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MMA Handicapper Stats: Pecos Fukin Bill

Pecos Fukin Bill (PecosFnBill)


MMA MHandicapper - Pecos Fukin Bill

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 76 (50%) Right 66 (51%) Right 5 (63%) Right 5 (33%)
Wrong 77 (50%) Wrong 64 (49%) Wrong 3 (38%) Wrong 10 (67%)
Avg Odds 1.95 Avg Odds 1.92 Avg Odds 1.81 Avg Odds 2.37
Units Bet 522.0 Units Bet 476.5 Units Bet 15.0 Units Bet 30.5
Avg Bet 3.41 Avg Bet 3.67 Avg Bet 1.88 Avg Bet 2.03
Units Profit 11.73 Units Profit 16.56 Units Profit 1.86 Units Profit -6.68
ROI % 2% ROI % 3% ROI % 12% ROI % -22%
View Handicapper's Profile

Pecos Fukin Bill: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
14th Feb '21 UFC 258 14 -1.8 -13% -1.8 / 14 (-13%)
6th Feb '21 UFC FN 19.5 12.6 64% 12.6 / 19.5 (64%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 9 -9.0 -100% -9.0 / 9 (-100%)
20th Jan '21 UFC on ESPN 20 27 -7.5 -28% -6.3 / 20 (-31%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 0.7 / 5 (15%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 12.5 -1.4 -11% -0.5 / 8.5 (-6%) 1.1 / 2 (54%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
19th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 17 11.5 -6.5 -56% -6.5 / 11.5 (-56%)
13th Dec '20 UFC 256 13 -5.5 -42% -2.0 / 9.5 (-21%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
6th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 16 10 2.6 26% 2.6 / 10 (26%)
29th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 15 21.5 -1.5 -7% -0.5 / 20.5 (-3%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
21st Nov '20 UFC 255 27 1.2 4% 1.5 / 22 (7%) -0.3 / 5 (-5%)
14th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 14 22 -22.0 -100% -20.0 / 20 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
8th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 13 22.5 -1.1 -5% 0.4 / 21 (2%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
31st Oct '20 UFC Vegas 12 11 5.1 47% 2.9 / 10 (29%) 2.3 / 1 (228%)
24th Oct '20 UFC 254 32.25 8.8 27% 8.3 / 28.25 (29%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 2.5 / 2 (123%)
17th Oct '20 UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 12 -3.0 -25% -2.0 / 11 (-18%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Oct '20 UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 16.5 3.7 23% 3.7 / 16.5 (23%)
4th Oct '20 UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 4 1.3 33% 1.3 / 4 (33%)
26th Sep '20 UFC 253 18 1.4 8% 1.1 / 15 (8%) 1.7 / 1.5 (115%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
19th Sep '20 UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 22 0.4 2% 0.4 / 22 (2%)
12th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 184 21 19.6 94% 17.0 / 18 (95%) 2.6 / 3 (87%)
5th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 183 13 6.1 47% 6.1 / 13 (47%)
29th Aug '20 UFC Fight Night 182 17.75 11.1 63% 9.8 / 16.75 (58%) 1.4 / 1 (135%)
26th Aug '20 DWCS 30 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
22nd Aug '20 UFC Vegas 7 9 -2.6 -28% -2.6 / 9 (-28%)
15th Aug '20 UFC 252 30 -16.8 -56% -19.0 / 28 (-68%) 2.2 / 2 (110%)
8th Aug '20 UFC Vegas 6 15.5 2.5 16% 1.5 / 12.5 (12%) 1.0 / 3 (33%)
1st Aug '20 UFC Vegas 5 9 8.1 90% 8.1 / 9 (90%)
25th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 3 7.75 -2.0 -25% -0.5 / 6.25 (-8%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
18th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 2 11.5 2.9 25% 2.9 / 11.5 (25%)
15th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 1 9 4.0 44% 4.0 / 9 (44%)
11th Jul '20 UFC 251 9 -0.1 -2% -0.1 / 9 (-2%)
6th Jun '20 UFC 250 15 -0.4 -2% -0.4 / 15 (-2%)
16th May '20 UFC Fight Night 171 6.75 0.1 1% 0.1 / 6.75 (1%)
14th May '20 UFC Fight Night 170 13 -2.5 -19% -2.5 / 13 (-19%)
10th May '20 UFC 249 6.5 6.8 105% 6.8 / 6.5 (105%)


Winning Events: 18 (50%)
Losing Events: 18 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 14.50 units
Most Staked On One Event: 32.25 units
Best Event: 19.64 units
Worst Event: -22.00 units
Average Event: 0.33 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 43.76
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -29.92

Pecos Fukin Bill: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 84 -9.2 -11% -5.0 / 71 (-7%) -0.9 / 4 (-23%) -3.3 / 9 (-36%) 1 / 5 (17%) -1.53
2020 438 20.9 5% 21.6 / 405.5 (5%) 2.8 / 11 (25%) -3.4 / 21.5 (-16%) 17 / 13 (57%) 0.70

