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MMA Handicapper Stats: rrw4

rrw4 (rrw4)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - rrw4

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 183 (27%) Right 47 (38%) Right 136 (25%) Right 0 (0%)
Wrong 484 (73%) Wrong 77 (62%) Wrong 404 (75%) Wrong 3 (100%)
Avg Odds 3.82 Avg Odds 2.30 Avg Odds 4.47 Avg Odds 24.03
Units Bet 421.8 Units Bet 108.8 Units Bet 312.8 Units Bet 0.3
Avg Bet 0.63 Avg Bet 0.88 Avg Bet 0.58 Avg Bet 0.08
Units Profit 61.06 Units Profit -22.37 Units Profit 83.68 Units Profit -0.25
ROI % 14% ROI % -21% ROI % 27% ROI % -100%
View Handicapper's Profile

rrw4 : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
5th Mar '22 UFC 272 10 4.5 45% -0.4 / 2 (-19%) 4.8 / 8 (61%)
26th Feb '22 UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev 2.4 0.0 2% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 1.0 / 1.4 (74%)
12th Feb '22 UFC 271 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
5th Feb '22 UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland 9.4 -8.0 -85% -2.3 / 2.3 (-100%) -5.7 / 7.1 (-80%)
22nd Jan '22 UFC 270 8.3 2.4 29% 2.0 / 1.3 (157%) 0.3 / 7 (5%)
18th Dec '21 UFC FN 14.15 -1.8 -13% 0.4 / 3 (12%) -2.2 / 11.15 (-19%)
11th Dec '21 UFC 269 11.05 0.0 0% -2.6 / 2.6 (-100%) 2.6 / 8.45 (31%)
4th Dec '21 UFC FN 8.3 0.2 3% -1.3 / 2.75 (-49%) 1.6 / 5.55 (28%)
20th Nov '21 UFC FN 7.95 -3.5 -43% -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%) -2.2 / 6.7 (-33%)
13th Nov '21 UFC FN 8.75 -5.4 -62% -0.6 / 2.5 (-25%) -4.8 / 6.25 (-77%)
6th Nov '21 UFC 268 15.25 -10.4 -68% -0.6 / 2.3 (-24%) -9.9 / 12.95 (-76%)
30th Oct '21 UFC 267 17.5 -10.5 -60% -2.6 / 4 (-64%) -7.9 / 13.5 (-59%)
27th Oct '21 PFL 2021 #10: Championships 2 1.2 61% 0.7 / 1 (70%) 0.5 / 1 (52%)
23rd Oct '21 UFC FN 9.97 6.7 68% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 7.7 / 8.97 (86%)
16th Oct '21 UFC FN 5.15 -1.3 -25% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -0.3 / 4.15 (-8%)
9th Oct '21 UFC FN 8.15 -1.0 -12% -0.8 / 0.8 (-100%) -0.2 / 7.35 (-3%)
2nd Oct '21 UFC FN 13.55 -1.3 -10% -1.5 / 3.25 (-46%) 0.2 / 10.3 (2%)
25th Sep '21 UFC 266 11.9 -0.7 -6% 1.5 / 1.9 (80%) -2.3 / 10 (-23%)
18th Sep '21 UFC FN 3.2 -0.2 -5% -0.2 / 3.2 (-5%)
4th Sep '21 UFC FN 7.45 11.7 157% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 12.2 / 6.95 (175%)
28th Aug '21 UFC FN 12.7 1.1 9% -0.2 / 3 (-6%) 1.3 / 9.7 (13%)
21st Aug '21 UFC FN 19.55 -10.3 -53% -2.2 / 5.8 (-37%) -8.1 / 13.75 (-59%)
7th Aug '21 UFC 265 16.75 7.8 47% -1.9 / 1.9 (-100%) 9.7 / 14.85 (65%)
31st Jul '21 UFC FN 12.55 5.3 42% 0.8 / 2.6 (31%) 4.5 / 9.95 (45%)
24th Jul '21 UFC FN 15.95 -5.2 -32% 1.4 / 1 (138%) -6.6 / 14.95 (-44%)
17th Jul '21 UFC FN 10.15 2.2 21% 1.2 / 2 (61%) 0.9 / 8.15 (12%)
10th Jul '21 UFC 264 24.9 -8.1 -33% -4.6 / 6.5 (-71%) -3.5 / 18.4 (-19%)
26th Jun '21 UFC FN 25.75 -9.8 -38% -0.9 / 6.17 (-14%) -8.9 / 19.58 (-46%)
25th Jun '21 Bellator 261 0.5 0.6 122% 0.6 / 0.5 (122%)
25th Jun '21 PFL 2021: Week 6 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
19th Jun '21 UFC FN 19.9 19.7 99% -0.6 / 4.75 (-12%) 20.3 / 15.15 (134%)
17th Jun '21 PFL 2021: Week 5 1 2.2 220% 1.9 / 0.5 (380%) 0.3 / 0.5 (61%)
12th Jun '21 UFC 263 21.85 3.8 17% -2.9 / 8.25 (-35%) 6.7 / 13.6 (49%)
5th Jun '21 UFC FN 15.75 4.1 26% -0.5 / 7 (-7%) 4.5 / 8.75 (52%)
22nd May '21 UFC FN 9.2 9.8 106% 0.3 / 1.25 (26%) 9.5 / 7.9 (120%) -0.1 / 0.05 (-100%)
15th May '21 UFC 262 9.45 24.7 261% 2.3 / 5.3 (44%) 22.4 / 4.15 (539%)
8th May '21 UFC FN 2.275 0.6 25% 1.1 / 0.5 (210%) -0.5 / 1.775 (-27%)
1st May '21 UFC FN 14.43 -0.0 -0% -1.9 / 5.58 (-35%) 1.9 / 8.85 (22%)
29th Apr '21 PFL 2021: Week 2 5.5 37.0 673% 37.0 / 5.5 (673%)
24th Apr '21 UFC 261 6.45 1.1 18% 0.2 / 3.25 (7%) 0.9 / 3.2 (28%)
17th Apr '21 UFC FN 9.05 -5.7 -63% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -4.6 / 8 (-58%) -0.1 / 0.05 (-100%)
10th Apr '21 UFC FN 6.4 -0.3 -4% -1.0 / 3 (-34%) 0.9 / 3.25 (28%) -0.2 / 0.15 (-100%)
2nd Apr '21 Bellator 255 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
28th Mar '21 UFC 260 9.75 -0.1 -1% -1.3 / 4 (-31%) 1.1 / 5.75 (20%)


