MMA Handicapper Stats: Baird Wristlock |
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Baird Wristlock: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
8th Aug '20 |
UFC Vegas 6 |
13.5 |
5.6 |
41% |
4.6 / 12.5 (37%) |
0.1 / 0.5 (29%) |
0.8 / 0.5 (169%) |
1st Aug '20 |
UFC Vegas 5 |
3 |
-0.7 |
-23% |
-0.7 / 3 (-23%) |
|
|
25th Jul '20 |
UFC Fight Island 3 |
13 |
-5.8 |
-45% |
-4.8 / 12 (-40%) |
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
15th Jul '20 |
UFC Fight Island 1 |
11 |
-2.7 |
-24% |
-0.7 / 9 (-7%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
|
11th Jul '20 |
UFC 251 |
21 |
7.1 |
34% |
5.6 / 19.5 (29%) |
1.5 / 1.5 (100%) |
|
30th May '20 |
UFC Fight Night 172 |
9.75 |
2.9 |
29% |
1.4 / 8.25 (17%) |
1.5 / 1.5 (100%) |
|
16th May '20 |
UFC Fight Night 171 |
10.4 |
-2.1 |
-20% |
-1.1 / 9.4 (-12%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
14th May '20 |
UFC Fight Night 170 |
2.3 |
-0.5 |
-22% |
-0.3 / 2.1 (-14%) |
-0.2 / 0.2 (-100%) |
|
Winning Events: 3 (38%) Losing Events: 5 (63%)
Average Staked Per Event: 10.49 units Most Staked On One Event: 21.00 units Best Event: 7.14 units Worst Event: -5.81 units Average Event: 0.48 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 10.01 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -9.17 |
Baird Wristlock: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2020 |
83.95 |
3.8 |
5% |
4.0 / 75.75 (5%) |
-0.1 / 6.7 (-1%) |
-0.2 / 1.5 (-10%) |
3 / 5 (38%) |
0.48 |
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Baird Wristlock: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Baird Wristlock: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
83.95 |
3.8 |
5% |
4.0 / 75.75 (5%) |
-0.1 / 6.7 (-1%) |
-0.2 / 1.5 (-10%) |
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Baird Wristlock: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
20 (31%) |
14 |
70 % |
31.10 |
2.40 |
0.12 |
8% |
Slight Favorites |
26 (40%) |
17 |
65 % |
28.90 |
5.21 |
0.20 |
18% |
Slight Underdogs |
16 (25%) |
6 |
38 % |
14.50 |
-2.32 |
-0.15 |
-16% |
Big Underdogs |
3 (5%) |
0 |
0 % |
1.25 |
-1.25 |
-0.42 |
-100% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
8 (12%) |
5 |
63 % |
10.50 |
2.02 |
0.25 |
19% |
Co-Main Event |
6 (9%) |
3 |
50 % |
6.60 |
0.43 |
0.07 |
7% |
Position 3-5 |
19 (29%) |
11 |
58 % |
23.15 |
0.13 |
0.01 |
1% |
6+ (Undercard) |
32 (49%) |
18 |
56 % |
35.50 |
1.46 |
0.05 |
4% |
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Baird Wristlock: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
7 (11%) |
3 |
43 % |
7.10 |
-1.48 |
-0.21 |
-21% |
Light Heavy |
6 (9%) |
2 |
33 % |
5.50 |
-1.88 |
-0.31 |
-34% |
Middleweight |
7 (11%) |
3 |
43 % |
9.50 |
-2.29 |
-0.33 |
-24% |
Welterweight |
8 (12%) |
4 |
50 % |
10.50 |
-2.48 |
-0.31 |
-24% |
Lightweight |
6 (9%) |
6 |
100 % |
8.00 |
4.48 |
0.75 |
56% |
Featherweight |
12 (18%) |
8 |
67 % |
10.40 |
3.64 |
0.30 |
35% |
Bantamweight |
6 (9%) |
4 |
67 % |
7.50 |
4.64 |
0.77 |
62% |
Flyweight |
3 (5%) |
1 |
33 % |
3.00 |
-0.42 |
-0.14 |
-14% |
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|
|
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Women's Fights |
10 (15%) |
6 |
60 % |
14.25 |
-0.16 |
-0.02 |
-1% |
Flyweight |
5 (8%) |
3 |
60 % |
6.50 |
-0.01 |
-0.00 |
-0% |
Strawweight |
5 (8%) |
3 |
60 % |
7.75 |
-0.15 |
-0.03 |
-2% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
4 (80%) |
3 |
75 % |
Slight Favorites |
1 (20%) |
1 |
100 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
5 |
4 |
80 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
3 (25%) |
2 |
67 % |
50-65% |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
35-50% |
4 (33%) |
0 |
0 % |
<35% chance |
5 (42%) |
2 |
40 % |
|
12 |
4 |
33 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Baird Wristlock's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
ROI % from starting bank balance: 3.22% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Baird Wristlock: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Aug '20 |
Gavin Tucker |
Justin Jaynes |
1.87 |
0.5 |
Sub, R3 (1:43) |
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2. |
Aug '20 |
Tim Means |
Laureano Staropoli |
2.30 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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3. |
Aug '20 |
Irwin Rivera |
Ali Al Qaisi |
1.58 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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4. |
Aug '20 |
Andrew Sanchez |
Wellington Turman |
2.26 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (4:14) |
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5. |
Aug '20 |
Nasrat Haqparast |
Alex Munoz |
1.43 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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6. |
Aug '20 |
Kevin Holland |
Joaquin Buckley |
1.24 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (0:32) |
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7. |
Aug '20 |
Beneil Dariush |
Scott Holtzman |
1.53 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (4:38) |
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8. |
