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MMA Handicapper Stats: Bill Noise

Bill Noise (corduroycake)


MMA MHandicapper - Bill Noise

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 29 (51%) Right 24 (52%) Right 4 (40%) Right 1 (100%)
Wrong 28 (49%) Wrong 22 (48%) Wrong 6 (60%) Wrong 0 (0%)
Avg Odds 2.37 Avg Odds 2.25 Avg Odds 3.27 Avg Odds 1.85
Units Bet 86.0 Units Bet 73.5 Units Bet 11.5 Units Bet 1.0
Avg Bet 1.51 Avg Bet 1.60 Avg Bet 1.15 Avg Bet 1.00
Units Profit 28.59 Units Profit 25.93 Units Profit 1.82 Units Profit 0.85
ROI % 33% ROI % 35% ROI % 16% ROI % 85%
View Handicapper's Profile

Bill Noise: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 1.25 -1.3 -100% -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
4th Oct '20 UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 8.6 -3.3 -39% -3.3 / 8.6 (-39%)
5th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 183 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
29th Aug '20 UFC Fight Night 182 5 -1.0 -19% -1.8 / 4 (-46%) 0.9 / 1 (85%)
22nd Aug '20 UFC Vegas 7 7 4.1 59% 4.1 / 7 (59%)
15th Aug '20 UFC 252 8 2.6 32% 2.6 / 8 (32%)
8th Aug '20 UFC Vegas 6 5.25 -1.7 -33% -1.5 / 5 (-29%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
25th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 3 4 1.9 46% 1.9 / 4 (46%)
15th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 1 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
11th Jul '20 UFC 251 15.75 -2.3 -15% 3.0 / 10.5 (28%) -5.3 / 5.25 (-100%)
27th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 175 10.5 14.4 137% 9.6 / 6.75 (143%) 4.7 / 3.75 (126%)
20th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 174 3.5 4.8 137% 4.8 / 3.5 (137%)
13th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 173 3.65 4.9 134% 2.3 / 1.4 (165%) 2.6 / 2.25 (115%)
6th Jun '20 UFC 250 2.5 0.2 7% 0.2 / 2.5 (7%)
30th May '20 UFC Fight Night 172 5 3.6 72% 3.6 / 5 (72%)
16th May '20 UFC Fight Night 171 4 3.8 95% 3.8 / 4 (95%)


Winning Events: 9 (56%)
Losing Events: 7 (44%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.38 units
Most Staked On One Event: 15.75 units
Best Event: 14.37 units
Worst Event: -3.35 units
Average Event: 1.79 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 31.63
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -6.57

Bill Noise: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 1.25 -1.3 -100% -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%) 0.0 / 0 (nan%) / 1 (0%) -1.25
2020 84.75 29.8 35% 27.2 / 72.25 (38%) 1.8 / 11.5 (16%) 0.9 / 1 (85%) 9 / 6 (60%) 1.99

Bill Noise: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Bill Noise: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 86 28.6 33% 25.9 / 73.5 (35%) 1.8 / 11.5 (16%) 0.9 / 1 (85%)

Bill Noise: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 1 (2%) 1 100 % 4.00 1.82 1.82 45%
Slight Favorites 17 (36%) 11 65 % 33.85 15.67 0.92 46%
Slight Underdogs 15 (32%) 7 47 % 20.90 0.72 0.05 3%
Big Underdogs 14 (30%) 6 43 % 14.75 7.72 0.55 52%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 2 (4%) 1 50 % 2.00 1.50 0.75 75%
Co-Main Event 6 (13%) 5 83 % 10.50 11.65 1.94 111%
Position 3-5 8 (17%) 3 38 % 10.00 0.60 0.08 6%
6+ (Undercard) 30 (64%) 16 53 % 50.00 13.17 0.44 26%

Bill Noise: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 5 (11%) 4 80 % 9.00 7.65 1.53 85%
Light Heavy 4 (9%) 3 75 % 8.00 4.51 1.13 56%
Middleweight 3 (6%) 1 33 % 4.00 -0.46 -0.15 -12%
Welterweight 7 (15%) 5 71 % 11.00 6.18 0.88 56%
Lightweight 4 (9%) 3 75 % 4.75 8.11 2.03 171%
Featherweight 7 (15%) 3 43 % 9.25 1.72 0.25 19%
Bantamweight 7 (15%) 2 29 % 9.00 -2.00 -0.29 -22%
Flyweight 1 (2%) 0 % 2.50 -2.50 -2.50 -100%
               
