MMA Handicapper Stats: JB Value |
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JB Value: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
10th Dec '22 |
UFC 282 |
7.5 |
0.5 |
7% |
0.5 / 7.5 (7%) |
|
|
12th Nov '22 |
UFC 281 |
10 |
-1.1 |
-11% |
-1.1 / 10 (-11%) |
|
|
25th Sep '21 |
UFC 266 |
4 |
0.7 |
17% |
0.7 / 4 (17%) |
|
|
28th Aug '21 |
UFC FN |
6.5 |
-2.8 |
-43% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
|
-0.8 / 4.5 (-18%) |
24th Jul '21 |
UFC FN |
8 |
-5.7 |
-71% |
-3.7 / 6 (-62%) |
|
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
17th Jul '21 |
UFC FN |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
|
|
10th Jul '21 |
UFC 264 |
8.2 |
1.2 |
14% |
-0.4 / 6.2 (-6%) |
|
1.6 / 2 (79%) |
17th Jun '21 |
PFL 2021: Week 5 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
|
|
12th Jun '21 |
UFC 263 |
6.5 |
-0.4 |
-6% |
0.6 / 5.5 (11%) |
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
22nd May '21 |
UFC FN |
8 |
1.0 |
12% |
-0.1 / 6 (-2%) |
|
1.1 / 2 (53%) |
15th May '21 |
UFC 262 |
3 |
3.0 |
100% |
3.0 / 3 (100%) |
|
|
8th May '21 |
UFC FN |
5 |
-1.7 |
-35% |
-1.7 / 5 (-35%) |
|
|
24th Apr '21 |
UFC 261 |
6 |
4.1 |
68% |
4.1 / 6 (68%) |
|
|
17th Apr '21 |
UFC FN |
3 |
0.7 |
25% |
0.7 / 3 (25%) |
|
|
28th Mar '21 |
UFC 260 |
9 |
2.9 |
32% |
2.9 / 9 (32%) |
|
|
13th Mar '21 |
UFC Fight Night 187 |
6 |
3.5 |
58% |
3.5 / 6 (58%) |
|
|
6th Mar '21 |
UFC 259 |
8 |
3.6 |
45% |
3.6 / 8 (45%) |
|
|
28th Feb '21 |
UFC Fight Night 186 |
3 |
1.7 |
56% |
1.7 / 3 (56%) |
|
|
13th Feb '21 |
UFC 258 |
2 |
0.8 |
38% |
0.8 / 2 (38%) |
|
|
24th Jan '21 |
UFC 257 |
11 |
-9.2 |
-84% |
-9.2 / 11 (-84%) |
|
|
20th Jan '21 |
UFC on ESPN 20 |
6 |
-3.0 |
-50% |
-3.0 / 6 (-50%) |
|
|
13th Dec '20 |
UFC 256 |
6 |
1.6 |
27% |
1.6 / 6 (27%) |
|
|
6th Dec '20 |
UFC Vegas 16 |
4 |
-0.8 |
-20% |
0.2 / 3 (7%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
21st Nov '20 |
UFC 255 |
6 |
-1.1 |
-19% |
-1.1 / 6 (-19%) |
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|
Winning Events: 13 (54%) Losing Events: 11 (46%)
Average Staked Per Event: 5.95 units Most Staked On One Event: 11.00 units Best Event: 4.11 units Worst Event: -9.20 units Average Event: -0.28 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 17.31 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -12.20 |
JB Value: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2022 |
17.5 |
-0.6 |
-4% |
-0.6 / 17.5 (-4%) |
0.0 / 0 (nan%) |
|
1 / 1 (50%) |
-0.31 |
2021 |
109.2 |
-5.7 |
-5% |
-4.6 / 97.7 (-5%) |
0.0 / 0 (nan%) |
-1.1 / 11.5 (-10%) |
11 / 8 (58%) |
-0.30 |
2020 |
16 |
-0.3 |
-2% |
0.7 / 15 (5%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
1 / 2 (33%) |
-0.10 |
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JB Value: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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JB Value: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
138.7 |
-2.6 |
-2% |
-0.5 / 126.2 (-0%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
-1.1 / 11.5 (-10%) |
PFL |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
|
|
|
JB Value: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
20 (27%) |
13 |
65 % |
