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MMA Handicapper Stats: Pecos Fukin Bill

Pecos Fukin Bill (PecosFnBill)


MMA MHandicapper - Pecos Fukin Bill

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 103 (52%) Right 92 (53%) Right 6 (60%) Right 5 (31%)
Wrong 95 (48%) Wrong 80 (47%) Wrong 4 (40%) Wrong 11 (69%)
Avg Odds 1.93 Avg Odds 1.91 Avg Odds 1.81 Avg Odds 2.33
Units Bet 654.8 Units Bet 601.8 Units Bet 18.5 Units Bet 34.5
Avg Bet 3.31 Avg Bet 3.50 Avg Bet 1.85 Avg Bet 2.16
Units Profit 41.57 Units Profit 50.29 Units Profit 1.96 Units Profit -10.68
ROI % 6% ROI % 8% ROI % 11% ROI % -31%
View Handicapper's Profile

Pecos Fukin Bill: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
8th May '21 UFC FN 7.5 5.9 79% 5.9 / 7.5 (79%)
1st May '21 UFC FN 8.75 1.1 13% 1.1 / 8.75 (13%)
24th Apr '21 UFC 261 20.5 -4.5 -22% 1.0 / 15 (6%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
17th Apr '21 UFC FN 12 1.8 15% 0.2 / 10 (2%) 1.6 / 2 (80%)
10th Apr '21 UFC FN 23.5 -6.2 -27% -6.2 / 23.5 (-27%)
28th Mar '21 UFC 260 8 6.0 74% 6.0 / 8 (74%)
21st Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 188 15 -11.3 -76% -11.3 / 15 (-76%)
13th Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 187 12.5 10.5 84% 10.5 / 12.5 (84%)
6th Mar '21 UFC 259 13.5 10.9 80% 10.9 / 13.5 (80%)
28th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 186 11.5 15.7 136% 15.7 / 11.5 (136%)
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
14th Feb '21 UFC 258 14 -1.8 -13% -1.8 / 14 (-13%)
6th Feb '21 UFC FN 19.5 12.6 64% 12.6 / 19.5 (64%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 9 -9.0 -100% -9.0 / 9 (-100%)
20th Jan '21 UFC on ESPN 20 27 -7.5 -28% -6.3 / 20 (-31%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 0.7 / 5 (15%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 12.5 -1.4 -11% -0.5 / 8.5 (-6%) 1.1 / 2 (54%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
19th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 17 11.5 -6.5 -56% -6.5 / 11.5 (-56%)
13th Dec '20 UFC 256 13 -5.5 -42% -2.0 / 9.5 (-21%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
6th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 16 10 2.6 26% 2.6 / 10 (26%)
29th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 15 21.5 -1.5 -7% -0.5 / 20.5 (-3%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
21st Nov '20 UFC 255 27 1.2 4% 1.5 / 22 (7%) -0.3 / 5 (-5%)
14th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 14 22 -22.0 -100% -20.0 / 20 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
8th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 13 22.5 -1.1 -5% 0.4 / 21 (2%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
31st Oct '20 UFC Vegas 12 11 5.1 47% 2.9 / 10 (29%) 2.3 / 1 (228%)
24th Oct '20 UFC 254 32.25 8.8 27% 8.3 / 28.25 (29%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 2.5 / 2 (123%)
17th Oct '20 UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 12 -3.0 -25% -2.0 / 11 (-18%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Oct '20 UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 16.5 3.7 23% 3.7 / 16.5 (23%)
4th Oct '20 UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 4 1.3 33% 1.3 / 4 (33%)
26th Sep '20 UFC 253 18 1.4 8% 1.1 / 15 (8%) 1.7 / 1.5 (115%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
19th Sep '20 UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 22 0.4 2% 0.4 / 22 (2%)
12th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 184 21 19.6 94% 17.0 / 18 (95%) 2.6 / 3 (87%)
5th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 183 13 6.1 47% 6.1 / 13 (47%)
29th Aug '20 UFC Fight Night 182 17.75 11.1 63% 9.8 / 16.75 (58%) 1.4 / 1 (135%)
26th Aug '20 DWCS 30 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
22nd Aug '20 UFC Vegas 7 9 -2.6 -28% -2.6 / 9 (-28%)
15th Aug '20 UFC 252 30 -16.8 -56% -19.0 / 28 (-68%) 2.2 / 2 (110%)
8th Aug '20 UFC Vegas 6 15.5 2.5 16% 1.5 / 12.5 (12%) 1.0 / 3 (33%)
1st Aug '20 UFC Vegas 5 9 8.1 90% 8.1 / 9 (90%)
25th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 3 7.75 -2.0 -25% -0.5 / 6.25 (-8%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
18th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 2 11.5 2.9 25% 2.9 / 11.5 (25%)
15th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 1 9 4.0 44% 4.0 / 9 (44%)
11th Jul '20 UFC 251 9 -0.1 -2% -0.1 / 9 (-2%)
6th Jun '20 UFC 250 15 -0.4 -2% -0.4 / 15 (-2%)
16th May '20 UFC Fight Night 171 6.75 0.1 1% 0.1 / 6.75 (1%)
14th May '20 UFC Fight Night 170 13 -2.5 -19% -2.5 / 13 (-19%)
10th May '20 UFC 249 6.5 6.8 105% 6.8 / 6.5 (105%)


