MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 3119
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 1181

MMA Handicapper Stats: The Early Weigh In Podcast

The Early Weigh In Podcast (TEWIP)

MMA MHandicapper - The Early Weigh In Podcast

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	90 (49%)	Right	40 (56%)	Right	40 (42%)	Right	10 (59%)
Wrong	94 (51%)	Wrong	32 (44%)	Wrong	55 (58%)	Wrong	7 (41%)
Avg Odds	2.21	Avg Odds	1.93	Avg Odds	2.46	Avg Odds	2.36
Units Bet	211.8	Units Bet	99.3	Units Bet	91.0	Units Bet	21.5
Avg Bet	1.15	Avg Bet	1.38	Avg Bet	0.96	Avg Bet	1.26
Units Profit	10.68	Units Profit	4.10	Units Profit	1.44	Units Profit	5.14
ROI %	5%	ROI %	4%	ROI %	2%	ROI %	24%

The Early Weigh In Podcast: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
28th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 186	7.5	-7.5	-100%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
20th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 185	11.3	-7.0	-62%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-3.8 / 4.8 (-79%)	-1.2 / 4.5 (-26%)
14th Feb '21	UFC 258	5.8	1.8	31%	0.9 / 2 (46%)	-0.4 / 2.8 (-15%)	1.3 / 1 (129%)
6th Feb '21	UFC FN	7.95	3.3	42%	3.5 / 3.3 (106%)	-1.2 / 3.45 (-35%)	1.0 / 1.2 (84%)
24th Jan '21	UFC 257	13.44	-10.4	-78%	-9.2 / 11.2 (-82%)	0.0 / 1 (1%)	-1.2 / 1.24 (-100%)
20th Jan '21	UFC on ESPN 20	12.85	-1.3	-10%	-0.6 / 5.45 (-11%)	-1.7 / 5.62 (-31%)	1.0 / 1.78 (56%)
16th Jan '21	UFC FN	10.15	-3.1	-31%	-0.1 / 5 (-1%)	-4.2 / 4.15 (-100%)	1.1 / 1 (111%)
19th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 17	9.96	0.2	2%	0.1 / 7.71 (1%)	0.1 / 2.25 (4%)
13th Dec '20	UFC 256	11.55	4.5	39%	-0.0 / 6.05 (-1%)	3.6 / 4.5 (79%)	1.0 / 1 (98%)
6th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 16	7.7	6.4	84%	1.0 / 3.13 (32%)	3.5 / 3.1 (111%)	2.0 / 1.47 (136%)
29th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 15	6.2	-1.3	-21%	-0.6 / 3 (-21%)	0.8 / 1.7 (47%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
21st Nov '20	UFC 255	7	1.5	22%	1.9 / 2 (93%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	2.7 / 2 (133%)
14th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 14	7.75	-1.8	-23%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	0.2 / 5.75 (3%)
8th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 13	8.8	1.2	13%	2.8 / 5 (56%)	0.6 / 1.6 (36%)	-2.2 / 2.2 (-100%)
31st Oct '20	UFC Vegas 12	10.5	10.9	103%	2.8 / 4 (69%)	6.6 / 6.25 (105%)	1.5 / 0.25 (607%)
24th Oct '20	UFC 254	9.2	7.4	80%	4.0 / 5 (80%)	2.4 / 3.2 (76%)	1.0 / 1 (97%)
17th Oct '20	UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie	10.16	-10.2	-100%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	-4.9 / 4.85 (-100%)	-1.3 / 1.31 (-100%)
10th Oct '20	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	10.7	-3.0	-28%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-1.5 / 9.2 (-16%)
4th Oct '20	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	7.5	4.6	61%	5.6 / 6.5 (86%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
26th Sep '20	UFC 253	2	-2.0	-100%		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
19th Sep '20	UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley	7.8	6.8	87%	0.7 / 1 (71%)	6.1 / 6.8 (90%)
12th Sep '20	UFC Fight Night 184	3	0.4	13%		0.4 / 3 (13%)
5th Sep '20	UFC Fight Night 183	4.5	3.5	78%	3.1 / 3 (103%)	0.4 / 1.5 (27%)
29th Aug '20	UFC Fight Night 182	3	3.4	113%	1.1 / 1 (115%)	2.2 / 2 (111%)
15th Aug '20	UFC 252	5	-0.7	-14%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	1.3 / 3 (43%)
8th Aug '20	UFC Vegas 6	4	2.0	50%	2.0 / 4 (50%)
1st Aug '20	UFC Vegas 5	4	-0.2	-5%	-1.7 / 3 (-58%)	1.5 / 1 (155%)
25th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 3	6	1.4	23%	-0.1 / 5 (-1%)	1.5 / 1 (147%)

