MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 3105
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MMA Handicapper Stats: KneeOnBelly

KneeOnBelly (KneeOnBellyMMAT)

MMA MHandicapper - KneeOnBelly

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	91 (59%)	Right	68 (68%)	Right	14 (39%)	Right	9 (53%)
Wrong	62 (41%)	Wrong	32 (32%)	Wrong	22 (61%)	Wrong	8 (47%)
Avg Odds	1.83	Avg Odds	1.63	Avg Odds	2.61	Avg Odds	2.01
Units Bet	341.7	Units Bet	254.6	Units Bet	47.7	Units Bet	39.5
Avg Bet	2.23	Avg Bet	2.55	Avg Bet	1.32	Avg Bet	2.32
Units Profit	40.10	Units Profit	40.15	Units Profit	-0.30	Units Profit	0.25
ROI %	12%	ROI %	16%	ROI %	-1%	ROI %	1%

KneeOnBelly : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
20th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 185	10.5	-4.4	-42%	-6.6 / 10 (-66%)	2.2 / 0.5 (450%)
14th Feb '21	UFC 258	3	0.8	25%		0.8 / 3 (25%)
6th Feb '21	UFC FN	10	-3.7	-37%	-4.3 / 7.5 (-58%)	0.6 / 2.5 (25%)
24th Jan '21	UFC 257	12	-8.8	-73%	-4.3 / 7.5 (-57%)	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
20th Jan '21	UFC on ESPN 20	16	4.4	27%	1.6 / 14 (11%)	2.8 / 2 (140%)
16th Jan '21	UFC FN	4	-4.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
19th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 17	6.5	1.4	22%	1.9 / 6 (32%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
13th Dec '20	UFC 256	13	6.7	51%	6.7 / 13 (51%)
11th Dec '20	Bellator 254	2	-2.0	-100%			-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
6th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 16	6	4.1	68%	2.8 / 5 (57%)	1.3 / 1 (125%)
29th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 15	2.25	-2.3	-100%	-0.8 / 0.8 (-100%)	-1.5 / 1.45 (-100%)
21st Nov '20	UFC 255	10.5	0.6	6%	1.2 / 6.5 (18%)	-0.6 / 4 (-14%)
19th Nov '20	Bellator 253	4.5	2.1	47%	2.1 / 4.5 (47%)
18th Nov '20	DWCS 36	2.5	2.0	78%	2.0 / 2.5 (78%)
14th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 14	7	-1.9	-27%	-1.9 / 7 (-27%)
12th Nov '20	Bellator 252	3	-3.0	-100%			-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
11th Nov '20	DWCS 35	1.5	-1.5	-100%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
8th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 13	2	2.0	100%	2.0 / 2 (100%)
31st Oct '20	UFC Vegas 12	3	1.6	53%	1.6 / 3 (53%)
17th Oct '20	UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie	6	-2.3	-38%	-1.3 / 5 (-25%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Oct '20	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	8.87	-1.5	-17%	-0.6 / 8 (-8%)	-0.9 / 0.87 (-100%)
10th Oct '20	Bellator 248	5	1.4	28%	1.4 / 5 (28%)
4th Oct '20	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	1	0.6	57%			0.6 / 1 (57%)
3rd Oct '20	Bellator Europe 9	2	1.0	50%	1.0 / 2 (50%)
26th Sep '20	UFC 253	7	-2.2	-31%	-0.7 / 5.5 (-13%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
19th Sep '20	UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley	2	-2.0	-100%			-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
13th Sep '20	Bellator 246	2	0.7	37%			0.7 / 2 (37%)
12th Sep '20	UFC Fight Night 184	3.5	-3.5	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)		-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
5th Sep '20	UFC Fight Night 183	3	2.0	67%	2.0 / 3 (67%)
2nd Sep '20	DWCS 31	3	0.8	25%	0.8 / 3 (25%)
29th Aug '20	UFC Fight Night 182	3.75	0.1	2%	0.1 / 3.75 (2%)
22nd Aug '20	UFC Vegas 7	4.5	-4.5	-100%		-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
15th Aug '20	UFC 252	4.5	6.4	142%	6.4 / 4.5 (142%)
8th Aug '20	UFC Vegas 6	6.5	0.6	9%	0.6 / 6.5 (9%)
8th Aug '20	Bellator 243	3	1.6	53%	1.6 / 3 (53%)
1st Aug '20	UFC Vegas 5	5.25	5.1	96%	1.7 / 3 (57%)	3.3 / 2.25 (148%)
25th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 3	12	14.4	120%	9.3 / 8.5 (109%)	3.3 / 0.5 (650%)	1.8 / 3 (61%)
18th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 2	8	2.7	34%	2.7 / 8 (34%)
15th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 1	6	-1.6	-27%			-1.6 / 6 (-27%)
11th Jul '20	UFC 251	10	2.5	25%	2.5 / 10 (25%)
27th Jun '20	UFC Fight Night 175	6	2.9	49%	2.9 / 6 (49%)
20th Jun '20	UFC Fight Night 174	17.5	-0.9	-5%	1.6 / 15 (11%)		-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
13th Jun '20	UFC Fight Night 173	21	8.3	40%	4.4 / 18 (24%)		3.9 / 3 (131%)
6th Jun '20	UFC 250	21.5	4.1	19%	5.3 / 16.5 (32%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	1.9 / 2 (93%)
30th May '20	UFC Fight Night 172	26	7.3	28%	-1.4 / 16 (-9%)	5.2 / 7 (75%)	3.4 / 3 (114%)
16th May '20	UFC Fight Night 171	11	6.0	54%	-0.7 / 3 (-23%)	2.2 / 3.5 (63%)	4.5 / 4.5 (100%)
14th May '20	UFC Fight Night 170	12.6	-3.8	-30%	3.3 / 5.5 (60%)	-3.1 / 3.1 (-100%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)

