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MMA Handicapper Stats: Mixed Martial Bets

Mixed Martial Bets (CpfeilJ)

MMA MHandicapper - Mixed Martial Bets

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 93 (42%) Right 42 (50%) Right 40 (40%) Right 11 (27%)
Wrong 131 (58%) Wrong 42 (50%) Wrong 59 (60%) Wrong 30 (73%)
Avg Odds 2.41 Avg Odds 2.02 Avg Odds 2.69 Avg Odds 2.82
Units Bet 265.3 Units Bet 128.7 Units Bet 92.3 Units Bet 44.3
Avg Bet 1.18 Avg Bet 1.53 Avg Bet 0.93 Avg Bet 1.08
Units Profit 23.42 Units Profit 16.98 Units Profit 13.96 Units Profit -7.52
ROI % 9% ROI % 13% ROI % 15% ROI % -17%
View Handicapper's Profile

Mixed Martial Bets: Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
17th Feb '24 UFC 298 22 2.2 10% 0.8 / 10.2 (7%) 1.4 / 7.8 (18%) 0.0 / 4 (1%)
20th Jan '24 UFC 297 8.66 1.6 19% 3.8 / 6.46 (59%) -2.2 / 2.2 (-100%)
24th Nov '23 PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship 2.2 2.0 91% 2.0 / 2.2 (91%)
18th Nov '23 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 8.31 -0.7 -9% 0.5 / 6.11 (8%) -1.2 / 2.2 (-55%)
17th Nov '23 Bellator 301 3.1 2.0 65% 2.0 / 3.1 (65%)
11th Nov '23 UFC 295 8.71 3.0 34% 4.2 / 7.56 (55%) -1.2 / 1.15 (-100%)
21st Oct '23 UFC 294 5.93 -2.1 -36% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -0.5 / 4.35 (-13%) -1.1 / 1.08 (-100%)
14th Oct '23 UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza 7.5 0.3 4% 0.0 / 4.4 (0%) 0.3 / 3.1 (10%)
14th Oct '23 KSW 87 2.1 -0.9 -40% -0.9 / 2.1 (-40%)
23rd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 14.75 -0.8 -5% -0.6 / 5.5 (-11%) -0.2 / 9.25 (-2%)
23rd Sep '23 Bellator 299 2.81 -2.8 -100% -2.8 / 2.81 (-100%)
17th Oct '20 UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 3.75 -1.2 -32% -0.2 / 2.75 (-7%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
4th Oct '20 UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 8.5 -3.6 -43% -1.1 / 1.14 (-100%) -1.2 / 6.09 (-20%) -1.3 / 1.27 (-100%)
26th Sep '20 UFC 253 20.815 -7.0 -34% -4.1 / 9.45 (-43%) 2.2 / 4.21 (52%) -5.1 / 7.155 (-71%)
19th Sep '20 UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 9.86 -3.0 -31% -2.5 / 2.49 (-100%) -1.4 / 6.17 (-23%) 0.9 / 1.2 (74%)
12th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 184 7.38 -5.0 -68% -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%) -1.6 / 4 (-41%) -1.1 / 1.13 (-100%)
11th Sep '20 Bellator 245 1.2 -1.2 -100% -1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)
5th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 183 10.82 2.9 27% -1.1 / 5.32 (-21%) 4.4 / 5.1 (86%) -0.4 / 0.4 (-100%)
29th Aug '20 UFC Fight Night 182 1 0.5 49% 0.5 / 1 (49%)
22nd Aug '20 UFC Vegas 7 12 -0.9 -8% 5.6 / 5.5 (101%) -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
21st Aug '20 Bellator 244 10 10.6 106% 10.6 / 10 (106%)
15th Aug '20 UFC 252 13.6 2.7 20% 3.9 / 5.5 (71%) 0.4 / 5.55 (7%) -1.6 / 2.55 (-63%)
12th Aug '20 DWCS 28 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
8th Aug '20 UFC Vegas 6 13.75 7.8 56% 6.8 / 7 (97%) 1.0 / 6.75 (15%)
5th Aug '20 DWCS 27 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
1st Aug '20 UFC Vegas 5 6.6 -0.0 -0% -2.8 / 2.75 (-100%) 2.7 / 3.85 (71%)
25th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 3 18.96 15.5 82% 4.3 / 7.5 (58%) 10.4 / 6.1 (170%) 0.8 / 5.36 (15%)
25th Jul '20 Bellator 242 5.5 -1.4 -26% -1.4 / 5.5 (-26%)
18th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 2 9.5 -3.9 -41% 0.0 / 3 (0%) 0.1 / 2.5 (4%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
15th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 1 5 1.7 34% -0.6 / 2.8 (-21%) 3.3 / 1.2 (273%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
11th Jul '20 UFC 251 21.5 7.3 34% -2.6 / 5 (-51%) 1.4 / 3.5 (40%) 8.5 / 13 (65%)


