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MMA Handicapper Stats: Mixed Martial Bets

Mixed Martial Bets (CpfeilJ)

MMA MHandicapper - Mixed Martial Bets

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 82 (41%) Right 36 (49%) Right 36 (40%) Right 10 (26%)
Wrong 118 (59%) Wrong 37 (51%) Wrong 53 (60%) Wrong 28 (74%)
Avg Odds 2.44 Avg Odds 1.99 Avg Odds 2.77 Avg Odds 2.91
Units Bet 234.6 Units Bet 112.0 Units Bet 82.3 Units Bet 40.3
Avg Bet 1.17 Avg Bet 1.53 Avg Bet 0.92 Avg Bet 1.06
Units Profit 19.58 Units Profit 12.41 Units Profit 14.74 Units Profit -7.56
ROI % 8% ROI % 11% ROI % 18% ROI % -19%
View Handicapper's Profile

Mixed Martial Bets: Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
24th Nov '23 PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship 2.2 2.0 91% 2.0 / 2.2 (91%)
18th Nov '23 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 8.31 -0.7 -9% 0.5 / 6.11 (8%) -1.2 / 2.2 (-55%)
17th Nov '23 Bellator 301 3.1 2.0 65% 2.0 / 3.1 (65%)
11th Nov '23 UFC 295 8.71 3.0 34% 4.2 / 7.56 (55%) -1.2 / 1.15 (-100%)
21st Oct '23 UFC 294 5.93 -2.1 -36% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -0.5 / 4.35 (-13%) -1.1 / 1.08 (-100%)
14th Oct '23 UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza 7.5 0.3 4% 0.0 / 4.4 (0%) 0.3 / 3.1 (10%)
14th Oct '23 KSW 87 2.1 -0.9 -40% -0.9 / 2.1 (-40%)
23rd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 14.75 -0.8 -5% -0.6 / 5.5 (-11%) -0.2 / 9.25 (-2%)
23rd Sep '23 Bellator 299 2.81 -2.8 -100% -2.8 / 2.81 (-100%)
17th Oct '20 UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 3.75 -1.2 -32% -0.2 / 2.75 (-7%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
4th Oct '20 UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 8.5 -3.6 -43% -1.1 / 1.14 (-100%) -1.2 / 6.09 (-20%) -1.3 / 1.27 (-100%)
26th Sep '20 UFC 253 20.815 -7.0 -34% -4.1 / 9.45 (-43%) 2.2 / 4.21 (52%) -5.1 / 7.155 (-71%)
19th Sep '20 UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 9.86 -3.0 -31% -2.5 / 2.49 (-100%) -1.4 / 6.17 (-23%) 0.9 / 1.2 (74%)
12th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 184 7.38 -5.0 -68% -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%) -1.6 / 4 (-41%) -1.1 / 1.13 (-100%)
11th Sep '20 Bellator 245 1.2 -1.2 -100% -1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)
5th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 183 10.82 2.9 27% -1.1 / 5.32 (-21%) 4.4 / 5.1 (86%) -0.4 / 0.4 (-100%)
29th Aug '20 UFC Fight Night 182 1 0.5 49% 0.5 / 1 (49%)
22nd Aug '20 UFC Vegas 7 12 -0.9 -8% 5.6 / 5.5 (101%) -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
21st Aug '20 Bellator 244 10 10.6 106% 10.6 / 10 (106%)
15th Aug '20 UFC 252 13.6 2.7 20% 3.9 / 5.5 (71%) 0.4 / 5.55 (7%) -1.6 / 2.55 (-63%)
12th Aug '20 DWCS 28 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
8th Aug '20 UFC Vegas 6 13.75 7.8 56% 6.8 / 7 (97%) 1.0 / 6.75 (15%)
5th Aug '20 DWCS 27 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
1st Aug '20 UFC Vegas 5 6.6 -0.0 -0% -2.8 / 2.75 (-100%) 2.7 / 3.85 (71%)
25th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 3 18.96 15.5 82% 4.3 / 7.5 (58%) 10.4 / 6.1 (170%) 0.8 / 5.36 (15%)
25th Jul '20 Bellator 242 5.5 -1.4 -26% -1.4 / 5.5 (-26%)
18th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 2 9.5 -3.9 -41% 0.0 / 3 (0%) 0.1 / 2.5 (4%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
15th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 1 5 1.7 34% -0.6 / 2.8 (-21%) 3.3 / 1.2 (273%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
11th Jul '20 UFC 251 21.5 7.3 34% -2.6 / 5 (-51%) 1.4 / 3.5 (40%) 8.5 / 13 (65%)


