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MMA Handicapper Stats: Duck Phillips

Duck Phillips (ReggaeP)


MMA MHandicapper - Duck Phillips

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 112 (47%) Right 34 (64%) Right 35 (39%) Right 43 (45%)
Wrong 126 (53%) Wrong 19 (36%) Wrong 55 (61%) Wrong 52 (55%)
Avg Odds 2.44 Avg Odds 1.79 Avg Odds 2.93 Avg Odds 2.55
Units Bet 192.1 Units Bet 64.3 Units Bet 54.8 Units Bet 73.0
Avg Bet 0.81 Avg Bet 1.21 Avg Bet 0.61 Avg Bet 0.77
Units Profit 41.38 Units Profit 5.28 Units Profit 20.97 Units Profit 15.13
ROI % 22% ROI % 8% ROI % 38% ROI % 21%
View Handicapper's Profile

Duck Phillips: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
6th Mar '21 UFC 259 20.3 -4.2 -21% -2.3 / 8 (-29%) -2.1 / 8.5 (-25%) 0.2 / 3.8 (6%)
28th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 186 5.5 3.1 57% -0.3 / 2.5 (-14%) 2.6 / 2 (130%) 0.9 / 1 (87%)
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 7.45 2.1 28% -0.2 / 4.5 (-4%) 0.3 / 1.75 (14%) 2.0 / 1.2 (168%)
14th Feb '21 UFC 258 1.5 1.2 80% 0.2 / 0.5 (36%) 1.0 / 1 (103%)
6th Feb '21 UFC FN 5 3.8 76% 0.7 / 1 (73%) 0.4 / 1 (44%) 2.6 / 3 (88%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 8.7 -5.4 -62% -3.8 / 5.5 (-69%) -1.1 / 2.7 (-43%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
20th Jan '21 UFC on ESPN 20 5.4 -0.7 -14% 0.1 / 3 (4%) -0.4 / 0.4 (-100%) -0.5 / 2 (-23%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 4 -0.5 -13% -0.5 / 4 (-13%)
19th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 17 3.2 0.6 17% 0.2 / 0.5 (40%) 0.5 / 1.2 (39%) -0.1 / 1.5 (-8%)
13th Dec '20 UFC 256 4.1 -1.3 -32% -0.5 / 3 (-17%) -0.3 / 0.3 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.8 (-63%)
6th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 16 6.6 1.7 25% 1.2 / 5 (24%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 1.0 / 1.1 (90%)
29th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 15 1.5 1.0 67% 1.0 / 1.5 (67%)
21st Nov '20 UFC 255 6.9 1.1 16% -0.7 / 2.55 (-26%) 1.8 / 4.35 (41%)
14th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 14 3.4 -3.4 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -0.3 / 0.3 (-100%) -1.1 / 1.1 (-100%)
8th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 13 4 0.1 4% 0.3 / 2 (15%) -0.2 / 2 (-8%)
5th Nov '20 DWCS 34 1 0.4 44% 0.4 / 1 (44%)
31st Oct '20 UFC Vegas 12 4 2.1 52% 1.2 / 2 (62%) 0.3 / 1 (27%) 0.6 / 1 (59%)
24th Oct '20 UFC 254 5.6 -5.6 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -0.6 / 0.6 (-100%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
17th Oct '20 UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 2.5 1.7 68% 1.7 / 2.5 (68%)
10th Oct '20 UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 4.5 2.2 49% 1.4 / 1.7 (80%) -0.8 / 0.8 (-100%) 1.6 / 2 (82%)
4th Oct '20 UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 5.7 3.4 60% 2.2 / 2.1 (105%) 0.5 / 1.85 (29%) 0.7 / 1.75 (38%)
26th Sep '20 UFC 253 9.4 4.1 44% 1.1 / 2 (57%) 0.2 / 2.4 (8%) 2.8 / 5 (56%)
19th Sep '20 UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 1.5 1.5 102% 0.4 / 0.5 (80%) 1.1 / 1 (113%)
12th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 184 4.75 1.5 31% 0.1 / 3 (5%) 0.1 / 0.75 (8%) 1.3 / 1 (128%)
5th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 183 3.6 1.3 36% 1.0 / 2 (50%) 0.4 / 1.5 (27%) -0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)
29th Aug '20 UFC Fight Night 182 1.25 0.0 0% 0.3 / 1 (25%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
22nd Aug '20 UFC Vegas 7 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
15th Aug '20 UFC 252 15.19 -3.1 -20% 1.7 / 8.5 (20%) -2.0 / 1.99 (-100%) -2.8 / 4.7 (-60%)
8th Aug '20 UFC Vegas 6 2.5 4.1 164% 2.9 / 1.5 (196%) 1.2 / 1 (116%)
1st Aug '20 UFC Vegas 5 2.5 -2.5 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
25th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 3 7.95 -1.8 -22% 0.7 / 1 (73%) -0.8 / 2 (-39%) -1.7 / 4.95 (-35%)
18th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 2 2.2 5.8 264% 6.0 / 2 (300%) -0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)
15th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 1 10.4 9.4 90% 2.5 / 1 (250%) 0.8 / 1 (83%) 6.0 / 8.4 (72%)
11th Jul '20 UFC 251 19.98 18.6 93% 14.4 / 11.18 (129%) 4.3 / 8.8 (48%)


