|
MMA Handicapper Stats: KneeOnBelly |
|
KneeOnBelly : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 43 (62%) Losing Events: 26 (38%)
Average Staked Per Event: 6.60 units Most Staked On One Event: 26.00 units Best Event: 16.01 units Worst Event: -8.79 units Average Event: 1.08 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 30.66 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -12.50 |
KneeOnBelly : Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2023 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
0.0 / 0 (nan%) |
|
/ 1 (0%) |
-3.00 |
2022 |
22.5 |
19.4 |
86% |
11.2 / 14.5 (77%) |
0.0 / 0 (nan%) |
8.1 / 8 (102%) |
2 / (100%) |
9.68 |
2021 |
143.5 |
2.3 |
2% |
-11.5 / 95.5 (-12%) |
10.7 / 25.5 (42%) |
3.1 / 22.5 (14%) |
14 / 11 (56%) |
0.09 |
2020 |
286.22 |
55.9 |
20% |
56.8 / 212.55 (27%) |
-1.2 / 34.17 (-4%) |
0.2 / 39.5 (1%) |
27 / 14 (66%) |
1.36 |
|
KneeOnBelly : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
KneeOnBelly : Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
420.72 |
77.4 |
18% |
49.1 / 301.05 (16%) |
9.5 / 59.67 (16%) |
18.8 / 60 (31%) |
Bellator |
24.5 |
-1.1 |
-5% |
6.1 / 14.5 (42%) |
|
-7.3 / 10 (-73%) |
Other |
10 |
-1.8 |
-18% |
-1.8 / 10 (-18%) |
|
|
|
KneeOnBelly : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
61 (49%) |
48 |
79 % |
196.00 |
22.66 |
0.37 |
12% |
Slight Favorites |
34 (27%) |
22 |
65 % |
83.00 |
13.27 |
0.39 |
16% |
Slight Underdogs |
24 (19%) |
12 |
50 % |
37.80 |
8.94 |
0.37 |
24% |
Big Underdogs |
6 (5%) |
3 |
50 % |
8.75 |
8.62 |
1.44 |
99% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
20 (16%) |
15 |
75 % |
60.50 |
14.58 |
0.73 |
24% |
Co-Main Event |
19 (15%) |
9 |
47 % |
41.75 |
0.92 |
0.05 |
2% |
Position 3-5 |
38 (30%) |
27 |
71 % |
96.00 |
11.56 |
0.30 |
12% |
6+ (Undercard) |
48 (38%) |
34 |
71 % |
127.30 |
26.44 |
0.55 |
21% |
|
KneeOnBelly : Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
10 (8%) |
7 |
70 % |
30.00 |
4.58 |
0.46 |
15% |
Light Heavy |
7 (6%) |
4 |
57 % |
17.50 |
-1.56 |
-0.22 |
-9% |
Middleweight |
14 (11%) |
11 |
79 % |
32.50 |
11.22 |
0.80 |
35% |
Welterweight |
15 (12%) |
6 |
40 % |
37.25 |
-6.72 |
-0.45 |
-18% |
Lightweight |
15 (12%) |
12 |
80 % |
38.00 |
12.15 |
0.81 |
32% |
Featherweight |
19 (15%) |
12 |
63 % |
41.00 |
5.97 |
0.31 |
15% |
Bantamweight |
15 (12%) |
14 |
93 % |
47.50 |
19.92 |
1.33 |
42% |
Flyweight |
2 (2%) |
1 |
50 % |
5.00 |
-0.15 |
-0.07 |
-3% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
28 (22%) |
18 |
64 % |
76.80 |
8.08 |
0.29 |
11% |
Featherweight |
1 (1%) |
1 |
100 % |
5.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
20% |
Bantamweight |
7 (6%) |
4 |
57 % |
21.30 |
1.36 |
0.19 |
6% |
Flyweight |
11 (9%) |
7 |
64 % |
24.00 |
4.11 |
0.37 |
17% |
Strawweight |
9 (7%) |
6 |
67 % |
26.50 |
1.60 |
0.18 |
6% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
61 (90%) |
45 |
74 % |
Slight Favorites |
7 (10%) |
5 |
71 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
68 |
50 |
74 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
5 (13%) |
5 |
100 % |
50-65% |
6 (15%) |
2 |
33 % |
35-50% |
13 (33%) |
6 |
46 % |
<35% chance |
15 (38%) |
5 |
33 % |
|
39 |
18 |
46 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail KneeOnBelly 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
14th May |
UFC Fight Night 170 |
12.6 |
-3.8 |
-30% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$961.89 |
16th May |
UFC Fight Night 171 |
11 |
6.0 |
54% |
|
$9.62 |
$961.89 |
$1,019.47 |
30th May |
UFC Fight Night 172 |
26 |
7.3 |
28% |
|
$10.19 |
$1,019.47 |
$1,093.52 |
6th Jun |
UFC 250 |
21.5 |
4.1 |
