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MMA Handicapper Stats: Brian III

Brian III (bjami16)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Brian III

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 51 (49%) Right 22 (46%) Right 13 (48%) Right 16 (55%)
Wrong 53 (51%) Wrong 26 (54%) Wrong 14 (52%) Wrong 13 (45%)
Avg Odds 2.26 Avg Odds 1.89 Avg Odds 3.05 Avg Odds 2.45
Units Bet 175.4 Units Bet 112.0 Units Bet 25.5 Units Bet 37.9
Avg Bet 1.69 Avg Bet 2.33 Avg Bet 0.94 Avg Bet 1.31
Units Profit 4.01 Units Profit -15.78 Units Profit 7.90 Units Profit 11.89
ROI % 2% ROI % -14% ROI % 31% ROI % 31%
View Handicapper's Profile

Brian III : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
10th Apr '21 UFC FN 3.6 2.2 61% 1.1 / 2.5 (45%) -0.1 / 0.1 (-100%) 1.2 / 1 (119%)
28th Mar '21 UFC 260 2.85 1.5 53% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 2.9 / 0.35 (814%) 0.7 / 0.5 (135%)
21st Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 188 3 1.5 50% 1.5 / 3 (50%)
13th Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 187 2.2 1.7 79% 1.9 / 2 (97%) -0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)
6th Mar '21 UFC 259 3.36 -2.0 -59% -2.3 / 2.3 (-100%) 0.3 / 1.06 (30%)
28th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 186 4.05 2.0 49% 1.0 / 2.9 (34%) -0.2 / 0.15 (-100%) 1.1 / 1 (115%)
14th Feb '21 UFC 258 7.5 -0.3 -4% -0.3 / 7.5 (-4%)
6th Feb '21 UFC FN 1.625 2.4 146% 3.0 / 1 (300%) -0.6 / 0.625 (-100%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 5 -1.5 -30% -1.5 / 5 (-30%)
20th Jan '21 UFC on ESPN 20 4.51 -2.5 -55% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) 1.0 / 1.01 (99%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 2.45 -2.5 -100% -1.2 / 1.2 (-100%) -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
19th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 17 2.87 -0.5 -19% 0.2 / 2.12 (9%) -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
13th Dec '20 UFC 256 0.5 0.5 100% 0.5 / 0.5 (100%)
6th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 16 7.92 4.2 52% 4.3 / 7.82 (54%) -0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)
29th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 15 0.25 3.0 1,200% 3.0 / 0.25 (1,200%)
21st Nov '20 UFC 255 4.82 -2.6 -54% -1.0 / 3.2 (-31%) -1.6 / 1.62 (-100%)
14th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 14 2.67 1.5 56% 1.5 / 2.67 (56%)
8th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 13 2.58 0.0 1% 0.0 / 2.58 (1%)
5th Nov '20 DWCS 34 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
31st Oct '20 UFC Vegas 12 2.6 0.4 15% 1.0 / 2 (50%) -0.6 / 0.6 (-100%)
24th Oct '20 UFC 254 3.93 3.0 77% 2.0 / 3.23 (62%) 1.3 / 0.5 (250%) -0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)
17th Oct '20 UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 13.15 -3.7 -28% -7.6 / 7.6 (-100%) 0.9 / 3.55 (27%) 2.9 / 2 (145%)
10th Oct '20 UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 5.48 -3.1 -57% -1.1 / 3.48 (-32%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
4th Oct '20 UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 3.25 -3.3 -100% -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
26th Sep '20 UFC 253 5.1 -5.1 -100% -5.1 / 5.1 (-100%)
19th Sep '20 UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 16.98 6.8 40% 4.9 / 14.2 (35%) -0.1 / 0.1 (-100%) 2.0 / 2.68 (75%)
12th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 184 2.86 0.4 14% 0.4 / 2.86 (14%)
5th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 183 3.43 2.2 63% 2.0 / 3.18 (63%) 0.2 / 0.25 (63%)
2nd Sep '20 DWCS 31 5.8 2.0 34% 2.0 / 5.8 (34%)
29th Aug '20 UFC Fight Night 182 5.75 4.5 78% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 3.2 / 1.75 (186%) 2.3 / 3 (75%)
22nd Aug '20 UFC Vegas 7 9 -7.2 -80% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) 1.3 / 0.5 (255%)
15th Aug '20 UFC 252 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
8th Aug '20 UFC Vegas 6 4.95 7.0 141% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 8.0 / 3.95 (201%)
1st Aug '20 UFC Vegas 5 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
25th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 3 8.22 -1.0 -12% -2.0 / 6.46 (-30%) 1.0 / 1.76 (57%)
18th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 2 2 1.9 94% 1.9 / 2 (94%)
15th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 1 6.5 -6.5 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
11th Jul '20 UFC 251 8.67 3.1 36% 2.6 / 3.5 (74%) 0.5 / 5.12 (11%) -0.1 / 0.05 (-100%)