45.00 |
3.05 |
0.15 |
7% |
Slight Favorites |
29 (40%) |
17 |
59 % |
58.70 |
-0.13 |
-0.00 |
-0% |
Slight Underdogs |
17 (23%) |
6 |
35 % |
20.00 |
-5.39 |
-0.32 |
-27% |
Big Underdogs |
7 (10%) |
1 |
14 % |
6.50 |
-2.00 |
-0.29 |
-31% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
5 (7%) |
2 |
40 % |
10.00 |
-2.86 |
-0.57 |
-29% |
Co-Main Event |
11 (15%) |
7 |
64 % |
19.00 |
3.06 |
0.28 |
16% |
Position 3-5 |
20 (27%) |
6 |
30 % |
36.20 |
-12.27 |
-0.61 |
-34% |
6+ (Undercard) |
37 (51%) |
22 |
59 % |
65.00 |
7.60 |
0.21 |
12% |
|
JB Value: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
8 (11%) |
6 |
75 % |
14.70 |
6.59 |
0.82 |
45% |
Light Heavy |
5 (7%) |
4 |
80 % |
11.00 |
5.11 |
1.02 |
46% |
Middleweight |
8 (11%) |
3 |
38 % |
10.00 |
-3.81 |
-0.48 |
-38% |
Welterweight |
11 (15%) |
4 |
36 % |
19.00 |
-4.35 |
-0.40 |
-23% |
Lightweight |
9 (12%) |
3 |
33 % |
14.50 |
-4.38 |
-0.49 |
-30% |
Featherweight |
7 (10%) |
4 |
57 % |
15.00 |
1.71 |
0.24 |
11% |
Bantamweight |
8 (11%) |
2 |
25 % |
9.50 |
-5.70 |
-0.71 |
-60% |
Flyweight |
4 (5%) |
3 |
75 % |
7.50 |
0.55 |
0.14 |
7% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
13 (18%) |
8 |
62 % |
29.00 |
-0.20 |
-0.02 |
-1% |
Flyweight |
6 (8%) |
3 |
50 % |
13.00 |
-0.86 |
-0.14 |
-7% |
Strawweight |
7 (10%) |
5 |
71 % |
16.00 |
0.66 |
0.09 |
4% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
14 (93%) |
10 |
71 % |
Slight Favorites |
1 (7%) |
1 |
100 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
15 |
11 |
73 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
50-65% |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
35-50% |
1 (100%) |
0 |
0 % |
<35% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
1 |
0 |
0 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) |
1 (100%) |
0 |
0 % |
2.00 |
2.00 |
2.00 |
-1.0 (-100%) |
|
1 |
0 |
0 % |
2.00 |
|
|
-1.0 (-100%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail JB Value's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
21st Nov |
UFC 255 |
6 |
-1.1 |
-19% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$988.63 |
6th Dec |
UFC Vegas 16 |
4 |
-0.8 |
-20% |
|
$9.89 |
$988.63 |
$980.84 |
13th Dec |
UFC 256 |
6 |
1.6 |
27% |
|
$9.81 |
$980.84 |
$996.85 |
20th Jan |
UFC on ESPN 20 |
6 |
-3.0 |
-50% |
|
$9.97 |
$996.85 |
$966.94 |
24th Jan |
UFC 257 |
11 |
-9.2 |
-84% |
|
$9.67 |
$966.94 |
$877.98 |
13th Feb |
UFC 258 |
2 |
0.8 |
38% |
|
$8.78 |
$877.98 |
$884.74 |
28th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 186 |
3 |
1.7 |
56% |
|
$8.85 |
$884.74 |
$899.48 |
6th Mar |
UFC 259 |
8 |
3.6 |
45% |
|
$8.99 |
$899.48 |
$931.97 |
13th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 187 |
6 |
3.5 |
58% |
|
$9.32 |
$931.97 |
$964.66 |
28th Mar |
UFC 260 |
9 |
2.9 |
32% |
|
$9.65 |
$964.66 |
$992.72 |
17th Apr |
UFC FN |
3 |
0.7 |
25% |
|
$9.93 |
$992.72 |
$1,000.06 |
24th Apr |
UFC 261 |
6 |
4.1 |
68% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.06 |
$1,041.15 |
8th May |
UFC FN |
5 |
-1.7 |
-35% |
|
$10.41 |
$1,041.15 |
$1,023.18 |
15th May |
UFC 262 |
3 |
3.0 |
100% |
|
$10.23 |
$1,023.18 |
$1,053.88 |
22nd May |
UFC FN |
8 |
1.0 |
12% |
|
$10.54 |
$1,053.88 |
$1,064.11 |
12th Jun |
