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MMA Handicapper Stats: Steve Smith

Steve Smith (FireUpCappers)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	25 (38%)	Right	15 (37%)	Right	4 (33%)	Right	6 (50%)
Wrong	40 (62%)	Wrong	26 (63%)	Wrong	8 (67%)	Wrong	6 (50%)
Avg Odds	1.93	Avg Odds	1.88	Avg Odds	2.02	Avg Odds	2.01
Units Bet	109.6	Units Bet	68.0	Units Bet	19.1	Units Bet	22.6
Avg Bet	1.69	Avg Bet	1.66	Avg Bet	1.59	Avg Bet	1.88
Units Profit	-24.17	Units Profit	-17.95	Units Profit	-9.96	Units Profit	3.75
ROI %	-22%	ROI %	-26%	ROI %	-52%	ROI %	17%

Steve Smith : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
1st Aug '20	UFC Vegas 5	6.56	-4.0	-61%	-1.4 / 3.9 (-35%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-2.2 / 2.16 (-100%)
25th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 3	10.74	-3.8	-36%	-0.0 / 4.7 (-0%)	-2.7 / 4.86 (-55%)	-1.2 / 1.18 (-100%)
18th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 2	6	-3.6	-60%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	1.4 / 1 (140%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
15th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 1	7.18	3.7	52%	0.6 / 4 (15%)		3.1 / 3.18 (98%)
11th Jul '20	UFC 251	16.74	2.8	17%	1.3 / 9.55 (14%)	-1.5 / 1.45 (-100%)	3.0 / 5.74 (52%)
27th Jun '20	UFC Fight Night 175	7.75	-3.7	-48%	-3.2 / 3.15 (-100%)	-2.6 / 2.6 (-100%)	2.0 / 2 (102%)
20th Jun '20	UFC Fight Night 174	6.26	-4.0	-64%	-2.6 / 4.8 (-53%)		-1.5 / 1.46 (-100%)
13th Jun '20	UFC Fight Night 173	8.1	-4.0	-49%	-3.0 / 7.1 (-42%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
6th Jun '20	UFC 250	8.45	-6.4	-76%	-2.1 / 2.05 (-100%)	-3.4 / 5.4 (-62%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
30th May '20	UFC Fight Night 172	11.24	-1.9	-17%	-2.3 / 6.7 (-34%)	-1.7 / 1.65 (-100%)	2.0 / 2.89 (69%)
16th May '20	UFC Fight Night 171	9.6	-1.1	-12%	-1.9 / 8 (-24%)	-0.6 / 0.6 (-100%)	1.4 / 1 (139%)
14th May '20	UFC Fight Night 170	11	1.9	17%	0.4 / 10 (4%)	1.5 / 1 (145%)

Winning Events: 3 (25%)
Losing Events: 9 (75%)

Average Staked Per Event: 9.14 units
Most Staked On One Event: 16.74 units
Best Event: 3.71 units
Worst Event: -6.40 units
Average Event: -2.01 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 6.56
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -21.17

Steve Smith : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2020	109.62	-24.2	-22%	-18.0 / 67.95 (-26%)	-10.0 / 19.06 (-52%)	3.7 / 22.61 (17%)	3 / 9 (25%)	-2.01

Steve Smith : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Steve Smith : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	109.62	-24.2	-22%	-18.0 / 67.95 (-26%)	-10.0 / 19.06 (-52%)	3.7 / 22.61 (17%)

Steve Smith : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	2 (5%)	2	100 %	3.00	1.44	0.72	48%
Slight Favorites	27 (66%)	12	44 %	51.45	-8.44	-0.31	-16%
Slight Underdogs	8 (20%)	1	13 %	9.00	-6.45	-0.81	-72%
Big Underdogs	4 (10%)	0	0 %	4.50	-4.50	-1.13	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	6 (15%)	1	17 %	9.70	-5.60	-0.93	-58%
Co-Main Event	5 (12%)	2	40 %	7.55	-2.09	-0.42	-28%
Position 3-5	12 (29%)	5	42 %	23.15	-5.45	-0.45	-24%
6+ (Undercard)	18 (44%)	7	39 %	27.55	-4.81	-0.27	-17%

Steve Smith : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	5 (12%)	1	20 %	7.35	-5.68	-1.14	-77%
Light Heavy	3 (7%)	2	67 %	6.10	3.00	1.00	49%
Middleweight	3 (7%)	1	33 %	4.25	-2.00	-0.67	-47%
Welterweight	2 (5%)		0 %	2.60	-2.60	-1.30	-100%
Lightweight	5 (12%)	3	60 %	12.15	-0.12	-0.02	-1%
Featherweight	7 (17%)	2	29 %	13.15	-7.02	-1.00	-53%
Bantamweight	5 (12%)	1	20 %	7.60	-2.60	-0.52	-34%
Flyweight	6 (15%)	2	33 %	7.25	-2.10	-0.35	-29%

