MMA Handicapper Stats: The Early Weigh In Podcast |
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The Early Weigh In Podcast: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
28th Feb '21 |
UFC Fight Night 186 |
7.5 |
-7.5 |
-100% |
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
-6.0 / 6 (-100%) |
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20th Feb '21 |
UFC Fight Night 185 |
11.3 |
-7.0 |
-62% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
-3.8 / 4.8 (-79%) |
-1.2 / 4.5 (-26%) |
14th Feb '21 |
UFC 258 |
5.8 |
1.8 |
31% |
0.9 / 2 (46%) |
-0.4 / 2.8 (-15%) |
1.3 / 1 (129%) |
6th Feb '21 |
UFC FN |
7.95 |
3.3 |
42% |
3.5 / 3.3 (106%) |
-1.2 / 3.45 (-35%) |
1.0 / 1.2 (84%) |
24th Jan '21 |
UFC 257 |
13.44 |
-10.4 |
-78% |
-9.2 / 11.2 (-82%) |
0.0 / 1 (1%) |
-1.2 / 1.24 (-100%) |
20th Jan '21 |
UFC on ESPN 20 |
12.85 |
-1.3 |
-10% |
-0.6 / 5.45 (-11%) |
-1.7 / 5.62 (-31%) |
1.0 / 1.78 (56%) |
16th Jan '21 |
UFC FN |
10.15 |
-3.1 |
-31% |
-0.1 / 5 (-1%) |
-4.2 / 4.15 (-100%) |
1.1 / 1 (111%) |
19th Dec '20 |
UFC Vegas 17 |
9.96 |
0.2 |
2% |
0.1 / 7.71 (1%) |
0.1 / 2.25 (4%) |
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13th Dec '20 |
UFC 256 |
11.55 |
4.5 |
39% |
-0.0 / 6.05 (-1%) |
3.6 / 4.5 (79%) |
1.0 / 1 (98%) |
6th Dec '20 |
UFC Vegas 16 |
7.7 |
6.4 |
84% |
1.0 / 3.13 (32%) |
3.5 / 3.1 (111%) |
2.0 / 1.47 (136%) |
29th Nov '20 |
UFC Vegas 15 |
6.2 |
-1.3 |
-21% |
-0.6 / 3 (-21%) |
0.8 / 1.7 (47%) |
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
21st Nov '20 |
UFC 255 |
7 |
1.5 |
22% |
1.9 / 2 (93%) |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
2.7 / 2 (133%) |
14th Nov '20 |
UFC Vegas 14 |
7.75 |
-1.8 |
-23% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
0.2 / 5.75 (3%) |
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8th Nov '20 |
UFC Vegas 13 |
8.8 |
1.2 |
13% |
2.8 / 5 (56%) |
0.6 / 1.6 (36%) |
-2.2 / 2.2 (-100%) |
31st Oct '20 |
UFC Vegas 12 |
10.5 |
10.9 |
103% |
2.8 / 4 (69%) |
6.6 / 6.25 (105%) |
1.5 / 0.25 (607%) |
24th Oct '20 |
UFC 254 |
9.2 |
7.4 |
80% |
4.0 / 5 (80%) |
2.4 / 3.2 (76%) |
1.0 / 1 (97%) |
17th Oct '20 |
UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie |
10.16 |
-10.2 |
-100% |
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
-4.9 / 4.85 (-100%) |
-1.3 / 1.31 (-100%) |
10th Oct '20 |
UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen |
10.7 |
-3.0 |
-28% |
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
-1.5 / 9.2 (-16%) |
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4th Oct '20 |
UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana |
7.5 |
4.6 |
61% |
5.6 / 6.5 (86%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
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26th Sep '20 |
UFC 253 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
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19th Sep '20 |
UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley |
7.8 |
6.8 |
87% |
0.7 / 1 (71%) |
6.1 / 6.8 (90%) |
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12th Sep '20 |
UFC Fight Night 184 |
3 |
0.4 |
13% |
|
0.4 / 3 (13%) |
|
5th Sep '20 |
UFC Fight Night 183 |
4.5 |
3.5 |
78% |
3.1 / 3 (103%) |
0.4 / 1.5 (27%) |
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29th Aug '20 |
UFC Fight Night 182 |
3 |
3.4 |
113% |