Women's Fights 9 (19%) 4 44 % 16.00 2.72 0.30 17%
Bantamweight 2 (4%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -1.00 -100%
Flyweight 2 (4%) 1 50 % 5.00 0.82 0.41 16%
Strawweight 5 (11%) 3 60 % 9.00 3.90 0.78 43%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 2 (100%) 2 100 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
2 2 100 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
50-65% 2 (20%) 1 50 %
35-50% 2 (20%) 2 100 %
<35% chance 6 (60%) 1 17 %
10 4 40 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (20%) 2 100 % 1.97 2.19Pick was correct 1.79Pick was correct 2.0 (99%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (10%) 1 100 % 3.50 3.50Pick was correct 3.50Pick was correct 2.5 (250%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 1 (10%) 0 0 % 1.74 1.74Pick was incorrect 1.74Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 2 (20%) 0 0 % 14.67 22.00Pick was incorrect 11.00Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 2 (20%) 0 0 % 7.07 7.07Pick was incorrect 7.07Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 1 (10%) 0 0 % 3.40 3.40Pick was incorrect 3.40Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Others 1 (10%) 1 100 % 2.15 2.15Pick was correct 2.15Pick was correct 1.1 (115%)
10 4 40 % 3.27     -0.4 (-4%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Bill Noise's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
16th May UFC Fight Night 171 4 3.8 95% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,038.09
30th May UFC Fight Night 172 5 3.6 72% $10.38 $1,038.09 $1,075.29
6th Jun UFC 250 2.5 0.2 7% $10.75 $1,075.29 $1,077.17
13th Jun UFC Fight Night 173 3.65 4.9 134% $10.77 $1,077.17 $1,129.92
20th Jun UFC Fight Night 174 3.5 4.8 137% $11.30 $1,129.92 $1,184.10
27th Jun UFC Fight Night 175 10.5 14.4 137% $11.84 $1,184.10 $1,354.29
11th Jul UFC 251 15.75 -2.3 -15% $13.54 $1,354.29 $1,323.21
15th Jul UFC Fight Island 1 1 -1.0 -100% $13.23 $1,323.21 $1,309.97
25th Jul UFC Fight Island 3 4 1.9 46% $13.10 $1,309.97 $1,334.30
8th Aug UFC Vegas 6 5.25 -1.7 -33% $13.34 $1,334.30 $1,311.46
15th Aug UFC 252 8 2.6 32% $13.11 $1,311.46 $1,344.95
22nd Aug UFC Vegas 7 7 4.1 59% $13.45 $1,344.95 $1,400.45
29th Aug UFC Fight Night 182 5 -1.0 -19% $14.00 $1,400.45 $1,386.87
5th Sep UFC Fight Night 183 1 -1.0 -100% $13.87 $1,386.87 $1,373.00
4th Oct UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 8.6 -3.3 -39% $13.73 $1,373.00 $1,327.01
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 1.25 -1.3 -100% $13.27 $1,327.01 $1,310.42


ROI % from starting bank balance: 31.04% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Bill Noise: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Oct '20 Nassourdine Imavov Jordan Williams 1.80 1.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Oct '20 Carlos Felipe Yorgan De Castro 3.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '20 Polyana Viana Emily Whitmire 2.18 1 Sub, R1 (1:53) MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '20 Matt Semelsberger Carlton Minus 2.04 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '20 Jordan Wright Ike Villanueva 1.89 1 TKO, R1 (1:31) MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '20 Daniel Rodriguez Dwight Grant 1.54 1 TKO, R1 (2:24) MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '20 Amanda Lemos Mizuki Inoue 2.15 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '20 Frankie Edgar Pedro Munhoz 3.50 1 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '20 Marlon Vera Sean O'Malley 3.50 1 TKO, R1 (4:40) MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '20 Daniel Pineda Herbert Burns 3.20 1 TKO, R2 (4:37) MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '20 Vinc Pichel Jim Miller 1.83 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '20 Chris Daukaus Parker Porter 2.02 1 TKO, R1 (4:28) MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '20 Chris Weidman Omari Akhmedov 1.77 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '20 Paul Craig Gadzhimurad Antigulov 1.95 3 Sub, R1 (2:6) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '20 Karol Rosa Vanessa Melo 1.45 4 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '20 Muslim Salikhov Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 1.91 4 Split Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
17. Jun '20 Julian Erosa Sean Woodson 4.47 1.75 Sub, R3 (2:44) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
18. Jun '20 Kay Hansen Jinh Yu Frey 1.71 5 Sub, R3 (2:26) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
19. Jun '20 Josh Emmett Shane Burgos 2.37 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
20. Jun '20 Christian Aguilera Anthony Ivy 2.65 1.4 TKO, R1 (0:59) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Feb '21 Danny Chavez Jared Gordon 1.80 1.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Oct '20 Cameron Else Kyler Phillips 4.50 1 TKO, R2 (0:44) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Oct '20 Heili Alateng Casey Kenney 4.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Oct '20 Jinh Yu Frey Loma Lookboonmee 2.20 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Oct '20 Court McGee Carlos Condit 1.74 1.35 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Oct '20 Julianna Pena Germaine de Randamie 2.35 1 Sub, R3 (3:25) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Oct '20 Irene Aldana Holly Holm 2.10 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Sep '20 Cole Smith Hunter Azure 3.30 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '20 Christian Aguilera Sean Brady 4.60 1 Sub, R2 (1:47) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '20 Alessio Di Chirico Zak Cummings 1.89 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '20 Maki Pitolo Impa Kasanganay 2.13 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '20 Austin Hubbard Joe Solecki 1.91 1 Sub, R1 (3:51) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '20 Marcin Prachnio Mike Rodriguez 3.00 1 TKO, R1 (2:17) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Aug '20 T.J. Brown Danny Chavez 1.70 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '20 Tony Kelley Kai Kamaka 3.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '20 Junior dos Santos Jairzinho Rozenstruik 2.12 1 TKO, R2 (3:47) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Aug '20 Ashley Yoder Livia Renata Souza 2.40 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '20 Ali Al Qaisi Irwin Rivera 2.67 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '20 John Castaneda Nathaniel Wood 4.60 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '20 Diana Belbita Liana Jojua 1.63 1 Sub, R1 (2:43) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Bill Noise: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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