MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 3262
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 1264

MMA Handicapper Stats: The Early Weigh In Podcast

The Early Weigh In Podcast (TEWIP)

MMA MHandicapper - The Early Weigh In Podcast

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	120 (50%)	Right	56 (55%)	Right	51 (46%)	Right	13 (48%)
Wrong	121 (50%)	Wrong	46 (45%)	Wrong	61 (54%)	Wrong	14 (52%)
Avg Odds	2.19	Avg Odds	1.94	Avg Odds	2.44	Avg Odds	2.32
Units Bet	285.4	Units Bet	139.1	Units Bet	110.5	Units Bet	35.7
Avg Bet	1.18	Avg Bet	1.36	Avg Bet	0.99	Avg Bet	1.32
Units Profit	12.19	Units Profit	4.94	Units Profit	9.39	Units Profit	-2.14
ROI %	4%	ROI %	4%	ROI %	8%	ROI %	-6%

The Early Weigh In Podcast: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
1st May '21	UFC FN	10.5	-5.2	-50%	-3.5 / 6 (-58%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-1.3 / 4 (-31%)
24th Apr '21	UFC 261	8.5	7.2	85%	3.6 / 4 (91%)	4.6 / 3.5 (130%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
17th Apr '21	UFC FN	10	-1.9	-19%	0.3 / 5.5 (6%)	0.8 / 1.5 (50%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
10th Apr '21	UFC FN	10	0.4	4%	-0.1 / 6.5 (-2%)	0.5 / 3.5 (14%)
28th Mar '21	UFC 260	8	-0.1	-2%	0.1 / 2 (6%)	-0.3 / 6 (-4%)
21st Mar '21	UFC Fight Night 188	6.5	1.4	22%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	2.7 / 3 (92%)	0.2 / 2 (9%)
13th Mar '21	UFC Fight Night 187	8.3	-2.6	-31%	-2.1 / 4.8 (-44%)	-1.0 / 2 (-50%)	0.5 / 1.5 (36%)
6th Mar '21	UFC 259	12.75	2.4	19%	4.0 / 9.5 (42%)	1.2 / 0.5 (230%)	-2.8 / 2.75 (-100%)
28th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 186	7.5	-7.5	-100%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
20th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 185	11.3	-7.0	-62%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-3.8 / 4.8 (-79%)	-1.2 / 4.5 (-26%)
14th Feb '21	UFC 258	5.8	1.8	31%	0.9 / 2 (46%)	-0.4 / 2.8 (-15%)	1.3 / 1 (129%)
6th Feb '21	UFC FN	7.95	3.3	42%	3.5 / 3.3 (106%)	-1.2 / 3.45 (-35%)	1.0 / 1.2 (84%)
24th Jan '21	UFC 257	13.44	-10.4	-78%	-9.2 / 11.2 (-82%)	0.0 / 1 (1%)	-1.2 / 1.24 (-100%)
20th Jan '21	UFC on ESPN 20	12.85	-1.3	-10%	-0.6 / 5.45 (-11%)	-1.7 / 5.62 (-31%)	1.0 / 1.78 (56%)
16th Jan '21	UFC FN	10.15	-3.1	-31%	-0.1 / 5 (-1%)	-4.2 / 4.15 (-100%)	1.1 / 1 (111%)
19th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 17	9.96	0.2	2%	0.1 / 7.71 (1%)	0.1 / 2.25 (4%)
13th Dec '20	UFC 256	11.55	4.5	39%	-0.0 / 6.05 (-1%)	3.6 / 4.5 (79%)	1.0 / 1 (98%)
6th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 16	7.7	6.4	84%	1.0 / 3.13 (32%)	3.5 / 3.1 (111%)	2.0 / 1.47 (136%)
29th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 15	6.2	-1.3	-21%	-0.6 / 3 (-21%)	0.8 / 1.7 (47%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
21st Nov '20	UFC 255	7	1.5	22%	1.9 / 2 (93%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	2.7 / 2 (133%)
14th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 14	7.75	-1.8	-23%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	0.2 / 5.75 (3%)
8th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 13	8.8	1.2	13%	2.8 / 5 (56%)	0.6 / 1.6 (36%)	-2.2 / 2.2 (-100%)
31st Oct '20	UFC Vegas 12	10.5	10.9	103%	2.8 / 4 (69%)	6.6 / 6.25 (105%)	1.5 / 0.25 (607%)
24th Oct '20	UFC 254	9.2	7.4	80%	4.0 / 5 (80%)	2.4 / 3.2 (76%)	1.0 / 1 (97%)
17th Oct '20	UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie	10.16	-10.2	-100%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	-4.9 / 4.85 (-100%)	-1.3 / 1.31 (-100%)
10th Oct '20	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	10.7	-3.0	-28%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-1.5 / 9.2 (-16%)
4th Oct '20	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	7.5	4.6	61%	5.6 / 6.5 (86%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
26th Sep '20	UFC 253	2	-2.0	-100%		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
19th Sep '20	UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley	7.8	6.8	87%	0.7 / 1 (71%)	6.1 / 6.8 (90%)
12th Sep '20	UFC Fight Night 184	3	0.4	13%		0.4 / 3 (13%)
5th Sep '20	UFC Fight Night 183	4.5	3.5	78%	3.1 / 3 (103%)	0.4 / 1.5 (27%)
29th Aug '20	UFC Fight Night 182	3	3.4	113%	1.1 / 1 (115%)	2.2 / 2 (111%)
15th Aug '20	UFC 252	5	-0.7	-14%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	1.3 / 3 (43%)
8th Aug '20	UFC Vegas 6	4	2.0	50%	2.0 / 4 (50%)
1st Aug '20	UFC Vegas 5	4	-0.2	-5%	-1.7 / 3 (-58%)	1.5 / 1 (155%)
25th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 3	6	1.4	23%	-0.1 / 5 (-1%)	1.5 / 1 (147%)

