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Total MMA Handicappers: 3410
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 1297

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: The Poison Apple

The Poison Apple (benebox)


MMA MHandicapper - The Poison Apple

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 42 (51%) Right 26 (53%) Right 16 (48%) Right 0 (nan%)
Wrong 40 (49%) Wrong 23 (47%) Wrong 17 (52%) Wrong 0 (nan%)
Avg Odds 2.34 Avg Odds 2.00 Avg Odds 3.11 Avg Odds nan
Units Bet 407.8 Units Bet 358.0 Units Bet 49.8 Units Bet 0.0
Avg Bet 4.97 Avg Bet 7.31 Avg Bet 1.51 Avg Bet nan
Units Profit 70.98 Units Profit 44.55 Units Profit 26.43 Units Profit 0.00
ROI % 17% ROI % 12% ROI % 53% ROI % nan%
View Handicapper's Profile

The Poison Apple : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
22nd May '21 UFC FN 11 7.3 67% 7.3 / 11 (67%)
24th Apr '21 UFC 261 11 19.8 180% 19.8 / 11 (180%)
17th Apr '21 UFC FN 11 -11.0 -100% -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
10th Apr '21 UFC FN 11 3.7 33% 3.7 / 11 (33%)
14th Feb '21 UFC 258 22 -5.6 -26% -5.6 / 22 (-26%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 11 14.3 130% 14.3 / 11 (130%)
19th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 17 55 22.8 42% 22.8 / 55 (42%)
29th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 15 22.2 -2.0 -9% -1.8 / 22 (-8%) -0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)
21st Nov '20 UFC 255 58 15.3 26% 7.8 / 44 (18%) 7.5 / 14 (53%)
12th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 184 11 -11.0 -100% -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
29th Aug '20 KSW 54 11 9.5 86% 9.5 / 11 (86%)
22nd Aug '20 UFC Vegas 7 22 28.6 130% 28.6 / 22 (130%)
15th Aug '20 UFC 252 54 -18.6 -34% -18.6 / 54 (-34%)
8th Aug '20 UFC Vegas 6 22 -0.5 -2% -0.5 / 22 (-2%)
1st Aug '20 UFC Vegas 5 10 -0.7 -7% -0.7 / 10 (-7%)
25th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 3 15 -8.3 -56% -12.1 / 14 (-86%) 3.7 / 1 (375%)
25th Jul '20 Bellator 242 1 2.0 200% 2.0 / 1 (200%)
18th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 2 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
15th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 1 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
11th Jul '20 UFC 251 4.23 1.1 25% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 3.1 / 2.23 (137%)
11th Jul '20 KSW 53 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
27th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 175 1 1.0 100% 1.0 / 1 (100%)
20th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 174 1.25 -1.3 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
13th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 173 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
6th Jun '20 UFC 250 3.3 2.5 76% 1.8 / 2 (91%) 0.7 / 1.3 (54%)
30th May '20 UFC Fight Night 172 1.1 2.7 243% 0.5 / 0.5 (103%) 2.2 / 0.6 (360%)
16th May '20 UFC Fight Night 171 5.3 2.1 40% 1.5 / 4.5 (33%) 0.6 / 0.8 (75%)
14th May '20 UFC Fight Night 170 2 -2.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th May '20 UFC 249 2.9 0.7 24% 1.6 / 2 (80%) -0.9 / 0.9 (-100%)
14th Mar '20 UFC Fight Night 169 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
8th Mar '20 UFC 248 1 4.0 400% 4.0 / 1 (400%)
15th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 167 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
9th Feb '20 UFC 247 5.5 3.3 60% 3.3 / 5.5 (60%)
18th Jan '20 UFC 246 10 3.5 35% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 4.5 / 9 (50%)


Winning Events: 18 (53%)
Losing Events: 16 (47%)

Average Staked Per Event: 11.99 units
Most Staked On One Event: 58.00 units
Best Event: 28.60 units
Worst Event: -18.60 units
Average Event: 2.09 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 38.06
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -28.17

The Poison Apple : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 77 28.5 37% 28.5 / 77 (37%) 0.0 / 0 (nan%) 4 / 2 (67%) 4.74
2020 330.78 42.5 13% 16.1 / 281 (6%) 26.4 / 49.78 (53%) 14 / 14 (50%) 1.52

The Poison Apple : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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The Poison Apple : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 391.78 63.5 16% 37.1 / 342 (11%) 26.4 / 49.78 (53%)
Bellator 1 2.0 200% 2.0 / 1 (200%)
Other 15 5.5 36% 5.5 / 15 (36%)

