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MMA Handicapper Stats: The Early Weigh In Podcast

The Early Weigh In Podcast (TEWIP)


MMA MHandicapper - The Early Weigh In Podcast

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 120 (50%) Right 56 (55%) Right 51 (46%) Right 13 (48%)
Wrong 121 (50%) Wrong 46 (45%) Wrong 61 (54%) Wrong 14 (52%)
Avg Odds 2.19 Avg Odds 1.94 Avg Odds 2.44 Avg Odds 2.32
Units Bet 285.4 Units Bet 139.1 Units Bet 110.5 Units Bet 35.7
Avg Bet 1.18 Avg Bet 1.36 Avg Bet 0.99 Avg Bet 1.32
Units Profit 12.19 Units Profit 4.94 Units Profit 9.39 Units Profit -2.14
ROI % 4% ROI % 4% ROI % 8% ROI % -6%
View Handicapper's Profile

The Early Weigh In Podcast: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
1st May '21 UFC FN 10.5 -5.2 -50% -3.5 / 6 (-58%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -1.3 / 4 (-31%)
24th Apr '21 UFC 261 8.5 7.2 85% 3.6 / 4 (91%) 4.6 / 3.5 (130%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
17th Apr '21 UFC FN 10 -1.9 -19% 0.3 / 5.5 (6%) 0.8 / 1.5 (50%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
10th Apr '21 UFC FN 10 0.4 4% -0.1 / 6.5 (-2%) 0.5 / 3.5 (14%)
28th Mar '21 UFC 260 8 -0.1 -2% 0.1 / 2 (6%) -0.3 / 6 (-4%)
21st Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 188 6.5 1.4 22% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 2.7 / 3 (92%) 0.2 / 2 (9%)
13th Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 187 8.3 -2.6 -31% -2.1 / 4.8 (-44%) -1.0 / 2 (-50%) 0.5 / 1.5 (36%)
6th Mar '21 UFC 259 12.75 2.4 19% 4.0 / 9.5 (42%) 1.2 / 0.5 (230%) -2.8 / 2.75 (-100%)
28th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 186 7.5 -7.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 11.3 -7.0 -62% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -3.8 / 4.8 (-79%) -1.2 / 4.5 (-26%)
14th Feb '21 UFC 258 5.8 1.8 31% 0.9 / 2 (46%) -0.4 / 2.8 (-15%) 1.3 / 1 (129%)
6th Feb '21 UFC FN 7.95 3.3 42% 3.5 / 3.3 (106%) -1.2 / 3.45 (-35%) 1.0 / 1.2 (84%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 13.44 -10.4 -78% -9.2 / 11.2 (-82%) 0.0 / 1 (1%) -1.2 / 1.24 (-100%)
20th Jan '21 UFC on ESPN 20 12.85 -1.3 -10% -0.6 / 5.45 (-11%) -1.7 / 5.62 (-31%) 1.0 / 1.78 (56%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 10.15 -3.1 -31% -0.1 / 5 (-1%) -4.2 / 4.15 (-100%) 1.1 / 1 (111%)
19th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 17 9.96 0.2 2% 0.1 / 7.71 (1%) 0.1 / 2.25 (4%)
13th Dec '20 UFC 256 11.55 4.5 39% -0.0 / 6.05 (-1%) 3.6 / 4.5 (79%) 1.0 / 1 (98%)
6th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 16 7.7 6.4 84% 1.0 / 3.13 (32%) 3.5 / 3.1 (111%) 2.0 / 1.47 (136%)
29th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 15 6.2 -1.3 -21% -0.6 / 3 (-21%) 0.8 / 1.7 (47%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
21st Nov '20 UFC 255 7 1.5 22% 1.9 / 2 (93%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 2.7 / 2 (133%)
14th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 14 7.75 -1.8 -23% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 0.2 / 5.75 (3%)
8th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 13 8.8 1.2 13% 2.8 / 5 (56%) 0.6 / 1.6 (36%) -2.2 / 2.2 (-100%)
31st Oct '20 UFC Vegas 12 10.5 10.9 103% 2.8 / 4 (69%) 6.6 / 6.25 (105%) 1.5 / 0.25 (607%)
24th Oct '20 UFC 254 9.2 7.4 80% 4.0 / 5 (80%) 2.4 / 3.2 (76%) 1.0 / 1 (97%)
17th Oct '20 UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 10.16 -10.2 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) -4.9 / 4.85 (-100%) -1.3 / 1.31 (-100%)
10th Oct '20 UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 10.7 -3.0 -28% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -1.5 / 9.2 (-16%)
4th Oct '20 UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 7.5 4.6 61% 5.6 / 6.5 (86%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
26th Sep '20 UFC 253 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
19th Sep '20 UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 7.8 6.8 87% 0.7 / 1 (71%) 6.1 / 6.8 (90%)
12th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 184 3 0.4 13% 0.4 / 3 (13%)
5th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 183 4.5 3.5 78% 3.1 / 3 (103%) 0.4 / 1.5 (27%)
29th Aug '20 UFC Fight Night 182 3 3.4 113% 1.1 / 1 (115%) 2.2 / 2 (111%)
15th Aug '20 UFC 252 5 -0.7 -14% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 1.3 / 3 (43%)
8th Aug '20 UFC Vegas 6 4 2.0 50% 2.0 / 4 (50%)
1st Aug '20 UFC Vegas 5 4 -0.2 -5% -1.7 / 3 (-58%) 1.5 / 1 (155%)
25th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 3 6 1.4 23% -0.1 / 5 (-1%) 1.5 / 1 (147%)