19% |
|
$10.94 |
$1,093.52 |
$1,138.73 |
13th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 173 |
21 |
8.3 |
40% |
|
$11.39 |
$1,138.73 |
$1,233.31 |
20th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 174 |
17.5 |
-0.9 |
-5% |
|
$12.33 |
$1,233.31 |
$1,222.22 |
27th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 175 |
6 |
2.9 |
49% |
|
$12.22 |
$1,222.22 |
$1,257.92 |
11th Jul |
UFC 251 |
10 |
2.5 |
25% |
|
$12.58 |
$1,257.92 |
$1,289.36 |
15th Jul |
UFC Fight Island 1 |
6 |
-1.6 |
-27% |
|
$12.89 |
$1,289.36 |
$1,268.84 |
18th Jul |
UFC Fight Island 2 |
8 |
2.7 |
34% |
|
$12.69 |
$1,268.84 |
$1,303.10 |
25th Jul |
UFC Fight Island 3 |
12 |
14.4 |
120% |
|
$13.03 |
$1,303.10 |
$1,490.22 |
1st Aug |
UFC Vegas 5 |
5.25 |
5.1 |
96% |
|
$14.90 |
$1,490.22 |
$1,565.50 |
8th Aug |
Bellator 243 |
3 |
1.6 |
53% |
|
$15.65 |
$1,565.50 |
$1,590.48 |
8th Aug |
UFC Vegas 6 |
6.5 |
0.6 |
9% |
|
$15.90 |
$1,590.48 |
$1,599.65 |
15th Aug |
UFC 252 |
4.5 |
6.4 |
142% |
|
$16.00 |
$1,599.65 |
$1,701.63 |
22nd Aug |
UFC Vegas 7 |
4.5 |
-4.5 |
-100% |
|
$17.02 |
$1,701.63 |
$1,625.05 |
29th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 182 |
3.75 |
0.1 |
2% |
|
$16.25 |
$1,625.05 |
$1,626.35 |
2nd Sep |
DWCS 31 |
3 |
0.8 |
25% |
|
$16.26 |
$1,626.35 |
$1,638.55 |
5th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 183 |
3 |
2.0 |
67% |
|
$16.39 |
$1,638.55 |
$1,671.54 |
12th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 184 |
3.5 |
-3.5 |
-100% |
|
$16.72 |
$1,671.54 |
$1,613.04 |
13th Sep |
Bellator 246 |
2 |
0.7 |
37% |
|
$16.13 |
$1,613.04 |
$1,625.02 |
19th Sep |
UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$16.25 |
$1,625.02 |
$1,592.52 |
26th Sep |
UFC 253 |
7 |
-2.2 |
-31% |
|
$15.93 |
$1,592.52 |
$1,557.42 |
3rd Oct |
Bellator Europe 9 |
2 |
1.0 |
50% |
|
$15.57 |
$1,557.42 |
$1,573.00 |
4th Oct |
UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana |
1 |
0.6 |
57% |
|
$15.73 |
$1,573.00 |
$1,581.99 |
10th Oct |
Bellator 248 |
5 |
1.4 |
28% |
|
$15.82 |
$1,581.99 |
$1,604.40 |
10th Oct |
UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen |
8.87 |
-1.5 |
-17% |
|
$16.04 |
$1,604.40 |
$1,580.19 |
17th Oct |
UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie |
6 |
-2.3 |
-38% |
|
$15.80 |
$1,580.19 |
$1,544.63 |
31st Oct |
UFC Vegas 12 |
3 |
1.6 |
53% |
|
$15.45 |
$1,544.63 |
$1,569.28 |
8th Nov |
UFC Vegas 13 |
2 |
2.0 |
100% |
|
$15.69 |
$1,569.28 |
$1,600.67 |
11th Nov |
DWCS 35 |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
|
$16.01 |
$1,600.67 |
$1,576.66 |
12th Nov |
Bellator 252 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$15.77 |
$1,576.66 |
$1,529.36 |
14th Nov |
UFC Vegas 14 |
7 |
-1.9 |
-27% |
|
$15.29 |
$1,529.36 |
$1,500.27 |
18th Nov |
DWCS 36 |
2.5 |
2.0 |
78% |
|
$15.00 |
$1,500.27 |
$1,529.64 |
19th Nov |
Bellator 253 |
4.5 |
2.1 |
47% |
|
$15.30 |
$1,529.64 |
$1,562.32 |
21st Nov |
UFC 255 |
10.5 |
0.6 |
6% |
|
$15.62 |
$1,562.32 |
$1,571.39 |
29th Nov |
UFC Vegas 15 |
2.25 |
-2.3 |
-100% |
|
$15.71 |
$1,571.39 |
$1,536.03 |
6th Dec |
UFC Vegas 16 |
6 |
4.1 |
68% |
|
$15.36 |
$1,536.03 |
$1,598.70 |
11th Dec |
Bellator 254 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$15.99 |
$1,598.70 |
$1,566.73 |
13th Dec |
UFC 256 |
13 |
6.7 |
51% |
|
$15.67 |
$1,566.73 |
$1,671.25 |
19th Dec |
UFC Vegas 17 |
6.5 |
1.4 |
22% |
|
$16.71 |
$1,671.25 |
$1,694.82 |
16th Jan |
UFC FN |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
$7.5 |
$16.95 |
$1,694.82 |
$1,619.53 |
20th Jan |
UFC on ESPN 20 |
16 |
4.4 |
27% |
$7.5 |
$16.20 |
$1,619.53 |
$1,682.66 |
24th Jan |
UFC 257 |
12 |
