|
MMA Handicapper Stats: The Poison Apple |
|
The Poison Apple : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
21st May '22 |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira |
39 |
-33.0 |
-85% |
-33.0 / 33 (-100%) |
0.0 / 6 (0%) |
|
9th Oct '21 |
UFC FN |
5.13 |
-5.1 |
-100% |
|
-5.1 / 5.13 (-100%) |
|
2nd Oct '21 |
UFC FN |
49 |
-7.8 |
-16% |
6.2 / 33 (19%) |
-14.0 / 16 (-88%) |
|
25th Sep '21 |
UFC 266 |
11 |
-11.0 |
-100% |
-11.0 / 11 (-100%) |
|
|
4th Sep '21 |
UFC FN |
11 |
-11.0 |
-100% |
-11.0 / 11 (-100%) |
|
|
28th Aug '21 |
UFC FN |
22 |
-4.7 |
-21% |
-4.7 / 22 (-21%) |
|
|
21st Aug '21 |
UFC FN |
11 |
-11.0 |
-100% |
-11.0 / 11 (-100%) |
|
|
7th Aug '21 |
UFC 265 |
22 |
-2.5 |
-12% |
-2.5 / 22 (-12%) |
|
|
10th Jul '21 |
UFC 264 |
11 |
7.1 |
65% |
7.1 / 11 (65%) |
|
|
26th Jun '21 |
UFC FN |
11 |
9.2 |
83% |
9.2 / 11 (83%) |
|
|
22nd May '21 |
UFC FN |
11 |
7.3 |
67% |
7.3 / 11 (67%) |
|
|
24th Apr '21 |
UFC 261 |
11 |
19.8 |
180% |
19.8 / 11 (180%) |
|
|
17th Apr '21 |
UFC FN |
11 |
-11.0 |
-100% |
-11.0 / 11 (-100%) |
|
|
10th Apr '21 |
UFC FN |
11 |
3.7 |
33% |
3.7 / 11 (33%) |
|
|
13th Feb '21 |
UFC 258 |
22 |
-5.6 |
-26% |
-5.6 / 22 (-26%) |
|
|
16th Jan '21 |
UFC FN |
11 |
14.3 |
130% |
14.3 / 11 (130%) |
|
|
19th Dec '20 |
UFC Vegas 17 |
55 |
22.8 |
42% |
22.8 / 55 (42%) |
|
|
29th Nov '20 |
UFC Vegas 15 |
22.2 |
-2.0 |
-9% |
-1.8 / 22 (-8%) |
-0.2 / 0.2 (-100%) |
|
21st Nov '20 |
UFC 255 |
58 |
15.3 |
26% |
7.8 / 44 (18%) |
7.5 / 14 (53%) |
|
12th Sep '20 |
UFC Fight Night 184 |
11 |
-11.0 |
-100% |
-11.0 / 11 (-100%) |
|
|
29th Aug '20 |
KSW 54 |
11 |
9.5 |
86% |
9.5 / 11 (86%) |
|
|
22nd Aug '20 |
UFC Vegas 7 |
22 |
28.6 |
130% |
28.6 / 22 (130%) |
|
|
15th Aug '20 |
UFC 252 |
54 |
-18.6 |
-34% |
-18.6 / 54 (-34%) |
|
|
8th Aug '20 |
UFC Vegas 6 |
22 |
-0.5 |
-2% |
-0.5 / 22 (-2%) |
|
|
1st Aug '20 |
UFC Vegas 5 |
10 |
-0.7 |
-7% |
|
-0.7 / 10 (-7%) |
|
25th Jul '20 |
UFC Fight Island 3 |
15 |
-8.3 |
-56% |
-12.1 / 14 (-86%) |
3.7 / 1 (375%) |
|
25th Jul '20 |
Bellator 242 |
1 |
2.0 |
200% |
2.0 / 1 (200%) |
|
|
18th Jul '20 |
UFC Fight Island 2 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
|
|
15th Jul '20 |
UFC Fight Island 1 |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
|
11th Jul '20 |
UFC 251 |
4.23 |
1.1 |
25% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
3.1 / 2.23 (137%) |
|
11th Jul '20 |
KSW 53 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
|
|
27th Jun '20 |
UFC Fight Night 175 |
1 |
1.0 |
100% |
|
1.0 / 1 (100%) |
|
20th Jun '20 |
UFC Fight Night 174 |
1.25 |
-1.3 |
-100% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) |
|
13th Jun '20 |
UFC Fight Night 173 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
|
|
6th Jun '20 |
UFC 250 |
3.3 |
2.5 |
76% |
1.8 / 2 (91%) |
0.7 / 1.3 (54%) |
|
30th May '20 |
UFC Fight Night 172 |
1.1 |
2.7 |
243% |
0.5 / 0.5 (103%) |
2.2 / 0.6 (360%) |
|
16th May '20 |
UFC Fight Night 171 |
5.3 |
2.1 |
40% |
1.5 / 4.5 (33%) |
0.6 / 0.8 (75%) |
|
14th May '20 |
UFC Fight Night 170 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
10th May '20 |
UFC 249 |
2.9 |
0.7 |
24% |
1.6 / 2 (80%) |
-0.9 / 0.9 (-100%) |
|
14th Mar '20 |
UFC Fight Night 169 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
