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MMA Handicapper Stats: The UNDERstood

The UNDERstood (The UNDERstood)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - The UNDERstood

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 39 (56%) Right 38 (58%) Right 1 (33%) Right 0 (0%)
Wrong 31 (44%) Wrong 28 (42%) Wrong 2 (67%) Wrong 1 (100%)
Avg Odds 1.92 Avg Odds 1.86 Avg Odds 4.42 Avg Odds 6.27
Units Bet 116.1 Units Bet 113.6 Units Bet 1.5 Units Bet 1.0
Avg Bet 1.66 Avg Bet 1.72 Avg Bet 0.50 Avg Bet 1.00
Units Profit 2.60 Units Profit 3.05 Units Profit 0.55 Units Profit -1.00
ROI % 2% ROI % 3% ROI % 37% ROI % -100%
View Handicapper's Profile

The UNDERstood: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 3.3 -0.0 -2% -0.0 / 3.3 (-2%)
14th Feb '21 UFC 258 3.5 2.6 76% 2.6 / 3.5 (76%)
6th Feb '21 UFC FN 4.5 -4.5 -100% -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 4.5 0.3 7% 0.5 / 4.3 (12%) -0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)
20th Jan '21 UFC on ESPN 20 5.5 -5.5 -100% -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 5.5 3.8 68% 3.8 / 5.5 (68%)
19th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 17 6.5 -1.2 -19% -1.2 / 6.5 (-19%)
13th Dec '20 UFC 256 4 -1.2 -29% -1.2 / 4 (-29%)
6th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 16 4.5 2.3 51% 2.3 / 4.5 (51%)
29th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 15 2 1.0 49% 1.0 / 2 (49%)
21st Nov '20 UFC 255 8 4.7 58% 3.6 / 7 (51%) 1.1 / 1 (105%)
14th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 14 5 1.2 24% 1.2 / 5 (24%)
8th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 13 7 -4.1 -59% -3.1 / 6 (-52%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
31st Oct '20 UFC Vegas 12 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
29th Oct '20 Bellator 250 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
24th Oct '20 UFC 254 5.5 1.0 19% 1.0 / 5.5 (19%)
17th Oct '20 UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 9.5 2.5 27% 2.5 / 9.5 (27%)
15th Oct '20 Bellator 249 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
10th Oct '20 UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 4 0.6 15% 0.6 / 4 (15%)
26th Sep '20 UFC 253 3.8 2.7 70% 3.0 / 3.5 (85%) -0.3 / 0.3 (-100%)
19th Sep '20 UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
12th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 184 4 -0.5 -13% -0.5 / 4 (-13%)
5th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 183 7.2 2.4 34% 2.4 / 7.2 (34%)
22nd Aug '20 UFC Vegas 7 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
15th Aug '20 UFC 252 3.5 2.2 63% 2.2 / 3.5 (63%)
8th Aug '20 UFC Vegas 6 2 2.7 135% 2.7 / 2 (135%)
8th Aug '20 Bellator 243 2.75 -2.8 -100% -2.8 / 2.75 (-100%)
5th Aug '20 DWCS 27 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)


Winning Events: 14 (50%)
Losing Events: 14 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 4.09 units
Most Staked On One Event: 9.50 units
Best Event: 4.65 units
Worst Event: -5.50 units
Average Event: 0.06 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 9.11
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -6.13

The UNDERstood: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 26.8 -3.3 -12% -3.1 / 26.6 (-12%) -0.2 / 0.2 (-100%) 3 / 3 (50%) -0.55
2020 87.75 5.0 6% 5.2 / 85.45 (6%) 0.8 / 1.3 (58%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 11 / 11 (50%) 0.23

The UNDERstood: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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The UNDERstood: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 107.3 8.9 8% 9.4 / 104.8 (9%) 0.6 / 1.5 (37%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
Bellator 5.75 -5.8 -100% -5.8 / 5.75 (-100%)
Other 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)

