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MMA Handicapper Stats: DieHardMMA Podcast Picks

DieHardMMA Podcast Picks (DieHardMMA)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - DieHardMMA Podcast Picks

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 83 (31%) Right 53 (51%) Right 19 (18%) Right 11 (20%)
Wrong 183 (69%) Wrong 51 (49%) Wrong 89 (82%) Wrong 43 (80%)
Avg Odds 3.12 Avg Odds 2.19 Avg Odds 4.11 Avg Odds 4.67
Units Bet 249.6 Units Bet 137.6 Units Bet 71.6 Units Bet 40.4
Avg Bet 0.94 Avg Bet 1.32 Avg Bet 0.66 Avg Bet 0.75
Units Profit -17.20 Units Profit 10.32 Units Profit -21.07 Units Profit -6.45
ROI % -7% ROI % 8% ROI % -29% ROI % -16%
View Handicapper's Profile

DieHardMMA Podcast Picks: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
19th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 17 12.7 -8.2 -64% -7.1 / 7.05 (-100%) -1.1 / 5.65 (-19%)
13th Dec '20 UFC 256 9.2 -9.2 -100% -5.5 / 5.45 (-100%) -3.3 / 3.25 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
6th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 16 13.85 8.0 58% 4.0 / 8.65 (46%) 0.4 / 3.8 (11%) 3.6 / 1.4 (258%)
29th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 15 9.59 3.9 41% 2.0 / 3.01 (66%) 2.1 / 6.38 (33%) -0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)
21st Nov '20 UFC 255 13.14 -6.1 -46% -1.7 / 4 (-44%) 0.2 / 4.62 (5%) -4.5 / 4.52 (-100%)
18th Nov '20 DWCS 36 2.2 -2.2 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)
14th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 14 15.01 -3.2 -21% 1.7 / 10.1 (17%) -4.6 / 4.56 (-100%) -0.4 / 0.35 (-100%)
8th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 13 12.72 5.3 42% 4.0 / 3.5 (114%) 0.9 / 3.49 (26%) 0.4 / 5.73 (7%)
31st Oct '20 UFC Vegas 12 12.5 -0.7 -6% -1.6 / 3.21 (-51%) 3.2 / 4.5 (71%) -2.3 / 4.79 (-48%)
29th Oct '20 Bellator 250 1.5 -0.3 -19% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 0.7 / 0.5 (143%)
24th Oct '20 UFC 254 14.65 -1.3 -9% -2.0 / 11.76 (-17%) 1.3 / 2.29 (56%) -0.6 / 0.6 (-100%)
17th Oct '20 UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 7.89 -2.3 -30% 0.5 / 3 (17%) -2.6 / 4.69 (-56%) -0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)
10th Oct '20 UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 11.08 2.9 26% 1.8 / 9.48 (19%) 1.1 / 1.6 (68%)
4th Oct '20 UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 7.98 -2.2 -27% 1.8 / 4 (45%) -2.6 / 2.6 (-100%) -1.4 / 1.38 (-100%)
26th Sep '20 UFC 253 12.9 8.6 66% 7.2 / 4 (181%) -2.7 / 4.6 (-58%) 4.0 / 4.3 (93%)
19th Sep '20 UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 9.93 -1.9 -19% -0.4 / 2.6 (-13%) -0.2 / 1.5 (-13%) -1.4 / 5.83 (-24%)
16th Sep '20 DWCS 33 2.9 -2.9 -100% -1.9 / 1.9 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
12th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 184 4.85 1.5 30% 2.3 / 2 (115%) -1.1 / 1.1 (-100%) 0.3 / 1.75 (15%)
11th Sep '20 Bellator 245 2.5 -0.3 -12% -0.3 / 2.5 (-12%)
5th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 183 2 0.3 13% 0.3 / 2 (13%)
2nd Sep '20 DWCS 31 1 0.2 23% 0.7 / 0.5 (145%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
29th Aug '20 UFC Fight Night 182 6.66 -2.3 -35% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -1.2 / 1.2 (-100%) 1.9 / 2.46 (77%)
26th Aug '20 DWCS 30 3.75 -1.3 -33% -1.3 / 3.75 (-33%)
22nd Aug '20 UFC Vegas 7 6.44 0.3 5% -0.6 / 5 (-12%) 1.0 / 1.34 (75%) -0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)
21st Aug '20 Bellator 244 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
19th Aug '20 DWCS 29 1.5 0.7 47% 0.7 / 1.5 (47%)
15th Aug '20 UFC 252 9.54 0.4 4% 4.2 / 5.74 (73%) -0.7 / 0.7 (-100%) -3.1 / 3.1 (-100%)
8th Aug '20 UFC Vegas 6 7.36 1.8 25% 4.4 / 4.8 (92%) -2.6 / 2.56 (-100%)
1st Aug '20 UFC Vegas 5 10.65 -8.3 -78% -0.7 / 3 (-23%) -7.7 / 7.65 (-100%)
25th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 3 13.6 0.4 3% -0.6 / 12.1 (-5%) 1.0 / 1.5 (67%)
18th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 2 7 4.3 61% 6.3 / 5 (126%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)


