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MMA Handicapper Stats: The UNDERstood

The UNDERstood (The UNDERstood)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - The UNDERstood

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 60 (55%) Right 58 (56%) Right 2 (40%) Right 0 (0%)
Wrong 50 (45%) Wrong 45 (44%) Wrong 3 (60%) Wrong 2 (100%)
Avg Odds 1.91 Avg Odds 1.86 Avg Odds 3.06 Avg Odds 3.22
Units Bet 182.7 Units Bet 177.2 Units Bet 3.5 Units Bet 2.0
Avg Bet 1.66 Avg Bet 1.72 Avg Bet 0.70 Avg Bet 1.00
Units Profit 2.91 Units Profit 4.21 Units Profit 0.70 Units Profit -2.00
ROI % 2% ROI % 2% ROI % 20% ROI % -100%
View Handicapper's Profile

The UNDERstood: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
8th May '21 UFC FN 2 3.3 163% 3.3 / 2 (163%)
7th May '21 Bellator 258 5.8 -1.7 -30% -0.7 / 4.8 (-16%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
1st May '21 UFC FN 5 2.1 43% 2.1 / 5 (43%)
24th Apr '21 UFC 261 6.75 4.9 72% 4.9 / 6.75 (72%)
23rd Apr '21 PFL 2021: Week 1 6 -1.2 -21% -1.2 / 6 (-21%)
17th Apr '21 UFC FN 6 -0.3 -5% -0.3 / 6 (-5%)
10th Apr '21 UFC FN 7 1.3 18% 1.3 / 7 (18%)
9th Apr '21 Bellator 256 1.8 -0.4 -22% -0.4 / 1.8 (-22%)
28th Mar '21 UFC 260 7 -0.7 -10% 0.3 / 6 (5%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
21st Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 188 7.5 0.4 6% -0.7 / 6.5 (-11%) 1.1 / 1 (115%)
13th Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 187 1 0.9 87% 0.9 / 1 (87%)
6th Mar '21 UFC 259 9.5 -6.9 -72% -6.9 / 9.5 (-72%)
28th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 186 2.8 -0.4 -14% -0.4 / 2.8 (-14%)
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 3.3 -0.0 -2% -0.0 / 3.3 (-2%)
14th Feb '21 UFC 258 3.5 2.6 76% 2.6 / 3.5 (76%)
6th Feb '21 UFC FN 4.5 -4.5 -100% -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 4.5 0.3 7% 0.5 / 4.3 (12%) -0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)
20th Jan '21 UFC on ESPN 20 5.5 -5.5 -100% -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 5.5 3.8 68% 3.8 / 5.5 (68%)
19th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 17 6.5 -1.2 -19% -1.2 / 6.5 (-19%)
13th Dec '20 UFC 256 4 -1.2 -29% -1.2 / 4 (-29%)
6th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 16 4.5 2.3 51% 2.3 / 4.5 (51%)
29th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 15 2 1.0 49% 1.0 / 2 (49%)
21st Nov '20 UFC 255 8 4.7 58% 3.6 / 7 (51%) 1.1 / 1 (105%)
14th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 14 5 1.2 24% 1.2 / 5 (24%)
8th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 13 7 -4.1 -59% -3.1 / 6 (-52%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
31st Oct '20 UFC Vegas 12 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
29th Oct '20 Bellator 250 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
24th Oct '20 UFC 254 5.5 1.0 19% 1.0 / 5.5 (19%)
17th Oct '20 UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 9.5 2.5 27% 2.5 / 9.5 (27%)
15th Oct '20 Bellator 249 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
10th Oct '20 UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 4 0.6 15% 0.6 / 4 (15%)
26th Sep '20 UFC 253 3.8 2.7 70% 3.0 / 3.5 (85%) -0.3 / 0.3 (-100%)
19th Sep '20 UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
12th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 184 4 -0.5 -13% -0.5 / 4 (-13%)
5th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 183 7.2 2.4 34% 2.4 / 7.2 (34%)
22nd Aug '20 UFC Vegas 7 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
15th Aug '20 UFC 252 3.5 2.2 63% 2.2 / 3.5 (63%)
8th Aug '20 UFC Vegas 6 2 2.7 135% 2.7 / 2 (135%)
8th Aug '20 Bellator 243 2.75 -2.8 -100% -2.8 / 2.75 (-100%)
5th Aug '20 DWCS 27 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)


Winning Events: 20 (49%)
Losing Events: 21 (51%)

Average Staked Per Event: 4.46 units
Most Staked On One Event: 9.50 units
Best Event: 4.85 units
Worst Event: -6.86 units
Average Event: 0.07 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 9.11
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -7.30

The UNDERstood: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 94.95 -2.1 -2% -1.0 / 91.75 (-1%) -0.1 / 2.2 (-2%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 9 / 10 (47%) -0.11
2020 87.75 5.0 6% 5.2 / 85.45 (6%) 0.8 / 1.3 (58%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 11 / 11 (50%) 0.23

