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MMA Handicapper Stats: Kyle Nelson

Kyle Nelson (kancoach1)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Kyle Nelson

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 13 (20%) Right 12 (41%) Right 1 (10%) Right 0 (0%)
Wrong 51 (80%) Wrong 17 (59%) Wrong 9 (90%) Wrong 25 (100%)
Avg Odds 2.64 Avg Odds 1.86 Avg Odds 1.88 Avg Odds 7.63
Units Bet 69.0 Units Bet 33.0 Units Bet 11.0 Units Bet 25.0
Avg Bet 1.08 Avg Bet 1.14 Avg Bet 1.10 Avg Bet 1.00
Units Profit -42.26 Units Profit -7.90 Units Profit -9.35 Units Profit -25.00
ROI % -61% ROI % -24% ROI % -85% ROI % -100%
View Handicapper's Profile

Kyle Nelson: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
15th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 167 11 -9.4 -85% -2.4 / 4 (-59%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
9th Feb '20 UFC 247 9 -6.1 -68% -2.1 / 5 (-42%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
25th Jan '20 UFC Fight Night 166 12 -6.2 -52% 2.8 / 3 (93%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -7.0 / 7 (-100%)
18th Jan '20 UFC 246 9 -3.6 -40% -1.6 / 7 (-23%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
21st Dec '19 UFC Fight Night 165 13.5 -6.6 -49% 0.4 / 6.5 (6%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
15th Dec '19 UFC 245 14.5 -10.4 -71% -5.0 / 7.5 (-67%) -0.4 / 2 (-18%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)


Winning Events: 0 (0%)
Losing Events: 6 (100%)

Average Staked Per Event: 11.50 units
Most Staked On One Event: 14.50 units
Best Event: 0.00 units
Worst Event: -10.35 units
Average Event: -7.04 units

Max Win Streak: Events: , Units: 0.00
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -42.26

Kyle Nelson: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2020 41 -25.3 -62% -3.3 / 19 (-17%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%) -16.0 / 16 (-100%) / 4 (0%) -6.32
2019 28 -17.0 -61% -4.6 / 14 (-33%) -3.4 / 5 (-67%) -9.0 / 9 (-100%) / 2 (0%) -8.48

Kyle Nelson: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Kyle Nelson: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 69 -42.3 -61% -7.9 / 33 (-24%) -9.4 / 11 (-85%) -25.0 / 25 (-100%)

Kyle Nelson: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 3 (10%) 1 33 % 5.50 -2.61 -0.87 -47%
Slight Favorites 17 (59%) 9 53 % 19.00 -1.31 -0.08 -7%
Slight Underdogs 7 (24%) 2 29 % 7.00 -2.48 -0.35 -35%
Big Underdogs 2 (7%) 0 0 % 1.50 -1.50 -0.75 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 3 (10%) 1 33 % 5.00 -1.85 -0.62 -37%
Co-Main Event 3 (10%) 1 33 % 3.50 -1.73 -0.58 -49%
Position 3-5 7 (24%) 3 43 % 8.00 -1.32 -0.19 -16%
6+ (Undercard) 16 (55%) 7 44 % 16.50 -3.00 -0.19 -18%

Kyle Nelson: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 2.00 0.89 0.89 44%
Light Heavy 5 (17%) 2 40 % 6.00 -2.21 -0.44 -37%
Middleweight 1 (3%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Welterweight 1 (3%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Lightweight 2 (7%) 1 50 % 2.00 -0.37 -0.19 -19%
Featherweight 5 (17%) 3 60 % 6.50 0.40 0.08 6%
Bantamweight 6 (21%) 2 33 % 6.00 -2.29 -0.38 -38%
Flyweight 4 (14%) 0 % 4.00 -4.00 -1.00 -100%
               
