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MMA Handicapper Stats: Duck Phillips

Duck Phillips (ReggaeP)

MMA MHandicapper - Duck Phillips

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	112 (47%)	Right	34 (64%)	Right	35 (39%)	Right	43 (45%)
Wrong	126 (53%)	Wrong	19 (36%)	Wrong	55 (61%)	Wrong	52 (55%)
Avg Odds	2.44	Avg Odds	1.79	Avg Odds	2.93	Avg Odds	2.55
Units Bet	192.1	Units Bet	64.3	Units Bet	54.8	Units Bet	73.0
Avg Bet	0.81	Avg Bet	1.21	Avg Bet	0.61	Avg Bet	0.77
Units Profit	41.38	Units Profit	5.28	Units Profit	20.97	Units Profit	15.13
ROI %	22%	ROI %	8%	ROI %	38%	ROI %	21%

Duck Phillips: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
6th Mar '21	UFC 259	20.3	-4.2	-21%	-2.3 / 8 (-29%)	-2.1 / 8.5 (-25%)	0.2 / 3.8 (6%)
28th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 186	5.5	3.1	57%	-0.3 / 2.5 (-14%)	2.6 / 2 (130%)	0.9 / 1 (87%)
20th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 185	7.45	2.1	28%	-0.2 / 4.5 (-4%)	0.3 / 1.75 (14%)	2.0 / 1.2 (168%)
14th Feb '21	UFC 258	1.5	1.2	80%		0.2 / 0.5 (36%)	1.0 / 1 (103%)
6th Feb '21	UFC FN	5	3.8	76%	0.7 / 1 (73%)	0.4 / 1 (44%)	2.6 / 3 (88%)
24th Jan '21	UFC 257	8.7	-5.4	-62%	-3.8 / 5.5 (-69%)	-1.1 / 2.7 (-43%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
20th Jan '21	UFC on ESPN 20	5.4	-0.7	-14%	0.1 / 3 (4%)	-0.4 / 0.4 (-100%)	-0.5 / 2 (-23%)
16th Jan '21	UFC FN	4	-0.5	-13%			-0.5 / 4 (-13%)
19th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 17	3.2	0.6	17%	0.2 / 0.5 (40%)	0.5 / 1.2 (39%)	-0.1 / 1.5 (-8%)
13th Dec '20	UFC 256	4.1	-1.3	-32%	-0.5 / 3 (-17%)	-0.3 / 0.3 (-100%)	-0.5 / 0.8 (-63%)
6th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 16	6.6	1.7	25%	1.2 / 5 (24%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	1.0 / 1.1 (90%)
29th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 15	1.5	1.0	67%	1.0 / 1.5 (67%)
21st Nov '20	UFC 255	6.9	1.1	16%		-0.7 / 2.55 (-26%)	1.8 / 4.35 (41%)
14th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 14	3.4	-3.4	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-0.3 / 0.3 (-100%)	-1.1 / 1.1 (-100%)
8th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 13	4	0.1	4%		0.3 / 2 (15%)	-0.2 / 2 (-8%)
5th Nov '20	DWCS 34	1	0.4	44%	0.4 / 1 (44%)
31st Oct '20	UFC Vegas 12	4	2.1	52%	1.2 / 2 (62%)	0.3 / 1 (27%)	0.6 / 1 (59%)
24th Oct '20	UFC 254	5.6	-5.6	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-0.6 / 0.6 (-100%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
17th Oct '20	UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie	2.5	1.7	68%		1.7 / 2.5 (68%)
10th Oct '20	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	4.5	2.2	49%	1.4 / 1.7 (80%)	-0.8 / 0.8 (-100%)	1.6 / 2 (82%)
4th Oct '20	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	5.7	3.4	60%	2.2 / 2.1 (105%)	0.5 / 1.85 (29%)	0.7 / 1.75 (38%)
26th Sep '20	UFC 253	9.4	4.1	44%	1.1 / 2 (57%)	0.2 / 2.4 (8%)	2.8 / 5 (56%)
19th Sep '20	UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley	1.5	1.5	102%	0.4 / 0.5 (80%)		1.1 / 1 (113%)
12th Sep '20	UFC Fight Night 184	4.75	1.5	31%	0.1 / 3 (5%)	0.1 / 0.75 (8%)	1.3 / 1 (128%)
5th Sep '20	UFC Fight Night 183	3.6	1.3	36%	1.0 / 2 (50%)	0.4 / 1.5 (27%)	-0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)
29th Aug '20	UFC Fight Night 182	1.25	0.0	0%	0.3 / 1 (25%)		-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
22nd Aug '20	UFC Vegas 7	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
15th Aug '20	UFC 252	15.19	-3.1	-20%	1.7 / 8.5 (20%)	-2.0 / 1.99 (-100%)	-2.8 / 4.7 (-60%)
8th Aug '20	UFC Vegas 6	2.5	4.1	164%		2.9 / 1.5 (196%)	1.2 / 1 (116%)
1st Aug '20	UFC Vegas 5	2.5	-2.5	-100%		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
25th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 3	7.95	-1.8	-22%	0.7 / 1 (73%)	-0.8 / 2 (-39%)	-1.7 / 4.95 (-35%)
18th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 2	2.2	5.8	264%		6.0 / 2 (300%)	-0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)
15th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 1	10.4	9.4	90%	2.5 / 1 (250%)	0.8 / 1 (83%)	6.0 / 8.4 (72%)
11th Jul '20	UFC 251	19.98	18.6	93%		14.4 / 11.18 (129%)	4.3 / 8.8 (48%)