Winning Events: 20 (56%)
Losing Events: 16 (44%)

Average Staked Per Event: 8.05 units
Most Staked On One Event: 13.44 units
Best Event: 10.86 units
Worst Event: -10.43 units
Average Event: 0.34 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 19.42
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -14.87

The Early Weigh In Podcast: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 143.54 -22.7 -16% -8.1 / 70.25 (-12%) -9.4 / 48.32 (-19%) -5.3 / 24.97 (-21%) 6 / 9 (40%) -1.51
2020 146.32 34.9 24% 13.0 / 68.89 (19%) 18.7 / 66.7 (28%) 3.1 / 10.73 (29%) 14 / 7 (67%) 1.66

The Early Weigh In Podcast: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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The Early Weigh In Podcast: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 289.86 12.2 4% 4.9 / 139.14 (4%) 9.4 / 115.02 (8%) -2.1 / 35.7 (-6%)

The Early Weigh In Podcast: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 6 (6%) 4 67 % 12.50 -3.91 -0.65 -31%
Slight Favorites 60 (58%) 34 57 % 91.14 3.15 0.05 3%
Slight Underdogs 28 (27%) 15 54 % 31.00 4.00 0.14 13%
Big Underdogs 10 (10%) 4 40 % 4.50 1.70 0.17 38%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 11 (11%) 4 36 % 19.85 -7.52 -0.68 -38%
Co-Main Event 12 (12%) 7 58 % 18.75 2.24 0.19 12%
Position 3-5 28 (27%) 15 54 % 38.89 2.94 0.10 8%
6+ (Undercard) 53 (51%) 31 58 % 61.65 7.28 0.14 12%

The Early Weigh In Podcast: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 6 (6%) 2 33 % 6.64 -2.39 -0.40 -36%
Light Heavy 11 (11%) 7 64 % 15.98 2.75 0.25 17%
Middleweight 11 (11%) 3 27 % 14.00 -3.81 -0.35 -27%
Welterweight 13 (13%) 10 77 % 16.02 8.02 0.62 50%
Lightweight 16 (15%) 9 56 % 27.20 -4.73 -0.30 -17%
Featherweight 11 (11%) 8 73 % 14.55 4.71 0.43 32%
Bantamweight 13 (13%) 5 38 % 17.40 -5.43 -0.42 -31%
Flyweight 7 (7%) 4 57 % 9.05 0.05 0.01 1%
               