Winning Events: 22 (50%)
Losing Events: 22 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 10.14 units
Most Staked On One Event: 25.75 units
Best Event: 37.00 units
Worst Event: -10.51 units
Average Event: 1.39 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 64.75
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -29.81

rrw4 : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2022 31.1 -2.1 -7% -1.6 / 6.6 (-25%) 3 / 2 (60%) -0.43
2021 415.125 63.2 15% -20.7 / 102.2 (-20%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) 19 / 20 (49%) 1.62

rrw4 : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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rrw4 : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 436.225 21.0 5% -25.1 / 106.3 (-24%) 46.4 / 329.675 (14%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
Bellator 1 0.1 11% 0.1 / 1 (11%)
PFL 9 39.9 444% 2.6 / 1.5 (173%) 37.3 / 7.5 (498%)

rrw4 : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 7 (5%) 5 71 % 10.75 0.04 0.01 0%
Slight Favorites 38 (28%) 22 58 % 34.30 -0.48 -0.01 -1%
Slight Underdogs 55 (41%) 17 31 % 41.92 -10.96 -0.20 -26%
Big Underdogs 35 (26%) 7 20 % 21.83 -10.97 -0.31 -50%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 13 (10%) 6 46 % 13.90 -1.24 -0.10 -9%
Co-Main Event 11 (8%) 6 55 % 10.55 1.23 0.11 12%
Position 3-5 28 (21%) 11 39 % 22.08 -4.83 -0.17 -22%
6+ (Undercard) 83 (61%) 28 34 % 62.27 -17.53 -0.21 -28%

rrw4 : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 6 (4%) 2 33 % 5.30 -0.94 -0.16 -18%
Light Heavy 12 (9%) 4 33 % 9.10 -2.32 -0.19 -26%
Middleweight 18 (13%) 2 11 % 12.95 -10.14 -0.56 -78%
Welterweight 20 (15%) 10 50 % 18.77 -1.08 -0.05 -6%
Lightweight 17 (13%) 8 47 % 15.35 -0.12 -0.01 -1%
Featherweight 23 (17%) 10 43 % 18.70 -3.22 -0.14 -17%
Bantamweight 7 (5%) 3 43 % 7.53 -2.27 -0.32 -30%
Flyweight 7 (5%) 3 43 % 5.25 -0.23 -0.03 -4%
               
