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MMA Handicapper Stats: Muddy Oracle

Muddy Oracle (MuddyOracle)


MMA MHandicapper - Muddy Oracle

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 61 (51%) Right 48 (50%) Right 13 (57%) Right 0 (nan%)
Wrong 58 (49%) Wrong 48 (50%) Wrong 10 (43%) Wrong 0 (nan%)
Avg Odds 2.29 Avg Odds 2.31 Avg Odds 2.18 Avg Odds nan
Units Bet 589.7 Units Bet 476.7 Units Bet 113.0 Units Bet 0.0
Avg Bet 4.96 Avg Bet 4.97 Avg Bet 4.91 Avg Bet nan
Units Profit 131.29 Units Profit 112.17 Units Profit 19.12 Units Profit 0.00
ROI % 22% ROI % 24% ROI % 17% ROI % nan%
View Handicapper's Profile

Muddy Oracle: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 3 2.1 69% 2.1 / 3 (69%)
14th Feb '21 UFC 258 25 6.8 27% 6.8 / 25 (27%)
6th Feb '21 UFC FN 10 1.4 14% 1.4 / 10 (14%)
30th Jan '21 Oktagon 21 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
29th Jan '21 LFA 98 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 15 8.4 56% 0.7 / 10 (7%) 7.7 / 5 (155%)
20th Jan '21 UFC on ESPN 20 30 -9.8 -33% -4.5 / 15 (-30%) -5.3 / 15 (-36%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 30 9.2 31% 19.2 / 20 (96%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
19th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 17 25 5.1 20% 5.1 / 25 (20%)
13th Dec '20 UFC 256 25 -3.0 -12% -7.6 / 20 (-38%) 4.6 / 5 (91%)
11th Dec '20 Cage Warriors 118 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
11th Dec '20 Bellator 254 15 17.7 118% 17.7 / 15 (118%)
6th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 16 10 -10.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
29th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 15 20 23.9 119% 23.9 / 20 (119%)
21st Nov '20 UFC 255 10 1.3 13% 1.3 / 10 (13%)
19th Nov '20 Bellator 253 10 0.7 7% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) 5.7 / 5 (115%)
14th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 14 15 -1.3 -8% 3.7 / 10 (37%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
12th Nov '20 Bellator 252 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
8th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 13 10 13.9 139% 13.9 / 10 (139%)
31st Oct '20 UFC Vegas 12 15 25.5 170% 12.8 / 5 (255%) 12.8 / 10 (128%)
29th Oct '20 Bellator 250 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
24th Oct '20 UFC 254 20 0.1 1% -5.5 / 15 (-36%) 5.6 / 5 (111%)
17th Oct '20 UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 10 1.3 13% 1.3 / 10 (13%)
10th Oct '20 UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 15 9.7 65% 6.0 / 10 (60%) 3.7 / 5 (74%)
4th Oct '20 UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 25 9.0 36% 9.0 / 25 (36%)
26th Sep '20 UFC 253 20 7.5 38% 12.5 / 15 (83%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
19th Sep '20 UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 15 17.8 118% 10.3 / 10 (103%) 7.5 / 5 (150%)
12th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 184 10 -10.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
11th Sep '20 Bellator 245 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
5th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 183 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
22nd Aug '20 UFC Vegas 7 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
21st Aug '20 Bellator 244 5 6.2 123% 6.2 / 5 (123%)
15th Aug '20 UFC 252 20 17.7 88% 17.7 / 20 (88%)
8th Aug '20 UFC Vegas 6 15 -6.0 -40% -6.0 / 15 (-40%)
1st Aug '20 UFC Vegas 5 10 -2.5 -25% -2.5 / 10 (-25%)
25th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 3 25 3.1 12% 8.1 / 20 (40%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
25th Jul '20 Bellator 242 1.65 1.1 65% 1.1 / 1.65 (65%)
18th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 2 10 -10.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
15th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 1 10 -1.2 -12% -1.2 / 10 (-12%)
11th Jul '20 UFC 251 20 9.9 49% 9.9 / 20 (49%)
20th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 174 15 19.6 131% 19.6 / 15 (131%)
13th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 173 15 -6.0 -40% -1.0 / 10 (-10%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
6th Jun '20 UFC 250 20 12.5 62% 12.5 / 20 (62%)