Women's Fights 16 (15%) 9 56 % 18.30 5.76 0.36 31%
Bantamweight 5 (5%) 3 60 % 8.00 1.04 0.21 13%
Flyweight 3 (3%) 1 33 % 2.00 -0.40 -0.13 -20%
Strawweight 8 (8%) 5 63 % 8.30 5.13 0.64 62%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 45 (69%) 33 73 %
Slight Favorites 19 (29%) 14 74 %
Slight Underdogs 1 (2%) 1 100 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
65 48 74 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 10 (9%) 3 30 %
50-65% 31 (27%) 18 58 %
35-50% 38 (33%) 21 55 %
<35% chance 37 (32%) 8 22 %
116 50 43 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 5 (4%) 2 40 % 1.69 1.80Pick was correct 1.50Pick was incorrect -1.4 (-28%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 39 (34%) 18 46 % 2.22 3.40Pick was incorrect 1.59Pick was correct -0.1 (-0%)
Does not go to Decision 15 (13%) 7 47 % 1.71 4.20Pick was incorrect 1.22Pick was correct -1.3 (-8%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 1 (1%) 0 0 % 1.50 1.50Pick was incorrect 1.50Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 13 (11%) 4 31 % 2.92 15.00Pick was incorrect 1.67Pick was incorrect -2.8 (-21%)
X Wins by Sub 4 (3%) 0 0 % 5.85 10.50Pick was incorrect 3.75Pick was incorrect -4.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 9 (8%) 4 44 % 2.98 7.50Pick was incorrect 1.91Pick was correct -0.7 (-8%)
X Wins Inside Distance 24 (21%) 13 54 % 2.61 13.00Pick was incorrect 1.48Pick was correct 9.4 (39%)
X Wins in Round X 3 (3%) 1 33 % 10.41 21.00Pick was incorrect 5.75Pick was correct 2.8 (92%)
Others 3 (3%) 1 33 % 2.73 5.25Pick was correct 2.15Pick was incorrect 4.2 (142%)
116 50 43 % 2.38     5.2 (4%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail The Early Weigh In Podcast's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
25th Jul UFC Fight Island 3 6 1.4 23% $15 $10.00 $1,000.00 $998.96
1st Aug UFC Vegas 5 4 -0.2 -5% $15 $9.99 $998.96 $982.13
8th Aug UFC Vegas 6 4 2.0 50% $15 $9.82 $982.13 $986.66
15th Aug UFC 252 5 -0.7 -14% $15 $9.87 $986.66 $964.76
29th Aug UFC Fight Night 182 3 3.4 113% $15 $9.65 $964.76 $982.36
5th Sep UFC Fight Night 183 4.5 3.5 78% $15 $9.82 $982.36 $1,001.72
12th Sep UFC Fight Night 184 3 0.4 13% $15 $10.02 $1,001.72 $990.52
19th Sep UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 7.8 6.8 87% $15 $9.91 $990.52 $1,043.01
26th Sep UFC 253 2 -2.0 -100% $10.43 $1,043.01 $1,022.15
4th Oct UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 7.5 4.6 61% $15 $10.22 $1,022.15 $1,054.01
10th Oct UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 10.7 -3.0 -28% $10.54 $1,054.01 $1,022.28
17th Oct UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 10.16 -10.2 -100% $15 $10.22 $1,022.28 $903.41
24th Oct UFC 254 9.2 7.4 80% $15 $9.03 $903.41 $955.03
31st Oct UFC Vegas 12 10.5 10.9 103% $9.55 $955.03 $1,058.77
8th Nov UFC Vegas 13 8.8 1.2 13% $15 $10.59 $1,058.77 $1,056.32
14th Nov UFC Vegas 14 7.75 -1.8 -23% $10.56 $1,056.32 $1,037.17
21st Nov UFC 255 7 1.5 22% $15 $10.37 $1,037.17 $1,037.91
29th Nov UFC Vegas 15 6.2 -1.3 -21% $10.38 $1,037.91 $1,024.21
6th Dec UFC Vegas 16 7.7 6.4 84% $15 $10.24 $1,024.21 $1,075.25
13th Dec UFC 256 11.55 4.5 39% $10.75 $1,075.25 $1,123.83
19th Dec UFC Vegas 17 9.96 0.2 2% $11.24 $1,123.83 $1,125.60
16th Jan UFC FN 10.15 -3.1 -31% $11.26 $1,125.60 $1,090.70
20th Jan UFC on ESPN 20 12.85 -1.3 -10% $10.91 $1,090.70 $1,076.04
24th Jan UFC 257 13.44 -10.4 -78% $10.76 $1,076.04 $963.81
6th Feb UFC FN 7.95 3.3 42% $9.64 $963.81 $995.74
14th Feb UFC 258 5.8 1.8 31% $9.96 $995.74 $1,013.56
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 11.3 -7.0 -62% $10.14 $1,013.56 $943.00
28th Feb UFC Fight Night 186 7.5 -7.5 -100% $9.43 $943.00 $872.28
6th Mar UFC 259 12.75 2.4 19% $8.72 $872.28 $892.91
13th Mar UFC Fight Night 187 8.3 -2.6 -31% $8.93 $892.91 $870.12
21st Mar UFC Fight Night 188 6.5 1.4 22% $8.70 $870.12 $882.55
28th Mar UFC 260 8 -0.1 -2% $8.83 $882.55 $881.33
10th Apr UFC FN 10 0.4 4% $8.81 $881.33 $884.50
17th Apr UFC FN 10 -1.9 -19% $8.84 $884.50 $867.68
24th Apr UFC 261 8.5 7.2 85% $8.68 $867.68 $930.08
1st May UFC FN 10.5 -5.2 -50% $9.30 $930.08 $881.32