|
|
8th Mar '20 |
UFC 248 |
1 |
4.0 |
400% |
|
4.0 / 1 (400%) |
|
15th Feb '20 |
UFC Fight Night 167 |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
|
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
|
9th Feb '20 |
UFC 247 |
5.5 |
3.3 |
60% |
|
3.3 / 5.5 (60%) |
|
18th Jan '20 |
UFC 246 |
10 |
3.5 |
35% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
4.5 / 9 (50%) |
|
Winning Events: 20 (45%) Losing Events: 24 (55%)
Average Staked Per Event: 13.63 units Most Staked On One Event: 58.00 units Best Event: 28.60 units Worst Event: -33.00 units Average Event: 0.02 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 43.40 Max Losing Streak: Events: 8, Units: -86.15 |
The Poison Apple : Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2022 |
39 |
-33.0 |
-85% |
-33.0 / 33 (-100%) |
0.0 / 6 (0%) |
|
/ 1 (0%) |
-33.00 |
2021 |
230.13 |
-8.4 |
-4% |
10.7 / 209 (5%) |
-19.1 / 21.13 (-91%) |
|
6 / 9 (40%) |
-0.56 |
2020 |
330.78 |
42.5 |
13% |
16.1 / 281 (6%) |
26.4 / 49.78 (53%) |
|
14 / 14 (50%) |
1.52 |
|
The Poison Apple : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
The Poison Apple : Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
583.91 |
-6.4 |
-1% |
-13.7 / 507 (-3%) |
7.3 / 76.91 (9%) |
|
Bellator |
1 |
2.0 |
200% |
2.0 / 1 (200%) |
|
|
Other |
15 |
5.5 |
36% |
5.5 / 15 (36%) |
|
|
|
The Poison Apple : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
10 (16%) |
6 |
60 % |
110.00 |
-16.27 |
-1.63 |
-15% |
Slight Favorites |
25 (39%) |
16 |
64 % |
229.00 |
35.34 |
1.41 |
15% |
Slight Underdogs |
20 (31%) |
9 |
45 % |
142.00 |
13.72 |
0.69 |
10% |
Big Underdogs |
9 (14%) |
1 |
11 % |
42.00 |
-39.00 |
-4.33 |
-93% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
15 (23%) |
7 |
47 % |
117.00 |
-14.92 |
-0.99 |
-13% |
Co-Main Event |
8 (13%) |
5 |
63 % |
59.50 |
31.59 |
3.95 |
53% |
Position 3-5 |
13 (20%) |
4 |
31 % |
104.00 |
-43.17 |
-3.32 |
-42% |
6+ (Undercard) |
28 (44%) |
16 |
57 % |
242.50 |
20.30 |
0.73 |
8% |
|
The Poison Apple : Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
6 (9%) |
4 |
67 % |
35.00 |
-7.98 |
-1.33 |
-23% |
Light Heavy |
5 (8%) |
4 |
80 % |
46.00 |
29.95 |
5.99 |
65% |
Middleweight |
10 (16%) |
8 |
80 % |
91.00 |
16.37 |
1.64 |
18% |
Welterweight |
13 (20%) |
8 |
62 % |
115.00 |
32.96 |
2.54 |
29% |
Lightweight |
11 (17%) |
|
0 % |
83.00 |
-83.00 |
-7.55 |
-100% |
Featherweight |
7 (11%) |
1 |
14 % |
30.00 |
-27.00 |
-3.86 |
-90% |
Bantamweight |
4 (6%) |
2 |
50 % |
44.00 |
-6.21 |
-1.55 |
-14% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
8 (13%) |
5 |
63 % |
79.00 |
38.70 |
4.84 |
49% |
Bantamweight |
2 (3%) |
1 |
50 % |
22.00 |
3.30 |
1.65 |
15% |
Flyweight |
2 (3%) |
1 |
50 % |
13.00 |
7.90 |
3.95 |
61% |
Strawweight |
4 (6%) |
3 |
75 % |
44.00 |
27.50 |
6.88 |
63% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
50-65% |
6 (14%) |
4 |
67 % |
35-50% |
12 (28%) |
6 |
50 % |
<35% chance |
25 (58%) |
7 |
28 % |
|
43 |
17 |
40 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail The Poison Apple 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
18th Jan |
UFC 246 |
10 |
3.5 |
35% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,034.66 |
9th Feb |
UFC 247 |
5.5 |
3.3 |
60% |
|
$10.35 |
