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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6358
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2347
 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Value Bet

Value Bet (ValueBet)
Mixed Martial Arts Management - Value Bet

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 19 (56%) Right 14 (50%) Right 4 (100%) Right 1 (50%)
Wrong 15 (44%) Wrong 14 (50%) Wrong 0 (0%) Wrong 1 (50%)
Avg Odds 1.81 Avg Odds 1.82 Avg Odds 1.68 Avg Odds 1.99
Units Bet 138.5 Units Bet 125.0 Units Bet 10.0 Units Bet 3.5
Avg Bet 4.07 Avg Bet 4.46 Avg Bet 2.50 Avg Bet 1.75
Units Profit 11.78 Units Profit 4.99 Units Profit 6.14 Units Profit 0.65
ROI % 9% ROI % 4% ROI % 61% ROI % 19%
View Handicapper's Profile

Value Bet: Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
15th Dec '19 UFC 245 1 1.7 170% 1.7 / 1 (170%)
26th Oct '19 UFC Fight Night 162 9 -9.0 -100% -9.0 / 9 (-100%)
18th Oct '19 UFC ESPN 6 25.5 -16.0 -63% -17.7 / 22.5 (-79%) 1.7 / 3 (57%)
13th Oct '19 One FC - Century 9 5.9 65% 5.9 / 9 (65%)
12th Oct '19 UFC on ESPN+ 19 25 8.5 34% 5.7 / 19.5 (29%) 1.2 / 3 (40%) 1.7 / 2.5 (66%)
12th Oct '19 Bellator 230 18 7.6 42% 7.6 / 18 (42%)
12th Oct '19 Rizin 19 20 7.8 39% 7.8 / 20 (39%)
12th Oct '19 Combate 46 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
11th Oct '19 PFL 2019 - Week 7 10 -3.2 -32% -3.2 / 10 (-32%)
5th Oct '19 UFC 243 11 5.7 52% 5.0 / 9 (56%) 1.7 / 1 (170%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
5th Oct '19 Bellator 229 8 4.9 61% 3.4 / 5 (67%) 1.5 / 3 (51%)


Winning Events: 7 (64%)
Losing Events: 4 (36%)

Average Staked Per Event: 12.59 units
Most Staked On One Event: 25.50 units
Best Event: 8.51 units
Worst Event: -15.99 units
Average Event: 1.07 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 29.72
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -24.99

Value Bet: Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2019 138.5 11.8 9% 5.0 / 125 (4%) 6.1 / 10 (61%) 0.7 / 3.5 (19%) 7 / 4 (64%) 1.07

Value Bet: Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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Value Bet: Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 71.5 -9.1 -13% -14.3 / 61 (-23%) 4.6 / 7 (66%) 0.7 / 3.5 (19%)
Bellator 26 12.4 48% 10.9 / 23 (47%) 1.5 / 3 (51%)
PFL 10 -3.2 -32% -3.2 / 10 (-32%)
Other 31 11.7 38% 11.7 / 31 (38%)

Value Bet: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 10 (27%) 9 90 % 53.00 14.61 1.46 28%
Slight Favorites 17 (46%) 8 47 % 56.00 -8.88 -0.52 -16%
Slight Underdogs 9 (24%) 4 44 % 14.50 0.76 0.08 5%
Big Underdogs 1 (3%) 0 0 % 1.50 -1.50 -1.50 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 12 (32%) 9 75 % 54.00 15.62 1.30 29%
Co-Main Event 6 (16%) 4 67 % 10.00 5.02 0.84 50%
Position 3-5 8 (22%) 4 50 % 29.00 -7.48 -0.93 -26%
6+ (Undercard) 11 (30%) 4 36 % 32.00 -8.17 -0.74 -26%

Value Bet: Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Light Heavy 4 (11%) 2 50 % 11.50 3.35 0.84 29%
Middleweight 8 (22%) 8 100 % 30.00 18.16 2.27 61%
Welterweight 7 (19%) 4 57 % 22.50 -1.83 -0.26 -8%
Lightweight 5 (14%) 0 % 13.00 -13.00 -2.60 -100%
Featherweight 10 (27%) 6 60 % 36.00 2.26 0.23 6%
Bantamweight 1 (3%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
               
