MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: J Pizzle

J Pizzle (JPmma)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	43 (33%)	Right	15 (58%)	Right	23 (27%)	Right	5 (28%)
Wrong	86 (67%)	Wrong	11 (42%)	Wrong	62 (73%)	Wrong	13 (72%)
Avg Odds	3.76	Avg Odds	2.16	Avg Odds	4.18	Avg Odds	9.55
Units Bet	96.6	Units Bet	37.3	Units Bet	52.6	Units Bet	6.7
Avg Bet	0.75	Avg Bet	1.44	Avg Bet	0.62	Avg Bet	0.37
Units Profit	8.57	Units Profit	1.51	Units Profit	2.07	Units Profit	4.98
ROI %	9%	ROI %	4%	ROI %	4%	ROI %	75%

J Pizzle: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
28th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 186	1.75	1.4	80%	0.9 / 0.5 (180%)	0.5 / 1.25 (40%)
20th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 185	10.5	-8.3	-79%	-4.9 / 7.1 (-70%)	-3.4 / 3.4 (-100%)
14th Feb '21	UFC 258	1.9	-1.9	-100%		-1.9 / 1.9 (-100%)
6th Feb '21	UFC FN	6.18	6.3	102%	3.6 / 3 (122%)	2.6 / 3.18 (83%)
24th Jan '21	UFC 257	10.94	-0.2	-1%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	0.8 / 7.35 (11%)	1.0 / 1.59 (63%)
20th Jan '21	UFC on ESPN 20	4.55	-2.3	-49%		-2.3 / 4.55 (-49%)
19th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 17	10.66	-2.1	-20%	0.6 / 5.86 (9%)	-2.4 / 4.55 (-53%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
13th Dec '20	UFC 256	9.2	-8.0	-86%	-3.7 / 4.9 (-74%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	-0.3 / 0.3 (-100%)
6th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 16	8.77	1.2	13%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	1.5 / 6.57 (23%)	1.2 / 0.7 (165%)
29th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 15	5.01	-0.9	-19%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	0.3 / 3.76 (9%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
21st Nov '20	UFC 255	10.25	-1.6	-15%	2.6 / 3.5 (73%)	-2.3 / 4.9 (-46%)	-1.9 / 1.85 (-100%)
18th Nov '20	DWCS 36	2.62	2.8	108%	2.8 / 2.62 (108%)
14th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 14	5.55	5.6	100%	4.1 / 3 (138%)	1.7 / 2.25 (78%)	-0.3 / 0.3 (-100%)
8th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 13	7.4	15.6	210%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	10.8 / 4.95 (218%)	5.8 / 1.45 (398%)
29th Aug '20	UFC Fight Night 182	1.34	1.0	75%	1.0 / 1.34 (75%)

Winning Events: 7 (47%)
Losing Events: 8 (53%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.44 units
Most Staked On One Event: 10.94 units
Best Event: 15.55 units
Worst Event: -8.34 units
Average Event: 0.57 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 24.95
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -12.49

J Pizzle: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	35.82	-5.0	-14%	-2.4 / 12.6 (-19%)	-3.6 / 21.63 (-17%)	1.0 / 1.59 (63%)	2 / 4 (33%)	-0.83
2020	60.8	13.5	22%	3.9 / 24.72 (16%)	5.7 / 30.98 (18%)	4.0 / 5.1 (78%)	5 / 4 (56%)	1.50

J Pizzle: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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J Pizzle: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	94	5.7	6%	-1.3 / 34.7 (-4%)	2.1 / 52.61 (4%)	5.0 / 6.69 (75%)
Other	2.62	2.8	108%	2.8 / 2.62 (108%)

J Pizzle: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	1 (3%)	0	0 %	5.10	-5.10	-5.10	-100%
Slight Favorites	10 (34%)	7	70 %	16.72	2.25	0.23	13%
Slight Underdogs	15 (52%)	8	53 %	13.50	1.81	0.12	13%
Big Underdogs	3 (10%)	2	67 %	2.00	2.55	0.85	128%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	2 (7%)	1	50 %	6.10	-4.05	-2.02	-66%
Co-Main Event	2 (7%)	1	50 %	1.50	-0.25	-0.13	-17%
Position 3-5	13 (45%)	9	69 %	14.32	8.55	0.66	60%
6+ (Undercard)	12 (41%)	6	50 %	15.40	-2.74	-0.23	-18%

J Pizzle: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	1 (3%)		0 %	5.10	-5.10	-5.10	-100%
Light Heavy	1 (3%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%
Middleweight	2 (7%)	2	100 %	2.84	2.58	1.29	91%
Welterweight	5 (17%)	5	100 %	6.86	5.60	1.12	82%
Lightweight	4 (14%)	2	50 %	3.00	-0.43	-0.11	-14%
Featherweight	3 (10%)	2	67 %	3.40	1.81	0.60	53%
Bantamweight	1 (3%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%
Flyweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	2.00	1.60	1.60	80%