Winning Events: 22 (65%)
Losing Events: 12 (35%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.68 units
Most Staked On One Event: 20.30 units
Best Event: 18.65 units
Worst Event: -5.60 units
Average Event: 1.22 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 33.80
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -6.67

Duck Phillips: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 57.85 -0.6 -1% -5.8 / 24.5 (-23%) -0.2 / 16.85 (-1%) 5.3 / 16.5 (32%) 4 / 4 (50%) -0.08
2020 135.22 42.0 31% 11.0 / 39.8 (28%) 21.2 / 38.92 (54%) 9.8 / 56.5 (17%) 18 / 8 (69%) 1.62

Duck Phillips: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Duck Phillips: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 192.07 40.9 21% 4.8 / 63.3 (8%) 21.0 / 55.77 (38%) 15.1 / 73 (21%)
Other 1 0.4 44% 0.4 / 1 (44%)

Duck Phillips: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 15 (27%) 12 80 % 20.00 1.02 0.07 5%
Slight Favorites 23 (41%) 15 65 % 28.45 0.61 0.03 2%
Slight Underdogs 14 (25%) 6 43 % 13.75 -1.30 -0.09 -9%
Big Underdogs 4 (7%) 4 100 % 2.10 4.95 1.24 236%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 12 (21%) 8 67 % 17.95 0.15 0.01 1%
Co-Main Event 7 (13%) 6 86 % 6.85 4.50 0.64 66%
Position 3-5 18 (32%) 9 50 % 19.00 -2.61 -0.15 -14%
6+ (Undercard) 19 (34%) 14 74 % 20.50 3.24 0.17 16%

Duck Phillips: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 7 (13%) 6 86 % 7.10 2.87 0.41 40%
Light Heavy 9 (16%) 7 78 % 10.50 -0.37 -0.04 -4%
Middleweight 8 (14%) 4 50 % 8.50 -1.20 -0.15 -14%
Welterweight 3 (5%) 3 100 % 3.00 3.85 1.28 128%
Lightweight 10 (18%) 5 50 % 12.25 -3.02 -0.30 -25%
Featherweight 5 (9%) 3 60 % 6.00 0.24 0.05 4%
Bantamweight 3 (5%) 2 67 % 4.70 1.24 0.41 26%
Flyweight 2 (4%) 2 100 % 2.00 2.10 1.05 105%
               
