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MMA Handicapper Stats: The Holy Capper-walking on green

The Holy Capper-walking on green (bmyinc)


MMA MHandicapper - The Holy Capper-walking on green

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 54 (56%) Right 13 (62%) Right 11 (41%) Right 30 (61%)
Wrong 43 (44%) Wrong 8 (38%) Wrong 16 (59%) Wrong 19 (39%)
Avg Odds 2.33 Avg Odds 2.07 Avg Odds 2.60 Avg Odds 2.32
Units Bet 289.5 Units Bet 56.4 Units Bet 64.7 Units Bet 168.4
Avg Bet 2.98 Avg Bet 2.69 Avg Bet 2.40 Avg Bet 3.44
Units Profit 49.40 Units Profit 23.87 Units Profit -10.60 Units Profit 36.13
ROI % 17% ROI % 42% ROI % -16% ROI % 21%
View Handicapper's Profile

The Holy Capper-walking on green: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
13th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 3.5 -3.5 -100% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
6th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
30th Jul '22 UFC 277 9 9.2 102% 9.2 / 9 (102%)
23rd Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 7 5.4 77% 5.4 / 7 (77%)
18th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 12 0.8 7% 0.8 / 12 (7%)
21st May '22 UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
14th May '22 UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić 7 -7.0 -100% -7.0 / 7 (-100%)
7th May '22 UFC 274 7 -7.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
30th Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera 10 -0.8 -8% -0.8 / 10 (-8%)
23rd Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade 4 5.7 142% 5.7 / 4 (142%)
16th Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II 7 -7.0 -100% -7.0 / 7 (-100%)
9th Apr '22 UFC 273 6 5.9 98% 3.7 / 3 (124%) 2.1 / 3 (71%)
26th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus 10 0.1 1% 0.1 / 10 (1%)
5th Mar '22 UFC 272 10 5.0 50% 3.1 / 8 (38%) 1.9 / 2 (96%)
26th Feb '22 UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev 8.6 -8.6 -100% -8.6 / 8.6 (-100%)
25th Feb '22 Bellator 275 9 7.1 78% 7.1 / 9 (78%)
19th Feb '22 Bellator 274 2.5 2.7 110% 2.7 / 2.5 (110%)
19th Feb '22 UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill 0.3 -0.3 -100% -0.3 / 0.3 (-100%)
12th Feb '22 UFC 271 14 9.2 66% 3.2 / 2 (162%) 2.0 / 6 (34%) 4.0 / 6 (66%)
5th Feb '22 UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland 9 -9.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -8.0 / 8 (-100%)
22nd Jan '22 UFC 270 9 -4.7 -53% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -2.7 / 7 (-39%)
10th Jul '21 UFC 264 10 2.6 26% 5.6 / 7 (79%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
25th Jun '21 PFL 2021: Week 6 6.5 -6.5 -100% -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)
19th Jun '21 UFC FN 11.3 12.4 110% 4.2 / 3.5 (120%) 8.2 / 7.8 (105%)
17th Jun '21 PFL 2021: Week 5 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
11th Jun '21 Bellator 260 5 3.3 66% 3.3 / 5 (66%)
5th Jun '21 UFC FN 9 1.3 14% 0.5 / 5 (10%) 0.8 / 4 (19%)
22nd May '21 UFC FN 3.3 5.8 177% 5.8 / 3.3 (177%)
15th May '21 UFC 262 4.25 4.3 101% 4.3 / 4.25 (101%)
8th May '21 UFC FN 3.25 1.7 52% 0.9 / 2.25 (41%) 0.8 / 1 (76%)
6th May '21 PFL 2021: Week 3 3.5 0.3 7% 0.3 / 3.5 (7%)
29th Apr '21 PFL 2021: Week 2 4 2.3 59% 2.3 / 4 (59%)
24th Apr '21 UFC 261 2.5 4.4 175% 4.4 / 2.5 (175%)
10th Apr '21 UFC FN 4.25 3.9 91% 3.9 / 4.25 (91%)
6th Mar '21 UFC 259 3.5 -3.5 -100% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
28th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 186 7.3 2.3 31% -1.3 / 1.3 (-100%) 1.2 / 3 (40%) 2.4 / 3 (79%)
14th Feb '21 UFC 258 3.5 -3.5 -100% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
6th Feb '21 UFC FN 4.5 4.1 91% 4.1 / 4.5 (91%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 6.25 1.2 20% 5.5 / 2 (275%) -4.3 / 4.25 (-100%)
13th Dec '20 UFC 256 15.35 10.2 67% 2.7 / 9 (30%) 7.5 / 6.35 (119%)
6th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 16 1.25 -1.3 -100% -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
8th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 13 1.3 1.0 74% 1.0 / 1.3 (74%)
24th Oct '20 UFC 254 2 0.5 25% 0.5 / 2 (25%)
17th Oct '20 UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 2.96 3.3 111% 3.1 / 2 (155%) 0.6 / 0.56 (104%) -0.4 / 0.4 (-100%)
10th Oct '20 UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 4.79 -1.2 -25% -1.9 / 2.69 (-71%) 0.7 / 2.1 (33%)
4th Oct '20 UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 2.1 1.9 92% 1.7 / 1.5 (112%) 0.2 / 0.6 (41%)
26th Sep '20 UFC 253 5 4.8 96% 4.8 / 5 (96%)
19th Sep '20 UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 2 1.6 80% 1.6 / 2 (80%)
8th Aug '20 UFC Vegas 6 4.95 0.1 3% 1.2 / 3.85 (32%) -1.1 / 1.1 (-100%)