The UNDERstood: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 12 (18%) 9 75 % 33.75 0.17 0.01 0%
Slight Favorites 30 (45%) 17 57 % 54.80 -0.15 -0.00 -0%
Slight Underdogs 20 (30%) 9 45 % 22.20 -1.62 -0.08 -7%
Big Underdogs 4 (6%) 3 75 % 2.80 4.66 1.16 166%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 11 (17%) 4 36 % 15.00 -2.88 -0.26 -19%
Co-Main Event 9 (14%) 6 67 % 19.00 -1.25 -0.14 -7%
Position 3-5 23 (35%) 14 61 % 36.25 2.97 0.13 8%
6+ (Undercard) 23 (35%) 14 61 % 43.30 4.22 0.18 10%

The UNDERstood: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 6 (9%) 4 67 % 15.50 0.26 0.04 2%
Light Heavy 6 (9%) 5 83 % 11.50 4.97 0.83 43%
Middleweight 12 (18%) 8 67 % 20.00 6.81 0.57 34%
Welterweight 10 (15%) 6 60 % 16.95 -0.82 -0.08 -5%
Lightweight 9 (14%) 1 11 % 13.00 -9.50 -1.06 -73%
Featherweight 8 (12%) 4 50 % 13.80 -3.68 -0.46 -27%
Bantamweight 6 (9%) 5 83 % 11.00 4.76 0.79 43%
Flyweight 4 (6%) 1 25 % 4.00 -2.65 -0.66 -66%
               
Women's Fights 5 (8%) 4 80 % 7.80 2.91 0.58 37%
Flyweight 3 (5%) 3 100 % 6.00 3.62 1.21 60%
Strawweight 2 (3%) 1 50 % 1.80 -0.70 -0.35 -39%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Slight Favorites 2 (67%) 1 50 %
Slight Underdogs 1 (33%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
3 1 33 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 nan %
35-50% 1 (33%) 1 100 %
<35% chance 2 (67%) 0 0 %
3 1 33 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
X Wins by Decision 1 (33%) 0 0 % 7.50 7.50Pick was incorrect 7.50Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 1 (33%) 1 100 % 2.05 2.05Pick was correct 2.05Pick was correct 1.1 (105%)
X Wins in Round X 1 (33%) 0 0 % 17.30 17.30Pick was incorrect 17.30Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
3 1 33 % 4.42     -0.9 (-32%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail The UNDERstood's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
5th Aug DWCS 27 1.5 -1.5 -100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $985.00
8th Aug Bellator 243 2.75 -2.8 -100% $9.85 $985.00 $957.91
8th Aug UFC Vegas 6 2 2.7 135% $9.58 $957.91 $983.78
15th Aug UFC 252 3.5 2.2 63% $9.84 $983.78 $1,005.30
22nd Aug UFC Vegas 7 1 -1.0 -100% $10.05 $1,005.30 $995.24
5th Sep UFC Fight Night 183 7.2 2.4 34% $9.95 $995.24 $1,019.60
12th Sep UFC Fight Night 184 4 -0.5 -13% $10.20 $1,019.60 $1,014.50
19th Sep UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 2 -2.0 -100% $10.14 $1,014.50 $994.21
26th Sep UFC 253 3.8 2.7 70% $9.94 $994.21 $1,020.78
10th Oct UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 4 0.6 15% $10.21 $1,020.78 $1,027.01
15th Oct Bellator 249 2 -2.0 -100% $10.27 $1,027.01 $1,006.47
17th Oct UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 9.5 2.5 27% $10.06 $1,006.47 $1,031.87
24th Oct UFC 254 5.5 1.0 19% $10.32 $1,031.87 $1,042.48
29th Oct Bellator 250 1 -1.0 -100% $10.42 $1,042.48 $1,032.05
31st Oct UFC Vegas 12 1 -1.0 -100% $10.32 $1,032.05 $1,021.73
8th Nov UFC Vegas 13 7 -4.1 -59% $10.22 $1,021.73 $979.54
14th Nov UFC Vegas 14 5 1.2 24% $9.80 $979.54 $991.07
21st Nov UFC 255 8 4.7 58% $9.91 $991.07 $1,037.19
29th Nov UFC Vegas 15 2 1.0 49% $10.37 $1,037.19 $1,047.41
6th Dec UFC Vegas 16 4.5 2.3 51% $10.47 $1,047.41 $1,071.44
13th Dec UFC 256 4 -1.2 -29% $10.71 $1,071.44 $1,059.01
19th Dec UFC Vegas 17 6.5 -1.2 -19% $10.59 $1,059.01 $1,045.86
16th Jan UFC FN 5.5 3.8 68% $10.46 $1,045.86 $1,085.21
20th Jan UFC on ESPN 20 5.5 -5.5 -100% $10.85 $1,085.21 $1,025.52
24th Jan UFC 257 4.5 0.3 7% $10.26 $1,025.52 $1,028.95
6th Feb UFC FN 4.5 -4.5 -100% $10.29 $1,028.95 $982.64
14th Feb UFC 258 3.5 2.6 76% $9.83 $982.64 $1,008.68
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 3.3 -0.0 -2% $10.09 $1,008.68 $1,008.18


