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MMA Handicapper Stats: Muddy Oracle |
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Muddy Oracle: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 25 (58%) Losing Events: 18 (42%)
Average Staked Per Event: 13.71 units Most Staked On One Event: 30.00 units Best Event: 25.50 units Worst Event: -10.00 units Average Event: 3.05 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 45.25 Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -25.00 |
Muddy Oracle: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2021 |
123 |
8.0 |
7% |
13.6 / 90 (15%) |
-5.5 / 33 (-17%) |
|
5 / 3 (63%) |
1.00 |
2020 |
466.65 |
123.3 |
26% |
98.6 / 386.65 (26%) |
24.7 / 80 (31%) |
|
20 / 15 (57%) |
3.52 |
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Muddy Oracle: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Muddy Oracle: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
528 |
135.6 |
26% |
122.2 / 420 (29%) |
13.4 / 108 (12%) |
|
Bellator |
46.65 |
10.7 |
23% |
5.0 / 41.65 (12%) |
5.7 / 5 (115%) |
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Other |
15 |
-15.0 |
-100% |
-15.0 / 15 (-100%) |
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Muddy Oracle: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
1 (1%) |
1 |
100 % |
5.00 |
2.50 |
2.50 |
50% |
Slight Favorites |
29 (30%) |
17 |
59 % |
141.65 |
6.12 |
0.21 |
4% |
Slight Underdogs |
43 (45%) |
17 |
40 % |
215.00 |
-18.10 |
-0.42 |
-8% |
Big Underdogs |
23 (24%) |
13 |
57 % |
115.00 |
121.65 |
5.29 |
106% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
17 (18%) |
8 |
47 % |
85.00 |
-3.25 |
-0.19 |
-4% |
Co-Main Event |
15 (16%) |
9 |
60 % |
71.65 |
33.37 |
2.22 |
47% |
Position 3-5 |
31 (32%) |
16 |
52 % |
155.00 |
37.65 |
1.21 |
24% |
6+ (Undercard) |
33 (34%) |
15 |
45 % |
165.00 |
44.40 |
1.35 |
27% |
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Muddy Oracle: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
5 (5%) |
5 |
100 % |
25.00 |
46.10 |
9.22 |
184% |
Light Heavy |
7 (7%) |
4 |
57 % |
35.00 |
21.95 |
3.14 |
63% |
Middleweight |
10 (10%) |
4 |
40 % |
50.00 |
3.30 |
0.33 |
7% |
Welterweight |
18 (19%) |
6 |
33 % |
86.65 |
-11.13 |
-0.62 |
-13% |
Lightweight |
13 (14%) |
5 |
38 % |
65.00 |
6.75 |
0.52 |
10% |
Featherweight |
10 (10%) |
7 |
70 % |
50.00 |
32.65 |
3.27 |
65% |
Bantamweight |
14 (15%) |
6 |
43 % |
70.00 |
-2.65 |
-0.19 |
-4% |
Flyweight |
4 (4%) |
3 |
75 % |
20.00 |
8.50 |
2.12 |
42% |
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|
|
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Women's Fights |
15 (16%) |
8 |
53 % |
75.00 |
6.70 |
0.45 |
9% |
Bantamweight |
3 (3%) |
2 |
67 % |
15.00 |
4.90 |
1.63 |
33% |
Flyweight |
6 (6%) |
3 |
50 % |
30.00 |
0.65 |
0.11 |
2% |
Strawweight |
6 (6%) |
3 |
50 % |
30.00 |
1.15 |
0.19 |
4% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
50-65% |
7 (30%) |
5 |
71 % |
35-50% |
14 (61%) |
8 |
57 % |
<35% chance |
2 (9%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
23 |
13 |
57 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Muddy Oracle's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
6th Jun |
UFC 250 |
20 |
12.5 |
62% |
$5 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,119.50 |
13th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 173 |
15 |
-6.0 |
-40% |
$5 |
$11.20 |
$1,119.50 |
$1,047.33 |
20th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 174 |
15 |
19.6 |
131% |
$5 |
$10.47 |
$1,047.33 |
$1,247.61 |
11th Jul |
UFC 251 |
20 |
9.9 |
49% |
$5 |
$12.48 |
$1,247.61 |
$1,365.50 |
15th Jul |
UFC Fight Island 1 |
10 |
-1.2 |
-12% |
$5 |
$13.65 |
$1,365.50 |
$1,344.11 |
18th Jul |
UFC Fight Island 2 |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$13.44 |
$1,344.11 |
$1,204.70 |
25th Jul |
