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MMA Handicapper Stats: Scott Shelvock

Scott Shelvock (Scott_Shelvock)

MMA MHandicapper - Scott Shelvock

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	69 (59%)	Right	64 (58%)	Right	5 (83%)	Right	0 (nan%)
Wrong	48 (41%)	Wrong	47 (42%)	Wrong	1 (17%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)
Avg Odds	1.80	Avg Odds	1.79	Avg Odds	1.92	Avg Odds	nan
Units Bet	169.4	Units Bet	163.3	Units Bet	6.1	Units Bet	0.0
Avg Bet	1.45	Avg Bet	1.47	Avg Bet	1.02	Avg Bet	nan
Units Profit	10.88	Units Profit	7.33	Units Profit	3.55	Units Profit	0.00
ROI %	6%	ROI %	4%	ROI %	58%	ROI %	nan%

Scott Shelvock: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
10th Apr '21	UFC FN	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
14th Feb '21	UFC 258	1.32	0.6	48%	0.6 / 1.32 (48%)
20th Jan '21	UFC on ESPN 20	1.17	-1.2	-100%	-1.2 / 1.17 (-100%)
16th Jan '21	UFC FN	3.93	-0.2	-5%	-1.5 / 1.53 (-100%)	1.3 / 2.4 (56%)
19th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 17	2.53	0.3	10%	0.3 / 2.53 (10%)
13th Dec '20	UFC 256	1.4	0.7	46%	0.7 / 1.4 (46%)
6th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 16	0.7	0.5	71%		0.5 / 0.7 (71%)
21st Nov '20	UFC 255	2.83	-2.8	-100%	-2.8 / 2.83 (-100%)
14th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 14	1.91	1.0	54%	1.0 / 1.91 (54%)
8th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 13	1.45	1.0	71%	1.0 / 1.45 (71%)
24th Oct '20	UFC 254	8.08	2.4	30%	2.4 / 8.08 (30%)
10th Oct '20	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	2.17	3.0	140%	3.0 / 2.17 (140%)
4th Oct '20	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	6	-3.0	-50%	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)	1.5 / 1.5 (100%)
26th Sep '20	UFC 253	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
19th Sep '20	UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley	2.25	-0.5	-24%	-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)	0.7 / 1 (71%)
12th Sep '20	UFC Fight Night 184	2.5	0.8	32%	0.8 / 2.5 (32%)
5th Sep '20	UFC Fight Night 183	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
29th Aug '20	UFC Fight Night 182	1	0.5	54%	0.5 / 1 (54%)
26th Aug '20	DWCS 30	0.55	0.5	89%	0.5 / 0.55 (89%)
22nd Aug '20	UFC Vegas 7	3.25	-3.3	-100%	-3.3 / 3.25 (-100%)
21st Aug '20	Bellator 244	1.25	1.7	137%	1.7 / 1.25 (137%)
19th Aug '20	DWCS 29	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
15th Aug '20	UFC 252	1.75	4.3	245%	4.3 / 1.75 (245%)
8th Aug '20	UFC Vegas 6	1	0.5	49%	0.5 / 1 (49%)
1st Aug '20	UFC Vegas 5	5.25	-4.1	-78%	-4.1 / 5.25 (-78%)
18th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 2	4	-4.0	-100%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
15th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 1	8	0.2	3%	0.2 / 8 (3%)
11th Jul '20	UFC 251	3.5	1.6	45%	1.6 / 3.5 (45%)
27th Jun '20	UFC Fight Night 175	2.5	0.8	34%	0.8 / 2.5 (34%)
20th Jun '20	UFC Fight Night 174	3.75	-0.7	-18%	-0.7 / 3.75 (-18%)
13th Jun '20	UFC Fight Night 173	0.75	0.3	45%	0.3 / 0.75 (45%)
6th Jun '20	UFC 250	6	1.2	19%	1.2 / 6 (19%)
30th May '20	UFC Fight Night 172	3	3.0	100%	3.0 / 3 (100%)
16th May '20	UFC Fight Night 171	3.5	0.7	21%	0.7 / 3.5 (21%)
14th May '20	UFC Fight Night 170	2.75	3.6	131%	3.6 / 2.75 (131%)
10th May '20	UFC 249	6.5	-0.6	-9%	-0.6 / 6.5 (-9%)
14th Mar '20	UFC Fight Night 169	5.25	6.1	116%	6.1 / 5.25 (116%)
8th Mar '20	UFC 248	4.5	-4.5	-100%	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
29th Feb '20	UFC Fight Night	3.5	-3.5	-100%	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
22nd Feb '20	UFC Fight Night 168	1.5	-1.5	-100%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
15th Feb '20	UFC Fight Night 167	6.5	-1.3	-20%	-1.3 / 6.5 (-20%)
9th Feb '20	UFC 247	4.75	1.8	39%	1.8 / 4.75 (39%)
26th Jan '20	Bellator 238	1	1.0	95%	1.0 / 1 (95%)
25th Jan '20	UFC Fight Night 166	10.1	4.9	48%	4.9 / 10.1 (48%)
18th Jan '20	UFC 246	1.5	1.2	80%	1.2 / 1.5 (80%)
1st Jan '20	PFL 2019: Week 10	1	0.6	65%	0.6 / 1 (65%)
29th Dec '19	Bellator 237	3.5	-0.5	-16%	-0.0 / 3 (-1%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
21st Dec '19	UFC Fight Night 165	2.32	-2.3	-100%	-2.3 / 2.32 (-100%)
15th Dec '19	UFC 245	4	0.8	20%	0.8 / 4 (20%)
7th Dec '19	UFC on ESPN 7	3.32	0.4	12%	0.4 / 3.32 (12%)
16th Nov '19	UFC Fight Night 164	2.76	0.7	26%	0.7 / 2.76 (26%)
9th Nov '19	UFC Fight Night 163	0.56	-0.6	-100%	-0.6 / 0.56 (-100%)
2nd Nov '19	UFC 244	3.14	1.9	59%	1.9 / 3.14 (59%)
26th Oct '19	UFC Fight Night 162	6.66	3.6	55%	3.6 / 6.66 (55%)