Women's Fights 2 (5%) 1 50 % 10.00 -1.95 -0.98 -20%
Featherweight 1 (3%) 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -5.00 -100%
Strawweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 5.00 3.05 3.05 61%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 2 (100%) 2 100 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
2 2 100 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 3 (50%) 2 67 %
50-65% 2 (33%) 1 50 %
35-50% 1 (17%) 1 100 %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
6 4 67 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (33%) 0 0 % 1.57 1.64Pick was incorrect 1.51Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Goes to Decision 1 (17%) 1 100 % 1.51 1.51Pick was correct 1.51Pick was correct 0.5 (51%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (17%) 1 100 % 1.40 1.40Pick was correct 1.40Pick was incorrect 0.4 (40%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 1 (17%) 1 100 % 1.57 1.57Pick was correct 1.57Pick was incorrect 0.6 (57%)
X Wins by Decision 1 (17%) 1 100 % 2.70 2.70Pick was correct 2.70Pick was correct 1.7 (170%)
6 4 67 % 1.64     1.2 (20%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Value Bet's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
5th Oct Bellator 229 8 4.9 61% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,048.80
5th Oct UFC 243 11 5.7 52% $10.49 $1,048.80 $1,108.79
11th Oct PFL 2019 - Week 7 10 -3.2 -32% $11.09 $1,108.79 $1,072.76
12th Oct Combate 46 2 -2.0 -100% $10.73 $1,072.76 $1,051.30
12th Oct Rizin 19 20 7.8 39% $10.51 $1,051.30 $1,133.30
12th Oct Bellator 230 18 7.6 42% $11.33 $1,133.30 $1,218.98
12th Oct UFC on ESPN+ 19 25 8.5 34% $12.19 $1,218.98 $1,322.76
13th Oct One FC - Century 9 5.9 65% $13.23 $1,322.76 $1,400.15
18th Oct UFC ESPN 6 25.5 -16.0 -63% $14.00 $1,400.15 $1,176.26
26th Oct UFC Fight Night 162 9 -9.0 -100% $11.76 $1,176.26 $1,070.40
15th Dec UFC 245 1 1.7 170% $10.70 $1,070.40 $1,088.60


ROI % from starting bank balance: 8.86% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Value Bet: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Oct '19 Brendan Allen Kevin Holland 2.40 2 Sub, R2 (3:38) MMA Bookmaker
2. Oct '19 Aung La N Sang Brandon Vera 1.65 5 TKO, R2 (3:23) MMA Bookmaker
3. Oct '19 Eryk Anders Gerald Meerschaert 1.74 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Oct '19 Cub Swanson Kron Gracie 2.68 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Oct '19 Melvin Manhoef Yannick Bahati 1.52 3 TKO, R1 (2:29) MMA Bookmaker
6. Oct '19 Vadim Nemkov Rafael Carvalho 1.40 7 Sub, R2 (3:56) MMA Bookmaker
7. Oct '19 Vadim Nemkov Rafael Carvalho 1.40 3 Sub, R2 (3:56) MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '19 Vadim Nemkov Rafael Carvalho 1.40 5 Sub, R2 (3:56) MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '19 Aung La N Sang Brandon Vera 1.65 4 TKO, R2 (3:23) MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '19 Patricky Freire Tatsuya Kawajiri 1.39 4 TKO, R1 (1:10) MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '19 Patricky Freire Tatsuya Kawajiri 1.39 11 TKO, R1 (1:10) MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '19 Patricky Freire Tatsuya Kawajiri 1.39 5 TKO, R1 (1:10) MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '19 Glaico Franca Andre Fialho 1.35 5 U Decision (2 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '19 Niko Price James Vick 1.71 1 TKO, R1 (1:44) MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '19 Cub Swanson Kron Gracie 2.40 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '19 Miguel Baeza Hector Aldana 1.50 5 TKO, R2 (2:32) MMA Bookmaker
17. Oct '19 Niko Price James Vick 1.57 3 TKO, R1 (1:44) MMA Bookmaker
18. Oct '19 Ji Yeon Kim Nadia Kassem 1.61 5 TKO, R2 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '19 Tony Johnson (2) Joe Schilling 1.67 5 TKO, R3 (2:7) MMA Bookmaker
20. Dec '19 Alex Volkanovski Max Holloway 2.70 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Oct '19 Ben Askren Demian Maia 1.71 4 Sub, R3 (3:54) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Oct '19 Court McGee Sean Brady 2.87 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Oct '19 Enrique Barzola Movsar Evloev 2.60 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Oct '19 Laureano Staropoli Muslim Salikhov 2.25 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Oct '19 Jeremy Stephens Yair Rodriguez 1.94 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Oct '19 Manny Bermudez Charles Rosa 1.74 5 Sub, R1 (2:46) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
7. Oct '19 Kyle Bochniak Sean Woodson 1.85 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '19 Jose Alday Joby Sanchez 1.71 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '19 Sarah Kaufman Larissa Pacheco 1.40 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '19 Manny Bermudez Charles Rosa 1.59 3 Sub, R1 (2:46) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '19 Kyle Bochniak Sean Woodson 1.69 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '19 Jonathan Pearce Joe Lauzon 1.90 3 TKO, R1 (1:33) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '19 Luis Pena Matt Frevola 1.63 4 Split Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '19 Devin Clark Ryan Spann 2.35 1.5 Sub, R2 (2:1) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '19 Chris Weidman Dominick Reyes 2.35 1 TKO, R1 (1:43) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '19 Al Iaquinta Daniel Hooker 2.60 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Value Bet: Progress Chart
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