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MMA Handicapper Stats: Pecos Fukin Bill

Pecos Fukin Bill (PecosFnBill)

MMA MHandicapper - Pecos Fukin Bill

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	76 (50%)	Right	66 (51%)	Right	5 (63%)	Right	5 (33%)
Wrong	77 (50%)	Wrong	64 (49%)	Wrong	3 (38%)	Wrong	10 (67%)
Avg Odds	1.95	Avg Odds	1.92	Avg Odds	1.81	Avg Odds	2.37
Units Bet	522.0	Units Bet	476.5	Units Bet	15.0	Units Bet	30.5
Avg Bet	3.41	Avg Bet	3.67	Avg Bet	1.88	Avg Bet	2.03
Units Profit	11.73	Units Profit	16.56	Units Profit	1.86	Units Profit	-6.68
ROI %	2%	ROI %	3%	ROI %	12%	ROI %	-22%

Pecos Fukin Bill: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
20th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 185	2	-2.0	-100%			-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
14th Feb '21	UFC 258	14	-1.8	-13%	-1.8 / 14 (-13%)
6th Feb '21	UFC FN	19.5	12.6	64%	12.6 / 19.5 (64%)
24th Jan '21	UFC 257	9	-9.0	-100%	-9.0 / 9 (-100%)
20th Jan '21	UFC on ESPN 20	27	-7.5	-28%	-6.3 / 20 (-31%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	0.7 / 5 (15%)
16th Jan '21	UFC FN	12.5	-1.4	-11%	-0.5 / 8.5 (-6%)	1.1 / 2 (54%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
19th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 17	11.5	-6.5	-56%	-6.5 / 11.5 (-56%)
13th Dec '20	UFC 256	13	-5.5	-42%	-2.0 / 9.5 (-21%)		-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
6th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 16	10	2.6	26%	2.6 / 10 (26%)
29th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 15	21.5	-1.5	-7%	-0.5 / 20.5 (-3%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
21st Nov '20	UFC 255	27	1.2	4%	1.5 / 22 (7%)		-0.3 / 5 (-5%)
14th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 14	22	-22.0	-100%	-20.0 / 20 (-100%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
8th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 13	22.5	-1.1	-5%	0.4 / 21 (2%)		-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
31st Oct '20	UFC Vegas 12	11	5.1	47%	2.9 / 10 (29%)		2.3 / 1 (228%)
24th Oct '20	UFC 254	32.25	8.8	27%	8.3 / 28.25 (29%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	2.5 / 2 (123%)
17th Oct '20	UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie	12	-3.0	-25%	-2.0 / 11 (-18%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Oct '20	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	16.5	3.7	23%	3.7 / 16.5 (23%)
4th Oct '20	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	4	1.3	33%	1.3 / 4 (33%)
26th Sep '20	UFC 253	18	1.4	8%	1.1 / 15 (8%)	1.7 / 1.5 (115%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
19th Sep '20	UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley	22	0.4	2%	0.4 / 22 (2%)
12th Sep '20	UFC Fight Night 184	21	19.6	94%	17.0 / 18 (95%)		2.6 / 3 (87%)
5th Sep '20	UFC Fight Night 183	13	6.1	47%	6.1 / 13 (47%)
29th Aug '20	UFC Fight Night 182	17.75	11.1	63%	9.8 / 16.75 (58%)	1.4 / 1 (135%)
26th Aug '20	DWCS 30	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
22nd Aug '20	UFC Vegas 7	9	-2.6	-28%	-2.6 / 9 (-28%)
15th Aug '20	UFC 252	30	-16.8	-56%	-19.0 / 28 (-68%)	2.2 / 2 (110%)
8th Aug '20	UFC Vegas 6	15.5	2.5	16%	1.5 / 12.5 (12%)	1.0 / 3 (33%)
1st Aug '20	UFC Vegas 5	9	8.1	90%	8.1 / 9 (90%)
25th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 3	7.75	-2.0	-25%	-0.5 / 6.25 (-8%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
18th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 2	11.5	2.9	25%	2.9 / 11.5 (25%)
15th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 1	9	4.0	44%	4.0 / 9 (44%)
11th Jul '20	UFC 251	9	-0.1	-2%	-0.1 / 9 (-2%)
6th Jun '20	UFC 250	15	-0.4	-2%	-0.4 / 15 (-2%)
16th May '20	UFC Fight Night 171	6.75	0.1	1%	0.1 / 6.75 (1%)
14th May '20	UFC Fight Night 170	13	-2.5	-19%	-2.5 / 13 (-19%)
10th May '20	UFC 249	6.5	6.8	105%	6.8 / 6.5 (105%)

