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MMA Handicapper Stats: Mixed Martial Bets

Mixed Martial Bets (CpfeilJ)


MMA MHandicapper - Mixed Martial  Bets

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 111 (43%) Right 55 (50%) Right 45 (42%) Right 11 (27%)
Wrong 146 (57%) Wrong 55 (50%) Wrong 61 (58%) Wrong 30 (73%)
Avg Odds 2.35 Avg Odds 2.01 Avg Odds 2.63 Avg Odds 2.82
Units Bet 309.3 Units Bet 163.2 Units Bet 101.7 Units Bet 44.3
Avg Bet 1.20 Avg Bet 1.48 Avg Bet 0.96 Avg Bet 1.08
Units Profit 33.38 Units Profit 21.49 Units Profit 19.41 Units Profit -7.52
ROI % 11% ROI % 13% ROI % 19% ROI % -17%
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Mixed Martial Bets: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
13th Jul '24 UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez 8.93 -2.3 -26% -5.3 / 5.33 (-100%) 3.0 / 3.6 (83%)
29th Jun '24 UFC 303 2.12 -2.1 -100% -2.1 / 2.12 (-100%)
22nd Jun '24 UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov 1.3 1.0 77% 1.0 / 1.3 (77%)
22nd Jun '24 Bellator Champions Series 1.05 1.0 95% 1.0 / 1.05 (95%)
21st Jun '24 PFL 5: 2024 Regular Season 2 3.1 155% 3.1 / 2 (155%)
8th Jun '24 UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov 12.3 0.9 7% -1.5 / 6.45 (-24%) 2.4 / 5.85 (42%)
11th May '24 UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento 5.94 4.1 69% 4.1 / 5.94 (69%)
4th May '24 UFC 301 10.35 4.3 42% 4.3 / 10.35 (42%)
17th Feb '24 UFC 298 22 2.2 10% 0.8 / 10.2 (7%) 1.4 / 7.8 (18%) 0.0 / 4 (1%)
20th Jan '24 UFC 297 8.66 1.6 19% 3.8 / 6.46 (59%) -2.2 / 2.2 (-100%)
24th Nov '23 PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship 2.2 2.0 91% 2.0 / 2.2 (91%)
18th Nov '23 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 8.31 -0.7 -9% 0.5 / 6.11 (8%) -1.2 / 2.2 (-55%)
17th Nov '23 Bellator 301 3.1 2.0 65% 2.0 / 3.1 (65%)
11th Nov '23 UFC 295 8.71 3.0 34% 4.2 / 7.56 (55%) -1.2 / 1.15 (-100%)
21st Oct '23 UFC 294 5.93 -2.1 -36% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -0.5 / 4.35 (-13%) -1.1 / 1.08 (-100%)
14th Oct '23 UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza 7.5 0.3 4% 0.0 / 4.4 (0%) 0.3 / 3.1 (10%)
14th Oct '23 KSW 87 2.1 -0.9 -40% -0.9 / 2.1 (-40%)
23rd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 14.75 -0.8 -5% -0.6 / 5.5 (-11%) -0.2 / 9.25 (-2%)
23rd Sep '23 Bellator 299 2.81 -2.8 -100% -2.8 / 2.81 (-100%)
17th Oct '20 UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 3.75 -1.2 -32% -0.2 / 2.75 (-7%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
4th Oct '20 UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 8.5 -3.6 -43% -1.1 / 1.14 (-100%) -1.2 / 6.09 (-20%) -1.3 / 1.27 (-100%)
26th Sep '20 UFC 253 20.815 -7.0 -34% -4.1 / 9.45 (-43%) 2.2 / 4.21 (52%) -5.1 / 7.155 (-71%)
19th Sep '20 UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 9.86 -3.0 -31% -2.5 / 2.49 (-100%) -1.4 / 6.17 (-23%) 0.9 / 1.2 (74%)
12th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 184 7.38 -5.0 -68% -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%) -1.6 / 4 (-41%) -1.1 / 1.13 (-100%)
11th Sep '20 Bellator 245 1.2 -1.2 -100% -1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)
5th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 183 10.82 2.9 27% -1.1 / 5.32 (-21%) 4.4 / 5.1 (86%) -0.4 / 0.4 (-100%)
29th Aug '20 UFC Fight Night 182 1 0.5 49% 0.5 / 1 (49%)
22nd Aug '20 UFC Vegas 7 12 -0.9 -8% 5.6 / 5.5 (101%) -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
21st Aug '20 Bellator 244 10 10.6 106% 10.6 / 10 (106%)
15th Aug '20 UFC 252 13.6 2.7 20% 3.9 / 5.5 (71%) 0.4 / 5.55 (7%) -1.6 / 2.55 (-63%)
12th Aug '20 DWCS 28 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
8th Aug '20 UFC Vegas 6 13.75 7.8 56% 6.8 / 7 (97%) 1.0 / 6.75 (15%)
5th Aug '20 DWCS 27 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
1st Aug '20 UFC Vegas 5 6.6 -0.0 -0% -2.8 / 2.75 (-100%) 2.7 / 3.85 (71%)
25th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 3 18.96 15.5 82% 4.3 / 7.5 (58%) 10.4 / 6.1 (170%) 0.8 / 5.36 (15%)
25th Jul '20 Bellator 242 5.5 -1.4 -26% -1.4 / 5.5 (-26%)
18th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 2 9.5 -3.9 -41% 0.0 / 3 (0%) 0.1 / 2.5 (4%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
15th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 1 5 1.7 34% -0.6 / 2.8 (-21%) 3.3 / 1.2 (273%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
11th Jul '20 UFC 251 21.5 7.3 34% -2.6 / 5 (-51%) 1.4 / 3.5 (40%) 8.5 / 13 (65%)


