|
MMA Handicapper Stats: MMA ELO |
|
MMA ELO: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
20th Jan '21 |
UFC on ESPN 20 |
15 |
-7.5 |
-50% |
-7.5 / 15 (-50%) |
|
|
19th Sep '20 |
UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley |
25 |
-14.2 |
-57% |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
-9.2 / 20 (-46%) |
|
16th Sep '20 |
DWCS 33 |
6 |
2.4 |
40% |
2.9 / 3 (97%) |
-0.5 / 3 (-17%) |
|
13th Sep '20 |
Bellator 246 |
4 |
-0.3 |
-7% |
-0.8 / 2 (-42%) |
0.5 / 2 (27%) |
|
12th Sep '20 |
UFC Fight Night 184 |
27 |
9.1 |
34% |
1.3 / 3 (44%) |
7.8 / 24 (32%) |
|
5th Sep '20 |
UFC Fight Night 183 |
12 |
-2.8 |
-24% |
0.1 / 2 (6%) |
-3.0 / 10 (-30%) |
|
29th Aug '20 |
UFC Fight Night 182 |
15 |
-2.9 |
-19% |
-0.8 / 3 (-27%) |
-2.1 / 12 (-17%) |
|
22nd Aug '20 |
UFC Vegas 7 |
19 |
4.8 |
25% |
-2.0 / 4 (-50%) |
6.8 / 15 (45%) |
|
21st Aug '20 |
Bellator 244 |
6 |
8.9 |
148% |
8.9 / 6 (148%) |
|
|
19th Aug '20 |
DWCS 29 |
3 |
2.7 |
90% |
1.5 / 1 (145%) |
1.3 / 2 (63%) |
|
15th Aug '20 |
UFC 252 |
17 |
2.2 |
13% |
1.4 / 4 (34%) |
0.8 / 13 (6%) |
|
12th Aug '20 |
DWCS 28 |
2 |
-0.7 |
-37% |
0.3 / 1 (27%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
8th Aug '20 |
UFC Vegas 6 |
46 |
-13.4 |
-29% |
-13.6 / 16 (-85%) |
0.1 / 30 (0%) |
|
1st Aug '20 |
UFC Vegas 5 |
15 |
1.6 |
11% |
2.3 / 4 (57%) |
-0.7 / 11 (-6%) |
|
25th Jul '20 |
UFC Fight Island 3 |
9.8 |
-0.2 |
-2% |
2.3 / 5.6 (41%) |
-2.5 / 4.2 (-58%) |
|
25th Jul '20 |
Bellator 242 |
6.1 |
-3.7 |
-61% |
-3.7 / 6.1 (-61%) |
|
|
15th Jul '20 |
UFC Fight Island 1 |
20.8 |
-9.7 |
-47% |
-4.6 / 11 (-42%) |
-5.1 / 9.8 (-52%) |
|
11th Jul '20 |
UFC 251 |
32.75 |
0.2 |
1% |
-2.6 / 27.75 (-9%) |
3.8 / 4 (95%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
11th Jul '20 |
KSW 53 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
|
2nd Jul '20 |
Invicta 40 |
22.5 |
9.2 |
41% |
9.2 / 22.5 (41%) |
|
|
27th Jun '20 |
UFC Fight Night 175 |
14 |
21.8 |
156% |
13.4 / 12 (112%) |
8.4 / 2 (420%) |
|
13th Jun '20 |
UFC Fight Night 173 |
13.5 |
2.6 |
20% |
3.6 / 12.5 (29%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
6th Jun '20 |
UFC 250 |
13.6 |
5.7 |
42% |
5.7 / 13.6 (42%) |
|
|
30th May '20 |
UFC Fight Night 172 |
46.7 |
10.3 |
22% |
10.3 / 46.7 (22%) |
|
|
16th May '20 |
UFC Fight Night 171 |
11.7 |
9.2 |
79% |
9.2 / 11.7 (79%) |
|
|
14th May '20 |
UFC Fight Night 170 |
11 |
-6.6 |
-60% |
-6.6 / 11 (-60%) |
|
|
10th May '20 |
UFC 249 |
34.58 |
0.7 |
2% |
7.0 / 19.5 (36%) |
-6.3 / 15.08 (-42%) |
|
Winning Events: 15 (56%) Losing Events: 12 (44%)
Average Staked Per Event: 16.67 units Most Staked On One Event: 46.70 units Best Event: 21.85 units Worst Event: -14.16 units Average Event: 1.06 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 58.92 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -21.67 |
MMA ELO: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2021 |
15 |
-7.5 |
-50% |
-7.5 / 15 (-50%) |
0.0 / 0 (nan%) |
|
/ 1 (0%) |
-7.51 |
2020 |
435.03 |
36.0 |
8% |
38.7 / 254.95 (15%) |
-1.6 / 179.08 (-1%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
15 / 11 (58%) |
1.38 |
|
MMA ELO: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
MMA ELO: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