Winning Events: 22 (65%)
Losing Events: 12 (35%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.68 units
Most Staked On One Event: 20.30 units
Best Event: 18.65 units
Worst Event: -5.60 units
Average Event: 1.22 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 33.80
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -6.67

Duck Phillips: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	57.85	-0.6	-1%	-5.8 / 24.5 (-23%)	-0.2 / 16.85 (-1%)	5.3 / 16.5 (32%)	4 / 4 (50%)	-0.08
2020	135.22	42.0	31%	11.0 / 39.8 (28%)	21.2 / 38.92 (54%)	9.8 / 56.5 (17%)	18 / 8 (69%)	1.62

Duck Phillips: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Duck Phillips: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	192.07	40.9	21%	4.8 / 63.3 (8%)	21.0 / 55.77 (38%)	15.1 / 73 (21%)
Other	1	0.4	44%	0.4 / 1 (44%)

Duck Phillips: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	15 (27%)	12	80 %	20.00	1.02	0.07	5%
Slight Favorites	23 (41%)	15	65 %	28.45	0.61	0.03	2%
Slight Underdogs	14 (25%)	6	43 %	13.75	-1.30	-0.09	-9%
Big Underdogs	4 (7%)	4	100 %	2.10	4.95	1.24	236%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	12 (21%)	8	67 %	17.95	0.15	0.01	1%
Co-Main Event	7 (13%)	6	86 %	6.85	4.50	0.64	66%
Position 3-5	18 (32%)	9	50 %	19.00	-2.61	-0.15	-14%
6+ (Undercard)	19 (34%)	14	74 %	20.50	3.24	0.17	16%

Duck Phillips: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	7 (13%)	6	86 %	7.10	2.87	0.41	40%
Light Heavy	9 (16%)	7	78 %	10.50	-0.37	-0.04	-4%
Middleweight	8 (14%)	4	50 %	8.50	-1.20	-0.15	-14%
Welterweight	3 (5%)	3	100 %	3.00	3.85	1.28	128%
Lightweight	10 (18%)	5	50 %	12.25	-3.02	-0.30	-25%
Featherweight	5 (9%)	3	60 %	6.00	0.24	0.05	4%
Bantamweight	3 (5%)	2	67 %	4.70	1.24	0.41	26%
Flyweight	2 (4%)	2	100 %	2.00	2.10	1.05	105%