Winning Events: 14 (45%)
Losing Events: 17 (55%)

Average Staked Per Event: 8.64 units
Most Staked On One Event: 22.00 units
Best Event: 15.54 units
Worst Event: -6.99 units
Average Event: 0.76 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 15.54
Max Losing Streak: Events: 9, Units: -25.56

Mixed Martial Bets: Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2024 30.66 3.8 13% 4.6 / 16.66 (27%) -0.8 / 10 (-8%) 0.0 / 4 (1%) 2 / (100%) 1.92
2023 55.41 -0.0 -0% 1.9 / 32.08 (6%) -0.8 / 22.25 (-4%) -1.1 / 1.08 (-100%) 4 / 5 (44%) -0.00
2020 181.735 19.6 11% 10.6 / 79.95 (13%) 15.5 / 62.52 (25%) -6.5 / 39.265 (-17%) 8 / 12 (40%) 0.98

Mixed Martial Bets: Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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Mixed Martial Bets: Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 238.895 17.1 7% 11.5 / 103.18 (11%) 12.0 / 92.57 (13%) -6.3 / 43.145 (-15%)
Bellator 22.61 7.2 32% 8.4 / 21.41 (39%) -1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)
PFL 2.2 2.0 91% 2.0 / 2.2 (91%)
Other 4.1 -2.9 -70% -2.9 / 4.1 (-70%)

Mixed Martial Bets: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 3 (3%) 2 67 % 10.54 -0.05 -0.02 -0%
Slight Favorites 41 (48%) 19 46 % 70.60 -1.49 -0.04 -2%
Slight Underdogs 33 (38%) 18 55 % 39.55 15.11 0.46 38%
Big Underdogs 9 (10%) 4 44 % 8.00 3.41 0.38 43%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 7 (8%) 5 71 % 9.40 3.40 0.49 36%
Co-Main Event 10 (12%) 7 70 % 19.38 6.47 0.65 33%
Position 3-5 30 (35%) 10 33 % 40.66 -1.22 -0.04 -3%
6+ (Undercard) 39 (45%) 21 54 % 59.25 8.34 0.21 14%

Mixed Martial Bets: Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 5 (6%) 4 80 % 15.00 10.59 2.12 71%
Light Heavy 6 (7%) 0 % 10.05 -10.05 -1.68 -100%
Middleweight 9 (10%) 5 56 % 11.65 3.23 0.36 28%
Welterweight 11 (13%) 6 55 % 14.49 4.61 0.42 32%
Lightweight 9 (10%) 7 78 % 14.85 10.08 1.12 68%
Featherweight 12 (14%) 6 50 % 19.51 -1.02 -0.08 -5%
Bantamweight 10 (12%) 4 40 % 13.01 -2.56 -0.26 -20%
Flyweight 5 (6%) 2 40 % 5.87 -0.60 -0.12 -10%
               