Winning Events: 20 (56%)
Losing Events: 16 (44%)

Average Staked Per Event: 8.05 units
Most Staked On One Event: 13.44 units
Best Event: 10.86 units
Worst Event: -10.43 units
Average Event: 0.34 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 19.42
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -14.87

The Early Weigh In Podcast: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	143.54	-22.7	-16%	-8.1 / 70.25 (-12%)	-9.4 / 48.32 (-19%)	-5.3 / 24.97 (-21%)	6 / 9 (40%)	-1.51
2020	146.32	34.9	24%	13.0 / 68.89 (19%)	18.7 / 66.7 (28%)	3.1 / 10.73 (29%)	14 / 7 (67%)	1.66

The Early Weigh In Podcast: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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The Early Weigh In Podcast: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	289.86	12.2	4%	4.9 / 139.14 (4%)	9.4 / 115.02 (8%)	-2.1 / 35.7 (-6%)

The Early Weigh In Podcast: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	6 (6%)	4	67 %	12.50	-3.91	-0.65	-31%
Slight Favorites	60 (58%)	34	57 %	91.14	3.15	0.05	3%
Slight Underdogs	28 (27%)	15	54 %	31.00	4.00	0.14	13%
Big Underdogs	10 (10%)	4	40 %	4.50	1.70	0.17	38%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	11 (11%)	4	36 %	19.85	-7.52	-0.68	-38%
Co-Main Event	12 (12%)	7	58 %	18.75	2.24	0.19	12%
Position 3-5	28 (27%)	15	54 %	38.89	2.94	0.10	8%
6+ (Undercard)	53 (51%)	31	58 %	61.65	7.28	0.14	12%

The Early Weigh In Podcast: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	6 (6%)	2	33 %	6.64	-2.39	-0.40	-36%
Light Heavy	11 (11%)	7	64 %	15.98	2.75	0.25	17%
Middleweight	11 (11%)	3	27 %	14.00	-3.81	-0.35	-27%
Welterweight	13 (13%)	10	77 %	16.02	8.02	0.62	50%
Lightweight	16 (15%)	9	56 %	27.20	-4.73	-0.30	-17%
Featherweight	11 (11%)	8	73 %	14.55	4.71	0.43	32%
Bantamweight	13 (13%)	5	38 %	17.40	-5.43	-0.42	-31%
Flyweight	7 (7%)	4	57 %	9.05	0.05	0.01	1%