Women's Fights 4 (14%) 3 75 % 4.50 1.68 0.42 37%
Bantamweight 2 (7%) 2 100 % 2.00 2.27 1.13 113%
Flyweight 1 (3%) 0 % 1.50 -1.50 -1.50 -100%
Strawweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 1.00 0.91 0.91 91%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 93 (69%) 64 69 %
Slight Favorites 31 (23%) 17 55 %
Slight Underdogs 11 (8%) 4 36 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
135 85 63 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 1 (8%) 0 0 %
50-65% 10 (77%) 1 10 %
35-50% 2 (15%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
13 1 8 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Goes to Decision 1 (8%) 0 0 % 1.65 1.65Pick was incorrect 1.65Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision 1 (8%) 0 0 % 1.86 1.86Pick was incorrect 1.86Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 7 (54%) 1 14 % 1.87 2.70Pick was incorrect 1.65Pick was correct -5.4 (-76%)
Others 4 (31%) 0 0 % 1.89 2.45Pick was incorrect 1.50Pick was incorrect -4.0 (-100%)
13 1 8 % 1.86     -11.4 (-87%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Kyle Nelson's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
15th Dec UFC 245 14.5 -10.4 -71% $10.00 $1,000.00 $896.45
21st Dec UFC Fight Night 165 13.5 -6.6 -49% $8.96 $896.45 $837.22
18th Jan UFC 246 9 -3.6 -40% $8.37 $837.22 $807.19
25th Jan UFC Fight Night 166 12 -6.2 -52% $8.07 $807.19 $756.98
9th Feb UFC 247 9 -6.1 -68% $7.57 $756.98 $710.72
15th Feb UFC Fight Night 167 11 -9.4 -85% $7.11 $710.72 $644.09


ROI % from starting bank balance: -35.59% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Kyle Nelson: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Feb '20 Scott Holtzman Jim Miller 1.63 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '20 Derrick Lewis Ilir Latifi 1.44 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jan '20 Jamahal Hill Darko Stosic 1.83 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jan '20 Herbert Burns Nate Landwehr 2.02 1 TKO, R1 (2:43) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '20 Brett Johns Tony Gravely 1.93 1 Sub, R3 (2:53) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '20 Sabina Mazo J.J. Aldrich 1.91 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '20 Holly Holm Raquel Pennington 1.77 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '20 Sodiq Yusuff Andre Fili 1.74 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '19 Da Un Jung Mike Rodriguez 1.96 1 TKO, R1 (1:4) MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '19 Raoni Barcelos Said Nurmagomedov 1.78 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '19 Chan Sung Jung Frankie Edgar 1.57 2 TKO, R1 (3:18) MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '19 Irene Aldana Ketlen Vieira 2.50 1 TKO, R1 (4:51) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Feb '20 Rogerio Bontorin Ray Borg 2.26 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '20 Corey Anderson Jan Blachowicz 1.47 2 TKO, R1 (3:8) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '20 Domingo Pilarte Journey Newson 1.83 1 TKO, R1 (0:38) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '20 Jonathan Martinez Andre Ewell 2.06 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '20 Mirsad Bektic Dan Ige 1.83 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '20 Justin Ledet Aleksa Camur 2.02 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '20 Tim Elliott Askar Askarov 2.20 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '20 Ode Osbourne Brian Kelleher 1.70 1 Sub, R1 (2:49) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '20 Anthony Pettis Carlos Diego Ferreira 2.86 1 Sub, R2 (1:46) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '19 Ryan Benoit Heili Alateng 1.82 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '19 Matt Schnell Alexandre Pantoja 3.05 0.5 TKO, R1 (4:17) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '19 Aleksandar Rakic Volkan Oezdemir 1.63 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '19 Viviane Araujo Jessica Eye 1.53 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '19 Ian Heinisch Omari Akhmedov 1.72 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Dec '19 Kai Kara-France Brandon Moreno 1.62 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Dec '19 Max Holloway Alex Volkanovski 1.54 1.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Dec '19 Colby Covington Kamaru Usman 2.54 1 TKO, R5 (4:10) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Kyle Nelson: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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