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MMA Handicapper Stats: Mbirner

Mbirner (Mbirn12)


MMA MHandicapper - Mbirner

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 180 (48%) Right 75 (57%) Right 70 (40%) Right 35 (51%)
Wrong 193 (52%) Wrong 56 (43%) Wrong 104 (60%) Wrong 33 (49%)
Avg Odds 2.06 Avg Odds 1.83 Avg Odds 2.30 Avg Odds 1.99
Units Bet 445.7 Units Bet 200.7 Units Bet 149.0 Units Bet 95.9
Avg Bet 1.19 Avg Bet 1.53 Avg Bet 0.86 Avg Bet 1.41
Units Profit 0.21 Units Profit 19.18 Units Profit -17.47 Units Profit -1.50
ROI % 0% ROI % 10% ROI % -12% ROI % -2%
View Handicapper's Profile

Mbirner : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
10th Apr '21 UFC FN 10 0.1 1% 0.4 / 8.5 (4%) -0.3 / 1.5 (-18%)
28th Mar '21 UFC 260 9 2.9 33% 2.3 / 3 (78%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) 3.1 / 3.5 (88%)
21st Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 188 5.5 1.2 22% -0.0 / 4.5 (-0%) 1.2 / 1 (122%)
13th Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 187 4.25 1.5 35% 0.9 / 2 (47%) 0.6 / 2.25 (25%)
6th Mar '21 UFC 259 15.75 -0.8 -5% -2.4 / 11.25 (-22%) -0.4 / 1.5 (-28%) 2.1 / 3 (69%)
28th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 186 6.75 -1.5 -22% -1.4 / 5.5 (-26%) -0.1 / 1.25 (-4%)
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 7.75 -5.3 -68% -0.9 / 2.25 (-40%) -0.4 / 1.5 (-27%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
14th Feb '21 UFC 258 12.65 3.0 24% 2.2 / 7.5 (30%) -0.6 / 2.65 (-21%) 1.3 / 2.5 (53%)
6th Feb '21 UFC FN 7 4.9 70% 3.4 / 4.5 (76%) 0.4 / 0.5 (80%) 1.1 / 2 (53%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 15.1 -6.8 -45% -2.0 / 8.1 (-25%) -4.9 / 7 (-69%)
20th Jan '21 UFC on ESPN 20 15.55 -1.0 -7% 0.7 / 10 (7%) -2.7 / 3.95 (-69%) 1.0 / 1.6 (62%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 9 -2.9 -32% 2.1 / 4 (53%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
19th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 17 10.5 -2.5 -24% -1.3 / 6 (-22%) -2.1 / 3.5 (-61%) 0.9 / 1 (95%)
13th Dec '20 UFC 256 15.45 -0.7 -4% -1.0 / 6.95 (-14%) 0.3 / 6 (5%) 0.0 / 2.5 (0%)
6th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 16 17.8 3.5 20% 2.5 / 7 (36%) 4.0 / 7.8 (51%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
29th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 15 6.45 0.2 2% 0.7 / 1.5 (47%) 1.0 / 3.45 (28%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
21st Nov '20 UFC 255 12.95 2.0 16% 3.1 / 4.5 (68%) 1.6 / 3.95 (41%) -2.6 / 4.5 (-59%)
14th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 14 4.5 -0.7 -16% -0.0 / 2 (-1%) -0.7 / 2.5 (-28%)
8th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 13 7.2 0.3 4% 0.1 / 4 (2%) 0.3 / 0.7 (43%) -0.1 / 2.5 (-2%)
31st Oct '20 UFC Vegas 12 7.5 5.1 68% 0.0 / 2.5 (0%) 1.9 / 2 (95%) 3.2 / 3 (105%)
24th Oct '20 UFC 254 13 4.5 35% 0.9 / 7 (13%) 1.0 / 2 (49%) 2.6 / 4 (66%)
17th Oct '20 UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 11 -0.6 -5% 0.3 / 5 (7%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 0.1 / 5 (2%)
10th Oct '20 UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 11.5 -0.7 -6% 3.3 / 5.5 (61%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%) 0.9 / 1 (93%)
4th Oct '20 UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 8.5 -1.4 -16% -0.0 / 1 (-2%) -1.3 / 7.5 (-18%)
26th Sep '20 UFC 253 13.71 -2.3 -17% -1.7 / 5 (-33%) -2.1 / 6.71 (-31%) 1.5 / 2 (75%)
19th Sep '20 UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 12.63 -3.3 -26% 0.6 / 4.77 (12%) -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%) -2.6 / 6.61 (-40%)
12th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 184 14.2 10.0 70% 3.2 / 5 (63%) 5.3 / 5.4 (98%) 1.5 / 3.8 (40%)
5th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 183 8.5 1.5 18% -0.2 / 2.5 (-8%) 1.2 / 3.5 (33%) 0.6 / 2.5 (22%)
29th Aug '20 UFC Fight Night 182 10.4 5.7 55% 1.5 / 1.65 (91%) 2.7 / 5.25 (51%) 1.6 / 3.5 (44%)
22nd Aug '20 UFC Vegas 7 7.4 -1.0 -14% 2.0 / 2.9 (69%) -1.5 / 3 (-50%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
15th Aug '20 UFC 252 10.555 3.1 29% 2.6 / 6.35 (41%) 0.5 / 1.875 (27%) 0.0 / 2.33 (0%)
8th Aug '20 UFC Vegas 6 12.89 -1.7 -13% -0.5 / 3.1 (-16%) -1.2 / 7.5 (-16%) -0.0 / 2.29 (-0%)
1st Aug '20 UFC Vegas 5 9.1 -3.1 -34% 1.2 / 3.1 (38%) -4.3 / 6 (-71%)
25th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 3 9.648 -2.7 -28% -0.6 / 2.978 (-21%) -2.0 / 2.02 (-100%) 0.0 / 4.65 (0%)
18th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 2 15.55 0.3 2% 1.3 / 12.55 (10%) -1.0 / 3 (-33%)
15th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 1 12.92 -9.9 -77% -5.3 / 5.27 (-100%) -2.0 / 5 (-40%) -2.7 / 2.65 (-100%)
11th Jul '20 UFC 251 15.227 3.7 24% 2.3 / 10.47 (22%) -0.5 / 2.257 (-24%) 1.9 / 2.5 (76%)
27th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 175 13.115 -3.1 -24% 1.4 / 5.24 (26%) -2.5 / 5.875 (-43%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
20th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 174 12.12 -5.9 -49% 0.5 / 0.5 (91%) -3.4 / 8.62 (-39%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
13th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 173 9.3 3.9 42% 0.5 / 2.8 (18%) 2.4 / 3.5 (70%) 1.0 / 3 (33%)
6th Jun '20 UFC 250 13.75 0.6 4% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) 4.6 / 9.75 (47%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)


