MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: Dana Black

Dana Black (Dana Black)

MMA MHandicapper - Dana Black

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	46 (41%)	Right	23 (58%)	Right	20 (38%)	Right	3 (14%)
Wrong	67 (59%)	Wrong	17 (43%)	Wrong	32 (62%)	Wrong	18 (86%)
Avg Odds	2.62	Avg Odds	1.93	Avg Odds	2.73	Avg Odds	6.38
Units Bet	255.3	Units Bet	120.0	Units Bet	91.5	Units Bet	43.8
Avg Bet	2.26	Avg Bet	3.00	Avg Bet	1.76	Avg Bet	2.09
Units Profit	-13.89	Units Profit	-3.28	Units Profit	8.91	Units Profit	-19.51
ROI %	-5%	ROI %	-3%	ROI %	10%	ROI %	-45%

Dana Black: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
14th Sep '21	DWCS 2021: Week 3	14.5	7.5	52%	4.2 / 10 (42%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	5.3 / 2.5 (213%)
8th Sep '21	DWCS 2021: Week 2	9	-9.0	-100%	-9.0 / 9 (-100%)
17th Jul '21	UFC FN	12	-4.7	-39%	-4.7 / 12 (-39%)
16th Jan '21	UFC FN	11	-0.0	-0%	3.0 / 8 (37%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
19th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 17	33	1.9	6%	-2.3 / 21 (-11%)	6.2 / 10 (62%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
13th Dec '20	UFC 256	26	4.9	19%	10.3 / 9 (114%)	-4.3 / 11 (-39%)	-1.1 / 6 (-18%)
11th Dec '20	Bellator 254	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
6th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 16	40	-14.5	-36%	-5.1 / 12 (-43%)	-0.4 / 19 (-2%)	-9.0 / 9 (-100%)
6th Jun '20	UFC 250	30	3.7	12%	8.0 / 5 (160%)	5.7 / 15 (38%)	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
16th May '20	UFC Fight Night 171	30	-13.0	-43%	-4.5 / 14 (-32%)	-4.0 / 11.5 (-35%)	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
14th May '20	UFC Fight Night 170	25.8	10.8	42%	-2.7 / 13 (-21%)	4.7 / 10 (47%)	8.7 / 2.8 (312%)
10th May '20	UFC 249	21	1.6	8%	2.6 / 4 (66%)	3.0 / 13 (23%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)

Winning Events: 6 (50%)
Losing Events: 6 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 21.28 units
Most Staked On One Event: 40.00 units
Best Event: 10.75 units
Worst Event: -14.53 units
Average Event: -1.16 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 12.35
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -17.53

Dana Black: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	46.5	-6.2	-13%	-6.5 / 39 (-17%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	2.3 / 5.5 (42%)	1 / 3 (25%)	-1.55
2020	208.8	-7.7	-4%	3.2 / 81 (4%)	10.9 / 89.5 (12%)	-21.8 / 38.3 (-57%)	5 / 3 (63%)	-0.96

Dana Black: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Dana Black: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	228.8	-9.4	-4%	4.6 / 98 (5%)	10.9 / 89.5 (12%)	-24.8 / 41.3 (-60%)
Bellator	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
Other	23.5	-1.5	-6%	-4.8 / 19 (-25%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	5.3 / 2.5 (213%)

Dana Black: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	3 (8%)	1	33 %	19.00	-11.67	-3.89	-61%
Slight Favorites	23 (58%)	16	70 %	66.00	9.09	0.40	14%
Slight Underdogs	11 (28%)	6	55 %	26.00	8.30	0.75	32%
Big Underdogs	3 (8%)	0	0 %	9.00	-9.00	-3.00	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	6 (15%)	2	33 %	23.00	-10.42	-1.74	-45%
Co-Main Event	2 (5%)	2	100 %	7.00	6.64	3.32	95%
Position 3-5	16 (40%)	8	50 %	52.00	-8.35	-0.52	-16%
6+ (Undercard)	16 (40%)	11	69 %	38.00	8.84	0.55	23%

Dana Black: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	5 (13%)	2	40 %	15.00	-5.87	-1.17	-39%
Light Heavy	2 (5%)		0 %	7.00	-7.00	-3.50	-100%
Middleweight	7 (18%)	4	57 %	20.00	2.70	0.39	14%
Welterweight	6 (15%)	5	83 %	19.00	8.60	1.43	45%
Lightweight	6 (15%)	3	50 %	16.00	-1.58	-0.26	-10%
Featherweight	7 (18%)	5	71 %	16.00	9.46	1.35	59%
Bantamweight	3 (8%)	1	33 %	16.00	-12.71	-4.24	-79%
Flyweight	2 (5%)	1	50 %	5.00	-1.67	-0.83	-33%