Aug '20 |
Derrick Lewis |
Aleksei Oleinik |
1.54 |
1.5 |
TKO, R2 (0:21) |
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9. |
Aug '20 |
Vicente Luque |
Randy Brown |
1.53 |
1.5 |
TKO, R2 (4:56) |
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10. |
Jul '20 |
Francisco Trinaldo |
Jai Herbert |
1.79 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (1:30) |
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11. |
Jul '20 |
Paul Craig |
Gadzhimurad Antigulov |
1.80 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (2:6) |
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12. |
Jul '20 |
Robert Whittaker |
Darren Till |
1.80 |
2 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
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13. |
Jul '20 |
Lerone Murphy |
Ricardo Ramos |
2.55 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:18) |
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14. |
Jul '20 |
Jimmie Rivera |
Cody Stamann |
1.84 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
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15. |
Jul '20 |
Tim Elliott |
Ryan Benoit |
1.72 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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16. |
Jul '20 |
Calvin Kattar |
Dan Ige |
1.38 |
1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
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17. |
Jul '20 |
Marcin Tybura |
Maxim Grishin |
1.91 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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18. |
Jul '20 |
Davey Grant |
Martin Day |
2.60 |
1.5 |
TKO, R3 (2:38) |
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19. |
Jul '20 |
Karol Rosa |
Vanessa Melo |
1.44 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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20. |
Jul '20 |
Leonardo Santos |
Roman Bogatov |
1.64 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Aug '20 |
Maki Pitolo |
Darren Stewart |
2.45 |
1.5 |
Sub, R1 (3:41) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Aug '20 |
Frankie Saenz |
Jonathan Martinez |
3.25 |
0.5 |
TKO, R3 (0:57) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Aug '20 |
Edmen Shahbazyan |
Derek Brunson |
1.31 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (0:26) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Jul '20 |
Nicolas Dalby |
Jesse Ronson |
1.42 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (2:48) |
No |
|
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5. |
Jul '20 |
Peter Sobotta |
Alex Oliveira |
2.50 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
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6. |
Jul '20 |
Rogerio Nogueira |
Mauricio Rua |
2.65 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
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7. |
Jul '20 |
Marina Alcalde Rodriguez |
Carla Esparza |
1.59 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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8. |
Jul '20 |
Alexander Gustafsson |
Fabricio Werdum |
1.30 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (2:30) |
No |
|
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9. |
Jul '20 |
Andreas Michailidis |
Modestas Bukauskas |
2.53 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (5:0) |
No |
|
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10. |
Jul '20 |
Aaron Phillips |
Jack Shore |
7.16 |
0.5 |
Sub, R2 (2:29) |
No |
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11. |
Jul '20 |
Diana Belbita |
Liana Jojua |
1.53 |
1.5 |
Sub, R1 (2:43) |
No |
|
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12. |
Jul '20 |
Molly McCann |
Taila Santos |
1.70 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
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13. |
Jul '20 |
Chris Fishgold |
Jared Gordon |
2.37 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
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14. |
Jul '20 |
Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
Raulian Paiva |
2.53 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Jul '20 |
Volkan Oezdemir |
Jiri Prochazka |
1.64 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (0:49) |
No |
|
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16. |
Jul '20 |
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos |
Muslim Salikhov |
2.13 |
1.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
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17. |
May '20 |
Tyron Woodley |
Gilbert Burns |
1.57 |
1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
Yes |
|
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18. |
May '20 |
Hannah Cifers |
Mackenzie Dern |
4.58 |
0.25 |
Sub, R1 (2:36) |
No |
|
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19. |
May '20 |
Tim Elliott |
Brandon Royval |
1.60 |
0.5 |
Sub, R2 (3:18) |
No |
|
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20. |
May '20 |
Blagoy Ivanov |
Augusto Sakai |
1.95 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Baird Wristlock: Progress Chart |
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