Winning Events: 33 (61%)
Losing Events: 21 (39%)

Average Staked Per Event: 3.14 units
Most Staked On One Event: 10.10 units
Best Event: 6.09 units
Worst Event: -4.50 units
Average Event: 0.20 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 9.51
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -10.78

Scott Shelvock: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	8.42	-2.7	-33%	-4.1 / 6.02 (-68%)	1.3 / 2.4 (56%)		1 / 3 (25%)	-0.68
2020	134.72	9.6	7%	6.9 / 131.52 (5%)	2.7 / 3.2 (85%)		27 / 15 (64%)	0.23
2019	26.26	4.0	15%	4.5 / 25.76 (18%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)		5 / 3 (63%)	0.50

Scott Shelvock: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Scott Shelvock: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	161.1	8.6	5%	4.6 / 155.5 (3%)	4.0 / 5.6 (72%)
Bellator	5.75	2.1	37%	2.6 / 5.25 (50%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
PFL	1	0.6	65%	0.6 / 1 (65%)
Other	1.55	-0.5	-33%	-0.5 / 1.55 (-33%)

Scott Shelvock: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	33 (28%)	21	64 %	53.03	-8.43	-0.26	-16%
Slight Favorites	45 (38%)	33	73 %	59.74	14.39	0.32	24%
Slight Underdogs	35 (29%)	13	37 %	42.45	3.42	0.10	8%
Big Underdogs	7 (6%)	1	14 %	8.08	-2.04	-0.29	-25%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	16 (13%)	7	44 %	24.91	-4.98	-0.31	-20%
Co-Main Event	21 (18%)	14	67 %	27.33	0.42	0.02	2%
Position 3-5	37 (31%)	22	59 %	46.02	4.08	0.11	9%
6+ (Undercard)	46 (38%)	25	54 %	65.04	7.81	0.17	12%