Winning Events: 21 (55%)
Losing Events: 17 (45%)

Average Staked Per Event: 4.62 units
Most Staked On One Event: 16.98 units
Best Event: 6.96 units
Worst Event: -7.23 units
Average Event: 0.11 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 15.91
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -15.21

Brian III : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 40.145 2.6 7% -6.7 / 28.9 (-23%) 4.7 / 3.91 (119%) 4.7 / 7.335 (64%) 6 / 5 (55%) 0.24
2020 135.28 1.4 1% -9.1 / 83.11 (-11%) 3.2 / 21.6 (15%) 7.2 / 30.57 (24%) 15 / 12 (56%) 0.05

Brian III : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Brian III : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 169.125 2.5 1% -17.3 / 105.71 (-16%) 7.9 / 25.51 (31%) 11.9 / 37.905 (31%)
Other 6.3 1.5 24% 1.5 / 6.3 (24%)

Brian III : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 13 (24%) 9 69 % 51.55 -5.57 -0.43 -11%
Slight Favorites 21 (38%) 11 52 % 39.42 -1.65 -0.08 -4%
Slight Underdogs 15 (27%) 5 33 % 15.84 -6.86 -0.46 -43%
Big Underdogs 6 (11%) 1 17 % 5.20 -1.70 -0.28 -33%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 14 (25%) 8 57 % 41.89 -2.78 -0.20 -7%
Co-Main Event 9 (16%) 3 33 % 20.25 -12.62 -1.40 -62%
Position 3-5 16 (29%) 8 50 % 25.33 -2.44 -0.15 -10%
6+ (Undercard) 16 (29%) 7 44 % 24.54 2.05 0.13 8%

Brian III : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 4 (7%) 2 50 % 10.66 -0.26 -0.06 -2%
Light Heavy 5 (9%) 3 60 % 10.50 -0.99 -0.20 -9%
Middleweight 6 (11%) 3 50 % 9.96 -0.04 -0.01 -0%
Welterweight 10 (18%) 6 60 % 25.29 4.07 0.41 16%
Lightweight 4 (7%) 1 25 % 6.50 -3.00 -0.75 -46%
Featherweight 8 (15%) 5 63 % 21.87 -3.94 -0.49 -18%
Bantamweight 8 (15%) 5 63 % 14.67 -1.17 -0.15 -8%
Flyweight 4 (7%) 1 25 % 4.40 -2.30 -0.58 -52%
               
