MMA Handicapper Stats: Brian III |
|
Brian III : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
10th Apr '21 |
UFC FN |
3.6 |
2.2 |
61% |
1.1 / 2.5 (45%) |
-0.1 / 0.1 (-100%) |
1.2 / 1 (119%) |
28th Mar '21 |
UFC 260 |
2.85 |
1.5 |
53% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
2.9 / 0.35 (814%) |
0.7 / 0.5 (135%) |
21st Mar '21 |
UFC Fight Night 188 |
3 |
1.5 |
50% |
|
|
1.5 / 3 (50%) |
13th Mar '21 |
UFC Fight Night 187 |
2.2 |
1.7 |
79% |
1.9 / 2 (97%) |
|
-0.2 / 0.2 (-100%) |
6th Mar '21 |
UFC 259 |
3.36 |
-2.0 |
-59% |
-2.3 / 2.3 (-100%) |
0.3 / 1.06 (30%) |
|
28th Feb '21 |
UFC Fight Night 186 |
4.05 |
2.0 |
49% |
1.0 / 2.9 (34%) |
-0.2 / 0.15 (-100%) |
1.1 / 1 (115%) |
14th Feb '21 |
UFC 258 |
7.5 |
-0.3 |
-4% |
-0.3 / 7.5 (-4%) |
|
|
6th Feb '21 |
UFC FN |
1.625 |
2.4 |
146% |
|
3.0 / 1 (300%) |
-0.6 / 0.625 (-100%) |
24th Jan '21 |
UFC 257 |
5 |
-1.5 |
-30% |
-1.5 / 5 (-30%) |
|
|
20th Jan '21 |
UFC on ESPN 20 |
4.51 |
-2.5 |
-55% |
-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) |
|
1.0 / 1.01 (99%) |
16th Jan '21 |
UFC FN |
2.45 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
-1.2 / 1.2 (-100%) |
-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%) |
|
19th Dec '20 |
UFC Vegas 17 |
2.87 |
-0.5 |
-19% |
0.2 / 2.12 (9%) |
|
-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%) |
13th Dec '20 |
UFC 256 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
100% |
|
0.5 / 0.5 (100%) |
|
6th Dec '20 |
UFC Vegas 16 |
7.92 |
4.2 |
52% |
4.3 / 7.82 (54%) |
|
-0.1 / 0.1 (-100%) |
29th Nov '20 |
UFC Vegas 15 |
0.25 |
3.0 |
1,200% |
|
3.0 / 0.25 (1,200%) |
|
21st Nov '20 |
UFC 255 |
4.82 |
-2.6 |
-54% |
-1.0 / 3.2 (-31%) |
-1.6 / 1.62 (-100%) |
|
14th Nov '20 |
UFC Vegas 14 |
2.67 |
1.5 |
56% |
1.5 / 2.67 (56%) |
|
|
8th Nov '20 |
UFC Vegas 13 |
2.58 |
0.0 |
1% |
|
|
0.0 / 2.58 (1%) |
5th Nov '20 |
DWCS 34 |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
|
|
31st Oct '20 |
UFC Vegas 12 |
2.6 |
0.4 |
15% |
1.0 / 2 (50%) |
-0.6 / 0.6 (-100%) |
|
24th Oct '20 |
UFC 254 |
3.93 |
3.0 |
77% |
2.0 / 3.23 (62%) |
1.3 / 0.5 (250%) |
-0.2 / 0.2 (-100%) |
17th Oct '20 |
UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie |
13.15 |
-3.7 |
-28% |
-7.6 / 7.6 (-100%) |
0.9 / 3.55 (27%) |
2.9 / 2 (145%) |
10th Oct '20 |
UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen |
5.48 |
-3.1 |
-57% |
-1.1 / 3.48 (-32%) |
|
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
4th Oct '20 |
UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana |
3.25 |
-3.3 |
-100% |
-2.3 / 2.25 (-100%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
26th Sep '20 |
UFC 253 |
5.1 |
-5.1 |
-100% |
-5.1 / 5.1 (-100%) |
|
|
19th Sep '20 |
UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley |
16.98 |
6.8 |
40% |
4.9 / 14.2 (35%) |
-0.1 / 0.1 (-100%) |
2.0 / 2.68 (75%) |
12th Sep '20 |
UFC Fight Night 184 |
2.86 |
0.4 |
14% |
|
0.4 / 2.86 (14%) |
|
5th Sep '20 |
UFC Fight Night 183 |
3.43 |
2.2 |
63% |
2.0 / 3.18 (63%) |
0.2 / 0.25 (63%) |
|
2nd Sep '20 |
DWCS 31 |
5.8 |
2.0 |
34% |
2.0 / 5.8 (34%) |
|
|
29th Aug '20 |
UFC Fight Night 182 |
5.75 |
4.5 |
78% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
3.2 / 1.75 (186%) |
2.3 / 3 (75%) |
22nd Aug '20 |
UFC Vegas 7 |
9 |
-7.2 |
-80% |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) |
