|
MMA Handicapper Stats: Trans Polygamist |
|
Trans Polygamist: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
24th Jun '23 |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
13 |
8.8 |
68% |
-0.6 / 6 (-11%) |
10.5 / 6 (174%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
10th Jun '23 |
UFC 289 |
6 |
-6.0 |
-100% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
|
25th Mar '23 |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen |
12 |
11.2 |
93% |
2.5 / 5 (50%) |
3.7 / 5 (74%) |
5.0 / 2 (249%) |
18th Mar '23 |
UFC 286 |
7.5 |
-7.5 |
-100% |
-6.0 / 6 (-100%) |
|
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
11th Mar '23 |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
10.5 |
-3.5 |
-33% |
-0.2 / 5 (-4%) |
-3.3 / 5.5 (-60%) |
|
4th Mar '23 |
UFC 285 |
3.5 |
-3.5 |
-100% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
|
11th Feb '23 |
UFC 284 |
9.2 |
-3.5 |
-38% |
-7.2 / 7.2 (-100%) |
3.7 / 2 (185%) |
|
11th Jun '22 |
UFC 275 |
6.5 |
-6.5 |
-100% |
-5.5 / 5.5 (-100%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
5th Mar '22 |
UFC 272 |
6 |
-6.0 |
-100% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
|
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
19th Feb '22 |
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill |
7 |
2.8 |
40% |
2.8 / 7 (40%) |
|
|
11th Dec '21 |
UFC 269 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
|
4th Dec '21 |
UFC FN |
17.35 |
-7.8 |
-45% |
-5.7 / 15.25 (-38%) |
-1.1 / 1.1 (-100%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
13th Nov '21 |
UFC FN |
8 |
5.0 |
63% |
|
5.0 / 8 (63%) |
|
6th Nov '21 |
UFC 268 |
18.5 |
7.4 |
40% |
3.0 / 15 (20%) |
|
4.4 / 3.5 (127%) |
30th Oct '21 |
UFC 267 |
5 |
3.3 |
67% |
|
3.3 / 5 (67%) |
|
23rd Oct '21 |
UFC FN |
29 |
-4.0 |
-14% |
-4.8 / 19 (-25%) |
3.6 / 5 (71%) |
-2.8 / 5 (-55%) |
16th Oct '21 |
UFC FN |
16 |
-5.1 |
-32% |
-9.0 / 9 (-100%) |
3.9 / 7 (56%) |
|
9th Oct '21 |
UFC FN |
11 |
3.2 |
29% |
3.2 / 11 (29%) |
|
|
2nd Oct '21 |
UFC FN |
9 |
6.2 |
69% |
2.5 / 4 (63%) |
1.9 / 4 (47%) |
1.9 / 1 (189%) |
25th Sep '21 |
UFC 266 |
12.85 |
2.5 |
20% |
2.6 / 6 (43%) |
-3.9 / 3.85 (-100%) |
3.8 / 3 (125%) |
18th Sep '21 |
UFC FN |
17 |
8.9 |
52% |
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
5.7 / 7 (82%) |
7.1 / 6 (119%) |
4th Sep '21 |
UFC FN |
5 |
2.2 |
45% |
0.5 / 2 (25%) |
1.7 / 3 (58%) |
|
28th Aug '21 |
UFC FN |
11.35 |
3.9 |
34% |
1.1 / 5 (21%) |
2.8 / 6.35 (44%) |
|
21st Aug '21 |
UFC FN |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
|
|
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
7th Aug '21 |
UFC 265 |
11 |
7.1 |
64% |
3.3 / 4 (83%) |
3.7 / 7 (53%) |
|
20th Feb '21 |
UFC Fight Night 185 |
6 |
-6.0 |
-100% |
-6.0 / 6 (-100%) |
|
|
15th Aug '20 |
UFC 252 |
3.75 |
5.1 |
137% |
5.1 / 3.75 (137%) |
|
|
1st Aug '20 |
UFC Vegas 5 |
8.65 |
7.6 |
88% |
2.8 / 2 (140%) |
2.6 / 4.65 (55%) |
2.3 / 2 (115%) |
18th Jul '20 |
UFC Fight Island 2 |
4.77 |
-2.2 |
-46% |
|
-1.1 / 1.1 (-100%) |
-1.1 / 3.67 (-30%) |
11th Jul '20 |
UFC 251 |
8.32 |
-2.6 |
-31% |
-2.0 / 4.65 (-43%) |
-2.4 / 2.42 (-100%) |
1.9 / 1.25 (150%) |
Winning Events: 15 (50%) Losing Events: 15 (50%)
Average Staked Per Event: 9.61 units Most Staked On One Event: 29.00 units Best Event: 11.18 units Worst Event: -7.83 units Average Event: 0.56 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 26.95 Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -30.49 |
