MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6362
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2348

MMA Handicapper Stats: Michael Scott

Michael Scott (dfox4502)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	38 (49%)	Right	37 (51%)	Right	1 (25%)	Right	0 (0%)
Wrong	39 (51%)	Wrong	35 (49%)	Wrong	3 (75%)	Wrong	1 (100%)
Avg Odds	1.88	Avg Odds	1.83	Avg Odds	3.20	Avg Odds	1.99
Units Bet	268.9	Units Bet	261.9	Units Bet	4.0	Units Bet	3.0
Avg Bet	3.49	Avg Bet	3.64	Avg Bet	1.00	Avg Bet	3.00
Units Profit	-40.27	Units Profit	-37.47	Units Profit	0.20	Units Profit	-3.00
ROI %	-15%	ROI %	-14%	ROI %	5%	ROI %	-100%

Michael Scott: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
8th Aug '20	Bellator 243	33.35	-9.6	-29%	-9.6 / 33.35 (-29%)
1st Aug '20	UFC Vegas 5	11	-11.0	-100%	-11.0 / 11 (-100%)
25th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 3	43.5	-13.4	-31%	-10.9 / 36.75 (-30%)	0.5 / 3.75 (12%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
11th Jul '20	UFC 251	26	6.7	26%	6.7 / 26 (26%)
27th Jun '20	UFC Fight Night 175	26.08	-4.5	-17%	-4.5 / 26.08 (-17%)
6th Jun '20	UFC 250	7	3.5	50%	3.5 / 7 (50%)
16th May '20	UFC Fight Night 171	6.05	-1.6	-26%	-1.4 / 5.8 (-23%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
14th May '20	UFC Fight Night 170	15.13	-7.9	-52%	-7.9 / 15.13 (-52%)
10th May '20	UFC 249	16.73	-11.8	-71%	-11.8 / 16.73 (-71%)
14th Mar '20	UFC Fight Night 169	10.01	3.2	32%	3.2 / 10.01 (32%)
8th Mar '20	UFC 248	14.77	2.5	17%	2.5 / 14.77 (17%)
29th Feb '20	UFC Fight Night	5.8	2.2	38%	2.2 / 5.8 (38%)
22nd Feb '20	UFC Fight Night 168	11.92	-0.0	-0%	-0.0 / 11.92 (-0%)
9th Feb '20	UFC 247	29	-1.2	-4%	-1.2 / 29 (-4%)
26th Jan '20	Bellator 238	4.77	1.0	21%	1.0 / 4.77 (21%)
25th Jan '20	UFC Fight Night 166	7.76	1.7	22%	1.7 / 7.76 (22%)

Winning Events: 7 (44%)
Losing Events: 9 (56%)

Average Staked Per Event: 16.80 units
Most Staked On One Event: 43.50 units
Best Event: 6.67 units
Worst Event: -13.45 units
Average Event: -2.52 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 7.92
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -34.08

Michael Scott: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2020	268.87	-40.3	-15%	-37.5 / 261.87 (-14%)	0.2 / 4 (5%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	7 / 9 (44%)	-2.52

Michael Scott: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

To view these stats, you need to be a VIP

Michael Scott: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	230.75	-31.6	-14%	-28.8 / 223.75 (-13%)	0.2 / 4 (5%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
Bellator	38.12	-8.7	-23%	-8.7 / 38.12 (-23%)

Michael Scott: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	25 (35%)	17	68 %	186.38	-13.72	-0.55	-7%
Slight Favorites	18 (25%)	9	50 %	49.36	-19.68	-1.09	-40%
Slight Underdogs	17 (24%)	10	59 %	16.81	3.65	0.21	22%
Big Underdogs	12 (17%)	1	8 %	9.32	-7.72	-0.64	-83%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	14 (19%)	7	50 %	64.92	-9.37	-0.67	-14%
Co-Main Event	11 (15%)	5	45 %	43.55	-6.72	-0.61	-15%
Position 3-5	17 (24%)	6	35 %	59.64	-15.70	-0.92	-26%
6+ (Undercard)	30 (42%)	19	63 %	93.76	-5.68	-0.19	-6%