Women's Fights	2 (5%)	2	100 %	6.00	4.78	2.39	80%
Flyweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	2.00	1.82	1.82	91%
Strawweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	4.00	2.96	2.96	74%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	22 (44%)	16	73 %
Slight Favorites	25 (50%)	15	60 %
Slight Underdogs	3 (6%)	0	0 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	50	31	62 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	17 (18%)	11	65 %
50-65%	18 (20%)	11	61 %
35-50%	32 (35%)	16	50 %
<35% chance	25 (27%)	5	20 %
	92	43	47 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Does not go to Decision	41 (45%)	24	59 %	1.74	2.85	1.15	0.8 (2%)
X Wins by KO	9 (10%)	4	44 %	2.85	8.50	1.74	-0.0 (-0%)
X Wins by Sub	8 (9%)	2	25 %	5.43	21.00	2.70	-0.1 (-1%)
X Wins by Decision	13 (14%)	5	38 %	2.94	4.33	2.20	1.6 (12%)
X Wins Inside Distance	20 (22%)	8	40 %	2.11	5.40	1.53	-4.0 (-20%)
X Wins in Round X	1 (1%)	0	0 %	14.50	14.50	14.50	-1.0 (-100%)
	92	43	47 %	2.18			-2.7 (-3%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Dana Black's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
10th May	UFC 249	21	1.6	8%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,015.96
14th May	UFC Fight Night 170	25.8	10.8	42%		$10.16	$1,015.96	$1,125.20
16th May	UFC Fight Night 171	30	-13.0	-43%		$11.25	$1,125.20	$978.63
6th Jun	UFC 250	30	3.7	12%		$9.79	$978.63	$1,014.69
6th Dec	UFC Vegas 16	40	-14.5	-36%		$10.15	$1,014.69	$867.27
11th Dec	Bellator 254	3	-3.0	-100%		$8.67	$867.27	$841.25
13th Dec	UFC 256	26	4.9	19%		$8.41	$841.25	$882.36
19th Dec	UFC Vegas 17	33	1.9	6%		$8.82	$882.36	$899.44
16th Jan	UFC FN	11	-0.0	-0%		$8.99	$899.44	$899.31
17th Jul	UFC FN	12	-4.7	-39%		$8.99	$899.31	$857.27
8th Sep	DWCS 2021: Week 2	9	-9.0	-100%		$8.57	$857.27	$780.12
14th Sep	DWCS 2021: Week 3	14.5	7.5	52%		$7.80	$780.12	$838.60

ROI % from starting bank balance: -16.14% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Dana Black: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Sep '21	Jasmine Jasudavicius	Julia Polastri	1.74	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Sep '21	Jack Della Maddalena	Ange Loosa	1.80	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Jul '21	Rodolfo Vieira	Dustin Stoltzfus	1.47	5	Sub, R3 (1:54)
4.	Jan '21	Punahele Soriano	Dusko Todorovic	2.35	2	TKO, R1 (4:48)
5.	Jan '21	Carlos Condit	Matt Brown	1.57	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Dec '20	Jimmy Flick	Cody Durden	1.67	2	Sub, R1 (3:18)
7.	Dec '20	Taila Santos	Gillian Robertson	1.91	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Dec '20	Marcin Tybura	Greg Hardy	1.95	3	TKO, R2 (4:31)
9.	Dec '20	Stephen Thompson	Geoff Neal	1.91	3	U Decision (5 rounds)
10.	Dec '20	Gavin Tucker	Billy Quarantillo	2.35	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Dec '20	Cub Swanson	Daniel Pineda	2.40	1	TKO, R2 (1:52)
12.	Dec '20	Kevin Holland	Ronaldo Souza	1.91	2	TKO, R1 (1:45)
13.	Dec '20	Rafael Fiziev	Renato Moicano	1.67	2	TKO, R1 (4:5)
14.	Dec '20	Charles Oliveira	Tony Ferguson	2.45	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Dec '20	Marvin Vettori	Jack Hermansson	1.71	4	U Decision (5 rounds)
16.	Jun '20	Alex Caceres	Chase Hooper	2.60	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	May '20	Dan Ige	Edson Barboza	2.25	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
18.	May '20	Miguel Baeza	Matt Brown	1.66	3	TKO, R2 (0:18)
19.	May '20	Thiago Moises	Michael Johnson	1.87	2	Sub, R2 (0:25)
20.	May '20	Chase Sherman	Ike Villanueva	1.64	2	TKO, R2 (0:49)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Sep '21	Dylan Potter	Lukasz Brzeski	3.50	2	Sub, R3 (3:51)	No
2.	Sep '21	Muin Gafurov	Chad Anheliger	1.35	9	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Jul '21	Jeremy Stephens	Mateusz Gamrot	3.00	2	Sub, R1 (1:5)	No
4.	Jul '21	Thiago Moises	Islam Makhachev	6.00	5	Sub, R4 (2:38)	No
5.	Jan '21	Justin Tafa	Carlos Felipe	2.70	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Dec '20	Kalinn Williams	Michel Pereira	1.91	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Dec '20	Marlon Moraes	Rob Font	1.65	5	TKO, R1 (3:47)	No
8.	Dec '20	Antonio Arroyo	Deron Winn	1.61	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Dec '20	Ilima-Lei Macfarlane	Juliana Velasquez	2.40	3	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
10.	Dec '20	Justin Jaynes	Gabriel Benitez	2.75	3	TKO, R1 (4:6)	No
11.	Dec '20	Gian Villante	Jake Collier	1.49	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	May '20	Walt Harris	Alistair Overeem	1.71	3	TKO, R2 (3:0)	No
13.	May '20	Anthony Hernandez	Kevin Holland	1.87	2	TKO, R1 (0:39)	No
14.	May '20	Darren Elkins	Nate Landwehr	1.80	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	May '20	Eryk Anders	Krzysztof Jotko	2.27	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	May '20	Anthony Smith	Glover Teixeira	1.54	5	TKO, R5 (1:4)	No
17.	May '20	Alexander Hernandez	Drew Dober	2.00	2	TKO, R2 (4:25)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Dana Black: Progress Chart

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