Winning Events: 25 (58%)
Losing Events: 18 (42%)

Average Staked Per Event: 13.71 units
Most Staked On One Event: 30.00 units
Best Event: 25.50 units
Worst Event: -10.00 units
Average Event: 3.05 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 45.25
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -25.00

Muddy Oracle: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 123 8.0 7% 13.6 / 90 (15%) -5.5 / 33 (-17%) 5 / 3 (63%) 1.00
2020 466.65 123.3 26% 98.6 / 386.65 (26%) 24.7 / 80 (31%) 20 / 15 (57%) 3.52

Muddy Oracle: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Muddy Oracle: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 528 135.6 26% 122.2 / 420 (29%) 13.4 / 108 (12%)
Bellator 46.65 10.7 23% 5.0 / 41.65 (12%) 5.7 / 5 (115%)
Other 15 -15.0 -100% -15.0 / 15 (-100%)

Muddy Oracle: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 1 (1%) 1 100 % 5.00 2.50 2.50 50%
Slight Favorites 29 (30%) 17 59 % 141.65 6.12 0.21 4%
Slight Underdogs 43 (45%) 17 40 % 215.00 -18.10 -0.42 -8%
Big Underdogs 23 (24%) 13 57 % 115.00 121.65 5.29 106%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 17 (18%) 8 47 % 85.00 -3.25 -0.19 -4%
Co-Main Event 15 (16%) 9 60 % 71.65 33.37 2.22 47%
Position 3-5 31 (32%) 16 52 % 155.00 37.65 1.21 24%
6+ (Undercard) 33 (34%) 15 45 % 165.00 44.40 1.35 27%

Muddy Oracle: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 5 (5%) 5 100 % 25.00 46.10 9.22 184%
Light Heavy 7 (7%) 4 57 % 35.00 21.95 3.14 63%
Middleweight 10 (10%) 4 40 % 50.00 3.30 0.33 7%
Welterweight 18 (19%) 6 33 % 86.65 -11.13 -0.62 -13%
Lightweight 13 (14%) 5 38 % 65.00 6.75 0.52 10%
Featherweight 10 (10%) 7 70 % 50.00 32.65 3.27 65%
Bantamweight 14 (15%) 6 43 % 70.00 -2.65 -0.19 -4%
Flyweight 4 (4%) 3 75 % 20.00 8.50 2.12 42%
               