Women's Fights 25 (19%) 9 36 % 15.85 -2.05 -0.08 -13%
Featherweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 1.00 0.71 0.71 71%
Bantamweight 6 (4%) 3 50 % 3.75 -0.97 -0.16 -26%
Flyweight 10 (7%) 4 40 % 7.10 0.63 0.06 9%
Strawweight 8 (6%) 1 13 % 4.00 -2.42 -0.30 -61%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 1 (50%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 1 (50%) 0 0 %
2 0 0 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 13 (2%) 10 77 %
50-65% 74 (13%) 45 61 %
35-50% 78 (14%) 32 41 %
<35% chance 404 (71%) 49 12 %
569 136 24 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 10 (2%) 6 60 % 1.89 3.05Pick was correct 1.61Pick was correct 1.7 (17%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 20 (4%) 14 70 % 2.03 3.80Pick was incorrect 1.56Pick was incorrect 9.4 (47%)
Goes to Decision 4 (1%) 3 75 % 2.47 3.20Pick was correct 1.80Pick was correct 4.1 (104%)
Does not go to Decision 1 (0%) 0 0 % 1.63 1.63Pick was incorrect 1.63Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 10 (2%) 7 70 % 1.92 2.55Pick was incorrect 1.61Pick was incorrect 3.4 (34%)
X Wins by KO 38 (7%) 6 16 % 4.56 27.00Pick was incorrect 1.42Pick was correct -21.4 (-56%)
X Wins by Sub 63 (11%) 9 14 % 9.84 42.00Pick was incorrect 2.25Pick was correct 59.3 (94%)
X Wins by Decision 81 (14%) 18 22 % 4.62 11.00Pick was incorrect 1.75Pick was correct 6.7 (8%)
X Wins Inside Distance 12 (2%) 6 50 % 2.71 7.00Pick was correct 1.63Pick was correct 6.6 (55%)
X Wins in Round X 84 (15%) 3 4 % 15.81 37.00Pick was incorrect 4.10Pick was incorrect -33.7 (-40%)
Others 246 (43%) 64 26 % 3.60 71.02Pick was incorrect 1.31Pick was correct 2.2 (1%)
569 136 24 % 4.28     37.4 (7%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail rrw4 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
28th Mar UFC 260 9.75 -0.1 -1% $10.00 $1,000.00 $998.91
2nd Apr Bellator 255 0.5 -0.5 -100% $9.99 $998.91 $993.91
10th Apr UFC FN 6.4 -0.3 -4% $9.94 $993.91 $991.23
17th Apr UFC FN 9.05 -5.7 -63% $9.91 $991.23 $934.73
24th Apr UFC 261 6.45 1.1 18% $9.35 $934.73 $945.30
29th Apr PFL 2021: Week 2 5.5 37.0 673% $9.45 $945.30 $1,295.05
1st May UFC FN 14.43 -0.0 -0% $12.95 $1,295.05 $1,294.69
8th May UFC FN 2.275 0.6 25% $12.95 $1,294.69 $1,302.13
15th May UFC 262 9.45 24.7 261% $13.02 $1,302.13 $1,623.63
22nd May UFC FN 9.2 9.8 106% $16.24 $1,623.63 $1,782.23
5th Jun UFC FN 15.75 4.1 26% $17.82 $1,782.23 $1,854.48
12th Jun UFC 263 21.85 3.8 17% $18.54 $1,854.48 $1,924.61
17th Jun PFL 2021: Week 5 1 2.2 220% $19.25 $1,924.61 $1,967.01
19th Jun UFC FN 19.9 19.7 99% $19.67 $1,967.01 $2,353.99
25th Jun PFL 2021: Week 6 0.5 -0.5 -100% $23.54 $2,353.99 $2,342.22
25th Jun Bellator 261 0.5 0.6 122% $23.42 $2,342.22 $2,356.51
26th Jun UFC FN 25.75 -9.8 -38% $23.57 $2,356.51 $2,125.98
10th Jul UFC 264 24.9 -8.1 -33% $21.26 $2,125.98 $1,953.84
17th Jul UFC FN 10.15 2.2 21% $19.54 $1,953.84 $1,996.11
24th Jul UFC FN 15.95 -5.2 -32% $19.96 $1,996.11 $1,892.91
31st Jul UFC FN 12.55 5.3 42% $18.93 $1,892.91 $1,993.76
7th Aug UFC 265 16.75 7.8 47% $19.94 $1,993.76 $2,149.48
21st Aug UFC FN 19.55 -10.3 -53% $21.49 $2,149.48 $1,928.23
28th Aug UFC FN 12.7 1.1 9% $19.28 $1,928.23 $1,949.40
4th Sep UFC FN 7.45 11.7 157% $19.49 $1,949.40 $2,177.18
18th Sep UFC FN 3.2 -0.2 -5% $21.77 $2,177.18 $2,173.75
25th Sep UFC 266 11.9 -0.7 -6% $21.74 $2,173.75 $2,157.59
2nd Oct UFC FN 13.55 -1.3 -10% $21.58 $2,157.59 $2,129.54
9th Oct UFC FN 8.15 -1.0 -12% $21.30 $2,129.54 $2,107.98
16th Oct UFC FN 5.15 -1.3 -25% $21.08 $2,107.98 $2,080.31
23rd Oct UFC FN 9.97 6.7 68% $20.80 $2,080.31 $2,220.57
27th Oct PFL 2021 #10: Championships 2 1.2 61% $22.21 $2,220.57 $2,247.77
30th Oct UFC 267 17.5 -10.5 -60% $22.48 $2,247.77 $2,011.44
6th Nov UFC 268 15.25 -10.4 -68% $20.11 $2,011.44 $1,801.56
13th Nov UFC FN 8.75 -5.4 -62% $18.02 $1,801.56 $1,703.98
20th Nov UFC FN 7.95 -3.5 -43% $17.04 $1,703.98 $1,645.19
4th Dec UFC FN 8.3 0.2 3% $16.45 $1,645.19 $1,648.62
11th Dec UFC 269 11.05 0.0 0% $16.49 $1,648.62 $1,649.27
18th Dec UFC FN 14.15 -1.8 -13% $16.49 $1,649.27 $1,619.40
22nd Jan UFC 270 8.3 2.4 29% $16.19 $1,619.40 $1,657.79
5th Feb UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland 9.4 -8.0 -85% $16.58 $1,657.79 $1,525.17
12th Feb UFC 271 1 -1.0 -100% $15.25 $1,525.17 $1,509.92
26th Feb UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev 2.4 0.0 2% $15.10 $1,509.92 $1,510.48
5th Mar UFC 272 10 4.5 45% $15.10 $1,510.48 $1,577.95