Winning Events: 14 (45%)
Losing Events: 17 (55%)

Average Staked Per Event: 8.05 units
Most Staked On One Event: 15.01 units
Best Event: 8.55 units
Worst Event: -9.20 units
Average Event: -0.55 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 11.91
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -17.35

DieHardMMA Podcast Picks: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2020 249.59 -17.2 -7% 10.3 / 137.6 (8%) -21.1 / 71.58 (-29%) -6.5 / 40.41 (-16%) 14 / 17 (45%) -0.55

DieHardMMA Podcast Picks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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DieHardMMA Podcast Picks: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 231.24 -8.2 -4% 17.3 / 122.45 (14%) -21.1 / 71.58 (-29%) -4.5 / 37.21 (-12%)
Bellator 7 -3.6 -51% -4.3 / 6.5 (-66%) 0.7 / 0.5 (143%)
Other 11.35 -5.4 -48% -2.7 / 8.65 (-32%) -2.7 / 2.7 (-100%)

DieHardMMA Podcast Picks: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 4 (4%) 4 100 % 9.69 4.35 1.09 45%
Slight Favorites 30 (29%) 19 63 % 54.91 3.60 0.12 7%
Slight Underdogs 54 (51%) 21 39 % 55.50 -10.13 -0.19 -18%
Big Underdogs 17 (16%) 9 53 % 17.50 12.50 0.74 71%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 19 (18%) 10 53 % 27.47 0.05 0.00 0%
Co-Main Event 15 (14%) 7 47 % 23.74 0.76 0.05 3%
Position 3-5 32 (30%) 16 50 % 38.09 6.51 0.20 17%
6+ (Undercard) 39 (37%) 20 51 % 48.30 3.01 0.08 6%

DieHardMMA Podcast Picks: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 9 (9%) 5 56 % 10.84 5.70 0.63 53%
Light Heavy 12 (11%) 8 67 % 19.84 7.25 0.60 37%
Middleweight 12 (11%) 6 50 % 15.52 0.03 0.00 0%
Welterweight 15 (14%) 8 53 % 16.12 1.05 0.07 7%
Lightweight 16 (15%) 11 69 % 23.46 7.58 0.47 32%
Featherweight 8 (8%) 0 % 9.22 -9.22 -1.15 -100%
Bantamweight 10 (10%) 5 50 % 13.16 1.23 0.12 9%
Flyweight 4 (4%) 2 50 % 5.00 0.70 0.18 14%
               
