MMA Handicapper Stats: Kyle Nelson |
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Kyle Nelson: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
15th Feb '20 |
UFC Fight Night 167 |
11 |
-9.4 |
-85% |
-2.4 / 4 (-59%) |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
9th Feb '20 |
UFC 247 |
9 |
-6.1 |
-68% |
-2.1 / 5 (-42%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
25th Jan '20 |
UFC Fight Night 166 |
12 |
-6.2 |
-52% |
2.8 / 3 (93%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
-7.0 / 7 (-100%) |
18th Jan '20 |
UFC 246 |
9 |
-3.6 |
-40% |
-1.6 / 7 (-23%) |
|
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
21st Dec '19 |
UFC Fight Night 165 |
13.5 |
-6.6 |
-49% |
0.4 / 6.5 (6%) |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
15th Dec '19 |
UFC 245 |
14.5 |
-10.4 |
-71% |
-5.0 / 7.5 (-67%) |
-0.4 / 2 (-18%) |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
Winning Events: 0 (0%) Losing Events: 6 (100%)
Average Staked Per Event: 11.50 units Most Staked On One Event: 14.50 units Best Event: 0.00 units Worst Event: -10.35 units Average Event: -7.04 units
Max Win Streak: Events: , Units: 0.00 Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -42.26 |
Kyle Nelson: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2020 |
41 |
-25.3 |
-62% |
-3.3 / 19 (-17%) |
-6.0 / 6 (-100%) |
-16.0 / 16 (-100%) |
/ 4 (0%) |
-6.32 |
2019 |
28 |
-17.0 |
-61% |
-4.6 / 14 (-33%) |
-3.4 / 5 (-67%) |
-9.0 / 9 (-100%) |
/ 2 (0%) |
-8.48 |
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Kyle Nelson: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Kyle Nelson: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
69 |
-42.3 |
-61% |
-7.9 / 33 (-24%) |
-9.4 / 11 (-85%) |
-25.0 / 25 (-100%) |
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Kyle Nelson: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
3 (10%) |
1 |
33 % |
5.50 |
-2.61 |
-0.87 |
-47% |
Slight Favorites |
17 (59%) |
9 |
53 % |
19.00 |
-1.31 |
-0.08 |
-7% |
Slight Underdogs |
7 (24%) |
2 |
29 % |
7.00 |
-2.48 |
-0.35 |
-35% |
Big Underdogs |
2 (7%) |
0 |
0 % |
1.50 |
-1.50 |
-0.75 |
-100% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
3 (10%) |
1 |
33 % |
5.00 |
-1.85 |
-0.62 |
-37% |
Co-Main Event |
3 (10%) |
1 |
33 % |
3.50 |
-1.73 |
-0.58 |
-49% |
Position 3-5 |
7 (24%) |
3 |
43 % |
8.00 |
-1.32 |
-0.19 |
-16% |
6+ (Undercard) |
16 (55%) |
7 |
44 % |
16.50 |
-3.00 |
-0.19 |
-18% |
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Kyle Nelson: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
1 (3%) |
1 |
100 % |
2.00 |
0.89 |
0.89 |
44% |
Light Heavy |
5 (17%) |
2 |
40 % |
6.00 |
-2.21 |
-0.44 |
-37% |
Middleweight |
1 (3%) |
|
0 % |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
Welterweight |
1 (3%) |
|
0 % |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
Lightweight |
2 (7%) |
1 |
50 % |
2.00 |
-0.37 |
-0.19 |
-19% |
Featherweight |
5 (17%) |
3 |
60 % |
6.50 |
0.40 |
0.08 |
6% |
Bantamweight |
6 (21%) |
2 |
33 % |
6.00 |
-2.29 |
-0.38 |
-38% |
Flyweight |
4 (14%) |
|
0 % |
4.00 |
-4.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
4 (14%) |
3 |
75 % |
4.50 |
1.68 |
0.42 |
37% |
Bantamweight |
2 (7%) |
2 |
100 % |
2.00 |
2.27 |
1.13 |
113% |
Flyweight |
1 (3%) |
|
0 % |
1.50 |
-1.50 |
-1.50 |
-100% |
Strawweight |
1 (3%) |
1 |
100 % |
1.00 |
0.91 |
0.91 |
91% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
93 (69%) |
64 |
69 % |
Slight Favorites |
31 (23%) |
17 |
55 % |
Slight Underdogs |
11 (8%) |
4 |
36 % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
135 |
85 |
63 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
1 (8%) |
0 |
0 % |
50-65% |
10 (77%) |
1 |
10 % |
35-50% |
2 (15%) |
0 |
0 % |
<35% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
13 |
1 |
8 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
Goes to Decision |
1 (8%) |
0 |
0 % |
1.65 |
1.65 |
1.65 |
-1.0 (-100%) |
Does not go to Decision |
1 (8%) |
0 |
0 % |
1.86 |
1.86 |
1.86 |
-1.0 (-100%) |
X Wins by KO |
7 (54%) |
1 |
14 % |
1.87 |
2.70 |
1.65 |
-5.4 (-76%) |
Others |
4 (31%) |
0 |
0 % |
1.89 |
2.45 |
1.50 |
-4.0 (-100%) |
|
13 |
1 |
8 % |
1.86 |
|
|
-11.4 (-87%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Kyle Nelson's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
15th Dec |
UFC 245 |
14.5 |
-10.4 |
-71% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$896.45 |
21st Dec |
UFC Fight Night 165 |
13.5 |
-6.6 |
-49% |
|
$8.96 |
$896.45 |
$837.22 |
18th Jan |
UFC 246 |
9 |
-3.6 |
-40% |
|
$8.37 |
$837.22 |
$807.19 |
25th Jan |
UFC Fight Night 166 |
12 |
-6.2 |
-52% |
|
$8.07 |
$807.19 |
$756.98 |
9th Feb |
UFC 247 |
9 |
-6.1 |
-68% |
|
$7.57 |
$756.98 |
$710.72 |
15th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 167 |
11 |
-9.4 |
-85% |
|
$7.11 |
$710.72 |
$644.09 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -35.59% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Kyle Nelson: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Kyle Nelson: Progress Chart |
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