Women's Fights	11 (38%)	5	45 %	12.12	-2.55	-0.23	-21%
Bantamweight	3 (10%)		0 %	5.50	-5.50	-1.83	-100%
Flyweight	2 (7%)	2	100 %	1.00	1.90	0.95	190%
Strawweight	6 (21%)	3	50 %	5.62	1.05	0.17	19%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	2 (67%)	2	100 %
Slight Favorites	1 (33%)	1	100 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	3	3	100 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	6 (5%)	5	83 %
50-65%	19 (15%)	12	63 %
35-50%	10 (8%)	4	40 %
<35% chance	94 (73%)	16	17 %
	129	37	29 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (2%)	2	67 %	1.59	2.00	1.22	-0.0 (-0%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	7 (5%)	4	57 %	1.90	2.64	1.57	0.9 (13%)
Goes to Decision	8 (6%)	5	63 %	1.61	2.25	1.33	-0.2 (-3%)
Does not go to Decision	5 (4%)	5	100 %	1.63	1.95	1.22	3.4 (68%)
X Wins by KO	20 (16%)	3	15 %	5.04	13.00	2.15	-1.9 (-9%)
X Wins by Sub	13 (10%)	2	15 %	7.48	10.50	4.10	4.0 (31%)
X Wins by Decision	19 (15%)	9	47 %	3.32	13.00	1.69	15.2 (80%)
X Wins Inside Distance	7 (5%)	4	57 %	3.14	4.50	1.80	7.7 (110%)
X Wins in Round X	10 (8%)	1	10 %	9.48	36.00	3.00	-6.0 (-60%)
Others	37 (29%)	2	5 %	7.96	50.99	1.87	-7.9 (-21%)
	129	37	29 %	3.91			15.2 (12%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail J Pizzle's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
29th Aug	UFC Fight Night 182	1.34	1.0	75%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,010.00
8th Nov	UFC Vegas 13	7.4	15.6	210%		$10.10	$1,010.00	$1,167.07
14th Nov	UFC Vegas 14	5.55	5.6	100%		$11.67	$1,167.07	$1,232.13
18th Nov	DWCS 36	2.62	2.8	108%		$12.32	$1,232.13	$1,266.94
21st Nov	UFC 255	10.25	-1.6	-15%		$12.67	$1,266.94	$1,247.05
29th Nov	UFC Vegas 15	5.01	-0.9	-19%		$12.47	$1,247.05	$1,235.45
6th Dec	UFC Vegas 16	8.77	1.2	13%		$12.35	$1,235.45	$1,249.85
13th Dec	UFC 256	9.2	-8.0	-86%		$12.50	$1,249.85	$1,150.49
19th Dec	UFC Vegas 17	10.66	-2.1	-20%		$11.50	$1,150.49	$1,126.03
20th Jan	UFC on ESPN 20	4.55	-2.3	-49%		$11.26	$1,126.03	$1,100.69
24th Jan	UFC 257	10.94	-0.2	-1%		$11.01	$1,100.69	$1,098.94
6th Feb	UFC FN	6.18	6.3	102%		$10.99	$1,098.94	$1,167.90
14th Feb	UFC 258	1.9	-1.9	-100%		$11.68	$1,167.90	$1,145.71
20th Feb	UFC Fight Night 185	10.5	-8.3	-79%		$11.46	$1,145.71	$1,050.16
28th Feb	UFC Fight Night 186	1.75	1.4	80%		$10.50	$1,050.16	$1,064.86

ROI % from starting bank balance: 6.49% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

J Pizzle: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Feb '21	Alexis Davis	Sabina Mazo	2.80	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Feb '21	Jared Gordon	Danny Chavez	2.16	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Feb '21	Seung Woo Choi	Youssef Zalal	3.05	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Feb '21	Alexandre Pantoja	Manel Kape	1.80	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Dec '20	Stephen Thompson	Geoff Neal	2.05	1	U Decision (5 rounds)
6.	Dec '20	Michel Pereira	Kalinn Williams	1.85	2.36	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Dec '20	Charles Oliveira	Tony Ferguson	2.50	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Nov '20	Alan Jouban	Jared Gooden	1.73	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Nov '20	Alan Jouban	Jared Gooden	1.73	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Nov '20	Tucker Lutz	Sherrard Blackledge	2.65	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Nov '20	Victoria Leonardo	Chelsea Hackett	3.00	0.5	TKO, R2 (4:41)
12.	Nov '20	Gloria de Paula	Pauline Macias	1.62	1.62	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Nov '20	Alan Jouban	Jared Gooden	1.73	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Nov '20	Ashley Yoder	Miranda Granger	2.40	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Nov '20	Cory McKenna	Kay Hansen	2.85	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Nov '20	Sean Strickland	Brendan Allen	2.05	1.5	TKO, R2 (1:32)
17.	Aug '20	Impa Kasanganay	Maki Pitolo	1.75	1.34	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Feb '21	Eddie Wineland	John Castaneda	2.05	1	TKO, R1 (4:44)	No
2.	Jan '21	Sara McMann	Julianna Pena	1.77	2	Sub, R3 (3:39)	Yes
3.	Feb '21	Curtis Blaydes	Derrick Lewis	1.39	5.1	TKO, R2 (1:26)	No
4.	Dec '20	Sijara Eubanks	Pannie Kianzad	1.69	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Dec '20	Virna Jandiroba	Mackenzie Dern	2.60	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Dec '20	Renato Moicano	Rafael Fiziev	2.30	1.5	TKO, R1 (4:5)	No
7.	Dec '20	Billy Quarantillo	Gavin Tucker	1.71	1.4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Dec '20	Matt Wiman	Jordan Leavitt	4.30	0.5	TKO, R1 (0:22)	No
9.	Dec '20	Ovince St Preux	Jamahal Hill	2.50	1	TKO, R2 (3:37)	No
10.	Nov '20	Rachael Ostovich	Gina Mazany	2.75	1	TKO, R3 (4:10)	No
11.	Nov '20	Claudia Gadelha	Yan Xiaonan	2.30	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Nov '20	Claudia Gadelha	Yan Xiaonan	2.40	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

J Pizzle: Progress Chart

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