Trans Polygamist: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2023 |
61.7 |
-4.0 |
-6% |
-14.5 / 32.2 (-45%) |
8.1 / 25 (32%) |
2.5 / 4.5 (55%) |
2 / 5 (29%) |
-0.57 |
2022 |
19.5 |
-9.7 |
-50% |
-4.7 / 14.5 (-32%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
1 / 2 (33%) |
-3.23 |
2021 |
181.55 |
22.4 |
12% |
-13.3 / 100.25 (-13%) |
23.8 / 60.3 (39%) |
11.9 / 21 (57%) |
10 / 6 (63%) |
1.40 |
2020 |
25.49 |
8.0 |
32% |
5.9 / 10.4 (57%) |
-1.0 / 8.17 (-12%) |
3.1 / 6.92 (44%) |
2 / 2 (50%) |
2.01 |
|
Trans Polygamist: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
Trans Polygamist: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
288.24 |
16.8 |
6% |
-26.6 / 157.35 (-17%) |
29.9 / 94.47 (32%) |
13.5 / 36.42 (37%) |
|
Trans Polygamist: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
8 (15%) |
6 |
75 % |
43.00 |
3.17 |
0.40 |
7% |
Slight Favorites |
18 (33%) |
9 |
50 % |
60.35 |
-7.80 |
-0.43 |
-13% |
Slight Underdogs |
18 (33%) |
7 |
39 % |
40.25 |
-11.13 |
-0.62 |
-28% |
Big Underdogs |
11 (20%) |
1 |
9 % |
13.75 |
-10.86 |
-0.99 |
-79% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
8 (15%) |
4 |
50 % |
26.00 |
4.34 |
0.54 |
17% |
Co-Main Event |
8 (15%) |
5 |
63 % |
24.25 |
1.33 |
0.17 |
5% |
Position 3-5 |
15 (27%) |
6 |
40 % |
46.50 |
-9.91 |
-0.66 |
-21% |
6+ (Undercard) |
24 (44%) |
8 |
33 % |
60.60 |
-22.38 |
-0.93 |
-37% |
|
Trans Polygamist: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
3 (5%) |
1 |
33 % |
5.00 |
1.00 |
0.33 |
20% |
Light Heavy |
6 (11%) |
3 |
50 % |
25.50 |
-4.84 |
-0.81 |
-19% |
Middleweight |
7 (13%) |
2 |
29 % |
21.00 |
-9.24 |
-1.32 |
-44% |
Welterweight |
4 (7%) |
2 |
50 % |
13.00 |
0.58 |
0.15 |
4% |
Lightweight |
7 (13%) |
2 |
29 % |
20.00 |
-12.34 |
-1.76 |
-62% |
Featherweight |
8 (15%) |
2 |
25 % |
20.70 |
-10.70 |
-1.34 |
-52% |
Bantamweight |
10 (18%) |
8 |
80 % |
32.00 |
18.14 |
1.81 |
57% |
Flyweight |
2 (4%) |
2 |
100 % |
2.65 |
2.50 |
1.25 |
94% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
8 (15%) |
1 |
13 % |
17.50 |
-11.72 |
-1.47 |
-67% |
Featherweight |
1 (2%) |
|
0 % |
3.00 |
-3.00 |
-3.00 |
-100% |
Bantamweight |
2 (4%) |
|
0 % |
4.50 |
-4.50 |
-2.25 |
-100% |
Flyweight |
1 (2%) |
|
0 % |
2.00 |
-2.00 |
-2.00 |
-100% |
Strawweight |
4 (7%) |
1 |
25 % |
8.00 |
-2.22 |
-0.56 |
-28% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
25 (58%) |
17 |
68 % |
Slight Favorites |
16 (37%) |
12 |
75 % |
Slight Underdogs |
2 (5%) |
1 |
50 % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
43 |
30 |
70 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
10 (16%) |
6 |
60 % |
50-65% |
13 (21%) |
10 |
77 % |
35-50% |
19 (30%) |
13 |
68 % |
<35% chance |
21 (33%) |
1 |
5 % |
|
63 |
30 |
48 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Trans Polygamist's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
11th Jul |
UFC 251 |
8.32 |
-2.6 |
-31% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$974.50 |
18th Jul |
UFC Fight Island 2 |
4.77 |
-2.2 |
-46% |
|
$9.74 |
$974.50 |
$953.05 |
1st Aug |
UFC Vegas 5 |
8.65 |
7.6 |
88% |
|
$9.53 |
$953.05 |
$1,025.94 |
15th Aug |
UFC 252 |
3.75 |
5.1 |
137% |
|
$10.26 |
$1,025.94 |
$1,078.65 |
20th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 185 |
6 |
-6.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.79 |
$1,078.65 |
$1,013.93 |
7th Aug |
UFC 265 |
11 |
7.1 |
64% |
|
$10.14 |
$1,013.93 |
$1,085.66 |
21st Aug |
UFC FN |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.86 |
$1,085.66 |
