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MMA Handicapper Stats: Bill Noise

Bill Noise (corduroycake)


MMA MHandicapper - Bill Noise

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 31 (44%) Right 25 (51%) Right 5 (24%) Right 1 (100%)
Wrong 40 (56%) Wrong 24 (49%) Wrong 16 (76%) Wrong 0 (0%)
Avg Odds 2.46 Avg Odds 2.21 Avg Odds 3.46 Avg Odds 1.85
Units Bet 111.3 Units Bet 84.5 Units Bet 25.8 Units Bet 1.0
Avg Bet 1.57 Avg Bet 1.72 Avg Bet 1.23 Avg Bet 1.00
Units Profit 20.57 Units Profit 23.65 Units Profit -3.93 Units Profit 0.85
ROI % 18% ROI % 28% ROI % -15% ROI % 85%
View Handicapper's Profile

Bill Noise: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
8th May '21 UFC FN 4.33 -4.3 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -2.3 / 2.33 (-100%)
10th Apr '21 UFC FN 4.25 -4.3 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
28th Mar '21 UFC 260 8.17 -8.2 -100% -8.2 / 8.17 (-100%)
21st Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 188 8.5 8.7 103% 2.7 / 6 (45%) 6.0 / 2.5 (240%)
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 1.25 -1.3 -100% -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
4th Oct '20 UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 8.6 -3.3 -39% -3.3 / 8.6 (-39%)
5th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 183 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
29th Aug '20 UFC Fight Night 182 5 -1.0 -19% -1.8 / 4 (-46%) 0.9 / 1 (85%)
22nd Aug '20 UFC Vegas 7 7 4.1 59% 4.1 / 7 (59%)
15th Aug '20 UFC 252 8 2.6 32% 2.6 / 8 (32%)
8th Aug '20 UFC Vegas 6 5.25 -1.7 -33% -1.5 / 5 (-29%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
25th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 3 4 1.9 46% 1.9 / 4 (46%)
15th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 1 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
11th Jul '20 UFC 251 15.75 -2.3 -15% 3.0 / 10.5 (28%) -5.3 / 5.25 (-100%)
27th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 175 10.5 14.4 137% 9.6 / 6.75 (143%) 4.7 / 3.75 (126%)
20th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 174 3.5 4.8 137% 4.8 / 3.5 (137%)
13th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 173 3.65 4.9 134% 2.3 / 1.4 (165%) 2.6 / 2.25 (115%)
6th Jun '20 UFC 250 2.5 0.2 7% 0.2 / 2.5 (7%)
30th May '20 UFC Fight Night 172 5 3.6 72% 3.6 / 5 (72%)
16th May '20 UFC Fight Night 171 4 3.8 95% 3.8 / 4 (95%)


Winning Events: 10 (50%)
Losing Events: 10 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.56 units
Most Staked On One Event: 15.75 units
Best Event: 14.37 units
Worst Event: -8.17 units
Average Event: 1.03 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 31.63
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -16.75

Bill Noise: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 26.5 -9.3 -35% -3.5 / 12.25 (-29%) -5.8 / 14.25 (-40%) 1 / 4 (20%) -1.85
2020 84.75 29.8 35% 27.2 / 72.25 (38%) 1.8 / 11.5 (16%) 0.9 / 1 (85%) 9 / 6 (60%) 1.99

Bill Noise: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

To view these stats, you need to be a VIP

Bill Noise: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 111.25 20.6 18% 23.7 / 84.5 (28%) -3.9 / 25.75 (-15%) 0.9 / 1 (85%)

Bill Noise: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 2 (4%) 2 100 % 10.00 4.55 2.27 45%
Slight Favorites 19 (38%) 11 58 % 38.85 10.67 0.56 27%
Slight Underdogs 15 (30%) 7 47 % 20.90 0.72 0.05 3%
Big Underdogs 14 (28%) 6 43 % 14.75 7.72 0.55 52%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 2 (4%) 1 50 % 2.00 1.50 0.75 75%
Co-Main Event 6 (12%) 5 83 % 10.50 11.65 1.94 111%
Position 3-5 10 (20%) 4 40 % 19.00 0.33 0.03 2%
6+ (Undercard) 31 (62%) 16 52 % 52.00 11.17 0.36 21%