Winning Events: 29 (62%)
Losing Events: 18 (38%)

Average Staked Per Event: 7.27 units
Most Staked On One Event: 26.00 units
Best Event: 14.36 units
Worst Event: -8.79 units
Average Event: 0.85 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 30.66
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -12.50

KneeOnBelly : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	55.5	-15.8	-28%	-16.7 / 42 (-40%)	0.9 / 13.5 (7%)		2 / 4 (33%)	-2.63
2020	286.22	55.9	20%	56.8 / 212.55 (27%)	-1.2 / 34.17 (-4%)	0.2 / 39.5 (1%)	27 / 14 (66%)	1.36

KneeOnBelly : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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KneeOnBelly : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	313.22	37.0	12%	32.8 / 233.05 (14%)	-0.3 / 47.67 (-1%)	4.5 / 32.5 (14%)
Bellator	21.5	1.9	9%	6.1 / 14.5 (42%)		-4.3 / 7 (-61%)
Other	7	1.2	17%	1.2 / 7 (17%)

KneeOnBelly : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	50 (49%)	39	78 %	155.50	16.63	0.33	11%
Slight Favorites	27 (26%)	18	67 %	61.00	12.42	0.46	20%
Slight Underdogs	20 (19%)	9	45 %	29.30	2.47	0.12	8%
Big Underdogs	6 (6%)	3	50 %	8.75	8.62	1.44	99%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	18 (17%)	13	72 %	54.50	11.99	0.67	22%
Co-Main Event	15 (15%)	7	47 %	27.75	1.94	0.13	7%
Position 3-5	32 (31%)	22	69 %	78.00	5.87	0.18	8%
6+ (Undercard)	38 (37%)	27	71 %	94.30	20.36	0.54	22%

KneeOnBelly : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	8 (8%)	5	63 %	22.00	1.41	0.18	6%
Light Heavy	6 (6%)	3	50 %	14.50	-3.06	-0.51	-21%
Middleweight	11 (11%)	9	82 %	23.50	10.48	0.95	45%
Welterweight	12 (12%)	5	42 %	28.25	-1.72	-0.14	-6%
Lightweight	11 (11%)	8	73 %	26.00	4.10	0.37	16%
Featherweight	16 (16%)	11	69 %	34.00	6.85	0.43	20%
Bantamweight	13 (13%)	12	92 %	34.50	17.17	1.32	50%
Flyweight	2 (2%)	1	50 %	5.00	-0.15	-0.07	-3%

