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MMA Handicapper Stats: Mr. UFC Betz

Mr. UFC Betz (UFCBetz)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	23 (43%)	Right	16 (57%)	Right	6 (26%)	Right	1 (50%)
Wrong	30 (57%)	Wrong	12 (43%)	Wrong	17 (74%)	Wrong	1 (50%)
Avg Odds	2.11	Avg Odds	1.76	Avg Odds	2.89	Avg Odds	1.55
Units Bet	182.0	Units Bet	107.0	Units Bet	62.0	Units Bet	13.0
Avg Bet	3.43	Avg Bet	3.82	Avg Bet	2.70	Avg Bet	6.50
Units Profit	-34.14	Units Profit	-7.38	Units Profit	-23.78	Units Profit	-2.98
ROI %	-19%	ROI %	-7%	ROI %	-38%	ROI %	-23%

Mr. UFC Betz: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
6th Nov '21	UFC 268	34	1.2	4%	0.6 / 7 (9%)	-3.5 / 21 (-16%)	4.0 / 6 (67%)
18th Sep '21	Bellator 266: Davis vs. Romero	12	-2.0	-17%	3.5 / 2 (175%)	1.5 / 3 (50%)	-7.0 / 7 (-100%)
18th Sep '21	UFC FN	29	-10.7	-37%	-0.7 / 19 (-4%)	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
8th Sep '21	DWCS 2021: Week 2	10	-10.0	-100%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
31st Jul '21	UFC FN	45	-18.7	-42%	-6.9 / 17 (-40%)	-11.8 / 28 (-42%)
8th Aug '20	UFC Vegas 6	36	6.7	19%	6.7 / 36 (19%)
16th May '20	UFC Fight Night 171	16	-0.7	-4%	-0.7 / 16 (-4%)

Winning Events: 2 (29%)
Losing Events: 5 (71%)

Average Staked Per Event: 26.00 units
Most Staked On One Event: 45.00 units
Best Event: 6.73 units
Worst Event: -18.69 units
Average Event: -4.88 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 6.73
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -41.38

Mr. UFC Betz: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	130	-40.2	-31%	-13.4 / 55 (-24%)		-3.0 / 13 (-23%)	1 / 4 (20%)	-8.04
2020	52	6.0	12%	6.0 / 52 (12%)			1 / 1 (50%)	3.02

Mr. UFC Betz: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Mr. UFC Betz: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	172	-24.1	-14%	2.6 / 97 (3%)	-23.8 / 62 (-38%)	-3.0 / 13 (-23%)
Other	10	-10.0	-100%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)

Mr. UFC Betz: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	7 (25%)	6	86 %	35.00	-1.64	-0.23	-5%
Slight Favorites	13 (46%)	7	54 %	51.00	0.06	0.00	0%
Slight Underdogs	7 (25%)	3	43 %	18.00	-2.80	-0.40	-16%
Big Underdogs	1 (4%)	0	0 %	3.00	-3.00	-3.00	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	3 (11%)	2	67 %	11.00	1.61	0.54	15%
Co-Main Event	3 (11%)	1	33 %	12.00	-4.36	-1.45	-36%
Position 3-5	9 (32%)	5	56 %	30.00	2.40	0.27	8%
6+ (Undercard)	13 (46%)	8	62 %	54.00	-7.02	-0.54	-13%

Mr. UFC Betz: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	3 (11%)	1	33 %	10.00	-3.89	-1.30	-39%
Light Heavy	2 (7%)	2	100 %	6.00	6.00	3.00	100%
Middleweight	8 (29%)	2	25 %	27.00	-16.01	-2.00	-59%
Welterweight	1 (4%)	1	100 %	5.00	3.23	3.23	65%
Lightweight	5 (18%)	3	60 %	27.00	-8.67	-1.73	-32%
Featherweight	4 (14%)	3	75 %	12.00	5.22	1.30	43%
Bantamweight	3 (11%)	2	67 %	12.00	1.40	0.47	12%