$1,034.66 |
$1,068.60 |
15th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 167 |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.69 |
$1,068.60 |
$1,063.25 |
8th Mar |
UFC 248 |
1 |
4.0 |
400% |
|
$10.63 |
$1,063.25 |
$1,105.78 |
14th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 169 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.06 |
$1,105.78 |
$1,083.67 |
10th May |
UFC 249 |
2.9 |
0.7 |
24% |
|
$10.84 |
$1,083.67 |
$1,091.25 |
14th May |
UFC Fight Night 170 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.91 |
$1,091.25 |
$1,069.43 |
16th May |
UFC Fight Night 171 |
5.3 |
2.1 |
40% |
|
$10.69 |
$1,069.43 |
$1,091.89 |
30th May |
UFC Fight Night 172 |
1.1 |
2.7 |
243% |
|
$10.92 |
$1,091.89 |
$1,121.09 |
6th Jun |
UFC 250 |
3.3 |
2.5 |
76% |
|
$11.21 |
$1,121.09 |
$1,149.35 |
13th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 173 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.49 |
$1,149.35 |
$1,126.36 |
20th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 174 |
1.25 |
-1.3 |
-100% |
|
$11.26 |
$1,126.36 |
$1,112.28 |
27th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 175 |
1 |
1.0 |
100% |
|
$11.12 |
$1,112.28 |
$1,123.40 |
11th Jul |
KSW 53 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.23 |
$1,123.40 |
$1,078.47 |
11th Jul |
UFC 251 |
4.23 |
1.1 |
25% |
|
$10.78 |
$1,078.47 |
$1,089.79 |
15th Jul |
UFC Fight Island 1 |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.90 |
$1,089.79 |
$1,073.44 |
18th Jul |
UFC Fight Island 2 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.73 |
$1,073.44 |
$1,051.97 |
25th Jul |
Bellator 242 |
1 |
2.0 |
200% |
|
$10.52 |
$1,051.97 |
$1,073.01 |
25th Jul |
UFC Fight Island 3 |
15 |
-8.3 |
-56% |
|
$10.73 |
$1,073.01 |
$983.51 |
1st Aug |
UFC Vegas 5 |
10 |
-0.7 |
-7% |
|
$9.84 |
$983.51 |
$976.63 |
8th Aug |
UFC Vegas 6 |
22 |
-0.5 |
-2% |
|
$9.77 |
$976.63 |
$971.51 |
15th Aug |
UFC 252 |
54 |
-18.6 |
-34% |
|
$9.72 |
$971.51 |
$790.81 |
22nd Aug |
UFC Vegas 7 |
22 |
28.6 |
130% |
|
$7.91 |
$790.81 |
$1,016.98 |
29th Aug |
KSW 54 |
11 |
9.5 |
86% |
$5 |
$10.17 |
$1,016.98 |
$1,108.19 |
12th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 184 |
11 |
-11.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.08 |
$1,108.19 |
$986.29 |
21st Nov |
UFC 255 |
58 |
15.3 |
26% |
|
$9.86 |
$986.29 |
$1,136.96 |
29th Nov |
UFC Vegas 15 |
22.2 |
-2.0 |
-9% |
|
$11.37 |
$1,136.96 |
$1,113.84 |
19th Dec |
UFC Vegas 17 |
55 |
22.8 |
42% |
|
$11.14 |
$1,113.84 |
$1,368.17 |
16th Jan |
UFC FN |
11 |
14.3 |
130% |
|
$13.68 |
$1,368.17 |
$1,563.82 |
13th Feb |
UFC 258 |
22 |
-5.6 |
-26% |
|
$15.64 |
$1,563.82 |
$1,475.71 |
10th Apr |
UFC FN |
11 |
3.7 |
33% |
|
$14.76 |
$1,475.71 |
$1,529.82 |
17th Apr |
UFC FN |
11 |
-11.0 |
-100% |
|
$15.30 |
$1,529.82 |
$1,361.54 |
24th Apr |
UFC 261 |
11 |
19.8 |
180% |
|
$13.62 |
$1,361.54 |
$1,631.12 |
22nd May |
UFC FN |
11 |
7.3 |
67% |
|
$16.31 |
$1,631.12 |
$1,750.74 |
26th Jun |
UFC FN |
11 |
9.2 |
83% |
|
$17.51 |
$1,750.74 |
$1,911.23 |
10th Jul |
UFC 264 |
11 |
7.1 |
65% |
|
$19.11 |
$1,911.23 |
$2,046.87 |
7th Aug |
UFC 265 |
22 |
-2.5 |
-12% |
|
$20.47 |
$2,046.87 |
$1,994.90 |
21st Aug |
UFC FN |
11 |
-11.0 |
-100% |
|
$19.95 |
$1,994.90 |
$1,775.47 |