Scott Shelvock: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	11 (9%)	5	45 %	15.52	-0.47	-0.04	-3%
Light Heavy	11 (9%)	4	36 %	14.63	0.94	0.09	6%
Middleweight	13 (11%)	8	62 %	20.52	-1.85	-0.14	-9%
Welterweight	10 (8%)	9	90 %	11.22	6.01	0.60	54%
Lightweight	12 (10%)	8	67 %	17.89	6.31	0.53	35%
Featherweight	16 (13%)	11	69 %	22.49	2.62	0.16	12%
Bantamweight	19 (16%)	14	74 %	28.63	5.76	0.30	20%
Flyweight	6 (5%)	1	17 %	7.36	-5.09	-0.85	-69%

Women's Fights	22 (18%)	8	36 %	25.04	-6.90	-0.31	-28%
Bantamweight	11 (9%)	4	36 %	9.34	-0.09	-0.01	-1%
Flyweight	6 (5%)	2	33 %	6.37	-1.92	-0.32	-30%
Strawweight	5 (4%)	2	40 %	9.33	-4.89	-0.98	-52%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
	0	0	nan %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
50-65%	3 (50%)	3	100 %
35-50%	2 (33%)	2	100 %
<35% chance	1 (17%)	0	0 %
	6	5	83 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (33%)	2	100 %	2.00	2.00	2.00	2.0 (100%)
Goes to Decision	1 (17%)	1	100 %	1.56	1.56	1.56	0.6 (56%)
Does not go to Decision	1 (17%)	1	100 %	1.71	1.71	1.71	0.7 (71%)
X Wins by KO	1 (17%)	0	0 %	3.20	3.20	3.20	-1.0 (-100%)
Others	1 (17%)	1	100 %	1.71	1.71	1.71	0.7 (71%)
	6	5	83 %	1.92			3.0 (50%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Scott Shelvock's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
26th Oct	UFC Fight Night 162	6.66	3.6	55%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,036.49
2nd Nov	UFC 244	3.14	1.9	59%		$10.36	$1,036.49	$1,055.83
9th Nov	UFC Fight Night 163	0.56	-0.6	-100%		$10.56	$1,055.83	$1,049.92
16th Nov	UFC Fight Night 164	2.76	0.7	26%		$10.50	$1,049.92	$1,057.54
7th Dec	UFC on ESPN 7	3.32	0.4	12%		$10.58	$1,057.54	$1,061.72
15th Dec	UFC 245	4	0.8	20%		$10.62	$1,061.72	$1,070.22
21st Dec	UFC Fight Night 165	2.32	-2.3	-100%		$10.70	$1,070.22	$1,045.39
29th Dec	Bellator 237	3.5	-0.5	-16%		$10.45	$1,045.39	$1,039.71
1st Jan	PFL 2019: Week 10	1	0.6	65%		$10.40	$1,039.71	$1,046.41
18th Jan	UFC 246	1.5	1.2	80%		$10.46	$1,046.41	$1,058.97
25th Jan	UFC Fight Night 166	10.1	4.9	48%		$10.59	$1,058.97	$1,110.44
26th Jan	Bellator 238	1	1.0	95%		$11.10	$1,110.44	$1,121.01
9th Feb	UFC 247	4.75	1.8	39%		$11.21	$1,121.01	$1,141.75
15th Feb	UFC Fight Night 167	6.5	-1.3	-20%		$11.42	$1,141.75	$1,127.16
22nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 168	1.5	-1.5	-100%		$11.27	$1,127.16	$1,110.25
29th Feb	UFC Fight Night	3.5	-3.5	-100%		$11.10	$1,110.25	$1,071.39
8th Mar	UFC 248	4.5	-4.5	-100%		$10.71	$1,071.39	$1,023.18
