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MMA Handicapper Stats: Trans Polygamist

Trans Polygamist (eatingwriting)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Trans Polygamist

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 9 (47%) Right 5 (63%) Right 1 (20%) Right 3 (50%)
Wrong 10 (53%) Wrong 3 (38%) Wrong 4 (80%) Wrong 3 (50%)
Avg Odds 2.36 Avg Odds 2.21 Avg Odds 2.77 Avg Odds 2.28
Units Bet 28.3 Units Bet 16.4 Units Bet 5.0 Units Bet 6.9
Avg Bet 1.49 Avg Bet 2.05 Avg Bet 1.00 Avg Bet 1.15
Units Profit 2.03 Units Profit -0.06 Units Profit -0.97 Units Profit 3.07
ROI % 7% ROI % -0% ROI % -19% ROI % 44%
View Handicapper's Profile

Trans Polygamist: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 6 -6.0 -100% -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
15th Aug '20 UFC 252 3.75 5.1 137% 5.1 / 3.75 (137%)
1st Aug '20 UFC Vegas 5 8.65 7.6 88% 2.8 / 2 (140%) 2.6 / 4.65 (55%) 2.3 / 2 (115%)
18th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 2 4.77 -2.2 -46% -1.1 / 1.1 (-100%) -1.1 / 3.67 (-30%)
11th Jul '20 UFC 251 8.32 -2.6 -31% -2.0 / 4.65 (-43%) -2.4 / 2.42 (-100%) 1.9 / 1.25 (150%)


Winning Events: 2 (40%)
Losing Events: 3 (60%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.30 units
Most Staked On One Event: 8.65 units
Best Event: 7.65 units
Worst Event: -6.00 units
Average Event: 0.41 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 12.79
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -6.00

Trans Polygamist: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 6 -6.0 -100% -6.0 / 6 (-100%) 0.0 / 0 (nan%) / 1 (0%) -6.00
2020 25.49 8.0 32% 5.9 / 10.4 (57%) -1.0 / 8.17 (-12%) 3.1 / 6.92 (44%) 2 / 2 (50%) 2.01

Trans Polygamist: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Trans Polygamist: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 31.49 2.0 6% -0.1 / 16.4 (-0%) -1.0 / 8.17 (-12%) 3.1 / 6.92 (44%)

Trans Polygamist: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%
Slight Favorites 2 (25%) 1 50 % 4.65 -2.00 -1.00 -43%
Slight Underdogs 4 (50%) 3 75 % 10.00 0.80 0.20 8%
Big Underdogs 2 (25%) 1 50 % 1.75 1.14 0.57 65%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 1 (13%) 1 100 % 3.00 3.00 3.00 100%
Co-Main Event 2 (25%) 2 100 % 1.75 3.64 1.82 208%
Position 3-5 2 (25%) 1 50 % 6.00 -3.70 -1.85 -62%
6+ (Undercard) 3 (38%) 1 33 % 5.65 -3.00 -1.00 -53%

Trans Polygamist: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 2 (25%) 1 50 % 4.00 2.00 1.00 50%
Light Heavy 1 (13%) 0 % 3.00 -3.00 -3.00 -100%
Middleweight 1 (13%) 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -5.00 -100%
Lightweight 1 (13%) 1 100 % 1.00 1.30 1.30 130%
Bantamweight 1 (13%) 1 100 % 0.75 2.14 2.14 285%
Flyweight 2 (25%) 2 100 % 2.65 2.50 1.25 94%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 7 (70%) 4 57 %
Slight Favorites 3 (30%) 2 67 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
10 6 60 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 2 (25%) 2 100 %
50-65% 2 (25%) 1 50 %
35-50% 2 (25%) 1 50 %
<35% chance 2 (25%) 0 0 %
8 4 50 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (25%) 0 0 % 2.95 3.20Pick was incorrect 2.74Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Goes to Decision 2 (25%) 2 100 % 1.46 1.48Pick was correct 1.43Pick was correct 0.9 (46%)
X Wins by Decision 2 (25%) 0 0 % 2.65 4.34Pick was incorrect 1.91Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 2 (25%) 2 100 % 2.12 2.70Pick was correct 1.74Pick was correct 2.4 (122%)
8 4 50 % 2.13     -0.6 (-8%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Trans Polygamist's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
11th Jul UFC 251 8.32 -2.6 -31% $10.00 $1,000.00 $974.50
18th Jul UFC Fight Island 2 4.77 -2.2 -46% $9.74 $974.50 $953.05
1st Aug UFC Vegas 5 8.65 7.6 88% $9.53 $953.05 $1,025.94
15th Aug UFC 252 3.75 5.1 137% $10.26 $1,025.94 $1,078.65
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 6 -6.0 -100% $10.79 $1,078.65 $1,013.93


ROI % from starting bank balance: 1.39% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Trans Polygamist: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Aug '20 Stipe Miocic Daniel Cormier 2.00 3 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '20 Jennifer Maia Joanne Calderwood 2.50 1 Sub, R1 (4:29) MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '20 Bobby Green Lando Vannata 2.30 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '20 Marlon Vera Sean O'Malley 3.85 0.75 TKO, R1 (4:40) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '20 Raulian Paiva Zhalgas Zhumagulov 1.61 1.65 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Feb '21 Andrei Arlovski Tom Aspinall 3.18 1 Sub, R2 (1:9) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '21 Nassourdine Imavov Phil Hawes 2.08 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '20 Volkan Oezdemir Jiri Prochazka 1.67 3 TKO, R2 (0:49) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Trans Polygamist: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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