The Poison Apple : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 9 (18%) 6 67 % 99.00 -5.27 -0.59 -5%
Slight Favorites 13 (27%) 10 77 % 97.00 53.10 4.08 55%
Slight Underdogs 18 (37%) 9 50 % 120.00 35.72 1.98 30%
Big Underdogs 9 (18%) 1 11 % 42.00 -39.00 -4.33 -93%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 11 (22%) 6 55 % 73.00 10.74 0.98 15%
Co-Main Event 7 (14%) 4 57 % 48.50 23.12 3.30 48%
Position 3-5 11 (22%) 4 36 % 82.00 -21.17 -1.92 -26%
6+ (Undercard) 20 (41%) 12 60 % 154.50 31.85 1.59 21%

The Poison Apple : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 6 (12%) 4 67 % 35.00 -7.98 -1.33 -23%
Light Heavy 2 (4%) 1 50 % 13.00 7.17 3.58 55%
Middleweight 8 (16%) 8 100 % 69.00 38.37 4.80 56%
Welterweight 11 (22%) 7 64 % 93.00 36.86 3.35 40%
Lightweight 8 (16%) 0 % 50.00 -50.00 -6.25 -100%
Featherweight 5 (10%) 1 20 % 8.00 -5.00 -1.00 -62%
Bantamweight 3 (6%) 1 33 % 33.00 -14.67 -4.89 -44%
               
Women's Fights 6 (12%) 4 67 % 57.00 39.80 6.63 70%
Bantamweight 1 (2%) 1 100 % 11.00 14.30 14.30 130%
Flyweight 1 (2%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
Strawweight 4 (8%) 3 75 % 44.00 27.50 6.88 63%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
0 0 nan %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
50-65% 6 (18%) 4 67 %
35-50% 8 (24%) 5 63 %
<35% chance 19 (58%) 7 37 %
33 16 48 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (6%) 2 100 % 1.98 2.00Pick was correct 1.95Pick was correct 2.0 (98%)
Goes to Decision 3 (9%) 3 100 % 2.16 2.50Pick was correct 1.75Pick was correct 3.6 (122%)
X Wins by KO 1 (3%) 1 100 % 1.57 1.57Pick was correct 1.57Pick was correct 0.6 (57%)
X Wins by Sub 1 (3%) 0 0 % 8.50 8.50Pick was incorrect 8.50Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 23 (70%) 8 35 % 3.79 13.00Pick was incorrect 1.86Pick was incorrect 8.2 (36%)
X Wins Inside Distance 1 (3%) 1 100 % 2.00 2.00Pick was correct 2.00Pick was correct 1.0 (100%)
X Wins in Round X 1 (3%) 0 0 % 2.86 2.86Pick was incorrect 2.86Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Others 1 (3%) 1 100 % 1.87 1.87Pick was correct 1.87Pick was correct 0.9 (87%)
33 16 48 % 3.11     14.3 (43%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail The Poison Apple 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
18th Jan UFC 246 10 3.5 35% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,034.66
9th Feb UFC 247 5.5 3.3 60% $10.35 $1,034.66 $1,068.60
15th Feb UFC Fight Night 167 0.5 -0.5 -100% $10.69 $1,068.60 $1,063.25
8th Mar UFC 248 1 4.0 400% $10.63 $1,063.25 $1,105.78
14th Mar UFC Fight Night 169 2 -2.0 -100% $11.06 $1,105.78 $1,083.67
10th May UFC 249 2.9 0.7 24% $10.84 $1,083.67 $1,091.25
14th May UFC Fight Night 170 2 -2.0 -100% $10.91 $1,091.25 $1,069.43
16th May UFC Fight Night 171 5.3 2.1 40% $10.69 $1,069.43 $1,091.89
30th May UFC Fight Night 172 1.1 2.7 243% $10.92 $1,091.89 $1,121.09
6th Jun UFC 250 3.3 2.5 76% $11.21 $1,121.09 $1,149.35
13th Jun UFC Fight Night 173 2 -2.0 -100% $11.49 $1,149.35 $1,126.36
20th Jun UFC Fight Night 174 1.25 -1.3 -100% $11.26 $1,126.36 $1,112.28
27th Jun UFC Fight Night 175 1 1.0 100% $11.12 $1,112.28 $1,123.40
11th Jul KSW 53 4 -4.0 -100% $11.23 $1,123.40 $1,078.47
11th Jul UFC 251 4.23 1.1 25% $10.78 $1,078.47 $1,089.79
15th Jul UFC Fight Island 1 1.5 -1.5 -100% $10.90 $1,089.79 $1,073.44
18th Jul UFC Fight Island 2 2 -2.0 -100% $10.73 $1,073.44 $1,051.97
25th Jul Bellator 242 1 2.0 200% $10.52 $1,051.97 $1,073.01
25th Jul UFC Fight Island 3 15 -8.3 -56% $10.73 $1,073.01 $983.51
1st Aug UFC Vegas 5 10 -0.7 -7% $9.84 $983.51 $976.63
8th Aug UFC Vegas 6 22 -0.5 -2% $9.77 $976.63 $971.51
15th Aug UFC 252 54 -18.6 -34% $9.72 $971.51 $790.81
22nd Aug UFC Vegas 7 22 28.6 130% $7.91 $790.81 $1,016.98
29th Aug KSW 54 11 9.5 86% $5 $10.17 $1,016.98 $1,108.19
12th Sep UFC Fight Night 184 11 -11.0 -100% $11.08 $1,108.19 $986.29
21st Nov UFC 255 58 15.3 26% $9.86 $986.29 $1,136.96
29th Nov UFC Vegas 15 22.2 -2.0 -9% $11.37 $1,136.96 $1,113.84
19th Dec UFC Vegas 17 55 22.8 42% $11.14 $1,113.84 $1,368.17
16th Jan UFC FN 11 14.3 130% $13.68 $1,368.17 $1,563.82
14th Feb UFC 258 22 -5.6 -26% $15.64 $1,563.82 $1,475.71
10th Apr UFC FN 11 3.7 33% $14.76 $1,475.71 $1,529.82
17th Apr UFC FN 11 -11.0 -100% $15.30 $1,529.82 $1,361.54
24th Apr UFC 261 11 19.8 180% $13.62 $1,361.54 $1,631.12
22nd May UFC FN 11 7.3 67% $16.31 $1,631.12 $1,750.74