Women's Fights 19 (18%) 8 42 % 24.44 -3.99 -0.21 -16%
Featherweight 1 (1%) 0 % 0.50 -0.50 -0.50 -100%
Bantamweight 2 (2%) 2 100 % 2.35 1.83 0.91 78%
Flyweight 4 (4%) 1 25 % 4.05 -2.22 -0.55 -55%
Strawweight 12 (11%) 5 42 % 17.54 -3.10 -0.26 -18%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 65 (71%) 47 72 %
Slight Favorites 16 (17%) 10 63 %
Slight Underdogs 10 (11%) 3 30 %
Big Underdogs 1 (1%) 1 100 %
92 61 66 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 11 (5%) 7 64 %
50-65% 44 (21%) 16 36 %
35-50% 41 (20%) 22 54 %
<35% chance 112 (54%) 11 10 %
208 56 27 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 19 (9%) 8 42 % 1.80 2.10Pick was correct 1.52Pick was incorrect -4.1 (-22%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 28 (13%) 14 50 % 1.80 2.80Pick was incorrect 1.37Pick was correct -2.0 (-7%)
Goes to Decision 4 (2%) 1 25 % 1.77 2.20Pick was incorrect 1.48Pick was correct -2.5 (-63%)
Does not go to Decision 5 (2%) 4 80 % 1.61 1.90Pick was correct 1.40Pick was correct 1.5 (30%)
X Wins by KO 28 (13%) 9 32 % 4.45 13.00Pick was incorrect 2.50Pick was correct -2.9 (-10%)
X Wins by Sub 28 (13%) 6 21 % 5.53 19.00Pick was incorrect 2.30Pick was correct 3.7 (13%)
X Wins by Decision 18 (9%) 4 22 % 2.96 9.00Pick was incorrect 1.83Pick was correct -6.9 (-38%)
X Wins Inside Distance 28 (13%) 8 29 % 2.64 7.10Pick was incorrect 1.67Pick was incorrect 2.3 (8%)
X Wins in Round X 46 (22%) 2 4 % 10.34 35.00Pick was incorrect 2.25Pick was incorrect -21.2 (-46%)
Others 4 (2%) 0 0 % 17.56 33.00Pick was incorrect 10.50Pick was incorrect -4.0 (-100%)
208 56 27 % 3.24     -36.1 (-17%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail DieHardMMA Podcast Picks's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
18th Jul UFC Fight Island 2 7 4.3 61% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,042.83
25th Jul UFC Fight Island 3 13.6 0.4 3% $10.43 $1,042.83 $1,047.00
1st Aug UFC Vegas 5 10.65 -8.3 -78% $10.47 $1,047.00 $959.58
8th Aug UFC Vegas 6 7.36 1.8 25% $9.60 $959.58 $977.24
15th Aug UFC 252 9.54 0.4 4% $9.77 $977.24 $981.15
19th Aug DWCS 29 1.5 0.7 47% $9.81 $981.15 $988.01
21st Aug Bellator 244 3 -3.0 -100% $9.88 $988.01 $958.37
22nd Aug UFC Vegas 7 6.44 0.3 5% $9.58 $958.37 $961.25
26th Aug DWCS 30 3.75 -1.3 -33% $9.61 $961.25 $949.23
29th Aug UFC Fight Night 182 6.66 -2.3 -35% $9.49 $949.23 $927.40
2nd Sep DWCS 31 1 0.2 23% $9.27 $927.40 $929.49
5th Sep UFC Fight Night 183 2 0.3 13% $9.29 $929.49 $931.82
11th Sep Bellator 245 2.5 -0.3 -12% $9.32 $931.82 $929.02
12th Sep UFC Fight Night 184 4.85 1.5 30% $9.29 $929.02 $942.62
16th Sep DWCS 33 2.9 -2.9 -100% $9.43 $942.62 $915.28
19th Sep UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 9.93 -1.9 -19% $9.15 $915.28 $897.72
26th Sep UFC 253 12.9 8.6 66% $8.98 $897.72 $974.51
4th Oct UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 7.98 -2.2 -27% $9.75 $974.51 $953.30
10th Oct UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 11.08 2.9 26% $9.53 $953.30 $981.04
17th Oct UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 7.89 -2.3 -30% $9.81 $981.04 $958.08
24th Oct UFC 254 14.65 -1.3 -9% $9.58 $958.08 $945.24
29th Oct Bellator 250 1.5 -0.3 -19% $9.45 $945.24 $942.54
31st Oct UFC Vegas 12 12.5 -0.7 -6% $9.43 $942.54 $935.54
8th Nov UFC Vegas 13 12.72 5.3 42% $9.36 $935.54 $985.01
14th Nov UFC Vegas 14 15.01 -3.2 -21% $9.85 $985.01 $953.39
18th Nov DWCS 36 2.2 -2.2 -100% $9.53 $953.39 $932.41
21st Nov UFC 255 13.14 -6.1 -46% $9.32 $932.41 $875.91
29th Nov UFC Vegas 15 9.59 3.9 41% $8.76 $875.91 $910.07
6th Dec UFC Vegas 16 13.85 8.0 58% $9.10 $910.07 $982.97
13th Dec UFC 256 9.2 -9.2 -100% $9.83 $982.97 $892.53
19th Dec UFC Vegas 17 12.7 -8.2 -64% $8.93 $892.53 $819.79