Women's Fights 19 (22%) 9 47 % 24.26 2.70 0.14 11%
Featherweight 2 (2%) 1 50 % 6.46 0.99 0.50 15%
Bantamweight 3 (3%) 2 67 % 3.00 1.10 0.37 37%
Flyweight 6 (7%) 2 33 % 6.35 -1.60 -0.27 -25%
Strawweight 8 (9%) 4 50 % 8.45 2.21 0.28 26%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 54 (81%) 35 65 %
Slight Favorites 10 (15%) 5 50 %
Slight Underdogs 2 (3%) 1 50 %
Big Underdogs 1 (1%) 1 100 %
67 42 63 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 16 (12%) 12 75 %
50-65% 28 (20%) 12 43 %
35-50% 32 (23%) 17 53 %
<35% chance 62 (45%) 16 26 %
138 57 41 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 9 (7%) 6 67 % 1.54 2.10Pick was correct 1.12Pick was correct 0.2 (2%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (2%) 2 67 % 1.93 2.85Pick was correct 1.33Pick was correct 1.2 (39%)
Goes to Decision 8 (6%) 3 38 % 1.87 2.35Pick was incorrect 1.33Pick was correct -1.9 (-24%)
Does not go to Decision 5 (4%) 4 80 % 1.37 1.50Pick was correct 1.30Pick was correct 0.4 (9%)
X Wins by KO 12 (9%) 2 17 % 3.31 6.00Pick was incorrect 1.89Pick was incorrect -7.1 (-60%)
X Wins by Sub 7 (5%) 1 14 % 5.12 19.00Pick was incorrect 2.20Pick was correct -4.8 (-69%)
X Wins by Decision 22 (16%) 8 36 % 2.65 6.00Pick was correct 1.44Pick was incorrect 3.7 (17%)
X Does NOT Win by Decision 2 (1%) 2 100 % 1.17 1.17Pick was correct 1.17Pick was correct 0.3 (17%)
X Wins Inside Distance 34 (25%) 15 44 % 2.51 7.00Pick was incorrect 1.25Pick was correct 5.9 (17%)
X Wins in Round X 15 (11%) 5 33 % 5.32 11.00Pick was incorrect 1.77Pick was incorrect 19.0 (127%)
Others 21 (15%) 9 43 % 2.62 24.00Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was correct 6.5 (31%)
138 57 41 % 2.52     23.3 (17%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Mixed Martial Bets's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
11th Jul UFC 251 21.5 7.3 34% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,073.44
15th Jul UFC Fight Island 1 5 1.7 34% $10.73 $1,073.44 $1,091.48
18th Jul UFC Fight Island 2 9.5 -3.9 -41% $10.91 $1,091.48 $1,049.02
25th Jul Bellator 242 5.5 -1.4 -26% $10.49 $1,049.02 $1,034.12
25th Jul UFC Fight Island 3 18.96 15.5 82% $10.34 $1,034.12 $1,194.84
1st Aug UFC Vegas 5 6.6 -0.0 -0% $11.95 $1,194.84 $1,194.81
5th Aug DWCS 27 1 -1.0 -100% $11.95 $1,194.81 $1,182.86
8th Aug UFC Vegas 6 13.75 7.8 56% $11.83 $1,182.86 $1,274.72
12th Aug DWCS 28 1 -1.0 -100% $12.75 $1,274.72 $1,261.97
15th Aug UFC 252 13.6 2.7 20% $12.62 $1,261.97 $1,295.62
21st Aug Bellator 244 10 10.6 106% $12.96 $1,295.62 $1,432.97
22nd Aug UFC Vegas 7 12 -0.9 -8% $14.33 $1,432.97 $1,419.36
29th Aug UFC Fight Night 182 1 0.5 49% $14.19 $1,419.36 $1,426.32
5th Sep UFC Fight Night 183 10.82 2.9 27% $14.26 $1,426.32 $1,467.26
11th Sep Bellator 245 1.2 -1.2 -100% $14.67 $1,467.26 $1,449.65
12th Sep UFC Fight Night 184 7.38 -5.0 -68% $14.50 $1,449.65 $1,376.74
19th Sep UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 9.86 -3.0 -31% $13.77 $1,376.74 $1,335.16
26th Sep UFC 253 20.815 -7.0 -34% $13.35 $1,335.16 $1,241.87
4th Oct UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 8.5 -3.6 -43% $12.42 $1,241.87 $1,196.54
17th Oct UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 3.75 -1.2 -32% $11.97 $1,196.54 $1,182.19
23rd Sep Bellator 299 2.81 -2.8 -100% $11.82 $1,182.19 $1,148.97
23rd Sep UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 14.75 -0.8 -5% $11.49 $1,148.97 $1,139.66
14th Oct KSW 87 2.1 -0.9 -40% $11.40 $1,139.66 $1,129.97
14th Oct UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza 7.5 0.3 4% $11.30 $1,129.97 $1,133.36
21st Oct UFC 294 5.93 -2.1 -36% $11.33 $1,133.36 $1,109.22
11th Nov UFC 295 8.71 3.0 34% $11.09 $1,109.22 $1,142.53
17th Nov Bellator 301 3.1 2.0 65% $11.43 $1,142.53 $1,165.38
18th Nov UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 8.31 -0.7 -9% $11.65 $1,165.38 $1,156.88
24th Nov PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship 2.2 2.0 91% $11.57 $1,156.88 $1,180.01
20th Jan UFC 297 8.66 1.6 19% $11.80 $1,180.01 $1,199.13
17th Feb UFC 298 22 2.2 10% $11.99 $1,199.13 $1,225.74