UFC 263 |
6.5 |
-0.4 |
-6% |
|
$10.64 |
$1,064.11 |
$1,059.73 |
17th Jun |
PFL 2021: Week 5 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.60 |
$1,059.73 |
$1,017.34 |
10th Jul |
UFC 264 |
8.2 |
1.2 |
14% |
|
$10.17 |
$1,017.34 |
$1,029.39 |
17th Jul |
UFC FN |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.29 |
$1,029.39 |
$1,008.80 |
24th Jul |
UFC FN |
8 |
-5.7 |
-71% |
|
$10.09 |
$1,008.80 |
$951.30 |
28th Aug |
UFC FN |
6.5 |
-2.8 |
-43% |
|
$9.51 |
$951.30 |
$924.72 |
25th Sep |
UFC 266 |
4 |
0.7 |
17% |
|
$9.25 |
$924.72 |
$930.88 |
12th Nov |
UFC 281 |
10 |
-1.1 |
-11% |
|
$9.31 |
$930.88 |
$920.26 |
10th Dec |
UFC 282 |
7.5 |
0.5 |
7% |
|
$9.20 |
$920.26 |
$925.04 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -7.50% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
JB Value: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Dec '22 |
Chris Curtis |
Joaquin Buckley |
2.46 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (2:49) |
|
|
2. |
Dec '22 |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
Chris Daukaus |
1.59 |
3.5 |
TKO, R1 (0:23) |
|
|
3. |
Nov '22 |
Weili Zhang |
Carla Esparza |
1.24 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (1:5) |
|
|
4. |
Nov '22 |
Erin Blanchfield |
Molly McCann |
1.28 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (3:37) |
|
|
5. |
Sep '21 |
Chris Daukaus |
Shamil Abdurakhimov |
1.56 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (1:23) |
|
|
6. |
Jul '21 |
Nassourdine Imavov |
Ian Heinisch |
2.30 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (3:9) |
|
|
7. |
Jul '21 |
Tai Tuivasa |
Greg Hardy |
1.83 |
1.2 |
TKO, R1 (1:7) |
|
|
8. |
Jul '21 |
Dustin Poirier |
Conor McGregor |
1.80 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (5:0) |
|
|
9. |
Jun '21 |
Carlos Felipe |
Jake Collier |
1.59 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
10. |
Jun '21 |
Brandon Moreno |
Deiveson Figueiredo |
3.00 |
1.5 |
Sub, R3 (2:26) |
|
|
11. |
May '21 |
Court McGee |
Claudio Silva |
1.95 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
12. |
May '21 |
Carla Esparza |
Yan Xiaonan |
2.00 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (2:58) |
|
|
13. |
May '21 |
Priscila Cachoeira |
Gina Mazany |
2.75 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (4:51) |
|
|
14. |
May '21 |
Beneil Dariush |
Tony Ferguson |
1.63 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
15. |
May '21 |
Gregor Gillespie |
Carlos Diego Ferreira |
1.64 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (4:51) |
|
|
16. |
Apr '21 |
Ariane Carnelossi |
Na Liang |
1.48 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (1:28) |
|
|
17. |
Apr '21 |
Danaa Batgerel |
Kevin Natividad |
1.45 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (0:50) |
|
|
18. |
Apr '21 |
Pat Sabatini |
Tristan Connelly |
1.48 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
19. |
Apr '21 |
Anthony Smith |
Jim Crute |
2.75 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (5:0) |
|
|
20. |
Apr '21 |
Andrei Arlovski |
Chase Sherman |
1.87 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
JB Value: Progress Chart |
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