Women's Fights 9 (16%) 5 56 % 10.25 -0.42 -0.05 -4%
Bantamweight 3 (5%) 3 100 % 3.00 2.91 0.97 97%
Flyweight 1 (2%) 1 100 % 1.50 0.75 0.75 50%
Strawweight 5 (9%) 1 20 % 5.75 -4.08 -0.82 -71%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 172 (76%) 131 76 %
Slight Favorites 42 (19%) 33 79 %
Slight Underdogs 11 (5%) 3 27 %
Big Underdogs 2 (1%) 1 50 %
227 168 74 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 64 (40%) 55 86 %
50-65% 32 (20%) 17 53 %
35-50% 13 (8%) 7 54 %
<35% chance 52 (32%) 9 17 %
161 88 55 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 33 (20%) 26 79 % 1.44 2.10Pick was correct 1.16Pick was correct 5.2 (16%)
Goes to Decision 4 (2%) 4 100 % 1.73 2.75Pick was correct 1.30Pick was correct 3.4 (86%)
Does not go to Decision 3 (2%) 1 33 % 1.66 2.88Pick was incorrect 1.30Pick was correct -1.7 (-57%)
Fight Starts Round X 36 (22%) 32 89 % 1.30 1.80Pick was correct 1.10Pick was incorrect 5.3 (15%)
X Wins by KO 15 (9%) 4 27 % 2.56 7.00Pick was correct 1.62Pick was incorrect -0.4 (-3%)
X Wins by Sub 13 (8%) 5 38 % 2.98 8.00Pick was correct 1.67Pick was incorrect 14.6 (112%)
X Wins by Decision 8 (5%) 6 75 % 2.36 4.00Pick was incorrect 1.67Pick was correct 5.4 (68%)
X Wins in Round X 18 (11%) 0 0 % 13.69 23.00Pick was incorrect 8.00Pick was incorrect -18.0 (-100%)
Others 31 (19%) 10 32 % 3.03 23.00Pick was incorrect 1.22Pick was correct -1.0 (-3%)
161 88 55 % 2.01     12.9 (8%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Duck Phillips's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
11th Jul UFC 251 19.98 18.6 93% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,186.46
15th Jul UFC Fight Island 1 10.4 9.4 90% $11.86 $1,186.46 $1,297.45
18th Jul UFC Fight Island 2 2.2 5.8 264% $12.97 $1,297.45 $1,372.70
25th Jul UFC Fight Island 3 7.95 -1.8 -22% $13.73 $1,372.70 $1,348.18
1st Aug UFC Vegas 5 2.5 -2.5 -100% $13.48 $1,348.18 $1,314.48
8th Aug UFC Vegas 6 2.5 4.1 164% $13.14 $1,314.48 $1,368.41
15th Aug UFC 252 15.19 -3.1 -20% $13.68 $1,368.41 $1,326.19
22nd Aug UFC Vegas 7 1 -1.0 -100% $13.26 $1,326.19 $1,312.93
29th Aug UFC Fight Night 182 1.25 0.0 0% $13.13 $1,312.93 $1,312.93
5th Sep UFC Fight Night 183 3.6 1.3 36% $13.13 $1,312.93 $1,330.00
12th Sep UFC Fight Night 184 4.75 1.5 31% $13.30 $1,330.00 $1,349.80
19th Sep UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 1.5 1.5 102% $13.50 $1,349.80 $1,370.52
26th Sep UFC 253 9.4 4.1 44% $13.71 $1,370.52 $1,427.36
4th Oct UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 5.7 3.4 60% $14.27 $1,427.36 $1,475.87
10th Oct UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 4.5 2.2 49% $14.76 $1,475.87 $1,508.22
17th Oct UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 2.5 1.7 68% $15.08 $1,508.22 $1,533.71
24th Oct UFC 254 5.6 -5.6 -100% $15.34 $1,533.71 $1,447.82
31st Oct UFC Vegas 12 4 2.1 52% $14.48 $1,447.82 $1,478.17
5th Nov DWCS 34 1 0.4 44% $14.78 $1,478.17 $1,484.68
8th Nov UFC Vegas 13 4 0.1 4% $14.85 $1,484.68 $1,486.83
14th Nov UFC Vegas 14 3.4 -3.4 -100% $14.87 $1,486.83 $1,436.28
21st Nov UFC 255 6.9 1.1 16% $14.36 $1,436.28 $1,452.54
29th Nov UFC Vegas 15 1.5 1.0 67% $14.53 $1,452.54 $1,467.13
6th Dec UFC Vegas 16 6.6 1.7 25% $14.67 $1,467.13 $1,491.78
13th Dec UFC 256 4.1 -1.3 -32% $14.92 $1,491.78 $1,472.28
19th Dec UFC Vegas 17 3.2 0.6 17% $14.72 $1,472.28 $1,480.44
16th Jan UFC FN 4 -0.5 -13% $14.80 $1,480.44 $1,472.86
20th Jan UFC on ESPN 20 5.4 -0.7 -14% $14.73 $1,472.86 $1,462.01
24th Jan UFC 257 8.7 -5.4 -62% $14.62 $1,462.01 $1,382.77
6th Feb UFC FN 5 3.8 76% $13.83 $1,382.77 $1,435.33
14th Feb UFC 258 1.5 1.2 80% $14.35 $1,435.33 $1,452.63
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 7.45 2.1 28% $14.53 $1,452.63 $1,483.27
28th Feb UFC Fight Night 186 5.5 3.1 57% $14.83 $1,483.27 $1,529.72
6th Mar UFC 259 20.3 -4.2 -21% $15.30 $1,529.72 $1,465.06