-8.8 |
-73% |
$7.5 |
$16.83 |
$1,682.66 |
$1,527.32 |
6th Feb |
UFC FN |
10 |
-3.7 |
-37% |
$7.5 |
$15.27 |
$1,527.32 |
$1,463.05 |
13th Feb |
UFC 258 |
3 |
0.8 |
25% |
$7.5 |
$14.63 |
$1,463.05 |
$1,466.52 |
20th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 185 |
10.5 |
-4.4 |
-42% |
$7.5 |
$14.67 |
$1,466.52 |
$1,394.92 |
28th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 186 |
3 |
1.0 |
32% |
$7.5 |
$13.95 |
$1,394.92 |
$1,400.92 |
6th Mar |
UFC 259 |
5.5 |
-1.5 |
-27% |
$7.5 |
$14.01 |
$1,400.92 |
$1,372.41 |
13th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 187 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$13.72 |
$1,372.41 |
$1,344.96 |
20th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 188 |
3 |
2.4 |
80% |
$7.5 |
$13.45 |
$1,344.96 |
$1,369.79 |
28th Mar |
UFC 260 |
3 |
3.3 |
110% |
|
$13.70 |
$1,369.79 |
$1,415.00 |
10th Apr |
UFC FN |
3 |
1.6 |
53% |
|
$14.15 |
$1,415.00 |
$1,437.58 |
17th Apr |
UFC FN |
3 |
0.8 |
25% |
|
$14.38 |
$1,437.58 |
$1,448.36 |
24th Apr |
UFC 261 |
3 |
1.0 |
33% |
|
$14.48 |
$1,448.36 |
$1,462.84 |
7th May |
Bellator 258 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
$7.5 |
$14.63 |
$1,462.84 |
$1,411.46 |
8th May |
UFC FN |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
$7.5 |
$14.11 |
$1,411.46 |
$1,361.61 |
15th May |
UFC 262 |
7.5 |
-2.4 |
-32% |
|
$13.62 |
$1,361.61 |
$1,329.31 |
22nd May |
UFC FN |
3 |
2.6 |
88% |
|
$13.29 |
$1,329.31 |
$1,364.20 |
12th Jun |
UFC 263 |
3 |
3.1 |
104% |
|
$13.64 |
$1,364.20 |
$1,406.77 |
10th Jul |
UFC 264 |
6 |
9.8 |
163% |
|
$14.07 |
$1,406.77 |
$1,544.47 |
17th Jul |
UFC FN |
3 |
3.3 |
110% |
|
$15.44 |
$1,544.47 |
$1,595.44 |
24th Jul |
UFC FN |
6 |
-2.1 |
-36% |
$7.5 |
$15.95 |
$1,595.44 |
$1,553.75 |
4th Sep |
UFC FN |
10 |
2.0 |
20% |
|
$15.54 |
$1,553.75 |
$1,584.82 |
25th Sep |
UFC 266 |
8 |
3.8 |
48% |
|
$15.85 |
$1,584.82 |
$1,645.20 |
18th Dec |
UFC FN |
10 |
-2.6 |
-26% |
|
$16.45 |
$1,645.20 |
$1,602.11 |
26th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev |
3 |
3.3 |
112% |
|
$16.02 |
$1,602.11 |
$1,655.74 |
5th Mar |
UFC 272 |
19.5 |
16.0 |
82% |
$7.5 |
$16.56 |
$1,655.74 |
$1,913.27 |
22nd Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 3 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$19.13 |
$1,913.27 |
$1,855.87 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 85.59% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
KneeOnBelly : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Mar '22 |
Rafael dos Anjos |
Renato Moicano |
1.57 |
5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
2. |
Mar '22 |
Sergey Spivak |
Greg Hardy |
1.50 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (2:16) |
|
|
3. |
Mar '22 |
Maryna Moroz |
Mariya Agapova |
2.60 |
2.5 |
Sub, R2 (3:27) |
|
|
4. |
Mar '22 |
Ludovit Klein |
Devonte Smith |
2.35 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
5. |
Mar '22 |
Dustin Jacoby |
Michal Oleksiejczuk |
1.50 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
6. |
Dec '21 |
Mateusz Gamrot |
Carlos Diego Ferreira |
1.57 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (3:26) |
|
|
7. |
Dec '21 |
Amanda Lemos |
Angela Hill |
1.33 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
8. |
Sep '21 |
Curtis Blaydes |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
1.33 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
9. |
Sep '21 |
Robbie Lawler |
Nick Diaz |
1.71 |
3 |
TKO, R3 (0:44) |
|
|
10. |
Sep '21 |
Jack Shore |
Liudvik Sholinian |
1.20 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
11. |
Jul '21 |
Sijara Eubanks |
Elise Reed |
