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MMA Handicapper Stats: Harry Ogilvy

Harry Ogilvy (BigTurk)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	11 (44%)	Right	8 (67%)	Right	2 (33%)	Right	1 (14%)
Wrong	14 (56%)	Wrong	4 (33%)	Wrong	4 (67%)	Wrong	6 (86%)
Avg Odds	2.88	Avg Odds	1.72	Avg Odds	5.59	Avg Odds	10.76
Units Bet	64.7	Units Bet	50.0	Units Bet	8.0	Units Bet	6.7
Avg Bet	2.59	Avg Bet	4.17	Avg Bet	1.33	Avg Bet	0.96
Units Profit	-2.13	Units Profit	-2.11	Units Profit	3.00	Units Profit	-3.02
ROI %	-3%	ROI %	-4%	ROI %	38%	ROI %	-45%

Harry Ogilvy: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
29th Aug '20	UFC Fight Night 182	46.2	5.3	11%	7.5 / 38 (20%)	-1.0 / 7 (-14%)	-1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)
12th Aug '20	DWCS 28	1.5	2.2	145%			2.2 / 1.5 (145%)
1st Aug '20	UFC Vegas 5	17	-9.6	-57%	-9.6 / 12 (-80%)	4.0 / 1 (400%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)

Winning Events: 2 (67%)
Losing Events: 1 (33%)

Average Staked Per Event: 21.57 units
Most Staked On One Event: 46.20 units
Best Event: 5.31 units
Worst Event: -9.62 units
Average Event: -0.71 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 7.49
Max Losing Streak: Events: 1, Units: -9.62

Harry Ogilvy: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2020	64.7	-2.1	-3%	-2.1 / 50 (-4%)	3.0 / 8 (38%)	-3.0 / 6.7 (-45%)	2 / 1 (67%)	-0.71

Harry Ogilvy: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Harry Ogilvy: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	63.2	-4.3	-7%	-2.1 / 50 (-4%)	3.0 / 8 (38%)	-5.2 / 5.2 (-100%)
Other	1.5	2.2	145%			2.2 / 1.5 (145%)

Harry Ogilvy: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	5 (42%)	4	80 %	27.00	-3.89	-0.78	-14%
Slight Favorites	3 (25%)	2	67 %	11.00	7.20	2.40	65%
Slight Underdogs	3 (25%)	2	67 %	7.00	-0.42	-0.14	-6%
Big Underdogs	1 (8%)	0	0 %	5.00	-5.00	-5.00	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	2 (17%)	1	50 %	15.00	-8.20	-4.10	-55%
Co-Main Event	2 (17%)	2	100 %	6.00	3.38	1.69	56%
Position 3-5	4 (33%)	2	50 %	16.00	-0.70	-0.17	-4%
6+ (Undercard)	4 (33%)	3	75 %	13.00	3.41	0.85	26%

Harry Ogilvy: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Light Heavy	1 (8%)	1	100 %	5.00	1.80	1.80	36%
Middleweight	3 (25%)	2	67 %	20.00	-1.80	-0.60	-9%
Welterweight	1 (8%)	1	100 %	5.00	2.00	2.00	40%
Lightweight	2 (17%)		0 %	5.00	-5.00	-2.50	-100%
Featherweight	1 (8%)		0 %	5.00	-5.00	-5.00	-100%
Flyweight	1 (8%)	1	100 %	1.00	1.38	1.38	138%

Women's Fights	3 (25%)	3	100 %	9.00	4.51	1.50	50%
Flyweight	1 (8%)	1	100 %	5.00	1.65	1.65	33%
Strawweight	2 (17%)	2	100 %	4.00	2.86	1.43	71%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	8 (67%)	6	75 %
Slight Favorites	2 (17%)	0	0 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	2 (17%)	1	50 %
	12	7	58 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
50-65%	3 (14%)	2	67 %
35-50%	3 (14%)	1	33 %
<35% chance	16 (73%)	6	38 %
	22	9	41 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (5%)	1	100 %	5.00	5.00	5.00	4.0 (400%)
Does not go to Decision	1 (5%)	1	100 %	3.50	3.50	3.50	2.5 (250%)
X Wins by KO	3 (14%)	0	0 %	2.49	9.50	1.67	-3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	2 (9%)	1	50 %	6.15	8.00	5.00	3.0 (150%)
X Wins by Decision	2 (9%)	2	100 %	1.64	1.67	1.62	1.3 (65%)
X Wins Inside Distance	2 (9%)	1	50 %	3.54	4.33	3.00	1.0 (50%)
X Wins in Round X	4 (18%)	1	25 %	5.76	13.00	2.60	3.5 (88%)
Others	7 (32%)	2	29 %	3.97	23.00	2.00	-2.0 (-29%)
	22	9	41 %	3.52			10.3 (47%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Harry Ogilvy's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
1st Aug	UFC Vegas 5	17	-9.6	-57%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$903.80
12th Aug	DWCS 28	1.5	2.2	145%		$9.04	$903.80	$923.48
29th Aug	UFC Fight Night 182	46.2	5.3	11%		$9.23	$923.48	$972.52

ROI % from starting bank balance: -2.75% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Harry Ogilvy: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Aug '20	Impa Kasanganay	Maki Pitolo	1.73	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Aug '20	Polyana Viana	Emily Whitmire	2.10	2	Sub, R1 (1:53)
3.	Aug '20	Mallory Martin	Hannah Cifers	1.33	2	Sub, R2 (1:33)
4.	Aug '20	Zak Cummings	Alessio Di Chirico	1.91	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Aug '20	Alexa Grasso	Ji Yeon Kim	1.33	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Aug '20	Neil Magny	Robbie Lawler	1.40	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Aug '20	Aleksandar Rakic	Anthony Smith	1.36	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Aug '20	Jennifer Maia	Joanne Wood	2.38	1	Sub, R1 (4:29)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Aug '20	Austin Springer	Alex Caceres	2.63	4	Sub, R1 (3:38)	No
2.	Aug '20	Bill Algeo	Ricardo Lamas	3.50	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Aug '20	Lando Vannata	Bobby Green	1.67	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Aug '20	Edmen Shahbazyan	Derek Brunson	1.33	10	TKO, R3 (0:26)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Harry Ogilvy: Progress Chart

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