Women's Fights 15 (16%) 8 53 % 75.00 6.70 0.45 9%
Bantamweight 3 (3%) 2 67 % 15.00 4.90 1.63 33%
Flyweight 6 (6%) 3 50 % 30.00 0.65 0.11 2%
Strawweight 6 (6%) 3 50 % 30.00 1.15 0.19 4%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
0 0 nan %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
50-65% 7 (30%) 5 71 %
35-50% 14 (61%) 8 57 %
<35% chance 2 (9%) 0 0 %
23 13 57 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 4 (17%) 2 50 % 2.22 2.85Pick was incorrect 1.91Pick was correct 0.2 (4%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 8 (35%) 4 50 % 2.34 3.60Pick was incorrect 1.93Pick was incorrect 0.3 (4%)
Does not go to Decision 10 (43%) 6 60 % 2.11 2.55Pick was correct 1.67Pick was correct 2.9 (29%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 1 (4%) 1 100 % 1.69 1.69Pick was correct 1.69Pick was incorrect 0.7 (69%)
23 13 57 % 2.18     4.1 (18%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Muddy Oracle's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
6th Jun UFC 250 20 12.5 62% $5 $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,119.50
13th Jun UFC Fight Night 173 15 -6.0 -40% $5 $11.20 $1,119.50 $1,047.33
20th Jun UFC Fight Night 174 15 19.6 131% $5 $10.47 $1,047.33 $1,247.61
11th Jul UFC 251 20 9.9 49% $5 $12.48 $1,247.61 $1,365.50
15th Jul UFC Fight Island 1 10 -1.2 -12% $5 $13.65 $1,365.50 $1,344.11
18th Jul UFC Fight Island 2 10 -10.0 -100% $5 $13.44 $1,344.11 $1,204.70
25th Jul Bellator 242 1.65 1.1 65% $5 $12.05 $1,204.70 $1,212.62
25th Jul UFC Fight Island 3 25 3.1 12% $5 $12.13 $1,212.62 $1,245.21
1st Aug UFC Vegas 5 10 -2.5 -25% $5 $12.45 $1,245.21 $1,209.08
8th Aug UFC Vegas 6 15 -6.0 -40% $5 $12.09 $1,209.08 $1,131.54
15th Aug UFC 252 20 17.7 88% $5 $11.32 $1,131.54 $1,326.25
21st Aug Bellator 244 5 6.2 123% $5 $13.26 $1,326.25 $1,402.82
22nd Aug UFC Vegas 7 5 -5.0 -100% $5 $14.03 $1,402.82 $1,327.68
5th Sep UFC Fight Night 183 5 -5.0 -100% $5 $13.28 $1,327.68 $1,256.29
11th Sep Bellator 245 5 -5.0 -100% $5 $12.56 $1,256.29 $1,188.48
12th Sep UFC Fight Night 184 10 -10.0 -100% $5 $11.88 $1,188.48 $1,064.63
19th Sep UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 15 17.8 118% $5 $10.65 $1,064.63 $1,248.61
26th Sep UFC 253 20 7.5 38% $5 $12.49 $1,248.61 $1,337.25
4th Oct UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 25 9.0 36% $5 $13.37 $1,337.25 $1,451.94
10th Oct UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 15 9.7 65% $5 $14.52 $1,451.94 $1,587.78
17th Oct UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 10 1.3 13% $5 $15.88 $1,587.78 $1,602.63
24th Oct UFC 254 20 0.1 1% $5 $16.03 $1,602.63 $1,599.23
29th Oct Bellator 250 5 -5.0 -100% $5 $15.99 $1,599.23 $1,514.27
31st Oct UFC Vegas 12 15 25.5 170% $5 $15.14 $1,514.27 $1,895.41
8th Nov UFC Vegas 13 10 13.9 139% $5 $18.95 $1,895.41 $2,153.87
12th Nov Bellator 252 5 -5.0 -100% $5 $21.54 $2,153.87 $2,041.18
14th Nov UFC Vegas 14 15 -1.3 -8% $5 $20.41 $2,041.18 $2,010.66
19th Nov Bellator 253 10 0.7 7% $5 $20.11 $2,010.66 $2,020.74
21st Nov UFC 255 10 1.3 13% $5 $20.21 $2,020.74 $2,041.00
29th Nov UFC Vegas 15 20 23.9 119% $5 $20.41 $2,041.00 $2,522.78
6th Dec UFC Vegas 16 10 -10.0 -100% $5 $25.23 $2,522.78 $2,265.50
11th Dec Bellator 254 15 17.7 118% $5 $22.66 $2,265.50 $2,662.62
11th Dec Cage Warriors 118 5 -5.0 -100% $5 $26.63 $2,662.62 $2,524.49
13th Dec UFC 256 25 -3.0 -12% $5 $25.24 $2,524.49 $2,443.75
19th Dec UFC Vegas 17 25 5.1 20% $5 $24.44 $2,443.75 $2,563.38
16th Jan UFC FN 30 9.2 31% $5 $25.63 $2,563.38 $2,795.49
20th Jan UFC on ESPN 20 30 -9.8 -33% $5 $27.95 $2,795.49 $2,515.14
24th Jan UFC 257 15 8.4 56% $5 $25.15 $2,515.14 $2,721.41
29th Jan LFA 98 5 -5.0 -100% $27.21 $2,721.41 $2,585.34
30th Jan Oktagon 21 5 -5.0 -100% $25.85 $2,585.34 $2,456.07
6th Feb UFC FN 10 1.4 14% $5 $24.56 $2,456.07 $2,485.45
14th Feb UFC 258 25 6.8 27% $5 $24.85 $2,485.45 $2,648.23
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 3 2.1 69% $5 $26.48 $2,648.23 $2,698.04


