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MMA Handicapper Stats: Trans Polygamist

Trans Polygamist (eatingwriting)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Trans Polygamist

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 48 (49%) Right 20 (49%) Right 19 (48%) Right 9 (53%)
Wrong 50 (51%) Wrong 21 (51%) Wrong 21 (53%) Wrong 8 (47%)
Avg Odds 2.31 Avg Odds 2.00 Avg Odds 2.63 Avg Odds 2.52
Units Bet 223.4 Units Bet 125.2 Units Bet 66.3 Units Bet 31.9
Avg Bet 2.28 Avg Bet 3.05 Avg Bet 1.66 Avg Bet 1.88
Units Profit 20.75 Units Profit -12.09 Units Profit 21.83 Units Profit 11.01
ROI % 9% ROI % -10% ROI % 33% ROI % 34%
View Handicapper's Profile

Trans Polygamist: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
11th Jun '22 UFC 275 6.5 -6.5 -100% -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
5th Mar '22 UFC 272 6 -6.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
19th Feb '22 UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill 7 2.8 40% 2.8 / 7 (40%)
11th Dec '21 UFC 269 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
4th Dec '21 UFC FN 17.35 -7.8 -45% -5.7 / 15.25 (-38%) -1.1 / 1.1 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
13th Nov '21 UFC FN 8 5.0 63% 5.0 / 8 (63%)
6th Nov '21 UFC 268 18.5 7.4 40% 3.0 / 15 (20%) 4.4 / 3.5 (127%)
30th Oct '21 UFC 267 5 3.3 67% 3.3 / 5 (67%)
23rd Oct '21 UFC FN 29 -4.0 -14% -4.8 / 19 (-25%) 3.6 / 5 (71%) -2.8 / 5 (-55%)
16th Oct '21 UFC FN 16 -5.1 -32% -9.0 / 9 (-100%) 3.9 / 7 (56%)
9th Oct '21 UFC FN 11 3.2 29% 3.2 / 11 (29%)
2nd Oct '21 UFC FN 9 6.2 69% 2.5 / 4 (63%) 1.9 / 4 (47%) 1.9 / 1 (189%)
25th Sep '21 UFC 266 12.85 2.5 20% 2.6 / 6 (43%) -3.9 / 3.85 (-100%) 3.8 / 3 (125%)
18th Sep '21 UFC FN 17 8.9 52% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 5.7 / 7 (82%) 7.1 / 6 (119%)
4th Sep '21 UFC FN 5 2.2 45% 0.5 / 2 (25%) 1.7 / 3 (58%)
28th Aug '21 UFC FN 11.35 3.9 34% 1.1 / 5 (21%) 2.8 / 6.35 (44%)
21st Aug '21 UFC FN 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
7th Aug '21 UFC 265 11 7.1 64% 3.3 / 4 (83%) 3.7 / 7 (53%)
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 6 -6.0 -100% -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
15th Aug '20 UFC 252 3.75 5.1 137% 5.1 / 3.75 (137%)
1st Aug '20 UFC Vegas 5 8.65 7.6 88% 2.8 / 2 (140%) 2.6 / 4.65 (55%) 2.3 / 2 (115%)
18th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 2 4.77 -2.2 -46% -1.1 / 1.1 (-100%) -1.1 / 3.67 (-30%)
11th Jul '20 UFC 251 8.32 -2.6 -31% -2.0 / 4.65 (-43%) -2.4 / 2.42 (-100%) 1.9 / 1.25 (150%)


Winning Events: 13 (57%)
Losing Events: 10 (43%)

Average Staked Per Event: 9.85 units
Most Staked On One Event: 29.00 units
Best Event: 8.88 units
Worst Event: -7.83 units
Average Event: 0.90 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 26.95
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -12.50

Trans Polygamist: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2022 19.5 -9.7 -50% -4.7 / 14.5 (-32%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 1 / 2 (33%) -3.23
2021 181.55 22.4 12% -13.3 / 100.25 (-13%) 23.8 / 60.3 (39%) 11.9 / 21 (57%) 10 / 6 (63%) 1.40
2020 25.49 8.0 32% 5.9 / 10.4 (57%) -1.0 / 8.17 (-12%) 3.1 / 6.92 (44%) 2 / 2 (50%) 2.01

Trans Polygamist: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Trans Polygamist: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 226.54 20.8 9% -12.1 / 125.15 (-10%) 21.8 / 69.47 (31%) 11.0 / 31.92 (34%)