Women's Fights	2 (7%)	2	100 %	8.00	5.34	2.67	67%
Bantamweight	1 (4%)	1	100 %	4.00	1.70	1.70	43%
Strawweight	1 (4%)	1	100 %	4.00	3.64	3.64	91%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	5 (100%)	3	60 %
Slight Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	5	3	60 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	1 (5%)	1	100 %
50-65%	5 (23%)	3	60 %
35-50%	3 (14%)	0	0 %
<35% chance	13 (59%)	2	15 %
	22	6	27 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (5%)	1	100 %	1.50	1.50	1.50	0.5 (50%)
Goes to Decision	1 (5%)	1	100 %	1.61	1.61	1.61	0.6 (61%)
X Wins by KO	7 (32%)	3	43 %	2.97	6.00	1.91	0.1 (1%)
X Wins by Sub	2 (9%)	0	0 %	4.50	4.50	4.50	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	7 (32%)	1	14 %	3.33	5.00	1.87	-3.0 (-43%)
X Wins Inside Distance	2 (9%)	0	0 %	2.08	2.75	1.67	-2.0 (-100%)
Others	2 (9%)	0	0 %	6.24	6.50	6.00	-2.0 (-100%)
	22	6	27 %	2.94			-7.8 (-36%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Mr. UFC Betz's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
16th May	UFC Fight Night 171	16	-0.7	-4%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$993.07
8th Aug	UFC Vegas 6	36	6.7	19%		$9.93	$993.07	$1,059.93
31st Jul	UFC FN	45	-18.7	-42%		$10.60	$1,059.93	$861.85
8th Sep	DWCS 2021: Week 2	10	-10.0	-100%		$8.62	$861.85	$775.66
18th Sep	UFC FN	29	-10.7	-37%		$7.76	$775.66	$692.71
18th Sep	Bellator 266: Davis vs. Romero	12	-2.0	-17%		$6.93	$692.71	$678.86
6th Nov	UFC 268	34	1.2	4%		$6.79	$678.86	$687.04

ROI % from starting bank balance: -31.30% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Mr. UFC Betz: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Nov '21	Rose Namajunas	Weili Zhang	1.91	4	Split Decision (5 rounds)
2.	Sep '21	Alex Polizzi	Grant Neal	2.75	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Sep '21	Nathan Maness	Tony Gravely	2.85	2	TKO, R2 (2:10)
4.	Sep '21	Joaquin Buckley	Antonio Arroyo	1.53	4	TKO, R3 (2:26)
5.	Sep '21	Anthony Smith	Ryan Spann	1.63	4	Sub, R1 (3:47)
6.	Jul '21	Melsik Bagdasaryan	Collin Anglin	1.69	6	TKO, R2 (1:50)
7.	Aug '20	Irwin Rivera	Ali Al Qaisi	1.54	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Aug '20	Youssef Zalal	Peter Barrett	1.22	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Aug '20	Nasrat Haqparast	Alex Munoz	1.42	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Aug '20	Kevin Holland	Joaquin Buckley	1.22	4	TKO, R3 (0:32)
11.	Aug '20	Yana Santos	Julija Stoliarenko	1.43	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Aug '20	Beneil Dariush	Scott Holtzman	1.56	5	TKO, R1 (4:38)
13.	Aug '20	Derrick Lewis	Aleksei Oleinik	1.53	4	TKO, R2 (0:21)
14.	May '20	Nate Landwehr	Darren Elkins	2.00	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	May '20	Yadong Song	Marlon Vera	1.54	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	May '20	Miguel Baeza	Matt Brown	1.65	5	TKO, R2 (0:18)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Nov '21	Gian Villante	Chris Barnett	1.87	3	TKO, R2 (2:23)	No
2.	Sep '21	Impa Kasanganay	Carlston Harris	1.87	6	TKO, R1 (2:38)	No
3.	Sep '21	Brandon Jenkins	Zhu Rong	3.50	3	TKO, R3 (4:35)	No
4.	Sep '21	Mario Sousa	Chidi Njokuani	1.91	5	TKO, R3 (1:35)	No
5.	Sep '21	Jose Alday	Saimon Oliveira	2.60	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Jul '21	Rafa Garcia	Chris Gruetzemacher	1.40	11	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Aug '20	Omari Akhmedov	Chris Weidman	2.05	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Aug '20	Maki Pitolo	Darren Stewart	2.30	3	Sub, R1 (3:41)	No
9.	May '20	Anthony Hernandez	Kevin Holland	1.83	1	TKO, R1 (0:39)	No
10.	May '20	Eryk Anders	Krzysztof Jotko	2.20	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	May '20	Walt Harris	Alistair Overeem	1.67	3	TKO, R2 (3:0)	No
12.	May '20	Edson Barboza	Dan Ige	1.77	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Mr. UFC Betz: Progress Chart

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