ROI % from starting bank balance: -18.02% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

DieHardMMA Podcast Picks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Dec '20 Louis Smolka Jose Quinonez 1.71 1.4 TKO, R2 (2:15) MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '20 Jamahal Hill Ovince St Preux 1.61 4.95 TKO, R2 (3:37) MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '20 Marvin Vettori Jack Hermansson 1.77 1.3 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '20 Miguel Baeza Takashi Sato 1.62 1.62 Sub, R2 (4:28) MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '20 Anthony Smith Devin Clark 1.72 1.39 Sub, R1 (2:34) MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '20 Tim Means Mike Perry 2.25 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '20 Rafael dos Anjos Paul Felder 1.50 4 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '20 Kalinn Williams Abdul Razak Alhassan 3.00 1 TKO, R1 (0:30) MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '20 Cory McKenna Kay Hansen 2.80 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '20 Glover Teixeira Thiago Santos 3.00 1 Sub, R3 (1:49) MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '20 Yan Xiaonan Claudia Gadelha 1.80 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '20 Alexander Hernandez Chris Gruetzemacher 1.29 1.21 TKO, R1 (1:46) MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '20 Shavkat Rakhmonov Alex Oliveira 2.30 1 Sub, R1 (4:40) MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '20 Alexander Volkov Walt Harris 1.60 3.34 TKO, R2 (1:15) MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '20 Tai Tuivasa Stefan Struve 2.10 1 TKO, R1 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '20 Guram Kutateladze Mateusz Gamrot 3.50 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Oct '20 Tony Kelley Ali Al Qaisi 1.45 2.23 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Oct '20 Chris Daukaus Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira 3.40 1 TKO, R1 (0:45) MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '20 Cory Sandhagen Marlon Moraes 1.75 2.68 TKO, R2 (1:3) MMA Bookmaker
20. Oct '20 Nassourdine Imavov Jordan Williams 2.15 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Dec '20 Gillian Robertson Taila Santos 1.95 1.05 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '20 Marlon Vera Jose Aldo 2.25 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '20 Alex Morono Anthony Pettis 2.60 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '20 Kalinn Williams Michel Pereira 2.15 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '20 Marlon Vera Jose Aldo 2.45 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '20 Geoff Neal Stephen Thompson 2.00 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '20 Billy Quarantillo Gavin Tucker 1.87 1.15 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '20 Virna Jandiroba Mackenzie Dern 2.45 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '20 Tony Ferguson Charles Oliveira 1.61 3.3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '20 Justin Jaynes Gabriel Benitez 2.85 1 TKO, R1 (4:6) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '20 Ariane Lipski Antonina Shevchenko 2.40 1 TKO, R2 (4:33) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '20 Brandon Royval Brandon Moreno 2.60 2 TKO, R1 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '20 Pauline Macias Gloria de Paula 2.70 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '20 Miranda Granger Ashley Yoder 1.91 1.1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '20 Brendan Allen Sean Strickland 2.10 1 TKO, R2 (1:32) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '20 Randa Markos Kanako Murata 2.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '20 Geraldo De Freitas Jr. Tony Gravely 2.65 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Oct '20 Kevin Natividad Miles Johns 2.70 2 TKO, R3 (2:51) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '20 Douglas Lima Gegard Mousasi 2.50 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Oct '20 Alex Oliveira Shavkat Rakhmonov 2.00 1 Sub, R1 (4:40) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

DieHardMMA Podcast Picks: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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