1.1 / 1 (115%) |
2.2 / 2 (111%) |
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15th Aug '20 |
UFC 252 |
5 |
-0.7 |
-14% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
1.3 / 3 (43%) |
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8th Aug '20 |
UFC Vegas 6 |
4 |
2.0 |
50% |
2.0 / 4 (50%) |
|
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1st Aug '20 |
UFC Vegas 5 |
4 |
-0.2 |
-5% |
-1.7 / 3 (-58%) |
1.5 / 1 (155%) |
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25th Jul '20 |
UFC Fight Island 3 |
6 |
1.4 |
23% |
-0.1 / 5 (-1%) |
1.5 / 1 (147%) |
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Winning Events: 16 (57%) Losing Events: 12 (43%)
Average Staked Per Event: 7.69 units Most Staked On One Event: 13.44 units Best Event: 10.86 units Worst Event: -10.43 units Average Event: 0.38 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 19.42 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -14.87 |
The Early Weigh In Podcast: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2021 |
68.99 |
-24.2 |
-35% |
-8.9 / 30.45 (-29%) |
-17.3 / 27.82 (-62%) |
2.0 / 10.72 (19%) |
2 / 5 (29%) |
-3.46 |
2020 |
146.32 |
34.9 |
24% |
13.0 / 68.89 (19%) |
18.7 / 66.7 (28%) |
3.1 / 10.73 (29%) |
14 / 7 (67%) |
1.66 |
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The Early Weigh In Podcast: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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The Early Weigh In Podcast: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
215.31 |
10.7 |
5% |
4.1 / 99.34 (4%) |
1.4 / 94.52 (2%) |
5.1 / 21.45 (24%) |
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The Early Weigh In Podcast: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
3 (4%) |
2 |
67 % |
7.00 |
-4.29 |
-1.43 |
-61% |
Slight Favorites |
44 (60%) |
25 |
57 % |
67.64 |
2.59 |
0.06 |
4% |
Slight Underdogs |
19 (26%) |
11 |
58 % |
21.50 |
4.35 |
0.23 |
20% |
Big Underdogs |
7 (10%) |
3 |
43 % |
3.20 |
1.45 |
0.21 |
45% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
9 (12%) |
4 |
44 % |
16.85 |
-4.52 |
-0.50 |
-27% |
Co-Main Event |
8 (11%) |
4 |
50 % |
14.25 |
-0.45 |
-0.06 |
-3% |
Position 3-5 |
20 (27%) |
11 |
55 % |
27.89 |
2.49 |
0.12 |
9% |
6+ (Undercard) |
36 (49%) |
22 |
61 % |
40.35 |
6.57 |
0.18 |
16% |
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The Early Weigh In Podcast: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
4 (5%) |
1 |
25 % |
4.64 |
-2.26 |
-0.56 |
-49% |
Light Heavy |
6 (8%) |
4 |
67 % |
7.98 |
1.50 |
0.25 |
19% |
Middleweight |
8 (11%) |
3 |
38 % |
10.00 |
0.19 |
0.02 |
2% |
Welterweight |
10 (14%) |
9 |
90 % |
13.02 |
9.33 |
0.93 |
72% |
Lightweight |
11 (15%) |
5 |
45 % |
19.70 |
-6.92 |
-0.63 |
-35% |
Featherweight |
9 (12%) |
6 |
67 % |
11.55 |
2.49 |
0.28 |
22% |
Bantamweight |
8 (11%) |
3 |
38 % |
10.40 |
-3.75 |
-0.47 |
-36% |
Flyweight |
4 (5%) |
2 |
50 % |
5.55 |
-1.25 |
-0.31 |
-23% |
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Women's Fights |
13 (18%) |
8 |
62 % |
16.50 |
4.76 |
0.37 |
29% |
Bantamweight |
5 (7%) |
3 |
60 % |
8.00 |
1.04 |
0.21 |
13% |
Flyweight |
3 (4%) |
1 |
33 % |
2.00 |
-0.40 |
-0.13 |
-20% |
Strawweight |
5 (7%) |
4 |
80 % |
6.50 |
4.13 |
0.83 |
63% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
28 (67%) |
22 |
79 % |
Slight Favorites |