Women's Fights	24 (23%)	15	63 %	66.80	5.05	0.21	8%
Featherweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	5.00	1.00	1.00	20%
Bantamweight	6 (6%)	3	50 %	18.30	0.51	0.08	3%
Flyweight	9 (9%)	6	67 %	19.00	2.61	0.29	14%
Strawweight	8 (8%)	5	63 %	24.50	0.93	0.12	4%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	37 (84%)	26	70 %
Slight Favorites	7 (16%)	5	71 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	44	31	70 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	2 (6%)	2	100 %
50-65%	6 (18%)	2	33 %
35-50%	11 (32%)	4	36 %
<35% chance	15 (44%)	5	33 %
	34	13	38 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (3%)	1	100 %	2.10	2.10	2.10	1.1 (110%)
Goes to Decision	1 (3%)	0	0 %	1.67	1.67	1.67	-1.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision	5 (15%)	3	60 %	1.62	2.20	1.25	-0.2 (-3%)
X Wins by KO	9 (26%)	1	11 %	2.67	8.00	1.64	-5.7 (-64%)
X Wins by Sub	7 (21%)	4	57 %	4.81	21.00	1.91	9.2 (132%)
X Wins Inside Distance	6 (18%)	4	67 %	2.83	5.50	1.61	6.6 (109%)
Others	5 (15%)	0	0 %	3.37	7.50	2.30	-5.0 (-100%)
	34	13	38 %	2.70			5.0 (15%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail KneeOnBelly 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
14th May	UFC Fight Night 170	12.6	-3.8	-30%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$961.89
16th May	UFC Fight Night 171	11	6.0	54%		$9.62	$961.89	$1,019.47
30th May	UFC Fight Night 172	26	7.3	28%		$10.19	$1,019.47	$1,093.52
6th Jun	UFC 250	21.5	4.1	19%		$10.94	$1,093.52	$1,138.73
13th Jun	UFC Fight Night 173	21	8.3	40%		$11.39	$1,138.73	$1,233.31
20th Jun	UFC Fight Night 174	17.5	-0.9	-5%		$12.33	$1,233.31	$1,222.22
27th Jun	UFC Fight Night 175	6	2.9	49%		$12.22	$1,222.22	$1,257.92
11th Jul	UFC 251	10	2.5	25%		$12.58	$1,257.92	$1,289.36
15th Jul	UFC Fight Island 1	6	-1.6	-27%		$12.89	$1,289.36	$1,268.84
18th Jul	UFC Fight Island 2	8	2.7	34%		$12.69	$1,268.84	$1,303.10
25th Jul	UFC Fight Island 3	12	14.4	120%		$13.03	$1,303.10	$1,490.22
1st Aug	UFC Vegas 5	5.25	5.1	96%		$14.90	$1,490.22	$1,565.50
8th Aug	Bellator 243	3	1.6	53%		$15.65	$1,565.50	$1,590.48
8th Aug	UFC Vegas 6	6.5	0.6	9%		$15.90	$1,590.48	$1,599.65
15th Aug	UFC 252	4.5	6.4	142%		$16.00	$1,599.65	$1,701.63
22nd Aug	UFC Vegas 7	4.5	-4.5	-100%		$17.02	$1,701.63	$1,625.05
29th Aug	UFC Fight Night 182	3.75	0.1	2%		$16.25	$1,625.05	$1,626.35
2nd Sep	DWCS 31	3	0.8	25%		$16.26	$1,626.35	$1,638.55
5th Sep	UFC Fight Night 183	3	2.0	67%		$16.39	$1,638.55	$1,671.54
12th Sep	UFC Fight Night 184	3.5	-3.5	-100%		$16.72	$1,671.54	$1,613.04
13th Sep	Bellator 246	2	0.7	37%		$16.13	$1,613.04	$1,625.02
19th Sep	UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley	2	-2.0	-100%		$16.25	$1,625.02	$1,592.52
26th Sep	UFC 253	7	-2.2	-31%		$15.93	$1,592.52	$1,557.42
3rd Oct	Bellator Europe 9	2	1.0	50%		$15.57	$1,557.42	$1,573.00
4th Oct	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	1	0.6	57%		$15.73	$1,573.00	$1,581.99
10th Oct	Bellator 248	5	1.4	28%		$15.82	$1,581.99	$1,604.40
10th Oct	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	8.87	-1.5	-17%		$16.04	$1,604.40	$1,580.19
17th Oct	UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie	6	-2.3	-38%		$15.80	$1,580.19	$1,544.63
31st Oct	UFC Vegas 12	3	1.6	53%		$15.45	$1,544.63	$1,569.28
8th Nov	UFC Vegas 13	2	2.0	100%		$15.69	$1,569.28	$1,600.67
11th Nov	DWCS 35	1.5	-1.5	-100%		$16.01	$1,600.67	$1,576.66
12th Nov	Bellator 252	3	-3.0	-100%		$15.77	$1,576.66	$1,529.36
14th Nov	UFC Vegas 14	7	-1.9	-27%		$15.29	$1,529.36	$1,500.27
18th Nov	DWCS 36	2.5	2.0	78%		$15.00	$1,500.27	$1,529.64
19th Nov	Bellator 253	4.5	2.1	47%		$15.30	$1,529.64	$1,562.32
21st Nov	UFC 255	10.5	0.6	6%		$15.62	$1,562.32	$1,571.39
29th Nov	UFC Vegas 15	2.25	-2.3	-100%		$15.71	$1,571.39	$1,536.03
6th Dec	UFC Vegas 16	6	4.1	68%		$15.36	$1,536.03	$1,598.70
11th Dec	Bellator 254	2	-2.0	-100%		$15.99	$1,598.70	$1,566.73
13th Dec	UFC 256	13	6.7	51%		$15.67	$1,566.73	$1,671.25
19th Dec	UFC Vegas 17	6.5	1.4	22%		$16.71	$1,671.25	$1,694.82
16th Jan	UFC FN	4	-4.0	-100%	$7.5	$16.95	$1,694.82	$1,619.53
20th Jan	UFC on ESPN 20	16	4.4	27%	$7.5	$16.20	$1,619.53	$1,682.66
24th Jan	UFC 257	12	-8.8	-73%	$7.5	$16.83	$1,682.66	$1,527.32
6th Feb	UFC FN	10	-3.7	-37%	$7.5	$15.27	$1,527.32	$1,463.05
14th Feb	UFC 258	3	0.8	25%	$7.5	$14.63	$1,463.05	$1,466.52
20th Feb	UFC Fight Night 185	10.5	-4.4	-42%	$7.5	$14.67	$1,466.52	$1,394.92