Trans Polygamist: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 6 (15%) 5 83 % 33.00 5.67 0.95 17%
Slight Favorites 14 (34%) 7 50 % 49.15 -6.77 -0.48 -14%
Slight Underdogs 16 (39%) 7 44 % 36.25 -7.13 -0.45 -20%
Big Underdogs 5 (12%) 1 20 % 6.75 -3.86 -0.77 -57%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 7 (17%) 4 57 % 25.50 4.84 0.69 19%
Co-Main Event 6 (15%) 5 83 % 17.25 8.33 1.39 48%
Position 3-5 10 (24%) 4 40 % 35.00 -10.72 -1.07 -31%
6+ (Undercard) 18 (44%) 7 39 % 47.40 -14.55 -0.81 -31%

Trans Polygamist: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 3 (7%) 1 33 % 5.00 1.00 0.33 20%
Light Heavy 5 (12%) 2 40 % 22.50 -6.65 -1.33 -30%
Middleweight 6 (15%) 2 33 % 20.00 -8.24 -1.37 -41%
Welterweight 3 (7%) 2 67 % 11.00 2.58 0.86 23%
Lightweight 4 (10%) 1 25 % 9.00 -6.70 -1.67 -74%
Featherweight 4 (10%) 1 25 % 11.00 -8.50 -2.13 -77%
Bantamweight 9 (22%) 8 89 % 30.00 20.14 2.24 67%
Flyweight 2 (5%) 2 100 % 2.65 2.50 1.25 94%
               
Women's Fights 5 (12%) 1 20 % 14.00 -8.22 -1.64 -59%
Featherweight 1 (2%) 0 % 3.00 -3.00 -3.00 -100%
Bantamweight 1 (2%) 0 % 4.00 -4.00 -4.00 -100%
Flyweight 1 (2%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
Strawweight 2 (5%) 1 50 % 5.00 0.78 0.39 16%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 19 (59%) 13 68 %
Slight Favorites 12 (38%) 10 83 %
Slight Underdogs 1 (3%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
32 23 72 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 10 (21%) 6 60 %
50-65% 11 (23%) 8 73 %
35-50% 11 (23%) 10 91 %
<35% chance 16 (33%) 0 0 %
48 24 50 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 10 (21%) 6 60 % 1.66 2.60Pick was correct 1.30Pick was correct 0.3 (3%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (6%) 1 33 % 2.35 3.20Pick was incorrect 1.67Pick was correct -1.3 (-44%)
Goes to Decision 4 (8%) 4 100 % 1.64 2.15Pick was correct 1.43Pick was correct 2.7 (68%)
Does not go to Decision 7 (15%) 7 100 % 1.77 2.20Pick was correct 1.45Pick was correct 5.8 (82%)
X Wins by KO 2 (4%) 0 0 % 6.00 8.91Pick was incorrect 4.52Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 2 (4%) 0 0 % 6.63 11.00Pick was incorrect 4.75Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 3 (6%) 0 0 % 3.32 6.75Pick was incorrect 1.91Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 2 (4%) 2 100 % 2.12 2.70Pick was correct 1.74Pick was correct 2.4 (122%)
X Wins in Round X 3 (6%) 0 0 % 8.26 11.50Pick was incorrect 6.05Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
Others 12 (25%) 4 33 % 2.85 8.50Pick was incorrect 1.46Pick was incorrect -3.5 (-29%)
48 24 50 % 2.31     -3.5 (-7%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Trans Polygamist's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
11th Jul UFC 251 8.32 -2.6 -31% $10.00 $1,000.00 $974.50
18th Jul UFC Fight Island 2 4.77 -2.2 -46% $9.74 $974.50 $953.05
1st Aug UFC Vegas 5 8.65 7.6 88% $9.53 $953.05 $1,025.94
15th Aug UFC 252 3.75 5.1 137% $10.26 $1,025.94 $1,078.65
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 6 -6.0 -100% $10.79 $1,078.65 $1,013.93
7th Aug UFC 265 11 7.1 64% $10.14 $1,013.93 $1,085.66
21st Aug UFC FN 1.5 -1.5 -100% $10.86 $1,085.66 $1,069.38
28th Aug UFC FN 11.35 3.9 34% $10.69 $1,069.38 $1,110.58
4th Sep UFC FN 5 2.2 45% $11.11 $1,110.58 $1,135.57
18th Sep UFC FN 17 8.9 52% $11.36 $1,135.57 $1,236.36
25th Sep UFC 266 12.85 2.5 20% $12.36 $1,236.36 $1,267.37
2nd Oct UFC FN 9 6.2 69% $12.67 $1,267.37 $1,346.58
9th Oct UFC FN 11 3.2 29% $13.47 $1,346.58 $1,389.82
16th Oct UFC FN 16 -5.1 -32% $13.90 $1,389.82 $1,319.17
23rd Oct UFC FN 29 -4.0 -14% $13.19 $1,319.17 $1,267.01
30th Oct UFC 267 5 3.3 67% $12.67 $1,267.01 $1,309.25
6th Nov UFC 268 18.5 7.4 40% $13.09 $1,309.25 $1,406.07
13th Nov UFC FN 8 5.0 63% $14.06 $1,406.07 $1,476.79
4th Dec UFC FN 17.35 -7.8 -45% $14.77 $1,476.79 $1,361.23
11th Dec UFC 269 3 -3.0 -100% $13.61 $1,361.23 $1,320.40
19th Feb UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill 7 2.8 40% $13.20 $1,320.40 $1,357.37
5th Mar UFC 272 6 -6.0 -100% $13.57 $1,357.37 $1,275.92
11th Jun UFC 275 6.5 -6.5 -100% $12.76 $1,275.92 $1,192.99