Pecos Fukin Bill: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Pecos Fukin Bill: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 521 12.7 2% 17.6 / 475.5 (4%) 1.9 / 15 (12%) -6.7 / 30.5 (-22%)
Other 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)

Pecos Fukin Bill: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 30 (21%) 23 77 % 165.50 10.28 0.34 6%
Slight Favorites 39 (27%) 20 51 % 121.00 -18.18 -0.47 -15%
Slight Underdogs 61 (43%) 28 46 % 163.75 20.80 0.34 13%
Big Underdogs 13 (9%) 4 31 % 26.25 3.65 0.28 14%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 22 (15%) 11 50 % 83.75 -11.77 -0.54 -14%
Co-Main Event 15 (10%) 6 40 % 48.75 -8.21 -0.55 -17%
Position 3-5 44 (31%) 25 57 % 155.75 21.60 0.49 14%
6+ (Undercard) 62 (43%) 33 53 % 188.25 14.95 0.24 8%

Pecos Fukin Bill: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 11 (8%) 8 73 % 29.50 4.91 0.45 17%
Light Heavy 6 (4%) 1 17 % 25.00 -12.60 -2.10 -50%
Middleweight 19 (13%) 12 63 % 79.50 16.97 0.89 21%
Welterweight 22 (15%) 9 41 % 69.75 -10.93 -0.50 -16%
Lightweight 19 (13%) 11 58 % 63.50 3.01 0.16 5%
Featherweight 19 (13%) 12 63 % 70.00 15.83 0.83 23%
Bantamweight 21 (15%) 9 43 % 50.25 -1.30 -0.06 -3%
Flyweight 7 (5%) 3 43 % 30.50 2.55 0.36 8%
               
Women's Fights 19 (13%) 10 53 % 58.50 -1.90 -0.10 -3%
Featherweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 11.00 2.00 2.00 18%
Bantamweight 4 (3%) 4 100 % 7.50 7.00 1.75 93%
Flyweight 10 (7%) 3 30 % 25.00 -11.07 -1.11 -44%
Strawweight 4 (3%) 2 50 % 15.00 0.17 0.04 1%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 23 (64%) 15 65 %
Slight Favorites 9 (25%) 6 67 %
Slight Underdogs 4 (11%) 3 75 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
36 24 67 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 1 (13%) 1 100 %
50-65% 3 (38%) 1 33 %
35-50% 4 (50%) 3 75 %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
8 5 63 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 4 (50%) 2 50 % 1.75 2.10Pick was correct 1.54Pick was correct -0.4 (-9%)
Goes to Decision 1 (13%) 1 100 % 2.35 2.35Pick was correct 2.35Pick was correct 1.4 (135%)
X Wins by Sub 1 (13%) 0 0 % 2.05 2.05Pick was incorrect 2.05Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 1 (13%) 1 100 % 2.15 2.15Pick was correct 2.15Pick was correct 1.1 (115%)
X Does NOT Win Inside Distance 1 (13%) 1 100 % 1.33 1.33Pick was correct 1.33Pick was correct 0.3 (33%)
8 5 63 % 1.81     1.5 (18%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Pecos Fukin Bill's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
10th May UFC 249 6.5 6.8 105% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,068.36
14th May UFC Fight Night 170 13 -2.5 -19% $10.68 $1,068.36 $1,041.42
16th May UFC Fight Night 171 6.75 0.1 1% $10.41 $1,041.42 $1,042.32
6th Jun UFC 250 15 -0.4 -2% $10.42 $1,042.32 $1,038.62
11th Jul UFC 251 9 -0.1 -2% $10.39 $1,038.62 $1,037.13
15th Jul UFC Fight Island 1 9 4.0 44% $10.37 $1,037.13 $1,078.62
18th Jul UFC Fight Island 2 11.5 2.9 25% $10.79 $1,078.62 $1,109.38
25th Jul UFC Fight Island 3 7.75 -2.0 -25% $11.09 $1,109.38 $1,087.47
1st Aug UFC Vegas 5 9 8.1 90% $10.87 $1,087.47 $1,175.29
8th Aug UFC Vegas 6 15.5 2.5 16% $11.75 $1,175.29 $1,205.01
15th Aug UFC 252 30 -16.8 -56% $12.05 $1,205.01 $1,002.57
22nd Aug UFC Vegas 7 9 -2.6 -28% $10.03 $1,002.57 $977.00
26th Aug DWCS 30 1 -1.0 -100% $9.77 $977.00 $967.23
29th Aug UFC Fight Night 182 17.75 11.1 63% $9.67 $967.23 $1,075.05
5th Sep UFC Fight Night 183 13 6.1 47% $10.75 $1,075.05 $1,141.10
12th Sep UFC Fight Night 184 21 19.6 94% $11.41 $1,141.10 $1,365.27
19th Sep UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 22 0.4 2% $13.65 $1,365.27 $1,370.97
26th Sep UFC 253 18 1.4 8% $13.71 $1,370.97 $1,389.54
4th Oct UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 4 1.3 33% $13.90 $1,389.54 $1,408.07
10th Oct UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 16.5 3.7 23% $14.08 $1,408.07 $1,460.49
17th Oct UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 12 -3.0 -25% $14.60 $1,460.49 $1,416.68
24th Oct UFC 254 32.25 8.8 27% $14.17 $1,416.68 $1,540.71
31st Oct UFC Vegas 12 11 5.1 47% $15.41 $1,540.71 $1,620.06
8th Nov UFC Vegas 13 22.5 -1.1 -5% $16.20 $1,620.06 $1,601.86
14th Nov UFC Vegas 14 22 -22.0 -100% $16.02 $1,601.86 $1,249.45
21st Nov UFC 255 27 1.2 4% $12.49 $1,249.45 $1,264.56
29th Nov UFC Vegas 15 21.5 -1.5 -7% $12.65 $1,264.56 $1,245.34
6th Dec UFC Vegas 16 10 2.6 26% $12.45 $1,245.34 $1,278.09
13th Dec UFC 256 13 -5.5 -42% $12.78 $1,278.09 $1,207.79
19th Dec UFC Vegas 17 11.5 -6.5 -56% $12.08 $1,207.79 $1,129.55
16th Jan UFC FN 12.5 -1.4 -11% $11.30 $1,129.55 $1,113.52
20th Jan UFC on ESPN 20 27 -7.5 -28% $11.14 $1,113.52 $1,029.76
24th Jan UFC 257 9 -9.0 -100% $10.30 $1,029.76 $937.09
6th Feb UFC FN 19.5 12.6 64% $9.37 $937.09 $1,054.86
14th Feb UFC 258 14 -1.8 -13% $10.55 $1,054.86 $1,035.67
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 2 -2.0 -100% $10.36 $1,035.67 $1,014.96