ROI % from starting bank balance: 22.57% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Mixed Martial Bets: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Feb '24 Ilia Topuria Alex Volkanovski 2.10 1.5 TKO, R2 (3:32) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '24 Marcos Rogerio de Lima Junior Tafa 1.54 3.7 TKO, R2 (1:14) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '24 Ilia Topuria Alex Volkanovski 2.10 1 TKO, R2 (3:32) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jan '24 Jimmy Flick Malcolm Gordon 2.84 1 Sub, R2 (1:17) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '24 Sam Patterson Yohan Lainesse 2.23 1 Sub, R1 (2:3) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '24 Movsar Evloev Arnold Allen 1.55 1.81 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '24 Raquel Pennington Mayra Bueno Silva 2.40 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '23 Myktybek Orolbai Uros Medic 1.71 3.85 Sub, R2 (4:12) MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '23 Islam Mamedov Killys Mota 1.65 3.1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '23 Jared Gordon Mark O. Madsen 1.57 1.75 TKO, R1 (4:42) MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '23 Lupita Godinez Tabatha Ricci 1.63 1.6 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '23 Jessica Andrade Mackenzie Dern 2.75 0.75 TKO, R2 (3:15) MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '23 Tom Aspinall Sergey Pavlovich 1.87 2.3 TKO, R1 (1:9) MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '23 Christian Rodriguez Cameron Saaiman 1.71 1.4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '23 Jonathan Martinez Adrian Yanez 2.00 1 TKO, R2 (2:26) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '23 Leo Brichta Roman Szymanski 2.50 0.5 TKO, R3 (4:50) MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '23 Tim Means Andre Fialho 2.58 1 TKO, R3 (1:15) MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '23 Mateusz Gamrot Rafael Fiziev 2.31 1 TKO, R2 (2:3) MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '20 Jessica Andrade Katlyn Chookagian 1.65 1.55 TKO, R1 (4:55) MMA Bookmaker
20. Sep '20 Ludovit Klein Shane Young 2.01 1 TKO, R1 (1:16) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Feb '24 Paulo Costa Robert Whittaker 2.96 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '24 Andrea Lee Miranda Maverick 2.60 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '24 Josh Quinlan Danny Barlow 2.82 1 TKO, R3 (1:18) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '24 Geoff Neal Ian Garry 2.99 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '24 Sean Strickland Dricus Du Plessis 1.91 1.65 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '23 Charles Johnson Rafael Estevam 2.30 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '23 Jonathan Pearce Joanderson Brito 1.79 1.26 Sub, R2 (3:54) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '23 Pat Sabatini Diego Lopes 1.86 1.16 TKO, R1 (1:30) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '23 Bruno Silva Sharabutdin Magomedov 3.95 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '23 Adrian Yanez Jonathan Martinez 2.00 2 TKO, R2 (2:26) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '23 Vojtech Garba Michal Dreczkowski 1.89 0.6 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '23 Ivan Erslan Rafal Haratyk 2.15 0.5 TKO, R1 (4:21) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '23 Filip Macek Oleksii Polischuck 2.45 0.5 Sub, R1 (4:6) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '23 Jake Collier Mohammed Usman 2.40 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Sep '23 A.J. Fletcher Bryan Battle 2.60 1 Sub, R2 (4:32) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '23 Chiara Penco Mackenzie Stiller 1.74 1.35 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '23 Sinead Kavanagh Sara Collins 1.68 1.46 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Oct '20 Thomas Almeida Jonathan Martinez 1.83 1.2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '20 Jessin Ayari Luigi Vendramini 1.88 1.14 TKO, R1 (1:12) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Sep '20 Sijara Eubanks Ketlen Vieira 2.40 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Mixed Martial Bets: Progress Chart
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