399.43 |
11.0 |
3% |
14.0 / 227.35 (6%) |
-1.9 / 171.08 (-1%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
Bellator |
16.1 |
4.9 |
30% |
4.3 / 14.1 (31%) |
0.5 / 2 (27%) |
|
Other |
34.5 |
12.6 |
36% |
12.8 / 28.5 (45%) |
-0.2 / 6 (-4%) |
|
|
MMA ELO: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
26 (22%) |
22 |
85 % |
85.75 |
21.21 |
0.82 |
25% |
Slight Favorites |
15 (13%) |
13 |
87 % |
51.40 |
25.13 |
1.68 |
49% |
Slight Underdogs |
57 (49%) |
22 |
39 % |
104.50 |
-23.40 |
-0.41 |
-22% |
Big Underdogs |
19 (16%) |
8 |
42 % |
28.30 |
8.20 |
0.43 |
29% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
9 (8%) |
4 |
44 % |
18.30 |
1.45 |
0.16 |
8% |
Co-Main Event |
14 (12%) |
8 |
57 % |
36.90 |
8.79 |
0.63 |
24% |
Position 3-5 |
40 (34%) |
23 |
58 % |
97.50 |
-0.55 |
-0.01 |
-1% |
6+ (Undercard) |
53 (45%) |
29 |
55 % |
115.85 |
21.18 |
0.40 |
18% |
|
MMA ELO: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
6 (5%) |
6 |
100 % |
16.00 |
11.08 |
1.85 |
69% |
Light Heavy |
10 (9%) |
4 |
40 % |
24.70 |
-10.76 |
-1.08 |
-44% |
Middleweight |
6 (5%) |
3 |
50 % |
9.30 |
-0.41 |
-0.07 |
-4% |
Welterweight |
11 (9%) |
6 |
55 % |
22.10 |
4.74 |
0.43 |
21% |
Lightweight |
17 (15%) |
10 |
59 % |
35.30 |
7.91 |
0.47 |
22% |
Featherweight |
20 (17%) |
7 |
35 % |
34.40 |
-11.98 |
-0.60 |
-35% |
Bantamweight |
16 (14%) |
7 |
44 % |
25.20 |
-5.21 |
-0.33 |
-21% |
Flyweight |
7 (6%) |
4 |
57 % |
10.30 |
3.82 |
0.55 |
37% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
24 (21%) |
18 |
75 % |
92.65 |
31.95 |
1.33 |
34% |
Featherweight |
5 (4%) |
4 |
80 % |
25.20 |
9.05 |
1.81 |
36% |
Bantamweight |
2 (2%) |
|
0 % |
3.00 |
-3.00 |
-1.50 |
-100% |
Flyweight |
8 (7%) |
7 |
88 % |
27.55 |
17.29 |
2.16 |
63% |
Strawweight |
9 (8%) |
7 |
78 % |
36.90 |
8.61 |
0.96 |
23% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
3 (50%) |
3 |
100 % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
3 (50%) |
1 |
33 % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
6 |
4 |
67 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
33 (23%) |
25 |
76 % |
50-65% |
35 (24%) |
22 |
63 % |
35-50% |
41 (28%) |
11 |
27 % |
<35% chance |
37 (25%) |
9 |
24 % |
|
146 |
67 |
46 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail MMA ELO's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
10th May |
UFC 249 |
34.58 |
0.7 |
2% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,007.20 |
14th May |
UFC Fight Night 170 |
11 |
-6.6 |
-60% |
|
$10.07 |
$1,007.20 |
$940.72 |
16th May |
UFC Fight Night 171 |
11.7 |
9.2 |
79% |
|
$9.41 |
$940.72 |
$1,027.27 |
30th May |
UFC Fight Night 172 |
46.7 |
10.3 |
22% |
|
$10.27 |
$1,027.27 |
$1,132.89 |
6th Jun |
UFC 250 |
13.6 |
5.7 |
42% |
|
$11.33 |
$1,132.89 |
$1,197.77 |
13th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 173 |
13.5 |
2.6 |
20% |
|
$11.98 |
$1,197.77 |
$1,229.51 |
27th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 175 |
14 |
21.8 |
156% |
|
$12.30 |
$1,229.51 |
$1,498.10 |
2nd Jul |
Invicta 40 |
22.5 |
9.2 |
41% |
|
$14.98 |
$1,498.10 |
$1,636.11 |
11th Jul |
KSW 53 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$16.36 |
$1,636.11 |
$1,619.75 |
11th Jul |
UFC 251 |
32.75 |
0.2 |
1% |
|
$16.20 |
$1,619.75 |
$1,622.98 |