14 (33%) |
11 |
79 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
42 |
33 |
79 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
9 (9%) |
3 |
33 % |
50-65% |
25 (26%) |
14 |
56 % |
35-50% |
31 (32%) |
16 |
52 % |
<35% chance |
33 (34%) |
7 |
21 % |
|
98 |
40 |
41 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail The Early Weigh In Podcast's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
25th Jul |
UFC Fight Island 3 |
6 |
1.4 |
23% |
$15 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$998.96 |
1st Aug |
UFC Vegas 5 |
4 |
-0.2 |
-5% |
$15 |
$9.99 |
$998.96 |
$982.13 |
8th Aug |
UFC Vegas 6 |
4 |
2.0 |
50% |
$15 |
$9.82 |
$982.13 |
$986.66 |
15th Aug |
UFC 252 |
5 |
-0.7 |
-14% |
$15 |
$9.87 |
$986.66 |
$964.76 |
29th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 182 |
3 |
3.4 |
113% |
$15 |
$9.65 |
$964.76 |
$982.36 |
5th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 183 |
4.5 |
3.5 |
78% |
$15 |
$9.82 |
$982.36 |
$1,001.72 |
12th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 184 |
3 |
0.4 |
13% |
$15 |
$10.02 |
$1,001.72 |
$990.52 |
19th Sep |
UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley |
7.8 |
6.8 |
87% |
$15 |
$9.91 |
$990.52 |
$1,043.01 |
26th Sep |
UFC 253 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.43 |
$1,043.01 |
$1,022.15 |
4th Oct |
UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana |
7.5 |
4.6 |
61% |
$15 |
$10.22 |
$1,022.15 |
$1,054.01 |
10th Oct |
UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen |
10.7 |
-3.0 |
-28% |
|
$10.54 |
$1,054.01 |
$1,022.28 |
17th Oct |
UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie |
10.16 |
-10.2 |
-100% |
$15 |
$10.22 |
$1,022.28 |
$903.41 |
24th Oct |
UFC 254 |
9.2 |
7.4 |
80% |
$15 |
$9.03 |
$903.41 |
$955.03 |
31st Oct |
UFC Vegas 12 |
10.5 |
10.9 |
103% |
|
$9.55 |
$955.03 |
$1,058.77 |
8th Nov |
UFC Vegas 13 |
8.8 |
1.2 |
13% |
$15 |
$10.59 |
$1,058.77 |
$1,056.32 |
14th Nov |
UFC Vegas 14 |
7.75 |
-1.8 |
-23% |
|
$10.56 |
$1,056.32 |
$1,037.17 |
21st Nov |
UFC 255 |
7 |
1.5 |
22% |
$15 |
$10.37 |
$1,037.17 |
$1,037.91 |
29th Nov |
UFC Vegas 15 |
6.2 |
-1.3 |
-21% |
|
$10.38 |
$1,037.91 |
$1,024.21 |
6th Dec |
UFC Vegas 16 |
7.7 |
6.4 |
84% |
$15 |
$10.24 |
$1,024.21 |
$1,075.25 |
13th Dec |
UFC 256 |
11.55 |
4.5 |
39% |
|
$10.75 |
$1,075.25 |
$1,123.83 |
19th Dec |
UFC Vegas 17 |
9.96 |
0.2 |
2% |
|
$11.24 |
$1,123.83 |
$1,125.60 |
16th Jan |
UFC FN |
10.15 |
-3.1 |
-31% |
|
$11.26 |
$1,125.60 |
$1,090.70 |
20th Jan |
UFC on ESPN 20 |
12.85 |
-1.3 |
-10% |
|
$10.91 |
$1,090.70 |
$1,076.04 |
24th Jan |
UFC 257 |
13.44 |
-10.4 |
-78% |
|
$10.76 |
$1,076.04 |
$963.81 |
6th Feb |
UFC FN |
7.95 |
3.3 |
42% |
|
$9.64 |
$963.81 |
$995.74 |
14th Feb |
UFC 258 |
5.8 |
1.8 |
31% |
|
$9.96 |
$995.74 |
$1,013.56 |
20th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 185 |
11.3 |
-7.0 |
-62% |
|
$10.14 |
$1,013.56 |
$943.00 |
28th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 186 |
7.5 |
-7.5 |
-100% |
|
$9.43 |
$943.00 |
$872.28 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -12.77% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
The Early Weigh In Podcast: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
The Early Weigh In Podcast: Progress Chart |
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