MMA Handicapper Stats: Train The great |
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Train The great: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
29th Jan '22 |
Bellator 273 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
|
22nd Jan '22 |
UFC 270 |
30 |
-24.8 |
-83% |
-4.3 / 9.5 (-46%) |
-20.5 / 20.5 (-100%) |
|
18th Dec '21 |
UFC FN |
12.5 |
1.5 |
12% |
6.0 / 8 (74%) |
|
-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) |
13th Nov '21 |
UFC FN |
12 |
-9.0 |
-75% |
-8.5 / 11.5 (-74%) |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
|
6th Nov '21 |
UFC 268 |
36 |
5.3 |
15% |
10.2 / 15.5 (66%) |
0.6 / 7.5 (8%) |
-5.5 / 13 (-42%) |
30th Oct '21 |
UFC 267 |
11 |
9.3 |
85% |
4.5 / 7.5 (60%) |
4.8 / 3.5 (137%) |
|
23rd Oct '21 |
UFC FN |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
|
|
4th Sep '21 |
UFC FN |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
|
|
21st Aug '21 |
UFC FN |
18.4 |
5.7 |
31% |
5.7 / 18.4 (31%) |
|
|
7th Aug '21 |
UFC 265 |
19 |
-1.6 |
-8% |
-1.6 / 19 (-8%) |
|
|
10th Jul '21 |
UFC 264 |
6 |
-2.4 |
-40% |
-2.4 / 6 (-40%) |
|
|
12th Jun '21 |
UFC 263 |
7 |
-1.5 |
-21% |
0.5 / 5 (10%) |
|
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
5th Jun '21 |
UFC FN |
10.5 |
1.9 |
18% |
0.4 / 8.5 (5%) |
|
1.4 / 2 (72%) |
22nd May '21 |
UFC FN |
11 |
5.5 |
50% |
5.5 / 11 (50%) |
|
|
15th May '21 |
UFC 262 |
7.5 |
-0.1 |
-2% |
-0.1 / 7.5 (-2%) |
|
|
25th Jan '20 |
UFC Fight Night 166 |
3 |
1.2 |
40% |
1.2 / 3 (40%) |
|
|
Winning Events: 7 (44%) Losing Events: 9 (56%)
Average Staked Per Event: 11.87 units Most Staked On One Event: 36.00 units Best Event: 9.31 units Worst Event: -24.84 units Average Event: -0.94 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 14.66 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -25.84 |
Train The great: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2022 |
31 |
-25.8 |
-83% |
-5.3 / 10.5 (-51%) |
|
|
/ 2 (0%) |
-12.92 |
2021 |
155.9 |
9.6 |
6% |
15.2 / 122.9 (12%) |
|
-10.6 / 21.5 (-49%) |
6 / 7 (46%) |
0.74 |
2020 |
3 |
1.2 |
40% |
1.2 / 3 (40%) |
|
|
1 / 0 (100%) |
1.20 |
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Train The great: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Train The great: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
188.9 |
-14.1 |
-7% |
12.1 / 135.4 (9%) |
-15.6 / 32 (-49%) |
-10.6 / 21.5 (-49%) |
Bellator |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
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|
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Train The great: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
8 (15%) |
8 |
100 % |
27.00 |
11.79 |
1.47 |
44% |
Slight Favorites |
22 (42%) |
11 |
50 % |
59.90 |
-8.53 |
-0.39 |
-14% |
Slight Underdogs |
17 (33%) |
9 |
53 % |
41.50 |
12.83 |
0.75 |
31% |
Big Underdogs |
5 (10%) |
1 |
20 % |
8.00 |
-5.00 |
-1.00 |
-62% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
9 (17%) |
7 |
78 % |
24.50 |
10.48 |
1.16 |
43% |
Co-Main Event |
6 (12%) |
4 |
67 % |
16.00 |
5.84 |
0.97 |
36% |
Position 3-5 |
14 (27%) |
8 |
57 % |
42.00 |
2.69 |
0.19 |
6% |
6+ (Undercard) |
23 (44%) |
10 |
43 % |
53.90 |
-7.91 |
-0.34 |
-15% |
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Train The great: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
6 (12%) |
5 |
83 % |
14.00 |
8.33 |
1.39 |
59% |
Light Heavy |
1 (2%) |
1 |
100 % |
2.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
50% |
Middleweight |
7 (13%) |
2 |
29 % |
17.20 |
-7.58 |
-1.08 |
-44% |
Welterweight |
5 (10%) |
|
0 % |
16.50 |
-16.50 |
-3.30 |
-100% |
Lightweight |
11 (21%) |
7 |
64 % |
30.00 |
6.19 |
0.56 |
21% |
Featherweight |
6 (12%) |
5 |
83 % |
17.20 |
7.98 |
1.33 |
46% |
Bantamweight |
