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MMA Handicapper Stats: The last Linemover

The last Linemover (linemover)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - The last Linemover

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 62 (72%) Right 51 (73%) Right 2 (100%) Right 9 (64%)
Wrong 24 (28%) Wrong 19 (27%) Wrong 0 (0%) Wrong 5 (36%)
Avg Odds 1.48 Avg Odds 1.42 Avg Odds 1.55 Avg Odds 1.88
Units Bet 656.0 Units Bet 551.0 Units Bet 6.0 Units Bet 99.0
Avg Bet 7.63 Avg Bet 7.87 Avg Bet 3.00 Avg Bet 7.07
Units Profit 66.29 Units Profit 40.85 Units Profit 3.20 Units Profit 22.24
ROI % 10% ROI % 7% ROI % 53% ROI % 22%
View Handicapper's Profile

The last Linemover: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
1st Aug '20 UFC Vegas 5 8 -8.0 -100% -8.0 / 8 (-100%)
25th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 3 36 -2.3 -6% -2.3 / 36 (-6%)
18th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 2 12 6.3 53% 6.3 / 12 (53%)
11th Jul '20 UFC 251 35 -1.9 -5% 3.1 / 30 (10%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
27th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 175 30 -6.3 -21% -0.3 / 24 (-1%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
20th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 174 26 -2.3 -9% -0.3 / 24 (-1%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
13th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 173 18 8.7 48% 6.7 / 14 (48%) 2.0 / 4 (49%)
6th Jun '20 UFC 250 28 -2.4 -9% -6.9 / 17 (-41%) 4.5 / 11 (41%)
30th May '20 UFC Fight Night 172 16 7.5 47% 3.2 / 9 (35%) 4.3 / 7 (62%)
16th May '20 UFC Fight Night 171 18 0.2 1% 6.2 / 12 (51%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
14th May '20 UFC Fight Night 170 20 4.1 20% 4.1 / 20 (20%)
10th May '20 UFC 249 28 14.7 53% 8.0 / 21 (38%) 1.3 / 2 (63%) 5.4 / 5 (109%)
20th Mar '20 Cage Warriors 113 16 2.2 13% 2.2 / 16 (13%)
14th Mar '20 UFC Fight Night 169 35 20.6 59% 9.8 / 22 (45%) 10.8 / 13 (83%)
8th Mar '20 UFC 248 50 14.6 29% 4.7 / 39 (12%) 9.9 / 11 (90%)
29th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 33 3.7 11% 3.7 / 33 (11%)
22nd Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 168 33 25.3 77% 11.8 / 22 (54%) 13.5 / 11 (123%)
15th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 167 66 -19.4 -29% -8.4 / 55 (-15%) -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
9th Feb '20 UFC 247 66 -10.5 -16% -14.3 / 55 (-26%) 3.8 / 11 (34%)
25th Jan '20 UFC Fight Night 166 44 17.5 40% 17.5 / 44 (40%)
18th Jan '20 UFC 246 38 -6.1 -16% -6.1 / 38 (-16%)


Winning Events: 12 (57%)
Losing Events: 9 (43%)

Average Staked Per Event: 31.24 units
Most Staked On One Event: 66.00 units
Best Event: 25.28 units
Worst Event: -19.40 units
Average Event: 3.16 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 9, Units: 92.83
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -29.90

The last Linemover: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2020 656 66.3 10% 40.8 / 551 (7%) 3.2 / 6 (53%) 22.2 / 99 (22%) 12 / 9 (57%) 3.16

The last Linemover: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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The last Linemover: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 640 64.1 10% 38.7 / 535 (7%) 3.2 / 6 (53%) 22.2 / 99 (22%)
Other 16 2.2 13% 2.2 / 16 (13%)

The last Linemover: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 55 (77%) 44 80 % 452.00 52.33 0.95 12%
Slight Favorites 16 (23%) 8 50 % 99.00 -11.48 -0.72 -12%
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 10 (14%) 7 70 % 78.00 1.76 0.18 2%
Co-Main Event 6 (8%) 6 100 % 55.00 16.81 2.80 31%
Position 3-5 20 (28%) 16 80 % 155.00 40.91 2.05 26%
6+ (Undercard) 35 (49%) 23 66 % 263.00 -18.64 -0.53 -7%

The last Linemover: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 6 (8%) 5 83 % 42.00 9.44 1.57 22%
Light Heavy 6 (8%) 4 67 % 54.00 -7.96 -1.33 -15%
Middleweight 6 (8%) 3 50 % 45.00 -2.94 -0.49 -7%
Welterweight 10 (14%) 9 90 % 75.00 17.06 1.71 23%
Lightweight 11 (15%) 8 73 % 77.00 4.63 0.42 6%
Featherweight 9 (13%) 7 78 % 69.00 13.82 1.54 20%
Bantamweight 9 (13%) 6 67 % 64.00 -3.31 -0.37 -5%
Flyweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 11.00 5.00 5.00 45%
               