Winning Events: 18 (50%)
Losing Events: 18 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 14.50 units
Most Staked On One Event: 32.25 units
Best Event: 19.64 units
Worst Event: -22.00 units
Average Event: 0.33 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 43.76
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -29.92

Pecos Fukin Bill: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	84	-9.2	-11%	-5.0 / 71 (-7%)	-0.9 / 4 (-23%)	-3.3 / 9 (-36%)	1 / 5 (17%)	-1.53
2020	438	20.9	5%	21.6 / 405.5 (5%)	2.8 / 11 (25%)	-3.4 / 21.5 (-16%)	17 / 13 (57%)	0.70

Pecos Fukin Bill: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Pecos Fukin Bill: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	521	12.7	2%	17.6 / 475.5 (4%)	1.9 / 15 (12%)	-6.7 / 30.5 (-22%)
Other	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)

Pecos Fukin Bill: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	30 (21%)	23	77 %	165.50	10.28	0.34	6%
Slight Favorites	39 (27%)	20	51 %	121.00	-18.18	-0.47	-15%
Slight Underdogs	61 (43%)	28	46 %	163.75	20.80	0.34	13%
Big Underdogs	13 (9%)	4	31 %	26.25	3.65	0.28	14%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	22 (15%)	11	50 %	83.75	-11.77	-0.54	-14%
Co-Main Event	15 (10%)	6	40 %	48.75	-8.21	-0.55	-17%
Position 3-5	44 (31%)	25	57 %	155.75	21.60	0.49	14%
6+ (Undercard)	62 (43%)	33	53 %	188.25	14.95	0.24	8%

Pecos Fukin Bill: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	11 (8%)	8	73 %	29.50	4.91	0.45	17%
Light Heavy	6 (4%)	1	17 %	25.00	-12.60	-2.10	-50%
Middleweight	19 (13%)	12	63 %	79.50	16.97	0.89	21%
Welterweight	22 (15%)	9	41 %	69.75	-10.93	-0.50	-16%
Lightweight	19 (13%)	11	58 %	63.50	3.01	0.16	5%
Featherweight	19 (13%)	12	63 %	70.00	15.83	0.83	23%
Bantamweight	21 (15%)	9	43 %	50.25	-1.30	-0.06	-3%
Flyweight	7 (5%)	3	43 %	30.50	2.55	0.36	8%