ROI % from starting bank balance: 19.30% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Trans Polygamist: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Feb '22 Jamahal Hill Johnny Walker 1.40 7 TKO, R1 (2:55) MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '21 Vincent Morales Louis Smolka 2.34 1.25 TKO, R1 (2:2) MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '21 Jose Aldo Rob Font 2.20 3 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '21 Rose Namajunas Weili Zhang 1.93 3 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '21 Nassourdine Imavov Edmen Shahbazyan 1.91 2 TKO, R2 (4:42) MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '21 Marlon Vera Frankie Edgar 1.67 5 TKO, R3 (3:50) MMA Bookmaker
7. Oct '21 Jonathan Martinez Zviad Lazishvili 2.10 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '21 Marvin Vettori Paulo Costa 1.59 5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '21 Chris Gutierrez Felipe Colares 1.43 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '21 Randy Brown Jared Gooden 1.42 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '21 Niko Price Alex Oliveira 1.63 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Sep '21 Julian Erosa Charles Jourdain 2.50 1 Sub, R3 (2:56) MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '21 Dustin Jacoby Darren Stewart 1.51 4 TKO, R1 (3:4) MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '21 Merab Dvalishvili Marlon Moraes 1.43 6 TKO, R2 (4:25) MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '21 Jose Aldo Pedro Munhoz 1.83 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '20 Stipe Miocic Daniel Cormier 2.00 3 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Aug '20 Jennifer Maia Joanne Wood 2.50 1 Sub, R1 (4:29) MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '20 Bobby Green Lando Vannata 2.30 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '20 Marlon Vera Sean O'Malley 3.85 0.75 TKO, R1 (4:40) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '20 Raulian Paiva Zhalgas Zhumagulov 1.61 1.65 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jun '22 Ramazan Emeev Jack Della Maddalena 2.35 2 TKO, R1 (2:32) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jun '22 Glover Teixeira Jiri Prochazka 2.75 3.5 Sub, R5 (4:32) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '22 Yan Xiaonan Marina Alcalde Rodriguez 3.04 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '21 Chris Gruetzemacher Claudio Puelles 2.00 2.5 Sub, R3 (3:25) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '21 Alonzo Menifield William Knight 1.63 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '21 Brad Riddell Rafael Fiziev 1.91 3.5 TKO, R3 (2:20) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '21 Michael Chandler Justin Gaethje 2.65 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '21 Billy Quarantillo Shane Burgos 2.54 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '21 Jun Yong Park Gregory Rodrigues 1.97 5 TKO, R2 (3:13) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '21 Seung Woo Choi Alex Caceres 1.34 6 Sub, R2 (3:31) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '21 Brandon Davis Danaa Batgerel 2.27 2 TKO, R1 (2:1) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '21 Andrew Sanchez Bruno Silva 2.31 2 TKO, R3 (2:35) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '21 Mayra Bueno Silva Manon Fiorot 3.11 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '21 Aspen Ladd Norma Dumont 1.71 3 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '21 Jared Vanderaa Alexander Romanov 4.98 1 TKO, R2 (4:43) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '21 Pannie Kianzad Raquel Pennington 1.91 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '21 Dalcha Lungiambula Marc-Andre Barriault 2.43 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '21 Edson Barboza Giga Chikadze 1.80 1 TKO, R3 (1:44) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '21 Andrei Arlovski Tom Aspinall 3.18 1 Sub, R2 (1:9) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Feb '21 Nassourdine Imavov Phil Hawes 2.08 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Trans Polygamist: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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