ROI % from starting bank balance: 46.51% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Duck Phillips: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '21 Aleksandar Rakic Thiago Santos 1.57 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '21 Tim Elliott Jordan Espinosa 2.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '21 Tom Aspinall Andrei Arlovski 1.40 1 Sub, R2 (1:9) MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '21 Yana Kunitskaya Ketlen Vieira 3.00 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '21 Tom Aspinall Andrei Arlovski 1.44 1 Sub, R2 (1:9) MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '21 Magomed Ankalaev Nikita Krylov 1.44 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '21 Makhmud Muradov Andrew Sanchez 1.73 1 TKO, R3 (2:59) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '21 Manon Fiorot Victoria Leonardo 1.50 1.5 TKO, R2 (4:8) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '21 Ike Villanueva Vinicius Moreira 1.73 0.5 TKO, R2 (0:39) MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '21 Alexander Volkov Alistair Overeem 1.73 1 TKO, R2 (2:6) MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '21 Askar Askarov Joseph Benavidez 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '20 Tafon Nchukwi Jamie Pickett 1.40 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '20 Charles Oliveira Tony Ferguson 2.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '20 Roman Dolidze John Allan 1.57 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Dec '20 Ilia Topuria Damon Jackson 1.50 1 TKO, R1 (2:38) MMA Bookmaker
16. Dec '20 Roman Dolidze John Allan 1.62 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Dec '20 Ilia Topuria Damon Jackson 1.50 1 TKO, R1 (2:38) MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '20 Gina Mazany Rachael Ostovich 1.67 1.5 TKO, R3 (4:10) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '20 Carlos Ulberg Bruno Oliveira 1.44 1 TKO, R1 (2:2) MMA Bookmaker
20. Oct '20 Bryce Mitchell Andre Fili 1.62 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '21 Petr Yan Aljamain Sterling 1.80 1 No MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '21 Israel Adesanya Jan Blachowicz 1.44 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '21 Carlos Ulberg Kennedy Nzechukwu 1.57 2 TKO, R2 (3:19) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '21 Alexander Hernandez Thiago Moises 1.57 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '21 Danny Chavez Jared Gordon 1.80 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '21 Nassourdine Imavov Phil Hawes 2.10 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '21 Amanda Ribas Marina Alcalde Rodriguez 1.29 1.5 TKO, R2 (0:54) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '21 Mason Jones Mike Davis 2.63 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '20 Billy Quarantillo Gavin Tucker 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '20 Virna Jandiroba Mackenzie Dern 2.25 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '20 Jack Hermansson Marvin Vettori 2.10 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jan '21 Conor McGregor Dustin Poirier 1.57 3 TKO, R2 (2:32) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '20 Miranda Granger Ashley Yoder 1.83 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '20 Brendan Allen Sean Strickland 2.00 1 TKO, R2 (1:32) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '20 Jared Cannonier Robert Whittaker 1.91 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '20 Angela Hill Michelle Waterson 1.67 1.25 Split Decision (5 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
17. Aug '20 Austin Hubbard Joe Solecki 2.20 1 Sub, R1 (3:51) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '20 Junior dos Santos Jairzinho Rozenstruik 2.25 1 TKO, R2 (3:47) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '20 Herbert Burns Daniel Pineda 1.50 2 TKO, R2 (4:37) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Duck Phillips: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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