Women's Fights	9 (16%)	5	56 %	10.25	-0.42	-0.05	-4%
Bantamweight	3 (5%)	3	100 %	3.00	2.91	0.97	97%
Flyweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.50	0.75	0.75	50%
Strawweight	5 (9%)	1	20 %	5.75	-4.08	-0.82	-71%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	172 (76%)	131	76 %
Slight Favorites	42 (19%)	33	79 %
Slight Underdogs	11 (5%)	3	27 %
Big Underdogs	2 (1%)	1	50 %
	227	168	74 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	64 (40%)	55	86 %
50-65%	32 (20%)	17	53 %
35-50%	13 (8%)	7	54 %
<35% chance	52 (32%)	9	17 %
	161	88	55 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	33 (20%)	26	79 %	1.44	2.10	1.16	5.2 (16%)
Goes to Decision	4 (2%)	4	100 %	1.73	2.75	1.30	3.4 (86%)
Does not go to Decision	3 (2%)	1	33 %	1.66	2.88	1.30	-1.7 (-57%)
Fight Starts Round X	36 (22%)	32	89 %	1.30	1.80	1.10	5.3 (15%)
X Wins by KO	15 (9%)	4	27 %	2.56	7.00	1.62	-0.4 (-3%)
X Wins by Sub	13 (8%)	5	38 %	2.98	8.00	1.67	14.6 (112%)
X Wins by Decision	8 (5%)	6	75 %	2.36	4.00	1.67	5.4 (68%)
X Wins in Round X	18 (11%)	0	0 %	13.69	23.00	8.00	-18.0 (-100%)
Others	31 (19%)	10	32 %	3.03	23.00	1.22	-1.0 (-3%)
	161	88	55 %	2.01			12.9 (8%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Duck Phillips's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
11th Jul	UFC 251	19.98	18.6	93%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,186.46
15th Jul	UFC Fight Island 1	10.4	9.4	90%		$11.86	$1,186.46	$1,297.45
18th Jul	UFC Fight Island 2	2.2	5.8	264%		$12.97	$1,297.45	$1,372.70
25th Jul	UFC Fight Island 3	7.95	-1.8	-22%		$13.73	$1,372.70	$1,348.18
1st Aug	UFC Vegas 5	2.5	-2.5	-100%		$13.48	$1,348.18	$1,314.48
8th Aug	UFC Vegas 6	2.5	4.1	164%		$13.14	$1,314.48	$1,368.41
15th Aug	UFC 252	15.19	-3.1	-20%		$13.68	$1,368.41	$1,326.19
22nd Aug	UFC Vegas 7	1	-1.0	-100%		$13.26	$1,326.19	$1,312.93
29th Aug	UFC Fight Night 182	1.25	0.0	0%		$13.13	$1,312.93	$1,312.93
5th Sep	UFC Fight Night 183	3.6	1.3	36%		$13.13	$1,312.93	$1,330.00
12th Sep	UFC Fight Night 184	4.75	1.5	31%		$13.30	$1,330.00	$1,349.80
19th Sep	UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley	1.5	1.5	102%		$13.50	$1,349.80	$1,370.52
26th Sep	UFC 253	9.4	4.1	44%		$13.71	$1,370.52	$1,427.36
4th Oct	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	5.7	3.4	60%		$14.27	$1,427.36	$1,475.87
10th Oct	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	4.5	2.2	49%		$14.76	$1,475.87	$1,508.22
17th Oct	UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie	2.5	1.7	68%		$15.08	$1,508.22	$1,533.71
24th Oct	UFC 254	5.6	-5.6	-100%		$15.34	$1,533.71	$1,447.82
31st Oct	UFC Vegas 12	4	2.1	52%		$14.48	$1,447.82	$1,478.17
5th Nov	DWCS 34	1	0.4	44%		$14.78	$1,478.17	$1,484.68
8th Nov	UFC Vegas 13	4	0.1	4%		$14.85	$1,484.68	$1,486.83
14th Nov	UFC Vegas 14	3.4	-3.4	-100%		$14.87	$1,486.83	$1,436.28
21st Nov	UFC 255	6.9	1.1	16%		$14.36	$1,436.28	$1,452.54
29th Nov	UFC Vegas 15	1.5	1.0	67%		$14.53	$1,452.54	$1,467.13
6th Dec	UFC Vegas 16	6.6	1.7	25%		$14.67	$1,467.13	$1,491.78
13th Dec	UFC 256	4.1	-1.3	-32%		$14.92	$1,491.78	$1,472.28
19th Dec	UFC Vegas 17	3.2	0.6	17%		$14.72	$1,472.28	$1,480.44
16th Jan	UFC FN	4	-0.5	-13%		$14.80	$1,480.44	$1,472.86
20th Jan	UFC on ESPN 20	5.4	-0.7	-14%		$14.73	$1,472.86	$1,462.01
24th Jan	UFC 257	8.7	-5.4	-62%		$14.62	$1,462.01	$1,382.77
6th Feb	UFC FN	5	3.8	76%		$13.83	$1,382.77	$1,435.33
14th Feb	UFC 258	1.5	1.2	80%		$14.35	$1,435.33	$1,452.63
20th Feb	UFC Fight Night 185	7.45	2.1	28%		$14.53	$1,452.63	$1,483.27
28th Feb	UFC Fight Night 186	5.5	3.1	57%		$14.83	$1,483.27	$1,529.72
6th Mar	UFC 259	20.3	-4.2	-21%		$15.30	$1,529.72	$1,465.06