Winning Events: 16 (57%)
Losing Events: 12 (43%)

Average Staked Per Event: 7.69 units
Most Staked On One Event: 13.44 units
Best Event: 10.86 units
Worst Event: -10.43 units
Average Event: 0.38 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 19.42
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -14.87

The Early Weigh In Podcast: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	68.99	-24.2	-35%	-8.9 / 30.45 (-29%)	-17.3 / 27.82 (-62%)	2.0 / 10.72 (19%)	2 / 5 (29%)	-3.46
2020	146.32	34.9	24%	13.0 / 68.89 (19%)	18.7 / 66.7 (28%)	3.1 / 10.73 (29%)	14 / 7 (67%)	1.66

The Early Weigh In Podcast: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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The Early Weigh In Podcast: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	215.31	10.7	5%	4.1 / 99.34 (4%)	1.4 / 94.52 (2%)	5.1 / 21.45 (24%)

The Early Weigh In Podcast: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	3 (4%)	2	67 %	7.00	-4.29	-1.43	-61%
Slight Favorites	44 (60%)	25	57 %	67.64	2.59	0.06	4%
Slight Underdogs	19 (26%)	11	58 %	21.50	4.35	0.23	20%
Big Underdogs	7 (10%)	3	43 %	3.20	1.45	0.21	45%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	9 (12%)	4	44 %	16.85	-4.52	-0.50	-27%
Co-Main Event	8 (11%)	4	50 %	14.25	-0.45	-0.06	-3%
Position 3-5	20 (27%)	11	55 %	27.89	2.49	0.12	9%
6+ (Undercard)	36 (49%)	22	61 %	40.35	6.57	0.18	16%

The Early Weigh In Podcast: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	4 (5%)	1	25 %	4.64	-2.26	-0.56	-49%
Light Heavy	6 (8%)	4	67 %	7.98	1.50	0.25	19%
Middleweight	8 (11%)	3	38 %	10.00	0.19	0.02	2%
Welterweight	10 (14%)	9	90 %	13.02	9.33	0.93	72%
Lightweight	11 (15%)	5	45 %	19.70	-6.92	-0.63	-35%
Featherweight	9 (12%)	6	67 %	11.55	2.49	0.28	22%
Bantamweight	8 (11%)	3	38 %	10.40	-3.75	-0.47	-36%
Flyweight	4 (5%)	2	50 %	5.55	-1.25	-0.31	-23%