The UNDERstood: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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The UNDERstood: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 161.85 13.5 8% 13.8 / 157.35 (9%) 0.7 / 3.5 (20%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
Bellator 13.35 -7.9 -59% -6.9 / 12.35 (-56%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
PFL 6 -1.2 -21% -1.2 / 6 (-21%)
Other 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)

The UNDERstood: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 26 (25%) 19 73 % 70.75 -1.96 -0.08 -3%
Slight Favorites 37 (36%) 20 54 % 67.10 -3.92 -0.11 -6%
Slight Underdogs 30 (29%) 14 47 % 33.90 1.93 0.06 6%
Big Underdogs 10 (10%) 5 50 % 5.45 8.16 0.82 150%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 18 (17%) 5 28 % 23.35 -6.47 -0.36 -28%
Co-Main Event 13 (13%) 9 69 % 25.30 2.35 0.18 9%
Position 3-5 35 (34%) 21 60 % 60.05 3.77 0.11 6%
6+ (Undercard) 36 (35%) 23 64 % 66.00 7.06 0.20 11%

The UNDERstood: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 8 (8%) 4 50 % 17.30 -1.54 -0.19 -9%
Light Heavy 8 (8%) 5 63 % 14.50 1.97 0.25 14%
Middleweight 18 (17%) 13 72 % 34.50 11.06 0.61 32%
Welterweight 18 (17%) 12 67 % 29.20 5.31 0.29 18%
Lightweight 15 (15%) 6 40 % 21.80 -2.20 -0.15 -10%
Featherweight 12 (12%) 6 50 % 23.30 -7.98 -0.66 -34%
Bantamweight 11 (11%) 7 64 % 20.50 1.65 0.15 8%
Flyweight 6 (6%) 1 17 % 5.50 -4.15 -0.69 -75%
               
Women's Fights 7 (7%) 4 57 % 10.60 0.11 0.02 1%
Featherweight 1 (1%) 0 % 0.30 -0.30 -0.30 -100%
Flyweight 3 (3%) 3 100 % 6.00 3.62 1.21 60%
Strawweight 3 (3%) 1 33 % 4.30 -3.20 -1.07 -75%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 3 (50%) 2 67 %
Slight Favorites 2 (33%) 1 50 %
Slight Underdogs 1 (17%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
6 3 50 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 nan %
35-50% 3 (60%) 2 67 %
<35% chance 2 (40%) 0 0 %
5 2 40 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (20%) 0 0 % 2.05 2.05Pick was incorrect 2.05Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 1 (20%) 1 100 % 2.15 2.15Pick was correct 2.15Pick was correct 1.1 (115%)
X Wins by Decision 1 (20%) 0 0 % 7.50 7.50Pick was incorrect 7.50Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 1 (20%) 1 100 % 2.05 2.05Pick was correct 2.05Pick was correct 1.1 (105%)
X Wins in Round X 1 (20%) 0 0 % 17.30 17.30Pick was incorrect 17.30Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
5 2 40 % 3.06     -0.8 (-16%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail The UNDERstood's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
5th Aug DWCS 27 1.5 -1.5 -100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $985.00
8th Aug Bellator 243 2.75 -2.8 -100% $9.85 $985.00 $957.91
8th Aug UFC Vegas 6 2 2.7 135% $9.58 $957.91 $983.78
15th Aug UFC 252 3.5 2.2 63% $9.84 $983.78 $1,005.30
22nd Aug UFC Vegas 7 1 -1.0 -100% $10.05 $1,005.30 $995.24
5th Sep UFC Fight Night 183 7.2 2.4 34% $9.95 $995.24 $1,019.60
12th Sep UFC Fight Night 184 4 -0.5 -13% $10.20 $1,019.60 $1,014.50
19th Sep UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 2 -2.0 -100% $10.14 $1,014.50 $994.21
26th Sep UFC 253 3.8 2.7 70% $9.94 $994.21 $1,020.78
10th Oct UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 4 0.6 15% $10.21 $1,020.78 $1,027.01
15th Oct Bellator 249 2 -2.0 -100% $10.27 $1,027.01 $1,006.47
17th Oct UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 9.5 2.5 27% $10.06 $1,006.47 $1,031.87
24th Oct UFC 254 5.5 1.0 19% $10.32 $1,031.87 $1,042.48
29th Oct Bellator 250 1 -1.0 -100% $10.42 $1,042.48 $1,032.05
31st Oct UFC Vegas 12 1 -1.0 -100% $10.32 $1,032.05 $1,021.73
8th Nov UFC Vegas 13 7 -4.1 -59% $10.22 $1,021.73 $979.54
14th Nov UFC Vegas 14 5 1.2 24% $9.80 $979.54 $991.07
21st Nov UFC 255 8 4.7 58% $9.91 $991.07 $1,037.19
29th Nov UFC Vegas 15 2 1.0 49% $10.37 $1,037.19 $1,047.41
6th Dec UFC Vegas 16 4.5 2.3 51% $10.47 $1,047.41 $1,071.44
13th Dec UFC 256 4 -1.2 -29% $10.71 $1,071.44 $1,059.01
19th Dec UFC Vegas 17 6.5 -1.2 -19% $10.59 $1,059.01 $1,045.86
16th Jan UFC FN 5.5 3.8 68% $10.46 $1,045.86 $1,085.21
20th Jan UFC on ESPN 20 5.5 -5.5 -100% $10.85 $1,085.21 $1,025.52
24th Jan UFC 257 4.5 0.3 7% $10.26 $1,025.52 $1,028.95
6th Feb UFC FN 4.5 -4.5 -100% $10.29 $1,028.95 $982.64
14th Feb UFC 258 3.5 2.6 76% $9.83 $982.64 $1,008.68
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 3.3 -0.0 -2% $10.09 $1,008.68 $1,008.18
28th Feb UFC Fight Night 186 2.8 -0.4 -14% $10.08 $1,008.18 $1,004.23
6th Mar UFC 259 9.5 -6.9 -72% $10.04 $1,004.23 $935.34
13th Mar UFC Fight Night 187 1 0.9 87% $9.35 $935.34 $943.48
21st Mar UFC Fight Night 188 7.5 0.4 6% $9.43 $943.48 $947.53
28th Mar UFC 260 7 -0.7 -10% $9.48 $947.53 $941.17
9th Apr Bellator 256 1.8 -0.4 -22% $9.41 $941.17 $937.39
10th Apr UFC FN 7 1.3 18% $9.37 $937.39 $949.29
17th Apr UFC FN 6 -0.3 -5% $9.49 $949.29 $946.59
23rd Apr PFL 2021: Week 1 6 -1.2 -21% $9.47 $946.59 $934.85
24th Apr UFC 261 6.75 4.9 72% $9.35 $934.85 $980.20
1st May UFC FN 5 2.1 43% $9.80 $980.20 $1,001.19
7th May Bellator 258 5.8 -1.7 -30% $10.01 $1,001.19 $983.70
8th May UFC FN 2 3.3 163% $9.84 $983.70 $1,015.67