Winning Events: 20 (51%)
Losing Events: 19 (49%)

Average Staked Per Event: 7.99 units
Most Staked On One Event: 22.00 units
Best Event: 15.54 units
Worst Event: -6.99 units
Average Event: 0.86 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 9, Units: 20.25
Max Losing Streak: Events: 9, Units: -25.56

Mixed Martial Bets: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2024 74.65 13.8 18% 9.1 / 51.2 (18%) 4.7 / 19.45 (24%) 0.0 / 4 (1%) 8 / 2 (80%) 1.38
2023 55.41 -0.0 -0% 1.9 / 32.08 (6%) -0.8 / 22.25 (-4%) -1.1 / 1.08 (-100%) 4 / 5 (44%) -0.00
2020 181.735 19.6 11% 10.6 / 79.95 (13%) 15.5 / 62.52 (25%) -6.5 / 39.265 (-17%) 8 / 12 (40%) 0.98

Mixed Martial Bets: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Mixed Martial Bets: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 279.835 23.0 8% 11.9 / 134.67 (9%) 17.4 / 102.02 (17%) -6.3 / 43.145 (-15%)
Bellator 23.66 8.2 35% 9.4 / 22.46 (42%) -1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)
PFL 4.2 5.1 121% 3.1 / 2 (155%) 2.0 / 2.2 (91%)
Other 4.1 -2.9 -70% -2.9 / 4.1 (-70%)

Mixed Martial Bets: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 5 (4%) 4 80 % 17.44 2.95 0.59 17%
Slight Favorites 51 (46%) 25 49 % 83.24 -0.19 -0.00 -0%
Slight Underdogs 45 (40%) 22 49 % 53.05 13.77 0.31 26%
Big Underdogs 11 (10%) 5 45 % 9.50 4.96 0.45 52%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 11 (10%) 8 73 % 14.30 5.90 0.54 41%
Co-Main Event 12 (11%) 9 75 % 21.68 8.78 0.73 40%
Position 3-5 35 (31%) 11 31 % 46.46 -4.97 -0.14 -11%
6+ (Undercard) 54 (48%) 28 52 % 80.79 11.79 0.22 15%

Mixed Martial Bets: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 6 (5%) 5 83 % 16.00 12.64 2.11 79%
Light Heavy 7 (6%) 0 % 10.55 -10.55 -1.51 -100%
Middleweight 15 (13%) 9 60 % 18.85 4.88 0.33 26%
Welterweight 12 (11%) 6 50 % 15.49 3.61 0.30 23%
Lightweight 13 (12%) 10 77 % 24.49 15.18 1.17 62%
Featherweight 15 (13%) 7 47 % 23.58 -2.64 -0.18 -11%
Bantamweight 14 (13%) 5 36 % 16.51 -3.75 -0.27 -23%
Flyweight 9 (8%) 4 44 % 11.50 -1.28 -0.14 -11%
               