ROI % from starting bank balance: 0.82% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

The UNDERstood: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Feb '21 Ronnie Lawrence Vince Cachero 1.61 1.5 TKO, R3 (2:38) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '21 Casey O'Neill Shana Dobson 1.63 2 TKO, R2 (3:41) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '21 Gabriel Green Phil Rowe 1.74 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '21 Chris Gutierrez Andre Ewell 1.77 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '21 Marina Alcalde Rodriguez Amanda Ribas 3.65 0.3 TKO, R2 (0:54) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '21 Makhmud Muradov Andrew Sanchez 1.87 2 TKO, R3 (2:59) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '21 Punahele Soriano Dusko Todorovic 2.47 1 TKO, R1 (4:48) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '21 Austin Lingo Jacob Kilburn 1.42 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '21 Max Holloway Calvin Kattar 1.63 2 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '20 Jose Aldo Marlon Vera 1.66 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '20 Stephen Thompson Geoff Neal 1.93 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '20 Kevin Holland Ronaldo Souza 1.89 1.5 TKO, R1 (1:45) MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '20 Roman Dolidze John Allan 1.49 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '20 Jamahal Hill Ovince St Preux 1.54 2 TKO, R2 (3:37) MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '20 Miguel Baeza Takashi Sato 1.49 2 Sub, R2 (4:28) MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '20 Nicolas Dalby Daniel Rodriguez 3.49 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '20 Paul Craig Mauricio Rua 1.54 3 TKO, R2 (3:36) MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '20 Alan Jouban Jared Gooden 1.67 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '20 Don'tale Mayes Roque Martinez 1.38 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '20 Sean Strickland Brendan Allen 2.05 1 TKO, R2 (1:32) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Feb '21 Nate Landwehr Julian Erosa 1.80 1.3 TKO, R1 (0:56) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '21 Youssef Zalal Seung Woo Choi 1.43 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '21 Manel Kape Alexandre Pantoja 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '21 Alistair Overeem Alexander Volkov 2.59 1 TKO, R2 (2:6) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '21 Daniel Hooker Michael Chandler 1.77 2 TKO, R1 (2:30) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '21 Tyson Nam Matt Schnell 1.79 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '21 Tom Breese Omari Akhmedov 1.64 2 Sub, R2 (1:41) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '21 Neil Magny Michael Chiesa 1.72 2.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '20 Antonio Arroyo Deron Winn 1.62 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '20 Kalinn Williams Michel Pereira 1.98 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '20 Tony Ferguson Charles Oliveira 1.78 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '20 Renato Moicano Rafael Fiziev 2.33 1 TKO, R1 (4:5) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '20 Brandon Royval Brandon Moreno 2.50 1.5 TKO, R1 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '20 Paul Felder Rafael dos Anjos 2.67 1 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '20 Tanner Boser Andrei Arlovski 1.34 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '20 Douglas Lima Gegard Mousasi 2.45 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Oct '20 Anderson Silva Urijah Hall 2.81 1 TKO, R4 (1:24) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Oct '20 Justin Gaethje Khabib Nurmagomedov 3.75 0.5 Sub, R2 (1:34) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '20 Nathaniel Wood Casey Kenney 2.38 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Oct '20 Jamie Mullarkey Fares Ziam 1.87 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

The UNDERstood: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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