Winning Events: 32 (65%)
Losing Events: 17 (35%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.91 units
Most Staked On One Event: 15.35 units
Best Event: 12.39 units
Worst Event: -9.00 units
Average Event: 1.01 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 9, Units: 27.18
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -17.84

The Holy Capper-walking on green: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2022 150.9 -2.8 -2% -3.0 / 15 (-20%) 4.8 / 14.3 (34%) -4.6 / 121.6 (-4%) 10 / 11 (48%) -0.14
2021 96.9 31.3 32% 19.3 / 32.05 (60%) -15.9 / 32.5 (-49%) 27.8 / 32.35 (86%) 14 / 4 (78%) 1.74
2020 41.7 21.0 50% 7.6 / 9.35 (82%) 0.5 / 17.9 (3%) 12.9 / 14.45 (89%) 8 / 2 (80%) 2.10

The Holy Capper-walking on green: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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The Holy Capper-walking on green: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 254 45.2 18% 23.9 / 56.4 (42%) 0.7 / 49.7 (1%) 20.7 / 147.9 (14%)
Bellator 16.5 13.1 79% 13.1 / 16.5 (79%)
PFL 19 -8.9 -47% -11.2 / 15 (-75%) 2.3 / 4 (59%)

The Holy Capper-walking on green: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 3 (14%) 2 67 % 2.05 -0.94 -0.31 -46%
Slight Favorites 7 (32%) 5 71 % 26.25 10.60 1.51 40%
Slight Underdogs 10 (45%) 6 60 % 22.60 12.21 1.22 54%
Big Underdogs 2 (9%) 1 50 % 5.50 2.00 1.00 36%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 4 (18%) 4 100 % 14.50 18.36 4.59 127%
Co-Main Event 5 (23%) 2 40 % 12.60 -0.49 -0.10 -4%
Position 3-5 7 (32%) 6 86 % 19.75 12.01 1.72 61%
6+ (Undercard) 6 (27%) 2 33 % 9.55 -6.01 -1.00 -63%

The Holy Capper-walking on green: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 1 (5%) 1 100 % 2.00 3.24 3.24 162%
Light Heavy 1 (5%) 1 100 % 2.00 1.60 1.60 80%
Middleweight 2 (9%) 0 % 3.60 -3.60 -1.80 -100%
Welterweight 2 (9%) 1 50 % 5.00 -1.82 -0.91 -36%
Lightweight 6 (27%) 6 100 % 16.75 16.99 2.83 101%
Featherweight 3 (14%) 2 67 % 6.50 6.30 2.10 97%
               