5 (10%) |
3 |
60 % |
13.00 |
5.10 |
1.02 |
39% |
Flyweight |
2 (4%) |
1 |
50 % |
4.00 |
1.50 |
0.75 |
37% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
9 (17%) |
5 |
56 % |
22.50 |
5.08 |
0.56 |
23% |
Featherweight |
1 (2%) |
1 |
100 % |
2.00 |
2.50 |
2.50 |
125% |
Flyweight |
4 (8%) |
1 |
25 % |
8.50 |
-3.34 |
-0.84 |
-39% |
Strawweight |
4 (8%) |
3 |
75 % |
12.00 |
5.92 |
1.48 |
49% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
6 (86%) |
3 |
50 % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
1 (14%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
7 |
3 |
43 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
4 (24%) |
2 |
50 % |
50-65% |
4 (24%) |
3 |
75 % |
35-50% |
2 (12%) |
1 |
50 % |
<35% chance |
7 (41%) |
1 |
14 % |
|
17 |
7 |
41 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Train The great's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
25th Jan |
UFC Fight Night 166 |
3 |
1.2 |
40% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,012.00 |
15th May |
UFC 262 |
7.5 |
-0.1 |
-2% |
|
$10.12 |
$1,012.00 |
$1,010.48 |
22nd May |
UFC FN |
11 |
5.5 |
50% |
|
$10.10 |
$1,010.48 |
$1,066.06 |
5th Jun |
UFC FN |
10.5 |
1.9 |
18% |
|
$10.66 |
$1,066.06 |
$1,085.94 |
12th Jun |
UFC 263 |
7 |
-1.5 |
-21% |
|
$10.86 |
$1,085.94 |
$1,069.65 |
10th Jul |
UFC 264 |
6 |
-2.4 |
-40% |
|
$10.70 |
$1,069.65 |
$1,043.98 |
7th Aug |
UFC 265 |
19 |
-1.6 |
-8% |
|
$10.44 |
$1,043.98 |
$1,027.69 |
21st Aug |
UFC FN |
18.4 |
5.7 |
31% |
|
$10.28 |
$1,027.69 |
$1,086.41 |
4th Sep |
UFC FN |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.86 |
$1,086.41 |
$1,053.82 |
23rd Oct |
UFC FN |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.54 |
$1,053.82 |
$1,032.75 |
30th Oct |
UFC 267 |
11 |
9.3 |
85% |
|
$10.33 |
$1,032.75 |
$1,128.84 |
6th Nov |
UFC 268 |
36 |
5.3 |
15% |
|
$11.29 |
$1,128.84 |
$1,189.24 |
13th Nov |
UFC FN |
12 |
-9.0 |
-75% |
|
$11.89 |
$1,189.24 |
$1,082.21 |
18th Dec |
UFC FN |
12.5 |
1.5 |
12% |
|
$10.82 |
$1,082.21 |
$1,097.90 |
22nd Jan |
UFC 270 |
30 |
-24.8 |
-83% |
|
$10.98 |
$1,097.90 |
$825.18 |
29th Jan |
Bellator 273 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$8.25 |
$825.18 |
$816.93 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -18.31% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Train The great: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Jan '22 |
Vanessa Demopoulos |
Silvana Gomez Juarez |
1.72 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (2:25) |
|
|
2. |
Dec '21 |
Mateusz Gamrot |
Carlos Diego Ferreira |
1.53 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (3:26) |
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|
3. |
Dec '21 |
Derrick Lewis |
Chris Daukaus |
2.10 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (3:36) |
|
|
4. |
Nov '21 |
Joel Alvarez |
Thiago Moises |
3.00 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (3:1) |
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|
5. |
Nov '21 |
Marlon Vera |
Frankie Edgar |
1.63 |
4 |
TKO, R3 (3:50) |
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6. |
Nov '21 |
Rose Namajunas |
Weili Zhang |
2.00 |
4 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
7. |
Nov '21 |
Shane Burgos |
Billy Quarantillo |
1.50 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
8. |
Nov '21 |
Justin Gaethje |
Michael Chandler |
1.50 |
3.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
9. |
Oct '21 |
Amanda Ribas |
Virna Jandiroba |
1.62 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
10. |
Oct '21 |
Zubaira Tukhugov |
Ricardo Ramos |
1.58 |
3.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
11. |
Aug '21 |
Ignacio Bahamondes |
Roosevelt Roberts |
2.25 |
3 |
TKO, R3 (4:55) |
|
|
12. |