Winning Events: 25 (54%)
Losing Events: 21 (46%)

Average Staked Per Event: 14.23 units
Most Staked On One Event: 32.25 units
Best Event: 19.64 units
Worst Event: -22.00 units
Average Event: 0.90 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 43.76
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -29.92

Pecos Fukin Bill: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 216.75 20.6 10% 28.7 / 196.25 (15%) -0.8 / 7.5 (-11%) -7.3 / 13 (-56%) 8 / 8 (50%) 1.29
2020 438 20.9 5% 21.6 / 405.5 (5%) 2.8 / 11 (25%) -3.4 / 21.5 (-16%) 17 / 13 (57%) 0.70

Pecos Fukin Bill: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Pecos Fukin Bill: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 653.75 42.6 7% 51.3 / 600.75 (9%) 2.0 / 18.5 (11%) -10.7 / 34.5 (-31%)
Other 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)

Pecos Fukin Bill: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 35 (19%) 27 77 % 181.50 13.12 0.37 7%
Slight Favorites 64 (34%) 37 58 % 190.75 -4.02 -0.06 -2%
Slight Underdogs 74 (39%) 34 46 % 197.25 33.04 0.45 17%
Big Underdogs 15 (8%) 5 33 % 32.25 8.15 0.54 25%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 24 (13%) 12 50 % 90.75 -13.46 -0.56 -15%
Co-Main Event 20 (11%) 9 45 % 62.25 -5.94 -0.30 -10%
Position 3-5 56 (30%) 33 59 % 189.50 36.89 0.66 19%
6+ (Undercard) 88 (47%) 49 56 % 259.25 32.81 0.37 13%

Pecos Fukin Bill: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 15 (8%) 11 73 % 41.25 9.38 0.63 23%
Light Heavy 11 (6%) 6 55 % 36.50 -2.87 -0.26 -8%
Middleweight 27 (14%) 16 59 % 103.75 13.88 0.51 13%
Welterweight 27 (14%) 13 48 % 81.00 -3.66 -0.14 -5%
Lightweight 24 (13%) 13 54 % 77.00 4.36 0.18 6%
Featherweight 26 (14%) 15 58 % 88.50 12.19 0.47 14%
Bantamweight 26 (14%) 14 54 % 72.25 20.96 0.81 29%
Flyweight 9 (5%) 3 33 % 35.00 -1.95 -0.22 -6%
               