Winning Events: 20 (49%)
Losing Events: 21 (51%)

Average Staked Per Event: 10.87 units
Most Staked On One Event: 17.80 units
Best Event: 9.99 units
Worst Event: -9.92 units
Average Event: 0.01 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 17.23
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -13.91

Mbirner : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 118.3 -4.7 -4% 5.4 / 71.1 (8%) -13.6 / 29.6 (-46%) 3.5 / 17.6 (20%) 6 / 6 (50%) -0.39
2020 327.365 4.9 1% 13.8 / 129.628 (11%) -3.9 / 119.407 (-3%) -5.0 / 78.33 (-6%) 14 / 15 (48%) 0.17

Mbirner : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Mbirner : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 445.665 0.2 0% 19.2 / 200.728 (10%) -17.5 / 149.007 (-12%) -1.5 / 95.93 (-2%)

Mbirner : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 27 (20%) 21 78 % 81.55 11.48 0.43 14%
Slight Favorites 58 (44%) 35 60 % 83.99 6.94 0.12 8%
Slight Underdogs 42 (32%) 19 45 % 32.44 1.16 0.03 4%
Big Underdogs 6 (5%) 2 33 % 2.75 -0.40 -0.07 -15%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 23 (17%) 12 52 % 50.75 -0.41 -0.02 -1%
Co-Main Event 13 (10%) 5 38 % 18.50 -6.30 -0.48 -34%
Position 3-5 38 (29%) 22 58 % 49.45 7.18 0.19 15%
6+ (Undercard) 59 (44%) 38 64 % 82.03 18.71 0.32 23%

Mbirner : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 8 (6%) 4 50 % 12.12 0.94 0.12 8%
Light Heavy 9 (7%) 2 22 % 11.17 -7.87 -0.87 -70%
Middleweight 26 (20%) 12 46 % 28.30 -1.26 -0.05 -4%
Welterweight 11 (8%) 8 73 % 21.75 5.06 0.46 23%
Lightweight 22 (17%) 16 73 % 39.15 9.36 0.43 24%
Featherweight 24 (18%) 11 46 % 31.76 -2.96 -0.12 -9%
Bantamweight 18 (14%) 14 78 % 31.62 9.93 0.55 31%
Flyweight 11 (8%) 7 64 % 18.30 4.64 0.42 25%
               