Aug '21 |
Ramiz Brahimaj |
Sasha Palatnikov |
1.72 |
2.7 |
Sub, R1 (2:33) |
|
|
13. |
Aug '21 |
William Knight |
Fabio Cherant |
1.50 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (3:58) |
|
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14. |
Aug '21 |
Mark O. Madsen |
Clay Guida |
1.58 |
3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
15. |
Aug '21 |
Jared Cannonier |
Kelvin Gastelum |
1.66 |
3 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
16. |
Aug '21 |
Tecia Torres |
Angela Hill |
1.72 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
17. |
Aug '21 |
Jose Aldo |
Pedro Munhoz |
1.80 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
18. |
Aug '21 |
Rafael Fiziev |
Bobby Green |
1.30 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
19. |
Aug '21 |
Ciryl Gane |
Derrick Lewis |
1.30 |
4 |
TKO, R3 (4:11) |
|
|
20. |
Jul '21 |
Dustin Poirier |
Conor McGregor |
1.80 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (5:0) |
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Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Jan '22 |
Darrion Caldwell |
Enrique Barzola |
2.10 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (3:1) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Jan '22 |
Genaro Valdez |
Matt Frevola |
2.70 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (3:15) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Jan '22 |
Trevin Giles |
Michael Morales |
2.10 |
3.5 |
TKO, R1 (4:6) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Nov '21 |
Marc Diakiese |
Rafael Alves |
1.61 |
3.5 |
Sub, R1 (1:48) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Nov '21 |
Cynthia Calvillo |
Andrea Lee |
1.72 |
3.5 |
TKO, R2 (5:0) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Nov '21 |
Miguel Baeza |
Kalinn Williams |
1.72 |
3.5 |
TKO, R3 (1:2) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Oct '21 |
Paulo Costa |
Marvin Vettori |
2.00 |
2 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Sep '21 |
Ji Yeon Kim |
Molly McCann |
1.90 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Sep '21 |
Dalcha Lungiambula |
Marc-Andre Barriault |
2.40 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Sep '21 |
Sergey Spivak |
Tom Aspinall |
3.00 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (2:30) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Aug '21 |
Luis Saldana |
Austin Lingo |
1.72 |
2.7 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Aug '21 |
Brandon Royval |
Alexandre Pantoja |
2.50 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (1:46) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Aug '21 |
Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
Jessica Penne |
1.72 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (4:32) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Aug '21 |
Casey Kenney |
Yadong Song |
1.80 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Aug '21 |
Michael Chiesa |
Vicente Luque |
2.25 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (3:25) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Jul '21 |
Stephen Thompson |
Gilbert Burns |
1.58 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Jun '21 |
Luigi Vendramini |
Fares Ziam |
2.10 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Jun '21 |
Tabatha Ricci |
Manon Fiorot |
5.00 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (3:0) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Jun '21 |
Miguel Baeza |
Santiago Ponzinibbio |
58.14 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
20. |
May '21 |
Claudio Silva |
Court McGee |
1.72 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Train The great: Progress Chart |
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