15th Jul |
UFC Fight Island 1 |
20.8 |
-9.7 |
-47% |
|
$16.23 |
$1,622.98 |
$1,465.39 |
25th Jul |
Bellator 242 |
6.1 |
-3.7 |
-61% |
|
$14.65 |
$1,465.39 |
$1,410.88 |
25th Jul |
UFC Fight Island 3 |
9.8 |
-0.2 |
-2% |
|
$14.11 |
$1,410.88 |
$1,408.37 |
1st Aug |
UFC Vegas 5 |
15 |
1.6 |
11% |
|
$14.08 |
$1,408.37 |
$1,431.16 |
8th Aug |
UFC Vegas 6 |
46 |
-13.4 |
-29% |
|
$14.31 |
$1,431.16 |
$1,239.20 |
12th Aug |
DWCS 28 |
2 |
-0.7 |
-37% |
|
$12.39 |
$1,239.20 |
$1,230.11 |
15th Aug |
UFC 252 |
17 |
2.2 |
13% |
|
$12.30 |
$1,230.11 |
$1,257.08 |
19th Aug |
DWCS 29 |
3 |
2.7 |
90% |
|
$12.57 |
$1,257.08 |
$1,291.07 |
21st Aug |
Bellator 244 |
6 |
8.9 |
148% |
|
$12.91 |
$1,291.07 |
$1,405.97 |
22nd Aug |
UFC Vegas 7 |
19 |
4.8 |
25% |
|
$14.06 |
$1,405.97 |
$1,473.22 |
29th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 182 |
15 |
-2.9 |
-19% |
|
$14.73 |
$1,473.22 |
$1,430.70 |
5th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 183 |
12 |
-2.8 |
-24% |
|
$14.31 |
$1,430.70 |
$1,390.20 |
12th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 184 |
27 |
9.1 |
34% |
|
$13.90 |
$1,390.20 |
$1,516.67 |
13th Sep |
Bellator 246 |
4 |
-0.3 |
-7% |
|
$15.17 |
$1,516.67 |
$1,512.18 |
16th Sep |
DWCS 33 |
6 |
2.4 |
40% |
|
$15.12 |
$1,512.18 |
$1,548.47 |
19th Sep |
UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley |
25 |
-14.2 |
-57% |
|
$15.48 |
$1,548.47 |
$1,329.28 |
20th Jan |
UFC on ESPN 20 |
15 |
-7.5 |
-50% |
$25 |
$13.29 |
$1,329.28 |
$1,204.39 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 20.44% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
MMA ELO: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Jan '21 |
Manon Fiorot |
Victoria Leonardo |
1.63 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (4:8) |
|
|
2. |
Jan '21 |
Su Mudaerji |
Zarrukh Adashev |
1.24 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
3. |
Jan '21 |
Ricky Simon |
Gaetano Pirrello |
1.25 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (4:0) |
|
|
4. |
Jan '21 |
Lerone Murphy |
Douglas Silva de Andrade |
1.32 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
5. |
Jan '21 |
Matt Schnell |
Tyson Nam |
2.05 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
6. |
Sep '20 |
Collin Anglin |
Muhammadjon Naimov |
3.75 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
7. |
Sep '20 |
Jordan Williams |
Gregory Rodrigues |
2.15 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (2:19) |
|
|
8. |
Sep '20 |
Ed Herman |
Mike Rodriguez |
2.95 |
1 |
Sub, R3 (2:41) |
|
|
9. |
Sep '20 |
Bobby Green |
Alan Patrick |
1.36 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
10. |
Sep '20 |
Liz Carmouche |
DeAnna Bennett |
1.15 |
1 |
Sub, R3 (3:17) |
|
|
11. |
Sep '20 |
Ovince St Preux |
Alonzo Menifield |
2.12 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (4:7) |
|
|
12. |
Aug '20 |
Polyana Viana |
Emily Whitmire |
2.20 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (1:53) |
|
|
13. |
Aug '20 |
Joe Solecki |
Austin Hubbard |
2.00 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (3:51) |
|
|
14. |
Aug '20 |
John deJesus |
Vladislav Parubchenko |
5.50 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
15. |
Aug '20 |
Josh Hill |
Erik Perez |