$1,069.38 |
28th Aug |
UFC FN |
11.35 |
3.9 |
34% |
|
$10.69 |
$1,069.38 |
$1,110.58 |
4th Sep |
UFC FN |
5 |
2.2 |
45% |
|
$11.11 |
$1,110.58 |
$1,135.57 |
18th Sep |
UFC FN |
17 |
8.9 |
52% |
|
$11.36 |
$1,135.57 |
$1,236.36 |
25th Sep |
UFC 266 |
12.85 |
2.5 |
20% |
|
$12.36 |
$1,236.36 |
$1,267.37 |
2nd Oct |
UFC FN |
9 |
6.2 |
69% |
|
$12.67 |
$1,267.37 |
$1,346.58 |
9th Oct |
UFC FN |
11 |
3.2 |
29% |
|
$13.47 |
$1,346.58 |
$1,389.82 |
16th Oct |
UFC FN |
16 |
-5.1 |
-32% |
|
$13.90 |
$1,389.82 |
$1,319.17 |
23rd Oct |
UFC FN |
29 |
-4.0 |
-14% |
|
$13.19 |
$1,319.17 |
$1,267.01 |
30th Oct |
UFC 267 |
5 |
3.3 |
67% |
|
$12.67 |
$1,267.01 |
$1,309.25 |
6th Nov |
UFC 268 |
18.5 |
7.4 |
40% |
|
$13.09 |
$1,309.25 |
$1,406.07 |
13th Nov |
UFC FN |
8 |
5.0 |
63% |
|
$14.06 |
$1,406.07 |
$1,476.79 |
4th Dec |
UFC FN |
17.35 |
-7.8 |
-45% |
|
$14.77 |
$1,476.79 |
$1,361.23 |
11th Dec |
UFC 269 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$13.61 |
$1,361.23 |
$1,320.40 |
19th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill |
7 |
2.8 |
40% |
|
$13.20 |
$1,320.40 |
$1,357.37 |
5th Mar |
UFC 272 |
6 |
-6.0 |
-100% |
|
$13.57 |
$1,357.37 |
$1,275.92 |
11th Jun |
UFC 275 |
6.5 |
-6.5 |
-100% |
|
$12.76 |
$1,275.92 |
$1,192.99 |
11th Feb |
UFC 284 |
9.2 |
-3.5 |
-38% |
|
$11.93 |
$1,192.99 |
$1,151.23 |
4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
3.5 |
-3.5 |
-100% |
|
$11.51 |
$1,151.23 |
$1,110.94 |
11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
10.5 |
-3.5 |
-33% |
|
$11.11 |
$1,110.94 |
$1,072.14 |
18th Mar |
UFC 286 |
7.5 |
-7.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.72 |
$1,072.14 |
$991.73 |
25th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen |
12 |
11.2 |
93% |
|
$9.92 |
$991.73 |
$1,102.62 |
10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
6 |
-6.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.03 |
$1,102.62 |
$1,036.47 |
24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
13 |
8.8 |
68% |
|
$10.36 |
$1,036.47 |
$1,128.01 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 12.80% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Trans Polygamist: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Jun '23 |
Mateusz Rebecki |
Loik Radzhabov |
1.79 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (2:36) |
|
|
2. |
Mar '23 |
Nate Landwehr |
Austin Lingo |
1.50 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (4:11) |
|
|
3. |
Mar '23 |
Nikita Krylov |
Ryan Spann |
1.60 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (3:38) |
|
|
4. |
Feb '22 |
Jamahal Hill |
Johnny Walker |
1.40 |
7 |
TKO, R1 (2:55) |
|
|
5. |
Dec '21 |
Vincent Morales |
Louis Smolka |
2.34 |
1.25 |
TKO, R1 (2:2) |
|
|
6. |
Dec '21 |
Jose Aldo |
Rob Font |
2.20 |
3 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
7. |
Nov '21 |
Rose Namajunas |
Weili Zhang |
1.93 |
3 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
8. |
Nov '21 |
Nassourdine Imavov |
Edmen Shahbazyan |
1.91 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (4:42) |
|
|
9. |
Nov '21 |
Marlon Vera |
Frankie Edgar |
1.67 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (3:50) |
|
|
10. |
Oct '21 |
Jonathan Martinez |
Zviad Lazishvili |
2.10 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
11. |
Oct '21 |
Marvin Vettori |
Paulo Costa |
1.59 |
5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
12. |
Oct '21 |
Chris Gutierrez |
Felipe Colares |