Women's Fights	16 (15%)	9	56 %	18.30	5.76	0.36	31%
Bantamweight	5 (5%)	3	60 %	8.00	1.04	0.21	13%
Flyweight	3 (3%)	1	33 %	2.00	-0.40	-0.13	-20%
Strawweight	8 (8%)	5	63 %	8.30	5.13	0.64	62%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	45 (69%)	33	73 %
Slight Favorites	19 (29%)	14	74 %
Slight Underdogs	1 (2%)	1	100 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	65	48	74 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	10 (9%)	3	30 %
50-65%	31 (27%)	18	58 %
35-50%	38 (33%)	21	55 %
<35% chance	37 (32%)	8	22 %
	116	50	43 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	5 (4%)	2	40 %	1.69	1.80	1.50	-1.4 (-28%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	39 (34%)	18	46 %	2.22	3.40	1.59	-0.1 (-0%)
Does not go to Decision	15 (13%)	7	47 %	1.71	4.20	1.22	-1.3 (-8%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	1 (1%)	0	0 %	1.50	1.50	1.50	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	13 (11%)	4	31 %	2.92	15.00	1.67	-2.8 (-21%)
X Wins by Sub	4 (3%)	0	0 %	5.85	10.50	3.75	-4.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	9 (8%)	4	44 %	2.98	7.50	1.91	-0.7 (-8%)
X Wins Inside Distance	24 (21%)	13	54 %	2.61	13.00	1.48	9.4 (39%)
X Wins in Round X	3 (3%)	1	33 %	10.41	21.00	5.75	2.8 (92%)
Others	3 (3%)	1	33 %	2.73	5.25	2.15	4.2 (142%)
	116	50	43 %	2.38			5.2 (4%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail The Early Weigh In Podcast's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
25th Jul	UFC Fight Island 3	6	1.4	23%	$15	$10.00	$1,000.00	$998.96
1st Aug	UFC Vegas 5	4	-0.2	-5%	$15	$9.99	$998.96	$982.13
8th Aug	UFC Vegas 6	4	2.0	50%	$15	$9.82	$982.13	$986.66
15th Aug	UFC 252	5	-0.7	-14%	$15	$9.87	$986.66	$964.76
29th Aug	UFC Fight Night 182	3	3.4	113%	$15	$9.65	$964.76	$982.36
5th Sep	UFC Fight Night 183	4.5	3.5	78%	$15	$9.82	$982.36	$1,001.72
12th Sep	UFC Fight Night 184	3	0.4	13%	$15	$10.02	$1,001.72	$990.52
19th Sep	UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley	7.8	6.8	87%	$15	$9.91	$990.52	$1,043.01
26th Sep	UFC 253	2	-2.0	-100%		$10.43	$1,043.01	$1,022.15
4th Oct	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	7.5	4.6	61%	$15	$10.22	$1,022.15	$1,054.01
10th Oct	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	10.7	-3.0	-28%		$10.54	$1,054.01	$1,022.28
17th Oct	UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie	10.16	-10.2	-100%	$15	$10.22	$1,022.28	$903.41
24th Oct	UFC 254	9.2	7.4	80%	$15	$9.03	$903.41	$955.03
31st Oct	UFC Vegas 12	10.5	10.9	103%		$9.55	$955.03	$1,058.77
8th Nov	UFC Vegas 13	8.8	1.2	13%	$15	$10.59	$1,058.77	$1,056.32
14th Nov	UFC Vegas 14	7.75	-1.8	-23%		$10.56	$1,056.32	$1,037.17
21st Nov	UFC 255	7	1.5	22%	$15	$10.37	$1,037.17	$1,037.91
29th Nov	UFC Vegas 15	6.2	-1.3	-21%		$10.38	$1,037.91	$1,024.21
6th Dec	UFC Vegas 16	7.7	6.4	84%	$15	$10.24	$1,024.21	$1,075.25
13th Dec	UFC 256	11.55	4.5	39%		$10.75	$1,075.25	$1,123.83
19th Dec	UFC Vegas 17	9.96	0.2	2%		$11.24	$1,123.83	$1,125.60
16th Jan	UFC FN	10.15	-3.1	-31%		$11.26	$1,125.60	$1,090.70
20th Jan	UFC on ESPN 20	12.85	-1.3	-10%		$10.91	$1,090.70	$1,076.04
24th Jan	UFC 257	13.44	-10.4	-78%		$10.76	$1,076.04	$963.81
6th Feb	UFC FN	7.95	3.3	42%		$9.64	$963.81	$995.74
14th Feb	UFC 258	5.8	1.8	31%		$9.96	$995.74	$1,013.56
20th Feb	UFC Fight Night 185	11.3	-7.0	-62%		$10.14	$1,013.56	$943.00
28th Feb	UFC Fight Night 186	7.5	-7.5	-100%		$9.43	$943.00	$872.28
6th Mar	UFC 259	12.75	2.4	19%		$8.72	$872.28	$892.91
13th Mar	UFC Fight Night 187	8.3	-2.6	-31%		$8.93	$892.91	$870.12
21st Mar	UFC Fight Night 188	6.5	1.4	22%		$8.70	$870.12	$882.55
28th Mar	UFC 260	8	-0.1	-2%		$8.83	$882.55	$881.33
10th Apr	UFC FN	10	0.4	4%		$8.81	$881.33	$884.50
17th Apr	UFC FN	10	-1.9	-19%		$8.84	$884.50	$867.68
24th Apr	UFC 261	8.5	7.2	85%		$8.68	$867.68	$930.08
1st May	UFC FN	10.5	-5.2	-50%		$9.30	$930.08	$881.32

