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MMA Handicapper Stats: Red Mist

Red Mist (SidekickKO)


MMA MHandicapper - Red Mist

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 138 (51%) Right 122 (56%) Right 8 (44%) Right 8 (24%)
Wrong 130 (49%) Wrong 95 (44%) Wrong 10 (56%) Wrong 25 (76%)
Avg Odds 1.94 Avg Odds 1.74 Avg Odds 2.94 Avg Odds 4.33
Units Bet 1,791.8 Units Bet 1,521.8 Units Bet 69.0 Units Bet 201.0
Avg Bet 6.69 Avg Bet 7.01 Avg Bet 3.83 Avg Bet 6.09
Units Profit -202.56 Units Profit -91.12 Units Profit 22.62 Units Profit -134.05
ROI % -11% ROI % -6% ROI % 33% ROI % -67%
View Handicapper's Profile

Red Mist: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
28th Mar '21 UFC 260 11 7.2 66% 7.2 / 11 (66%)
13th Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 187 132.1 -34.1 -26% -23.1 / 121.1 (-19%) -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
6th Mar '21 UFC 259 96.3 -13.8 -14% -13.8 / 96.3 (-14%)
28th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 186 39.5 -39.1 -99% -28.1 / 28.5 (-98%) -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
26th Feb '21 ACA 118 0.5 -0.0 -4% -0.0 / 0.5 (-4%)
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 99.4 -67.1 -68% -56.1 / 88.4 (-64%) -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
20th Feb '21 LFA 100 22.3 28.0 125% 28.0 / 22.3 (125%)
6th Feb '21 UFC FN 54.8 -36.4 -66% -26.4 / 44.8 (-59%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
30th Jan '21 KSW 58 11.2 -11.0 -98% -11.0 / 11.2 (-98%)
29th Jan '21 LFA 98 22.2 23.7 107% 23.7 / 22.2 (107%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 96.6 46.2 48% 47.4 / 55.6 (85%) 14.8 / 25 (59%) -16.0 / 16 (-100%)
20th Jan '21 UFC on ESPN 20 89 -52.3 -59% -29.3 / 66 (-44%) -23.0 / 23 (-100%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 68.7 -6.2 -9% 14.8 / 47.7 (31%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -16.0 / 16 (-100%)
16th Jan '21 LFA 97 11.8 8.4 71% 8.4 / 11.8 (71%)
29th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 15 59 41.7 71% 56.7 / 44 (129%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
31st Oct '20 UFC Vegas 12 55 0.4 1% 0.4 / 55 (1%)
30th Oct '20 LFA 94 33 7.9 24% 18.9 / 22 (86%) -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
24th Oct '20 UFC 254 92 -34.9 -38% -23.1 / 74 (-31%) -0.8 / 7 (-11%) -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
17th Oct '20 UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 44 3.9 9% -3.5 / 33 (-10%) 7.3 / 11 (67%)
10th Oct '20 UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 224 -46.5 -21% -49.0 / 195 (-25%) 7.0 / 8 (88%) -4.5 / 21 (-21%)
10th Oct '20 Bellator 248 33 11.2 34% 11.2 / 33 (34%)
4th Oct '20 UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 79 -51.7 -65% -44.7 / 72 (-62%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
2nd Oct '20 LFA 92 11 6.9 63% 6.9 / 11 (63%)
26th Sep '20 UFC 253 11 -11.0 -100% -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
19th Sep '20 UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 85 25.2 30% -0.4 / 67 (-1%) 16.9 / 11 (154%) 8.7 / 7 (124%)
16th Sep '20 DWCS 33 37 -7.3 -20% -5.0 / 32 (-16%) 0.6 / 2 (32%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
12th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 184 117 -19.8 -17% -19.8 / 117 (-17%)
11th Sep '20 Bellator 245 45 25.9 57% 21.3 / 35 (61%) 4.6 / 10 (46%)
9th Sep '20 DWCS 32 44 7.6 17% 7.6 / 44 (17%)
2nd Sep '20 DWCS 31 36 -12.9 -36% -9.9 / 33 (-30%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
29th Aug '20 UFC Fight Night 182 31.4 -2.5 -8% -0.3 / 27.4 (-1%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.1 / 3 (-38%)