ROI % from starting bank balance: 1.57% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

The UNDERstood: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. May '21 Alex Morono Donald Cerrone 2.68 1 TKO, R1 (4:40) MMA Bookmaker
2. May '21 Neil Magny Geoff Neal 2.57 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. May '21 Michael Page Derek Anderson 1.35 3 TKO, R1 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
4. May '21 Sean Strickland Krzysztof Jotko 1.36 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '21 Dwight Grant Stefan Sekulic 1.51 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '21 Brendan Allen Karl Roberson 1.63 2 Sub, R1 (4:55) MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '21 Urijah Hall Chris Weidman 2.13 2.5 TKO, R1 (0:17) MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '21 Clay Collard Anthony Pettis 4.76 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '21 Austin Hubbard Dakota Bush 1.54 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '21 Luis Pena Alex Munoz 1.70 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. May '21 Giga Chikadze Cub Swanson 1.52 2 TKO, R1 (1:3) MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '21 Joe Solecki Jim Miller 1.41 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Apr '21 Impa Kasanganay Sasha Palatnikov 1.35 3 Sub, R2 (0:26) MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '21 Dan Moret Goiti Yamauchi 4.66 0.3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '21 Omar Morales Shane Young 1.43 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '21 Vicente Luque Tyron Woodley 1.39 3 Sub, R1 (3:56) MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '21 Trevin Giles Roman Dolidze 2.03 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '21 Adrian Yanez Gustavo Lopez 1.50 2.5 TKO, R3 (0:27) MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '21 Matt Semelsberger Jason Witt 1.87 1 TKO, R1 (0:16) MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '21 Dominick Cruz Casey Kenney 2.20 1.2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. May '21 Juan Archulata Sergio Pettis 1.68 1.8 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '21 Jorge Masvidal Kamaru Usman 4.20 0.25 TKO, R2 (1:2) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '21 Lance Palmer Bubba Jenkins 1.26 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '21 Lupita Godinez Jessica Penne 1.36 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '21 Mike Perry Daniel Rodriguez 2.19 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '21 Jeremy Kennedy Adam Borics 1.89 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '21 Lyoto Machida Ryan Bader 3.43 0.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '21 Stipe Miocic Francis Ngannou 2.02 1.5 TKO, R2 (0:52) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '21 Kevin Holland Derek Brunson 1.57 3 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '21 Mario Bautista Trevin Jones 1.42 2.5 TKO, R2 (0:47) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '21 Petr Yan Aljamain Sterling 1.83 1.5 No MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '21 Megan Anderson Amanda Nunes 6.95 0.3 Sub, R1 (2:3) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '21 Joseph Benavidez Askar Askarov 2.08 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '21 Jordan Espinosa Tim Elliott 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '21 Carlos Ulberg Kennedy Nzechukwu 1.38 2.5 TKO, R2 (3:19) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '21 Kevin Croom Alex Caceres 2.65 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '21 Jairzinho Rozenstruik Ciryl Gane 3.15 0.3 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Feb '21 Nate Landwehr Julian Erosa 1.80 1.3 TKO, R1 (0:56) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '21 Youssef Zalal Seung Woo Choi 1.43 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Feb '21 Manel Kape Alexandre Pantoja 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

The UNDERstood: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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