Women's Fights 23 (12%) 12 52 % 66.50 -2.01 -0.09 -3%
Featherweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 11.00 2.00 2.00 18%
Bantamweight 5 (3%) 5 100 % 10.00 8.16 1.63 82%
Flyweight 11 (6%) 4 36 % 27.50 -9.35 -0.85 -34%
Strawweight 6 (3%) 2 33 % 18.00 -2.83 -0.47 -16%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 25 (66%) 16 64 %
Slight Favorites 9 (24%) 6 67 %
Slight Underdogs 4 (11%) 3 75 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
38 25 66 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 1 (10%) 1 100 %
50-65% 5 (50%) 2 40 %
35-50% 4 (40%) 3 75 %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
10 6 60 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 6 (60%) 3 50 % 1.76 2.10Pick was correct 1.54Pick was correct -0.6 (-9%)
Goes to Decision 1 (10%) 1 100 % 2.35 2.35Pick was correct 2.35Pick was correct 1.4 (135%)
X Wins by Sub 1 (10%) 0 0 % 2.05 2.05Pick was incorrect 2.05Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 1 (10%) 1 100 % 2.15 2.15Pick was correct 2.15Pick was correct 1.1 (115%)
X Does NOT Win Inside Distance 1 (10%) 1 100 % 1.33 1.33Pick was correct 1.33Pick was correct 0.3 (33%)
10 6 60 % 1.81     1.3 (13%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Pecos Fukin Bill's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
10th May UFC 249 6.5 6.8 105% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,068.36
14th May UFC Fight Night 170 13 -2.5 -19% $10.68 $1,068.36 $1,041.42
16th May UFC Fight Night 171 6.75 0.1 1% $10.41 $1,041.42 $1,042.32
6th Jun UFC 250 15 -0.4 -2% $10.42 $1,042.32 $1,038.62
11th Jul UFC 251 9 -0.1 -2% $10.39 $1,038.62 $1,037.13
15th Jul UFC Fight Island 1 9 4.0 44% $10.37 $1,037.13 $1,078.62
18th Jul UFC Fight Island 2 11.5 2.9 25% $10.79 $1,078.62 $1,109.38
25th Jul UFC Fight Island 3 7.75 -2.0 -25% $11.09 $1,109.38 $1,087.47
1st Aug UFC Vegas 5 9 8.1 90% $10.87 $1,087.47 $1,175.29
8th Aug UFC Vegas 6 15.5 2.5 16% $11.75 $1,175.29 $1,205.01
15th Aug UFC 252 30 -16.8 -56% $12.05 $1,205.01 $1,002.57
22nd Aug UFC Vegas 7 9 -2.6 -28% $10.03 $1,002.57 $977.00
26th Aug DWCS 30 1 -1.0 -100% $9.77 $977.00 $967.23
29th Aug UFC Fight Night 182 17.75 11.1 63% $9.67 $967.23 $1,075.05
5th Sep UFC Fight Night 183 13 6.1 47% $10.75 $1,075.05 $1,141.10
12th Sep UFC Fight Night 184 21 19.6 94% $11.41 $1,141.10 $1,365.27
19th Sep UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 22 0.4 2% $13.65 $1,365.27 $1,370.97
26th Sep UFC 253 18 1.4 8% $13.71 $1,370.97 $1,389.54
4th Oct UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 4 1.3 33% $13.90 $1,389.54 $1,408.07
10th Oct UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 16.5 3.7 23% $14.08 $1,408.07 $1,460.49
17th Oct UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 12 -3.0 -25% $14.60 $1,460.49 $1,416.68
24th Oct UFC 254 32.25 8.8 27% $14.17 $1,416.68 $1,540.71
31st Oct UFC Vegas 12 11 5.1 47% $15.41 $1,540.71 $1,620.06
8th Nov UFC Vegas 13 22.5 -1.1 -5% $16.20 $1,620.06 $1,601.86
14th Nov UFC Vegas 14 22 -22.0 -100% $16.02 $1,601.86 $1,249.45
21st Nov UFC 255 27 1.2 4% $12.49 $1,249.45 $1,264.56
29th Nov UFC Vegas 15 21.5 -1.5 -7% $12.65 $1,264.56 $1,245.34
6th Dec UFC Vegas 16 10 2.6 26% $12.45 $1,245.34 $1,278.09
13th Dec UFC 256 13 -5.5 -42% $12.78 $1,278.09 $1,207.79
19th Dec UFC Vegas 17 11.5 -6.5 -56% $12.08 $1,207.79 $1,129.55
16th Jan UFC FN 12.5 -1.4 -11% $11.30 $1,129.55 $1,113.52
20th Jan UFC on ESPN 20 27 -7.5 -28% $11.14 $1,113.52 $1,029.76
24th Jan UFC 257 9 -9.0 -100% $10.30 $1,029.76 $937.09
6th Feb UFC FN 19.5 12.6 64% $9.37 $937.09 $1,054.86
14th Feb UFC 258 14 -1.8 -13% $10.55 $1,054.86 $1,035.67
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 2 -2.0 -100% $10.36 $1,035.67 $1,014.96
28th Feb UFC Fight Night 186 11.5 15.7 136% $10.15 $1,014.96 $1,174.16
6th Mar UFC 259 13.5 10.9 80% $11.74 $1,174.16 $1,301.73
13th Mar UFC Fight Night 187 12.5 10.5 84% $13.02 $1,301.73 $1,438.78
21st Mar UFC Fight Night 188 15 -11.3 -76% $14.39 $1,438.78 $1,275.67
28th Mar UFC 260 8 6.0 74% $12.76 $1,275.67 $1,351.60
10th Apr UFC FN 23.5 -6.2 -27% $13.52 $1,351.60 $1,267.35
17th Apr UFC FN 12 1.8 15% $12.67 $1,267.35 $1,290.62
24th Apr UFC 261 20.5 -4.5 -22% $12.91 $1,290.62 $1,232.19
1st May UFC FN 8.75 1.1 13% $12.32 $1,232.19 $1,246.09
8th May UFC FN 7.5 5.9 79% $12.46 $1,246.09 $1,320.09