Winning Events: 14 (45%)
Losing Events: 17 (55%)

Average Staked Per Event: 57.80 units
Most Staked On One Event: 224.00 units
Best Event: 46.22 units
Worst Event: -67.14 units
Average Event: -6.53 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 69.91
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -154.15

Red Mist: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 755.4 -146.5 -19% -58.3 / 627.4 (-9%) 9.8 / 30 (33%) -98.0 / 98 (-100%) 5 / 9 (36%) -10.46
2020 1036.4 -56.1 -5% -32.8 / 894.4 (-4%) 12.8 / 39 (33%) -36.1 / 103 (-35%) 9 / 8 (53%) -3.30

Red Mist: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Red Mist: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 1484.8 -290.8 -20% -191.1 / 1243.8 (-15%) 22.0 / 67 (33%) -121.6 / 174 (-70%)
Bellator 78 37.1 48% 32.5 / 68 (48%) 4.6 / 10 (46%)
Other 229 51.2 22% 67.5 / 210 (32%) 0.6 / 2 (32%) -17.0 / 17 (-100%)

Red Mist: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 85 (35%) 60 71 % 422.40 28.14 0.33 7%
Slight Favorites 69 (29%) 40 58 % 468.20 -67.52 -0.98 -14%
Slight Underdogs 53 (22%) 27 51 % 377.90 14.41 0.27 4%
Big Underdogs 33 (14%) 8 24 % 253.30 -66.16 -2.00 -26%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 30 (13%) 13 43 % 220.70 -41.82 -1.39 -19%
Co-Main Event 28 (12%) 15 54 % 203.10 -6.91 -0.25 -3%
Position 3-5 70 (29%) 45 64 % 417.80 49.20 0.70 12%
6+ (Undercard) 111 (46%) 62 56 % 680.10 -91.50 -0.82 -13%

Red Mist: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 19 (8%) 12 63 % 141.40 20.30 1.07 14%
Light Heavy 21 (9%) 14 67 % 118.60 -10.31 -0.49 -9%
Middleweight 26 (11%) 14 54 % 184.20 -8.00 -0.31 -4%
Welterweight 23 (10%) 12 52 % 114.30 -32.64 -1.42 -29%
Lightweight 36 (15%) 23 64 % 245.00 89.40 2.48 36%
Featherweight 31 (13%) 13 42 % 164.20 -112.95 -3.64 -69%
Bantamweight 36 (15%) 20 56 % 227.00 -92.17 -2.56 -41%
Flyweight 12 (5%) 9 75 % 82.40 21.41 1.78 26%
               