Women's Fights 21 (19%) 10 48 % 26.26 3.40 0.16 13%
Featherweight 2 (2%) 1 50 % 6.46 0.99 0.50 15%
Bantamweight 4 (4%) 2 50 % 4.00 0.10 0.02 2%
Flyweight 6 (5%) 2 33 % 6.35 -1.60 -0.27 -25%
Strawweight 9 (8%) 5 56 % 9.45 3.91 0.43 41%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 54 (81%) 35 65 %
Slight Favorites 10 (15%) 5 50 %
Slight Underdogs 2 (3%) 1 50 %
Big Underdogs 1 (1%) 1 100 %
67 42 63 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 17 (12%) 13 76 %
50-65% 32 (22%) 14 44 %
35-50% 33 (23%) 18 55 %
<35% chance 63 (43%) 17 27 %
145 62 43 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 10 (7%) 7 70 % 1.56 2.10Pick was correct 1.12Pick was correct 1.0 (10%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 4 (3%) 3 75 % 1.88 2.85Pick was correct 1.33Pick was correct 1.9 (49%)
Goes to Decision 9 (6%) 3 33 % 1.87 2.35Pick was incorrect 1.33Pick was correct -2.9 (-33%)
Does not go to Decision 6 (4%) 5 83 % 1.45 2.00Pick was correct 1.30Pick was correct 1.4 (24%)
X Wins by KO 13 (9%) 3 23 % 3.42 6.00Pick was incorrect 1.89Pick was incorrect -2.7 (-20%)
X Wins by Sub 7 (5%) 1 14 % 5.12 19.00Pick was incorrect 2.20Pick was correct -4.8 (-69%)
X Wins by Decision 22 (15%) 8 36 % 2.65 6.00Pick was correct 1.44Pick was incorrect 3.7 (17%)
X Does NOT Win by Decision 2 (1%) 2 100 % 1.17 1.17Pick was correct 1.17Pick was correct 0.3 (17%)
X Wins Inside Distance 34 (23%) 15 44 % 2.51 7.00Pick was incorrect 1.25Pick was correct 5.9 (17%)
X Wins in Round X 15 (10%) 5 33 % 5.32 11.00Pick was incorrect 1.77Pick was incorrect 19.0 (127%)
Others 23 (16%) 10 43 % 2.50 24.00Pick was incorrect 1.44Pick was correct 5.9 (26%)
145 62 43 % 2.49     28.8 (20%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Mixed Martial Bets's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
11th Jul UFC 251 21.5 7.3 34% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,073.44
15th Jul UFC Fight Island 1 5 1.7 34% $10.73 $1,073.44 $1,091.48
18th Jul UFC Fight Island 2 9.5 -3.9 -41% $10.91 $1,091.48 $1,049.02
25th Jul Bellator 242 5.5 -1.4 -26% $10.49 $1,049.02 $1,034.12
25th Jul UFC Fight Island 3 18.96 15.5 82% $10.34 $1,034.12 $1,194.84
1st Aug UFC Vegas 5 6.6 -0.0 -0% $11.95 $1,194.84 $1,194.81
5th Aug DWCS 27 1 -1.0 -100% $11.95 $1,194.81 $1,182.86
8th Aug UFC Vegas 6 13.75 7.8 56% $11.83 $1,182.86 $1,274.72
12th Aug DWCS 28 1 -1.0 -100% $12.75 $1,274.72 $1,261.97
15th Aug UFC 252 13.6 2.7 20% $12.62 $1,261.97 $1,295.62
21st Aug Bellator 244 10 10.6 106% $12.96 $1,295.62 $1,432.97
22nd Aug UFC Vegas 7 12 -0.9 -8% $14.33 $1,432.97 $1,419.36
29th Aug UFC Fight Night 182 1 0.5 49% $14.19 $1,419.36 $1,426.32
5th Sep UFC Fight Night 183 10.82 2.9 27% $14.26 $1,426.32 $1,467.26
11th Sep Bellator 245 1.2 -1.2 -100% $14.67 $1,467.26 $1,449.65
12th Sep UFC Fight Night 184 7.38 -5.0 -68% $14.50 $1,449.65 $1,376.74
19th Sep UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 9.86 -3.0 -31% $13.77 $1,376.74 $1,335.16
26th Sep UFC 253 20.815 -7.0 -34% $13.35 $1,335.16 $1,241.87
4th Oct UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 8.5 -3.6 -43% $12.42 $1,241.87 $1,196.54
17th Oct UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 3.75 -1.2 -32% $11.97 $1,196.54 $1,182.19
23rd Sep Bellator 299 2.81 -2.8 -100% $11.82 $1,182.19 $1,148.97
23rd Sep UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 14.75 -0.8 -5% $11.49 $1,148.97 $1,139.66
14th Oct KSW 87 2.1 -0.9 -40% $11.40 $1,139.66 $1,129.97
14th Oct UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza 7.5 0.3 4% $11.30 $1,129.97 $1,133.36
21st Oct UFC 294 5.93 -2.1 -36% $11.33 $1,133.36 $1,109.22
11th Nov UFC 295 8.71 3.0 34% $11.09 $1,109.22 $1,142.53
17th Nov Bellator 301 3.1 2.0 65% $11.43 $1,142.53 $1,165.38
18th Nov UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 8.31 -0.7 -9% $11.65 $1,165.38 $1,156.88
24th Nov PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship 2.2 2.0 91% $11.57 $1,156.88 $1,180.01
20th Jan UFC 297 8.66 1.6 19% $11.80 $1,180.01 $1,199.13
17th Feb UFC 298 22 2.2 10% $11.99 $1,199.13 $1,225.74
4th May UFC 301 10.35 4.3 42% $12.26 $1,225.74 $1,278.57
11th May UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento 5.94 4.1 69% $12.79 $1,278.57 $1,330.99
8th Jun UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov 12.3 0.9 7% $13.31 $1,330.99 $1,342.97
21st Jun PFL 5: 2024 Regular Season 2 3.1 155% $13.43 $1,342.97 $1,384.60
22nd Jun UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov 1.3 1.0 77% $13.85 $1,384.60 $1,398.45
22nd Jun Bellator Champions Series 1.05 1.0 95% $13.98 $1,398.45 $1,412.43
29th Jun UFC 303 2.12 -2.1 -100% $14.12 $1,412.43 $1,382.49
13th Jul UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez 8.93 -2.3 -26% $13.82 $1,382.49 $1,350.28