ROI % from starting bank balance: 1.50% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Pecos Fukin Bill: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Feb '21 Kamaru Usman Gilbert Burns 1.38 4 TKO, R3 (0:34) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '21 Kelvin Gastelum Ian Heinisch 1.48 4.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '21 Lara Fritzen Procopio Molly McCann 2.30 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '21 Seung Woo Choi Youssef Zalal 3.05 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '21 Ode Osbourne Jerome Rivera 1.48 3.5 TKO, R1 (0:26) MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '21 Beneil Dariush Carlos Diego Ferreira 2.00 3.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '21 Alexander Volkov Alistair Overeem 1.54 2.5 TKO, R2 (2:6) MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '21 Karol Rosa Joselyne Edwards 1.63 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '21 Su Mudaerji Zarrukh Adashev 1.25 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jan '21 Joselyne Edwards Yanan Wu 2.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jan '21 Joselyne Edwards Yanan Wu 2.30 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jan '21 Joselyne Edwards Yanan Wu 2.40 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '20 Anthony Pettis Alex Morono 1.43 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '20 Charles Oliveira Tony Ferguson 2.50 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Dec '20 Gabriel Benitez Justin Jaynes 1.47 1 TKO, R1 (4:6) MMA Bookmaker
16. Dec '20 Marvin Vettori Jack Hermansson 1.72 3 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Dec '20 Gabriel Benitez Justin Jaynes 1.50 4 TKO, R1 (4:6) MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '20 Anderson dos Santos Martin Day 2.45 1 Sub, R1 (4:35) MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '20 Norma Dumont Ashlee Evans-Smith 2.20 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '20 Anderson dos Santos Martin Day 2.35 3 Sub, R1 (4:35) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Feb '21 Phil Rowe Gabriel Green 2.20 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '21 Phil Rowe Gabriel Green 2.17 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '21 Maycee Barber Alexa Grasso 2.21 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '21 Manel Kape Alexandre Pantoja 2.05 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '21 Antonio Carlos Junior Brad Tavares 2.05 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '21 Conor McGregor Dustin Poirier 1.33 6 TKO, R2 (2:32) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '21 Mason Jones Mike Davis 2.43 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '21 Jerome Rivera Francisco Figueiredo 2.30 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '21 Mounir Lazzez Warlley Alves 1.45 4 TKO, R1 (2:35) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jan '21 Calvin Kattar Max Holloway 2.45 5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '20 Cody Durden Jimmy Flick 2.35 1.5 Sub, R1 (3:18) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '20 Antonio Arroyo Deron Winn 1.59 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '20 Kalinn Williams Michel Pereira 2.05 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '20 Marlon Vera Jose Aldo 2.25 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Dec '20 Renato Moicano Rafael Fiziev 2.25 3 TKO, R1 (4:5) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Dec '20 Daniel Pineda Cub Swanson 1.65 3.5 TKO, R2 (1:52) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Dec '20 Jose Quinonez Louis Smolka 2.10 2 TKO, R2 (2:15) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '20 Luke Sanders Nathan Maness 1.69 1 Sub, R2 (2:29) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '20 Spike Carlyle Bill Algeo 1.57 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '20 Spike Carlyle Bill Algeo 1.56 5.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Pecos Fukin Bill: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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