Women's Fights 36 (15%) 18 50 % 244.70 33.83 0.94 14%
Featherweight 5 (2%) 4 80 % 27.00 8.02 1.60 30%
Bantamweight 9 (4%) 3 33 % 76.20 8.50 0.94 11%
Flyweight 13 (5%) 5 38 % 80.40 -5.03 -0.39 -6%
Strawweight 9 (4%) 6 67 % 61.10 22.34 2.48 37%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 44 (42%) 33 75 %
Slight Favorites 41 (39%) 24 59 %
Slight Underdogs 12 (11%) 6 50 %
Big Underdogs 8 (8%) 3 38 %
105 66 63 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
50-65% 3 (17%) 3 100 %
35-50% 5 (28%) 1 20 %
<35% chance 10 (56%) 4 40 %
18 8 44 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (6%) 1 100 % 1.72 1.72Pick was correct 1.72Pick was correct 0.7 (72%)
Goes to Decision 1 (6%) 1 100 % 2.65 2.65Pick was correct 2.65Pick was correct 1.6 (165%)
Does not go to Decision 1 (6%) 0 0 % 2.20 2.20Pick was incorrect 2.20Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 5 (28%) 1 20 % 3.70 9.00Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-20%)
X Wins by Sub 2 (11%) 1 50 % 3.83 5.00Pick was incorrect 3.10Pick was correct 1.1 (55%)
X Wins by Decision 4 (22%) 2 50 % 2.85 5.00Pick was correct 1.74Pick was correct 2.7 (69%)
X Wins Inside Distance 4 (22%) 2 50 % 2.81 4.75Pick was incorrect 1.59Pick was correct 2.1 (52%)
18 8 44 % 2.94     6.3 (35%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Red Mist's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
29th Aug UFC Fight Night 182 31.4 -2.5 -8% $10.00 $1,000.00 $975.13
2nd Sep DWCS 31 36 -12.9 -36% $9.75 $975.13 $849.34
9th Sep DWCS 32 44 7.6 17% $8.49 $849.34 $914.22
11th Sep Bellator 245 45 25.9 57% $9.14 $914.22 $1,150.73
12th Sep UFC Fight Night 184 117 -19.8 -17% $11.51 $1,150.73 $922.54
16th Sep DWCS 33 37 -7.3 -20% $9.23 $922.54 $854.80
19th Sep UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 85 25.2 30% $8.55 $854.80 $1,070.45
26th Sep UFC 253 11 -11.0 -100% $10.70 $1,070.45 $952.70
2nd Oct LFA 92 11 6.9 63% $9.53 $952.70 $1,018.20
4th Oct UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 79 -51.7 -65% $10.18 $1,018.20 $491.45
10th Oct Bellator 248 33 11.2 34% $4.91 $491.45 $546.49
10th Oct UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 224 -46.5 -21% $5.46 $546.49 $292.43
17th Oct UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 44 3.9 9% $50 $2.92 $292.43 $253.76
24th Oct UFC 254 92 -34.9 -38% $50 $2.54 $253.76 $115.25
30th Oct LFA 94 33 7.9 24% $50 $1.15 $115.25 $74.30
31st Oct UFC Vegas 12 55 0.4 1% $50 $0.74 $74.30 $24.60
29th Nov UFC Vegas 15 59 41.7 71% $50 $0.25 $24.60 $0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
16th Jan LFA 97 11.8 8.4 71% $50 $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,033.87
16th Jan UFC FN 68.7 -6.2 -9% $50 $10.34 $1,033.87 $919.41
20th Jan UFC on ESPN 20 89 -52.3 -59% $50 $9.19 $919.41 $388.83
24th Jan UFC 257 96.6 46.2 48% $50 $3.89 $388.83 $518.57
29th Jan LFA 98 22.2 23.7 107% $50 $5.19 $518.57 $591.40
30th Jan KSW 58 11.2 -11.0 -98% $50 $5.91 $591.40 $476.57
6th Feb UFC FN 54.8 -36.4 -66% $50 $4.77 $476.57 $253.26
20th Feb LFA 100 22.3 28.0 125% $50 $2.53 $253.26 $274.07
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 99.4 -67.1 -68% $50 $2.74 $274.07 $40.07
26th Feb ACA 118 0.5 -0.0 -4% $50 $0.40 $40.07 $0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
28th Feb UFC Fight Night 186 39.5 -39.1 -99% $50 $10.00 $1,000.00 $559.28
6th Mar UFC 259 96.3 -13.8 -14% $50 $5.59 $559.28 $432.14
13th Mar UFC Fight Night 187 132.1 -34.1 -26% $50 $4.32 $432.14 $234.66
28th Mar UFC 260 11 7.2 66% $2.35 $234.66 $251.64