28th Aug |
UFC FN |
22 |
-4.7 |
-21% |
|
$17.75 |
$1,775.47 |
$1,691.77 |
4th Sep |
UFC FN |
11 |
-11.0 |
-100% |
|
$16.92 |
$1,691.77 |
$1,505.67 |
25th Sep |
UFC 266 |
11 |
-11.0 |
-100% |
|
$15.06 |
$1,505.67 |
$1,340.05 |
2nd Oct |
UFC FN |
49 |
-7.8 |
-16% |
|
$13.40 |
$1,340.05 |
$1,235.97 |
9th Oct |
UFC FN |
5.13 |
-5.1 |
-100% |
|
$12.36 |
$1,235.97 |
$1,172.56 |
21st May |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira |
39 |
-33.0 |
-85% |
|
$11.73 |
$1,172.56 |
$785.62 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -21.44% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
The Poison Apple : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
May '22 |
Holly Holm |
Ketlen Vieira |
1.42 |
11 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
2. |
May '22 |
Eryk Anders |
Jun Yong Park |
2.75 |
11 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
3. |
May '22 |
Felipe Colares |
Chase Hooper |
1.61 |
11 |
TKO, R3 (3:0) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Oct '21 |
Devonte Smith |
Jamie Mullarkey |
1.67 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (2:51) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Sep '21 |
Omar Morales |
Jonathan Pearce |
1.67 |
11 |
Sub, R2 (3:31) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Sep '21 |
Darren Till |
Derek Brunson |
1.67 |
11 |
Sub, R3 (2:13) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Aug '21 |
Edson Barboza |
Giga Chikadze |
1.91 |
11 |
TKO, R3 (1:44) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Aug '21 |
Roosevelt Roberts |
Ignacio Bahamondes |
1.74 |
11 |
TKO, R3 (4:55) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Aug '21 |
Michael Chiesa |
Vicente Luque |
2.10 |
11 |
Sub, R1 (3:25) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Apr '21 |
Alex Munoz |
Luis Pena |
2.31 |
11 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Feb '21 |
Gilbert Burns |
Kamaru Usman |
3.58 |
11 |
TKO, R3 (0:34) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Dec '20 |
Marlon Moraes |
Rob Font |
1.67 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (3:47) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Nov '20 |
Kai Kamaka |
Jonathan Pearce |
1.36 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (4:28) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Nov '20 |
Louis Cosce |
Sasha Palatnikov |
1.33 |
11 |
TKO, R3 (2:47) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Sep '20 |
Khama Worthy |
Ottman Azaitar |
2.05 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (1:33) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Aug '20 |
Ashley Yoder |
Livia Renata Souza |
2.40 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Aug '20 |
Jim Miller |
Vinc Pichel |
2.20 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Aug '20 |
John Dodson |
Merab Dvalishvili |
3.10 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Aug '20 |
Aleksei Oleinik |
Derrick Lewis |
3.30 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (0:21) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Jul '20 |
Mike Grundy |
Movsar Evloev |
2.90 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
The Poison Apple : Progress Chart |
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