|
MMA Handicapper Stats: MMATakes Podcast |
|
MMATakes Podcast: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 27 (41%) Losing Events: 39 (59%)
Average Staked Per Event: 11.64 units Most Staked On One Event: 17.00 units Best Event: 8.26 units Worst Event: -8.12 units Average Event: -0.53 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 8.90 Max Losing Streak: Events: 7, Units: -23.05 |
MMATakes Podcast: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
138 |
-3.3 |
-2% |
-0.4 / 121 (-0%) |
|
0.0 / 8 (0%) |
5 / 5 (50%) |
-0.33 |
2023 |
559 |
-40.8 |
-7% |
-27.6 / 485 (-6%) |
|
-6.6 / 41 (-16%) |
15 / 26 (37%) |
-0.99 |
2022 |
4.9 |
0.4 |
8% |
1.0 / 2.35 (41%) |
|
0.2 / 1.75 (12%) |
1 / 1 (50%) |
0.19 |
2021 |
66.17 |
8.8 |
13% |
7.8 / 29.55 (26%) |
|
6.5 / 29.8 (22%) |
6 / 7 (46%) |
0.68 |
|
MMATakes Podcast: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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|
MMATakes Podcast: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
766.27 |
-34.4 |
-4% |
-18.8 / 636.1 (-3%) |
-15.8 / 49.62 (-32%) |
0.1 / 80.55 (0%) |
PFL |
1.8 |
-0.4 |
-24% |
-0.4 / 1.8 (-24%) |
|
|
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MMATakes Podcast: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
264 (41%) |
199 |
75 % |
265.20 |
0.17 |
0.00 |
0% |
Slight Favorites |
194 (30%) |
114 |
59 % |
192.30 |
-1.47 |
-0.01 |
-1% |
Slight Underdogs |
133 (21%) |
55 |
41 % |
127.40 |
-6.23 |
-0.05 |
-5% |
Big Underdogs |
56 (9%) |
12 |
21 % |
53.00 |
-11.70 |
-0.21 |
-22% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
55 (9%) |
28 |
51 % |
54.60 |
-11.54 |
-0.21 |
-21% |
Co-Main Event |
52 (8%) |
30 |
58 % |
51.80 |
2.44 |
0.05 |
5% |
Position 3-5 |
159 (25%) |
100 |
63 % |
153.40 |
7.30 |
0.05 |
5% |
6+ (Undercard) |
381 (59%) |
222 |
58 % |
378.10 |
-17.43 |
-0.05 |
-5% |
|
MMATakes Podcast: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
44 (7%) |
22 |
50 % |
44.00 |
-10.50 |
-0.24 |
-24% |
Light Heavy |
40 (6%) |
21 |
53 % |
40.00 |
-5.20 |
-0.13 |
-13% |
Middleweight |
72 (11%) |
40 |
56 % |
71.10 |
-3.69 |
-0.05 |
-5% |
Welterweight |
76 (12%) |
51 |
67 % |
74.20 |
13.61 |
0.18 |
18% |
Lightweight |
98 (15%) |
54 |
55 % |
94.10 |
-11.04 |
-0.11 |
-12% |
Featherweight |
79 (12%) |
49 |
62 % |
77.55 |
7.15 |
0.09 |
9% |
Bantamweight |
77 (12%) |
39 |
51 % |
76.20 |
-17.19 |
-0.22 |
-23% |
Flyweight |
52 (8%) |
32 |
62 % |
52.20 |
-1.30 |
-0.03 |
-2% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
109 (17%) |
72 |
66 % |
108.55 |
8.93 |
0.08 |
8% |
Featherweight |
4 (1%) |
2 |
50 % |
4.00 |
-1.08 |
-0.27 |
-27% |
Bantamweight |
26 (4%) |
19 |
73 % |
25.60 |
4.71 |
0.18 |
18% |
Flyweight |
36 (6%) |
20 |
56 % |
36.75 |
-4.45 |
-0.12 |
-12% |
Strawweight |
43 (7%) |
31 |
72 % |
42.20 |
9.75 |
0.23 |
23% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
134 (72%) |
100 |
75 % |
Slight Favorites |
44 (24%) |
23 |
52 % |
Slight Underdogs |
7 (4%) |
4 |
57 % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
185 |
127 |
69 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
11 (16%) |
6 |
55 % |
50-65% |
19 (28%) |
9 |
47 % |
35-50% |
18 (27%) |
5 |
28 % |
<35% chance |
19 (28%) |
2 |
11 % |
|
67 |
22 |
33 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail MMATakes Podcast's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
21st Aug |
UFC FN |
3.1 |
4.9 |
159% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,049.27 |
27th Aug |
PFL 2021 #9: Playoffs |
1.8 |
-0.4 |
-24% |
|
$10.49 |
$1,049.27 |
$1,044.77 |
28th Aug |
UFC FN |
3.9 |
-0.5 |
-13% |
|
$10.45 |
$1,044.77 |
$1,039.55 |
4th Sep |
UFC FN |
3.8 |
-2.0 |
-53% |
|
$10.40 |
$1,039.55 |
$1,018.76 |
18th Sep |
UFC FN |
5.2 |
3.0 |
57% |
|
$10.19 |
$1,018.76 |
$1,049.00 |
25th Sep |
UFC 266 |
6.2 |
-2.5 |
-41% |
|
$10.49 |
$1,049.00 |
$1,022.26 |
2nd Oct |
UFC FN |
8.6 |
5.0 |
58% |
|
$10.22 |
$1,022.26 |
$1,073.11 |
9th Oct |
UFC FN |
3.1 |
1.1 |
35% |
|
$10.73 |
$1,073.11 |
$1,084.69 |
16th Oct |
UFC FN |
3.7 |
-3.7 |
-100% |
|
$10.85 |
$1,084.69 |
$1,044.55 |
23rd Oct |
UFC FN |