14th Mar	UFC Fight Night 169	5.25	6.1	116%		$10.23	$1,023.18	$1,085.54
10th May	UFC 249	6.5	-0.6	-9%		$10.86	$1,085.54	$1,079.52
14th May	UFC Fight Night 170	2.75	3.6	131%		$10.80	$1,079.52	$1,118.46
16th May	UFC Fight Night 171	3.5	0.7	21%		$11.18	$1,118.46	$1,126.66
30th May	UFC Fight Night 172	3	3.0	100%		$11.27	$1,126.66	$1,160.46
6th Jun	UFC 250	6	1.2	19%		$11.60	$1,160.46	$1,173.85
13th Jun	UFC Fight Night 173	0.75	0.3	45%		$11.74	$1,173.85	$1,177.85
20th Jun	UFC Fight Night 174	3.75	-0.7	-18%		$11.78	$1,177.85	$1,169.81
27th Jun	UFC Fight Night 175	2.5	0.8	34%		$11.70	$1,169.81	$1,179.63
11th Jul	UFC 251	3.5	1.6	45%		$11.80	$1,179.63	$1,198.06
15th Jul	UFC Fight Island 1	8	0.2	3%		$11.98	$1,198.06	$1,200.86
18th Jul	UFC Fight Island 2	4	-4.0	-100%		$12.01	$1,200.86	$1,152.83
1st Aug	UFC Vegas 5	5.25	-4.1	-78%		$11.53	$1,152.83	$1,105.70
8th Aug	UFC Vegas 6	1	0.5	49%		$11.06	$1,105.70	$1,111.12
15th Aug	UFC 252	1.75	4.3	245%		$11.11	$1,111.12	$1,158.76
19th Aug	DWCS 29	1	-1.0	-100%		$11.59	$1,158.76	$1,147.17
21st Aug	Bellator 244	1.25	1.7	137%		$11.47	$1,147.17	$1,166.82
22nd Aug	UFC Vegas 7	3.25	-3.3	-100%		$11.67	$1,166.82	$1,128.89
26th Aug	DWCS 30	0.55	0.5	89%		$11.29	$1,128.89	$1,134.44
29th Aug	UFC Fight Night 182	1	0.5	54%		$11.34	$1,134.44	$1,140.57
5th Sep	UFC Fight Night 183	2	-2.0	-100%		$11.41	$1,140.57	$1,117.76
12th Sep	UFC Fight Night 184	2.5	0.8	32%		$11.18	$1,117.76	$1,126.70
19th Sep	UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley	2.25	-0.5	-24%		$11.27	$1,126.70	$1,120.66
26th Sep	UFC 253	2	-2.0	-100%		$11.21	$1,120.66	$1,098.25
4th Oct	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	6	-3.0	-50%	$20	$10.98	$1,098.25	$1,045.30
10th Oct	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	2.17	3.0	140%	$20	$10.45	$1,045.30	$1,057.06
24th Oct	UFC 254	8.08	2.4	30%	$20	$10.57	$1,057.06	$1,062.63
8th Nov	UFC Vegas 13	1.45	1.0	71%	$20	$10.63	$1,062.63	$1,053.63
14th Nov	UFC Vegas 14	1.91	1.0	54%	$20	$10.54	$1,053.63	$1,044.51
21st Nov	UFC 255	2.83	-2.8	-100%	$20	$10.45	$1,044.51	$994.95
6th Dec	UFC Vegas 16	0.7	0.5	71%	$20	$9.95	$994.95	$979.93
13th Dec	UFC 256	1.4	0.7	46%	$20	$9.80	$979.93	$966.30
19th Dec	UFC Vegas 17	2.53	0.3	10%	$20	$9.66	$966.30	$948.78
16th Jan	UFC FN	3.93	-0.2	-5%	$20	$9.49	$948.78	$926.91
20th Jan	UFC on ESPN 20	1.17	-1.2	-100%	$20	$9.27	$926.91	$896.07
14th Feb	UFC 258	1.32	0.6	48%		$8.96	$896.07	$901.70
10th Apr	UFC FN	2	-2.0	-100%		$9.02	$901.70	$883.66