Bill Noise: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 5 (10%) 4 80 % 9.00 7.65 1.53 85%
Light Heavy 4 (8%) 3 75 % 8.00 4.51 1.13 56%
Middleweight 4 (8%) 1 25 % 6.00 -2.46 -0.62 -41%
Welterweight 7 (14%) 5 71 % 11.00 6.18 0.88 56%
Lightweight 4 (8%) 3 75 % 4.75 8.11 2.03 171%
Featherweight 7 (14%) 3 43 % 9.25 1.72 0.25 19%
Bantamweight 8 (16%) 3 38 % 15.00 0.73 0.09 5%
Flyweight 1 (2%) 0 % 2.50 -2.50 -2.50 -100%
               
Women's Fights 10 (20%) 4 40 % 19.00 -0.28 -0.03 -1%
Bantamweight 2 (4%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -1.00 -100%
Flyweight 2 (4%) 1 50 % 5.00 0.82 0.41 16%
Strawweight 6 (12%) 3 50 % 12.00 0.90 0.15 8%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 2 (100%) 2 100 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
2 2 100 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
50-65% 3 (14%) 1 33 %
35-50% 4 (19%) 2 50 %
<35% chance 14 (67%) 2 14 %
21 5 24 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (10%) 2 100 % 1.97 2.19Pick was correct 1.79Pick was correct 2.0 (99%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (5%) 1 100 % 3.50 3.50Pick was correct 3.50Pick was correct 2.5 (250%)
Goes to Decision 1 (5%) 0 0 % 1.61 1.61Pick was incorrect 1.61Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 1 (5%) 0 0 % 1.74 1.74Pick was incorrect 1.74Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 1 (5%) 0 0 % 6.00 6.00Pick was incorrect 6.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 3 (14%) 0 0 % 12.69 22.00Pick was incorrect 10.00Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 4 (19%) 0 0 % 3.85 7.07Pick was incorrect 2.30Pick was incorrect -4.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 5 (24%) 0 0 % 3.46 4.25Pick was incorrect 2.55Pick was incorrect -5.0 (-100%)
Others 3 (14%) 2 67 % 4.45 11.00Pick was incorrect 2.15Pick was correct 7.6 (255%)
21 5 24 % 3.46     -2.9 (-14%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Bill Noise's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
16th May UFC Fight Night 171 4 3.8 95% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,038.09
30th May UFC Fight Night 172 5 3.6 72% $10.38 $1,038.09 $1,075.29
6th Jun UFC 250 2.5 0.2 7% $10.75 $1,075.29 $1,077.17
13th Jun UFC Fight Night 173 3.65 4.9 134% $10.77 $1,077.17 $1,129.92
20th Jun UFC Fight Night 174 3.5 4.8 137% $11.30 $1,129.92 $1,184.10
27th Jun UFC Fight Night 175 10.5 14.4 137% $11.84 $1,184.10 $1,354.29
11th Jul UFC 251 15.75 -2.3 -15% $13.54 $1,354.29 $1,323.21
15th Jul UFC Fight Island 1 1 -1.0 -100% $13.23 $1,323.21 $1,309.97
25th Jul UFC Fight Island 3 4 1.9 46% $13.10 $1,309.97 $1,334.30
8th Aug UFC Vegas 6 5.25 -1.7 -33% $13.34 $1,334.30 $1,311.46
15th Aug UFC 252 8 2.6 32% $13.11 $1,311.46 $1,344.95
22nd Aug UFC Vegas 7 7 4.1 59% $13.45 $1,344.95 $1,400.45
29th Aug UFC Fight Night 182 5 -1.0 -19% $14.00 $1,400.45 $1,386.87
5th Sep UFC Fight Night 183 1 -1.0 -100% $13.87 $1,386.87 $1,373.00
4th Oct UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 8.6 -3.3 -39% $13.73 $1,373.00 $1,327.01
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 1.25 -1.3 -100% $13.27 $1,327.01 $1,310.42
21st Mar UFC Fight Night 188 8.5 8.7 103% $13.10 $1,310.42 $1,424.78
28th Mar UFC 260 8.17 -8.2 -100% $14.25 $1,424.78 $1,308.38
10th Apr UFC FN 4.25 -4.3 -100% $13.08 $1,308.38 $1,252.77
8th May UFC FN 4.33 -4.3 -100% $12.53 $1,252.77 $1,198.53