ROI % from starting bank balance: -11.87% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

The Early Weigh In Podcast: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. May '21 Giga Chikadze Cub Swanson 1.68 1.5 TKO, R1 (1:3) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '21 Randy Brown Alex Oliveira 1.69 1 Sub, R1 (2:50) MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '21 Danaa Batgerel Kevin Natividad 1.57 2 TKO, R1 (0:50) MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '21 Rose Namajunas Weili Zhang 2.80 1 TKO, R1 (1:18) MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '21 Austin Hubbard Dakota Bush 1.53 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '21 Luis Pena Alex Munoz 1.69 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '21 Andrei Arlovski Chase Sherman 1.87 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '21 Joe Solecki Jim Miller 1.43 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '21 Da Un Jung William Knight 1.85 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '21 Jamie Mullarkey Khama Worthy 2.12 1 TKO, R1 (0:46) MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '21 Dan Ige Gavin Tucker 1.80 1.5 TKO, R1 (0:22) MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '21 Kennedy Nzechukwu Carlos Ulberg 3.10 0.5 TKO, R2 (3:19) MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '21 Tim Elliott Jordan Espinosa 2.05 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '21 Askar Askarov Joseph Benavidez 1.83 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '21 Dominick Cruz Casey Kenney 2.18 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '21 Aleksandar Rakic Thiago Santos 1.65 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '21 Gabriel Green Phil Rowe 1.82 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Feb '21 Polyana Viana Mallory Martin 2.20 0.5 Sub, R1 (3:18) MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '21 Seung Woo Choi Youssef Zalal 3.00 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Feb '21 Beneil Dariush Carlos Diego Ferreira 2.00 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. May '21 Randa Markos Luana Pinheiro 2.50 0.5 No MMA Bookmaker
2. May '21 Luke Sanders Felipe Colares 1.72 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. May '21 KB Bhular Andreas Michailidis 3.10 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. May '21 Dominick Reyes Jiri Prochazka 2.25 2 TKO, R2 (4:29) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '21 Bartosz Fabinski Gerald Meerschaert 1.87 2 Sub, R1 (2:0) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '21 Ignacio Bahamondes John Makdessi 1.54 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '21 Mike Perry Daniel Rodriguez 2.40 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '21 Stipe Miocic Francis Ngannou 2.07 1 TKO, R2 (0:52) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '21 Roman Dolidze Trevin Giles 1.91 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '21 Ashley Yoder Angela Hill 4.30 0.3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '21 Manel Kape Matheus Nicolau 1.80 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '21 Jason Witt Matt Semelsberger 2.10 1 TKO, R1 (0:16) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '21 Misha Cirkunov Ryan Spann 1.83 1 TKO, R1 (1:11) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '21 Petr Yan Aljamain Sterling 1.87 1 No MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '21 Petr Yan Aljamain Sterling 1.91 1.5 No MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '21 Jimmie Rivera Pedro Munhoz 1.71 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '21 Danny Chavez Jared Gordon 1.74 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Feb '21 Nate Landwehr Julian Erosa 1.95 1 TKO, R1 (0:56) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '21 Ian Heinisch Kelvin Gastelum 2.90 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jan '21 Antonio Carlos Junior Brad Tavares 2.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

The Early Weigh In Podcast: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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