2.05 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
16. |
Aug '20 |
Sidney Outlaw |
Adam Piccolotti |
2.70 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
17. |
Aug '20 |
John Salter |
Andrew Kapel |
3.55 |
1 |
Sub, R3 (3:11) |
|
|
18. |
Aug '20 |
Julia Budd |
Jessy Miele |
1.10 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
19. |
Aug '20 |
Kenny Cross |
Kevin Syler |
2.45 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
20. |
Aug '20 |
Daniel Pineda |
Herbert Burns |
3.30 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (4:37) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Jan '21 |
Vinicius Moreira |
Ike Villanueva |
2.05 |
10 |
TKO, R2 (0:39) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Sep '20 |
Jerome Rivera |
Tyson Nam |
2.60 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (0:34) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Sep '20 |
T.J. Laramie |
Darrick Minner |
1.33 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (0:52) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Sep '20 |
Irwin Rivera |
Andre Ewell |
3.00 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Sep '20 |
Sarah Alpar |
Jessica-Rose Clark |
2.95 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (4:21) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Sep '20 |
Ryan Spann |
Johnny Walker |
2.05 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (2:43) |
Yes |
|
|
7. |
Sep '20 |
Taneisha Tennant |
Danyelle Wolf |
2.17 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Sep '20 |
Anthony Ivy |
Bryan Barberena |
3.05 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
Yes |
|
|
9. |
Sep '20 |
Derek Campos |
Keoni Diggs |
2.15 |
1 |
Sub, R3 (4:59) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Sep '20 |
Montana De La Rosa |
Viviane Araujo |
2.60 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Aug '20 |
Bill Algeo |
Ricardo Lamas |
3.40 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
Yes |
|
|
12. |
Aug '20 |
Anthony Smith |
Aleksandar Rakic |
3.25 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
Yes |
|
|
13. |
Aug '20 |
Timur Valiev |
Trevin Jones |
1.18 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (1:59) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Aug '20 |
Marcin Prachnio |
Mike Rodriguez |
2.90 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (2:17) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Aug '20 |
Pedro Munhoz |
Frankie Edgar |
1.36 |
1 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
Yes |
|
|
16. |
Aug '20 |
Ryan Bader |
Vadim Nemkov |
1.71 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (3:2) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Aug '20 |
Jim Miller |
Vinc Pichel |
2.05 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Aug '20 |
Sean O'Malley |
Marlon Vera |
1.38 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:40) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Aug '20 |
Ali Al Qaisi |
Irwin Rivera |
2.67 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
Yes |
|
|
20. |
Aug '20 |
Julija Stoliarenko |
Yana Kunitskaya |
2.70 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
MMA ELO: Progress Chart |
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