5.9 |
-1.7 |
-29% |
|
$10.45 |
$1,044.55 |
$1,026.56 |
30th Oct |
UFC 267 |
8 |
1.3 |
16% |
|
$10.27 |
$1,026.56 |
$1,040.10 |
6th Nov |
UFC 268 |
8.82 |
6.1 |
70% |
|
$10.40 |
$1,040.10 |
$1,104.04 |
13th Nov |
UFC FN |
4.05 |
-1.7 |
-42% |
|
$11.04 |
$1,104.04 |
$1,085.27 |
15th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze |
2.8 |
-1.4 |
-51% |
|
$10.85 |
$1,085.27 |
$1,069.75 |
19th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill |
2.1 |
1.8 |
86% |
|
$10.70 |
$1,069.75 |
$1,089.07 |
14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov |
12 |
-1.8 |
-15% |
|
$10.89 |
$1,089.07 |
$1,069.22 |
21st Jan |
UFC 283 |
17 |
4.4 |
26% |
|
$10.69 |
$1,069.22 |
$1,115.83 |
4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak |
11 |
-7.0 |
-64% |
|
$11.16 |
$1,115.83 |
$1,037.59 |
11th Feb |
UFC 284 |
13 |
2.0 |
15% |
|
$10.38 |
$1,037.59 |
$1,058.16 |
18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
11 |
0.2 |
2% |
|
$10.58 |
$1,058.16 |
$1,060.07 |
25th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen |
11 |
-2.2 |
-20% |
|
$10.60 |
$1,060.07 |
$1,036.96 |
4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
15 |
-4.2 |
-28% |
|
$10.37 |
$1,036.96 |
$993.20 |
11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
14 |
-4.2 |
-30% |
|
$9.93 |
$993.20 |
$951.92 |
18th Mar |
UFC 286 |
15 |
-2.0 |
-13% |
|
$9.52 |
$951.92 |
$932.97 |
25th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen |
11 |
-2.9 |
-26% |
|
$9.33 |
$932.97 |
$905.93 |
8th Apr |
UFC 287 |
14 |
-1.6 |
-11% |
|
$9.06 |
$905.93 |
$891.53 |
15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
17 |
-6.0 |
-35% |
|
$8.92 |
$891.53 |
$837.94 |
22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes |
12 |
1.0 |
8% |
|
$8.38 |
$837.94 |
$846.01 |
29th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón |
13 |
-6.1 |
-47% |
|
$8.46 |
$846.01 |
$794.06 |
6th May |
UFC 288 |
14 |
8.3 |
59% |
|
$7.94 |
$794.06 |
$859.62 |
13th May |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida |
13 |
-4.4 |
-34% |
|
$8.60 |
$859.62 |
$822.14 |
20th May |
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern |
13 |
-2.2 |
-17% |
|
$8.22 |
$822.14 |
$803.87 |
3rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi |
15 |
-3.8 |
-25% |
|
$8.04 |
$803.87 |
$773.69 |
10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
12 |
-0.8 |
-7% |
|
$7.74 |
$773.69 |
$767.46 |
24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
15 |
2.7 |
18% |
|
$7.67 |
$767.46 |
$788.10 |
1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
14 |
2.0 |
15% |
|
$7.88 |
$788.10 |
$804.10 |
8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
15 |
-2.7 |
-18% |
|
$8.04 |
$804.10 |
$782.73 |
15th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva |
14 |
2.6 |
18% |
|
$7.83 |
$782.73 |
$802.94 |
22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
17 |
2.0 |
12% |
|
$8.03 |
$802.94 |
$819.32 |
29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
13 |
-5.6 |
-43% |
|
$8.19 |
$819.32 |
$773.46 |
5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
13 |
-3.4 |
-26% |
|
$7.73 |
$773.46 |
$747.01 |
12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
15 |
3.5 |
24% |
|
$7.47 |
$747.01 |
$773.43 |
19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
14 |
-3.6 |
-26% |
|
$7.73 |
$773.43 |
$745.25 |
26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
16 |
3.7 |
23% |
|
$7.45 |
$745.25 |
$772.80 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
13 |
0.5 |
4% |
|
$7.73 |
$772.80 |
$776.48 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
14 |
-0.5 |
-3% |
|
$7.76 |
$776.48 |
$772.89 |
23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
14 |
-8.1 |
-58% |
|
$7.73 |
$772.89 |
$710.11 |
7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
12 |
-3.2 |
-26% |
|
$7.10 |
$710.11 |
$687.73 |
14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
13 |
-1.2 |
-10% |
|
$6.88 |
$687.73 |
$679.21 |
21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
13 |
-2.3 |
-18% |
|
$6.79 |
$679.21 |
$663.26 |