1.3 / 0.5 (255%) |
15th Aug '20 |
UFC 252 |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
|
|
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
8th Aug '20 |
UFC Vegas 6 |
4.95 |
7.0 |
141% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
8.0 / 3.95 (201%) |
1st Aug '20 |
UFC Vegas 5 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
|
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
25th Jul '20 |
UFC Fight Island 3 |
8.22 |
-1.0 |
-12% |
-2.0 / 6.46 (-30%) |
|
1.0 / 1.76 (57%) |
18th Jul '20 |
UFC Fight Island 2 |
2 |
1.9 |
94% |
|
|
1.9 / 2 (94%) |
15th Jul '20 |
UFC Fight Island 1 |
6.5 |
-6.5 |
-100% |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
|
-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) |
11th Jul '20 |
UFC 251 |
8.67 |
3.1 |
36% |
2.6 / 3.5 (74%) |
0.5 / 5.12 (11%) |
-0.1 / 0.05 (-100%) |
Winning Events: 21 (55%) Losing Events: 17 (45%)
Average Staked Per Event: 4.62 units Most Staked On One Event: 16.98 units Best Event: 6.96 units Worst Event: -7.23 units Average Event: 0.11 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 15.91 Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -15.21 |
Brian III : Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2021 |
40.145 |
2.6 |
7% |
-6.7 / 28.9 (-23%) |
4.7 / 3.91 (119%) |
4.7 / 7.335 (64%) |
6 / 5 (55%) |
0.24 |
2020 |
135.28 |
1.4 |
1% |
-9.1 / 83.11 (-11%) |
3.2 / 21.6 (15%) |
7.2 / 30.57 (24%) |
15 / 12 (56%) |
0.05 |
|
Brian III : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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|
Brian III : Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
169.125 |
2.5 |
1% |
-17.3 / 105.71 (-16%) |
7.9 / 25.51 (31%) |
11.9 / 37.905 (31%) |
Other |
6.3 |
1.5 |
24% |
1.5 / 6.3 (24%) |
|
|
|
Brian III : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
13 (24%) |
9 |
69 % |
51.55 |
-5.57 |
-0.43 |
-11% |
Slight Favorites |
21 (38%) |
11 |
52 % |
39.42 |
-1.65 |
-0.08 |
-4% |
Slight Underdogs |
15 (27%) |
5 |
33 % |
15.84 |
-6.86 |
-0.46 |
-43% |
Big Underdogs |
6 (11%) |
1 |
17 % |
5.20 |
-1.70 |
-0.28 |
-33% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
14 (25%) |
8 |
57 % |
41.89 |
-2.78 |
-0.20 |
-7% |
Co-Main Event |
9 (16%) |
3 |
33 % |
20.25 |
-12.62 |
-1.40 |
-62% |
Position 3-5 |
16 (29%) |
8 |
50 % |
25.33 |
-2.44 |
-0.15 |
-10% |
6+ (Undercard) |
16 (29%) |
7 |
44 % |
24.54 |
2.05 |
0.13 |
8% |
|
Brian III : Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
4 (7%) |
2 |
50 % |
10.66 |
-0.26 |
-0.06 |
-2% |
Light Heavy |
5 (9%) |
3 |
60 % |
10.50 |
-0.99 |
-0.20 |
-9% |
Middleweight |
6 (11%) |
3 |
50 % |
9.96 |
-0.04 |
-0.01 |
-0% |
Welterweight |
10 (18%) |
6 |
60 % |
25.29 |
4.07 |
0.41 |
16% |
Lightweight |
4 (7%) |
1 |
25 % |
6.50 |
-3.00 |
-0.75 |
-46% |
Featherweight |
8 (15%) |
5 |
63 % |
21.87 |
-3.94 |
-0.49 |
-18% |
Bantamweight |
8 (15%) |
5 |
63 % |
14.67 |
-1.17 |
-0.15 |
-8% |
Flyweight |
4 (7%) |
1 |
25 % |
4.40 |
-2.30 |
-0.58 |
-52% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
6 (11%) |
|
0 % |
8.16 |
-8.16 |
-1.36 |
-100% |
Flyweight |
3 (5%) |
|
0 % |
4.00 |
-4.00 |
-1.33 |
-100% |
Strawweight |
3 (5%) |
|
0 % |
4.16 |
-4.16 |
-1.39 |
-100% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
40 (61%) |