Women's Fights 6 (11%) 0 % 8.16 -8.16 -1.36 -100%
Flyweight 3 (5%) 0 % 4.00 -4.00 -1.33 -100%
Strawweight 3 (5%) 0 % 4.16 -4.16 -1.39 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 40 (61%) 36 90 %
Slight Favorites 19 (29%) 12 63 %
Slight Underdogs 7 (11%) 1 14 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
66 49 74 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 6 (18%) 4 67 %
50-65% 6 (18%) 3 50 %
35-50% 7 (21%) 3 43 %
<35% chance 14 (42%) 5 36 %
33 15 45 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (6%) 1 50 % 1.69 1.83Pick was incorrect 1.56Pick was correct -0.4 (-22%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 6 (18%) 5 83 % 1.93 2.60Pick was correct 1.46Pick was correct 3.8 (63%)
Goes to Decision 2 (6%) 2 100 % 1.93 3.50Pick was correct 1.33Pick was correct 2.8 (142%)
Does not go to Decision 2 (6%) 1 50 % 1.53 1.89Pick was incorrect 1.29Pick was correct -0.7 (-36%)
X Wins by KO 3 (9%) 0 0 % 4.87 11.00Pick was incorrect 2.50Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 2 (6%) 2 100 % 14.35 16.00Pick was correct 13.00Pick was correct 27.0 (1,350%)
X Wins by Decision 3 (9%) 2 67 % 3.45 4.00Pick was correct 3.00Pick was incorrect 4.5 (150%)
X Does NOT Win by Decision 1 (3%) 0 0 % 1.26 1.26Pick was incorrect 1.26Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 4 (12%) 1 25 % 2.54 5.50Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was incorrect -1.4 (-35%)
X Does NOT Win Inside Distance 2 (6%) 1 50 % 1.46 1.50Pick was correct 1.43Pick was incorrect -0.5 (-25%)
X Wins in Round X 3 (9%) 0 0 % 6.76 22.00Pick was incorrect 2.85Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
Others 3 (9%) 0 0 % 10.02 50.99Pick was incorrect 4.40Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
33 15 45 % 2.59     25.0 (76%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Brian III 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
11th Jul UFC 251 8.67 3.1 36% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,030.81
15th Jul UFC Fight Island 1 6.5 -6.5 -100% $10.31 $1,030.81 $963.80
18th Jul UFC Fight Island 2 2 1.9 94% $9.64 $963.80 $981.91
25th Jul UFC Fight Island 3 8.22 -1.0 -12% $9.82 $981.91 $972.50
1st Aug UFC Vegas 5 5 -5.0 -100% $9.72 $972.50 $923.87
8th Aug UFC Vegas 6 4.95 7.0 141% $9.24 $923.87 $988.16
15th Aug UFC 252 0.5 -0.5 -100% $9.88 $988.16 $983.22
22nd Aug UFC Vegas 7 9 -7.2 -80% $9.83 $983.22 $912.17
29th Aug UFC Fight Night 182 5.75 4.5 78% $9.12 $912.17 $953.31
2nd Sep DWCS 31 5.8 2.0 34% $9.53 $953.31 $972.37
5th Sep UFC Fight Night 183 3.43 2.2 63% $9.72 $972.37 $993.35
12th Sep UFC Fight Night 184 2.86 0.4 14% $9.93 $993.35 $997.40
19th Sep UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 16.98 6.8 40% $9.97 $997.40 $1,065.54
26th Sep UFC 253 5.1 -5.1 -100% $10.66 $1,065.54 $1,011.19
4th Oct UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 3.25 -3.3 -100% $10.11 $1,011.19 $978.33
10th Oct UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 5.48 -3.1 -57% $9.78 $978.33 $947.90
17th Oct UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 13.15 -3.7 -28% $9.48 $947.90 $912.40
24th Oct UFC 254 3.93 3.0 77% $9.12 $912.40 $940.17
31st Oct UFC Vegas 12 2.6 0.4 15% $9.40 $940.17 $943.93
5th Nov DWCS 34 0.5 -0.5 -100% $9.44 $943.93 $939.21
8th Nov UFC Vegas 13 2.58 0.0 1% $9.39 $939.21 $939.39
14th Nov UFC Vegas 14 2.67 1.5 56% $9.39 $939.39 $953.48
21st Nov UFC 255 4.82 -2.6 -54% $9.53 $953.48 $928.50
29th Nov UFC Vegas 15 0.25 3.0 1,200% $9.28 $928.50 $956.35
6th Dec UFC Vegas 16 7.92 4.2 52% $9.56 $956.35 $996.04
13th Dec UFC 256 0.5 0.5 100% $9.96 $996.04 $1,001.02
19th Dec UFC Vegas 17 2.87 -0.5 -19% $10.01 $1,001.02 $995.51
16th Jan UFC FN 2.45 -2.5 -100% $9.96 $995.51 $971.12
20th Jan UFC on ESPN 20 4.51 -2.5 -55% $9.71 $971.12 $946.83
24th Jan UFC 257 5 -1.5 -30% $9.47 $946.83 $932.63
6th Feb UFC FN 1.625 2.4 146% $9.33 $932.63 $954.78
14th Feb UFC 258 7.5 -0.3 -4% $9.55 $954.78 $952.13
28th Feb UFC Fight Night 186 4.05 2.0 49% $9.52 $952.13 $971.14
6th Mar UFC 259 3.36 -2.0 -59% $9.71 $971.14 $951.87
13th Mar UFC Fight Night 187 2.2 1.7 79% $9.52 $951.87 $968.51
21st Mar UFC Fight Night 188 3 1.5 50% $9.69 $968.51 $983.04
28th Mar UFC 260 2.85 1.5 53% $9.83 $983.04 $998.01
10th Apr UFC FN 3.6 2.2 61% $9.98 $998.01 $1,020.00


