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MMA Handicapper Stats: KneeOnBelly |
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KneeOnBelly : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 35 (61%)
Losing Events: 22 (39%)
Average Staked Per Event: 6.55 units
Most Staked On One Event: 26.00 units
Best Event: 14.36 units
Worst Event: -8.79 units
Average Event: 0.71 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 30.66
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -12.50 |
KneeOnBelly : Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2021 |
87 |
-15.2 |
-18% |
-13.3 / 51 (-26%) |
2.9 / 19.5 (15%) |
-4.8 / 16.5 (-29%) |
8 / 8 (50%) |
-0.95 |
| 2020 |
286.22 |
55.9 |
20% |
56.8 / 212.55 (27%) |
-1.2 / 34.17 (-4%) |
0.2 / 39.5 (1%) |
27 / 14 (66%) |
1.36 |
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KneeOnBelly : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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KneeOnBelly : Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
341.72 |
40.5 |
12% |
36.1 / 242.05 (15%) |
1.7 / 53.67 (3%) |
2.7 / 46 (6%) |
|
Bellator |
24.5 |
-1.1 |
-5% |
6.1 / 14.5 (42%) |
|
-7.3 / 10 (-73%) |
| Other |
7 |
1.2 |
17% |
1.2 / 7 (17%) |
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KneeOnBelly : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
53 (50%) |
42 |
79 % |
164.50 |
19.97 |
0.38 |
12% |
| Slight Favorites |
27 (25%) |
18 |
67 % |
61.00 |
12.42 |
0.46 |
20% |
| Slight Underdogs |
20 (19%) |
9 |
45 % |
29.30 |
2.47 |
0.12 |
8% |
| Big Underdogs |
6 (6%) |
3 |
50 % |
8.75 |
8.62 |
1.44 |
99% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
20 (19%) |
15 |
75 % |
60.50 |
14.58 |
0.73 |
24% |
| Co-Main Event |
15 (14%) |
7 |
47 % |
27.75 |
1.94 |
0.13 |
7% |
| Position 3-5 |
32 (30%) |
22 |
69 % |
78.00 |
5.87 |
0.18 |
8% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
39 (37%) |
28 |
72 % |
97.30 |
21.11 |
0.54 |
22% |
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KneeOnBelly : Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
8 (8%) |
5 |
63 % |
22.00 |
1.41 |
0.18 |
6% |
| Light Heavy |
6 (6%) |
3 |
50 % |
14.50 |
-3.06 |
-0.51 |
-21% |
| Middleweight |
12 (11%) |
10 |
83 % |
26.50 |
12.08 |
1.01 |
46% |
| Welterweight |
13 (12%) |
6 |
46 % |
31.25 |
-0.72 |
-0.06 |
-2% |
| Lightweight |
11 (10%) |
8 |
73 % |
26.00 |
4.10 |
0.37 |
16% |
| Featherweight |
16 (15%) |
11 |
69 % |
34.00 |
6.85 |
0.43 |
20% |
| Bantamweight |
14 (13%) |
13 |
93 % |
37.50 |
17.92 |
1.28 |
48% |
| Flyweight |
2 (2%) |
1 |
50 % |
5.00 |
-0.15 |
-0.07 |
-3% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
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| Women's Fights |
24 (23%) |
15 |
63 % |
66.80 |
5.05 |
0.21 |
8% |
| Featherweight |
1 (1%) |
1 |
100 % |
5.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
20% |
| Bantamweight |
6 (6%) |
3 |
50 % |
18.30 |
0.51 |
0.08 |
3% |
| Flyweight |
9 (8%) |
6 |
67 % |
19.00 |
2.61 |
0.29 |
14% |
| Strawweight |
8 (8%) |
5 |
63 % |
24.50 |
0.93 |
0.12 |
4% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
52 (88%) |
36 |
69 % |
| Slight Favorites |
7 (12%) |
5 |
71 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
59 |
41 |
69 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
4 (11%) |
4 |
100 % |
| 50-65% |
6 (17%) |
2 |
33 % |
| 35-50% |
11 (31%) |
4 |
36 % |
| <35% chance |
15 (42%) |
5 |
33 % |
|
36 |
15 |
42 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail KneeOnBelly 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 14th May |
UFC Fight Night 170 |
12.6 |
-3.8 |
-30% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$961.89 |
| 16th May |
UFC Fight Night 171 |
11 |
6.0 |
54% |
|
$9.62 |
$961.89 |
$1,019.47 |
| 30th May |
UFC Fight Night 172 |
26 |
7.3 |
28% |
|
$10.19 |
$1,019.47 |
$1,093.52 |
| 6th Jun |
UFC 250 |
21.5 |
4.1 |
19% |
|
$10.94 |