Bellator 242 |
1.65 |
1.1 |
65% |
$5 |
$12.05 |
$1,204.70 |
$1,212.62 |
25th Jul |
UFC Fight Island 3 |
25 |
3.1 |
12% |
$5 |
$12.13 |
$1,212.62 |
$1,245.21 |
1st Aug |
UFC Vegas 5 |
10 |
-2.5 |
-25% |
$5 |
$12.45 |
$1,245.21 |
$1,209.08 |
8th Aug |
UFC Vegas 6 |
15 |
-6.0 |
-40% |
$5 |
$12.09 |
$1,209.08 |
$1,131.54 |
15th Aug |
UFC 252 |
20 |
17.7 |
88% |
$5 |
$11.32 |
$1,131.54 |
$1,326.25 |
21st Aug |
Bellator 244 |
5 |
6.2 |
123% |
$5 |
$13.26 |
$1,326.25 |
$1,402.82 |
22nd Aug |
UFC Vegas 7 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$14.03 |
$1,402.82 |
$1,327.68 |
5th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 183 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$13.28 |
$1,327.68 |
$1,256.29 |
11th Sep |
Bellator 245 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$12.56 |
$1,256.29 |
$1,188.48 |
12th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 184 |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$11.88 |
$1,188.48 |
$1,064.63 |
19th Sep |
UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley |
15 |
17.8 |
118% |
$5 |
$10.65 |
$1,064.63 |
$1,248.61 |
26th Sep |
UFC 253 |
20 |
7.5 |
38% |
$5 |
$12.49 |
$1,248.61 |
$1,337.25 |
4th Oct |
UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana |
25 |
9.0 |
36% |
$5 |
$13.37 |
$1,337.25 |
$1,451.94 |
10th Oct |
UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen |
15 |
9.7 |
65% |
$5 |
$14.52 |
$1,451.94 |
$1,587.78 |
17th Oct |
UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie |
10 |
1.3 |
13% |
$5 |
$15.88 |
$1,587.78 |
$1,602.63 |
24th Oct |
UFC 254 |
20 |
0.1 |
1% |
$5 |
$16.03 |
$1,602.63 |
$1,599.23 |
29th Oct |
Bellator 250 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$15.99 |
$1,599.23 |
$1,514.27 |
31st Oct |
UFC Vegas 12 |
15 |
25.5 |
170% |
$5 |
$15.14 |
$1,514.27 |
$1,895.41 |
8th Nov |
UFC Vegas 13 |
10 |
13.9 |
139% |
$5 |
$18.95 |
$1,895.41 |
$2,153.87 |
12th Nov |
Bellator 252 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$21.54 |
$2,153.87 |
$2,041.18 |
14th Nov |
UFC Vegas 14 |
15 |
-1.3 |
-8% |
$5 |
$20.41 |
$2,041.18 |
$2,010.66 |
19th Nov |
Bellator 253 |
10 |
0.7 |
7% |
$5 |
$20.11 |
$2,010.66 |
$2,020.74 |
21st Nov |
UFC 255 |
10 |
1.3 |
13% |
$5 |
$20.21 |
$2,020.74 |
$2,041.00 |
29th Nov |
UFC Vegas 15 |
20 |
23.9 |
119% |
$5 |
$20.41 |
$2,041.00 |
$2,522.78 |
6th Dec |
UFC Vegas 16 |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$25.23 |
$2,522.78 |
$2,265.50 |
11th Dec |
Bellator 254 |
15 |
17.7 |
118% |
$5 |
$22.66 |
$2,265.50 |
$2,662.62 |
11th Dec |
Cage Warriors 118 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$26.63 |
$2,662.62 |
$2,524.49 |
13th Dec |
UFC 256 |
25 |
-3.0 |
-12% |
$5 |
$25.24 |
$2,524.49 |
$2,443.75 |
19th Dec |
UFC Vegas 17 |
25 |
5.1 |
20% |
$5 |
$24.44 |
$2,443.75 |
$2,563.38 |
16th Jan |
UFC FN |
30 |
9.2 |
31% |
$5 |
$25.63 |
$2,563.38 |
$2,795.49 |
20th Jan |
UFC on ESPN 20 |
30 |
-9.8 |
-33% |
$5 |
$27.95 |
$2,795.49 |
$2,515.14 |
24th Jan |
UFC 257 |
15 |
8.4 |
56% |
$5 |
$25.15 |
$2,515.14 |
$2,721.41 |
29th Jan |
LFA 98 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$27.21 |
$2,721.41 |
$2,585.34 |
30th Jan |
Oktagon 21 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$25.85 |
$2,585.34 |
$2,456.07 |
6th Feb |
UFC FN |
10 |
1.4 |
14% |
$5 |
$24.56 |
$2,456.07 |
$2,485.45 |
14th Feb |
UFC 258 |
25 |
6.8 |
27% |
$5 |
$24.85 |
$2,485.45 |
$2,648.23 |
20th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 185 |
3 |
2.1 |
69% |
$5 |
$26.48 |
$2,648.23 |
$2,698.04 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 169.80% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Muddy Oracle: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Muddy Oracle: Progress Chart |
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