Women's Fights	19 (13%)	10	53 %	58.50	-1.90	-0.10	-3%
Featherweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	11.00	2.00	2.00	18%
Bantamweight	4 (3%)	4	100 %	7.50	7.00	1.75	93%
Flyweight	10 (7%)	3	30 %	25.00	-11.07	-1.11	-44%
Strawweight	4 (3%)	2	50 %	15.00	0.17	0.04	1%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	23 (64%)	15	65 %
Slight Favorites	9 (25%)	6	67 %
Slight Underdogs	4 (11%)	3	75 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	36	24	67 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	1 (13%)	1	100 %
50-65%	3 (38%)	1	33 %
35-50%	4 (50%)	3	75 %
<35% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	8	5	63 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	4 (50%)	2	50 %	1.75	2.10	1.54	-0.4 (-9%)
Goes to Decision	1 (13%)	1	100 %	2.35	2.35	2.35	1.4 (135%)
X Wins by Sub	1 (13%)	0	0 %	2.05	2.05	2.05	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (13%)	1	100 %	2.15	2.15	2.15	1.1 (115%)
X Does NOT Win Inside Distance	1 (13%)	1	100 %	1.33	1.33	1.33	0.3 (33%)
	8	5	63 %	1.81			1.5 (18%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Pecos Fukin Bill's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
10th May	UFC 249	6.5	6.8	105%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,068.36
14th May	UFC Fight Night 170	13	-2.5	-19%		$10.68	$1,068.36	$1,041.42
16th May	UFC Fight Night 171	6.75	0.1	1%		$10.41	$1,041.42	$1,042.32
6th Jun	UFC 250	15	-0.4	-2%		$10.42	$1,042.32	$1,038.62
11th Jul	UFC 251	9	-0.1	-2%		$10.39	$1,038.62	$1,037.13
15th Jul	UFC Fight Island 1	9	4.0	44%		$10.37	$1,037.13	$1,078.62
18th Jul	UFC Fight Island 2	11.5	2.9	25%		$10.79	$1,078.62	$1,109.38
25th Jul	UFC Fight Island 3	7.75	-2.0	-25%		$11.09	$1,109.38	$1,087.47
1st Aug	UFC Vegas 5	9	8.1	90%		$10.87	$1,087.47	$1,175.29
8th Aug	UFC Vegas 6	15.5	2.5	16%		$11.75	$1,175.29	$1,205.01
15th Aug	UFC 252	30	-16.8	-56%		$12.05	$1,205.01	$1,002.57
22nd Aug	UFC Vegas 7	9	-2.6	-28%		$10.03	$1,002.57	$977.00
26th Aug	DWCS 30	1	-1.0	-100%		$9.77	$977.00	$967.23
29th Aug	UFC Fight Night 182	17.75	11.1	63%		$9.67	$967.23	$1,075.05
5th Sep	UFC Fight Night 183	13	6.1	47%		$10.75	$1,075.05	$1,141.10
12th Sep	UFC Fight Night 184	21	19.6	94%		$11.41	$1,141.10	$1,365.27
19th Sep	UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley	22	0.4	2%		$13.65	$1,365.27	$1,370.97
26th Sep	UFC 253	18	1.4	8%		$13.71	$1,370.97	$1,389.54
4th Oct	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	4	1.3	33%		$13.90	$1,389.54	$1,408.07
10th Oct	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	16.5	3.7	23%		$14.08	$1,408.07	$1,460.49
17th Oct	UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie	12	-3.0	-25%		$14.60	$1,460.49	$1,416.68
24th Oct	UFC 254	32.25	8.8	27%		$14.17	$1,416.68	$1,540.71
31st Oct	UFC Vegas 12	11	5.1	47%		$15.41	$1,540.71	$1,620.06
8th Nov	UFC Vegas 13	22.5	-1.1	-5%		$16.20	$1,620.06	$1,601.86
14th Nov	UFC Vegas 14	22	-22.0	-100%		$16.02	$1,601.86	$1,249.45
21st Nov	UFC 255	27	1.2	4%		$12.49	$1,249.45	$1,264.56
29th Nov	UFC Vegas 15	21.5	-1.5	-7%		$12.65	$1,264.56	$1,245.34
6th Dec	UFC Vegas 16	10	2.6	26%		$12.45	$1,245.34	$1,278.09
13th Dec	UFC 256	13	-5.5	-42%		$12.78	$1,278.09	$1,207.79
19th Dec	UFC Vegas 17	11.5	-6.5	-56%		$12.08	$1,207.79	$1,129.55
16th Jan	UFC FN	12.5	-1.4	-11%		$11.30	$1,129.55	$1,113.52
20th Jan	UFC on ESPN 20	27	-7.5	-28%		$11.14	$1,113.52	$1,029.76
24th Jan	UFC 257	9	-9.0	-100%		$10.30	$1,029.76	$937.09
6th Feb	UFC FN	19.5	12.6	64%		$9.37	$937.09	$1,054.86
14th Feb	UFC 258	14	-1.8	-13%		$10.55	$1,054.86	$1,035.67
20th Feb	UFC Fight Night 185	2	-2.0	-100%		$10.36	$1,035.67	$1,014.96