ROI % from starting bank balance: 35.03% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Mixed Martial Bets: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jun '24 Dalton Rosta Norbert Novenyi 1.95 1.05 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jun '24 Robert Whittaker Ikram Aliskerov 1.77 1.3 TKO, R1 (1:49) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jun '24 Adam Piccolotti Michael Dufort 2.55 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jun '24 Nassourdine Imavov Jared Cannonier 1.83 1.2 TKO, R4 (1:34) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jun '24 Denise Gomes Eduarda Moura 2.70 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. May '24 Charles Johnson Jake Hadley 2.05 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. May '24 Esteban Ribovics Terrance McKinney 1.61 1.64 TKO, R1 (0:37) MMA Bookmaker
8. May '24 Waldo Cortes-Acosta Robelis Despaigne 3.05 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. May '24 Joaquin Buckley Nursulton Ruziboev 1.77 1.3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. May '24 Jose Aldo Jonathan Martinez 2.31 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. May '24 Alexandre Pantoja Steve Erceg 1.53 1.9 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. May '24 Joanderson Brito Jack Shore 1.69 1.45 TKO, R2 (3:35) MMA Bookmaker
13. May '24 Myktybek Orolbai Elves Brenner 1.40 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '24 Ilia Topuria Alex Volkanovski 2.10 1.5 TKO, R2 (3:32) MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '24 Marcos Rogerio de Lima Junior Tafa 1.54 3.7 TKO, R2 (1:14) MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '24 Ilia Topuria Alex Volkanovski 2.10 1 TKO, R2 (3:32) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jan '24 Jimmy Flick Malcolm Gordon 2.84 1 Sub, R2 (1:17) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jan '24 Sam Patterson Yohan Lainesse 2.23 1 Sub, R1 (2:3) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jan '24 Movsar Evloev Arnold Allen 1.55 1.81 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jan '24 Raquel Pennington Mayra Bueno Silva 2.40 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jul '24 DaMon Blackshear Montel Jackson 2.33 0.5 TKO, R1 (0:18) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '24 Josh Fremd Andre Petroski 1.91 1.1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '24 Joshua Van Charles Johnson 1.58 1.73 TKO, R3 (0:20) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '24 Drew Dober Jean Silva 2.02 2 TKO, R3 (1:28) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jun '24 Charles Jourdain Jean Silva 1.81 0.62 TKO, R2 (1:22) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jun '24 Mayra Bueno Silva Macy Chiasson 2.00 1 TKO, R2 (1:58) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jun '24 Jiri Prochazka Alex Pereira 2.35 0.5 TKO, R2 (0:13) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jun '24 John Castaneda Daniel Marcos 2.00 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jun '24 Thiago Moises Ludovit Klein 2.15 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jun '24 Julian Marquez Zachary Reese 1.80 1.25 TKO, R1 (0:20) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jun '24 Ricky Turcios Raul Rosas Jr 3.00 0.5 Sub, R2 (2:22) No MMA Bookmaker
12. May '24 Billy Goff Trey Waters 2.35 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. May '24 Kevin Borjas Alessandro Costa 2.18 1 TKO, R2 (1:35) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '24 Paulo Costa Robert Whittaker 2.96 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '24 Andrea Lee Miranda Maverick 2.60 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '24 Josh Quinlan Danny Barlow 2.82 1 TKO, R3 (1:18) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '24 Geoff Neal Ian Garry 2.99 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jan '24 Sean Strickland Dricus Du Plessis 1.91 1.65 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '23 Charles Johnson Rafael Estevam 2.30 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '23 Jonathan Pearce Joanderson Brito 1.79 1.26 Sub, R2 (3:54) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Mixed Martial Bets: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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