Women's Fights 13 (18%) 9 69 % 114.00 5.12 0.39 4%
Featherweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 11.00 1.52 1.52 14%
Bantamweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 4.00 1.07 1.07 27%
Flyweight 3 (4%) 1 33 % 33.00 -20.78 -6.93 -63%
Strawweight 8 (11%) 6 75 % 66.00 23.31 2.91 35%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 25 (86%) 22 88 %
Slight Favorites 4 (14%) 2 50 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
29 24 83 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
50-65% 1 (100%) 1 100 %
35-50% 0 (0%) 0 nan %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
1 1 100 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (100%) 1 100 % 1.63 1.63Pick was correct 1.63Pick was correct 0.6 (63%)
1 1 100 % 1.63     0.6 (63%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail The last Linemover's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
18th Jan UFC 246 38 -6.1 -16% $10.00 $1,000.00 $939.19
25th Jan UFC Fight Night 166 44 17.5 40% $9.39 $939.19 $1,103.50
9th Feb UFC 247 66 -10.5 -16% $11.03 $1,103.50 $987.61
15th Feb UFC Fight Night 167 66 -19.4 -29% $9.88 $987.61 $796.03
22nd Feb UFC Fight Night 168 33 25.3 77% $7.96 $796.03 $997.30
29th Feb UFC Fight Night 33 3.7 11% $9.97 $997.30 $1,034.03
8th Mar UFC 248 50 14.6 29% $10.34 $1,034.03 $1,185.44
14th Mar UFC Fight Night 169 35 20.6 59% $11.85 $1,185.44 $1,429.95
20th Mar Cage Warriors 113 16 2.2 13% $14.30 $1,429.95 $1,460.74
10th May UFC 249 28 14.7 53% $14.61 $1,460.74 $1,675.97
14th May UFC Fight Night 170 20 4.1 20% $16.76 $1,675.97 $1,744.43
16th May UFC Fight Night 171 18 0.2 1% $17.44 $1,744.43 $1,747.18
30th May UFC Fight Night 172 16 7.5 47% $17.47 $1,747.18 $1,877.55
6th Jun UFC 250 28 -2.4 -9% $18.78 $1,877.55 $1,832.82
13th Jun UFC Fight Night 173 18 8.7 48% $18.33 $1,832.82 $1,991.88
20th Jun UFC Fight Night 174 26 -2.3 -9% $19.92 $1,991.88 $1,947.01
27th Jun UFC Fight Night 175 30 -6.3 -21% $19.47 $1,947.01 $1,825.21
11th Jul UFC 251 35 -1.9 -5% $18.25 $1,825.21 $1,790.82
18th Jul UFC Fight Island 2 12 6.3 53% $17.91 $1,790.82 $1,904.52
25th Jul UFC Fight Island 3 36 -2.3 -6% $19.05 $1,904.52 $1,860.57
1st Aug UFC Vegas 5 8 -8.0 -100% $18.61 $1,860.57 $1,711.73


ROI % from starting bank balance: 71.17% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

The last Linemover: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jul '20 Ramazan Emeev Niklas Stolze 1.25 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '20 Tanner Boser Raphael Pessoa 1.40 5 TKO, R2 (2:36) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '20 Nathaniel Wood John Castaneda 1.29 7 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '20 Khamzat Chimaev Rhys McKee 1.15 11 TKO, R1 (3:9) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '20 Roman Dolidze Khadis Ibragimov 1.56 5 TKO, R1 (4:15) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '20 Grant Dawson Nad Narimani 1.51 7 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '20 Muslim Salikhov Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 1.80 6 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '20 Rose Namajunas Jessica Andrade 1.53 8 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jun '20 Youssef Zalal Jordan Griffin 1.83 6 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jun '20 Mike Perry Mickey Gall 1.36 6 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jun '20 Dustin Poirier Daniel Hooker 1.52 3 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jun '20 Bobby Green Clay Guida 1.42 7 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jun '20 Curtis Blaydes Alexander Volkov 1.34 3 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jun '20 Andre Fili Charles Jourdain 1.47 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '20 Curtis Blaydes Alexander Volkov 1.40 7 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jun '20 Marvin Vettori Karl Roberson 1.49 9 Sub, R1 (4:17) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '20 Amanda Ribas Paige VanZant 1.26 8 Sub, R1 (2:21) MMA Bookmaker
18. May '20 Casey Kenney Louis Smolka 1.38 3 Sub, R1 (3:3) MMA Bookmaker
19. May '20 Roosevelt Roberts Brok Weaver 1.33 6 Sub, R2 (3:26) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jun '20 Sean O'Malley Eddie Wineland 1.26 8 TKO, R1 (1:54) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Aug '20 Edmen Shahbazyan Derek Brunson 1.37 8 TKO, R3 (0:26) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '20 Marina Alcalde Rodriguez Carla Esparza 1.57 4 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '20 Alexander Gustafsson Fabricio Werdum 1.29 5 Sub, R1 (2:30) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '20 Volkan Oezdemir Jiri Prochazka 1.59 8 TKO, R2 (0:49) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jun '20 Sean Woodson Julian Erosa 1.27 9 Sub, R3 (2:44) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jun '20 Brianna Van Buren Tecia Torres 1.52 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jun '20 Roosevelt Roberts Jim Miller 1.43 5 Sub, R1 (2:25) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jun '20 Cory Sandhagen Aljamain Sterling 1.99 3 Sub, R1 (1:28) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jun '20 Chase Hooper Alex Caceres 1.72 6 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. May '20 Hunter Azure Brian Kelleher 1.59 4 TKO, R2 (3:40) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '20 Darren Stewart Bartosz Fabinski 1.53 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '20 Jamall Emmers Giga Chikadze 1.56 6 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '20 Tom Breese Brendan Allen 1.80 4 TKO, R1 (4:47) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '20 Tim Means Daniel Rodriguez 1.38 11 Sub, R2 (3:37) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '20 Corey Anderson Jan Blachowicz 1.50 11 TKO, R1 (3:8) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '20 Miles Johns Mario Bautista 1.80 11 TKO, R2 (1:41) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '20 Andrea Lee Lauren Murphy 1.30 11 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jan '20 Nasrat Haqparast Drew Dober 1.43 5 TKO, R1 (1:10) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jan '20 Maycee Barber Roxanne Modafferi 1.13 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

The last Linemover: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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