ROI % from starting bank balance: 1.50% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Pecos Fukin Bill: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Feb '21	Kamaru Usman	Gilbert Burns	1.38	4	TKO, R3 (0:34)
2.	Feb '21	Kelvin Gastelum	Ian Heinisch	1.48	4.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Feb '21	Lara Fritzen Procopio	Molly McCann	2.30	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Feb '21	Seung Woo Choi	Youssef Zalal	3.05	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Feb '21	Ode Osbourne	Jerome Rivera	1.48	3.5	TKO, R1 (0:26)
6.	Feb '21	Beneil Dariush	Carlos Diego Ferreira	2.00	3.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Feb '21	Alexander Volkov	Alistair Overeem	1.54	2.5	TKO, R2 (2:6)
8.	Feb '21	Karol Rosa	Joselyne Edwards	1.63	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Jan '21	Su Mudaerji	Zarrukh Adashev	1.25	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Jan '21	Joselyne Edwards	Yanan Wu	2.10	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Jan '21	Joselyne Edwards	Yanan Wu	2.30	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Jan '21	Joselyne Edwards	Yanan Wu	2.40	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Dec '20	Anthony Pettis	Alex Morono	1.43	3.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Dec '20	Charles Oliveira	Tony Ferguson	2.50	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Dec '20	Gabriel Benitez	Justin Jaynes	1.47	1	TKO, R1 (4:6)
16.	Dec '20	Marvin Vettori	Jack Hermansson	1.72	3	U Decision (5 rounds)
17.	Dec '20	Gabriel Benitez	Justin Jaynes	1.50	4	TKO, R1 (4:6)
18.	Nov '20	Anderson dos Santos	Martin Day	2.45	1	Sub, R1 (4:35)
19.	Nov '20	Norma Dumont	Ashlee Evans-Smith	2.20	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Nov '20	Anderson dos Santos	Martin Day	2.35	3	Sub, R1 (4:35)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Feb '21	Phil Rowe	Gabriel Green	2.20	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Feb '21	Phil Rowe	Gabriel Green	2.17	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Feb '21	Maycee Barber	Alexa Grasso	2.21	3.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Feb '21	Manel Kape	Alexandre Pantoja	2.05	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Jan '21	Antonio Carlos Junior	Brad Tavares	2.05	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Jan '21	Conor McGregor	Dustin Poirier	1.33	6	TKO, R2 (2:32)	No
7.	Jan '21	Mason Jones	Mike Davis	2.43	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Jan '21	Jerome Rivera	Francisco Figueiredo	2.30	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Jan '21	Mounir Lazzez	Warlley Alves	1.45	4	TKO, R1 (2:35)	No
10.	Jan '21	Calvin Kattar	Max Holloway	2.45	5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
11.	Dec '20	Cody Durden	Jimmy Flick	2.35	1.5	Sub, R1 (3:18)	No
12.	Dec '20	Antonio Arroyo	Deron Winn	1.59	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Dec '20	Kalinn Williams	Michel Pereira	2.05	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Dec '20	Marlon Vera	Jose Aldo	2.25	3.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Dec '20	Renato Moicano	Rafael Fiziev	2.25	3	TKO, R1 (4:5)	No
16.	Dec '20	Daniel Pineda	Cub Swanson	1.65	3.5	TKO, R2 (1:52)	No
17.	Dec '20	Jose Quinonez	Louis Smolka	2.10	2	TKO, R2 (2:15)	No
18.	Nov '20	Luke Sanders	Nathan Maness	1.69	1	Sub, R2 (2:29)	No
19.	Nov '20	Spike Carlyle	Bill Algeo	1.57	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Nov '20	Spike Carlyle	Bill Algeo	1.56	5.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Pecos Fukin Bill: Progress Chart

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