1.43 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
13. |
Oct '21 |
Randy Brown |
Jared Gooden |
1.42 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
14. |
Oct '21 |
Niko Price |
Alex Oliveira |
1.63 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
15. |
Sep '21 |
Julian Erosa |
Charles Jourdain |
2.50 |
1 |
Sub, R3 (2:56) |
|
|
16. |
Aug '21 |
Dustin Jacoby |
Darren Stewart |
1.51 |
4 |
TKO, R1 (3:4) |
|
|
17. |
Sep '21 |
Merab Dvalishvili |
Marlon Moraes |
1.43 |
6 |
TKO, R2 (4:25) |
|
|
18. |
Aug '21 |
Jose Aldo |
Pedro Munhoz |
1.83 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
19. |
Aug '20 |
Stipe Miocic |
Daniel Cormier |
2.00 |
3 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
20. |
Aug '20 |
Jennifer Maia |
Joanne Wood |
2.50 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (4:29) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Jun '23 |
Trevor Peek |
Jose Mariscal |
1.79 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Jun '23 |
Irene Aldana |
Amanda Nunes |
3.70 |
0.5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Jun '23 |
Nate Landwehr |
Dan Ige |
3.31 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Mar '23 |
Roman Dolidze |
Marvin Vettori |
3.16 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Mar '23 |
Rafael Fiziev |
Justin Gaethje |
1.42 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Mar '23 |
Raphael Assuncao |
Davey Grant |
2.24 |
2 |
Sub, R3 (4:43) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Mar '23 |
Jessica Penne |
Tabatha Ricci |
3.82 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (2:14) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Feb '23 |
Randy Brown |
Jack Della Maddalena |
3.58 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (2:13) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Feb '23 |
Josh Emmett |
Yair Rodriguez |
2.60 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (4:19) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Feb '23 |
Elise Reed |
Loma Lookboonmee |
3.67 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (0:44) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Feb '23 |
Melsik Bagdasaryan |
Joshua Culibao |
1.91 |
2.2 |
Sub, R2 (2:2) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Jun '22 |
Ramazan Emeev |
Jack Della Maddalena |
2.35 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (2:32) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Jun '22 |
Glover Teixeira |
Jiri Prochazka |
2.75 |
3.5 |
Sub, R5 (4:32) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Mar '22 |
Yan Xiaonan |
Marina Alcalde Rodriguez |
3.04 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Dec '21 |
Chris Gruetzemacher |
Claudio Puelles |
2.00 |
2.5 |
Sub, R3 (3:25) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Dec '21 |
Alonzo Menifield |
William Knight |
1.63 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Dec '21 |
Brad Riddell |
Rafael Fiziev |
1.91 |
3.5 |
TKO, R3 (2:20) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Nov '21 |
Michael Chandler |
Justin Gaethje |
2.65 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Nov '21 |
Billy Quarantillo |
Shane Burgos |
2.54 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Oct '21 |
Jun Yong Park |
Gregory Rodrigues |
1.97 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (3:13) |
No |
|
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Trans Polygamist: Progress Chart |
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