Women's Fights 7 (32%) 3 43 % 20.55 1.16 0.17 6%
Flyweight 2 (9%) 0 % 4.80 -4.80 -2.40 -100%
Strawweight 5 (23%) 3 60 % 15.75 5.96 1.19 38%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 89 (85%) 77 87 %
Slight Favorites 15 (14%) 10 67 %
Slight Underdogs 1 (1%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
105 87 83 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 3 (10%) 2 67 %
50-65% 5 (17%) 5 100 %
35-50% 0 (0%) 0 nan %
<35% chance 21 (72%) 1 5 %
29 8 28 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
X Wins by KO 5 (17%) 3 60 % 2.24 8.00Pick was incorrect 1.57Pick was correct 0.0 (1%)
X Wins by Sub 3 (10%) 0 0 % 6.37 7.00Pick was incorrect 5.40Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 2 (7%) 1 50 % 2.82 5.70Pick was incorrect 1.87Pick was correct -0.1 (-7%)
X Wins in Round X 4 (14%) 0 0 % 9.06 15.00Pick was incorrect 6.00Pick was incorrect -4.0 (-100%)
Others 15 (52%) 4 27 % 3.82 21.00Pick was incorrect 1.40Pick was correct 8.4 (56%)
29 8 28 % 3.73     1.3 (4%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail The Holy Capper-walking on green's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
8th Aug UFC Vegas 6 4.95 0.1 3% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,001.44
19th Sep UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 2 1.6 80% $10.01 $1,001.44 $1,017.47
26th Sep UFC 253 5 4.8 96% $10.17 $1,017.47 $1,066.52
4th Oct UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 2.1 1.9 92% $10.67 $1,066.52 $1,087.03
10th Oct UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 4.79 -1.2 -25% $10.87 $1,087.03 $1,073.87
17th Oct UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 2.96 3.3 111% $10.74 $1,073.87 $1,109.09
24th Oct UFC 254 2 0.5 25% $11.09 $1,109.09 $1,114.63
8th Nov UFC Vegas 13 1.3 1.0 74% $11.15 $1,114.63 $1,125.37
6th Dec UFC Vegas 16 1.25 -1.3 -100% $11.25 $1,125.37 $1,111.30
13th Dec UFC 256 15.35 10.2 67% $11.11 $1,111.30 $1,224.96
24th Jan UFC 257 6.25 1.2 20% $12.25 $1,224.96 $1,240.27
6th Feb UFC FN 4.5 4.1 91% $12.40 $1,240.27 $1,291.01
14th Feb UFC 258 3.5 -3.5 -100% $12.91 $1,291.01 $1,245.82
28th Feb UFC Fight Night 186 7.3 2.3 31% $12.46 $1,245.82 $1,274.23
6th Mar UFC 259 3.5 -3.5 -100% $12.74 $1,274.23 $1,229.64
10th Apr UFC FN 4.25 3.9 91% $12.30 $1,229.64 $1,277.14
24th Apr UFC 261 2.5 4.4 175% $12.77 $1,277.14 $1,333.02
29th Apr PFL 2021: Week 2 4 2.3 59% $13.33 $1,333.02 $1,364.32
6th May PFL 2021: Week 3 3.5 0.3 7% $13.64 $1,364.32 $1,367.73
8th May UFC FN 3.25 1.7 52% $13.68 $1,367.73 $1,390.69
15th May UFC 262 4.25 4.3 101% $13.91 $1,390.69 $1,450.49
22nd May UFC FN 3.3 5.8 177% $14.50 $1,450.49 $1,535.05
5th Jun UFC FN 9 1.3 14% $15.35 $1,535.05 $1,554.42
11th Jun Bellator 260 5 3.3 66% $15.54 $1,554.42 $1,605.36
17th Jun PFL 2021: Week 5 5 -5.0 -100% $16.05 $1,605.36 $1,525.10
19th Jun UFC FN 11.3 12.4 110% $15.25 $1,525.10 $1,714.08
25th Jun PFL 2021: Week 6 6.5 -6.5 -100% $17.14 $1,714.08 $1,602.67
10th Jul UFC 264 10 2.6 26% $16.03 $1,602.67 $1,643.63
22nd Jan UFC 270 9 -4.7 -53% $16.44 $1,643.63 $1,565.81
5th Feb UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland 9 -9.0 -100% $15.66 $1,565.81 $1,424.88
12th Feb UFC 271 14 9.2 66% $14.25 $1,424.88 $1,556.60
19th Feb UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill 0.3 -0.3 -100% $15.57 $1,556.60 $1,551.93
19th Feb Bellator 274 2.5 2.7 110% $15.52 $1,551.93 $1,594.61
25th Feb Bellator 275 9 7.1 78% $15.95 $1,594.61 $1,707.06
26th Feb UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev 8.6 -8.6 -100% $17.07 $1,707.06 $1,560.25
5th Mar UFC 272 10 5.0 50% $15.60 $1,560.25 $1,638.29
26th Mar UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus 10 0.1 1% $16.38 $1,638.29 $1,640.42
9th Apr UFC 273 6 5.9 98% $16.40 $1,640.42 $1,736.56
16th Apr UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II 7 -7.0 -100% $17.37 $1,736.56 $1,615.00
23rd Apr UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade 4 5.7 142% $16.15 $1,615.00 $1,707.00
30th Apr UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera 10 -0.8 -8% $17.07 $1,707.00 $1,692.69
7th May UFC 274 7 -7.0 -100% $16.93 $1,692.69 $1,574.21
14th May UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić 7 -7.0 -100% $15.74 $1,574.21 $1,464.01
21st May UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira 3 -3.0 -100% $14.64 $1,464.01 $1,420.09
18th Jun UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 12 0.8 7% $14.20 $1,420.09 $1,431.67
23rd Jul UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 7 5.4 77% $14.32 $1,431.67 $1,509.25
30th Jul UFC 277 9 9.2 102% $15.09 $1,509.25 $1,647.43
6th Aug UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 3 -3.0 -100% $16.47 $1,647.43 $1,598.00
13th Aug UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 3.5 -3.5 -100% $15.98 $1,598.00 $1,542.07