Michael Scott: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	10 (14%)	2	20 %	38.44	-34.15	-3.41	-89%
Light Heavy	4 (6%)	2	50 %	28.05	-2.35	-0.59	-8%
Middleweight	8 (11%)	2	25 %	22.27	-13.25	-1.66	-59%
Welterweight	10 (14%)	6	60 %	43.39	7.93	0.79	18%
Lightweight	11 (15%)	6	55 %	36.18	-6.54	-0.59	-18%
Featherweight	5 (7%)	4	80 %	16.50	2.27	0.45	14%
Bantamweight	7 (10%)	4	57 %	24.12	-2.08	-0.30	-9%
Flyweight	2 (3%)	2	100 %	1.63	2.30	1.15	141%

Women's Fights	15 (21%)	9	60 %	51.29	8.39	0.56	16%
Featherweight	2 (3%)	1	50 %	4.97	0.78	0.39	16%
Bantamweight	2 (3%)	1	50 %	2.27	0.23	0.12	10%
Flyweight	3 (4%)	2	67 %	11.66	1.48	0.49	13%
Strawweight	8 (11%)	5	63 %	32.39	5.89	0.74	18%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	3 (100%)	2	67 %
Slight Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	3	2	67 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	1 (20%)	1	100 %
50-65%	0 (0%)	0	nan %
35-50%	2 (40%)	1	50 %
<35% chance	2 (40%)	0	0 %
	5	2	40 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (20%)	0	0 %	2.18	2.18	2.18	-1.0 (-100%)
Fight Starts Round X	1 (20%)	1	100 %	1.09	1.09	1.09	0.1 (9%)
X Wins by Decision	2 (40%)	1	50 %	3.37	8.50	2.10	0.1 (5%)
Others	1 (20%)	0	0 %	5.10	5.10	5.10	-1.0 (-100%)
	5	2	40 %	2.31			-1.8 (-36%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Michael Scott's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
25th Jan	UFC Fight Night 166	7.76	1.7	22%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,017.26
26th Jan	Bellator 238	4.77	1.0	21%		$10.17	$1,017.26	$1,027.27
9th Feb	UFC 247	29	-1.2	-4%		$10.27	$1,027.27	$1,015.41
22nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 168	11.92	-0.0	-0%		$10.15	$1,015.41	$1,015.29
29th Feb	UFC Fight Night	5.8	2.2	38%		$10.15	$1,015.29	$1,037.73
8th Mar	UFC 248	14.77	2.5	17%		$10.38	$1,037.73	$1,063.85
14th Mar	UFC Fight Night 169	10.01	3.2	32%		$10.64	$1,063.85	$1,097.84
10th May	UFC 249	16.73	-11.8	-71%		$10.98	$1,097.84	$967.96
14th May	UFC Fight Night 170	15.13	-7.9	-52%		$9.68	$967.96	$891.41
16th May	UFC Fight Night 171	6.05	-1.6	-26%		$8.91	$891.41	$877.15
6th Jun	UFC 250	7	3.5	50%		$8.77	$877.15	$907.85
27th Jun	UFC Fight Night 175	26.08	-4.5	-17%		$9.08	$907.85	$867.13
11th Jul	UFC 251	26	6.7	26%		$8.67	$867.13	$924.97
25th Jul	UFC Fight Island 3	43.5	-13.4	-31%		$9.25	$924.97	$800.56
1st Aug	UFC Vegas 5	11	-11.0	-100%		$8.01	$800.56	$712.50
8th Aug	Bellator 243	33.35	-9.6	-29%		$7.12	$712.50	$643.86