$1,093.52 |
$1,138.73 |
| 13th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 173 |
21 |
8.3 |
40% |
|
$11.39 |
$1,138.73 |
$1,233.31 |
| 20th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 174 |
17.5 |
-0.9 |
-5% |
|
$12.33 |
$1,233.31 |
$1,222.22 |
| 27th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 175 |
6 |
2.9 |
49% |
|
$12.22 |
$1,222.22 |
$1,257.92 |
| 11th Jul |
UFC 251 |
10 |
2.5 |
25% |
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$12.58 |
$1,257.92 |
$1,289.36 |
| 15th Jul |
UFC Fight Island 1 |
6 |
-1.6 |
-27% |
|
$12.89 |
$1,289.36 |
$1,268.84 |
| 18th Jul |
UFC Fight Island 2 |
8 |
2.7 |
34% |
|
$12.69 |
$1,268.84 |
$1,303.10 |
| 25th Jul |
UFC Fight Island 3 |
12 |
14.4 |
120% |
|
$13.03 |
$1,303.10 |
$1,490.22 |
| 1st Aug |
UFC Vegas 5 |
5.25 |
5.1 |
96% |
|
$14.90 |
$1,490.22 |
$1,565.50 |
| 8th Aug |
Bellator 243 |
3 |
1.6 |
53% |
|
$15.65 |
$1,565.50 |
$1,590.48 |
| 8th Aug |
UFC Vegas 6 |
6.5 |
0.6 |
9% |
|
$15.90 |
$1,590.48 |
$1,599.65 |
| 15th Aug |
UFC 252 |
4.5 |
6.4 |
142% |
|
$16.00 |
$1,599.65 |
$1,701.63 |
| 22nd Aug |
UFC Vegas 7 |
4.5 |
-4.5 |
-100% |
|
$17.02 |
$1,701.63 |
$1,625.05 |
| 29th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 182 |
3.75 |
0.1 |
2% |
|
$16.25 |
$1,625.05 |
$1,626.35 |
| 2nd Sep |
DWCS 31 |
3 |
0.8 |
25% |
|
$16.26 |
$1,626.35 |
$1,638.55 |
| 5th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 183 |
3 |
2.0 |
67% |
|
$16.39 |
$1,638.55 |
$1,671.54 |
| 12th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 184 |
3.5 |
-3.5 |
-100% |
|
$16.72 |
$1,671.54 |
$1,613.04 |
| 13th Sep |
Bellator 246 |
2 |
0.7 |
37% |
|
$16.13 |
$1,613.04 |
$1,625.02 |
| 19th Sep |
UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$16.25 |
$1,625.02 |
$1,592.52 |
| 26th Sep |
UFC 253 |
7 |
-2.2 |
-31% |
|
$15.93 |
$1,592.52 |
$1,557.42 |
| 3rd Oct |
Bellator Europe 9 |
2 |
1.0 |
50% |
|
$15.57 |
$1,557.42 |
$1,573.00 |
| 4th Oct |
UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana |
1 |
0.6 |
57% |
|
$15.73 |
$1,573.00 |
$1,581.99 |
| 10th Oct |
Bellator 248 |
5 |
1.4 |
28% |
|
$15.82 |
$1,581.99 |
$1,604.40 |
| 10th Oct |
UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen |
8.87 |
-1.5 |
-17% |
|
$16.04 |
$1,604.40 |
$1,580.19 |
| 17th Oct |
UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie |
6 |
-2.3 |
-38% |
|
$15.80 |
$1,580.19 |
$1,544.63 |
| 31st Oct |
UFC Vegas 12 |
3 |
1.6 |
53% |
|
$15.45 |
$1,544.63 |
$1,569.28 |
| 8th Nov |
UFC Vegas 13 |
2 |
2.0 |
100% |
|
$15.69 |
$1,569.28 |
$1,600.67 |
| 11th Nov |
DWCS 35 |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
|
$16.01 |
$1,600.67 |
$1,576.66 |
| 12th Nov |
Bellator 252 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$15.77 |
$1,576.66 |
$1,529.36 |
| 14th Nov |
UFC Vegas 14 |
7 |
-1.9 |
-27% |
|
$15.29 |
$1,529.36 |
$1,500.27 |
| 18th Nov |
DWCS 36 |
2.5 |
2.0 |
78% |
|
$15.00 |
$1,500.27 |
$1,529.64 |
| 19th Nov |
Bellator 253 |
4.5 |
2.1 |
47% |
|
$15.30 |
$1,529.64 |
$1,562.32 |
| 21st Nov |
UFC 255 |
10.5 |
0.6 |
6% |
|
$15.62 |
$1,562.32 |
$1,571.39 |
| 29th Nov |
UFC Vegas 15 |
2.25 |
-2.3 |
-100% |
|
$15.71 |
$1,571.39 |
$1,536.03 |
| 6th Dec |
UFC Vegas 16 |
6 |
4.1 |
68% |
|
$15.36 |
$1,536.03 |
$1,598.70 |
| 11th Dec |
Bellator 254 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$15.99 |
$1,598.70 |
$1,566.73 |
| 13th Dec |
UFC 256 |
13 |
6.7 |
51% |
|
$15.67 |
$1,566.73 |
$1,671.25 |
| 19th Dec |
UFC Vegas 17 |
6.5 |
1.4 |
22% |
|
$16.71 |
$1,671.25 |
$1,694.82 |
| 16th Jan |
UFC FN |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
$7.5 |
$16.95 |
$1,694.82 |
$1,619.53 |
| 20th Jan |
UFC on ESPN 20 |
16 |
4.4 |
27% |
$7.5 |
$16.20 |
$1,619.53 |
$1,682.66 |
| 24th Jan |
UFC 257 |
12 |
-8.8 |
-73% |
$7.5 |
$16.83 |
$1,682.66 |
$1,527.32 |
| 6th Feb |
UFC FN |
10 |
-3.7 |
-37% |
$7.5 |
$15.27 |
$1,527.32 |
$1,463.05 |
| 14th Feb |