ROI % from starting bank balance: 54.21% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

The Holy Capper-walking on green: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '22 Mackenzie Dern Tecia Torres 2.24 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '22 Tai Tuivasa Derrick Lewis 2.62 2 TKO, R2 (1:40) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '21 Dustin Poirier Conor McGregor 1.79 7 TKO, R1 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jun '21 Chan Sung Jung Dan Ige 2.20 3.5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '21 Rose Namajunas Weili Zhang 2.75 2.5 TKO, R1 (1:18) MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '21 Mackenzie Dern Nina Nunes 1.91 4.25 Sub, R1 (4:48) MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '21 Beneil Dariush Carlos Diego Ferreira 1.91 4.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '21 Dustin Poirier Conor McGregor 3.75 2 TKO, R2 (2:32) MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '20 Brian Ortega Chan Sung Jung 2.55 2 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '20 Carlos Condit Court McGee 2.12 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '20 Johnny Walker Ryan Spann 1.80 2 TKO, R1 (2:43) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '20 Beneil Dariush Scott Holtzman 1.50 0.5 TKO, R1 (4:38) MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '20 Nasrat Haqparast Alex Munoz 1.43 0.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Aug '20 Beneil Dariush Scott Holtzman 1.60 2.5 TKO, R1 (4:38) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. May '22 Dusko Todorovic Chidi Njokuani 2.54 3 TKO, R1 (4:48) No MMA Bookmaker
2. May '22 Rose Namajunas Carla Esparza 1.59 4 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '22 Mike Trizano Hakeem Dawodu 2.55 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jan '22 Kay Hansen Jasmine Jasudavicius 1.63 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '21 Sabina Mazo Alexis Davis 1.50 1.3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '21 Jake Matthews Sean Brady 3.40 3.5 Sub, R3 (3:28) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '21 Maycee Barber Alexa Grasso 2.23 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '20 Omari Akhmedov Chris Weidman 2.20 0.6 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

The Holy Capper-walking on green: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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