ROI % from starting bank balance: -11.87% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

The Early Weigh In Podcast: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	May '21	Giga Chikadze	Cub Swanson	1.68	1.5	TKO, R1 (1:3)
2.	Apr '21	Randy Brown	Alex Oliveira	1.69	1	Sub, R1 (2:50)
3.	Apr '21	Danaa Batgerel	Kevin Natividad	1.57	2	TKO, R1 (0:50)
4.	Apr '21	Rose Namajunas	Weili Zhang	2.80	1	TKO, R1 (1:18)
5.	Apr '21	Austin Hubbard	Dakota Bush	1.53	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Apr '21	Luis Pena	Alex Munoz	1.69	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Apr '21	Andrei Arlovski	Chase Sherman	1.87	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Apr '21	Joe Solecki	Jim Miller	1.43	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Apr '21	Da Un Jung	William Knight	1.85	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Mar '21	Jamie Mullarkey	Khama Worthy	2.12	1	TKO, R1 (0:46)
11.	Mar '21	Dan Ige	Gavin Tucker	1.80	1.5	TKO, R1 (0:22)
12.	Mar '21	Kennedy Nzechukwu	Carlos Ulberg	3.10	0.5	TKO, R2 (3:19)
13.	Mar '21	Tim Elliott	Jordan Espinosa	2.05	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Mar '21	Askar Askarov	Joseph Benavidez	1.83	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Mar '21	Dominick Cruz	Casey Kenney	2.18	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Mar '21	Aleksandar Rakic	Thiago Santos	1.65	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Feb '21	Gabriel Green	Phil Rowe	1.82	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Feb '21	Polyana Viana	Mallory Martin	2.20	0.5	Sub, R1 (3:18)
19.	Feb '21	Seung Woo Choi	Youssef Zalal	3.00	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Feb '21	Beneil Dariush	Carlos Diego Ferreira	2.00	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	May '21	Randa Markos	Luana Pinheiro	2.50	0.5		No
2.	May '21	Luke Sanders	Felipe Colares	1.72	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	May '21	KB Bhular	Andreas Michailidis	3.10	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	May '21	Dominick Reyes	Jiri Prochazka	2.25	2	TKO, R2 (4:29)	No
5.	Apr '21	Bartosz Fabinski	Gerald Meerschaert	1.87	2	Sub, R1 (2:0)	No
6.	Apr '21	Ignacio Bahamondes	John Makdessi	1.54	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Apr '21	Mike Perry	Daniel Rodriguez	2.40	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Mar '21	Stipe Miocic	Francis Ngannou	2.07	1	TKO, R2 (0:52)	No
9.	Mar '21	Roman Dolidze	Trevin Giles	1.91	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Mar '21	Ashley Yoder	Angela Hill	4.30	0.3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Mar '21	Manel Kape	Matheus Nicolau	1.80	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Mar '21	Jason Witt	Matt Semelsberger	2.10	1	TKO, R1 (0:16)	No
13.	Mar '21	Misha Cirkunov	Ryan Spann	1.83	1	TKO, R1 (1:11)	No
14.	Mar '21	Petr Yan	Aljamain Sterling	1.87	1		No
15.	Mar '21	Petr Yan	Aljamain Sterling	1.91	1.5		No
16.	Feb '21	Jimmie Rivera	Pedro Munhoz	1.71	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Feb '21	Danny Chavez	Jared Gordon	1.74	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Feb '21	Nate Landwehr	Julian Erosa	1.95	1	TKO, R1 (0:56)	No
19.	Feb '21	Ian Heinisch	Kelvin Gastelum	2.90	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Jan '21	Antonio Carlos Junior	Brad Tavares	2.10	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

The Early Weigh In Podcast: Progress Chart

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