (154%)	8.7 / 7 (124%)
16th Sep '20	DWCS 33	37	-7.3	-20%	-5.0 / 32 (-16%)	0.6 / 2 (32%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
12th Sep '20	UFC Fight Night 184	117	-19.8	-17%	-19.8 / 117 (-17%)
11th Sep '20	Bellator 245	45	25.9	57%	21.3 / 35 (61%)		4.6 / 10 (46%)
9th Sep '20	DWCS 32	44	7.6	17%	7.6 / 44 (17%)
2nd Sep '20	DWCS 31	36	-12.9	-36%	-9.9 / 33 (-30%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
29th Aug '20	UFC Fight Night 182	31.4	-2.5	-8%	-0.3 / 27.4 (-1%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-1.1 / 3 (-38%)

Winning Events: 14 (45%)
Losing Events: 17 (55%)

Average Staked Per Event: 57.80 units
Most Staked On One Event: 224.00 units
Best Event: 46.22 units
Worst Event: -67.14 units
Average Event: -6.53 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 69.91
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -154.15

Red Mist: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	755.4	-146.5	-19%	-58.3 / 627.4 (-9%)	9.8 / 30 (33%)	-98.0 / 98 (-100%)	5 / 9 (36%)	-10.46
2020	1036.4	-56.1	-5%	-32.8 / 894.4 (-4%)	12.8 / 39 (33%)	-36.1 / 103 (-35%)	9 / 8 (53%)	-3.30

Red Mist: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Red Mist: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	1484.8	-290.8	-20%	-191.1 / 1243.8 (-15%)	22.0 / 67 (33%)	-121.6 / 174 (-70%)
Bellator	78	37.1	48%	32.5 / 68 (48%)		4.6 / 10 (46%)
Other	229	51.2	22%	67.5 / 210 (32%)	0.6 / 2 (32%)	-17.0 / 17 (-100%)

Red Mist: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	85 (35%)	60	71 %	422.40	28.14	0.33	7%
Slight Favorites	69 (29%)	40	58 %	468.20	-67.52	-0.98	-14%
Slight Underdogs	53 (22%)	27	51 %	377.90	14.41	0.27	4%
Big Underdogs	33 (14%)	8	24 %	253.30	-66.16	-2.00	-26%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	30 (13%)	13	43 %	220.70	-41.82	-1.39	-19%
Co-Main Event	28 (12%)	15	54 %	203.10	-6.91	-0.25	-3%
Position 3-5	70 (29%)	45	64 %	417.80	49.20	0.70	12%
6+ (Undercard)	111 (46%)	62	56 %	680.10	-91.50	-0.82	-13%

Red Mist: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	19 (8%)	12	63 %	141.40	20.30	1.07	14%
Light Heavy	21 (9%)	14	67 %	118.60	-10.31	-0.49	-9%
Middleweight	26 (11%)	14	54 %	184.20	-8.00	-0.31	-4%
Welterweight	23 (10%)	12	52 %	114.30	-32.64	-1.42	-29%
Lightweight	36 (15%)	23	64 %	245.00	89.40	2.48	36%
Featherweight	31 (13%)	13	42 %	164.20	-112.95	-3.64	-69%
Bantamweight	36 (15%)	20	56 %	227.00	-92.17	-2.56	-41%
Flyweight	12 (5%)	9	75 %	82.40	21.41	1.78	26%