ROI % from starting bank balance: 75.07% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

The Poison Apple : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. May '21 Jack Hermansson Edmen Shahbazyan 1.67 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '21 Rose Namajunas Weili Zhang 2.80 11 TKO, R1 (1:18) MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '21 Marvin Vettori Kevin Holland 1.33 11 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '21 Kelvin Gastelum Ian Heinisch 1.49 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '21 Joselyne Edwards Yanan Wu 2.30 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '20 Anthony Pettis Alex Morono 1.50 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '20 Michel Pereira Kalinn Williams 1.91 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '20 Jose Aldo Marlon Vera 1.67 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '20 Stephen Thompson Geoff Neal 2.00 11 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '20 Anthony Smith Devin Clark 1.83 11 Sub, R1 (2:34) MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '20 Joaquin Buckley Jordan Wright 1.40 11 TKO, R2 (0:18) MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '20 Kyle Daukaus Dustin Stoltzfus 1.40 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '20 Alan Jouban Jared Gooden 1.91 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Aug '20 Paid Pick Kacper Koziorzebski Adam Niedzwiedz 1.86 11 TKO, R2 (2:27) MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '20 Amanda Lemos Mizuki Inoue 2.30 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '20 Matt Semelsberger Carlton Minus 2.30 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Aug '20 Virna Jandiroba Felice Herrig 1.40 11 Sub, R1 (1:44) MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '20 Stipe Miocic Daniel Cormier 2.00 10 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '20 Chris Weidman Omari Akhmedov 1.95 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '20 Robert Whittaker Darren Till 1.91 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Apr '21 Alex Munoz Luis Pena 2.31 11 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '21 Gilbert Burns Kamaru Usman 3.58 11 TKO, R3 (0:34) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '20 Marlon Moraes Rob Font 1.67 11 TKO, R1 (3:47) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '20 Kai Kamaka Jonathan Pearce 1.36 11 TKO, R2 (4:28) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '20 Louis Cosce Sasha Palatnikov 1.33 11 TKO, R3 (2:47) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Sep '20 Khama Worthy Ottman Azaitar 2.05 11 TKO, R1 (1:33) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '20 Ashley Yoder Livia Renata Souza 2.40 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '20 Jim Miller Vinc Pichel 2.20 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '20 John Dodson Merab Dvalishvili 3.10 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '20 Aleksei Oleinik Derrick Lewis 3.30 11 TKO, R2 (0:21) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '20 Mike Grundy Movsar Evloev 2.90 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '20 Alexander Gustafsson Fabricio Werdum 1.36 11 Sub, R1 (2:30) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '20 Dan Ige Calvin Kattar 3.60 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '20 Norman Parke Mateusz Gamrot 2.90 2 TKO, R3 (3:2) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '20 Marcin Wrzosek Borys Mankowski 2.70 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '20 Nad Narimani Grant Dawson 3.40 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '20 Volkan Oezdemir Jiri Prochazka 1.74 2 TKO, R2 (0:49) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jun '20 Lyman Good Belal Muhammad 2.30 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
19. Jun '20 Jessica Eye Cynthia Calvillo 2.00 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
20. May '20 Edson Barboza Dan Ige 1.83 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

The Poison Apple : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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