ROI % from starting bank balance: 2.00% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Brian III : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '21 Jack Shore Hunter Azure 1.81 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '21 Matheus Nicolau Manel Kape 2.10 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '21 Matt Semelsberger Jason Witt 1.85 1 TKO, R1 (0:16) MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '21 Magomed Ankalaev Nikita Krylov 1.34 2.9 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '21 Dustin Poirier Conor McGregor 3.50 1 TKO, R2 (2:32) MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '21 Kamaru Usman Gilbert Burns 1.44 5 TKO, R3 (0:34) MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '20 Rob Font Marlon Moraes 2.32 1 TKO, R1 (3:47) MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '20 Roman Dolidze John Allan 1.63 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '20 Ilia Topuria Damon Jackson 1.45 4.4 TKO, R1 (2:38) MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '20 Marvin Vettori Jack Hermansson 1.70 1.42 U Decision (5 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '20 Tim Means Mike Perry 2.20 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '20 Tim Means Mike Perry 2.20 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '20 Alex Morono Rhys McKee 1.56 2.67 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '20 Sean Strickland Jack Marshman 1.50 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '20 Alexander Volkov Walt Harris 1.62 3.23 TKO, R2 (1:15) MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '20 Cory Sandhagen Marlon Moraes 1.73 0.37 TKO, R2 (1:3) MMA Bookmaker
17. Oct '20 Cory Sandhagen Marlon Moraes 1.73 1 TKO, R2 (1:3) MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '20 Alistair Overeem Augusto Sakai 1.63 3.18 TKO, R5 (0:26) MMA Bookmaker
19. Sep '20 Tucker Lutz Chase Gibson 1.34 2.9 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Sep '20 Tucker Lutz Chase Gibson 1.34 2.9 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Apr '21 Scott Holtzman Mateusz Gamrot 3.00 0.5 TKO, R2 (1:22) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '21 Stipe Miocic Francis Ngannou 2.25 2 TKO, R2 (0:52) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '21 Petr Yan Aljamain Sterling 1.91 1.1 No MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '21 Rogerio Bontorin Kai Kara-France 2.25 1.2 TKO, R1 (4:55) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '21 Maycee Barber Alexa Grasso 2.05 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '21 Maki Pitolo Julian Marquez 2.55 1.5 Sub, R3 (4:17) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '21 Daniel Hooker Michael Chandler 1.80 4 TKO, R1 (2:30) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '21 Mounir Lazzez Warlley Alves 1.74 2 TKO, R1 (2:35) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '21 Mounir Lazzez Warlley Alves 1.74 1.5 TKO, R1 (2:35) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jan '21 Dusko Todorovic Punahele Soriano 1.83 1.2 TKO, R1 (4:48) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '20 Geoff Neal Stephen Thompson 1.89 1.12 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '20 Jared Gooden Alan Jouban 2.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '20 Alex Perez Deiveson Figueiredo 3.50 1.2 Sub, R1 (1:57) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '20 Bruno Oliveira Carlos Ulberg 3.10 0.5 TKO, R1 (2:2) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '20 Chan Sung Jung Brian Ortega 1.53 7.6 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '20 Omar Morales Giga Chikadze 1.65 0.77 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Oct '20 Markus Perez Dricus Du Plessis 2.50 1.34 TKO, R1 (3:22) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Oct '20 Yorgan De Castro Carlos Felipe 1.44 2.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Sep '20 Alex da Silva Brad Riddell 3.60 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Sep '20 Jordan Espinosa David Dvorak 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Brian III : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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