ROI % from starting bank balance: -11.63% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Scott Shelvock: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Feb '21	Kelvin Gastelum	Ian Heinisch	1.48	1.32	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Dec '20	Michel Pereira	Kalinn Williams	1.89	0.77	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Dec '20	Jose Aldo	Marlon Vera	1.70	0.78	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Dec '20	Charles Oliveira	Tony Ferguson	2.50	0.82	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Nov '20	Tony Gravely	Geraldo De Freitas Jr.	1.54	1.91	Split Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Nov '20	Max Griffin	Ramiz Brahimaj	1.71	1.45	TKO, R3 (2:3)
7.	Oct '20	Casey Kenney	Nathaniel Wood	1.69	0.72	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Oct '20	Robert Whittaker	Jared Cannonier	1.95	0.91	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Oct '20	Tai Tuivasa	Stefan Struve	2.00	1.54	TKO, R1 (4:59)
10.	Oct '20	Alexander Volkov	Walt Harris	1.65	2.69	TKO, R2 (1:15)
11.	Oct '20	Giga Chikadze	Omar Morales	2.40	2.17	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Sep '20	Ottman Azaitar	Khama Worthy	2.20	1.5	TKO, R1 (1:33)
13.	Aug '20	Alex Caceres	Austin Springer	1.54	1	Sub, R1 (3:38)
14.	Aug '20	Jamie Pickett	Jhonoven Pati	1.89	0.55	TKO, R2 (0:33)
15.	Aug '20	Vadim Nemkov	Ryan Bader	2.37	1.25	TKO, R2 (3:2)
16.	Aug '20	Marlon Vera	Sean O'Malley	3.45	1.75	TKO, R1 (4:40)
17.	Aug '20	Yana Kunitskaya	Julija Stoliarenko	1.49	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Aug '20	Jonathan Martinez	Frankie Saenz	1.55	0.75	TKO, R3 (0:57)
19.	Jul '20	Jimmie Rivera	Cody Stamann	1.74	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Jul '20	Khamzat Chimaev	John Phillips	1.30	3.75	Sub, R2 (1:12)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '21	Sodiq Yusuff	Arnold Allen	1.74	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Jan '21	Yanan Wu	Joselyne Edwards	1.95	0.84	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Jan '21	Mason Jones	Mike Davis	2.65	1.17	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Jan '21	Justin Tafa	Carlos Felipe	2.70	0.69	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Dec '20	Gillian Robertson	Taila Santos	1.87	0.98	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Dec '20	Virna Jandiroba	Mackenzie Dern	2.65	0.58	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Nov '20	Alex Perez	Deiveson Figueiredo	3.50	2.11	Sub, R1 (1:57)	No
8.	Nov '20	Mauricio Rua	Paul Craig	2.60	0.72	TKO, R2 (3:36)	No
9.	Oct '20	Jacob Malkoun	Phil Hawes	3.25	1.33	TKO, R1 (0:18)	No
10.	Oct '20	Liana Jojua	Miranda Maverick	3.85	0.89	TKO, R1 (5:0)	No
11.	Oct '20	Julianna Pena	Germaine de Randamie	2.35	0.25	Sub, R3 (3:25)	No
12.	Oct '20	Irene Aldana	Holly Holm	2.15	0.25	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
13.	Oct '20	Court McGee	Carlos Condit	1.82	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Oct '20	Julianna Pena	Germaine de Randamie	2.35	0.5	Sub, R3 (3:25)	No
15.	Oct '20	Irene Aldana	Holly Holm	2.05	0.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
16.	Oct '20	Julianna Pena	Germaine de Randamie	2.35	1	Sub, R3 (3:25)	No
17.	Oct '20	Irene Aldana	Holly Holm	2.02	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
18.	Sep '20	Kai Kara-France	Brandon Royval	1.52	0.75	Sub, R2 (0:48)	No
19.	Sep '20	Kai Kara-France	Brandon Royval	1.47	1.25	Sub, R2 (0:48)	No
20.	Sep '20	Darren Stewart	Kevin Holland	3.50	0.75	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Scott Shelvock: Progress Chart

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