ROI % from starting bank balance: 46.51% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Duck Phillips: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Mar '21	Aleksandar Rakic	Thiago Santos	1.57	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Mar '21	Tim Elliott	Jordan Espinosa	2.10	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Feb '21	Tom Aspinall	Andrei Arlovski	1.40	1	Sub, R2 (1:9)
4.	Feb '21	Yana Kunitskaya	Ketlen Vieira	3.00	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Feb '21	Tom Aspinall	Andrei Arlovski	1.44	1	Sub, R2 (1:9)
6.	Feb '21	Magomed Ankalaev	Nikita Krylov	1.44	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Jan '21	Makhmud Muradov	Andrew Sanchez	1.73	1	TKO, R3 (2:59)
8.	Jan '21	Manon Fiorot	Victoria Leonardo	1.50	1.5	TKO, R2 (4:8)
9.	Jan '21	Ike Villanueva	Vinicius Moreira	1.73	0.5	TKO, R2 (0:39)
10.	Feb '21	Alexander Volkov	Alistair Overeem	1.73	1	TKO, R2 (2:6)
11.	Mar '21	Askar Askarov	Joseph Benavidez	2.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Dec '20	Tafon Nchukwi	Jamie Pickett	1.40	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Dec '20	Charles Oliveira	Tony Ferguson	2.50	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Dec '20	Roman Dolidze	John Allan	1.57	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Dec '20	Ilia Topuria	Damon Jackson	1.50	1	TKO, R1 (2:38)
16.	Dec '20	Roman Dolidze	John Allan	1.62	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Dec '20	Ilia Topuria	Damon Jackson	1.50	1	TKO, R1 (2:38)
18.	Nov '20	Gina Mazany	Rachael Ostovich	1.67	1.5	TKO, R3 (4:10)
19.	Nov '20	Carlos Ulberg	Bruno Oliveira	1.44	1	TKO, R1 (2:2)
20.	Oct '20	Bryce Mitchell	Andre Fili	1.62	2	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Mar '21	Petr Yan	Aljamain Sterling	1.80	1		No
2.	Mar '21	Israel Adesanya	Jan Blachowicz	1.44	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
3.	Mar '21	Carlos Ulberg	Kennedy Nzechukwu	1.57	2	TKO, R2 (3:19)	No
4.	Feb '21	Alexander Hernandez	Thiago Moises	1.57	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Feb '21	Danny Chavez	Jared Gordon	1.80	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Feb '21	Nassourdine Imavov	Phil Hawes	2.10	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Jan '21	Amanda Ribas	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	1.29	1.5	TKO, R2 (0:54)	No
8.	Jan '21	Mason Jones	Mike Davis	2.63	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Dec '20	Billy Quarantillo	Gavin Tucker	2.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Dec '20	Virna Jandiroba	Mackenzie Dern	2.25	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Dec '20	Jack Hermansson	Marvin Vettori	2.10	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
12.	Jan '21	Conor McGregor	Dustin Poirier	1.57	3	TKO, R2 (2:32)	No
13.	Nov '20	Miranda Granger	Ashley Yoder	1.83	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Nov '20	Brendan Allen	Sean Strickland	2.00	1	TKO, R2 (1:32)	No
15.	Oct '20	Jared Cannonier	Robert Whittaker	1.91	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Sep '20	Angela Hill	Michelle Waterson	1.67	1.25	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
17.	Aug '20	Austin Hubbard	Joe Solecki	2.20	1	Sub, R1 (3:51)	No
18.	Aug '20	Junior dos Santos	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	2.25	1	TKO, R2 (3:47)	No
19.	Aug '20	Herbert Burns	Daniel Pineda	1.50	2	TKO, R2 (4:37)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Duck Phillips: Progress Chart

Chart

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