ROI % from starting bank balance: 19.85% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Bill Noise: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '21 Adrian Yanez Gustavo Lopez 1.45 6 TKO, R3 (0:27) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
2. Oct '20 Nassourdine Imavov Jordan Williams 1.80 1.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Oct '20 Carlos Felipe Yorgan De Castro 3.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '20 Polyana Viana Emily Whitmire 2.18 1 Sub, R1 (1:53) MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '20 Matt Semelsberger Carlton Minus 2.04 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '20 Jordan Wright Ike Villanueva 1.89 1 TKO, R1 (1:31) MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '20 Daniel Rodriguez Dwight Grant 1.54 1 TKO, R1 (2:24) MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '20 Amanda Lemos Mizuki Inoue 2.15 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '20 Frankie Edgar Pedro Munhoz 3.50 1 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '20 Marlon Vera Sean O'Malley 3.50 1 TKO, R1 (4:40) MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '20 Daniel Pineda Herbert Burns 3.20 1 TKO, R2 (4:37) MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '20 Vinc Pichel Jim Miller 1.83 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '20 Chris Daukaus Parker Porter 2.02 1 TKO, R1 (4:28) MMA Bookmaker
14. Aug '20 Chris Weidman Omari Akhmedov 1.77 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '20 Paul Craig Gadzhimurad Antigulov 1.95 3 Sub, R1 (2:6) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '20 Karol Rosa Vanessa Melo 1.45 4 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '20 Muslim Salikhov Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 1.91 4 Split Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
18. Jun '20 Julian Erosa Sean Woodson 4.47 1.75 Sub, R3 (2:44) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
19. Jun '20 Kay Hansen Jinh Yu Frey 1.71 5 Sub, R3 (2:26) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
20. Jun '20 Josh Emmett Shane Burgos 2.37 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. May '21 Kyle Daukaus Phil Hawes 1.77 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '21 Nina Nunes Mackenzie Dern 1.83 3 Sub, R1 (4:48) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '21 Danny Chavez Jared Gordon 1.80 1.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Oct '20 Cameron Else Kyler Phillips 4.50 1 TKO, R2 (0:44) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Oct '20 Heili Alateng Casey Kenney 4.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Oct '20 Jinh Yu Frey Loma Lookboonmee 2.20 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Oct '20 Court McGee Carlos Condit 1.74 1.35 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '20 Julianna Pena Germaine de Randamie 2.35 1 Sub, R3 (3:25) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '20 Irene Aldana Holly Holm 2.10 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Sep '20 Cole Smith Hunter Azure 3.30 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '20 Christian Aguilera Sean Brady 4.60 1 Sub, R2 (1:47) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '20 Alessio Di Chirico Zak Cummings 1.89 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '20 Maki Pitolo Impa Kasanganay 2.13 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Aug '20 Austin Hubbard Joe Solecki 1.91 1 Sub, R1 (3:51) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '20 Marcin Prachnio Mike Rodriguez 3.00 1 TKO, R1 (2:17) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '20 T.J. Brown Danny Chavez 1.70 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Aug '20 Tony Kelley Kai Kamaka 3.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '20 Junior dos Santos Jairzinho Rozenstruik 2.12 1 TKO, R2 (3:47) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '20 Ashley Yoder Livia Renata Souza 2.40 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '20 Ali Al Qaisi Irwin Rivera 2.67 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Bill Noise: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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