ROI % from starting bank balance: -35.61% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Michael Scott: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Aug '20	Adam Borics	Mike Hamel	1.06	11	Split Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Aug '20	Dalton Rosta	Mark Gardner	1.10	11	TKO, R1 (5:0)
3.	Jul '20	Khamzat Chimaev	Rhys McKee	1.09	11	TKO, R1 (3:9)
4.	Jul '20	Nathaniel Wood	John Castaneda	1.26	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Jul '20	Rose Namajunas	Jessica Andrade	1.53	11	Split Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Jul '20	Kamaru Usman	Jorge Masvidal	1.44	11	U Decision (5 rounds)
7.	Jun '20	Khama Worthy	Luis Pena	3.20	0.5	Sub, R3 (2:53)
8.	Jun '20	Youssef Zalal	Jordan Griffin	1.79	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Jun '20	Dustin Poirier	Daniel Hooker	1.48	6.25	U Decision (5 rounds)
10.	Jun '20	Mike Perry	Mickey Gall	1.33	6.06	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Jun '20	Herbert Burns	Evan Dunham	1.50	7	Sub, R1 (1:20)
12.	May '20	Nate Landwehr	Darren Elkins	2.15	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	May '20	Dan Ige	Edson Barboza	2.30	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
14.	May '20	Thiago Moises	Michael Johnson	1.95	1.5	Sub, R2 (0:25)
15.	May '20	Andrei Arlovski	Philipe Lins	2.70	0.59	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	May '20	Ben Rothwell	Ovince St Preux	2.25	1.2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
17.	May '20	Anthony Pettis	Donald Cerrone	1.69	2.9	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Mar '20	Amanda Ribas	Randa Markos	1.38	2.63	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Mar '20	Brandon Moreno	Jussier Formiga	2.50	0.83	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Mar '20	Gilbert Burns	Demian Maia	1.50	5	TKO, R1 (2:34)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Aug '20	Matt Mitrione	Timothy Johnson	1.88	11	TKO, R1 (3:14)	No
2.	Aug '20	Tara Graff	Valerie Loureda	6.45	0.35	TKO, R2 (5:0)	No
3.	Aug '20	Edmen Shahbazyan	Derek Brunson	1.36	11	TKO, R3 (0:26)	No
4.	Jul '20	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	Carla Esparza	1.58	6	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Jul '20	Alexander Gustafsson	Fabricio Werdum	1.33	7.75	Sub, R1 (2:30)	No
6.	Jul '20	Darren Till	Robert Whittaker	44.44	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
7.	Jul '20	Max Holloway	Alex Volkanovski	2.95	2	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
8.	Jul '20	Jose Aldo	Petr Yan	3.05	2	TKO, R5 (3:24)	No
9.	Jun '20	Sean Woodson	Julian Erosa	1.20	11	Sub, R3 (2:44)	No
10.	Jun '20	Kyle Daukaus	Brendan Allen	3.60	0.77	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	May '20	Eryk Anders	Krzysztof Jotko	2.20	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	May '20	Walt Harris	Alistair Overeem	1.71	2.8	TKO, R2 (3:0)	No
13.	May '20	Hunter Azure	Brian Kelleher	1.52	5.77	TKO, R2 (3:40)	No
14.	May '20	Sarah Moras	Sijara Eubanks	4.25	0.77	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	May '20	Anthony Smith	Glover Teixeira	1.57	5.3	TKO, R5 (1:4)	No
16.	May '20	Michelle Waterson	Carla Esparza	2.31	0.85	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	May '20	Fabricio Werdum	Aleksei Oleinik	1.33	9.1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	May '20	Dominick Cruz	Henry Cejudo	2.82	1.1	TKO, R2 (4:58)	No
19.	May '20	Tony Ferguson	Justin Gaethje	1.54	2.78	TKO, R5 (3:39)	No
20.	Mar '20	Damir Hadzovic	Renato Moicano	4.00	0.33	Sub, R1 (0:44)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Michael Scott: Progress Chart

Chart

Betting Favorites vs Underdogs
In Depth UFC Fight Stats
List of MMA Bookmakers
Best MMA Tipsters
Next UFC Event