Women's Fights	13 (18%)	8	62 %	16.50	4.76	0.37	29%
Bantamweight	5 (7%)	3	60 %	8.00	1.04	0.21	13%
Flyweight	3 (4%)	1	33 %	2.00	-0.40	-0.13	-20%
Strawweight	5 (7%)	4	80 %	6.50	4.13	0.83	63%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	28 (67%)	22	79 %
Slight Favorites	14 (33%)	11	79 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	42	33	79 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	9 (9%)	3	33 %
50-65%	25 (26%)	14	56 %
35-50%	31 (32%)	16	52 %
<35% chance	33 (34%)	7	21 %
	98	40	41 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	5 (5%)	2	40 %	1.69	1.80	1.50	-1.4 (-28%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	30 (31%)	13	43 %	2.19	3.20	1.59	-3.6 (-12%)
Does not go to Decision	10 (10%)	4	40 %	1.62	4.20	1.22	-3.1 (-31%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	1 (1%)	0	0 %	1.50	1.50	1.50	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	13 (13%)	4	31 %	2.92	15.00	1.67	-2.8 (-21%)
X Wins by Sub	4 (4%)	0	0 %	5.85	10.50	3.75	-4.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	8 (8%)	3	38 %	3.10	7.50	1.91	-1.9 (-24%)
X Wins Inside Distance	21 (21%)	12	57 %	2.53	13.00	1.48	10.5 (50%)
X Wins in Round X	3 (3%)	1	33 %	10.41	21.00	5.75	2.8 (92%)
Others	3 (3%)	1	33 %	2.73	5.25	2.15	4.2 (142%)
	98	40	41 %	2.40			-0.4 (-0%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail The Early Weigh In Podcast's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
25th Jul	UFC Fight Island 3	6	1.4	23%	$15	$10.00	$1,000.00	$998.96
1st Aug	UFC Vegas 5	4	-0.2	-5%	$15	$9.99	$998.96	$982.13
8th Aug	UFC Vegas 6	4	2.0	50%	$15	$9.82	$982.13	$986.66
15th Aug	UFC 252	5	-0.7	-14%	$15	$9.87	$986.66	$964.76
29th Aug	UFC Fight Night 182	3	3.4	113%	$15	$9.65	$964.76	$982.36
5th Sep	UFC Fight Night 183	4.5	3.5	78%	$15	$9.82	$982.36	$1,001.72
12th Sep	UFC Fight Night 184	3	0.4	13%	$15	$10.02	$1,001.72	$990.52
19th Sep	UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley	7.8	6.8	87%	$15	$9.91	$990.52	$1,043.01
26th Sep	UFC 253	2	-2.0	-100%		$10.43	$1,043.01	$1,022.15
4th Oct	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	7.5	4.6	61%	$15	$10.22	$1,022.15	$1,054.01
10th Oct	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	10.7	-3.0	-28%		$10.54	$1,054.01	$1,022.28
17th Oct	UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie	10.16	-10.2	-100%	$15	$10.22	$1,022.28	$903.41
24th Oct	UFC 254	9.2	7.4	80%	$15	$9.03	$903.41	$955.03
31st Oct	UFC Vegas 12	10.5	10.9	103%		$9.55	$955.03	$1,058.77
8th Nov	UFC Vegas 13	8.8	1.2	13%	$15	$10.59	$1,058.77	$1,056.32
14th Nov	UFC Vegas 14	7.75	-1.8	-23%		$10.56	$1,056.32	$1,037.17
21st Nov	UFC 255	7	1.5	22%	$15	$10.37	$1,037.17	$1,037.91
29th Nov	UFC Vegas 15	6.2	-1.3	-21%		$10.38	$1,037.91	$1,024.21
6th Dec	UFC Vegas 16	7.7	6.4	84%	$15	$10.24	$1,024.21	$1,075.25
13th Dec	UFC 256	11.55	4.5	39%		$10.75	$1,075.25	$1,123.83
19th Dec	UFC Vegas 17	9.96	0.2	2%		$11.24	$1,123.83	$1,125.60
16th Jan	UFC FN	10.15	-3.1	-31%		$11.26	$1,125.60	$1,090.70
20th Jan	UFC on ESPN 20	12.85	-1.3	-10%		$10.91	$1,090.70	$1,076.04
24th Jan	UFC 257	13.44	-10.4	-78%		$10.76	$1,076.04	$963.81
6th Feb	UFC FN	7.95	3.3	42%		$9.64	$963.81	$995.74
14th Feb	UFC 258	5.8	1.8	31%		$9.96	$995.74	$1,013.56
20th Feb	UFC Fight Night 185	11.3	-7.0	-62%		$10.14	$1,013.56	$943.00
28th Feb	UFC Fight Night 186	7.5	-7.5	-100%		$9.43	$943.00	$872.28