Women's Fights	36 (15%)	18	50 %	244.70	33.83	0.94	14%
Featherweight	5 (2%)	4	80 %	27.00	8.02	1.60	30%
Bantamweight	9 (4%)	3	33 %	76.20	8.50	0.94	11%
Flyweight	13 (5%)	5	38 %	80.40	-5.03	-0.39	-6%
Strawweight	9 (4%)	6	67 %	61.10	22.34	2.48	37%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	44 (42%)	33	75 %
Slight Favorites	41 (39%)	24	59 %
Slight Underdogs	12 (11%)	6	50 %
Big Underdogs	8 (8%)	3	38 %
	105	66	63 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
50-65%	3 (17%)	3	100 %
35-50%	5 (28%)	1	20 %
<35% chance	10 (56%)	4	40 %
	18	8	44 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (6%)	1	100 %	1.72	1.72	1.72	0.7 (72%)
Goes to Decision	1 (6%)	1	100 %	2.65	2.65	2.65	1.6 (165%)
Does not go to Decision	1 (6%)	0	0 %	2.20	2.20	2.20	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	5 (28%)	1	20 %	3.70	9.00	2.00	-1.0 (-20%)
X Wins by Sub	2 (11%)	1	50 %	3.83	5.00	3.10	1.1 (55%)
X Wins by Decision	4 (22%)	2	50 %	2.85	5.00	1.74	2.7 (69%)
X Wins Inside Distance	4 (22%)	2	50 %	2.81	4.75	1.59	2.1 (52%)
	18	8	44 %	2.94			6.3 (35%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Red Mist's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
29th Aug	UFC Fight Night 182	31.4	-2.5	-8%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$975.13
2nd Sep	DWCS 31	36	-12.9	-36%		$9.75	$975.13	$849.34
9th Sep	DWCS 32	44	7.6	17%		$8.49	$849.34	$914.22
11th Sep	Bellator 245	45	25.9	57%		$9.14	$914.22	$1,150.73
12th Sep	UFC Fight Night 184	117	-19.8	-17%		$11.51	$1,150.73	$922.54
16th Sep	DWCS 33	37	-7.3	-20%		$9.23	$922.54	$854.80
19th Sep	UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley	85	25.2	30%		$8.55	$854.80	$1,070.45
26th Sep	UFC 253	11	-11.0	-100%		$10.70	$1,070.45	$952.70
2nd Oct	LFA 92	11	6.9	63%		$9.53	$952.70	$1,018.20
4th Oct	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	79	-51.7	-65%		$10.18	$1,018.20	$491.45
10th Oct	Bellator 248	33	11.2	34%		$4.91	$491.45	$546.49
10th Oct	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	224	-46.5	-21%		$5.46	$546.49	$292.43
17th Oct	UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie	44	3.9	9%	$50	$2.92	$292.43	$253.76
24th Oct	UFC 254	92	-34.9	-38%	$50	$2.54	$253.76	$115.25
30th Oct	LFA 94	33	7.9	24%	$50	$1.15	$115.25	$74.30
31st Oct	UFC Vegas 12	55	0.4	1%	$50	$0.74	$74.30	$24.60
29th Nov	UFC Vegas 15	59	41.7	71%	$50	$0.25	$24.60	$0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
16th Jan	LFA 97	11.8	8.4	71%	$50	$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,033.87
16th Jan	UFC FN	68.7	-6.2	-9%	$50	$10.34	$1,033.87	$919.41
20th Jan	UFC on ESPN 20	89	-52.3	-59%	$50	$9.19	$919.41	$388.83
24th Jan	UFC 257	96.6	46.2	48%	$50	$3.89	$388.83	$518.57
29th Jan	LFA 98	22.2	23.7	107%	$50	$5.19	$518.57	$591.40
30th Jan	KSW 58	11.2	-11.0	-98%	$50	$5.91	$591.40	$476.57
6th Feb	UFC FN	54.8	-36.4	-66%	$50	$4.77	$476.57	$253.26
20th Feb	LFA 100	22.3	28.0	125%	$50	$2.53	$253.26	$274.07
20th Feb	UFC Fight Night 185	99.4	-67.1	-68%	$50	$2.74	$274.07	$40.07
26th Feb	ACA 118	0.5	-0.0	-4%	$50	$0.40	$40.07	$0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
28th Feb	UFC Fight Night 186	39.5	-39.1	-99%	$50	$10.00	$1,000.00	$559.28
6th Mar	UFC 259	96.3	-13.8	-14%	$50	$5.59	$559.28	$432.14
13th Mar	UFC Fight Night 187	132.1	-34.1	-26%	$50	$4.32	$432.14	$234.66
28th Mar	UFC 260	11	7.2	66%		$2.35	$234.66	$251.64