Women's Fights	5 (12%)	3	60 %	7.50	1.18	0.24	16%
Flyweight	4 (10%)	2	50 %	5.50	0.27	0.07	5%
Strawweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	2.00	0.91	0.91	45%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	22 (81%)	17	77 %
Slight Favorites	5 (19%)	3	60 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	27	20	74 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
50-65%	8 (67%)	2	25 %
35-50%	3 (25%)	2	67 %
<35% chance	1 (8%)	0	0 %
	12	4	33 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (8%)	0	0 %	1.69	1.69	1.69	-1.0 (-100%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	7 (58%)	4	57 %	1.95	2.45	1.69	1.6 (23%)
Does not go to Decision	1 (8%)	0	0 %	1.61	1.61	1.61	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	1 (8%)	0	0 %	6.50	6.50	6.50	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	2 (17%)	0	0 %	2.08	2.35	1.86	-2.0 (-100%)
	12	4	33 %	2.02			-3.4 (-28%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Steve Smith 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
14th May	UFC Fight Night 170	11	1.9	17%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,018.95
16th May	UFC Fight Night 171	9.6	-1.1	-12%		$10.19	$1,018.95	$1,007.69
30th May	UFC Fight Night 172	11.24	-1.9	-17%		$10.08	$1,007.69	$988.05
6th Jun	UFC 250	8.45	-6.4	-76%		$9.88	$988.05	$924.81
13th Jun	UFC Fight Night 173	8.1	-4.0	-49%		$9.25	$924.81	$887.82
20th Jun	UFC Fight Night 174	6.26	-4.0	-64%		$8.88	$887.82	$852.22
27th Jun	UFC Fight Night 175	7.75	-3.7	-48%		$8.52	$852.22	$820.60
11th Jul	UFC 251	16.74	2.8	17%		$8.21	$820.60	$843.99
15th Jul	UFC Fight Island 1	7.18	3.7	52%		$8.44	$843.99	$875.33
18th Jul	UFC Fight Island 2	6	-3.6	-60%		$8.75	$875.33	$843.82
25th Jul	UFC Fight Island 3	10.74	-3.8	-36%		$8.44	$843.82	$811.41
1st Aug	UFC Vegas 5	6.56	-4.0	-61%		$8.11	$811.41	$778.88

ROI % from starting bank balance: -22.11% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Steve Smith : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Aug '20	Jennifer Maia	Joanne Wood	2.55	1	Sub, R1 (4:29)
2.	Jul '20	Paul Craig	Gadzhimurad Antigulov	1.74	2.7	Sub, R1 (2:6)
3.	Jul '20	Jimmie Rivera	Cody Stamann	1.77	2.6	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Jul '20	Leonardo Santos	Roman Bogatov	1.57	5.25	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Jul '20	Raulian Paiva	Zhalgas Zhumagulov	1.63	1.6	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Jun '20	Marc-Andre Barriault	Oskar Piechota	1.80	1.25	TKO, R2 (4:50)
7.	Jun '20	Cynthia Calvillo	Jessica Eye	1.95	2.1	U Decision (5 rounds)
8.	May '20	Jamahal Hill	Klidson Farias de Abreu	1.83	2.4	TKO, R1 (1:51)
9.	May '20	Claudia Gadelha	Angela Hill	1.45	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
10.	May '20	Cortney Casey	Mara Romero Borella	1.67	1	Sub, R1 (3:36)
11.	May '20	Yadong Song	Marlon Vera	1.53	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	May '20	Chase Sherman	Ike Villanueva	1.67	1	TKO, R2 (0:49)
13.	May '20	Thiago Moises	Michael Johnson	1.91	1	Sub, R2 (0:25)
14.	May '20	Drew Dober	Alexander Hernandez	1.87	1	TKO, R2 (4:25)
15.	May '20	Ricky Simon	Ray Borg	1.67	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Aug '20	Lando Vannata	Bobby Green	1.69	2.9	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Jul '20	Darren Till	Robert Whittaker	2.20	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
3.	Jul '20	Malcolm Gordon	Amir Albazi	2.25	1	Sub, R1 (4:42)	No
4.	Jul '20	Khadis Ibragimov	Roman Dolidze	2.35	1	TKO, R1 (4:15)	No
5.	Jul '20	Kelvin Gastelum	Jack Hermansson	2.00	1	Sub, R1 (1:18)	No
6.	Jul '20	Joseph Benavidez	Deiveson Figueiredo	2.90	1	Sub, R1 (4:48)	No
7.	Jul '20	Molly McCann	Taila Santos	1.71	1.4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Jul '20	Maxim Grishin	Marcin Tybura	1.91	2.2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Jul '20	Jose Aldo	Petr Yan	3.04	0.5	TKO, R5 (3:24)	No
10.	Jun '20	Philipe Lins	Tanner Boser	1.87	1.15	TKO, R1 (2:41)	No
11.	Jun '20	Daniel Hooker	Dustin Poirier	2.95	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
12.	Jun '20	Cortney Casey	Gillian Robertson	2.00	1	Sub, R3 (4:36)	No
13.	Jun '20	Lyman Good	Belal Muhammad	2.05	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Jun '20	Shane Burgos	Josh Emmett	1.65	1.55	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Jun '20	Zarrukh Adashev	Tyson Nam	2.30	1	TKO, R1 (0:32)	No
16.	Jun '20	Kevin Aguilar	Charles Rosa	1.63	4	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Jun '20	Brian Kelleher	Cody Stamann	3.04	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Jun '20	Cory Sandhagen	Aljamain Sterling	1.95	1.05	Sub, R1 (1:28)	No
19.	May '20	Tim Elliott	Brandon Royval	1.61	1.65	Sub, R2 (3:18)	No
20.	May '20	Vincent Morales	Chris Gutierrez	1.95	1.05	TKO, R2 (4:27)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Steve Smith : Progress Chart

Chart

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