Winning Events: 12 (41%)
Losing Events: 17 (59%)

Average Staked Per Event: 8.18 units
Most Staked On One Event: 21.50 units
Best Event: 15.54 units
Worst Event: -6.99 units
Average Event: 0.68 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 15.54
Max Losing Streak: Events: 9, Units: -25.56

Mixed Martial Bets: Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2023 55.41 -0.0 -0% 1.9 / 32.08 (6%) -0.8 / 22.25 (-4%) -1.1 / 1.08 (-100%) 4 / 5 (44%) -0.00
2020 181.735 19.6 11% 10.6 / 79.95 (13%) 15.5 / 62.52 (25%) -6.5 / 39.265 (-17%) 8 / 12 (40%) 0.98

Mixed Martial Bets: Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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Mixed Martial Bets: Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 208.235 13.3 6% 6.9 / 86.52 (8%) 12.7 / 82.57 (15%) -6.4 / 39.145 (-16%)
Bellator 22.61 7.2 32% 8.4 / 21.41 (39%) -1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)
PFL 2.2 2.0 91% 2.0 / 2.2 (91%)
Other 4.1 -2.9 -70% -2.9 / 4.1 (-70%)

Mixed Martial Bets: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 3 (4%) 2 67 % 10.54 -0.05 -0.02 -0%
Slight Favorites 38 (51%) 17 45 % 63.44 -2.84 -0.07 -4%
Slight Underdogs 26 (35%) 13 50 % 32.05 9.89 0.38 31%
Big Underdogs 7 (9%) 4 57 % 6.00 5.41 0.77 90%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 4 (5%) 3 75 % 5.25 2.30 0.57 44%
Co-Main Event 8 (11%) 6 75 % 17.38 6.07 0.76 35%
Position 3-5 28 (38%) 9 32 % 37.85 -1.22 -0.04 -3%
6+ (Undercard) 34 (46%) 18 53 % 51.55 5.27 0.15 10%

Mixed Martial Bets: Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 4 (5%) 3 75 % 11.30 8.59 2.15 76%
Light Heavy 6 (8%) 0 % 10.05 -10.05 -1.68 -100%
Middleweight 7 (9%) 5 71 % 9.00 5.88 0.84 65%
Welterweight 8 (11%) 5 63 % 11.49 5.38 0.67 47%
Lightweight 9 (12%) 7 78 % 14.85 10.08 1.12 68%
Featherweight 9 (12%) 3 33 % 15.20 -4.77 -0.53 -31%
Bantamweight 10 (14%) 4 40 % 13.01 -2.56 -0.26 -20%
Flyweight 4 (5%) 1 25 % 4.87 -2.44 -0.61 -50%
               