36 |
90 % |
Slight Favorites |
19 (29%) |
12 |
63 % |
Slight Underdogs |
7 (11%) |
1 |
14 % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
66 |
49 |
74 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
6 (18%) |
4 |
67 % |
50-65% |
6 (18%) |
3 |
50 % |
35-50% |
7 (21%) |
3 |
43 % |
<35% chance |
14 (42%) |
5 |
36 % |
|
33 |
15 |
45 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Brian III 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
11th Jul |
UFC 251 |
8.67 |
3.1 |
36% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,030.81 |
15th Jul |
UFC Fight Island 1 |
6.5 |
-6.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.31 |
$1,030.81 |
$963.80 |
18th Jul |
UFC Fight Island 2 |
2 |
1.9 |
94% |
|
$9.64 |
$963.80 |
$981.91 |
25th Jul |
UFC Fight Island 3 |
8.22 |
-1.0 |
-12% |
|
$9.82 |
$981.91 |
$972.50 |
1st Aug |
UFC Vegas 5 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.72 |
$972.50 |
$923.87 |
8th Aug |
UFC Vegas 6 |
4.95 |
7.0 |
141% |
|
$9.24 |
$923.87 |
$988.16 |
15th Aug |
UFC 252 |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
|
$9.88 |
$988.16 |
$983.22 |
22nd Aug |
UFC Vegas 7 |
9 |
-7.2 |
-80% |
|
$9.83 |
$983.22 |
$912.17 |
29th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 182 |
5.75 |
4.5 |
78% |
|
$9.12 |
$912.17 |
$953.31 |
2nd Sep |
DWCS 31 |
5.8 |
2.0 |
34% |
|
$9.53 |
$953.31 |
$972.37 |
5th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 183 |
3.43 |
2.2 |
63% |
|
$9.72 |
$972.37 |
$993.35 |
12th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 184 |
2.86 |
0.4 |
14% |
|
$9.93 |
$993.35 |
$997.40 |
19th Sep |
UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley |
16.98 |
6.8 |
40% |
|
$9.97 |
$997.40 |
$1,065.54 |
26th Sep |
UFC 253 |
5.1 |
-5.1 |
-100% |
|
$10.66 |
$1,065.54 |
$1,011.19 |
4th Oct |
UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana |
3.25 |
-3.3 |
-100% |
|
$10.11 |
$1,011.19 |
$978.33 |
10th Oct |
UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen |
5.48 |
-3.1 |
-57% |
|
$9.78 |
$978.33 |
$947.90 |
17th Oct |
UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie |
13.15 |
-3.7 |
-28% |
|
$9.48 |
$947.90 |
$912.40 |
24th Oct |
UFC 254 |
3.93 |
3.0 |
77% |
|
$9.12 |
$912.40 |
$940.17 |
31st Oct |
UFC Vegas 12 |
2.6 |
0.4 |
15% |
|
$9.40 |
$940.17 |
$943.93 |
5th Nov |
DWCS 34 |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
|
$9.44 |
$943.93 |
$939.21 |
8th Nov |
UFC Vegas 13 |
2.58 |
0.0 |
1% |
|
$9.39 |
$939.21 |
$939.39 |
14th Nov |
UFC Vegas 14 |
2.67 |
1.5 |
56% |
|
$9.39 |
$939.39 |
$953.48 |
21st Nov |
UFC 255 |
4.82 |
-2.6 |
-54% |
|
$9.53 |
$953.48 |
$928.50 |
29th Nov |
UFC Vegas 15 |
0.25 |
3.0 |
1,200% |
|
$9.28 |
$928.50 |
$956.35 |
6th Dec |
UFC Vegas 16 |
7.92 |
4.2 |
52% |
|
$9.56 |
$956.35 |
$996.04 |
13th Dec |
UFC 256 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
100% |
|
$9.96 |
$996.04 |
$1,001.02 |
19th Dec |
UFC Vegas 17 |
2.87 |
-0.5 |
-19% |
|
$10.01 |
$1,001.02 |
$995.51 |
16th Jan |
UFC FN |
2.45 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
|
$9.96 |
$995.51 |
$971.12 |
20th Jan |
UFC on ESPN 20 |
4.51 |
-2.5 |
-55% |
|
$9.71 |
$971.12 |
$946.83 |
24th Jan |
UFC 257 |
5 |
-1.5 |
-30% |
|
$9.47 |
$946.83 |
$932.63 |
6th Feb |
UFC FN |
1.625 |
2.4 |
146% |
|
$9.33 |
$932.63 |
