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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 2194
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 886

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: The Pikey

The Pikey (ThePikey)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - The Pikey

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 78 (45%) Right 68 (44%) Right 8 (57%) Right 2 (33%)
Wrong 96 (55%) Wrong 86 (56%) Wrong 6 (43%) Wrong 4 (67%)
Avg Odds 2.07 Avg Odds 2.06 Avg Odds 2.44 Avg Odds 1.80
Units Bet 509.5 Units Bet 455.0 Units Bet 29.5 Units Bet 25.0
Avg Bet 2.93 Avg Bet 2.95 Avg Bet 2.11 Avg Bet 4.17
Units Profit -4.69 Units Profit -12.52 Units Profit 9.95 Units Profit -2.12
ROI % -1% ROI % -3% ROI % 34% ROI % -8%
View Handicapper's Profile

The Pikey: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
14th Mar '20 UFC Fight Night 170 8 -1.1 -14% -3.3 / 7 (-48%) 2.2 / 1 (220%)
8th Mar '20 UFC 248 17 -10.3 -61% -12.0 / 12 (-100%) 1.7 / 5 (33%)
29th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 19 -9.3 -49% -9.3 / 19 (-49%)
22nd Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 168 21 14.5 69% 15.5 / 20 (77%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
22nd Feb '20 Bellator 240 11 5.8 53% 5.8 / 11 (53%)
15th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 167 29 -9.8 -34% -6.8 / 26 (-26%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
9th Feb '20 UFC 247 42 -30.1 -72% -21.1 / 33 (-64%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
26th Jan '20 Bellator 238 3 -1.0 -35% -1.0 / 3 (-35%)
25th Jan '20 UFC Fight Night 166 34 -9.4 -28% -13.4 / 30 (-45%) 4.0 / 4 (100%)
18th Jan '20 UFC 246 18 -1.4 -8% -1.4 / 18 (-8%)
1st Jan '20 PFL 2019: Week 10 11 1.8 16% 1.8 / 11 (16%)
29th Dec '19 Bellator 237 7 -0.1 -1% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 2.9 / 4 (73%)
22nd Dec '19 Bellator Hawaii 11 5.8 53% 5.8 / 11 (53%)
21st Dec '19 UFC Fight Night 165 24 5.5 23% 3.5 / 22 (16%) 2.0 / 2 (100%)
15th Dec '19 UFC 245 34 10.3 30% 1.7 / 27 (6%) 2.0 / 2 (100%) 6.6 / 5 (133%)
7th Dec '19 UFC on ESPN 7 10 -1.6 -16% -1.6 / 10 (-16%)
23rd Nov '19 Bellator London 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
16th Nov '19 UFC Fight Night 164 36 21.0 58% 18.4 / 32 (57%) 2.7 / 4 (67%)
14th Nov '19 Bellator 234 1.25 -1.3 -100% -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
9th Nov '19 UFC Fight Night 163 40 23.2 58% 17.0 / 35 (48%) 6.2 / 5 (125%)
2nd Nov '19 UFC 244 31 -0.5 -2% -0.5 / 31 (-2%)
26th Oct '19 Bellator 232 43 -3.1 -7% 1.9 / 38 (5%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
26th Oct '19 UFC Fight Night 162 13 -3.8 -29% -3.8 / 13 (-29%)
25th Oct '19 Bellator 231 6.5 -6.5 -100% -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)
18th Oct '19 UFC ESPN 6 13.25 -3.0 -22% -0.7 / 11 (-6%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
12th Oct '19 UFC on ESPN+ 19 12.5 0.5 4% 0.8 / 12.25 (6%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
5th Oct '19 UFC 243 7 -0.1 -1% 1.9 / 5 (38%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
21st Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 159 3 3.3 110% 3.3 / 3 (110%)


Winning Events: 10 (36%)
Losing Events: 18 (64%)

Average Staked Per Event: 18.20 units
Most Staked On One Event: 43.00 units
Best Event: 23.21 units
Worst Event: -30.10 units
Average Event: -0.17 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 23.21
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -51.72

The Pikey: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2020 213 -50.4 -24% -45.3 / 190 (-24%) 0.9 / 17 (5%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%) 3 / 8 (27%) -4.59
2019 296.5 45.8 15% 32.8 / 265 (12%) 9.1 / 12.5 (73%) 3.9 / 19 (20%) 7 / 10 (41%) 2.69

The Pikey: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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The Pikey: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 411.75 -2.0 -0% -11.9 / 366.25 (-3%) 7.0 / 25.5 (28%) 2.9 / 20 (14%)
Bellator 86.75 -4.4 -5% -2.4 / 77.75 (-3%) 2.9 / 4 (73%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
PFL 11 1.8 16% 1.8 / 11 (16%)