Women's Fights 17 (23%) 8 47 % 22.26 2.30 0.14 10%
Featherweight 2 (3%) 1 50 % 6.46 0.99 0.50 15%
Bantamweight 2 (3%) 1 50 % 2.00 -0.30 -0.15 -15%
Flyweight 5 (7%) 2 40 % 5.35 -0.60 -0.12 -11%
Strawweight 8 (11%) 4 50 % 8.45 2.21 0.28 26%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 50 (79%) 31 62 %
Slight Favorites 10 (16%) 5 50 %
Slight Underdogs 2 (3%) 1 50 %
Big Underdogs 1 (2%) 1 100 %
63 38 60 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 14 (11%) 12 86 %
50-65% 22 (17%) 11 50 %
35-50% 31 (25%) 16 52 %
<35% chance 59 (47%) 14 24 %
126 53 42 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 8 (6%) 6 75 % 1.52 2.10Pick was correct 1.12Pick was correct 1.2 (15%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (2%) 2 67 % 1.93 2.85Pick was correct 1.33Pick was correct 1.2 (39%)
Goes to Decision 6 (5%) 1 17 % 1.88 2.35Pick was incorrect 1.33Pick was correct -3.7 (-61%)
Does not go to Decision 5 (4%) 4 80 % 1.37 1.50Pick was correct 1.30Pick was correct 0.4 (9%)
X Wins by KO 12 (10%) 2 17 % 3.31 6.00Pick was incorrect 1.89Pick was incorrect -7.1 (-60%)
X Wins by Sub 6 (5%) 1 17 % 5.37 19.00Pick was incorrect 2.20Pick was correct -3.8 (-63%)
X Wins by Decision 21 (17%) 8 38 % 2.70 6.00Pick was correct 1.44Pick was incorrect 4.7 (22%)
X Does NOT Win by Decision 2 (2%) 2 100 % 1.17 1.17Pick was correct 1.17Pick was correct 0.3 (17%)
X Wins Inside Distance 32 (25%) 15 47 % 2.63 7.00Pick was incorrect 1.25Pick was correct 7.9 (25%)
X Wins in Round X 15 (12%) 5 33 % 5.32 11.00Pick was incorrect 1.77Pick was incorrect 19.0 (127%)
Others 16 (13%) 7 44 % 2.75 24.00Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was correct 5.0 (31%)
126 53 42 % 2.59     25.1 (20%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Mixed Martial Bets's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
11th Jul UFC 251 21.5 7.3 34% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,073.44
15th Jul UFC Fight Island 1 5 1.7 34% $10.73 $1,073.44 $1,091.48
18th Jul UFC Fight Island 2 9.5 -3.9 -41% $10.91 $1,091.48 $1,049.02
25th Jul Bellator 242 5.5 -1.4 -26% $10.49 $1,049.02 $1,034.12
25th Jul UFC Fight Island 3 18.96 15.5 82% $10.34 $1,034.12 $1,194.84
1st Aug UFC Vegas 5 6.6 -0.0 -0% $11.95 $1,194.84 $1,194.81
5th Aug DWCS 27 1 -1.0 -100% $11.95 $1,194.81 $1,182.86
8th Aug UFC Vegas 6 13.75 7.8 56% $11.83 $1,182.86 $1,274.72
12th Aug DWCS 28 1 -1.0 -100% $12.75 $1,274.72 $1,261.97
15th Aug UFC 252 13.6 2.7 20% $12.62 $1,261.97 $1,295.62
21st Aug Bellator 244 10 10.6 106% $12.96 $1,295.62 $1,432.97
22nd Aug UFC Vegas 7 12 -0.9 -8% $14.33 $1,432.97 $1,419.36
29th Aug UFC Fight Night 182 1 0.5 49% $14.19 $1,419.36 $1,426.32
5th Sep UFC Fight Night 183 10.82 2.9 27% $14.26 $1,426.32 $1,467.26
11th Sep Bellator 245 1.2 -1.2 -100% $14.67 $1,467.26 $1,449.65
12th Sep UFC Fight Night 184 7.38 -5.0 -68% $14.50 $1,449.65 $1,376.74
19th Sep UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 9.86 -3.0 -31% $13.77 $1,376.74 $1,335.16
26th Sep UFC 253 20.815 -7.0 -34% $13.35 $1,335.16 $1,241.87
4th Oct UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 8.5 -3.6 -43% $12.42 $1,241.87 $1,196.54
17th Oct UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 3.75 -1.2 -32% $11.97 $1,196.54 $1,182.19
23rd Sep Bellator 299 2.81 -2.8 -100% $11.82 $1,182.19 $1,148.97
23rd Sep UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 14.75 -0.8 -5% $11.49 $1,148.97 $1,139.66
14th Oct KSW 87 2.1 -0.9 -40% $11.40 $1,139.66 $1,129.97
14th Oct UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza 7.5 0.3 4% $11.30 $1,129.97 $1,133.36
21st Oct UFC 294 5.93 -2.1 -36% $11.33 $1,133.36 $1,109.22
11th Nov UFC 295 8.71 3.0 34% $11.09 $1,109.22 $1,142.53
17th Nov Bellator 301 3.1 2.0 65% $11.43 $1,142.53 $1,165.38
18th Nov UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 8.31 -0.7 -9% $11.65 $1,165.38 $1,156.88
24th Nov PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship 2.2 2.0 91% $11.57 $1,156.88 $1,180.01