1.29 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (3:49) |
|
|
12. |
Jun '21 |
Steven Peterson |
Chase Hooper |
2.04 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
13. |
May '21 |
Beneil Dariush |
Tony Ferguson |
1.71 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
14. |
Apr '21 |
Tony Gravely |
Anthony Birchak |
1.25 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (1:31) |
|
|
15. |
Apr '21 |
Marvin Vettori |
Kevin Holland |
1.53 |
3 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
16. |
Apr '21 |
Kamaru Usman |
Jorge Masvidal |
1.33 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (1:2) |
|
|
17. |
Feb '21 |
Casey O'Neill |
Shana Dobson |
1.69 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (3:41) |
|
|
18. |
Feb '21 |
Cory Sandhagen |
Frankie Edgar |
1.26 |
2.5 |
TKO, R1 (0:28) |
|
|
19. |
Jan '21 |
Movsar Evloev |
Nik Lentz |
1.29 |
2.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
20. |
Jan '21 |
Ricky Simon |
Gaetano Pirrello |
1.33 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (4:0) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Aug '23 |
Kaik Brito |
Oban Elliott |
1.72 |
3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Dec '21 |
Matt Sayles |
Jordan Leavitt |
2.00 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (2:5) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Dec '21 |
Stephen Thompson |
Belal Muhammad |
1.45 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Jul '21 |
Ian Heinisch |
Nassourdine Imavov |
1.66 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (3:9) |
No |
|
|
5. |
May '21 |
Gina Mazany |
Priscila Cachoeira |
1.50 |
2.5 |
TKO, R2 (4:51) |
No |
|
|
6. |
May '21 |
Shane Burgos |
Edson Barboza |
1.71 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (1:16) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Feb '21 |
Danny Chavez |
Jared Gordon |
1.81 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Feb '21 |
Ketlen Vieira |
Yana Santos |
1.44 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Feb '21 |
Ketlen Vieira |
Yana Santos |
1.44 |
2.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Feb '21 |
Michael Johnson |
Clay Guida |
1.50 |
2.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Feb '21 |
Curtis Blaydes |
Derrick Lewis |
1.40 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (1:26) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Jan '21 |
Daniel Hooker |
Michael Chandler |
1.75 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (2:30) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Jan '21 |
Santiago Ponzinibbio |
Li Jingliang |
1.40 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (4:25) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Feb '21 |
Molly McCann |
Lara Fritzen Procopio |
1.53 |
2.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Jan '21 |
Mounir Lazzez |
Warlley Alves |
1.73 |
2.5 |
TKO, R1 (2:35) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Jan '21 |
Amanda Ribas |
Marina Alcalde Rodriguez |
1.40 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (0:54) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Dec '20 |
Virna Jandiroba |
Mackenzie Dern |
2.80 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Dec '20 |
Gillian Robertson |
Taila Santos |
2.00 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Nov '20 |
Rachael Ostovich |
Gina Mazany |
2.75 |
0.8 |
TKO, R3 (4:10) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Nov '20 |
Mike Perry |
Tim Means |
1.73 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
KneeOnBelly : Progress Chart |
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