ROI % from starting bank balance: 39.49% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

KneeOnBelly : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Feb '21	Casey O'Neill	Shana Dobson	1.69	2	TKO, R2 (3:41)
2.	Feb '21	Cory Sandhagen	Frankie Edgar	1.26	2.5	TKO, R1 (0:28)
3.	Jan '21	Movsar Evloev	Nik Lentz	1.29	2.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Jan '21	Ricky Simon	Gaetano Pirrello	1.33	3	Sub, R2 (4:0)
5.	Jan '21	Viviane Araujo	Roxanne Modafferi	1.40	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Jan '21	Lerone Murphy	Douglas Silva de Andrade	1.44	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Jan '21	Umar Nurmagomedov	Sergey Morozov	1.25	3	Sub, R2 (3:39)
8.	Dec '20	Stephen Thompson	Geoff Neal	2.06	2.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
9.	Dec '20	Tafon Nchukwi	Jamie Pickett	1.38	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Dec '20	Kevin Holland	Ronaldo Souza	2.16	1	TKO, R1 (1:45)
11.	Dec '20	Tecia Torres	Sam Hughes	1.22	5	TKO, R1 (5:0)
12.	Dec '20	Gavin Tucker	Billy Quarantillo	2.30	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Dec '20	Gabriel Benitez	Justin Jaynes	1.62	2	TKO, R1 (4:6)
14.	Dec '20	Charles Oliveira	Tony Ferguson	2.50	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Dec '20	Ciryl Gane	Junior dos Santos	1.40	3	TKO, R2 (2:34)
16.	Dec '20	Ilia Topuria	Damon Jackson	1.53	3	TKO, R1 (2:38)
17.	Nov '20	Sullivan Cauley	Jason Markland	1.50	2	TKO, R1 (0:28)
18.	Nov '20	Raufeon Stots	Keith Lee	1.45	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Nov '20	Tucker Lutz	Sherrard Blackledge	2.63	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Nov '20	Kyle Daukaus	Dustin Stoltzfus	1.40	2	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Feb '21	Danny Chavez	Jared Gordon	1.81	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Feb '21	Ketlen Vieira	Yana Kunitskaya	1.44	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Feb '21	Ketlen Vieira	Yana Kunitskaya	1.44	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Feb '21	Michael Johnson	Clay Guida	1.50	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Feb '21	Curtis Blaydes	Derrick Lewis	1.40	3	TKO, R2 (1:26)	No
6.	Jan '21	Daniel Hooker	Michael Chandler	1.75	2	TKO, R1 (2:30)	No
7.	Jan '21	Santiago Ponzinibbio	Li Jingliang	1.40	3	TKO, R1 (4:25)	No
8.	Feb '21	Molly McCann	Lara Fritzen Procopio	1.53	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Jan '21	Mounir Lazzez	Warlley Alves	1.73	2.5	TKO, R1 (2:35)	No
10.	Jan '21	Amanda Ribas	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	1.40	3	TKO, R2 (0:54)	No
11.	Dec '20	Virna Jandiroba	Mackenzie Dern	2.80	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Dec '20	Gillian Robertson	Taila Santos	2.00	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Nov '20	Rachael Ostovich	Gina Mazany	2.75	0.8	TKO, R3 (4:10)	No
14.	Nov '20	Mike Perry	Tim Means	1.73	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Nov '20	Rhys McKee	Alex Morono	2.80	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Nov '20	Brendan Allen	Sean Strickland	2.05	2	TKO, R2 (1:32)	No
17.	Nov '20	Mariusz Ksiazkiewicz	Mario Sousa	2.25	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Nov '20	Rhys McKee	Alex Morono	2.80	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Oct '20	Chan Sung Jung	Brian Ortega	1.50	2.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
20.	Oct '20	Makwan Amirkhani	Edson Barboza	3.50	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

KneeOnBelly : Progress Chart

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