The Pikey: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 20 (13%) 16 80 % 144.00 19.00 0.95 13%
Slight Favorites 60 (39%) 30 50 % 198.75 -17.07 -0.28 -9%
Slight Underdogs 37 (24%) 13 35 % 70.00 -16.45 -0.44 -23%
Big Underdogs 37 (24%) 9 24 % 42.25 2.00 0.05 5%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 20 (13%) 10 50 % 90.00 1.99 0.10 2%
Co-Main Event 13 (8%) 4 31 % 44.00 -33.93 -2.61 -77%
Position 3-5 43 (28%) 21 49 % 155.75 14.93 0.35 10%
6+ (Undercard) 78 (51%) 33 42 % 165.25 4.48 0.06 3%

The Pikey: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 13 (8%) 5 38 % 38.00 1.42 0.11 4%
Light Heavy 12 (8%) 5 42 % 44.00 -3.94 -0.33 -9%
Middleweight 15 (10%) 5 33 % 23.50 -1.66 -0.11 -7%
Welterweight 30 (19%) 13 43 % 99.50 -17.13 -0.57 -17%
Lightweight 14 (9%) 6 43 % 49.00 -9.57 -0.68 -20%
Featherweight 23 (15%) 12 52 % 81.00 8.29 0.36 10%
Bantamweight 17 (11%) 6 35 % 44.00 4.22 0.25 10%
Flyweight 8 (5%) 4 50 % 19.00 -2.59 -0.32 -14%
               
Women's Fights 22 (14%) 12 55 % 57.00 8.44 0.38 15%
Featherweight 2 (1%) 2 100 % 13.00 2.67 1.33 21%
Bantamweight 5 (3%) 1 20 % 8.00 -4.60 -0.92 -58%
Flyweight 6 (4%) 4 67 % 9.00 3.60 0.60 40%
Strawweight 9 (6%) 5 56 % 27.00 6.77 0.75 25%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 8 (80%) 5 63 %
Slight Favorites 2 (20%) 2 100 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
10 7 70 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 2 (13%) 1 50 %
50-65% 4 (25%) 3 75 %
35-50% 5 (31%) 4 80 %
<35% chance 5 (31%) 1 20 %
16 9 56 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (6%) 1 100 % 2.00 2.00Pick was correct 2.00Pick was correct 1.0 (100%)
Does not go to Decision 2 (13%) 1 50 % 1.30 1.41Pick was correct 1.21Pick was incorrect -0.6 (-30%)
X Wins by KO 3 (19%) 2 67 % 2.66 7.75Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was correct 1.0 (33%)
X Wins by Sub 3 (19%) 1 33 % 3.20 10.15Pick was incorrect 1.67Pick was correct -1.3 (-44%)
X Wins Inside Distance 6 (38%) 4 67 % 2.13 4.35Pick was incorrect 1.67Pick was correct 2.6 (43%)
Others 1 (6%) 0 0 % 2.75 2.75Pick was incorrect 2.75Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
16 9 56 % 2.20     1.7 (10%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail The Pikey's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
21st Sep UFC Fight Night 159 3 3.3 110% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,033.09
5th Oct UFC 243 7 -0.1 -1% $10.33 $1,033.09 $1,032.06
12th Oct UFC on ESPN+ 19 12.5 0.5 4% $10.32 $1,032.06 $1,037.34
18th Oct UFC ESPN 6 13.25 -3.0 -22% $10.37 $1,037.34 $1,006.59
25th Oct Bellator 231 6.5 -6.5 -100% $10.07 $1,006.59 $941.16
26th Oct UFC Fight Night 162 13 -3.8 -29% $9.41 $941.16 $905.53
26th Oct Bellator 232 43 -3.1 -7% $9.06 $905.53 $877.16
2nd Nov UFC 244 31 -0.5 -2% $8.77 $877.16 $872.94
9th Nov UFC Fight Night 163 40 23.2 58% $8.73 $872.94 $1,075.57
14th Nov Bellator 234 1.25 -1.3 -100% $10.76 $1,075.57 $1,062.12
16th Nov UFC Fight Night 164 36 21.0 58% $10.62 $1,062.12 $1,285.61
23rd Nov Bellator London 4 -4.0 -100% $12.86 $1,285.61 $1,234.19
7th Dec UFC on ESPN 7 10 -1.6 -16% $12.34 $1,234.19 $1,214.21
15th Dec UFC 245 34 10.3 30% $12.14 $1,214.21 $1,339.32
21st Dec UFC Fight Night 165 24 5.5 23% $13.39 $1,339.32 $1,412.95
22nd Dec Bellator Hawaii 11 5.8 53% $14.13 $1,412.95 $1,494.75
29th Dec Bellator 237 7 -0.1 -1% $14.95 $1,494.75 $1,493.55
1st Jan PFL 2019: Week 10 11 1.8 16% $14.94 $1,493.55 $1,519.84
18th Jan UFC 246 18 -1.4 -8% $15.20 $1,519.84 $1,498.66
25th Jan UFC Fight Night 166 34 -9.4 -28% $14.99 $1,498.66 $1,357.99
26th Jan Bellator 238 3 -1.0 -35% $13.58 $1,357.99 $1,343.77
9th Feb UFC 247 42 -30.1 -72% $13.44 $1,343.77 $939.29
15th Feb UFC Fight Night 167 29 -9.8 -34% $9.39 $939.29 $847.27
22nd Feb Bellator 240 11 5.8 53% $8.47 $847.27 $896.32
22nd Feb UFC Fight Night 168 21 14.5 69% $8.96 $896.32 $1,025.97
29th Feb UFC Fight Night 19 -9.3 -49% $10.26 $1,025.97 $930.91
8th Mar UFC 248 17 -10.3 -61% $9.31 $930.91 $834.72
14th Mar UFC Fight Night 170 8 -1.1 -14% $8.35 $834.72 $825.26