UFC 258 |
3 |
0.8 |
25% |
$7.5 |
$14.63 |
$1,463.05 |
$1,466.52 |
| 20th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 185 |
10.5 |
-4.4 |
-42% |
$7.5 |
$14.67 |
$1,466.52 |
$1,394.92 |
| 28th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 186 |
3 |
1.0 |
32% |
$7.5 |
$13.95 |
$1,394.92 |
$1,400.92 |
| 6th Mar |
UFC 259 |
5.5 |
-1.5 |
-27% |
$7.5 |
$14.01 |
$1,400.92 |
$1,372.41 |
| 13th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 187 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$13.72 |
$1,372.41 |
$1,344.96 |
| 21st Mar |
UFC Fight Night 188 |
3 |
2.4 |
80% |
$7.5 |
$13.45 |
$1,344.96 |
$1,369.79 |
| 28th Mar |
UFC 260 |
3 |
3.3 |
110% |
|
$13.70 |
$1,369.79 |
$1,415.00 |
| 10th Apr |
UFC FN |
3 |
1.6 |
53% |
|
$14.15 |
$1,415.00 |
$1,437.58 |
| 17th Apr |
UFC FN |
3 |
0.8 |
25% |
|
$14.38 |
$1,437.58 |
$1,448.36 |
| 24th Apr |
UFC 261 |
3 |
1.0 |
33% |
|
$14.48 |
$1,448.36 |
$1,462.84 |
| 7th May |
Bellator 258 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
$7.5 |
$14.63 |
$1,462.84 |
$1,411.46 |
| 8th May |
UFC FN |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
$7.5 |
$14.11 |
$1,411.46 |
$1,361.61 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 36.16% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
KneeOnBelly : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
| 1. |
Apr '21 |
Tony Gravely |
Anthony Birchak |
1.25 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (1:31) |
|
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| 2. |
Apr '21 |
Marvin Vettori |
Kevin Holland |
1.53 |
3 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
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| 3. |
Apr '21 |
Kamaru Usman |
Jorge Masvidal |
1.33 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (1:2) |
|
|
| 4. |
Feb '21 |
 Casey O'Neill |
Shana Dobson |
1.69 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (3:41) |
|
|
| 5. |
Feb '21 |
Cory Sandhagen |
Frankie Edgar |
1.26 |
2.5 |
TKO, R1 (0:28) |
|
|
| 6. |
Jan '21 |
Movsar Evloev |
Nik Lentz |
1.29 |
2.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 7. |
Jan '21 |
Ricky Simon |
Gaetano Pirrello |
1.33 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (4:0) |
|
|
| 8. |
Jan '21 |
Viviane Araujo |
Roxanne Modafferi |
1.40 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 9. |
Jan '21 |
Lerone Murphy |
Douglas Silva de Andrade |
1.44 |
2.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 10. |
Jan '21 |
Umar Nurmagomedov |
Sergey Morozov |
1.25 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (3:39) |
|
|
| 11. |
Dec '20 |
Stephen Thompson |
Geoff Neal |
2.06 |
2.5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
| 12. |
Dec '20 |
Tafon Nchukwi |
Jamie Pickett |
1.38 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 13. |
Dec '20 |
Kevin Holland |
Ronaldo Souza |
2.16 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (1:45) |
|
|
| 14. |
Dec '20 |
Tecia Torres |
Sam Hughes |
1.22 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (5:0) |
|
|
| 15. |
Dec '20 |
Gavin Tucker |
Billy Quarantillo |
2.30 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 16. |
Dec '20 |
Gabriel Benitez |
Justin Jaynes |
1.62 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (4:6) |
|
|
| 17. |
Dec '20 |
Charles Oliveira |
Tony Ferguson |
2.50 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 18. |
Dec '20 |
Ciryl Gane |
Junior dos Santos |
1.40 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (2:34) |
|
|
| 19. |
Dec '20 |
Ilia Topuria |
Damon Jackson |
1.53 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (2:38) |
|
|
| 20. |
Nov '20 |
Sullivan Cauley |
Jason Markland |
1.50 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (0:28) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
KneeOnBelly : Progress Chart |
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