ROI % from starting bank balance: -274.84% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Red Mist: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '21 Paid Pick Nasrat Haqparast Rafa Garcia 1.29 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '21 Paid Pick Matheus Nicolau Manel Kape 2.10 11 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '21 Paid Pick Ryan Spann Misha Cirkunov 2.00 11 TKO, R1 (1:11) MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '21 Paid Pick Dan Ige Gavin Tucker 1.81 11 TKO, R1 (0:22) MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '21 Paid Pick Matt Semelsberger Jason Witt 1.71 11 TKO, R1 (0:16) MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '21 Paid Pick Kennedy Nzechukwu Carlos Ulberg 2.70 0.1 TKO, R2 (3:19) MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '21 Paid Pick Askar Askarov Joseph Benavidez 1.83 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '21 Paid Pick Tim Elliott Jordan Espinosa 2.00 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '21 Paid Pick Uros Medic Aalon Cruz 1.63 5 TKO, R1 (1:40) MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '21 Paid Pick Amanda Lemos Livia Renata Souza 1.54 11 TKO, R1 (3:39) MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '21 Paid Pick Jan Blachowicz Israel Adesanya 3.00 5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '21 Paid Pick Ronnie Lawrence Vince Cachero 1.63 0.1 TKO, R3 (2:38) MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '21 Paid Pick Magomed Ankalaev Nikita Krylov 1.27 0.1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '21 Ciryl Gane Jairzinho Rozenstruik 1.38 0.1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '21 Paid Pick Rakhman Dudaev Pavel Vitruk 1.29 0.1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '21 Paid Pick Gadzhimurad Khiramagomedov George Kichigin 1.77 0.1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '21 Paid Pick Ustarmagomed Gadzhidaudov Andrey Koshkin 1.77 0.1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Feb '21 Paid Pick Christian Natividad Evan Woolsey 1.10 0.1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '21 Paid Pick Victor Altamirano Nate Smith 2.30 0.1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Feb '21 Paid Pick Steven Nguyen Jorge Juarez 1.29 0.1 TKO, R1 (0:30) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '21 Paid Pick Ray Rodriguez Rani Yahya 3.30 11 Sub, R2 (3:9) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '21 Paid Pick Ray Rodriguez Rani Yahya 3.60 11 Sub, R2 (3:9) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '21 Paid Pick Ray Rodriguez Rani Yahya 3.30 11 Sub, R2 (3:9) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '21 Paid Pick Cortney Casey J.J. Aldrich 2.30 11 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '21 Paid Pick Marcelo Rojo Charles Jourdain 3.00 11 TKO, R3 (4:31) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '21 Paid Pick Gloria de Paula Jinh Yu Frey 1.63 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '21 Paid Pick Jonathan Martinez Davey Grant 1.33 0.1 TKO, R2 (3:3) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '21 Paid Pick Yadong Song Kyler Phillips 1.67 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '21 Paid Pick Casey Kenney Dominick Cruz 1.83 11 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '21 Paid Pick Rogerio Bontorin Kai Kara-France 2.10 11 TKO, R1 (4:55) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '21 Paid Pick Jake Matthews Sean Brady 2.70 0.1 Sub, R3 (3:28) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '21 Paid Pick Mario Bautista Trevin Jones 1.43 0.1 TKO, R2 (0:47) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '21 Paid Pick Thiago Santos Aleksandar Rakic 2.40 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '21 Paid Pick Drew Dober Islam Makhachev 4.00 1 Sub, R3 (1:37) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '21 Paid Pick Petr Yan Aljamain Sterling 1.91 11 No MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '21 Paid Pick Megan Anderson Amanda Nunes 7.00 3 Sub, R1 (2:3) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '21 Paid Pick Kevin Croom Alex Caceres 2.60 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Feb '21 Paid Pick Alexander Hernandez Thiago Moises 1.50 0.1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '21 Paid Pick Sabina Mazo Alexis Davis 1.50 0.1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Feb '21 Paid Pick Maxim Grishin Dustin Jacoby 2.60 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Red Mist: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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