ROI % from starting bank balance: 169.80% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Muddy Oracle: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Feb '21 Paid Pick Anthony Hernandez Rodolfo Vieira 4.50 5 Sub, R2 (1:53) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '21 Paid Pick Alexa Grasso Maycee Barber 1.85 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '21 Paid Pick Lara Fritzen Procopio Molly McCann 2.28 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jan '21 Paid Pick Julianna Pena Sara McMann 2.13 5 Sub, R3 (3:39) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '21 Paid Pick Matt Schnell Tyson Nam 2.10 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '21 Paid Pick Punahele Soriano Dusko Todorovic 2.45 5 TKO, R1 (4:48) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '21 Paid Pick Li Jingliang Santiago Ponzinibbio 3.75 5 TKO, R1 (4:25) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '21 Paid Pick Max Holloway Calvin Kattar 1.65 5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '20 Paid Pick Marcin Tybura Greg Hardy 2.02 5 TKO, R2 (4:31) MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '20 Paid Pick Taila Santos Gillian Robertson 2.00 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '20 Paid Pick Stephen Thompson Geoff Neal 2.00 5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '20 Paid Pick Billy Goff Robson Gracie Jr. 4.75 5 TKO, R2 (1:46) MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '20 Paid Pick Juliana Velasquez Ilima-Lei Macfarlane 1.80 5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '20 Paid Pick Charles Oliveira Tony Ferguson 2.49 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '20 Paid Pick Bill Algeo Spike Carlyle 2.62 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '20 Paid Pick Anderson dos Santos Martin Day 2.45 5 Sub, R1 (4:35) MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '20 Paid Pick Jonathan Pearce Kai Kamaka 3.70 5 TKO, R2 (4:28) MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '20 Paid Pick Tim Means Mike Perry 2.25 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '20 Paid Pick Cory McKenna Kay Hansen 2.75 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '20 Paid Pick Glover Teixeira Thiago Santos 3.04 5 Sub, R3 (1:49) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Feb '21 Paid Pick Andre Ewell Chris Gutierrez 2.20 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '21 Paid Pick Gilbert Burns Kamaru Usman 3.35 5 TKO, R3 (0:34) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '21 Paid Pick Maki Pitolo Julian Marquez 2.45 5 Sub, R3 (4:17) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '21 Paid Pick Carlos Diego Ferreira Beneil Dariush 2.00 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '21 Alex Lohore Leandro Silva 2.20 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '21 Bruno Oliveira Josh Fremd 2.15 5 TKO, R1 (2:37) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '21 Paid Pick Daniel Hooker Michael Chandler 1.78 5 TKO, R1 (2:30) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '21 Paid Pick Mason Jones Mike Davis 2.55 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '21 Paid Pick Jerome Rivera Francisco Figueiredo 2.28 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jan '21 Paid Pick Matt Brown Carlos Condit 2.55 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '20 Paid Pick Alex Morono Anthony Pettis 2.90 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '20 Paid Pick Marlon Vera Jose Aldo 2.40 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '20 Paid Pick Virna Jandiroba Mackenzie Dern 2.65 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '20 Paid Pick Renato Moicano Rafael Fiziev 2.30 5 TKO, R1 (4:5) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Dec '20 Paid Pick Aaron Khalid Leonardo Damiani 2.05 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Dec '20 Paid Pick Matheus Mattos Magomed Magomedov 3.40 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Dec '20 Paid Pick Daniel Pineda Cub Swanson 1.69 5 TKO, R2 (1:52) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Dec '20 Paid Pick John Allan Roman Dolidze 2.75 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Dec '20 Paid Pick Damon Jackson Ilia Topuria 3.15 5 TKO, R1 (2:38) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '20 Paid Pick Takashi Sato Miguel Baeza 2.40 5 Sub, R2 (4:28) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Muddy Oracle: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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