ROI % from starting bank balance: -12.77% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

The Early Weigh In Podcast: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Feb '21	Gabriel Green	Phil Rowe	1.82	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Feb '21	Polyana Viana	Mallory Martin	2.20	0.5	Sub, R1 (3:18)
3.	Feb '21	Seung Woo Choi	Youssef Zalal	3.00	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Feb '21	Beneil Dariush	Carlos Diego Ferreira	2.00	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Feb '21	Alexandre Pantoja	Manel Kape	1.77	1.3	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Jan '21	Amir Albazi	Zhalgas Zhumagulov	2.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Jan '21	Mike Davis	Mason Jones	1.67	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Jan '21	Dalcha Lungiambula	Markus Perez	1.74	1.35	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Jan '21	Max Holloway	Calvin Kattar	1.65	3	U Decision (5 rounds)
10.	Dec '20	Michel Pereira	Kalinn Williams	1.85	1.17	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Dec '20	Stephen Thompson	Geoff Neal	2.03	1.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
12.	Dec '20	Jose Aldo	Marlon Vera	1.70	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Dec '20	Rafael Fiziev	Renato Moicano	1.80	1.25	TKO, R1 (4:5)
14.	Dec '20	Cub Swanson	Daniel Pineda	2.45	0.5	TKO, R2 (1:52)
15.	Dec '20	Rafael Fiziev	Renato Moicano	1.69	1.5	TKO, R1 (4:5)
16.	Dec '20	Roman Dolidze	John Allan	1.57	2.63	Split Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Nov '20	Nathan Maness	Luke Sanders	2.38	1	Sub, R2 (2:29)
18.	Nov '20	Katlyn Chookagian	Cynthia Calvillo	3.20	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Nov '20	Tim Means	Mike Perry	2.25	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Nov '20	Glover Teixeira	Thiago Santos	3.10	0.5	Sub, R3 (1:49)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Feb '21	Jimmie Rivera	Pedro Munhoz	1.71	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Feb '21	Danny Chavez	Jared Gordon	1.74	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Feb '21	Nate Landwehr	Julian Erosa	1.95	1	TKO, R1 (0:56)	No
4.	Feb '21	Ian Heinisch	Kelvin Gastelum	2.90	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Jan '21	Antonio Carlos Junior	Brad Tavares	2.10	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Jan '21	Sara McMann	Julianna Pena	1.83	1	Sub, R3 (3:39)	No
7.	Jan '21	Matt Frevola	Arman Tsarukyan	6.00	0.2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Jan '21	Daniel Hooker	Michael Chandler	1.77	3	TKO, R1 (2:30)	No
9.	Jan '21	Conor McGregor	Dustin Poirier	1.36	5	TKO, R2 (2:32)	No
10.	Jan '21	Neil Magny	Michael Chiesa	1.74	1.35	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
11.	Jan '21	Tyson Nam	Matt Schnell	1.80	1.25	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Jan '21	Yanan Wu	Joselyne Edwards	1.96	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Dec '20	Gillian Robertson	Taila Santos	1.98	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Dec '20	Greg Hardy	Marcin Tybura	1.88	1.14	TKO, R2 (4:31)	No
15.	Dec '20	Marlon Moraes	Rob Font	1.71	1.4	TKO, R1 (3:47)	No
16.	Dec '20	Billy Quarantillo	Gavin Tucker	1.65	1.55	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Dec '20	Tony Ferguson	Charles Oliveira	1.62	1.25	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Dec '20	Ovince St Preux	Jamahal Hill	2.70	0.5	TKO, R2 (3:37)	No
19.	Nov '20	Devin Clark	Anthony Smith	2.18	2	Sub, R1 (2:34)	No
20.	Nov '20	Jordan Wright	Joaquin Buckley	3.00	0.5	TKO, R2 (0:18)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

The Early Weigh In Podcast: Progress Chart

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