ROI % from starting bank balance: 57.79% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

rrw4 : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '22 Rafael dos Anjos Renato Moicano 1.63 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jan '22 Deiveson Figueiredo Brandon Moreno 2.57 1.3 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '21 Cub Swanson Darren Elkins 1.65 1 TKO, R1 (2:12) MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '21 Raquel Pennington Macy Chiasson 1.71 1 Sub, R2 (3:7) MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '21 Bryan Barberena Darian Weeks 1.87 0.75 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '21 Da Un Jung Kennedy Nzechukwu 1.87 1 TKO, R1 (3:4) MMA Bookmaker
7. Oct '21 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos Benoit Saint-Denis 1.43 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '21 Raush Manfio Loik Radzhabov 3.40 0.5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '21 Jamie Mullarkey Devonte Smith 2.35 0.75 TKO, R2 (2:51) MMA Bookmaker
10. Sep '21 Jalin Turner Uros Medic 2.05 0.6 Sub, R1 (4:1) MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '21 Marlon Vera Frankie Edgar 1.74 1 TKO, R3 (3:50) MMA Bookmaker
12. Sep '21 Alex Volkanovski Brian Ortega 1.68 1.3 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '21 Gerald Meerschaert Makhmud Muradov 6.00 0.2 Sub, R2 (1:49) MMA Bookmaker
14. Aug '21 Bryan Battle Gilbert Urbina 1.61 1 Sub, R2 (2:15) MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '21 Vinc Pichel Austin Hubbard 1.95 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '21 Brian Kelleher Domingo Pilarte 1.68 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '21 Jared Gooden Niklas Stolze 2.68 0.6 TKO, R1 (1:8) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '21 Phil Rowe Orion Cosce 2.40 0.75 TKO, R2 (4:21) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '21 Diana Belbita Hannah Goldy 2.38 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '21 Malcolm Gordon Francisco Figueiredo 3.50 0.2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '22 Edson Barboza Bryce Mitchell 2.45 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '22 Misha Cirkunov Wellington Turman 1.82 1 Sub, R2 (1:29) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '22 Danilo Marques Jailton Junior 4.70 0.6 TKO, R1 (2:57) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '22 Carlston Harris Shavkat Rakhmonov 3.05 0.7 TKO, R1 (4:10) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '22 Tresean Gore Bryan Battle 1.77 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '21 Andre Ewell Charles Jourdain 2.72 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '21 Pedro Munhoz Dominick Cruz 1.91 1.1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '21 Santiago Ponzinibbio Geoff Neal 1.91 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '21 Mickey Gall Alex Morono 3.15 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '21 Chris Gruetzemacher Claudio Puelles 2.10 0.75 Sub, R3 (3:25) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '21 Alonzo Menifield William Knight 1.71 0.75 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '21 Michael Chiesa Sean Brady 2.57 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '21 Miesha Tate Ketlen Vieira 2.05 0.75 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '21 Thiago Moises Joel Alvarez 1.42 1.5 TKO, R1 (3:1) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '21 Andreas Michailidis Alex Pereira 3.15 0.5 TKO, R2 (0:18) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '21 Jordan Williams Ian Garry 4.20 0.3 TKO, R1 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '21 Michael Chandler Justin Gaethje 2.85 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Oct '21 Volkan Oezdemir Magomed Ankalaev 3.60 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '21 Chris Wade Movlid Khaybulaev 2.65 0.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Oct '21 Hu Yaozong Andre Petroski 2.85 0.5 Sub, R3 (4:46) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

rrw4 : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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