Women's Fights 4 (3%) 3 75 % 6.56 1.33 0.33 20%
Bantamweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 1.34 1.00 1.00 75%
Flyweight 3 (2%) 2 67 % 5.22 0.33 0.11 6%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 85 (97%) 62 73 %
Slight Favorites 3 (3%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
88 62 70 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 56 (24%) 38 68 %
50-65% 64 (27%) 36 56 %
35-50% 68 (29%) 27 40 %
<35% chance 45 (19%) 11 24 %
233 112 48 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (0%) 1 100 % 1.80 1.80Pick was correct 1.80Pick was correct 0.8 (80%)
Does not go to Decision 138 (59%) 80 58 % 1.68 3.35Pick was incorrect 1.14Pick was correct -3.0 (-2%)
X Wins by KO 4 (2%) 0 0 % 1.86 2.75Pick was incorrect 1.56Pick was incorrect -4.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 12 (5%) 4 33 % 6.48 16.00Pick was correct 3.15Pick was correct 18.1 (150%)
X Wins Inside Distance 73 (31%) 27 37 % 2.33 5.00Pick was incorrect 1.38Pick was correct -11.1 (-15%)
X Wins in Round X 3 (1%) 0 0 % 7.11 21.00Pick was incorrect 3.25Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
Others 2 (1%) 0 0 % 3.17 7.00Pick was incorrect 2.05Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
233 112 48 % 1.96     -4.2 (-2%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Mbirner 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
6th Jun UFC 250 13.75 0.6 4% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,006.05
13th Jun UFC Fight Night 173 9.3 3.9 42% $10.06 $1,006.05 $1,045.48
20th Jun UFC Fight Night 174 12.12 -5.9 -49% $10.45 $1,045.48 $983.67
27th Jun UFC Fight Night 175 13.115 -3.1 -24% $9.84 $983.67 $952.98
11th Jul UFC 251 15.227 3.7 24% $9.53 $952.98 $988.33
15th Jul UFC Fight Island 1 12.92 -9.9 -77% $9.88 $988.33 $890.29
18th Jul UFC Fight Island 2 15.55 0.3 2% $8.90 $890.29 $892.96
25th Jul UFC Fight Island 3 9.648 -2.7 -28% $8.93 $892.96 $869.23
1st Aug UFC Vegas 5 9.1 -3.1 -34% $8.69 $869.23 $842.62
8th Aug UFC Vegas 6 12.89 -1.7 -13% $8.43 $842.62 $828.08
15th Aug UFC 252 10.555 3.1 29% $8.28 $828.08 $853.76
22nd Aug UFC Vegas 7 7.4 -1.0 -14% $8.54 $853.76 $845.22
29th Aug UFC Fight Night 182 10.4 5.7 55% $8.45 $845.22 $893.62
5th Sep UFC Fight Night 183 8.5 1.5 18% $8.94 $893.62 $907.18
12th Sep UFC Fight Night 184 14.2 10.0 70% $9.07 $907.18 $997.77
19th Sep UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 12.63 -3.3 -26% $9.98 $997.77 $964.52
26th Sep UFC 253 13.71 -2.3 -17% $9.65 $964.52 $942.56
4th Oct UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 8.5 -1.4 -16% $9.43 $942.56 $929.77
10th Oct UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 11.5 -0.7 -6% $9.30 $929.77 $922.86
17th Oct UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 11 -0.6 -5% $9.23 $922.86 $917.74
24th Oct UFC 254 13 4.5 35% $9.18 $917.74 $959.03
31st Oct UFC Vegas 12 7.5 5.1 68% $9.59 $959.03 $1,007.67
8th Nov UFC Vegas 13 7.2 0.3 4% $10.08 $1,007.67 $1,010.87
14th Nov UFC Vegas 14 4.5 -0.7 -16% $10.11 $1,010.87 $1,003.58
21st Nov UFC 255 12.95 2.0 16% $10.04 $1,003.58 $1,024.12
29th Nov UFC Vegas 15 6.45 0.2 2% $10.24 $1,024.12 $1,025.72
6th Dec UFC Vegas 16 17.8 3.5 20% $10.26 $1,025.72 $1,061.45
13th Dec UFC 256 15.45 -0.7 -4% $10.61 $1,061.45 $1,054.51
19th Dec UFC Vegas 17 10.5 -2.5 -24% $10.55 $1,054.51 $1,028.19
16th Jan UFC FN 9 -2.9 -32% $10.28 $1,028.19 $998.77
20th Jan UFC on ESPN 20 15.55 -1.0 -7% $9.99 $998.77 $988.30
24th Jan UFC 257 15.1 -6.8 -45% $9.88 $988.30 $920.62
6th Feb UFC FN 7 4.9 70% $9.21 $920.62 $965.66
14th Feb UFC 258 12.65 3.0 24% $9.66 $965.66 $994.70
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 7.75 -5.3 -68% $9.95 $994.70 $941.98
28th Feb UFC Fight Night 186 6.75 -1.5 -22% $9.42 $941.98 $928.13
6th Mar UFC 259 15.75 -0.8 -5% $9.28 $928.13 $920.73
13th Mar UFC Fight Night 187 4.25 1.5 35% $9.21 $920.73 $934.48
21st Mar UFC Fight Night 188 5.5 1.2 22% $9.34 $934.48 $945.88
28th Mar UFC 260 9 2.9 33% $9.46 $945.88 $973.57
10th Apr UFC FN 10 0.1 1% $9.74 $973.57 $974.43