$954.78 |
14th Feb |
UFC 258 |
7.5 |
-0.3 |
-4% |
|
$9.55 |
$954.78 |
$952.13 |
28th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 186 |
4.05 |
2.0 |
49% |
|
$9.52 |
$952.13 |
$971.14 |
6th Mar |
UFC 259 |
3.36 |
-2.0 |
-59% |
|
$9.71 |
$971.14 |
$951.87 |
13th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 187 |
2.2 |
1.7 |
79% |
|
$9.52 |
$951.87 |
$968.51 |
21st Mar |
UFC Fight Night 188 |
3 |
1.5 |
50% |
|
$9.69 |
$968.51 |
$983.04 |
28th Mar |
UFC 260 |
2.85 |
1.5 |
53% |
|
$9.83 |
$983.04 |
$998.01 |
10th Apr |
UFC FN |
3.6 |
2.2 |
61% |
|
$9.98 |
$998.01 |
$1,020.00 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 2.00% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Brian III : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Apr '21 |
Scott Holtzman |
Mateusz Gamrot |
3.00 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (1:22) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Mar '21 |
Stipe Miocic |
Francis Ngannou |
2.25 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (0:52) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Mar '21 |
Petr Yan |
Aljamain Sterling |
1.91 |
1.1 |
|
No |
|
|
4. |
Mar '21 |
Rogerio Bontorin |
Kai Kara-France |
2.25 |
1.2 |
TKO, R1 (4:55) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Feb '21 |
Maycee Barber |
Alexa Grasso |
2.05 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Feb '21 |
Maki Pitolo |
Julian Marquez |
2.55 |
1.5 |
Sub, R3 (4:17) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Jan '21 |
Daniel Hooker |
Michael Chandler |
1.80 |
4 |
TKO, R1 (2:30) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Jan '21 |
Mounir Lazzez |
Warlley Alves |
1.74 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (2:35) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Jan '21 |
Mounir Lazzez |
Warlley Alves |
1.74 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (2:35) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Jan '21 |
Dusko Todorovic |
Punahele Soriano |
1.83 |
1.2 |
TKO, R1 (4:48) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Dec '20 |
Geoff Neal |
Stephen Thompson |
1.89 |
1.12 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Nov '20 |
Jared Gooden |
Alan Jouban |
2.50 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Nov '20 |
Alex Perez |
Deiveson Figueiredo |
3.50 |
1.2 |
Sub, R1 (1:57) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Nov '20 |
Bruno Oliveira |
Carlos Ulberg |
3.10 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (2:2) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Oct '20 |
Chan Sung Jung |
Brian Ortega |
1.53 |
7.6 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Oct '20 |
Omar Morales |
Giga Chikadze |
1.65 |
0.77 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Oct '20 |
Markus Perez |
Dricus Du Plessis |
2.50 |
1.34 |
TKO, R1 (3:22) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Oct '20 |
Yorgan De Castro |
Carlos Felipe |
1.44 |
2.25 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Sep '20 |
Alex da Silva |
Brad Riddell |
3.60 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Sep '20 |
Jordan Espinosa |
David Dvorak |
2.00 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Brian III : Progress Chart |
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