ROI % from starting bank balance: -17.47% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

The Pikey: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '20 Gilbert Burns Demian Maia 1.83 2 TKO, R1 (2:34) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '20 Jordan Griffin T.J. Brown 1.80 1 Sub, R2 (3:38) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '20 Megan Anderson Norma Dumont 1.45 2 TKO, R1 (3:31) MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '20 Grant Dawson Darrick Minner 1.26 4 Sub, R2 (1:38) MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '20 Priscila Cachoeira Shana Dobson 2.90 1 TKO, R1 (0:40) MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '20 Brad Riddell Magomed Mustafaev 4.25 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '20 Jake Matthews Emil Meek 1.51 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '20 Yan Xiaonan Karolina Kowalkiewicz 1.50 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '20 Ricky Bandejas Frans Mlambo 1.53 11 TKO, R2 (1:25) MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '20 Devin Clark Dequan Townsend 1.56 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '20 Raulian Paiva Mark Delarosa 1.63 3 TKO, R2 (4:42) MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '20 Montana De La Rosa Mara Romero Borella 1.61 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '20 Daniel Rodriguez Tim Means 4.00 1 Sub, R2 (3:37) MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '20 Diego Sanchez Michel Pereira 2.50 1 MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '20 Justin Tafa Juan Adams 3.20 2 TKO, R1 (1:59) MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '20 Mario Bautista Miles Johns 2.75 2 TKO, R2 (1:41) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jan '20 Darrion Caldwell Adam Borics 1.95 1 Sub, R1 (2:20) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jan '20 Curtis Blaydes Junior dos Santos 1.54 4 TKO, R2 (1:6) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jan '20 Alex Perez Jordan Espinosa 1.49 4 Sub, R1 (2:33) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jan '20 Brett Johns Tony Gravely 2.25 2 Sub, R3 (2:53) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '20 Randa Markos Amanda Ribas 4.30 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '20 Jussier Formiga Brandon Moreno 1.80 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '20 Johnny Walker Nikita Krylov 1.77 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '20 Austin Hubbard Mark O. Madsen 5.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '20 Li Jingliang Neil Magny 1.63 7 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '20 Jose Quinonez Sean O'Malley 4.20 1 TKO, R1 (2:2) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '20 Joanna Jedrzejczyk Weili Zhang 2.75 2 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '20 Yoel Romero Israel Adesanya 3.45 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '20 Aalon Cruz Spike Carlyle 1.87 1 TKO, R1 (1:25) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '20 Ismail Naurdiev Sean Brady 1.80 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '20 Gabriel Silva Kyler Phillips 2.55 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '20 Tom Breese Brendan Allen 1.91 2 TKO, R1 (4:47) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '20 Joseph Benavidez Deiveson Figueiredo 1.83 4 TKO, R2 (1:54) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '20 Loma Lookboonmee Angela Hill 2.75 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '20 Rodrigo Vargas Brok Weaver 3.65 1 No MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '20 Rogerio Bontorin Ray Borg 2.35 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '20 Yancy Medeiros Lando Vannata 2.10 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Feb '20 Casey Kenney Merab Dvalishvili 2.90 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '20 Alex Morono Kalinn Williams 1.74 10 TKO, R1 (0:27) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Feb '20 Domingo Pilarte Journey Newson 1.83 1 TKO, R1 (0:38) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

The Pikey: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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