ROI % from starting bank balance: 18.00% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Mixed Martial Bets: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Nov '23 Myktybek Orolbai Uros Medic 1.71 3.85 Sub, R2 (4:12) MMA Bookmaker
2. Nov '23 Islam Mamedov Killys Mota 1.65 3.1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Nov '23 Jared Gordon Mark O. Madsen 1.57 1.75 TKO, R1 (4:42) MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '23 Lupita Godinez Tabatha Ricci 1.63 1.6 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '23 Jessica Andrade Mackenzie Dern 2.75 0.75 TKO, R2 (3:15) MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '23 Tom Aspinall Sergey Pavlovich 1.87 2.3 TKO, R1 (1:9) MMA Bookmaker
7. Oct '23 Christian Rodriguez Cameron Saaiman 1.71 1.4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '23 Jonathan Martinez Adrian Yanez 2.00 1 TKO, R2 (2:26) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '23 Leo Brichta Roman Szymanski 2.50 0.5 TKO, R3 (4:50) MMA Bookmaker
10. Sep '23 Tim Means Andre Fialho 2.58 1 TKO, R3 (1:15) MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '23 Mateusz Gamrot Rafael Fiziev 2.31 1 TKO, R2 (2:3) MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '20 Jessica Andrade Katlyn Chookagian 1.65 1.55 TKO, R1 (4:55) MMA Bookmaker
13. Sep '20 Ludovit Klein Shane Young 2.01 1 TKO, R1 (1:16) MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '20 Andre Muniz Bartosz Fabinski 2.36 0.5 Sub, R1 (2:42) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
15. Sep '20 Hunter Azure Cole Smith 1.49 2.04 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '20 Matt Semelsberger Carlton Minus 2.05 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Aug '20 Valentin Moldavsky Roy Nelson 2.63 5 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '20 Julia Budd Jessy Miele 1.49 5 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '20 Amanda Lemos Mizuki Inoue 2.43 1 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '20 Daniel Pineda Herbert Burns 3.25 1 TKO, R2 (4:37) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Nov '23 Charles Johnson Rafael Estevam 2.30 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Nov '23 Jonathan Pearce Joanderson Brito 1.79 1.26 Sub, R2 (3:54) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Nov '23 Pat Sabatini Diego Lopes 1.86 1.16 TKO, R1 (1:30) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Oct '23 Bruno Silva Sharabutdin Magomedov 3.95 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Oct '23 Adrian Yanez Jonathan Martinez 2.00 2 TKO, R2 (2:26) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Oct '23 Vojtech Garba Michal Dreczkowski 1.89 0.6 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Oct '23 Ivan Erslan Rafal Haratyk 2.15 0.5 TKO, R1 (4:21) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '23 Filip Macek Oleksii Polischuck 2.45 0.5 Sub, R1 (4:6) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Sep '23 Jake Collier Mohammed Usman 2.40 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Sep '23 A.J. Fletcher Bryan Battle 2.60 1 Sub, R2 (4:32) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '23 Chiara Penco Mackenzie Stiller 1.74 1.35 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Sep '23 Sinead Kavanagh Sara Collins 1.68 1.46 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '20 Thomas Almeida Jonathan Martinez 1.83 1.2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '20 Jessin Ayari Luigi Vendramini 1.88 1.14 TKO, R1 (1:12) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Sep '20 Sijara Eubanks Ketlen Vieira 2.40 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '20 Zubaira Tukhugov Hakeem Dawodu 1.78 1.28 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '20 Aleksa Camur William Knight 1.60 1.67 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '20 Khadis Ibragimov Danilo Marques 1.67 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Sep '20 Jordan Espinosa David Dvorak 1.89 1.12 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Sep '20 Journey Newson Randy Costa 1.73 1.37 TKO, R1 (0:41) Yes MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Mixed Martial Bets: Progress Chart
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