ROI % from starting bank balance: -2.56% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Mbirner : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '21 Jack Shore Hunter Azure 1.71 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '21 Joe Solecki Jim Miller 1.44 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '21 Marvin Vettori Kevin Holland 1.38 3 U Decision (5 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '21 Omar Morales Shane Young 1.55 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '21 Jamie Mullarkey Khama Worthy 2.28 0.5 TKO, R1 (0:46) MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '21 Francis Ngannou Stipe Miocic 1.77 1.5 TKO, R2 (0:52) MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '21 Adrian Yanez Gustavo Lopez 1.50 3 TKO, R3 (0:27) MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '21 Matt Semelsberger Jason Witt 1.83 1 TKO, R1 (0:16) MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '21 Matheus Nicolau Manel Kape 2.20 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '21 Uros Medic Aalon Cruz 1.60 1 TKO, R1 (1:40) MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '21 Ciryl Gane Jairzinho Rozenstruik 1.36 3 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '21 Sean Brady Jake Matthews 1.39 3.75 Sub, R3 (3:28) MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '21 Dominick Cruz Casey Kenney 2.00 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '21 John Castaneda Eddie Wineland 1.80 0.75 TKO, R1 (4:44) MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '21 Ricky Simon Brian Kelleher 1.38 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '21 Beneil Dariush Carlos Diego Ferreira 2.05 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '21 Seung Woo Choi Youssef Zalal 2.75 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Feb '21 Kamaru Usman Gilbert Burns 1.40 4 TKO, R3 (0:34) MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '21 Alexandre Pantoja Manel Kape 1.80 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jan '21 Amir Albazi Zhalgas Zhumagulov 2.00 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Apr '21 Sam Alvey Julian Marquez 2.56 0.5 Sub, R2 (2:7) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '21 Sodiq Yusuff Arnold Allen 1.75 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '21 Leonardo Santos Grant Dawson 2.84 0.5 TKO, R3 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '21 Roman Dolidze Trevin Giles 1.76 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '21 Gavin Tucker Dan Ige 2.10 0.5 TKO, R1 (0:22) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '21 Rogerio Bontorin Kai Kara-France 2.20 0.5 TKO, R1 (4:55) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '21 Petr Yan Aljamain Sterling 1.82 2 No MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '21 Kevin Croom Alex Caceres 2.94 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '21 Maxim Grishin Dustin Jacoby 2.54 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '21 Jimmie Rivera Pedro Munhoz 1.65 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '21 Israel Adesanya Jan Blachowicz 1.36 3 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '21 Danny Chavez Jared Gordon 1.72 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '21 Nassourdine Imavov Phil Hawes 1.89 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '21 Ian Heinisch Kelvin Gastelum 2.75 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '21 Alistair Overeem Alexander Volkov 2.50 0.5 TKO, R2 (2:6) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jan '21 Tom Breese Omari Akhmedov 1.70 1.5 Sub, R2 (1:41) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jan '21 Mounir Lazzez Warlley Alves 1.50 2 TKO, R1 (2:35) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jan '21 Conor McGregor Dustin Poirier 1.43 4.6 TKO, R2 (2:32) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Dec '20 Geoff Neal Stephen Thompson 1.89 1.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Dec '20 Antonio Arroyo Deron Winn 1.70 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Mbirner : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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