ROI % from starting bank balance: -274.84% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Red Mist: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Mar '21	Nasrat Haqparast	Rafa Garcia	1.29	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Mar '21	Matheus Nicolau	Manel Kape	2.10	11	Split Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Mar '21	Ryan Spann	Misha Cirkunov	2.00	11	TKO, R1 (1:11)
4.	Mar '21	Dan Ige	Gavin Tucker	1.81	11	TKO, R1 (0:22)
5.	Mar '21	Matt Semelsberger	Jason Witt	1.71	11	TKO, R1 (0:16)
6.	Mar '21	Kennedy Nzechukwu	Carlos Ulberg	2.70	0.1	TKO, R2 (3:19)
7.	Mar '21	Askar Askarov	Joseph Benavidez	1.83	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Mar '21	Tim Elliott	Jordan Espinosa	2.00	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Mar '21	Uros Medic	Aalon Cruz	1.63	5	TKO, R1 (1:40)
10.	Mar '21	Amanda Lemos	Livia Renata Souza	1.54	11	TKO, R1 (3:39)
11.	Mar '21	Jan Blachowicz	Israel Adesanya	3.00	5	U Decision (5 rounds)
12.	Feb '21	Ronnie Lawrence	Vince Cachero	1.63	0.1	TKO, R3 (2:38)
13.	Feb '21	Magomed Ankalaev	Nikita Krylov	1.27	0.1	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Feb '21	Ciryl Gane	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	1.38	0.1	U Decision (5 rounds)
15.	Feb '21	Rakhman Dudaev	Pavel Vitruk	1.29	0.1	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Feb '21	Gadzhimurad Khiramagomedov	George Kichigin	1.77	0.1	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Feb '21	Ustarmagomed Gadzhidaudov	Andrey Koshkin	1.77	0.1	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Feb '21	Christian Natividad	Evan Woolsey	1.10	0.1	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Feb '21	Victor Altamirano	Nate Smith	2.30	0.1	U Decision (5 rounds)
20.	Feb '21	Steven Nguyen	Jorge Juarez	1.29	0.1	TKO, R1 (0:30)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Mar '21	Ray Rodriguez	Rani Yahya	3.30	11	Sub, R2 (3:9)	No
2.	Mar '21	Ray Rodriguez	Rani Yahya	3.60	11	Sub, R2 (3:9)	No
3.	Mar '21	Ray Rodriguez	Rani Yahya	3.30	11	Sub, R2 (3:9)	No
4.	Mar '21	Cortney Casey	J.J. Aldrich	2.30	11	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Mar '21	Marcelo Rojo	Charles Jourdain	3.00	11	TKO, R3 (4:31)	No
6.	Mar '21	Gloria de Paula	Jinh Yu Frey	1.63	11	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Mar '21	Jonathan Martinez	Davey Grant	1.33	0.1	TKO, R2 (3:3)	No
8.	Mar '21	Yadong Song	Kyler Phillips	1.67	11	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Mar '21	Casey Kenney	Dominick Cruz	1.83	11	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Mar '21	Rogerio Bontorin	Kai Kara-France	2.10	11	TKO, R1 (4:55)	No
11.	Mar '21	Jake Matthews	Sean Brady	2.70	0.1	Sub, R3 (3:28)	No
12.	Mar '21	Mario Bautista	Trevin Jones	1.43	0.1	TKO, R2 (0:47)	No
13.	Mar '21	Thiago Santos	Aleksandar Rakic	2.40	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Mar '21	Drew Dober	Islam Makhachev	4.00	1	Sub, R3 (1:37)	No
15.	Mar '21	Petr Yan	Aljamain Sterling	1.91	11		No
16.	Mar '21	Megan Anderson	Amanda Nunes	7.00	3	Sub, R1 (2:3)	No
17.	Feb '21	Kevin Croom	Alex Caceres	2.60	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Feb '21	Alexander Hernandez	Thiago Moises	1.50	0.1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Feb '21	Sabina Mazo	Alexis Davis	1.50	0.1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Feb '21	Maxim Grishin	Dustin Jacoby	2.60	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Red Mist: Progress Chart

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