ROI % from starting bank balance: 32.01% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Pecos Fukin Bill: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. May '21 Marcos Rogerio de Lima Maurice Greene 1.50 3.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. May '21 Carlston Harris Christian Aguilera 1.71 1.25 Sub, R1 (2:52) MMA Bookmaker
3. May '21 Alex Morono Donald Cerrone 2.14 3 TKO, R1 (4:40) MMA Bookmaker
4. May '21 Giga Chikadze Cub Swanson 1.57 2.5 TKO, R1 (1:3) MMA Bookmaker
5. May '21 Sean Strickland Krzysztof Jotko 1.40 4.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '21 Brendan Allen Karl Roberson 1.69 3.75 Sub, R1 (4:55) MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '21 Danaa Batgerel Kevin Natividad 1.61 6 TKO, R1 (0:50) MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '21 Gerald Meerschaert Bartosz Fabinski 2.10 2 Sub, R1 (2:0) MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '21 Alexander Romanov Juan Espino 1.72 3.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '21 Da Un Jung William Knight 1.74 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '21 Mateusz Gamrot Scott Holtzman 1.45 3 TKO, R2 (1:22) MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '21 Daniel Rodriguez Mike Perry 1.77 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Apr '21 Da Un Jung William Knight 1.91 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '21 Marc-Andre Barriault Abu Azaitar 1.87 2.5 TKO, R3 (4:56) MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '21 Francis Ngannou Stipe Miocic 1.77 3 TKO, R2 (0:52) MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '21 Omar Morales Shane Young 1.59 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '21 Macy Chiasson Marion Reneau 1.47 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '21 Matt Semelsberger Jason Witt 1.83 3.5 TKO, R1 (0:16) MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '21 Ryan Spann Misha Cirkunov 2.17 2.5 TKO, R1 (1:11) MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '21 Dan Ige Gavin Tucker 1.74 4 TKO, R1 (0:22) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. May '21 Kai Kamaka T.J. Brown 1.69 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '21 Stefan Sekulic Dwight Grant 2.85 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '21 Chris Weidman Urijah Hall 1.91 1.25 TKO, R1 (0:17) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '21 Tristan Connelly Pat Sabatini 2.95 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '21 Dakota Bush Austin Hubbard 2.70 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '21 Chase Sherman Andrei Arlovski 2.05 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '21 Nina Nunes Mackenzie Dern 1.77 1 Sub, R1 (4:48) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '21 Jordan Griffin Luis Saldana 2.15 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '21 Sam Alvey Julian Marquez 2.50 2.5 Sub, R2 (2:7) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '21 Ignacio Bahamondes John Makdessi 1.53 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '21 Nina Nunes Mackenzie Dern 1.77 2 Sub, R1 (4:48) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '21 Sodiq Yusuff Arnold Allen 1.80 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '21 Leonardo Santos Grant Dawson 2.85 1.5 TKO, R3 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '21 J.P. Buys Bruno Silva 1.72 3 TKO, R2 (2:56) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '21 Roman Dolidze Trevin Giles 1.87 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '21 Kevin Holland Derek Brunson 1.61 4 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '21 Joseph Benavidez Askar Askarov 2.17 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Feb '21 Phil Rowe Gabriel Green 2.20 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '21 Phil Rowe Gabriel Green 2.17 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Feb '21 Maycee Barber Alexa Grasso 2.21 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Pecos Fukin Bill: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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