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MMA Handicapper Stats: Falcon Warlord

Falcon Warlord (Falconwarlord)


MMA MHandicapper - Falcon Warlord

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 9 (43%) Right 5 (50%) Right 2 (40%) Right 2 (33%)
Wrong 12 (57%) Wrong 5 (50%) Wrong 3 (60%) Wrong 4 (67%)
Avg Odds 2.47 Avg Odds 1.77 Avg Odds 3.50 Avg Odds 4.19
Units Bet 43.6 Units Bet 23.2 Units Bet 5.8 Units Bet 14.6
Avg Bet 2.07 Avg Bet 2.32 Avg Bet 1.15 Avg Bet 2.43
Units Profit -9.84 Units Profit -7.77 Units Profit 0.75 Units Profit -2.81
ROI % -23% ROI % -33% ROI % 13% ROI % -19%
View Handicapper's Profile

Falcon Warlord: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
10th Jul '21 UFC 264 9.75 2.9 30% -1.3 / 4.44 (-29%) 2.8 / 3.75 (73%) 1.5 / 1.56 (93%)
24th Apr '21 UFC 261 21.3 -15.8 -74% -6.3 / 11.8 (-53%) -9.5 / 9.5 (-100%)
10th Apr '21 UFC FN 12.5 3.0 24% -0.2 / 7 (-3%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 5.2 / 3.5 (149%)


Winning Events: 2 (67%)
Losing Events: 1 (33%)

Average Staked Per Event: 14.52 units
Most Staked On One Event: 21.30 units
Best Event: 3.04 units
Worst Event: -15.78 units
Average Event: -3.28 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 3.04
Max Losing Streak: Events: 1, Units: -15.78

Falcon Warlord: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 43.55 -9.8 -23% -7.8 / 23.24 (-33%) -2.8 / 14.56 (-19%) 2 / 1 (67%) -3.28

Falcon Warlord: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Falcon Warlord: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 43.55 -9.8 -23% -7.8 / 23.24 (-33%) 0.8 / 5.75 (13%) -2.8 / 14.56 (-19%)

Falcon Warlord: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 1 (10%) 0 0 % 5.50 -5.50 -5.50 -100%
Slight Favorites 8 (80%) 4 50 % 16.30 -3.97 -0.50 -24%
Slight Underdogs 1 (10%) 1 100 % 1.44 1.70 1.70 118%
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 1 (10%) 0 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Co-Main Event 2 (20%) 1 50 % 6.94 -3.80 -1.90 -55%
Position 3-5 3 (30%) 0 0 % 8.00 -8.00 -2.67 -100%
6+ (Undercard) 4 (40%) 4 100 % 7.30 5.03 1.26 69%

Falcon Warlord: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Light Heavy 1 (10%) 1 100 % 1.50 1.19 1.19 79%
Middleweight 2 (20%) 1 50 % 4.60 -2.04 -1.02 -44%
Welterweight 2 (20%) 2 100 % 3.14 2.96 1.48 94%
Lightweight 1 (10%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Bantamweight 1 (10%) 1 100 % 2.50 1.63 1.63 65%
               
Women's Fights 3 (30%) 0 % 10.50 -10.50 -3.50 -100%
Bantamweight 1 (10%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
Strawweight 2 (20%) 0 % 8.50 -8.50 -4.25 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 12 (71%) 10 83 %
Slight Favorites 5 (29%) 4 80 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
17 14 82 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 3 (30%) 1 33 %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 nan %
35-50% 2 (20%) 1 50 %
<35% chance 5 (50%) 1 20 %
10 3 30 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (10%) 1 100 % 1.39 1.39Pick was correct 1.39Pick was correct 0.4 (39%)
Does not go to Decision 3 (30%) 0 0 % 1.60 2.25Pick was incorrect 1.35Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 2 (20%) 0 0 % 4.20 4.20Pick was incorrect 4.20Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Others 4 (40%) 2 50 % 3.36 5.50Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was correct 2.5 (63%)
10 3 30 % 2.35     -2.1 (-21%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Falcon Warlord's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
10th Apr UFC FN 12.5 3.0 24% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,030.41
24th Apr UFC 261 21.3 -15.8 -74% $10.30 $1,030.41 $867.79
10th Jul UFC 264 9.75 2.9 30% $8.68 $867.79 $892.99


ROI % from starting bank balance: -10.70% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Falcon Warlord: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jul '21 Gilbert Burns Stephen Thompson 2.18 1.44 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '21 Randy Brown Alex Oliveira 1.74 1.7 Sub, R1 (2:50) MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '21 Brendan Allen Karl Roberson 1.60 1.6 Sub, R1 (4:55) MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '21 Da Un Jung William Knight 1.79 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '21 Jack Shore Hunter Azure 1.65 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jul '21 Yana Santos Irene Aldana 1.87 2 TKO, R1 (4:35) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '21 Conor McGregor Dustin Poirier 1.95 1 TKO, R1 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '21 Chris Weidman Urijah Hall 1.73 3 TKO, R1 (0:17) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '21 Weili Zhang Rose Namajunas 1.48 5.5 TKO, R1 (1:18) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '21 Nina Nunes Mackenzie Dern 1.90 3 Sub, R1 (4:48) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Falcon Warlord: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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