4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
11 |
4.6 |
42% |
|
$6.63 |
$663.26 |
$693.61 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
14 |
4.3 |
31% |
|
$6.94 |
$693.61 |
$723.63 |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
15 |
-1.0 |
-6% |
|
$7.24 |
$723.63 |
$716.72 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
14 |
-2.0 |
-14% |
|
$7.17 |
$716.72 |
$702.55 |
9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez |
13 |
-0.9 |
-7% |
|
$7.03 |
$702.55 |
$695.91 |
16th Dec |
UFC 296 |
14 |
1.2 |
9% |
|
$6.96 |
$695.91 |
$704.44 |
13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
13 |
2.1 |
16% |
|
$7.04 |
$704.44 |
$719.38 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
14 |
0.5 |
3% |
|
$7.19 |
$719.38 |
$722.84 |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
14 |
1.7 |
12% |
|
$7.23 |
$722.84 |
$735.03 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
15 |
-4.9 |
-33% |
|
$7.35 |
$735.03 |
$698.70 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
13 |
5.5 |
42% |
|
$6.99 |
$698.70 |
$736.87 |
24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
12 |
-2.1 |
-17% |
|
$7.37 |
$736.87 |
$721.43 |
2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
13 |
-3.2 |
-25% |
|
$7.21 |
$721.43 |
$698.44 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
15 |
-2.3 |
-15% |
|
$6.98 |
$698.44 |
$682.70 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
14 |
1.0 |
7% |
|
$6.83 |
$682.70 |
$689.61 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
15 |
-1.6 |
-10% |
|
$6.90 |
$689.61 |
$678.81 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -32.12% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
MMATakes Podcast: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Mar '24 |
Michael Parkin |
Mohammed Usman |
1.77 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
2. |
Mar '24 |
Andre Lima |
Igor da Silva |
1.62 |
1 |
|
|
|
3. |
Mar '24 |
Dariya Zheleznyakova |
Montserrat Rendon |
1.40 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
4. |
Mar '24 |
Julian Erosa |
Ricardo Ramos |
2.54 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (2:15) |
|
|
5. |
Mar '24 |
Fernando Padilla |
Luis Pajuelo |
1.59 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (2:45) |
|
|
6. |
Mar '24 |
Edmen Shahbazyan |
AJ Dobson |
1.51 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:33) |
|
|
7. |
Mar '24 |
Karl Williams |
Justin Tafa |
1.56 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
8. |
Mar '24 |
Rose Namajunas |
Amanda Ribas |
1.46 |
1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
9. |
Mar '24 |
Christian Rodriguez |
Isaac Dulgarian |
2.60 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
10. |
Mar '24 |
Macy Chiasson |
Pannie Kianzad |
1.59 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (3:54) |
|
|
11. |
Mar '24 |
Gerald Meerschaert |
Bryan Barberena |
1.43 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (4:23) |
|
|
12. |
Mar '24 |
Mike Davis |
Natan Levy |
1.32 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (1:43) |
|
|
13. |
Mar '24 |
Jafel Filho |
Ode Osbourne |
1.59 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (4:27) |
|
|
14. |
Mar '24 |
Thiago Moises |
Mitch Ramirez |
1.28 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (0:15) |
|
|
15. |
Mar '24 |
Jaqueline Amorim |
Cory McKenna |
2.45 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (1:38) |
|
|
16. |
Mar '24 |
Assu Almabaev |
Carlos Vergara |
1.18 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
17. |
Mar '24 |
Robelis Despaigne |
Josh Parisian |
1.28 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (0:18) |
|
|
18. |
Mar '24 |
Michel Pereira |
Michal Oleksiejczuk |
1.68 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (1:1) |
|
|
19. |
Mar '24 |
Mateusz Gamrot |
Rafael dos Anjos |
1.24 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
20. |
Mar '24 |
Maycee Barber |
Katlyn Chookagian |
1.52 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
MMATakes Podcast: Progress Chart |
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